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Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response to the assault could occur by early 2016

Archive for September 1st, 2009

Hurricane Jimena: No Prisoners

Posted by feww on September 1, 2009

Extremely Dangerous Hurricane Jimena Inches Toward The Baja Peninsula

Making landfall probably as a Category 4 to 5 Hurricane, Jemina could cause extensive  coastal flooding along the Baja California coastline.

Jimena rainbow enhancement -
Hurricane Jimena -Rainbow enhancement – Still Image. Click image to enlarge and update.

Summary of Hurricane Jimena Current Status

Time/Date:  5:00 AM PDT Tuesday, September 1, 2009 (12:00 UTC)

  • Location: 20.6°N 110.4°W [About 250 Km (155 miles) south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico and About 505 km (315 miles) SSE of Cabo San Lazaro Mexico.]
  • Max sustained: 250 km/h (155 mph)
  • Moving: NNW (330 degrees) at 19 km/h (12 mph)
  • Min pressure: 69.8 cmHg (931 mb)
  • Jimena is not very large in size. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 75 km (45 miles) from the center, and tropical storm force up to 220 km (140 miles).
  • At its current forward speed, Jimena should be approaching the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula by tonight local time (PDT).

NHC Warning:

  • Hurricane warning remains in effect for the southern portion of the Baja California and other areas [See latest NHC Advisory]
  • Conditions are expected to deteriorate over the southern portion of the warning area later today and preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
  • For storm information specific to your area, monitor your national meteorological service.

Related Links and additional images:

Hurricane Jimena UPDATES Are  Posted at:

Posted in ALTATA, Cabo San Lazaro, CABO SAN LUCAS, HUATABAMPITO, PUNTA EUGENIA | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Strong Quake Strikes Off Coast of NI, NZ

Posted by feww on September 1, 2009

Magnitude 6.0 [Richter Scale] Quake Strikes 60 km north of White Island, NZ

For FEWW NZ Earthquake Forecast See:

New Round of Geo-Assualt at Kermadec Trench

New Zealand Earthquake Report – Sep 1 2009 at 00:18 UTC

Details of This Earthquake [GNS Sighence]

Reference: 3147526/G
Date/Time: September 1 2009 at 0:18 UTC
Location: Latitude 37.01°S, Longitude 176.95°E
Depth: 250 km
Richter magnitude: 6.0
Region: Raukumara Plain
Distances:
+ 60 km north of White Island
+ 100 km east of Whangamata
+ 100 km north-east of Tauranga
+ 190 km east of Auckland

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, Kermadec trench, NZ quakes, Raukumara Plain, seismic activity forecast | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Hurricane JIMENA

Posted by feww on September 1, 2009

Dangerous Jimena Inches Northwestward

Summary of Hurricane Jimena Current Status

Time/date:  5:00 PM PDT Mon Aug 31 (00:00 UTC Tuesday Sept 1, 2009)
Location: 18.8°N 109.2°W
Max sustained: 250 km/h (155 mph)
Moving: NW (315 degrees) at 16 km/h (10 mph)
Min pressure: 69.8 cmHg (931 mb)

Fed by the warm coastal waters, Jimena may remain a major hurricane until landfall.

HNC Advises:

  • Hurricane warning remains in effect for the southern portion of the Baja California and other areas [See latest NHC Advisory]
  • Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion.
  • For storm information specific to your area, monitor your national meteorological service.

rgb-l - Jemina
Hurricane Jimena- Still Frame – see image for date. To enlarge and update, click on the image.

GOES composite
POES Composite – (Daily Sea Surface Temperatures) – Still Image. To enlarge and update, click on th eimage.

Hurricane Jemina H-Force Wind speed probabilities
Still Image. Click on the image to enlarge and update.

Hurricane Jemina T-S Wind speed probabilities
Still Image. Click on the image to enlarge and update.

Coastal Watches-Warnings and 5-Day Track Forecast Cone
Still Image. Click on the image to enlarge and update.

Hurricane Jimena UPDATES Are  Posted at:

Related Links:

Posted in CABO SAN LUCAS, hurricane force winds, Hurricane Jimena predicted path, JIMENA forecast path, JIMENA predicted path, MEXICAN COAST, MULEGE, NHC Advisory | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

El Niño Update [31 Aug 2009]

Posted by feww on September 1, 2009

Special Issue with the EN Doubters in Mind!

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

The following UPDATE is prepared by

Climate Prediction Center / NCEP – 31 August 2009

The latest weekly SST departures are:

  • Niño 4   ~ 0.9ºC
  • Niño 3.4  ~ 0.9ºC
  • Niño 3 ~ 1.0ºC
  • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.8ºC

El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

Niño Region SST Departures (ºC) –  Recent Evolution
aug 31 sst anom

Global SST Departures
During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere mid-to-high latitudes.

SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks:
During the last 4-weeks, equatorial SSTs were at least 0.5°C above-average across the Pacific Ocean and at least 1.0°C above average near the Date Line and in the eastern Pacific.

Weekly SST Departures for the Last Four Weeks

  • During the last four weeks, SST anomalies have increased in some areas of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  • During the last month, the change in equatorial SST anomalies was slightly positive.

Central & Eastern Pacific Upper-Ocean (0-300 m) Weekly Heat Content Anomalies
Since April 2009, the upper-ocean heat content has been above average across the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The heat content was previously below-averagefrom mid-August 2008 through March 2009, with a minimum reached in late December 2008.

Sub-Surface Temperature Departures in the Equatorial Pacific

  • During early July through late August 2009, positive sub-surface temperature anomalies weakened in the eastern half of the Pacific Ocean. Meanwhile, positive anomalies in the western Pacific have shifted eastward.
  • The most recent period (below) shows positive anomalies across the equatorial Pacific, with the largest anomalies near 125m depth in the central Pacific.

Weekly Heat Content Evolution in the Equatorial Pacific

  • During September 2008 –January 2009, negative heat content anomalies returned and then strengthened in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific as La Niña conditions redeveloped.
  • The negative anomalies weakened during January-March 2009, with anomalies becoming positive since late March.
  • In April 2009, the combined effects of an oceanic Kelvin wave and weaker easterly trade winds contributed to an increase in the upper-ocean heat content anomalies across the Pacific Ocean.
  • Since April 2009, heat content anomalies have remained above-average.
  • Recently, the downwelling phase of a Kelvin wave has shifted eastward.

Outgoing LongwaveRadiation (OLR) Anomalies
From February 2007-May 2009, convection has been suppressed across the central equatorial Pacific Ocean. Convection has occasionally been enhanced over the western equatorial Pacific and central Indian Ocean. Since mid-May 2009, convection has remained mostly suppressed over the eastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent. During July 2009, convection was enhanced near the Date Line and over the western Pacific.

Pacific Niño 3.4 SST Outlook

  • Most ENSO models indicate El Niño will continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.
  • The models disagree on the eventual strength of El Niño (SST anomalies ranging from +0.5°C to +2.0°C), but a majority of the models indicate at least a moderate strength El Niño (greater than +1.0°C) during November-December-January 2009-10.


Figure provided by the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society (updated 18 Aug 2009).

Summary

  • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  • Sea surface temperatures (SST) remain +0.5 to +1.5 above-average across much of the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

Typical US Temperature, Precipitation and Jet Stream Patterns during El Niño Winters
Typical Winter Pattern During El Nino
All images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/ NCEP/ NOAA.

See  El Niño Home Page for previous entries and related links.

Related Links:

El Niño Updates

Posted in El Niño weekly report, equatorial Pacific Ocean. ENSO, Global SST anomalies, Indian Monsoon, wind anomaly | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

SoCal Fires Rage On!

Posted by feww on September 1, 2009

500 km² consumed by out of control fire

The Fire in California Mainly…

  • The Station Fire has more than doubled in size to about 110,000 acres burning completely out of control for a sixth day.
  • Two fire crews were killed Sunday when they drove off the side of a road in the Mt. Gleason area, south of Acton.
  • About 2,600 personnel are currently tackling the  massive blaze.
  • Fire destroyed 18 homes Sunday and at least three structures early Monday, according to California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection.
  • Two school districts canceled the first day of classes due to heavy smoke, which made breathing difficult.

la times google map of fire
LA Times Google Map of the Station Fire. Image may be subject to copyright. The areas shaded in yellow are (L-R) Acton/Agua Dulce area (evacuated), Cheseboro Road south of Mt Emma Road (evacuated),  Juniper Hills neighborhood (under evacuation orders).


Towering Inferno.
A structure burns during the Station Fire in the Big Tujunga canyon area of Los Angeles, California August 29, 2009.  REUTERS/Gene Blevins. Image may be subject to copyright.


Smoke from the Station fire over the Angeles National Forest as seen from a hellicopter. (Mel Melcon/Los Angeles Times /August 31, 2009). Image may be subject to copyright.


South of Dixieline?
Flames burn near a cross during the Station Fire in the Big Tujunga area of Los Angeles, California August 29, 2009. REUTERS/Gene Blevins. Image may be subject to copyright.


What da  fiia ma  gonna do now? A deer walks through charred forest in the Angeles National Forest near Acton.(Justin Sullivan/Getty Images /August 31, 2009). Image may be subject to copyright.

More images at

Related Links and Previous Entries:

Posted in Big Tujunga Canyon, Foresta Community, Glendale, La Canada Flintridge, Mariposa County, Mount Wilson Communications Facilities, Station Fire, Yosemite National Park fire | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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