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Archive for March, 2011

FIRE-EARTH Forecasts: Japan Earthquakes

Posted by feww on March 13, 2011

Japan Earthquakes: A Summary of Forecasts by FIRE-EARTH Blog

A number of colleagues and some of our readers have asked for a summary of the earthquake forecasts for Japan that were made by this blog.

1. On May 18, 2009 FIRE-EARTH said:

Earthquake Forecast: Tokyo, Japan

A powerful earthquake could strike near south coast of Honshu in late June – September 2009

FEWW Forecast: A magnitude 7.8+ quake could strike the Tokyo Bay area in the next 30-90 days.

Details of Forecast

Magnitude: 7.8 or larger
Estimated Date:  June 14, 2009 [Uncertainty T+ 60 days]
Epicenter: 35.56°N,  139.98ºE
Location: Tokyo Bay, Tokyo, Japan
Depth: 8km [Uncertainty: +/- 2.4km]
Distances:

  • 8 km south of Tokyo Disneyland
  • 12 km SE of Imperial Palace
  • 14 km WSW of Chiba City
  • 19 km NE of Yokohama

Horizontal Uncertainty: +/- 3.8 km
Probability of Occurrence: 0.8

2. Between 9 – 12  August 2009, within the 60-day uncertainty time period stated in the forecast, 3 strong to powerful shocks struck Japan Region redistributing the earthquake stress energy and affecting the FIRE-EARTH Tokyo EQ Forecast:

3rd Powerful Quake in 3 Days Strikes Japan Region

1. A powerful earthquake measuring 7.1Mw struck about 165km W of Hachijo-jima, Izu Islands, Japan, at a depth of 303.1km at on August 9, 2009 at 10:55:56 UTC. [EQ No 1 on the location map below.]

2. A strong earthquake measuring 6.4 occurred about 30km SSW of Shizuoka, Japan, at a depth of 30km at 20:07:07 UTC on Monday, August 10, 2009. [No 2 on the location map below.]

3. A 3rd earthquake [this report] measuring 6.7 occurred about 60km ESE of Hachijo-jima, Izu Islands, Japan region at a depth of 51 km at 22:48:51 UTC on August 12, 2009. [No 3 on the location map below.]

Location map japan quakes
Location map of the three significant earthquakes that struck Japan between 9 and 12 August 2009. Original Map: USGS

3.  On August 17, 2009 after a 4th strong quake had struck Japan Region, having analyzed the new data, FIRE-EARTH forecast that as many as 10 additional magnitude 6+ quakes could yet strike the region [before a catastrophic event occurs.]

4th Powerful Quake Strikes Japan Region

Posted by feww on August 17, 2009

Magnitude 6.8 Quake Strikes Ryukyu Islands, Japan

FEWW Moderators had predicted more powerful earthquakes in the region last week, and now believe as many as 10 additional magnitude 6+ quakes could yet strike the region in coming weeks

Volcanic Activity Forecast

FEWW Moderators also believe there is a strong probability (0.8+) that the submarine Unnamed Volcano located East of Taiwan at 24.00N, 121.83E could erupt in 2009. [See previous comment.]

4. See  below for a list of the shocks forecasted.

5. List of the Latest Forecasts

JAPAN’s Sendai Quake Aftershocks

At least 25 aftershocks have been reported by Japan’s Meteorological Agency (JMA) since yesterday’s powerful 7.2Mw quake which struck off the coast of Miyagi Prefecture, about 168km east of the city of Sendai.

Two of the largest shocks measured M6.1 and 6.8, striking Sanriku Oki region at 03:45 JST [03:51 JST 10 Mar 2011] and 06:24 JST  [06:29 JST 10 Mar 2011] respectively.

FIRE-EARTH forecasts intense seismic activity in Japan Region during the 2011 – 2015 period.

Further deatails would be released on the need-to-know basis, partly to prevent Internet prophets from cashing in on FIRE-EARTH forecasts.

FEWW Forecast

More powerful earthquakes, some related to this event, could strike Japan Region, much closer to the coastal areas.

On June 13, 2010, FIRE-EARTH forecast

Fire Earth Model shows that Japan region could be struck by up to 4 additional strong to large earthquakes possibly this year/early next year, one of which could be a catastrophic event.

Fire-Earth Quake Forecast: Japan Earthquakes

Japan region could be struck by up to 3 additional strong to large earthquakes by end 2010/early 2011, one of which could be a catastrophic event.

Waves of Intense Seismic Activity Could Strike Eastern Honshu, Japan

The earthquakes could affect a wide region within 100 to 150 km radius of Tokyo Bay area.

FIRE-EARTH forecasts intense seismic activity in Japan Region during the 2011 – 2015 period.

Further deatails would be released on the need-to-know basis, partly to prevent Internet prophets from cashing in on FIRE-EARTH forecasts.

6. NEW FORECAST: As Many as 4 Large Earthquakes Could  Strike Japan Region by 2015

This quake may be a foreshock, with a larger event yet to follow: FIRE-EARTH

7. In 2011 Much More Disastrous

Posted by feww on September 13, 2010, FEWW warned:

2011 SIX TIMES MORE DISASTROUS THAN 2010

Global Disasters in 2011 Could Impact 1/3 to 1/2 of the Human Population

The impact of anthropogenic and human-enhanced natural disasters on the population will be 600 percent more severe in 2011 compared with 2010: Fire-Earth Forecast

Earth is critically wounded and diseased as a result of human assault and battery.

Humans’ first wave of serious [near-fatal] assault on the planet began in the early 1980s and has since heightened in severity.

Our feverish planet‘s fight against the pathogens is entering a critical phase. The earth’s defense mechanism is employing geophysical  phenomenon, as a result of which the impact of natural disasters on human population is intensifying.

In 2007 EDRO models showed that the intensity of disasters caused as a result of the planet’s self-healing process would lead to the first wave of collapse of the population centers, globally by about 2012.

It has!

The collapse has already started and would ultimately lead to the extinction [possibly the near-extinction] of human race.

For the EDRO forecast to be true, the final years leading to the start of collapse, namely 2010, 2011 and 2012, must necessarily be progressively more disastrous.

Based on its models, Fire-Earth Moderators forecast in late December 2009 that 2010 would prove to be the most disastrous year on record. And with more than 100 days left to the end of this year, the forecast has already proven to be true and accurate.

What about 2011?

Fire-Earth models show that the impact of anthropogenic and human-enhanced natural disasters would be about 600 percent more severe in 2011 compared with this year.

Based on our findings, we estimate that between one-third and one-half of the world population could be affected in some way by various disasters that are forecast to occur in 2011.

Related Links

Posted in japan earthquake, Japan earthquake forecast, japan earthquake map, Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan Quake Forecast, Japan quakes 2009, Japan quakes 2010 | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Energy Released by Japan Mega Quake

Posted by feww on March 13, 2011

BREAKING NEWS

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has just upgraded the Sendai Megaquake from a Magnitude 8.8 to a 9.0Mw.

Energy released by Japan’s M8.9 M9.0 Mega Quake and its ongoing aftershocks could reach 1.45 a total of 2.02 exajoules (EJ)

The Sendai Megaquake released about 1.41 2.0 EJ of energy (the equivalent of about 340 480 megatons, or 24,000 34,000 Hiroshima bombs).

[NOTE: TNT equivalent is a method of quantifying the energy released in explosions. The megaton is a unit of energy equal to 4.184 petajoules.]

The Aftershocks

As of posting, some 175 significant aftershocks (≥5.0Mw) have been reported since the Megaquake struck.

Moving Honshu to the East

The Megauake moved  Japan’s main island of  Honshu 2.4 m (8 feet) to the east, said a USGS geophysicist.

Geologists at the University of Tokyo say the earthquake shifted the Earth’s axis by about 10cm.

The movement also sped up the Earth’s rotation by about 1.6 microseconds, NASA said.  [Don't forget to adjust your clocks!!]

The Sinking Land

Some of the stress energy destroyed structures along the eastern coast of Honshu, and split the ground. As a result the land surface in many areas of Miyagi prefecture has sunk by about 70cm (2.2 ft), trapping water brought in buy the deadly tsunami waves.

[A colleague informs us that according to Japan's Civil Defense manuals people should climb to the third floor of buildings in case of a tsunami. The deadly Sendai Tsunami had reached the fifth floor—about 15 meters high—in many areas!]

The Giant Tsunami

Rest of the energy was used to trigger a giant tsunami. The following image shows the energy map of the Tsunami spawned by the Sendai Megaquake.

Energy Map of Japan’s Tsunami Spawned by the 9.0Mw Megaquake

Source: NOAA. Click image to enlarge.

Posted in Energy Map of Japan Tsunami, Energy released by Japan quake | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Japan’s Tsunami Floods – Satellite Images

Posted by feww on March 13, 2011

The images don’t show much, but that’s all NASA-EO has released so far!

Earthquake and Tsunami near Sendai, Japan


True-color image acquired by MODIS on NASA’s Aqua satellite at 12:10 pm local time on March 12, 2011. Download larger image (11 MB, JPEG). Click image to enlarge.

Flooding from Tsunami near Sendai, Japan


Download larger image
(9 MB, JPEG) - acquired March 12, 2011


Download larger  image (15 MB, JPEG) - acquired February 26, 2011.  Click images to enlarge.

The two images of ‘Flooding from Tsunami’ were made with a combination of infrared and visible light to enhance the contrast between land and water. “NASA’s Terra satellite’s first view of northeastern Japan in the wake of a devastating earthquake and tsunami reveal extensive flooding along the coast. The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) acquired the top image of the Sendai region on March 12, 2011, at 10:30 a.m.” The lower image dated February 26, 2011, is provided as reference.  Water is black or dark blue; plant-covered land is green;  snow-covered areas are pale blue; clouds are white and pale blue; paved areas in the city of Sendai is shown in brown. Source: NASA-EO.

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Meltdown Threat at a Sixth Fukushima Reactor

Posted by feww on March 13, 2011

A 6th Reactor at Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant Faces Core Meltdown

Pressure buildup has reached a critical level in a sixth reactor at Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant, Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency has said in a statement.

Authorities are pumping in massive amounts of seawater to cool down all the reactors at the two Fukushima plants.

Radiation has reportedly been detected outside more than one reactor unit as a total of 6 reactors are either undergoing at least partial meltdown, or face the eminent threat of  explosion or meltdown

Meanwhile, Japan govt has mobilized a rescue team consisting of more than 100,000 personnel to assist victims of the deadly earthquake and tsunami.

According to the latest NHK news bulletin, the rescue and recovery teams in Miyagi prefecture have recovered  another 200 bodies. The official death toll currently stands at more than 1,000, with another 1,000 reported as missing,  but the total could reach into many thousands, possibly tens of thousands.

A video of the first explosion at Fukushima Plant No. 1

Comment by an Expert

“An early tipoff that Japanese authorities felt that events at Fukushima were very serious was the ordering of an evacuation within a couple of hours of the earthquake.  Though the area was small and the evacuation was called ‘precautionary,’ the fact is that ordering several thousand more people into motion during the immediate aftermath of a major earthquake and tsunami is something that no government would do if it could possibly help it.” Said a former member of the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission Peter Bradford.

Trying to avert multiple core meltdown

Tokyo Electric Power Co is planning to vent more steam from the core containment units to reduce the danger of explosion and core meltdown, but that entails releasing even more radiation into the environment.

Power Shortages

Several areas near the quake area have been without electricity [as well as water, gas and phone services] since the megaquake struck two days ago.

Tokyo electricity is currently buying power from western Japan districts, and people have been asked to conserve electricity.

Mounting Aftershocks

A total of 170 significant aftershocks (≥5.0) have now struck near the east coat of Honshu, mostly close to the Mega Quake’s epicenter.

The Sinking Land

The land in many areas of Miyagi prefecture has sunk by about 70cm, trapping water brought in buy the deadly tsunami waves.

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Ghost Towns Left Behind by Japan’s Deadly Tsunami

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

A Dozen Towns Have Been Obliterated by Japan’s Megaquake-Spawned Tsunami

Japanese authorities say they have been unable so far to establish contact with local officials in about a dozen towns spanning the NE Honshu area. Some of the towns are believed to have been completely destroyed by the deadly tsunami.

In the small seaside town of Minami Sanriku (Population17,800), located in Miyagi prefecture and now almost completely wiped off the map, the authorities have established the whereabouts of of 7,500 residents who were evacuated; however, the fate of the remaining 10,300 people is unknown.

Related Links:

Posted in environment, japan earthquake, Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan tsunami, Japan Tsunami Information | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Meltdown Confirmed at Fukushima Nuke Power Reactors

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

NUKE PLANTS IN QUAKE ZONES: EXPLOSIVE MIX!

BREAKING NEWS

Massive Explosion at Fukushima Dai-ichi Nuclear Power Plant, Core Meltdown Occurring: Scientists

The explosion tore down the walls of a unit within the Fukushima power plant Saturday as a large plume of smoke poured out.  Several workers were reported injured, and Japanese officials said a reactor core meltdown was likely to occur.

Independent scientists have since confirmed that, based on the available evidence, reactor core meltdown must be occurring.

The pressure in the reactor had built up to more than twice the normal level, after the shutdown of cooling systems caused by the Sendai Mega Quake and its ensuing Tsunami. The Plant is now venting “radioactive vapors,”  Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency said in a statement. Radioactive iodine and caesium has been detected outside the No. 1 one reactor of the Fukushima Dai-Ichi No. 1 plant, the agency said, adding that the uranium fuel rods inside the reactor may have begun melting.

Radioactive steam has been allowed to escape from a number of the reactors at the two Fukushima plants  in order to relieve the huge pressure that has built up inside the cores.

Tens of thousands of people living within the 20-km radius of the No. 1 plant and 10-km radius of No.2 plant  have now been evacuated.

Meanwhile, Japan’s Prime Minister has declared a state of emergency at the two Fukushima nuclear power plants.

As many as 300 people have received varying degrees of radiation, including 60 students at high school in Fukushima located about 3.5km from Plant No. 1, who were waiting to be evacuated.

The reactor core meltdown is feared to be “much worse” than the Three-Mile Island incident.

Background

Related Links

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Global Tectonics Warning – March 12

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST:

NEXT MAJOR TECTONICS EVENT COULD OCCUR IN THE U.S.

Based on their Earth Model, FEWW Moderators believe the world’s next catastrophic tectonics event could occur in western United States with a probability of 0.74.

Notes:

1. The definition for western United States includes offshore west cost of the country.

2. ‘Tectonics event’ includes earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and other geological events.

3. ‘Internet Prophets’ may not reprint forecasts made by FIRE-EARTH without quoting the source.

Related Links:

Posted in US Volcanoes | Tagged: , , , , , | 3 Comments »

JAPAN MEGA QUAKE UPDATE 3 – March 12

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

First Wave of Collapsing Cities Intensifying

New Earthquake West of Honshu Unleashes Avalanches, Destroys Large Sections of Nagano Railway

The quake measuring up to 6.6Mw struck about 45km NNE of Nagano, the capital city of Nagano Prefecture, west coast of Honshu.

The quake struck at a depth of about 10km Friday, March 11, 2011 at 18:59 UTC (3:59am local time), triggering large landslides and avalanches in the snow-topped mountainous area, and destroying roads and railway sections.


EQ Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

Sendai Mega Quake – Update March 12

NEW Major Tsunamis Warnings

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) has issued a new round of Tsunami Warnings for Japan Region, including Major Tsunamis Warnings for at least 18 prefectures (states) on the eastern coast of Hokkaido island, NE, E and southeastern coast of Honshu island.

Meanwhile, as the extent of damage becomes clear, witnesses speak of “colossal damage” from the Mega Quake and its associated Tsunami, with entire towns “washed away” along the eastern coast of Honshu.

FIRE-EARTH has estimated that the cost of damage could reach a trillion dollars.

Radiation Leak at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

Radiation Leak Confirmed at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Reactor No. 1, Following Sendai Mega Quake

Nuclear reactor No. 1

Japanese authorities have confirmed radiation leak at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Reactor No. 1, and have evacuated people living with a 10-km radius of the reactor.

Nuclear reactor No. 2

They now fear radiation leak at the Plant’s Reactor No. 2, and have evacuated people living within a 3-km radius  of that reactor. They have also put on evacuation notice everyone living within a 10-km radius of the reactor

Death Toll from Sendai Mega Quake and the Tsunami

Confirmed death toll stands at 242 victims, with more than a 1,000 people reported as missing, as of 02:00UTC Saturday, March 12, 2011.

Earthquake FIRES

  • There are at least 50 large to major fires still burning, as of posting.
  • The 3 fires at Cosmo Oil Refinery in Ichihara City, Chiba prefecture (near Tokyo) were burning out of control, as of latest reports.
  • The Kawasaki Steel Plant in Soga city (also in Chiba Pref) has reportedly “exploded.”

Aftershocks

At least 130 significant aftershocks (≥5.0Mw) have struck near March 11 Sendai Mega Quake, with the   latest measuring 6.8Mw timed at 01:47:16 UTC Saturday, March 12, 2011.


EQ Location Map of the latest significant aftershock measuring 6.8Mw. Source: USGS

Largest 5 Earthquakes Since 1900

The Sendai Mega Quake was the 5th largest earthquake to occur globally since 1900. The following image and list show the location, magnitude and other details of the shocks.


Click image to enlarge. Source: USGS/EHP

Location Date UTC Magnitude Lat. Long. Reference
1. Chile 1960 05 22 9.5 -38.29 -73.05 Kanamori, 1977
2. Prince William Sound, Alaska 1964 03 28 9.2 61.02 -147.65 Kanamori, 1977
3. Off the West Coast of Northern Sumatra 2004 12 26 9.1 3.30 95.78 Park et al., 2005
4. Kamchatka 1952 11 04 9.0 52.76 160.06 Kanamori, 1977
5. Offshore East Coast of Honshu, Japan 2011 03 11 8.9 38.32°N -142.37°E FIRE-EARTH

A list of the 15 largest earthquakes since 1900 is available at USGS site.

Map of Sendai Mega Quake

A map of the location of the Sendai March 11 Mega Quake, including foreshocks (dotted lines) and aftershocks (solid lines) incorporating elevation data from NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission and ocean bathymetry data from the BODC. Source NASA-EO. Click image to enlarge. Download larger image (398 KB, JPEG).  Acquired March 11, 2011.

Related Links:

Posted in japan earthquake, Japan earthquake forecast, japan earthquake map, Japan earthquake Shuttle Radar Topography map | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

NEW TSUNAMI WARNINGS FOR JAPAN – March 12

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

Second Round of Tsunami Warnings Issued by Japan Meteorological Agency

Japan Meteorological Agency has issued a new round of Tsunami Warnings for Japan Region at 03:20 JST, Saturday March 12, 2011. A Major Tsunami Warning covers the entire eastern seaboards of Honshu and Hokkaido islands.

See below for tsunami map and list of the prefectures under TSUNAMI WARNING.


Source: JMA

Tsunami Warning/AdvisoryIssued at 03:20 JST 12 Mar 2011

Tsunami Attention has been issued for:

  • KAGA AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
  • FUKUI PREF.
  • JAPAN SEA COAST OF KINKI/SHIKOKU


Tsunami Advisory

*KAGA AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
*FUKUI PREF.
*KYOTO PREF.
*NORTHERN PART OF HYOGO PREF.
*TOTTORI PREF.
*SHIMANE PREF.,EXCEPT OKI ISLANDS
*OKI ISLANDS
*JAPAN SEA COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.

At the following coasts (* marks) tsunamis are expected to arrive right away.
KAGA AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
FUKUI PREF.
KYOTO PREF.
NORTHERN PART OF HYOGO PREF.
TOTTORI PREF.
SHIMANE PREF.,EXCEPT OKI ISLANDS
OKI ISLANDS
JAPAN SEA COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.

—Tsunami forecast now in effect—

Major Tsunami

  • IWATE PREF.
  • MIYAGI PREF.
  • FUKUSHIMA PREF.
  • CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
  • IBARAKI PREF.
  • KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
  • IZU ISLANDS
  • EASTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • WESTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
  • UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
  • OGASAWARA ISLANDS
  • SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
  • SHIZUOKA PREF.
  • WAKAYAMA PREF.
  • TOKUSHIMA PREF.
  • KOCHI PREF.

Tsunami

  • PACIFIC COAST OF AICHI PREF.
  • SOUTHERN PART OF MIE PREF.
  • MIYAZAKI PREF.
  • TANEGASHIMA AND YAKUSHIMA AREA
  • AMAMI ISLANDS AND TOKARA ISLANDS
  • SOUTHERN PART OF JAPAN SEA COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • MUTSU BAY
  • TOKYO BAY
  • ISE BAY AND MIKAWA BAY
  • SOUTHERN PART OF AWAJI ISLAND
  • BUNGO STRAIT COAST OF EHIME PREF.
  • SETONAIKAI COAST OF OITA PREF.
  • BUNGO STRAIT COAST OF OITA PREF.
  • EASTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
  • WESTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
  • OKINAWA ISLANDS
  • DAITOJIMA AREA
  • MIYAKOJIMA AND YAEYAMA AREA
  • ARIAKE SEA AND YATSUSHIRO SEA
  • WESTERN PART OF NAGASAKI PREF.
  • AMAKUSA NADA COAST OF KUMAMOTO PREF.

Tsunami Advisory

  • OKHOTSK SEA COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • OSAKA PREF.
  • SETONAIKAI COAST OF HYOGO PREF.
  • OKAYAMA PREF.
  • KAGAWA PREF.
  • SETONAIKAI COAST OF EHIME PREF.
  • AKITA PREF.
  • YAMAGATA PREF.
  • NIIGATA PREF.,EXCEPT SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
  • SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
  • TOYAMA PREF.
  • NOTO AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
  • HIROSHIMA PREF.
  • SETONAIKAI COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.
  • SETONAIKAI COAST OF FUKUOKA PREF.
  • NORTHERN PART OF JAPAN SEA COAST OF HOKKAIDO
  • JAPAN SEA COAST OF FUKUOKA PREF.
  • NORTHERN PART OF SAGA PREF.
  • IKI ISLAND AND TSUSHIMA ISLANDS
  • KAGA AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
  • FUKUI PREF.
  • KYOTO PREF.
  • NORTHERN PART OF HYOGO PREF.
  • TOTTORI PREF.
  • SHIMANE PREF.,EXCEPT OKI ISLANDS
  • OKI ISLANDS
  • JAPAN SEA COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.

Maximum Tsunami Observation Map, March 11


Source: JMA

Related Links:


Posted in japan earthquake, Japan earthquake forecast, japan earthquake map, Japan Earthquakes 2011, japan tsunami forecast | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

Radiation Leak at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

Posted by feww on March 12, 2011

BREAKING NEWS

Radiation Leak Confirmed at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Reactor No. 1 Following Sendai Mega Quake

Fukushima Reactor No. 2 Threatens to Leak

Nuclear reactor No. 1

Japanese authorities have confirmed radiation leak at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant Reactor No. 1, and have evacuated people living with a 10-km radius of the reactor.

Nuclear reactor No. 2

They now fear radiation leak at the Plant’s Reactor No. 2, and have evacuated people living within a 3-km radius  of that reactor. They have also put on evacuation notice everyone living within a 10-km radius of the reactor

Background

Related Links

Posted in core meltdown, Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant, Fukushima Nuclear reactor, radiation leak | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Threat of Nuclear Leak at Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

Posted by feww on March 11, 2011

BREAKING NEWS:

Radioactive Leak Threatens Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

The authorities have evacuated everyone living within a 3-km radius of the Fukushima Nuclear power plant because the battery used for one of the reactor’s emergency cooling system is running out, NHK has said.

Other residents living within the 3 to 10 km radius of the plant have been advised to stay indoors  and remain calm, while they await further instruction.

A nuclear leak is likely to occur, if the main cooling system fails to restart before the battery runs out.

Th e reactor was shut down after the magnitude 8.9 Mega Quake struck offshore east of the city Sendai, Japan earlier today.

Fukushima nuclear power plant, located in the town of Okuma in the Futaba District of Fukushima Prefecture, is one of the largest nuclear plants in the world, with 8 separate reactor units.


Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant. Creative Commons. Image by KEI.

Sendai Mega Quake Update:

The estimated death toll in Japan’s Miyagi prefecture (state) from the mega quake and tsunami has reached at least 300. Authorities say about 300 people have drowned, NHK reported.

Related Links

Posted in core meltdown, radioactive leak | Tagged: , , | 5 Comments »

JAPAN MEGA QUAKE UPDATE #2

Posted by feww on March 11, 2011

M8.9 Mega Quake Strikes Offshore 130km East of Sendai City, Japan

The Sendai Megaquake with 1.41 exajoule of energy (about 340 megaton, or 24,000 times the size of Hiroshima A-bomb) has caused much destruction in Japan

[NOTE: Humans are currently consuming the equivalent of energy released by Sendai Mega Quake each day. ]

Summary of Events:

  • Large earthquake measuring 8.9Mw struck near the east coast of HONSHU, JAPAN on Friday, March 11, 2011 at 05:46:23 UTC
  • The epicenter was located at 38.322°N, 142.369°E, about 130 km (80 miles) E of Sendai, Honshu, Japan.
  • At least 37 significant aftershocks have struck the area, including 2 measuring 7.1 and 6.8 respectively, as of 11:16UTC on Friday March 11, 2011.
  • Another 12 aftershocks measure ≥6.0.
  • The aftershocks will continue to strike the area for many weeks, possibly months, to come.
  • The quake was the largest ever to hit Japan region.
  • The Mega quake will prove to be an “earth-shattering” event.
  • FIRE-EARTH believes at least one more shock, probably larger than this event, could strike Japan Region. [See also earlier earthquake forecasts for Japan Region in the blog.]
  • A previous FIRE-EARTH forecast for earthquakes in Japan region is posted at Tectonics Update – March 10.


EQ Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

THE SENDAI TSUNAMI

  • The Mega Quake generated a massive tsunami which struck the coastal areas of Japan and is now traveling throughout the Pacific Ocean.

As of posting:

  • A tsunami warning has been issued for the entire Pacific basin (mainland United States and Canada not included),  the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center said.
  • “The Tsunami Warning continues in effect for the coastal areas of California and Oregon from Point Concepcion, California to the Oregon-Washington border.” WCA Tsunami Warning Center said.
  • “The Tsunami Warning continues in effect for the coastal areas of Alaska from Amchitka Pass, Alaska (125 miles W of Adak) to Attu, Alaska.” WCA Tsunami Warning Center said.
  • The list of countries include: Taiwan, Russia, the Philippines,  Papua New Guinea, Indonesia, Fiji, Mexico, Guatemala, El Salvador, Nicaragua, Honduras, Costa Rica,  Panama, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador and Peru.
  • The tsunami could destroy entire low-lying islands in the Pacific region.
  • The Russian authorities have evacuated 11,000 people from coastal areas of Russia’s Kuril Islands, a report said.
  • “Waves up to three meters high triggered by the earthquake hit Shikotan, one of the Kuril Islands, following the quake. Other islands in the Kuril chain have also been hit by smaller waves of up to two meters.”


Click image to enlarge. Source: PTWC

  • At least 20 countries are under tsunami warning.
  • A 10-m wall of water struck the east coast of Honshu and traveled across the land, destroying everything in its path.
  • The quake and thee tsunami have claimed an unknown number of lives in Japan, possibly very many. Many others have been injured. [Early reports put the number of dead at 69 and the injured at several hundred, but the toll should be expected to rise. Many are reported as missing.]
  • The cost of damage from the quakes and tsunami could conceivably reach a trillion dollars.
  • An oil refinery in Shiogama city, Fukushima prefecture exploded.
  • Large fires were reported at a major refinery in Japan’s Chiba prefecture.


An oil refinery caught fire in Ichihara city, Chiba pref. Three major explosions occurred after a pipeline was ruptured by moving debris brought in by the tsunami. Photo: NHK. Image may be subject to copyright.

Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

  • The authorities have declared emergencies at two of Japan’s nuclear power plants over cooling-system fears.
  • The nuclear power plant in Fukushima developed a mechanical failure in its emergency cooling system after the reactor was shut down following the earthquake, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano was reported as saying.
  • At the Tohoku Electric Power Co’s Onagawa facility the cooling mechanism for the reactor is “not going as planned,” causing a “nuclear emergency situation” to be declared, the Administrator said. The company has asked people living nearby to stay indoors and remain calm, local TV station was reported as saying.


Initial Tsunami Observation.
Source: JMA


Maximum Tsunami Observation. Source: JMA

Related NEWS LINKS:

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Posted in Hiroshima bomb energy, japan earthquake, japan earthquake map, Japan Earthquakes 2011 | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

JAPAN M8.9 MEGA QUAKE UPDATE

Posted by feww on March 11, 2011

A 10-m wall of tsunami traveling across Japan is sweeping everything in its path

MEGA QUAKE 8.9Mw STRIKES OFF NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN

MEGA QUAKE and TSUNAMI HAVE CAUSED TREMENDOUS DAMAGE in JAPAN’S COASTAL AREAS

  • Large number of people in Myiagi prefecture are reported as missing.

6 MAJOR AFTERSHOCKS REPORTED BY USGS/EHP


TSUNAMI UPDATE

The Pacific Tsunami Center Warning Center has extended the tsunami warning to the Philippines, Indonesia, Taiwan, the Pacific coast of Russia and Hawaii,  Australia, New Zealand, and the entire coast of Central and South America.

Tsunami Warning/Advisory for Japan Region

Issued at 16:08 JST 11 Mar 2011

******************Headline******************
Major Tsunami and Tsunami have been issued.
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.
SETONAIKAI COAST OF OITA PREF.
WESTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
Tsunami attentions are in effect at some of the other coasts now.


Tsunami Advisory
<Tsunami Advisory>
AKITA PREF.
*YAMAGATA PREF.
NIIGATA PREF.,EXCEPT SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
SADOGASHIMA ISLAND
TOYAMA PREF.
NOTO AREA, ISHIKAWA PREF.
HIROSHIMA PREF.
SETONAIKAI COAST OF YAMAGUCHI PREF.

Changed;
Tsunami Advisory –> Tsunami Warning

SETONAIKAI COAST OF OITA PREF.
WESTERN PART OF KAGOSHIMA PREF.
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.

Tsunami Warning –> Tsunami Warning

JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.

At the following coasts (* marks) tsunamis are
expected to arrive right away.
YAMAGATA PREF.

*******Tsunami forecast now in effect********
<Major Tsunami>
IWATE PREF.
MIYAGI PREF.
FUKUSHIMA PREF.
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
EASTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
WESTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS

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MEGA QUAKE STRIKES NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU

Posted by feww on March 11, 2011

M8.9 QUAKE STRIKES OFFSHORE JAPAN

BASED ON THE EARTHQUAKE REPORTS, A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI SHOULD BE EXPECTED

This quake may be a foreshock, with a larger event yet to follow: FIRE-EARTH

LATEST REPORT FROM EMSC

Click image to enlarge.

GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
Region: Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan
Time: 2011-03-11 05:46:22.5 UTC
Magnitude: 8.5
Epicenter: 142.49°E 38.32°N
Depth: 5 km
Status: C – confirmed

The Japan Meteorological Agency’s website is currently down and the blog was unable to get a confirmation.

USGS has apparently recorded the event as a magnitude 8.8Mw with a 7.9Mw aftershock.

JMA has just issued the following report:

Earthquake Information (Information about Seismic Intensity at each site)

Issued at 14:53 JST 11 Mar 2011

Occurred at (JST) Latitude
(degree)
Longitude
(degree)
Depth Magnitude Region Name
14:46 JST 11 Mar 2011 38.0N 142.9E 10km 7.9 Sanriku Oki


Earthquake location map. Epicenter is marked by a red cross. Bubbles indicate severity of the tremor as felt by local monitoring stations throughout Japan. Source: JMA.

TSUNAMI WARNINGS

EIGHT of Japan’s Prefectures are currently under a MAJOR Tsunami/Tsunami warning:

JMA has issued the following:

Tsunami Warning/Advisory

Issued at 14:49 JST 11 Mar 2011

Major Tsunami and Tsunami have been issued.
PACIFIC COAST OF TOHOKU
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.
Tsunami attentions are in effect at some of the other coasts now.

Tsunami Warning
<Major Tsunami>
*IWATE PREF.
MIYAGI PREF.
FUKUSHIMA PREF.
<Tsunami>
CENTRAL PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
IBARAKI PREF.
KUJUKURI AND SOTOBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
IZU ISLANDS
Evacuate from the seashore immediately to the safe places near the above coasts.

Tsunami Advisory

EASTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
WESTERN PART OF PACIFIC COAST OF HOKKAIDO
JAPAN SEA COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
UCHIBO AREA, CHIBA PREF.
OGASAWARA ISLANDS
SAGAMI BAY AND MIURA PENINSULA
SHIZUOKA PREF.
PACIFIC COAST OF AICHI PREF.
SOUTHERN PART OF MIE PREF.
WAKAYAMA PREF.
TOKUSHIMA PREF.
KOCHI PREF.
MIYAZAKI PREF.
TANEGASHIMA AND YAKUSHIMA AREA
AMAMI ISLANDS AND TOKARA ISLANDS

At the following coasts (* marks) tsunamis are expected to arrive right away.
IWATE PREF

For more information go to:

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Posted in Japan earthquake forecast, Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan tsunami | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

12 Earthquakes Rattle Entire New Zealand

Posted by feww on March 11, 2011

A Dozen Quakes Strike All Around New Zealand Today

The following image shows the approximate locations of today’s first 12 earthquakes which have struck around New Zealand’s twin islands, as of posting.


Source: GeoNet New Zealand. Image may be subject to copyright.

Largest of the  quakes was a magnitude 4.5 shock which struck about 140km west of Tuatapere at a depth of 12km today [Friday, Mar 11, 2011 at 2:50 pm local time,] according to GeoNet website.

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Posted in Christchurch Earthquake, Lyttelton quake, new zealand earthquake 2011, New Zealand Earthquake Warning, Tuatapere quake | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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