Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response could occur by early 2016

Archive for July, 2009

Strong Quake Strikes Baffin Bay

Posted by feww on July 8, 2009

Magnitude 6.1 Earthquake Occurred at Baffin Bay off the NW Coast of Greenland

FEWW Moderators believe magnitude of the seismicity most likely intensified as a result of icemelt in the region.

Other examples of climate-intensified natural events would be posted on this blog when they occur.

IBCAO_betamap
Location of earthquake is marked on the Bathymetric map of the Arctic Ocean. Original Map: NOAA

Details of the Earthquake

  • Magnitude: 6.1
  • Date-Time:
    • Tuesday, July 07, 2009 at 19:11:45 UTC
    • Tuesday, July 07, 2009 at 02:11:45 PM at epicenter
  • Location: 75.325°N, 72.312°W
  • Depth: 10 km (6.2 miles) set by location program
  • Region: BAFFIN BAY
  • Distances:
    • 170 km (105 miles) SW of Qaanaaq (Thule), Greenland
    • 315 km (195 miles) ESE of Grise Fiord, Nunavut, Canada
    • 1455 km (910 miles) NNW of NUUK (GODTHAB), Greenland
    • 3330 km (2070 miles) N of Montreal, Quebec, Canada
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 3.8 km (2.4 miles); depth fixed by location program
  • Parameters:  NST=216, Nph=216, Dmin=>999 km, Rmss=0.98 sec, Gp= 58°, M-type=centroid moment magnitude (Mw), Version=T
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID us2009iubh

Earthquake Location:

us2009iubh
10-degree Map Centered at 75°N,80°W

Seismic Hazard Map

neic_iubh_w

Historic Seismicity

Historic Seismicity - neic_iubh_7

7_legend

Related Links:

Posted in arctic bottle, arctic circle quake, climate change hazards, human activity, volcanic genie | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Reduce Harmful Emissions by Wealthy Individuals

Posted by feww on July 7, 2009

Why Wealthy Individuals Allowed to Produce More Climate-Changing Emissions?

More than half the planet’s greenhouse gasses emissions come from less than a billion of the population

In Carbon Footprint of Your Dollar our colleagues at CASF and EDRO calculated how much carbon dioxide (CO2), the main greenhouse gas, your money made.

Our colleagues at MSRB and CASF showed the amount of CO2 made by the world richest individuals in The Billionaires’ contribution to CO2 pollution.

The Moderators emphasize that it’s the total wealth of the individual which is responsible for the amount of CO2e emissions, not necessarily the individual’s  lifestyle. For example, while Richard Branson’s personal lifestyle is responsible for up to a 1,000 times more harmful emissions than Bill Gate’s  and Warren Buffet’s put together, the total harmful emissions generated as a result of the combined assets of the world’s richest duo is about 40 times more than the airline owner’s.

In a new report submitted to Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, researchers wrote that it makes sense to track the these rich individuals when setting national targets to reduce CO2 emissions.

Here’s the Report’s Abstract:

Sharing global CO2 emission reductions among one billion high emitters

We present a framework for allocating a global carbon reduction target among nations, in which the concept of ‘‘common but differentiated responsibilities’’ refers to the emissions of individuals instead of nations.We use the income distribution of a country to estimate how its fossil fuel CO2 emissions are distributed among its citizens, from which we build up a global CO2 distribution. We then propose a simple rule to derive a universal cap on global individual emissions and find corresponding limits on national aggregate emissions from this cap. All of the world’s high CO2-emitting individuals are treated the same, regardless of where they live. Any future global emission goal (target and time frame) can be converted into national reduction targets, which are determined by ‘‘Business as Usual’’ projections of national carbon emissions and in-country income distributions. For example, reducing projected global emissions in 2030 by 13 GtCO2 would require the engagement of 1.13 billion high emitters, roughly equally distributed in 4 regions: the U.S., the OECD minus the U.S., China, and the non-OECD minus China. We also modify our methodology to place a floor on emissions of the world’s lowest CO2 emitters and demonstrate that climate mitigation and alleviation of extreme poverty are largely decoupled.

“You’re distributing the task of doing something about emissions reduction based on the proportion of the population in the country that’s actually doing the most damage,” said one of the study’s authors, Shoibal Chakravarty of the Princeton Environment Institute.

“As countries develop—India, China, Brazil and others—over time, they’ll have more and more of these individuals and they’ll have a higher share of carbon reductions to do in the future,” he said.

Related Links:

Posted in carbon dioxide, CO2e emissions, global ghg emissions, greenhouse gasses, world's wealthiest | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Kilauea crater summit collapses

Posted by feww on July 6, 2009

Kilauea volcano’s Halemaumau crater summit collapses

HVO Geologists last week reported  a collapse of the vent wall had  blocked the Halemaumau crater vent with a large amount of volcanic materials.

The first collapse produced a seismic event equal to a magnitude-2.4 earthquake, shaking the ground at Hawaii Volcanoes National Park’s Thomas A. Jaggar Museum overlook, adjacent to HVO. The collapse also produced what geologists described as “a loud booming sound heard across the (Kilauea) caldera area.” hawaiimagazine .

Later the same day, a segment of the Halemaumau crater floor collapsed, enlarging the vent rim and blocking the glow from the Halemaumau.

Kilauea has been ejecting often large plumes of ash, smoke, steam and other gasses from the vent since March 2008 .

kwooten_L
Halemaumau crater vent ash cloud immediately after  first collapse (Source: USGS)

Segment collapsed
A segment of Halemaumau crater floor collapses into vent just under an hour after initial collapse
(Source: USGS)

20090629_0038_bgaddis_L
Evening Glow from Halemaumau crater vent photographed just hours before the collapse (Source: USGS)

CollapseChanges_NErim_L
Free-hand drawing shows extent of crater floor collapse  (Source:  United States Geological Survey  USGS)

Related Links

Kilauea Volcano Continues to Discharge Lava

VolcanoWatch Weekly [2 July 2009]

Posted in hawaii volcanoes, volcanic activity, volcanism | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

New Zealand H1N1 Mutation Targets Maori

Posted by feww on July 6, 2009

The following information was submitted by Blogger TEAA

More than 50 percent of confirmed H1N1 infections in New Zealand, where ethnicity is known,  are Maori or Pacific Islanders, officials say

Of all confirmed H1N1 cases, 27.2 percent were Maori, 27.8 percent Pacific Islanders, 33.9 percent European, and 11 percent other ethnicities, Health Ministry says.

In 2006 census less than 14.9 percent of the population were Maori, and 7.2 percent Polynesian AND 76.8 “white.”

Related Links:


Posted in Biowarfare, flu vaccines, NZ virus, Swine Flu Mystery, Tamiflu | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Sarychev Peak Before and After Images

Posted by feww on July 5, 2009

Before and after images show impact of  the Sarychev Peak Volcano eruption on Matua Island.

Ostrov Matua, Kuril Islands

sarychev_ast_2009181
Image dated June 30, 2009

sarychev_ast_2007146
Image dated
May 26, 2007

Acquired by the Advanced Spaceborne Thermal Emission and Reflection Radiometer (ASTER) on NASA’s Terra satellite, these images of Ostrov Matua show the island shortly after the eruption on June 30, 2009 (top), and two years before on May 26, 2007 (bottom).

In these false-color images, vegetation appears red, water appears dark blue, and clouds, water vapor and ice all appear white. Volcanic rock, including old lava flows and debris from the recent eruption, ranges from gray to dark brown.

The most striking difference between these two images is the gray coating on the northwestern half of the island in June 2009. While vegetation on the rest of the island appears lush, volcanic debris—probably a mixture of pyroclastic flows and settled ash—covered virtually all the vegetation on the northwestern end. A close look at the top image also reveals that the recent volcanic activity appears to have expanded the island’s coastline on the northwestern end.

Another difference between the images relates to snow cover. In the image from May 2007, snow spreads over much of the island, although the snow alternates with snow-free ground. The vegetation is pinkish-gray, suggesting the spring thaw is still underway. The complete lack of snow in 2009 may result from a combination of a difference in season and volcanic activity having melted or covered any lingering snow.

NASA image created by Jesse Allen, using data provided courtesy of NASA/GSFC/METI/ERSDAC/JAROS, and U.S./Japan ASTER Science Team. Caption by Michon Scott.

Related Links:

Posted in active volcanoes, Earth’s Energy Budget, Sarychev Peak photos, volcanism, Volcano Watch | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Travel Health Alert: Measles Outbreak in NZ

Posted by feww on July 5, 2009

Measles Outbreak in Christchurch, NZ!

The following Travel Health Alert was relayed to FEWW by Blogger TEAA

New Zealand Travel Health Warning: Measles Outbreak in Christchurch!

Global Health Alert  Bulletin # 28  - Outbreak of potentially lethal measles infection in Christchurch!

Four Christchurch Boys’ High School students were found to have measles infection last week, with another case suspected.

Canterbury health officials have now identified an additional six likely cases of the measles in the region, said Medical Officer of Health Dr Cheryl Brunton.

No further information has been released.

See also:

More About Measles Infection:

The following information about Measles is from CDC website:

Measles Advisory- Measles is a highly infectious disease that can result in severe, sometimes permanent, complications. The disease is no longer common in the United States, but it remains widespread in most countries of the world. Recent outbreaks in the United States highlight the ongoing risk of measles importations from other countries by people who travel. These outbreaks also highlight the impact vaccination has in preventing measles. As the new school year begins, parents should consider the importance of vaccination in protecting their children, themselves, and others against this highly contagious disease. Further information regarding recent U.S. measles outbreaks is available in an April 2008 CDC Health Advisory and in an August 2008 Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, Update: Measles — United States, January–July 2008.

Measles Virus

This thin-section transmission electron micrograph (TEM) revealed the ultrastructural appearance of a single virus particle, or “virion”, of measles virus. The measles virus is a paramyxovirus, of the genus Morbillivirus. It is 100-200 nm in diameter, with a core of single-stranded RNA, and is closely related to the rinderpest and canine distemper viruses. Two membrane envelope proteins are important in pathogenesis. They are the F (fusion) protein, which is responsible for fusion of virus and host cell membranes, viral penetration, and hemolysis, and the H (hemagglutinin) protein, which is responsible for adsorption of virus to cells.

There is only one antigenic type of measles virus. Although studies have documented changes in the H glycoprotein, these changes do not appear to be epidemiologically important (i.e., no change in vaccine efficacy has been observed). See PHIL 8429 for a black and white version of this image.

Prior to 1963, almost everyone got measles; it was an expected life event. Each year in the U.S. there were approximately 3 to 4 million cases and an average of 450 deaths, with epidemic cycles every 2 to 3 years. More than half the population had measles by the time they were 6 years old, and 90 % had the disease by the time they were 15. This indicates that many more cases were occurring than were being reported. However, after the vaccine became available, the number of measles cases dropped by 98 % and the epidemic cycles drastically diminished. Measles virus is rapidly inactivated by heat, light, acidic pH, ether, and trypsin. It has a short survival time (<2 hours) in the air, or on objects and surfaces. Credit : CDC/ Courtesy of Cynthia S. Goldsmith; William Bellini, Ph.D.

What’s Measles?

A respiratory disease caused by a virus, which normally grows in the cells that line the back of the throat and in the cells that line the lungs.

Symptoms

Rash, high fever, cough, runny nose, and red, watery eyes (lasts about a week).

Complications

Diarrhea, ear infections, pneumonia, encephalitis, seizures, and death

Approximately 20% of reported measles cases experience one or more complications. These complications are more common among children under 5 years of age and adults over 20 years old.

Measles causes ear infections in nearly one out of every 10 children who get it. As many as one out of 20 children with measles gets pneumonia, and about one child in every 1,000 who get measles will develop encephalitis. (This is an inflammation of the brain that can lead to convulsions, and can leave your child deaf or mentally retarded.) For every 1,000 children who get measles, one or two will die from it. Measles can also make a pregnant woman have a miscarriage, give birth prematurely, or have a low-birth-weight baby.

In developing countries, where malnutrition and vitamin A deficiency are prevalent, measles has been known to kill as many as one out of four people. It is the leading cause of blindness among African children. Measles kills almost 1 million children in the world each year.

Transmission

Spread by contact with an infected person, through coughing and sneezing (highly contagious)

The disease is highly contagious, and can be transmitted from 4 days prior to the onset of the rash to 4 days after the onset. If one person has it, 90% of their susceptible close contacts will also become infected with the measles virus.

The virus resides in the mucus in the nose and throat of the infected person. When that person sneezes or coughs, droplets spray into the air. The infected mucus can land in other people’s noses or throats when they breathe or put their fingers in their mouth or nose after handling an infected surface. The virus remains active and contagious on infected surfaces for up to 2 hours. Measles spreads so easily that anyone who is not immunized will probably get it, eventually.

Vaccine

Measles vaccine (contained in MMR, MR and measles vaccines) can prevent this disease.

The MMR vaccine is a live, attenuated (weakened), combination vaccine that protects against the measles, mumps, and rubella viruses. It was first licensed in the combined form in 1971 and contains the safest and most effective forms of each vaccine.

It is made by taking the measles virus from the throat of an infected person and adapting it to grow in chick embryo cells in a laboratory. As the virus becomes better able to grow in the chick embryo cells, it becomes less able to grow in a child’s skin or lungs. When this vaccine virus is given to a child it replicates only a little before it is eliminated from the body. This replication causes the body to develop an immunity that, in 95% of children, lasts for a lifetime.

A second dose of the vaccine is recommended to protect those 5% who did not develop immunity in the first dose and to give “booster” effect to those who did develop an immune response.

Who Needs the Vaccine

Does my child need this vaccine?

The young boy pictured here, displayed the characteristic maculopapular rash indicative of rubella, otherwise known as German measles, or 3-day measles. Rubella is a respiratory viral infection characterized by mild respiratory symptoms and low-grade fever, followed by a maculopapular rash lasting about 3 days. In children there may be no significant respiratory prodrome and the illness may not be diagnosed since the rash may be mild and mimic other conditions. It is estimated that 20-50% of infections are subclinical. Complications occur more frequently in adult women, who may experience arthritis or arthralgia, often affecting the fingers, wrists and knees. These joint symptoms rarely last for more than a month after appearance of the rash.

The rubella vaccine is a live attenuated (weakened) virus. Although it is available as a single preparation, it is recommended that in most cases rubella vaccine be given as part of the MMR vaccine (protecting against measles, mumps, and rubella). MMR is recommended at 12-15 months (not earlier) and a second dose when the child is 4-6 years old (before kindergarten or 1st grade).

Rubella vaccination is particularly important for non-immune women who may become pregnant because of the risk for serious birth defects if they acquire the disease during pregnancy.

Birth defects if acquired by a pregnant woman: deafness, cataracts, heart defects, mental retardation, and liver and spleen damage (at least a 20% chance of damage to the fetus if a woman is infected early in pregnancy). Image and caption: CDC.

Children should get 2 doses of MMR vaccine:

  • The first dose at 12-15 months of age
  • The second dose at 4-6 years of age

These are the recommended ages. But children can get the second dose at any age, as long as it is at least 28 days after the first dose.

For additional details, consult the MMR Vaccine Information Statement {PDF}  and the Childhood Immunization Schedule.

As an adult, do I need this vaccine?

You do NOT need the measles, mumps, rubella vaccine (MMR) if:

  • You had blood tests that show you are immune to measles, mumps, and rubella.
  • You are a man born before 1957.
  • You are a woman born before 1957 who is sure she is not having more children, has already had rubella vaccine, or has had a positive rubella test.
  • You already had two doses of MMR or one dose of MMR plus a second dose of measles vaccine.
  • You already had one dose of MMR and are not at high risk of measles exposure.

You SHOULD get the measles vaccine if you are not among the categories listed above, and:

  • You are a college student, trade school student, or other student beyond high school.
  • You work in a hospital or other medical facility*.
  • You travel internationally, or are a passenger on a cruise ship.
  • You are a woman of childbearing age.

For additional details, consult the MMR Vaccine Information Statement and the Adult Immunization Schedule.

See also:  Healthcare Personnel Vaccination Recommendations

More on Vaccines Page

Posted in H protein, infectious diseases, measles virus, pregnant woman, Rubella | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Palin Told to Quit!

Posted by feww on July 4, 2009

Palin resigned as Alaska’s governor

Palin’s position became untenable when she failed to block beluga whale being listed as endangered species

See: Palin Fails to Block Beluga Whale Protection

palin - Robert DeBerry - AP
Sarah Palin announced her resignation as Alaska governor in Wasilla. Photo: Robert DeBerry/AP. Image may be subject to copyright.

Sarah Palin has resigned as Alaska’s governor.

“We know we can effect positive change outside government at this moment in time on another scale and actually make a difference for our priorities,” she said.

Palin will transfer authority to her deputy, lieutenant governor Sean Parnell by end of July 2009.

Palin was NOT expected to win the next gubernatorial election in Alaska due in 2010.

Related Links:

Posted in big oil, Endangered Species, moose, polar bear, Sean Parnell | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

VolcanoWatch Weekly [2 July 2009]

Posted by feww on July 3, 2009

VoW: Yellowstone Volcano

Location: 44.43°N 110.67°W
Summit Elevation:  2,805 m
Volcano Alert Level: NORMAL
Aviation Color Code: GREEN

Yellowstone
Remote sensor imagery of Yellowstone Caldera. Source: a frame-freeze picture from Yellowstone Volcano Due To Erupt


The rim of the Yellowstone Caldera.  Source ESA (mirrored from http://www.yellowstonegis.utah.edu/home/home.html)

What’s brewing under the old rocks?

  • Earthquake swarms are common at Yellowstone.
  • Increased seismic activity at Yellowstone Lake in Yellowstone National Park  in late December 2008 decreasing  since January 8, 2009.
  • Seismic activity  could continue.
  • The recent swarm is well above typical activity at Yellowstone, but  not unprecedented.
  • Earthquake swarms within the Yellowstone caldera typically occur with magnitudes of about 4.0.
  • A swarm with about 3,000 events occurred in 1985 on the northwest rim of the caldera, lasting for three months, with largest earthquakes up to M4.9  recorded. (Source: Volcanoes USGS )


Yellowstone Lake showing location and times of the recent earthquakes from Dec. 27, 2008 (blue) to Jan. 8, 2009 (red). The M 3.0 and greater earthquakes are shown as stars, the smaller earthquakes are shown as circles. During the swarm, the earthquake locations appear to have moved north. For more information on the depths of the earthquakes, see the cross section from X to X’ below.
(Source: Volcanoes USGS/ YVO )


The depth versus location of the Yellowstone Lake earthquake swarm from X to X’ on the Yellowstone Lake map. Earthquakes are shown from Dec. 27, 2008 (blue) to
Jan. 8, 2009 (red). The M 3.0 and greater earthquakes are shown as stars, the smaller earthquakes are shown as circles.  (Source: Volcanoes USGS
/ YVO )


Number of reviewed Yellowstone Lake earthquakes in six-hour and three-hour intervals from 12/27/08 to 01/06/09. The green line on the left figure gives the cumulative
number of earthquakes; the steep slopes correspond to increase in earthquake number. The red line in the figure on the right gives the cumulative moment, or energy; its sharp increase in the first few days is due to a greater number of large earthquakes with their greater energy release. The total cumulative moment is equivalent in energy to about one M 4.5 earthquake. Click on the image for a full-size version.
(Source: Volcanoes USGS/ YVO )

What causes earthquakes at Yellowstone?

USGS / YVO cite a combination of geological factors including:

  • Regional stress associated with normal faults such as the nearby Teton and Hebgen Lake faults
  • Magmatic movements at depth (>7 kms)
  • Hydrothermal fluid activity caused by boiling groundwater which is heated by magma.

However,  YVO has not reported any anomalous changes in hot springs discharges, gas emissions …

In 2004 the Yellowstone caldera underwent period of accelerated uplift, clocking 7 cm/yr, or three times  faster than  in the recorded history; however the movement has now slowed down to  a maximum rate of 4 cm/yr (or about 175 % of the pre-2004 records.)

The uplift is most noticeable at the White Lake GPS station, as has been discussed in our monthly YVO updates during the past year. As of late October 2007, the total uplift since 2004 at that location is about 17 cm. Chang and his colleagues credit the relatively rapid rise to recharge of magma into the giant magma chamber that underlies the Yellowstone Caldera. They also used numerical modeling to infer that the magma intruded about 10 km (6 miles) beneath the surface.


This interferogram provides a map view of ground movements at Yellowstone. Each color contour represents a line of equal uplift relative to the ENVISAT satellite between Sept. 2004 and Aug. 2006. The center of the uplift is an elliptical region stretching from the northeastern part of the Yellowstone Caldera (the dashed black line) to the southwest. This area of maximum uplift encompasses both Yellowstone’s resurgent domes, features long known for similar movements. During this time period, the north-rim uplift anomaly subsided (bullseye in the upper left part of the interferogram). The yellow lines are roads. The yellow triangles are locations of GPS stations with continuous data. The light blue lake within the caldera is Yellowstone Lake. Thin black lines are mapped faults. Figure courtesy of C. Wicks, USGS. Caption: USGS / YVO


Yellowstone caldera Map. USGS   Click Image to Enlarge.


Source: USGS


Source: Yellowstone National Park.

Conclusion:

USGS / YVO: “At this time, there is no reason to believe that magma has risen to a shallow level within the crust or that a volcanic eruption is likely. “

FEWW: Perhaps, a new mindset is needed to help understand the true nature, “utility function” and full range of  all possible scenarios that might occur at the super volcano site. Let’s start looking at Yellowstone in the Big Picture frame.  There may be a few sobering “surprises” in store!


Volcanic Activity Report: 24 June-30 June 2009

Source: Global Volcanism program (GVP) – SI/USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report

New activity/unrest:

NOTE: A small explosive eruption of Cleveland on 25 June prompted AVO to raise the Volcano Alert Level to Watch and the Aviation Color Code to Orange. An ash cloud that detached from the volcano was seen on satellite imagery moving S at an estimated altitude of 4.6 km (15,000 ft) a.s.l. No further activity was reported. On 27 June, AVO lowered the Volcano Alert Level to Advisory and the Aviation Color Code to Yellow. (Source: GVP)

Ongoing Activity:

Latest U.S. Volcano Alerts and Updates for July 03, 2009 0040 UTC

  • Redoubt Activity – Color Code YELLOW : Alert Level ADVISORY

  • Kilauea Activity  -  Color Code ORANGE : Alert Level WATCH

  • Cleveland Activity – Color Code – YELLOW : Alert Level – ADVISORY

  • Mauna Loa Activity – Color Code YELLOW : Alert Level ADVISORY

Redoubt Volcano Latest Observations: Local time: June 24, 2009 1705 AKDT (June 25, 2009 0105 UTC)
The eruption of Redoubt continues. Seismic activity remains low but above background levels.

Related Links:

Posted in Kīlauea, volcanism, Volcano Hazards, Volcano Status, volcanoes | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Magnitude 6.7 quake strikes south of Crete

Posted by feww on July 1, 2009

Strong 6.7 Mw quake strikes south of Crete, Greece

Magnitude 6.7 mainshock followed by at least one aftershock measuring 4.9 Mw struck south of the island of Crete, Greece.

10-degree Map Centered at 35°N,25°E

us2009ina8
Location Map. Note location of Santorini. Original Map: USGS

greece seis haz map
Major Tectonic Boundaries: Subduction Zones -purple (Source: USGS)

historic seismicity crete area

7_legend seismicity
Major Tectonic Boundaries: Subduction Zones -purple (Source: USGS)

Details of the Mainshock:

  • Magnitude: 6.7
  • Date-Time:
    • Wednesday, July 01, 2009 at 09:30:12 UTC
    • Wednesday, July 01, 2009 at 12:30:12 PM at epicenter
  • Location:  34.188°N, 25.426°E
  • Depth:  38 km (23.6 miles)
  • Region CRETE, GREECE
  • Distances
    • 130 km (80 miles) S of Iraklion, Crete, Greece
    • 195 km (120 miles) SE of Chania, Crete, Greece
    • 270 km (165 miles) NNE of Tubruq, Libya
    • 450 km (280 miles) SSE of ATHENS, Greece
  • Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 7.1 km (4.4 miles); depth +/- 12.8 km (8.0 miles)
  • Parameters:  NST= 51, Nph= 51, Dmin=131.6 km, Rmss=1.19 sec, Gp= 72°, M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=7
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID:  us2009ina1

What’s happening at Santorini?

For Background Information See: Volcanoes, Santorini Eruption and Crops Failure in China

Santorini

Country: Greece
Subregion Name: Greece
Volcano Type: Shield volcanoes
Volcano Status: Historical
Last Known Eruption: 1950
Summit Elevation: 367 m 1,204 feet
Latitude: 36.404°N 36°24’13″N
Longitude: 25.396°E 25°23’47″E
Source: GVP

Renowned Santorini (Thera), with its steep-walled caldera rim draped by whitewashed villages overlooking an active volcanic island in the center of a caldera bay, is one of the scenic highlights of the Aegean. The circular island group is composed of overlapping shield volcanoes cut by at least four partially overlapping calderas. The oldest southern caldera was formed about 180,000 years before present (BP), followed by the Skaros caldera about 70,000 years BP, and then the Cape Riva caldera about 21,000 years BP. The youngest caldera formed about 3600 years BP during the Late-Bronze-Age Minoan eruption that forced abandonment of the thriving Aegean Sea island. Post-Minoan eruptions beginning in 197 BC constructed a series of lava domes and flows that form two islands near the center of the caldera. A submarine eruption took place in 1650 AD outside the caldera NE of Thera. The latest eruption at Santorini produced a small lava dome and flow in 1950, accompanied by explosive activity. Photo by Lee Siebert, 1994 (Smithsonian Institution). Caption: Global Volcanism Program.

Geographic setting

Santorini is an active volcano in the South Aegean Sea about 120 km north of
Crete, its location being 36.4oN, 25.4oE, and belongs to the Cycladic islands.
Santorini is a group of 5 islands:
1. The main island Thira (75,8 km², ca. 7000 inhabitants)
2. Thirasia (9,3 km², ca. 250 inhabitants)
3. Aspronisi (0,1 km², uninhabited)
4. Palea Kameni (0,5 km², 1 inhabitant)
5. Nea Kameni (3,4 km², uninhabited  (http://www.geophysicsonline.gr)

On June 13, 2009 GR Reporter (www.GRREPORTER.INFO) wrote:

columbusComputer generated image of Columbus. Source: GR Reporter

The submarine volcano, Columbus, located about 6.5 km south-east of Santorini in the Aegean Sea, is now the focus of “great interest” for Greek and German geologists.
“They have registered constant earthquakes of 4 Richter, hot air eruptions and continuous changes in the sea floor around the crater. The volcano is 470 meters high and reaches down to 17 meters beneath the sea floor. Its crater’s width is out of proportion- 1.5 kilometers. Complex submarine equipment has shown that Columbus’s volcanic activity never stops. It is the reason for the frequent earthquakes and constant changes in the surface around the crater.”

“The distortion of the sea floor is minor but it can be seen on the walls of the crater and in the 10-15-kilometers perimeter around it,” says Martin Heds from the Geology and Seismology institute to the Hamburg University.

According to Heds, “this does not indicate an eruption in near future.” The last known eruption of Columbus occurred in 1650.

“‘Reservoirs’” filled with hot water, reaching 200 degrees centigrade, resembling under-water fire places and releasing different kinds of gases- mostly carbon dioxide and hydrogen sulphide,” were discovered in the vicinity of Columbus.

A 5-km wide magma chamber is believed to be situated under the volcano. Lava is constantly spewed out of the chamber, GR Reporter suggested.

Tectonic Setting

The volcanic complex of Santorini is the most active part of the South Aegean Volcanic Arc. This volcanic arc is about 500 km long and 20 to 40 km wide and extends from the mainland of Greece through the islands of Aegina, Methana, Poros, Milos, Santorini, Kos, Yali, Nisyros and the Bodrum peninsula in Turkey. It is characterized by earthquakes at depths of 150-170 km that mark the subduction of the African underneath the Eurasian plate, more precisely the Aegean subplate, at a rate of up to 5 cm per year in a northeasterly direction.  (http://www.geophysicsonline.gr)

Hellenic Arc
The South Aegean Volcanic Arc and the tectonic setting of Santorini. (http://www.geophysicsonline.gr) Click Image to Enlarge.

Geology of Santorini

Non-volcanic rocks are exposed on Santorini at the Profitis Ilias Mountain, Mesa Vouno, the Gavrillos ridge, Pirgos, Monolithos and the inner side of the caldera wall between Cape Plaka and Athinios.

They represent a former non-volcanic island of about 9×6 km extension similar to neighboring Cycladic islands like Anaphe, Ios or Amorgos. The rocks consist of metamorphosed limestone and schist from Triassic to Tertiary time folded during the Alpine folding. The observed metamorphose grade is a blue-schist faciesresulting from tectonic deformation by the plate collision in the Oligocene to Miocene. At Athinios a 9.5 million year old Miocene granite intrusion has been found; it is part of the Cycladic Granitic Province and is the source of ore minerals including talc, chalcopyrite, chrysocolla, magnetite and others.(http://www.geophysicsonline.gr).

Santorini Geological setting
Simplified geologic map of Santorini. (http://www.geophysicsonline.gr  Sourced  From  http://www.geo.aau.dk/palstrat/tom/santorini_homepage/santorini_geology.htm).
Click Image to Enlarge.

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Posted in Aegean subplate, African Plate, Columbus volcano, Hellenic arc, South Aegean Volcanic Arc | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

El Niño event almost certain: BOM

Posted by feww on July 1, 2009

El Niño event likely, says Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology

More evidence of a developing El Niño event has emerged during the past fortnight, and computer forecasts show there’s very little chance of the development stalling or reversing. —BOM

Equatorial sea-surface temperatures are currently more than 1°C above normal in the eastern Pacific, while the Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) remains below zero at around −2, says BOM.

A sustained negative SOI is often associated with El Nino conditions.

BOM hopes to provide a clear picture of the situation in the Pacific by next week when their final June data are analyzed.

El Niño events are usually (but not always) associated with below normal rainfall in the second half of the year across large parts of southern and inland eastern Australia.

Another adverse sign for southeastern Australian rainfall is the recent trend to positive values in the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), as measured by the Dipole Mode Index (DMI).

The next BOM update is available on July 8, 2009.

Last month FEWW reported US Climate Prediction Center as saying that conditions were favorable for a transition from ENSO-neutral to El Niño conditions during June – August 2009.

sst_wind_home_5day
Click image to update and enlarge.


Images from Tropical Atmospheric Ocean project: NOAA

Summary of BOM Weekly Update:

  • The Pacific Ocean sea surface is currently significantly warmer than the long-term average across most of the tropical Pacific, especially central to eastern areas.
  • A large amount of the sub-surface water of the tropical Pacific is also warmer than the long-term average, particularly in the east.
  • The latest 30-day SOI value is −2, while the monthly value for May was −5.
  • Trade winds remain weaker than normal across the central equatorial Pacific.
  • Cloudiness near the date-line is near-normal, and is yet to show a consistent trend towards El Niño conditions.
  • All international climate models predict the tropical Pacific to continue to warm and to be above El Niño thresholds throughout most of the second half of 2009.

“Australia is the world’s fourth-largest wheat exporter and its grain production is still recovering from the worst drought in more than 100 years that reduced the 2006/07 crop to just 10.6 million tonnes and the 2007/08 crop to 13.0 million tonnes.” Reuters reported.

FEWW Moderators estimate that a new episode of El Niño, which would have devastating impact globally, could cause up to $500 billion in damages.

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See also comments section for latest updates.


Posted in Australian drought, Australian rainfall, drought and deluge, Indian Ocean Dipole, Southern Oscillation Index | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Redoubt Volcano settling down?

Posted by feww on July 1, 2009

Is Redoubt going back to sleep?

After Redoubt’s last explosive eruption about three month ago, the researchers at the Alaska Volcano Observatory say the volcano may be settling down. The aviation alert level has been lowered to code yellow (advisory), however, constant monitoring continues.

Redoubt has been oozing magma and ejecting steam since the last eruption on April 4, 2009.

“The last couple of months at Redoubt, we have been building a mountain,” said one of the researchers, referring to the colossal lava dome.

As of June 9, the giant dome had grown to approximately 67.5 million m3 in volume. the dome is unstable and can collapse  at any time, causing  explosions, and flooding the Drift River valley.


Redoubt from the east. Picture Date: July 01, 2009.  Image Creator: Cyrus Read. Image courtesy of AVO/USGS.


Redoubt photo taken by DFR Webcam. AVO. Camera is co-located with seismic station DFR, approximately 12.2 km NE of Redoubt.

ALASKA VOLCANO OBSERVATORY INFORMATION STATEMENT
Tuesday, June 30, 2009 4:38 PM AKDT (Wednesday, July 1, 2009 0038 UTC)

Redoubt Volcano
60°29’7″ N 152°44’38″ W, Summit Elevation 10197 ft (3,108 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: ADVISORY
Current Aviation Color Code: YELLOW

Extended Information Statement

The 2009 eruption of Redoubt volcano began March 15th, 2009 with a steam explosion. Between March 22nd and April 4th, Redoubt produced multiple significant explosions that sent ash and gas clouds to as high as 65,000 feet (19.8 km) above sea level. After April 4th, the eruption continued with extrusion of a lava dome within the summit crater, eventually producing a blocky lava flow that currently extends ~0.6 miles (1 km) down the north flank of the volcano. Redoubt entered its 14th week of eruptive activity the week of June 22nd. More …

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Posted in Drift River, lava dome, magma, seismic activity | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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