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Archive for April, 2011

NY Gov Declares State of Emergency

Posted by feww on April 30, 2011

Flood Damage ‘breathtakingly bad’

NY Gov. Cuomo has declared a State Disaster Emergency in Essex County

States of emergency have also been declared for Clinton County, Tupper, Champlain and  portions of City of Plattsburgh following severe flooding, power outages and damage caused by storms

At least two bridges have reportedly collapsed and many homes flooded in Moriah.


Anna Mayhood of Moriah leaped to safety from her car, shown here, after the Broad Street Bridge in Moriah collapsed beneath it Wednesday morning. Torrential rains flooded the stream under the bridge and undermined it. Press Republican Staff Photo / Lohr McKinstry. Image may be subject to copyright.

“It was breathtakingly bad,” Cuomo said about his tour of flooded areas. “I’d seen photos, but it’s much worse when you see it in person.”

“That woman was going over the bridge. Thank God that turned out as well as it did. If I saw her, I would say to her, ‘You are lucky; light a candle.’”

U.S. Flood Map


309 Locations in flood during 48 hour forecast period

Related News Links

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U-S Tornadoes: Pray for the Dead

Posted by feww on April 30, 2011

Governor Bentley Declares Sunday as a Day of Prayer for the Dead

Governor Robert Bentley signed a proclamation late yesterday calling for a statewide “Day of Prayer” on Sunday, May 1 to remember those who lost their lives in Wednesday’s storms.

“I am asking all people of faith in our state to set aside Sunday as a Day of Prayer in memory of our family, friends, and neighbors who were taken from us in this shared tragedy,” Governor Bentley said.  “It is appropriate that we pray for those we lost, for those who loved them, and for those still suffering.  We all need divine guidance and providence in the days ahead as we seek not only to rebuild, but to heal.”

Bentley has also issued a directive for flags on all state government buildings to fly half-staff until Monday, May 2 at 8:00 a.m.

Tornado and Storm Death Toll in Alabama

At least 238 people lost their lives with more than 1,700 others injured.

Tornado and Storm Death Toll across Southern US

At least 346  deaths have so far been reported across southern United States, including 108 fatalities in Arkansas, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Tennessee and Virginia.

In Tuscaloosa the death toll has reached 42, but cadaver dogs are brought in to search for more bodies, a report said.

The death toll across the region is expected to rise.


The Dark Wednesday: SPC received 211 tornado reports among a total of 806 severe weather reports.


Tuesday April 26 tornado and severe weather reports

Other Damage

  • Tornadoes and storms have destroyed/damaged at least 10,000 buildings across the devastated areas.
  • An estimated 25,000 people are left homeless.
  • The tornadoes have paralyzed Alabama’s poultry industry, America’s  3rd largest chicken producer.
  • A number of other industries have been severely affected as a result of Wednesday’s tornadoes.

Mega Tornadoes

The National Weather Service said the twister that touched down at Smithville in Monroe County, Mississippi on Wednesday was an EF-5 (F5) tornado, with top winds of 205MPH.

Super-cell T-storms

“These were the most intense super-cell thunderstorms that I think anybody who was out there forecasting has ever seen,” Greg Carbin of the SPC in Oklahoma told the AP.

The twister that destroyed large parts of Tuscaloosa, is also believed to have been an EF-5 tornado [See below for Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale.]

“We have neighborhoods that have been basically removed from the map,” Tuscaloosa mayor Walter Maddox said, describing the damage as a path of ”utter destruction.”

Another large twister, possibly an EF-4 tornado, reportedly destroyed about 90% of the town Hackleburg, in Alabama’s Marion County.

The National Weather Service has confirmed an EF-4 tornado touched down in the Tennessee Valley, a report said.

States of Emergency

Alabama, Arkansas, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Virginia have declared states of emergency.

Storm Shuts Down 3  TVA Nuclear Reactors at Browns Ferry in Alabama

The 3 reactors at TVA’s 3,297-megawatt Browns Ferry nuclear plant in Alabama, the second largest in the US,  switched over to emergency diesel generators to supply power for the reactors cooling system at 5:30 EDT (22:30 UTC) after storms knocked out  transmission lines that supplied power, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Agency said. More…

The tornadoes and violent storms left about a million homes and business without power, mostly in northern Alabama and Mississippi, a report said.

“Roughly 70 high powered transmission lines remain out of service, with some creating dangerous situations because they’ve fallen across roads.”

Browns Ferry nuclear plant won’t restart so long as so much of the grid is down, TVA chief of operations was quoted as saying.

“When the system is ready for the plant, we can begin the process of restarting it. But we have to get the transmission system ready.”

On April 20, a tornado reportedly damaged the switchyard at Dominion’s Surry Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) forcing both aging reactor units to shut down.

Related Links

Global Disasters

Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale


F-0  [39%]
40-72 mph, chimney damage, tree branches broken

F-1 [35%]
73-112 mph, mobile homes pushed off foundation or overturned

F-2 [20%]
113-157 mph, considerable damage, mobile homes demolished, trees uprooted

F-3  [5%]
158-205 mph, roofs and walls torn down, trains overturned, cars thrown

F-4 [0.9%]
207-260 mph, well-constructed walls leveled

F-5 [<0.1%]
261-318 mph, homes lifted off foundation and carried considerable distances, autos thrown as far as 100 meters

Source: US gov. [Figures in brackets represent long-term relative frequencies—revised by FIRE-EARTH]

F5 and EF5 Tornadoes of the United States – [1950-present]


This is a map and list of tornadoes since 1950 which the National Weather Service has rated F5 (before 2007) or EF5 (equivalent, 2007 onward, the most intense damage category on the Fujita and Enhanced Fujita damage scales. The tornadoes are numbered in the order they happened since 1950; so the numbers run from the bottom up. NOTE: Since the (E)F-scale is a subjective damage assessment tool, official NWS ratings (as logged in Storm Data and in the NSSFC/SPC database) may differ on occasion from those of other tornado databases, such as those of the Tornado Project or University of Chicago. [Mirrored from Storm Prediction Center]

=================================================
NUMBER	DATE                    LOCATION
======	=====================   =================

53	April 27, 2011		Smithville MS
52	May 25, 2008		Parkersburg IA
51      May 4, 2007             Greensburg KS
50	May 3, 1999             Bridge Creek/Moore OK
49	April 16, 1998          Waynesboro TN
48	April 8, 1998           Pleasant Grove AL
47	May 27, 1997            Jarrell TX
46	July 18, 1996           Oakfield WI
45	June 16, 1992           Chandler MN
44	April 26, 1991          Andover KS
43	August 28, 1990         Plainfield IL
42	March 13, 1990          Goessel KS
41	March 13, 1990          Hesston KS
40	May 31, 1985            Niles OH
39	June 7, 1984            Barneveld WI
38	April 2, 1982           Broken Bow OK
37	April 4, 1977           Birmingham AL
36	June 13, 1976           Jordan IA
35	April 19, 1976          Brownwood TX
34	March 26, 1976          Spiro OK
33	April 3, 1974           Guin AL (#101)
32	April 3, 1974           Tanner AL (#98)
31	April 3, 1974           Mt. Hope AL (#96)
30	April 3, 1974           Sayler Park OH (#43)
29	April 3, 1974           Brandenburg KY (# 47)
28	April 3, 1974           Xenia OH  (# 37)
27	April 3, 1974           Daisy Hill IN  (# 40)
26	May 6, 1973             Valley Mills TX
25	February 21, 1971       Delhi LA
24	May 11, 1970            Lubbock TX
23	June 13, 1968           Tracy MN
22	May 15, 1968            Maynard IA
21	May 15, 1968            Charles City IA
20	April 23, 1968          Gallipolis OH
19	October 14, 1966        Belmond IA
18	June 8, 1966            Topeka KS
17	March 3, 1966           Jackson MS
16	May 8, 1965             Gregory SD
15	May 5, 1964             Bradshaw NE
14	April 3, 1964           Wichita Falls TX
13	May 5, 1960             Prague OK
12	June 4, 1958            Menomonie WI
11	December 18, 1957       Murphysboro IL
10	June 20, 1957           Fargo ND
9	May 20, 1957            Ruskin Heights MO
8	April 3, 1956           Grand Rapids MI
7	May 25, 1955            Udall KS
6	May 25, 1955            Blackwell OK
5	December 5, 1953        Vicksburg MS
4	June 27, 1953           Adair IA
3	June 8, 1953            Flint MI
2	May 29, 1953            Ft. Rice ND
1	May 11, 1953            Waco TX

============================================================

[Mirrored from Storm Prediction Center]

*** IMPORTANT NOTE ABOUT ENHANCED F-SCALE WINDS: The Enhanced F-scale still is a set of wind estimates (not measurements) based on damage. Its uses three-second gusts estimated at the point of damage based on a judgment of 8 levels of damage to the 28 indicators listed HERE. These estimates vary with height and exposure. Important: The 3 second gust is not the same wind as in standard surface observations. Standard measurements are taken by weather stations in open exposures, using a directly measured, “one minute mile” speed.

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Texas Wildfires – Update April 30

Posted by feww on April 30, 2011

Texas wildfires consume 2.1m acres

RED FLAG WARNINGS ISSUED for PARTS of 9 STATES

About 7,000 fires scorch more than 2 million acres, 1,132 structures

NWS has issued Red Flag Warnings for parts of California, Nevada, Arizona,  New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas and Florida.

In the past seven days, TFS has responded to 96 fires for 119,026 acres.

YTD Totals

  • Fires: 6,973
  • Acres burned: 2,124,343
  • Structures lost: 1,132 [Texas fires destroy 1370 homes]


Click image to enter NWS portal.

Fatalities

  • Two firefighters have lost their lives, including one near Lubbock who was killed yesterday.
  • Two sightseers were killed as their plane  circled over fires Tuesday.

Cattle and Horses

NO official figures have been released so far. However,  FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 50,000 heads of cattle and horses may have been killed or seriously injured as a result of the deadly fires since beginning of the year.

“Between 400,000 and 500,000 cattle have been injured by the fire but survived,” a report said.

Dry Conditions Decimating Texas Crops

Texas farmers produce about 100 million bushels of wheat on average each year, but they would be lucky to produce  a third of that amount this year, says Texas AgriLife Extension Service .

“This year’s crop condition ratings show about 40 percent of the Texas crop in very poor condition, which compares with 65 percent very poor in March of 2006 and 53 percent very poor in May of 2009,” said Dr. Mark Welch, AgriLife Extension economist specializing in grain marketing and policy.

Related Links

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Texas wildfires consume nearly 2m acres

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

RED FLAG WARNINGS ISSUED for PARTS of 8 STATES

Texas wildfires scorch about 2 million acre, 905 structures

NWS has issued Red Flag Warnings for parts of California, Arizona,  New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas and Florida.

IF IT ISN’T FLOODED, IT MUST BE BURNING!


Click image to enter NWS portal.

TEXAS FOREST SERVICE INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
Thursday, April 28, 2011
National Preparedness Level: 1
Southern Area Preparedness Level: 4
TFS Preparedness Level: 5

In the past seven days, TFS has responded to 103 fires for 91,542 acres.

YTD Totals

  • Fires: 6,329
  • Acres burned: 1,930,118
  • Structures lost: 905 [Texas fires destroy 1370 homes]

Largest Fires

ROCKHOUSE, Presidio and Jeff Davis Counties. 292,739 acres, 66 percent contained.
DEATON COLE, Val Verde County. 40,000 acres, 50 percent contained.
SCOTT RANCH, Irion County. 10,000 acres, 40 percent contained.
PLEASANT FARMS, Ector County (and C-BAR, Crane County). 12,800 acres, 75 percent contained.
OASIS, Kimble County. 6,400 acres, 10 percent contained.

Latest: CR 266, Duval County. 1,500 acres, 89 percent contained.

BOYS RANCH, Potter and Oldham counties. 500 acres, 85 percent contained.
CHAMPION, Mitchell County. 1,000 acres, no containment.
HAPPY, Castro County. 3,000 acres, 75 percent contained.
FULLER, Scurry County. 5,200 acres, 70 percent contained.
SPADE RANCH, Terry County. 4,000 acres, 90 percent contained.
MATHIS, Cottle County. 300 acres, 90 percent contained.
T-BAR RANCH, Lynn County. 1500 acres, 90 percent contained.
PK COMPLEX, Stephens and Palo Pinto Counties. 126,734 acres, 94 percent contained.
WILDCAT, Coke County. 159,308 acres, 90 percent contained.

Fatalities

  • Two firefighters have lost their lives, including one near Lubbock who was killed yesterday.
  • Two sightseers were killed as their plane  circled over fires Tuesday.

Cattle and Horses

NO official figures have been released so far. However,  FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 50,000 heads of cattle and horses may have been killed or seriously injured as a result of the deadly fires since beginning of the year.

“Between 400,000 and 500,000 cattle have been injured by the fire but survived,” a report said.

Dry Conditions Decimating Texas Crops

Texas farmers produce about 100 million bushels of wheat on average each year, but they would be lucky to produce  a third of that amount this year, says Texas AgriLife Extension Service .

“This year’s crop condition ratings show about 40 percent of the Texas crop in very poor condition, which compares with 65 percent very poor in March of 2006 and 53 percent very poor in May of 2009,” said Dr. Mark Welch, AgriLife Extension economist specializing in grain marketing and policy.

Related Links

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The worst tornado outbreak in U.S. history

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

Deadly Tornado Swarm Kills 317 in 8 States

Death Toll Expected to Rise; Unconfirmed Toll at 325

Confirmed Death Toll by State

Alabama: 210
Tennessee: 35
Mississippi: 33
Georgia: 16   (Ringgold has 7 tornado deaths: Bradley County 9)
Arkansas: 12
Virginia 8   (Tornadoes tear across South)
Louisiana: 2
Kentucky: 1  (most recent death toll in the state)
Total: 317
(as of posting)

The Dark Wednesday: Tornado Attacks the Worst U.S. Natural Disaster Since Hurricane Katrina  


The Dark Wednesday: SPC received 211 tornado reports among a total of 806 severe weather reports.

Hurricane Katrina claimed an estimated 1,800 lives in 2005; death toll from tornadoes and storms attacks is at least 316, and mounting.

Wednesday’s tornadoes are now the deadliest in the U.S. history, breaking previous record was set on April 3, 1974 when twisters killed 310 people.


Thursday reports, as of posting. Click image to enlarge.


Relative frequency of killer tornado events, 1950-2004. White area indicates area with greatest frequency of tornado-related fatalities during the period. Red area had the second greatest frequency of tornado-related fatalities. © Copyright [2007] American Meteorological Society (AMS).

GOES Eastern US SECTOR Infrared Image

Storm fronts have life cycles not unlike butterflies. The deadly “butterfly” flies off the U.S. Atlantic Coast.

Most Recent USA East Medium-Resolution Satellite Image 

NOAA GOES 13  @ 08:01UTC April 29, 2011

How Bad?

The tornadoes and violent storms that ripped through 8 states left  “major, major” trails of destruction in their paths.

“As we flew down from Birmingham, the track is all the way down, and then when you get in Tuscaloosa here it’s devastating,” Gov. Robert Bentley said, declaring Alabama “a major, major disaster.”

Entire civic infrastructures were wiped out as tornadoes and storms leveled entire neighborhoods in various parts of the South, obliterating homes, businesses, schools, hospitals, churches, trees, power lines…

At least 36 people were killed in Tuscaloosa, with more than 600 injured, local media reported.

There are no official reports of the dimension of destruction as yet; however, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 6 thousands structures may have been razed/damaged, with an estimated loss of about 10 billion dollars.

States of Emergency

Alabama, Arkansas, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Virginia have declared states of emergency.

Super-cell T-storms

“These were the most intense super-cell thunderstorms that I think anybody who was out there forecasting has ever seen,” Greg Carbin of the SPC in Oklahoma told the AP.

The twister that destroyed large parts of Tuscaloosa, is believed to have been an EF-5 tornado [See below for Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale.]

“We have neighborhoods that have been basically removed from the map,” Tuscaloosa mayor Walter Maddox said, describing the damage as a path of ”utter destruction.”

Another large twister, possibly an EF-4 tornado, reportedly destroyed about 90% of the town Hackleburg, in Alabama’s Marion County.

The National Weather Service has confirmed an EF-4 tornado touched down in the Tennessee Valley, a report said.

Storm Shuts Down 3  TVA Nuclear Reactors at Browns Ferry in Alabama

The 3 reactors at TVA’s 3,297-megawatt Browns Ferry nuclear plant in Alabama switched over to emergency diesel generators to supply power for the reactors cooling system at 5:30 EDT (22:30 UTC) after storms knocked out  transmission lines that supplied power, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Agency said. More…

On April 20, a tornado reportedly damaged the switchyard at Dominion’s Surry Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) forcing both aging reactor units to shut down.

About  650,000 homes and business were still without power, mostly in northern Alabama and Mississippi, Thursday night, a report said.

“Roughly 70 high powered transmission lines remain out of service, with some creating dangerous situations because they’ve fallen across roads.”

Browns Ferry nuclear plant won’t restart so long as so much of the grid is down, TVA chief of operations was quoted as saying.

“When the system is ready for the plant, we can begin the process of restarting it. But we have to get the transmission system ready.”

Forecast: Large-scale lightning outbreaks

Unfortunately, the worst may NOT be over yet.  In addition to more tornadoes and violent storms this year and the next, FIRE-EARTH forecasts phenomenally large-scale outbreaks of potentially deadly lightning clusters throughout the United States.

Related Links

Global Disasters

FEWW Forecasts

Too Bad Climate Juggernaut Delivering Deadlier Loads Next Year! Based on various climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts an increase of about 24% in the severity of extreme weather events during the next 20 months, compared with the previous period.

THE NEXT MAJOR DISASTER COULD STRIKE THE U.S.
The next major anthropogenic or human-enhanced natural disaster [e.g., climate related] could occur in the United States with a probability of 0.75

Brace for the Worst Ever

Climatic  Extremes, Primeval Geophysical Activities and WILD Weather to Wreak Mega Havoc in 2011/2012 and Beyond …

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO POWER DOWN AND START THINKING HARD.  Encourage your folks, friends and neighbors to join in!! BECAUSE  for most of us the GAME would be OVER soon.

Flooding and fires, earthquakes and eruptions, deadly tornadoes and strong storms … are just some of the items you’ve ordered from the climate change quick menu!

2011 Tornadoes Ever Deadlier: FEWW

Start of Meteorological Spring Signals Hyper Tornado Season

Based on several climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts a deadly peak tornado season in 2011.

Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale


F-0  [39%]
40-72 mph, chimney damage, tree branches broken

F-1 [35%]
73-112 mph, mobile homes pushed off foundation or overturned

F-2 [20%]
113-157 mph, considerable damage, mobile homes demolished, trees uprooted

F-3  [5%]
158-205 mph, roofs and walls torn down, trains overturned, cars thrown

F-4 [0.9%]
207-260 mph, well-constructed walls leveled

F-5 [<0.1%]
261-318 mph, homes lifted off foundation and carried considerable distances, autos thrown as far as 100 meters

Source: US gov. [Figures in brackets represent long-term relative frequencies— revised by FIRE-EARTH]

Last updated @ 13:45UTC, April 29, 2011

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U.S. Tornado Update – April 29

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

Deadliest Ever Tornadoes?

Confirmed Death Toll 302; Unconfirmed 318

The Late April Tornado Attack:  The worst U.S. natural disaster since Hurricane Katrina

Hurricane Katrina claimed an estimated 1,800 lives in 2005; current unconfirmed reports put this week’s toll from tornadoes and storms at at least 318.

Wednesday also turned out to be the deadliest day of tornadoes in the U.S. since April 3, 1974 when 310 people perished.

Confirmed Death Toll by State

Alabama: 198
Tennessee: 35
Mississippi: 32
Georgia: 16 (Ringgold has 7 tornado deaths: Bradley County 9)
Arkansas: 11
Virginia 8
Louisiana: 2
Total: 302
(as of posting)

Up to 2 thousand others have been injured in storm-related incidents.

The Dark Wednesday


The Dark Wednesday: SPC received 180 tornado reports and a 584 other severe weather reports.


Thursday reports, as of posting. Click image to enlarge.

The tornadoes and violent storms that ripped through 7 states left  “major, major” trails of destruction in their pathes.

Entire civic infrastructures were wiped out as tornadoes and storms leveled entire neighborhoods in various parts of the South, obliterating homes, businesses, schools, hospitals, churches…

There are no official reports of the dimension of destruction as yet; however, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 6 thousands structures may have been razed/damaged, with an estimated loss of about 10 billion dollars.

Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee and Virginia have declared states of emergency.

Forecast: Large-scale Lightning Outbreaks

Unfortunately, the worst may NOT be over yet.  In addition to more tornadoes and violent storms this year and the next, FIRE-EARTH forecasts phenomenally large-scale outbreaks of potentially deadly lightning clusters throughout the United States.

Related Links

Global Disasters

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U.S. Tornadoes, Storms Kill at least 195

Posted by feww on April 28, 2011

Updated at 12:57UTC

Death Toll Expected to Rise

Tornadoes rip through Alabama, killing at least 128

The deadly storms included a mile-wide twister, believed to be the worst ever tornado to hit Alabama, that ripped through the university city of Tuscaloosa, killing at least 15 people.

Storm-related incidents also left hundreds of people injured in six states.

Storms leveled hundreds of homes, tossing cars and uprooting trees, cutting off power lines and injuring up to a thousand people. About half a million homes were without electricity, Alabama Power said.

Death toll from tornadoes and storms in Mississippi has reached at least 32, the Mississippi Emergency Management Agency said.

In Arkansas the storms have killed at least 13  people, as of posting.

At least a dozen people were killed in storm-related incidents throughout Georgia, Louisiana and Tennessee.

Latest Warnings

Storm Shuts Down 3  TVA Nuclear Reactors at Browns Ferry in Alabama

The 3 reactors at TVA’s 3,297-megawatt Browns Ferry nuclear plant in Alabama switched over to emergency diesel generators to supply power for the reactors cooling system at 5:30 EDT (22:30 UTC) after storms knocked out  transmission lines that supplied power, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Agency said. More…

On April 20, a tornado reportedly damaged the switchyard at Dominion’s Surry Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) forcing both aging reactor units to shut down.

GOES Eastern US SECTOR Infrared Image


Click images to enlarge. Click HERE to update.


Eastern Conus Sector (Infrared Channel)

SPC Storm Reports


A total of 643 severe weather reports, including 161 tornado sightings, were received by SPC, as of posting.

Tuscaloosa

“The city experienced widespread damage from a tornado that cut a path of destruction deep into the heart of the city,” Tuscaloosa Mayor Walter Maddox said.


Mega Tornado touching down at Tuscaloosa, Alabama.  Frame grab from a video clip posted at Tuscaloosa-dot-com. Image may be subject to copyright.

States of Emergency

  • The White House has declared a state of emergency in Alabama.
  • Arkansas and Tennessee have both declared a state of emergency following the devastation caused by the violent storms
  • Georgia’s governor has declared a state of emergency in four counties: Floyd, Dade, Catoosa and Walker. At least 13 people were killed as a result of violent storms.
  • Floyd County and the city of Jeffersonville in southern Indiana have both declared a state of emergency because of severe flooding.

Related Links

Global Disasters

FEWW Forecasts

Too Bad Climate Juggernaut Delivering Deadlier Loads Next Year! Based on various climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts an increase of about 24% in the severity of extreme weather events during the next 20 months, compared with the previous period.

THE NEXT MAJOR DISASTER COULD STRIKE THE U.S.
The next major anthropogenic or human-enhanced natural disaster [e.g., climate related] could occur in the United States with a probability of 0.75

Brace for the Worst Ever

Climatic  Extremes, Primeval Geophysical Activities and WILD Weather to Wreak Mega Havoc in 2011/2012 and Beyond …

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO POWER DOWN AND START THINKING HARD.

Encourage your folks, friends and neighbors to join in!! BECAUSE  for most of us the GAME would be OVER soon.

Flooding and fires, earthquakes and eruptions, deadly tornadoes and strong storms … are just some of the items you’ve ordered from the climate change quick menu!

2011 Tornadoes Ever Deadlier: FEWW

Start of Meteorological Spring Signals Hyper Tornado Season

Based on several climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts a deadly peak tornado season in 2011.


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Mile-wide Mega Tornado Devastates Alabama

Posted by feww on April 28, 2011

James Anglin, Hackleburg AL City Council member:

“Our town is just devastated”

Tornadoes Destroy Alabama Towns killing 25, Storms Kill 37 People in the South

Storm system is forecast to move into Georgia, Tennessee and Kentucky later tonight and into the Carolinas by early Thursday.

Tuscaloosa Mega Tornado

“The city experienced widespread damage from a tornado that cut a path of destruction deep into the heart of the city,” Mayor Walter Maddox said.

Hazard Warnings

  • More than 125 tornadoes have been reported so far today in five states: Arkansas, Louisiana, Missouri, Kentucky and Tennessee.
  • Large sections of Tuscaloosa and Birmingham, Alabama have been obliterated.
  • At least 25 people are confirmed dead in Alabama.
  • Storms have left 37 people dead in the South; hundreds of others have been injured.
  • Storms are expected to dump up to 7 inches of rain from Arkansas to Ohio.
  • The Black, Mississippi and Ohio rivers are flooding.
  • Widespread, severe flooding reported in Missouri, Kentucky and Southern Indiana.


Wednesday reports.


Tuesday reports. Click image to enlarge.

Storm Death Toll [as of posting]

  • Alabama: 25
  •  Mississippi: 8
  • Georgia: 2
  • Arkansas: 1
  • Tennessee: 1


Click image to enter NWS Weather Hazards portal.


Click images to enlarge.

GOES Eastern US SECTOR Infrared Image


Click HERE to update.

Related Links

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Global Tectonics Warning – April 27

Posted by feww on April 27, 2011

Alaska Earthquake

FIRE-EARTH Model shows NEAR CRITICAL buildup of tectonic stress energy near the coast of Alaska.

Global Disasters

Related Links:

Posted in 2011 disasters, 2011 earthquakes, Alaska Earthquake forecast, Alaska Earthquake Warning | Tagged: , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Tornado Record for April Smashed

Posted by feww on April 27, 2011

295 Confirmed April Tornadoes So Far

April 2011 Tornadoes Smash Record 267 Tornadoes Set in 1974

With 3.5 more days to go, some 295 confirmed tornadoes have wreaked havoc in the United States this month, causing death and destruction in dozens of states.

The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has received a total of 6,559 reports (LT average ~ 3,300) of sever weather reports this month, as of Tuesday April 26. 2011 @ 20:18CT

  • Tornadoes: 654
  • Hail: 2,725
  • High/Damaging Winds:  3,180
  • TOTAL: 6,559

In one of the latest incidents, a tornado touched down about 75 miles east of Dallas near the E. Texas town of Edom, destroying/damaging at least 100 homes.

“We have major destruction,” said Chuck Allen, Van Zandt County emergency management spokesman. “We have multiple houses damaged or destroyed … easily 100-plus.”

As the storm moved on toward Central Texas, it spawned about 20 tornadoes, reports said.

April also saw the first EF4  tornado for the year, which leveled the St. Louis suburb of Bridgeton. [Also the first EF4 tornado in metro area since Jan. 24, 1967. ]


Click image to enlarge. Click here for details.

Hazard Warnings

Tornado Headlines

Related Links

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Tungurahua volcano erupts

Posted by feww on April 27, 2011

Ecuador declares ORANGE alert after ash eruption at Tungurahua

The 5,023m volcano ejected a plume of ash about 7-km asl, in one of its half dozen eruptions,  the Ecuadorean geophysics institute said.

The authorities  have issued evacuation orders for residents in the villages of Bilbao, Chacauco and Cusua and other communities near Tungurahua, which translates into “Throat of Fire.”

A Tungurahua eruption in 2006 killed at least six people in the Chimborazo province, according to records.

“According to our observations, damages to crops, pastures and small effects to the health of people are already evident,” the country’s geophysics institute said.


Tungurahua volcano near the city Banos south of Quito, Ecuador. A fountain of lava erupted, spewing molten rocks to about 2 km above the crater, the Geological Institute in Quito reported. Dec. 4, 2010. AFP Photo. Image may be subject to copyright. Click here for more images.


Snow-capped Tungurahua, photographed from near the town of Baños. Photo by Minard Hall, 1976 (Escuela Politécnica Nacional, Quito) via GVP.

Tungurahua is located about 135 kilometers (84 miles) south of Quito, the capital city of Ecuador  (Group D – see map).


Map of Volcanoes. Background Map: University of Michigan. Designed and enhanced by Fire Earth Blog. Click image to enlarge.

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When Weather Went Really Crazy

Posted by feww on April 27, 2011

Too Bad Climate Juggernaut Delivering Deadlier Loads Next Year!

Based on various climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts an increase of about 24% in the severity of extreme weather events during the next 20 months, compared with the previous period.

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Severe Weather Headlines from NWS

URGENT: Severe Warnings In Effect (Louisiana)


Click images to enlarge and animate.


Update at Severe Weather & Heavy Rain Forecast Center

Hazard Warnings

Flash flooding worsens over night in several Plains, Eastern locations


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Kentucky

Flash Flood Watch

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URGENT: Another Round of Severe T-storms and Flooding

Posted by feww on April 26, 2011

The Following WARNINGS Have been Issued by the National Weather Service (NWS)

US Flood Map

LITTLE ROCK, AR

URGENT: One More Round of Severe Thunderstorms and Flooding

Major Flooding/Severe Weather Likely on April 23-27, 2011

Memphis, TN

URGENT Significant severe weather and flash flooding event in store for the MidSouth – Click here for safety tips


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Chernobyl nuclear disaster: 25th anniversary

Posted by feww on April 26, 2011

1 Million Killed in Chernobyl Disaster

Ukraine marks the 25th anniversary of Chernobyl nuclear disaster

On 26 April 1986 Reactor 4 at Chernobyl NPP in Ukraine, then in the Soviet Union, exploded releasing about one hundred times more radiation than the atom bombs dropped over Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945. 


Ukrainian city of Chernobyl had managed to live for 793 years… that is until the Chernobyl nuclear power plant underwent a core meltdown on April 26, 1986 at about 1:00am local time. This image was taken by authorities in the former Soviet Union

Remembering Chernobyl Victims


The sarcophagus covering the damaged fourth reactor at the Chernobyl nuclear power plant is seen behind a building decorated with a graffiti in the abandoned city of Prypiat April 4, 2011. Belarus, Ukraine and Russia will mark the 25th anniversary of the nuclear reactor explosion in Chernobyl, the place where the world’s worst civil nuclear accident took place, on April 26. Engineers are still struggling to regain control of damaged reactors at the Fuskushima plant after last month’s earthquake and tsunami, in the worst nuclear crisis since Chernobyl in 1986, with the government urging the operator of the plant to act faster to stop radiation spreading. REUTERS/Gleb Garanich. Image may be subject to copyright. Reuters images …


Birth defects and cancer were the norm for many years following the Chernobyl disaster.  By the time  residents of Pripyat, a town located near the plant, were ordered to evacuate, about two days after the Chernobyl core meltdown had occurred, many had already been exposed to varying doses of radiation poisoning.

The Incident: A meltdown of the reactor’s core in the Chernobyl power plant killed thirty people in 1986. About 135,000 people were evacuated. It is believed that about one hundred times more radiation was released in the accident than by the atom bombs dropped over Hiroshima and Nagasaki in 1945.

Legacy: More than 4,000 cases of thyroid cancer were diagnosed among children and adolescents between 1992 to 2002 in Belarus, Russia and Ukraine. Victims under 14 years were most severely affected by the elevated concentrations of radioiodine found in milk.

Incidents of skin lesions, respiratory ailments, infertility and birth defects were readily found among the more than five million people who inhabit the affected areas of Belarus, Russia, and Ukraine for many years following the accident.

The Poisoned land. Up to 5 million people continue to live on radioactive contaminated land. About 85% of the children who live in contaminated areas of Belarus today are ill, a near 6-fold increase compared to the time before the explosion (15%), according to The Belarusian National Academy of Sciences.

Disputed Facts: The above facts, however, have been disputed by a number of individuals including the author of a recent WHO report, and the retired “nukophile” British academic, James Lovelack. Local and international experts, however, have dismissed the WHO report findings. A UN report released in 2005 estimated the number of victims at just 4,000. Their figure is hotly disputed  by NGOs and independent experts.

“A report by Alexey Yablokov, Vassily Nesterenko and Alexey Nesterenko which appeared in the Annals of the New York Academy of Science showed that by 2004, there were 985,000 additional deaths worldwide caused by the nuclear disaster, including 212,000 of them within Western Russia, Belarus and Ukraine.”

Chernobyl fallout covers the entire Northern Hemisphere

Consequences of the Catastrophe. Authors  Alexey Yablokov (Center for Russian Environmental Policy in Moscow), Vassily Nesterenko and Alexey Nesterenko ( Institute of Radiation Safety, Minsk, Belarus) studies about 5,000 reports and scientific  papers mostly published in Slavic languages and compiled their finding in the  book “Chernobyl: Consequences of the Catastrophe for People and the Environment,” which was published last year on the 24th anniversary of the Chernobyl reactor core meltdown.

“For the past 23 years, it has been clear that there is a danger greater than nuclear weapons concealed within nuclear power. Emissions from this one reactor exceeded a hundred-fold the radioactive contamination of the bombs dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki.” They wrote.

“No citizen of any country can be assured that he or she can be protected from radioactive contamination. One nuclear reactor can pollute half the globe,” the authors said. “Chernobyl fallout covers the entire Northern Hemisphere.”

According to the book, a total of about 830,000 people, referred to as the “liquidators,” were responsible for various emergency works at the Chernobyl site including fire extinguishing, decontamination and cleanup.

The authors say between 112,000 and 125,000 of the  liquidators had died by 2005.  The authors also estimate that between 1986 and 2004 some 985,000 people died as a result of Chernobyl fallout {2011 estimates are well over a million deaths.]

“Official discussions from the International Atomic Energy Agency and associated United Nations’ agencies (e.g. the Chernobyl Forum reports) have largely downplayed or ignored many of the findings reported in the Eastern European scientific literature and consequently have erred by not including these assessments.” The authors said last year.

Chernobyl and Other Nuclear Stats

  • More than 95% of the radioactive material (180 metric tons with a radioactivity of about 18 million curies) still remains inside the Chernobyl reactor.
  • The  core meltdown at Chernobyl was said to have released radiation estimated at 50 million curies. Committee on the Safety of Nuclear Installations said in 1995 that the meltdown had released about 140 million curies. [Researchers Alexey Yablokov, Vassily Nesterenko and Alexey Nesterenko say the radiation released from Chernobyl may have been up to 10 billion curies. In comparison, the Hiroshima bomb released about 3 million curies.]
  • Immediately after the accident, 237 people suffered from acute radiation sickness, and 31 died within the first 90 days of the disaster.
  • About 135,000 people were evacuated from the area surrounding the plant, including 50,000 from the town of Pripyat.
  • The Academy’s  estimate for the number of casualties  are more than 90,000 deaths and more than a quarter of a million cancer cases.
  • The Ukrainian National Commission for Radiation Protection calculates the number of radiation casualties at half a million  deaths so far.
  • In a book published by the New York Academy of Sciences last year on the 24th anniversary of the reactor core meltdown, the researchers maintain that about one million people have died from exposure to radiation released by the Chernobyl reactor so far [as of 2010.]
  • “In the former Soviet Union at least 9 million people have been effected by the accident; 2.5 million in Belarus; 3.5 million in Ukraine; and 3 million in Russia. In total over 160 000 Km2 are contaminated in the three republics.” source
  • Some 441 commercial nuclear power reactors are  operating in 31 countries ( total capacity of 376 gigawatts) each of which is potentially as lethal as Chernobyl, if not worse. [This item, updated here, was written before the Fukushima nuclear disaster began unfolding.]
  • An estimated 56 countries operate more than 250 research reactors.
  • At least 220 nuclear reactors power military ships and submarines.

Fukushima NPP

Fukushima NPP is said to contain about 4,277 tons of nuclear fuel, about 24 times as much as Chernobyl (~ 180 tons).

“The Fukushima Dai-ichi site has a considerable number of fuel rods on hand, according to information provided Thursday by Toyko Electric Power Co., which owns the atomic complex: There are 3,400 tons of fuel in seven spent fuel pools within the six-reactor plant, including one joint pool storing very old fuel from units 3 and 4. There are 877 tons in five of the reactor cores. Officials have said that the fuel in Unit 4′s reactor vessel was transferred to its spent fuel pool when the unit was temporarily shut in November.” AP reported.

On April 12, Japanese authorities raised the measure of severity of the Fukushima NPP disaster to the maximum level of 7 on INES. (See below for details.)

The International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES)

The INES, a logarithmic scale, which was introduced in 1990 by the IAEA to enable prompt communication, classifies the intensity of nuclear incidents as follows:

7 – Major Accident [Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986]

6 – Serious Accident [e.g., Kyshtym incident, Mayak, former Soviet Union, steam explosion released up to 80 tons of highly radioactive material into the atmosphere, September 1957. ]

5 – Accident With Wider Consequences [e.g., Three Mile Island accident  Pen State, U.S., partial meltdown release radioactive gases  into the environment, March 1979.]

4 – Accident With Local Consequences [e.g., Sellafield, UK, at least 5 incidents reported between 1955 to 1979]

3 – Serious Incident [e.g., Vandellos NPP, Spain, fire destroyed control systems; the reactor was shut down, July1989]

2 – Incident [e.g., Forsmark NPP, Sweden, a backup generator failed, July 2006]

1 – Anomaly [e.g., TNPC, France, 1,600 gallons of water containing 75 kilograms (170 lb) of uranium leaked into the environment,  July 2008]

0 – Deviation (No Safety Significance) — [e.g., Atucha, Argentina - Reactor shutdown caused by tritium increase in reactor encasement, December 2006.]

What is a lethal dose of radiation from a single Exposure?

Studies of the 1945 atomic bombing at Hiroshima and Nagasaki show that 100 percent of victims whose bodies were exposed to 600,000 millirems (6,000 mSv) died from radiation. About 50 percent of victims who received  450,000 millirems (4,500 mSv) of radiation also died.

(Note: Rem is a unit of ionizing radiation equal to the amount that produces the same damage to humans as one roentgen of high-voltage x-rays.  Source: MIT)

1 rem = 10 mSv  (1 Sv = 100 rem)

Background Radiation in millirems per year (mrem/yr)

  • Average background radiation (US):  300
  • Higher altitudes (e.g, Denver): 400

“Safe Levels” of Radiation (U.S.)

Limits above natural background radiation levels (average 300 millirems per year) and medical radiation:

  • Occupation Limit: Maximum of 5,000  (the limit for a worker using radiation)
  • Average Natural Background: 300

[Note: Lifetime cumulative exposure should be limited to a person's age multiplied by 1,000 millirems, e.g., a 70-year-old person, 70,000 millirems.]

Adults

  • Max single dose for an adult: 3,000
  • Annual total dose: 5,000

Under 18

  • Max single dose for a person aged under 18 years: 300 millirems (whole body equivalent)
  • Annual total exposure: 500

Fetal Exposure

  • Maximum limit for fetal exposure during gestation period:  50 millirems per month above background levels

Medical

  • Single Chest X-ray (the whole body equivalent): 2 millirem

Air Travel

  • Coast-to-coast US round trip flight: 12 millirems

*Note:  Radiation dose of about 2,000 millisieverts (200,000 millirems) cause serious illness.

Half-life of some radioactive elements

[NOTE: Half-life is the time taken for a radioactive substance to decay by half.]

  • Cesium-134 ~ 2  years
  • Cesium-137 ~ 30 years
  • Iodine-131 ~ 8 days
  • Plutonium-239 ~ 24,200 years
  • Ruthenium-103 ~ 39 days [Ruthenium is a fission product of uranium-235.]
  • Ruthenium-106 ~ 374 days
  • Strontium-90 ~ 28.85 years  [Strontium-90 is a product of nuclear fission and is found in large amounts in spent nuclear fuel and in radioactive waste from nuclear reactors.]
  • Uranium-234 ~  246,000 years
  • Uranium-235 ~ 703.8  million years
  • Uranium-238  ~ 4.468 billion years

Related Links

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The First Design for a Tablet

Posted by feww on April 26, 2011

EdEn: Designed 16 Years Ago

A colleague who designed the concept for the first ever tablet about 16 years ago, submitted the idea to Apple and Sony.

Later, he personally met with Sony’s Howard Stringer and left him details of the design.

Needless to say, the two companies never contacted him again.


EdEn: The original concept design for tablet PCs devices. Copyright 1995-2011. All rights reserved.

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