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M6.7 Quake Strikes Guam

Posted by feww on September 17, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARDS
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 070, 09, 08, 07
.

Strong Quake Occurs 45km NW of Piti Village, Guam

Centered at 13.756°N, 144.397°E the quake struck at a depth of 136.7km (84.9mi) on September 17 at 06:14 UTC, reported USGS/EHP.

NO destructive tsunami was associated with this event.


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


 

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Mt Mayon Threatens to Erupt: Thousands Evacuated

Posted by feww on September 16, 2014

VOLCANIC HAZARD
MAYON VOLCANO
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 070, 09, 08, 07
.

Mayon in high state of unrest, explosive eruption possible

Thousands of people have been evacuated from around the foot Mt Mayon, Philippines’ most active volcano, as the crater glow became observable indicating presence of molten lava and superheated volcanic gases.

PHIVOLCS released the following bulletins earlier:

MAYON VOLCANO BULLETIN 16 September 2014 8:00 A.M.

Mayon Volcano’s (13.2500°N, 123.6833°E) seismic network recorded thirty-two (32) volcanic earthquakes and seventy-two (72) rock fall events during the past 24-hour observation period. Intensity III (bright) crater glow was visible last night, although rain clouds prevented visual observation of the crater during the day. Rolling incandescent rockfall within the uppermost reaches of the Bonga Gully last night indicates that the summit lava dome is breaching the crater in its southeastern side. Sulfur dioxide (SO2) flux was measured at an average of 611 tonnes/day on 02 September 2014. Ground deformation data showed inflationary changes in the edifice from February 2014 based on precise leveling surveys on the 3rd week of August 2014, and edifice inflation from January 2012 baselines based on continuous tilt measurement. All the above data indicate that the volcano is exhibiting relatively high unrest due to the movement of potentially eruptible magma.

Mayon Volcano’s alert status has been raised to Alert Level 3.   This means that magma is at the crater and that hazardous eruption is possible within weeks. It is recommended that the 6-km radius Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) around the volcano and the 7-km Extended Danger Zone (EDZ) on the southeastern flank be enforced due to the danger of rock falls, landslides and sudden explosions or dome collapse that may generate hazardous volcanic flows.  PHIVOLCS maintains close monitoring of Mayon Volcano and any new development will be communicated to all concerned stakeholders.

NOTICE OF INCREASE TO ALERT LEVEL 3:

In the past several hours, a noticeable escalation of unrest was recorded by the Mayon Volcano monitoring network. Since 5:00 AM to 8:00 PM today, 39 rockfall events that are ascribed to incipient breaching of the growing summit lava dome across the southeastern crater rim, and 32 low frequency volcanic earthquakes that indicate magma intrusion and/or volcanic gas activity, have been detected. Crater glow has become observable, indicating incandescence of the crater from molten lava and hot volcanic gas.

In view thereof, PHIVOLCS-DOST is now raising the alert status of Mayon Volcano from Alert Level 2 to Alert Level 3. This means that Mayon is exhibiting relatively high unrest and that magma is at the crater and that hazardous eruption is possible within weeks.  It is therefore recommended that the 6-km radius Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) around the volcano and the 7-km Extended Danger Zone (EDZ) on the southeastern flank be enforced due to the danger of rockfalls, landslides and sudden explosions or dome collapse that may generate hazardous volcanic flows. PHIVOLCS maintains close monitoring of Mayon Volcano and any new development will be communicated to all concerned stakeholders.

Significant Earthquakes

Iceland has been rattled by 7 significant quakes measuring between magnitudes 4.6 and 5.3Mw since September 10.

  • The largest quake measured 5.3Mw, which occurred 108km WNW of Hofn at depth of 10.0 km on 2014-09-15 at 08:05:02 UTC.

Sweden registered a rare earthquake measuring 4.7Mw, which struck about 59km (37mi) N of Mora, said USGS/EHP.

  • The quake occurred at a depth of about 14.3km (8.9mi), at 13:08UTC on September 15, 2014.

Oklahomans were rattled by at least 4 earthquakes over the last 24 hours. The quakes measured between magnitudes 2.7 and 4.0Mw.

  • The largest quake measuring 4.0Mw occurred about 6km S of Guthrie, Oklahoma at a depth of 4.4 km on September 15 at 20:08UTC.

Japan recorded a magnitude 5.6 shock striking Ibaraki Prefecture about 44km (27mi) NNE of Tokyo, which scared the living daylight out of millions of local kamikazes.

  • The quake registered 5- (Five Minus) on the local 7-point seismic scale.

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of  information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as previously stated.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to resurgence of militarism in Japan and other reasons, as previously stated.

 

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Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events – September 15, 2014

Posted by feww on September 15, 2014

MAJOR CATASTROPHES
NATIONAL DISASTER DECLARATION
STATES OF EMERGENCY
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
DEADLY FLOODS
LOSS OF HABITAT
MASS DISPLACEMENTS
LOSS OF CROPS & LIVESTOCK
DROUGHT
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES

MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 900, 555, 444, 333, 111, 101, 100, 080, 078, 070, 066, 023, 09, 05, 03, 02
.

Floodwaters Threaten Pakistan’s Sindh Province with Large-Scale Devastation

Having caused  major catastrophes in Punjab and Kashmir, rising floodwaters could caused  large-scale devastations in Pakistan’s Sindh Province.

In Punjab province alone flooding affected more than 2.2 million people, killing at least 209 and leaving 4,286 others injured, said the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA).

Some 2,853 villages were severely inundated and 32,243 houses were damaged or destroyed, NDMA reported.

Authorities rescued 41,115 persons, while 200,000 people were displaced.

Kashmir Mega Catastrophe

Meanwhile at least 75,000 people are still awaiting evacuation in partly submerged homes in Srinagar, Kashmir’s capital city, “where roads have been transformed into stagnant canals strewn with sewage, wreckage and dead livestock,” reported Reuters.

“Floating carcasses have become a big source of worry with most houses still waterlogged. We are struggling to get in touch with government health officials,” said a concerned hotelier in Kashmir.

People are worried that hectares of stagnant water covering the city would increase the risk of waterborne diseases spreading.

“The stench of rotting carcasses of cattle was almost unbearable for people in some parts of Srinagar, a city of more than a million people,” said the report.

Flooding and landslides have claimed hundreds of lives left tens of thousands homeless in Indian-administered Kashmir, where the cost of flood damage could top several billion dollars.

Other Major Disasters/ Significant Events

Extreme Rain Events flood more than two-thirds of Croatia

EREs have triggered severe flooding inundating about two-thirds Croatia, Reuters quoted the national rescue agency DUZS as saying,

“The biggest threat is in flooded areas around the central towns of Sisak, Hrvatska Kostajnica and Karlovac. Several villages have been evacuated and a state of emergency has been declared in the northern municipality of Nedelisce.”

Wildfires Threaten Hundreds of Homes in California

Madera County – Courtney Fire.  More than 400 Structures with approximately 1,000 residents living in the Northern part of Oakhurst  and a section of Bass Lake near Road 222 have been evacuated, reported CalFire. The fire has destroyed at least a dozen buildings, as of posting.

  • Acreage Burned-Containment: 320 acres – 20% contained
  • Total Personnel: 400

El Dorado County – King Fire. The King Fire is located in the canyon of the South Fork of the American River northeast of the community of Pollock Pines. Fire is currently traveling to the east/northeast with a rapid rate of spread, said CalFire.

500 Homes remain threatened. Mandatory evacuations are in place for the following areas: Estates at Forebay Road between King of the Mountain Road and Pony Express Trail, as well as all of Whites Meadows Road.

Voluntary Evacuation Advisories are in place for more than 400 homes  located west of Forebay Road from Blair Road to Pony Express Trail. Additional Voluntary Evacuation Advisories are in place for Badger Hill Road, Marmot Road, Lucky Mine Road, Old Blair Mill Road, Apple Creek Ct, Applemont Ranch, Chickaree Lane, Longs Creek, Quick Silver Road, Quick Silver Ct, and Baltimore Road.

  • Acreage Burned-Containment: 3,900 acres – 10% contained
  • Fire Personnel: 806

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Hurricane ODILE Slams Baja, Forces Mass Evacuations

Posted by feww on September 15, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
SIGNIFICANT HURRICANES
MAJOR STORMS
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 888, 444, 111,  071, 070, 066, 055, 033, 023, 09
.

Strong Hurricane ODILE slams Mexico’s Baja California peninsula

ODILE pummeled the popular resorts of Baja California peninsula early Monday, forcing tens of thousands of tourists and locals to move to  emergency shelters.

ODILE made landfall as a category 2 hurricane, but would likely cause life-threatening flooding and mudslides over the next few days, said the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Emergency officials evacuated more than 30,000 people, most of whom were tourists.

Other Hurricanes/ Typhoons

Hainan (China) issues highest alert ahead of Typhoon KALMAEGI

KALMAEGI is forecast to make landfall between Guangdong Province and Hainan Island about noon Tuesday, said China’s National Meteorological Center.

The typhoon may have damaged or destroyed about a fifth of rice output and a third of corn production in the northeastern province of Isabela, according to reports

The typhoon was located about 645km southeast of Leizhou City, Guangdong Province at 4:00 p.m. local time on Monday, said a report.

EDOUARD may become first major 2014 Atlantic hurricane

EDOUARD, currently a Cat. 2 hurricane, is set to become the first major hurricane of the 2014 Atlantic season in the next few hours, said the National Hurricane Center.

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Ferocious Fire Forces Hundreds of Evacuations in SoCal

Posted by feww on September 14, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
RISING TEMPERATURES
LIGHTNING STORMS
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 800, 797, 777, 555, 444, 311, 111, 101, 100, 070, 03, 02
.

Another Major Fire Threatens Hundreds of Homes in Drought-Stricken Calif.

The Silverado Fire has consumed about 650 hectares in the Cleveland National Forest burning through brush and chaparral and threatening 217 homes amid California’s record drought and 3-digit, record-high temperatures.

The fire started Friday morning near the 30500 block of Silverado Canyon Road and is expected to continue through the weekend. At this time the fire is headed northeast, said Inciweb.

Approximately 738 fire personnel are now on site with 10 rotary and 5 fixed-wing aircraft currently in use.

An evacuation order affecting approximately 217 homes remains in place from 30331 Silverado Canyon Road east to the end of the road.”

Excessive Heat Warning: DANGEROUSLY HOT WEATHER EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY

The National Weather Service (NWS) has issued an Excessive Heat Warning for the valleys of Los Angeles and Ventura counties as well as  Santa Monica Mountains warning of heat indices rising to 110 degrees (44.3°C).

Red Flag Warnings

Red Flag Warnings remain in effect for southern California, as well as NW Oregon, W Washington state, and SW Wyoming, as of posting.

Additional Information

Related Links

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Global Disasters/ Significant Events – September 13, 2014

Posted by feww on September 13, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
NATIONAL DISASTER DECLARATION
STATES OF EMERGENCY
MAJOR CATASTROPHES
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE FLOODING
EARTHQUAKE

MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 900, 444, 111, 078, 070, 066, 023, 09, 04, 02
.

Major Disaster Declared in Hawaii

The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the State of Hawaii in the area affected by Tropical Storm ISELLE  during the period of August 7-9, 2014.

Tropical Storm ISELLE caused significant damage in the counties of Hawaii and Maui.

On September 5, the Hawai‘i County Mayor signed a state of emergency proclamation lava flow in the Wao Kele O Puna area extended to less than 1.5km from the edge of the Ka‘ohe Homesteads subdivision, said the mayor’s office.

Major Disaster Declared in California

The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the State of California in the area affected by an earthquake during the period of August 24 to September 7, 2014.

The quake caused significant damage in the counties of Napa and Solano.

Major Disaster Declared in Guam

The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the Territory of Guam in the area affected by Tropical Storm HALONG during the period of July 28-31, 2014.

State of Emergency Declared in Mississippi’s DeSoto County

Gov. Bryant has declared a state of emergency in Mississippi’s DeSoto County after a line of severe storms pounded the northern part of the state and Tennessee, said a report.

Residents at the Savannah Creek Apartments in Southaven, Miss., were evacuated by the U.S. Coast Guard using rafts, the report said.

Up to seven inches of rain fell over a 100-hour period inundating scores of homes and roads Thursday, with the the cities of Southaven and Horn Lake being the worst hit areas.

St. John Parish School Board Declares State of Emergency

The School Board in St. John the Baptist Parish, Louisiana, has declared a state of emergency after a deadly brain-eating amoeba was found in the water supply in August, said a report.

The amoeba is only dangerous if it gets into the nasal cavity, throught which it can reach the brain, according to Louisiana Department of Health and Hospitals.

Death Toll Continues to Climb in Pakistan-India Floods

Extreme Rain Events and widespread flooding have killed at least 600 people in Pakistan and India, injuring hundreds more across the two countries, and affecting millions of others.

Meantime, Water levels in north Kashmir continued to rise, causing major concern, said Jammu & Kashmir chief minister on Saturday.

Crops over millions of hectares have been destroyed or damaged.

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Floodwaters Submerge Jammu and Kashmir Capital

Posted by feww on September 10, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
NATIONAL DISASTER DECLARATION
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAJOR CATASTROPHES
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
DEADLY FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS 900, 444, 111, 078, 070, 066, 023, 02
.

Hundreds of thousands marooned by floods in India-held Kashmir

Srinagar, the capital of the Indian State of Jammu and Kashmir, is almost completely submerged by floodwaters.

Famous for its gardens, the city of 1.3 million is situated in the Kashmir Valley and lies on the banks of the Jhelum River, a tributary of the mighty Indus.

Floodwaters have also submerged more than 2,500 villages, killing about 500 people, as well as scores of livestock, on both sides of the Kashmiri political divide.

“The situation in Kashmir Valley is still very grim, it is quite critical,” said the police Inspector General of the Jammu region in Jammu and Kashmir state.

“I don’t know how many exactly, but there are many stuck in neck-deep water and need help as soon as possible,” he said.

“The damage is shocking,” said another senior official. “People have been stranded on the rooftops of their homes for the last three days in some parts of Kashmir.”

Meantime, Punjab has declared states of emergency in 21 districts that are directly affected by the floodwaters from river Jhelum, said a report.

Related Links

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Deadly Storms Cut Power to 600,000+ Homes, Businesses in Midwest

Posted by feww on September 7, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
HIGH WINDS
DEADLY STORMS
SCENARIOS 900,  888, 444, 178, 111, 070, 066, 064, 08, 07 
.

Killer storms wreak havoc in U.S. Midwest

A line of killer storms brought heavy winds, torrential rains and lightning to Illinois and Michigan, uprooting trees, downing power lines and leaving at least two people dead, said officials on Saturday, Reuters reported.

Hundreds of thousands of Michigan residents were left without power, with the the Detroit area being  the hardest hit, AP reported.

Wind gusts of more than 120 km/h (75 mph) downed more than 2,000 power lines Friday, said DTE Energy Co, leaving hundreds of thousands of homes and businesses without power.

“An Illinois woman died Saturday of injuries she sustained when she was struck by a falling tree and a Michigan man was electrocuted after touching a power line,” Reuters reported local media as saying.

Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events

“Mystery virus” infecting hundreds of children across the US

A severe respiratory illness is sickening hundreds of children across the U.S., according to reports describing disease as a “mystery virus.”

“The disease hasn’t been officially identified but officials suspect a rare respiratory virus called human enterovirus 68. According to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the virus is related to the rhinovirus, which causes the common cold,” ABC reported.

The disease is said to be similar to a common cold, but is more severe. Symptoms include high fever,  breathing difficulty, and a wheezing couch.

“Officials at Children’s Hospital Colorado said they have treated more than 900 children since Aug. 18 for severe respiratory illness and admitted 86 to the hospital,” said a report.

Hundreds of additional cases have also been reported in Illinois, Missouri and Ohio.

Significant Seismic Activity Continues at Bardarbunga Volcano

Researchers monitoring Iceland’s massive volcano reported a total of 70 earthquakes between midnight and 08:00GMT on September 7,  2014, said IMO. The largest quake measuring magnitude M5.7  occurred at 07:08 in the Bárðarbunga caldera. “The lava has reached Jökulsá á Fjöllum. Steaming occurs.”  [The quake was later downgraded to magnitude 5.4  — Editor]

Another significant quake measuring M5.0 occurred Saturday morning some 7.2km NE of Bárðarbunga, said IMO.

Large changes on the ice surface: up to 15 m subsidence has occurred in the centre of Bárðarbunga caldera [which corresponds to a volume change of 0.25 km³]. There are no signs of eruption or increased geothermal activity in the caldera.The main eruptive activity is on the fissure that has been active since the eruption began. In addition, the fissure that opened yesterday morning is still active. Depressions in the ice have grown deeper.

The shape of the subsidence area is in accordance with the elevation of the caldera floor having lowered by that amount. [IMO]

 Deadly Floods Force Evacuations in S. Italy

Several people are dead or reported missing as severe floods inundated large parts of southern Italy forcing more than 1,000 families to evacuate.

Rainfall in the region has been the heaviest in at least 80 years, officials said.

Thousands evacuated as Hurricane NORBERT lashes Mexico’s Pacific coast

More than 2,500 people were evacuated as Hurricane NORBERT inundated large areas along Mexico’s Pacific coast, damaging at least 1,500 homes, officials said.

The hurricane also severely flooded the coastal town of San Carlos [population: ~7,000,] after levees protecting the area were breached by storm surges.

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Crop Disasters Declared in Six States

Posted by feww on September 5, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
HIGH WINDS
HAIL STORM
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS 900,  888, 444, 178, 111, 064 
.

Excessive rain, high winds, and hail storm destroy crops in six states

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated a total of 27 counties in six states–Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Montana, Nevada–as crop disaster areas due to losses caused by extreme rain events, high winds and hail storm.

Wind, Rain and Flooding

  •  Hawaii. Hawaii County has been designated as a Crop Disaster Area due to wind, rain and flooding that occurred Aug. 7-9, 2014.

Hail Storm

The following counties have been declared crop disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by a hail storm that occurred May 21, 2014.

  • Illinois. Vermilion, Champaign, Douglas, Edgar, Ford and Iroquois counties.
  • Indiana. Benton, Vermillion and Warren counties.

Extreme Rain Event

The following counties have been declared crop disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by excessive rain that occurred Aug. 3-7, 2014.

  • Idaho. Jerome, Twin Falls, Cassia, Gooding, Minidoka, Elmore, Lincoln and Owyhee counties.
  • Nevada. Elko County.

High Winds and Hail

The following counties have been declared crop disaster areas due to high winds and hail that occurred Aug. 14, 2014.
  • Idaho. Clearwater, Idaho, Latah, Lewis, Nez Perce and Shoshone counties.
  • Montana. Mineral and Missoula counties.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared at least 2,240 separate crop disasters across 35 states. Most of those designations are due to the worsening drought.

  • Those states are Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, Utah and Washington, Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The total number of counties designated as agricultural disaster areas includes both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on August 13, 2014.

Crop Disaster Links

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Kilauea Lava Flow Could Affect Thousands on Hawaiʻi Island

Posted by feww on September 5, 2014

VOLCANIC HAZARDS
STATE OF EMERGENCY PROCLAMATION
MASS EVACUATIONS
LOSS OF HABITAT
CROP DESTRUCTION
SCENARIOS 787, 444, 070, 047, 017, 07, 02
.

Lava from Kilauea Volcano advancing 250 meters per day

Hawai‘i County Mayor has signed a state of emergency proclamation due to  the advancing lava flow in the Wao Kele O Puna area after the flow extended to less than 1.5km from the edge of the Ka‘ohe Homesteads subdivision, said the mayor’s office.

It’s believed that at least 8,211 people (based on 2010 Census) residing in the subdivision of Hawaiian Beaches are directly threatened by the lava flow. However, the number is unrepresentative of the present population since the District of Puna is the fastest growing population in the State, said the Mayor’s Proclamation.

“We are taking this step to ensure our residents have time to prepare their families, their pets, and their livestock for a safe and orderly evacuation from Ka‘ohe in the event the flow continues to advance,” said Mayor Kenoi.

No evacuation orders have yet been issued, said Hawaii County Civil Defense; however, the risk of lava flow affecting the  subdivision is increasing daily.

Kilauea Volcano Warning Issued by Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO)

Thursday, September 4, 2014, 10:45 AM HST (2014-09-04 @ 20:45UTC)

Volcanic Activity Summary: On June 27, 2014, new vents opened on the northeast flank of the Pu‘u ‘O‘o cone that fed a narrow lava flow to the east-northeast. On August 18, the flow entered a ground crack, traveled underground for several days, then resurfaced to form a small lava pad. The sequence was repeated twice more over the following days with lava entering other cracks and reappearing farther downslope. In this way, the flow had advanced approximately 13.2 km (8.2 miles) from the vent, or to within 1.3 km (0.8 miles) of the eastern boundary of the Wao Kele o Puna Forest Reserve, by the afternoon of September 3. Overnight, lava did not appear to advance farther east within the crack system, but surface flows advanced about 100 m to the northeast. At the average rate of advancement of 250 m/day (820 ft/day) since July 10, we project that lava could reach the Kaohe Homesteads boundary within 5-7 days should lava resume advancing within the crack system.

Kaohe Homesteads is located between the Wao Kele o Puna Forest Reserve and the town of Pāhoa in the Puna District of the County of Hawai`i.

Current Volcano Alert Level: WARNING
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Recent Observations:
[Volcanic cloud height] SO2, low ash emissions continue from Kīlauea caldera, TFR in place.
[Other volcanic cloud information] none
[Lava flow/dome] June 27th Lava Flow continues to advance.

Hazard Analysis:
[Lava flow/dome] Lava Flow from Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō vent could advance to Kaohe Homesteads within a week.

Remarks: The Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō vent in the East Rift Zone of Kīlauea Volcano began erupting on January 3, 1983, and has continued erupting for more than 31 years, with the majority of lava flows advancing to the south. Over the past two years, lava flows have issued from the vent toward the northeast. The June 27th flow is the most recent of these flows and the first to threaten a residential area since 2010-2011.

June 27th lava flow front reemerges from ground crack, continues advancing eastward (HVO)


The June 27th lava flow remains active, with lava at the flow front issuing from a ground crack and advancing through thick forest, creating dense plumes of smoke. The farthest lava this afternoon was 13.2 km (8.2 miles) from the vent on Puʻu ʻŌʻō, and 1.3 km (0.8 miles) from the eastern boundary of the Wao Kele o Puna forest reserve. This forest reserve boundary is at the western boundary of Kaohe Homesteads subdivision, a portion of which is visible at the bottom of the photograph. (Source: HVO)


The surface flows at the front of the June 27th lava flow are fed by lava that is supplied through a lava tube that originates at the vent on Puʻu ʻŌʻō. This thermal image shows the lava tube close to Puʻu ʻŌʻō. Although the lava is several meters (yards) beneath the surface, it heats the surface sufficiently to be easily detected with thermal cameras. 

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Drought Destroys Crops, Livelihoods across Central America

Posted by feww on September 4, 2014

EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAJOR DISASTERS
DROUGHT IN CENTRAL AMERICA
CROP DISASTERS
COFFEE RUST PLAGUE
RISING FOOD PRICES
HUNGER
SCENARIOS 808, 444, 300, 277, 255, 100, 03, 02
.

Drought leaves millions hungry in Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras, Nicaragua

Drought has destroyed crops and devastated livelihoods across the so-called “Dry Corridor,” a drought-prone area shared by Guatemala, El Salvador, Honduras and Nicaragua, said the world Food program (WFP).

“Some 2.5 million people in Central America need food assistance due to the combined impact of severe drought, the Coffee Rust plague and a spike in food prices. WFP is working with the governments of Guatemala, Honduras and Nicaragua to provide food assistance to 1.4 million people, but there are challenges.”

Millions of  subsistence farmers and day-to-day laborers in Central America “are in a critical situation due to the combination of three factors,” said WFP Regional Director for Latin America and the Caribbean.

“First, they lost their subsistence crops, mostly beans and maize, to the drought. Second, due to the outbreak of the Coffee Rust plague in 2012, coffee production dropped and so did the demand for jobs and the families’ income. And finally, a shortage of beans and maize has caused a rise in food prices in all countries.”

“Some families resort to dangerous survival tactics, such as skipping or reducing the size of meals. Others simply stop sending their children to school to save money. Others send the head of households to Mexico or the United States to find jobs,” he said.

Conditions are expected o deteriorate further early next year because of  poor harvests, forecasters said..

“These people grow mostly maize and beans to feed their families, but these crops demand lots of water,” he added.

Meantime, Guatemala has declared a state of emergency after more than ¼ million families lost their crops due to the drought.

 

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$45-Million Wildfire Forces Mass Evacuations in California

Posted by feww on September 4, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
RISING TEMPERATURES
LIGHTNING STORMS
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 800,797, 777, 555, 444, 311, 111, 101, 100, 070, 03, 02
.

Extreme fire conditions prompts mass evacuations near California-Oregon border

A fast-moving wildfire in the Klamath National Forest near California-Oregon border is exhibiting extreme conditions amid rising temperatures, high winds and very low relative humidity, prompting officials to extend mandatory evacuation orders over a large area.

The lightning-sparked ‘Happy Camp Complex Fire’ has been burning in the Klamath National Forest since August 11, blackening about 77,000 acres, according to Inciweb.

Fire Details
Date Started: August 11, 2014
Containment: 19 percent for the complex (Zone 1 + Zone 2)
Size: 76,959 acres total for the complex
Total Personnel: 2,847
Estimated Cost to Date: $44.7 million
Committed Resources: 91 crews, 13 helicopters, 133 engines, 21 dozers, 44 water tenders, 29 mules, 8 horses

The Klamath National Forest is under an emergency closure. An evacuation center for both zones was established at the Winema Hall of the Siskiyou County Fairgrounds in Yreka, CA.

Zone 1:  Mandatory evacuations remain in place along the Scott Valley Road, south of highway 96 from Johnsons Bar to Seiad Valley. Additional mandatory evacuations include the area north of highway 96 from Johnsons Bar to Seiad Valley.

Zone2: Scott River Road remains closed and under mandatory evacuation from Johnson Bar south to Bridge Flat. Traffic along the Scott River Road is being monitored by Siskiyou County Sheriff’s Department.

[Previous evacuation orders were issued for about 300 homes, but no information is yet released regarding the extended evacuation areas.]

Red Flag Warnings

Red Flag Warnings remain in effect for the entire western Oregon and large parts of northern California, as of posting.

Additional Information

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‘NATO is a destabilizing global force’

Posted by feww on September 3, 2014

Sent by a reader [Edited by JW]

PERPETUAL MILITARIZATION
NATO EXPANSION
HEGEMONY OVER WORLD’S RESOURCES
GLOBAL CONFLICTS
FORCED DISPLACEMENT
ABSOLUTE POVERTY
COLLAPSE
SCENARIOS 717, 444, 300, 255, 244, 220, 219, 069, 049, 031, 028, 04, 02
.

NATO risks provoking a new Cold War —CND General-Secretary

Britain’s Ministry of Defense (MoD) is placing a an order with General Dynamics worth £3.5 billion [$5.7billion] for 590 Scout Specialist Vehicles—the largest MoD order for armored vehicles since the Cold War (I). 

The vehicles will be “highly-agile, tracked, medium-weight armored fighting vehicle, providing British troops with state-of-the-art best-in-class protection,” said world’s 4th largest defense contractor.

Details of the deal were released to coincide with the NATO summit on Thursday, where President Obama is expected to call on European leaders to honor their military spending commitments and allocate at least 2 percent of their nations’ GDP to buying weapons.

“With the second-largest defense budget in NATO, meeting NATO’s 2 percent of GDP spending target and investing in new capabilities to deal with the emerging threats, we are ensuring Britain’s national security, staying at the forefront of the global race and providing leadership within NATO,” said Britain’s Prime Minister David Cameron.

Meantime, Britain is spending about $80million on security operations during the summit, which has begun in Newport, Wales. Some 10,000 police officers, drafted from forces across the UK, will be protecting at least 61 heads of states and hundreds of VIPs from protesters.

The authorities have erected a 20-km ‘ring of steel’  to guard the summit.

NATO Expansion

Nato expansion
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has almost doubled in size—from 16 member states in 1990 to 28 in 2009. An additional 22 countries participate in NATO’s “Partnership for Peace program.”  Also, 15 other countries are involved in various programs. The combined military spending of NATO members amounts to more than 70% of the global total. Members have agreed to allocate 2% of their national GDP on military spending. Image source: automaticearth

“NATO is a destabilizing global force”

“Far from promoting security, NATO is a destabilizing global force,” said CND General-Secretary Kate Hudson.

“Its war of aggression in Afghanistan has killed tens of thousands and left that country fragmented: the ripples of which are being felt across the region.”

“Through its insatiable expansion into Eastern Europe, capitalizing on the vacuum left following the collapse of the USSR, NATO has contributed to heightening tensions around Russia and Ukraine, and risks provoking a new Cold War.”

“NATO has shown itself for what it is: an interventionist, expansionist, military club which favours threats over diplomacy.”

“We don’t want US/NATO nukes on European soil. We don’t want its wars of aggression. And we’re here to challenge this aggressive alliance which makes all of us less safe. Tens of millions around the world want peace, justice and an end to NATO.”

Related Links

Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament (CND)

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GLOBAL DISASTERS/ SIGNIFICANT EVENTS, SEP. 2, 2014

Posted by feww on September 2, 2014

STATE TERRORISM IN UKRAINE
MASS DISPLACEMENT
VOLCANIC ERUPTION
SIGNIFICANT SEISMIC EVENTS
BARDARBUNGA VOLCANO
TAVURVUR VOLCANO
TUNGURAHUA VOLCANO
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE FLOODING IN SW CHINA, E. PAKISTAN, S. SWEDEN
SCENARIOS 888, 444, 200, 069, 023, 017, 09, 08, 07
.

1 Million Ukrainians Displaced by Conflict

More than 1 million people have been displaced since the conflict began in Ukraine, says the United Nations refugee agency (UNHCR).

“It’s safe to say you have over a million people now displaced as a result of the conflict, internally and externally together,” Reuters quoted director of the UNHCR’s bureau for Europe, as saying.

“I mean 260,000 [internally displaced] in Ukraine—it’s a low estimate—and 814,000 [have fled to] Russia.”

There has been a surge in the number of war refugees internally displaced in Ukraine since about mid August, local media reported.

Bardarbunga Eruption

Volcanic activity continues in Holuhraun lava filed webcam images show, The rate of flow remains steady with no visible change in activity since Monday, with effusive lava eruption and fountains, said IMO.

The largest earthquake to hit the volcano system measured 3.1Mw, which occurred in the northern part of the magma field with additional seismicity detected beneath the glacier rim.

IMO said:

  • The eruption has not created any ash-fall. A white plume of steam and gas rises from the eruption on Holuhraun, reaching an elevation of about 4.5 km above sea level. Downwind, a volcanic cloud extends from the eruption site. Yesterday afternoon a white cloud from the eruption extended 60 km to the north-north-east.
  • In comparison to yesterday, more [sulfur] dioxide has been measured in the eruption cloud.
  • Sandstorms on the floodplain around the eruption site have contributed fine-grained particles to the eruption cloud. This was seen as a light-brown haze earlier today near to Egilsstaðir.
  • The eruptive fissure is about 1.5 km in length, positioned about 4.5 km from the ice margin of Dyngjujökull.
  • At 14:00 UTC yesterday, the lava flow was 4.2 km2 in area. At 08:00 UTC the edge had extended 1.5 km to the east-south-east.

 Tungurahua shows  increased activity: Ecuador Seismologists

Dozens of explosions were recorded at the volcano on Monday, as experts warned of renewed sudden increases in explosive activity.

The volcano has been ejecting plumes of ash to heights of about to 3km since Wednesday.

The 5,023-m volcano has been active since 1999, and has shown signs of increased activity since February 1, 2014.

Throat of Fire,” as it’s known in the in the local Quechua language, is one of nine or so active volcanoes in Ecuador, located about 140 km  south of the capital, Quito.

 Flash Floods in Sweden and Denmark

Extreme Rain Events triggered flash floods causing traffic chaos in Sweden and Denmark, submerging occupied vehicles, and forcing the evacuation of residents in some areas, AP reported.

Some 120mm (4.7 inches) of rain fell in about three hours, inundating the Danish capital, Copenhagen.

Many Dead or Missing after Severe Flooding in SW China

Extreme Rain Events triggered widespread flash floods and landslides in southwest China’s Chongqing Municipality, leaving dozens dead or missing, said a report.

 

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‘Red Warning’ Issued for Iceland Volcano

Posted by feww on August 31, 2014

FISSURE ERUPTION
VOLCANIC SEISMICITY
BARDARBUNGA VOLCANO

SCENARIOS 023, 017, 09, 08, 07
.

New fissure eruption near Bardarbunga prompts ‘Red Alert’

Iceland has once again raised its aviation warning to the highest level after a new fissure eruption in Holuhraun lava field near Bardarbunga volcano.

Volcanologists monitoring restive Bardarbunga observed a fissure eruption at 05:15GMT on Sunday, said IMO.

“It appears that the eruptive fissure is longer than in the last eruption. It is extending north and south on the same . The eruption is a very calm lava eruption and can hardly be seen on seismometers. Visual observation confirm it is calm, but continuous.”

Currently, only lava is erupting, but no ash has been observed, added IMO.

Sunday eruption from a new fissure in Holuhraun lava field

fissure eruption  31aug14- Xinhua photo
Image via Xinhua.

BGO-20140831-065151-IMO
Photo: Benedikt Gunnar Ófeigsson/IMO. Image may be subject to copyright

The eruption prompted IMO to raise the aviation warning code to ‘red’ for the large area that houses the Bardarbunga volcanic system.

The new fissure is located very close to the Friday’s, with the fracture extending further to the north, said a researcher.

The latest eruption is said to be far more more intense than Friday’s, with the lava flow estimated to be more than 10 times greater.

Meantime, seismicity continues on a 15-km-long region of the dyke intrusion, said IMO, “extending both into the Dyngjujökull glacier and the region north of the ice margin. Earthquakes have not migrated northwards during the last two days.”

An estimated 500 million cubic meters of lava has flowed from beneath the volcano in a long dyke since last week.

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GLOBAL DISASTERS/ SIGNIFICANT EVENTS, Aug. 30, 2014

Posted by feww on August 30, 2014

VOLCANIC ERUPTION
SIGNIFICANT SEISMIC EVENTS
BARDARBUNGA VOLCANO
TAVURVUR VOLCANO
DROUGHT MEGA DISASTER
SCENARIOS 808, 800, 444, 023, 017, 09, 08, 07, 03, 02
.

Another Significant Quake Strikes Iceland’s Bardarbunga Volcano

Centered at 64.844°N, 16.858°W [about 18.0km ENE of Kistufell] the quake struck at a depth of 5.4km on Saturday, said IMO.

The shock occurred beneath Bardarbunga’s main volcano at 07:03 GMT, said IMO, adding that they had not observed any new eruptions.

Iceland’s Earthquake Count [48 hrs to13:40 GMT on Aug 30]:

Magnitude less than 1Mw: 494
Magnitude 1 to 2Mw: 1627
Magnitude 2 to 3Mw: 228
Magnitude 3 or greater: 16
Total: 2,365
Source: IMO Earthquake Count


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


Drought Destroys Crops in N China

Recent drought in northern China has destroyed crops in much of northern China, leaving scores of people without food or drinking water, according to authorities, said Xinhua, China’s official news agency.

The regions include the provinces of Liaoning, Henan, Jilin, Hebei and Hubei as well as Inner Mongolia and Ningxia Hui autonomous regions, said the report, citing the country’s Ministry of Civil Affairs.

Liaoning province has experienced its worst drought since 1951, with about half million hectares of crops destroyed. The grain production in the province is expected to decline by 5 billion kg this year, said the report.

Severe Drought in Hebei

“Lingering droughts have spread to most parts of Hebei, a major grain-producing region in China, affecting 1.25 million hectares of crops, said the provincial water resources department.”

Large numbers of livestock are also short of water. Average precipitation in the province through mid-August was 21 mm, about 50 percent less than the average for the period, said the report.

Record Drought Kills Scores of Livestock in Xinjiang

“A prolonged drought in northwest China’s Xinjiang has left about 200,000 people in need of emergency aid, including drinking water, said the region’s civil affairs department.” Xinhua reported.

“In seven counties of the Kazakh Autonomous Prefecture of Ili in northern Xinjiang, more than half a million people and 3.46 million head of livestock have been affected. Some 7,700 cattle have died.”

“Herders are concerned how their livestock will survive the winter due to the destruction of fodder by the drought. Over 4.3 million mu (287,000 hectares) of crops and 22.8 million mu of pastures have suffered, with direct economic losses of 4.3 billion yuan (700 million U.S. dollars).”

Nationally, the drought has affected about 3 million hectares of crops.

“Artificial rain has failed to relieve the situation.”

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MAJOR DISASTERS/ SIGNIFICANT EVENTS, Aug. 29, 2014

Posted by feww on August 29, 2014

VOLCANIC ERUPTION
SIGNIFICANT SEISMIC EVENTS
BARDARBUNGA VOLCANO
TAVURVUR VOLCANO
SCENARIOS 023, 017, 09, 08, 07
.

Fissure eruption reported in Holuhraun lava field, Dyngjujokull glacier, Iceland

The eruption breached surface in Holuhraun lava field about 5km north of Dyngjujokull about 00:02 GMT on Friday, said IMO.

Seismic activity has decreased as a result of the pressure release, however a significant amount of earthquakes is still detected in the magma dike, between the eruption site and south to about 5 km into Dyngjujökull.

The aviation color-code was raised to “red” and back to “orange,” as there was no ash emission.

A significant shock measuring 5.2Mw centered at 64.770°N, 17.335°W occurred at a depth of 7.5km at 12:21UTC, said USGS/EHP.

Tavurvur Volcano Erupts in Papua New Guinea (PNG)

Mount Tavurvur on PNG’s East New Britain Island erupted violently at 3.00 a.m. local time,  said Rabaul Volcanological Observatory.

It ejected plumes of smoke and ash to a height of about 17,000m over the South Pacific island country, forcing the authorities to warn local residents to stay indoors, and causing airlines to alter some flight paths.

“Flight paths between Sydney and Narita (Tokyo) and Sydney and Shanghai have been altered as a result of the volcanic ash cloud over Rabaul in eastern Papua New Guinea,” Qantas spokeswoman told Reuters.

The eruption reached the top of the atmosphere at 50,000 feet, which is the same height as which planes travel, could disrupt air flights from Australia, said the Volcanic Ash Advisory Center in Darwin, Australia.

M5.6 Quake Strikes South of Athens, Greece

Centered at 36.738°N, 23.757°E, about 137km south of Athens, the quake struck at a depth of 91.8km, said USGS/EHP.

The quake was felt in Athens; however, there were no reports of casualties or severe damage, as of posting.

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Aftershocks Continue to Rattle Northern California

Posted by feww on August 26, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARD
VOLCANIC HAZARD
SCENARIOS 09, 08, 07
.

Dozens of Aftershocks Hit Napa County

More than a 100 aftershocks of all magnitudes have struck southern Napa County following a 6.0Mw quake that struck on August 24, causing an estimated $1billion in damages and injuring about 200 people.

Centered at 38.182°N, 122.302°W the largest aftershock  so far measured 3.9Mw striking at a depth of 11.7km (7.3mi), said USGS/EHP.

Another cluster of of more than 200 shocks has occurred near Geysers, California.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of  information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as previously stated.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to resurgence of militarism in that country and other reasons, as previously stated.


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


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Million People Left Homeless in Bangladesh Flooding

Posted by feww on August 26, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR DISASTERS
FLOOD DISASTER
CROP DISASTERS
MASS DISPLACEMENT
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 101, 078, 070, 066, 023, 03, 02
.

Floodwaters threaten densely populated Bangladesh capital, Dhaka

Extreme Rain Events have triggered severe flooding across Bangladesh, destroying homes, public infrastructure and croplands.

Up to a million people have already fled their homes, as floodwaters threaten the densely populated capital, Dhaka.

“Over the next couple of days the flood situation around Dhaka [could] further deteriorate,” warned an official at the Flood Forecasting and Warning Center.

“The main rivers continue to flow above danger levels due to heavy rainfall upstream in India. We expect the situation to worsen in the next 72 hours.”

Flooding has destroyed large swathes of croplands in dozens of districts, killing scores of livestock.

“I’ve lost my home and my rice,” said a farmer in the northern district of Rangpur. “My two cows are also missing. I don’t know how I’ll survive the year.”

Extreme Weather and Climate Events have claimed more than half million lives in the country over the past 4 decades.

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Strong Quake Strikes Peru

Posted by feww on August 25, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARD
SCENARIOS 023, 09, 08, 07
.

Magnitude 6.9 earthquake strikes near Tambo, Peru

Centered at 14.586°S, 73.578°W the quake struck at a depth of 101.0km (62.8mi), said USGS/EHP.

There were no reports of casualties or major damage, as of posting.

The quake zone is reportedly plagued by multiple copper, silver and gold mines.

EQ Details

Event Time:  2014-08-24 23:21:45 UTC
Location: 14.586°S 73.578°W depth=101.0km (62.8mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 43km (27mi) ENE of Tambo, Peru
  • 61km (38mi) ENE of Puquio, Peru
  • 105km (65mi) S of Andahuaylas, Peru
  • 129km (80mi) SW of Abancay, Peru
  • 467km (290mi) SE of Lima, Peru

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


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Major Wildfires Threaten Hundreds of California Homes

Posted by feww on August 19, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
RISING TEMPERATURES
LIGHTNING STORMS
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 800,797, 777, 555, 444, 311, 111, 101, 100, 070, 03, 02
.

Mass evacuations continue due to California wildfires

Major wildfires burn across California assisted by high temperatures and exceptional drought conditions.

The following information mirror postings by InciWeb, CalFire, and other sources.

Junction Fire Incident Information

Date/Time Started: August 18, 2014 1:50 pm  [Updated: August 19, 2014 6:15 am]
County: Madera County
Location: off Road 425A, near the Hwy 41 and Hwy 49 junction in Oakhurst
Acres Burned – Containment: 1,200 acres;  zero percent containment
Structures Threatened: 500
Structures Destroyed: 8
Evacuations are in effect for the following areas: Mandatory
Road 620 between Highway 41 and Lone Oak Lane
Jean Road East, Jean Road West, Scott Road and Taylor Mountain
All residence and business between Highway 41 North from Road 426 to Road 620

Advisory: Sky Ranch Road, and the community of Cedar Valley

Evacuation Shelters:

  • Yosemite Lakes Community Church, 43840 Patrick, Coarsegold CA
  • Coarsegold Community Center, 35540 Highway 41, Coarsegold CA

Injuries: 2
Cause: Under Investigation
Total Fire Personnel: 469
Total Fire Engines: 51
Total Fire crews: 14
Long/Lat: -119.6581/37.3433
Conditions: Extreme fire conditions related to the current drought situation have hampered containment.

California Junction Fire (FM-5074)  – Fire Management Assistance Declaration declared on August 19, 2014

Way Fire

Way Fire reported at approximately 3:00 pm, Monday, August 18th.
The fire is 3,000 acres, as of posting.

The Way fire is located in Wofford Heights on the North side of Hwy 155 on lands administered by the Forest Service, Bureau of Land Management and Kern County Fire Department.

Road closures are in effect on Hwy 155 at Sierra Vista, Adams, Mountain View and Rock Haven.

  • Evacuations are in effect in Wofford Heights on Bristle Cone, Sycamore, Sireea Vista, Needhem, Llama Lane, Sgt Lane.
  • Evacuations in Kernville Burlando Road, Frontier Lane, Plater Road.
  • Evacuation center located at Kern Valley High School.

Structures are believed to have been destroyed, no known number at this time.

More structures are threatened.

California Way Fire (FM-5075) – Fire Management Assistance Declaration declared on August 19, 2014

Tecolote

Current as of 8/19/2014, 11:32:11 AM
Incident Type Wildfire
Date of Origin: Sunday August 17th, 2014 approx. 02:30 PM
Total Personnel :200
Size: 274  acres
Angeles National Forest
Significant Events: San Gabriel Canyon along Highway 39 has been evacuated.

Eiler Fire Incident Information:

The Eiler Fire exploded from just a few hundred acres to thousands between Friday and Saturday. Evacuations are ongoing for the area. Around the rest of state, red flag warnings were in effect and other fire outbreaks are a major concern. Tens of thousands of lightning strikes across Northern California have caused numerous fires.

Date/Time Started: July 31, 2014 6:04 pm [Updated on August 19, 2014 6:15 am]
Location: 12 miles southeast of Burney near Old Station, Shasta County
Acres Burned – Containment: 32,416 acres – 97% contained
Estimated – Containment: 8/20/2014
Structures Destroyed: 7 Residences, 2 Commercial and 12 Outbuildings
Evacuations:  Fire Restrictions in effect

  • Mountain View Road, 0.5 mile east of Burney High School to Hwy. 89, is now restricted to residents only.
  • Campgrounds Closed – Honn
  • Pacific Crest Trail Closed at Highway 299 to Highway 44
  • 1000 Lakes Wilderness
  • Forest closures on fire affected areas
  • For all other Forest closures refer to http://www.fs.usda.gov/detail/lassen/notices/?cid=STELPRD3811897

Injuries: 11

July Complex Fire

A storm moved across Siskiyou County on July 29, 2014 with little moisture and a significant amount of lightning—with over 955 down strikes recorded. As of August 1st, the lightning had resulted in at least 26 lightning caused fires on the Happy Camp/Oak Knoll, Salmon/Scott Ranger District, and Goosenest Ranger District.

These fires are now being managed as the July Complex; the Whites fire, Log fire, Leef fire, and Ray’s fire.

The July Complex now includes the Man Fire in the Marble Mountain Wilderness near Man Eaten Lake, about 14 miles northwest of Etna. This fire was caused by lightning on August 12 and is estimated at 180 acres.

The following Siskiyou County Sheriff’s Office evacuation order and advisories are in effect: Evacuation Orders Residents should leave immediately. · Evacuation orders are in place for the community of Sawyers Bar and the Eddy Gulch, Little North Fork, Idlewild, Mule Bridge, Robinson Flat and Whites Gulch areas. Once a person leaves, they may not be able to re-enter the evacuation area until the fire danger has passed. Exit via Sawyers Bar Road to Forks of the Salmon and then take Salmon River Road to Highway 96.

Evacuation Advisories Residents should be prepared to evacuate if fire conditions worsen.

  • An advisory is in place for the communities of Quartz Valley, Mugginsville, Greenview and South Kidder Creek.
  • An advisory is in place for the Scott Valley communities of French Creek and Sugar Creek.
  • An advisory is in place for the residents of Black Bear Ranch, Godfrey Ranch and Blue Ridge Ranch.
  • A hard closure is in place on the Sawyers Bar Road from east of Sawyers Bar to a point between Etna Summit and Etna. Only firefighting traffic is allowed on the road. See details of the Siskiyou County Sheriff’s Office evacuation orders and advisories at http://inciweb.nwcg.gov/incident/4035.

National Forest Closure Orders: A new emergency closure order has been issued for the area of the Man and Log Fires. Closure Order No. 14-05-751 on the Salmon Scott River Ranger District of the Klamath National Forest is in effect from August 16, 2014, until the Log and Man Fires are declared out.

Current Situation
Total Personnel: 1,955
Size: 34,612 Acres
Percent of Perimeter Contained: 18%

Lodge Lightning Complex (also known as Lodge LCA Fire) Incident

Date/Time Started: July 30, 2014 6:27 am [Updated: August 18, 2014 5:15 pm]
Location: Wilderness Lodge/Eel River Canyon, Mendocino County
Acres Burned – Containment: 12,535 acres – 85% contained
Injuries: 15

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Hundreds Injured after Strong Earthquake in Iran

Posted by feww on August 18, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 08, 07
.

M6.2 Quake Strikes Western Iran

 Centered at 32.739°N, 47.670°E the quake occurred at a depth of about 10.0km (6.2mi), said USGS/EHP.

The mainshock was preceded by a M5.0 foreshock, and followed by at least 8 significant aftershocks, the largest of which measured 5.8Mw as of posting.

The quakes struck western Iran, near the border with Iraq. Induced seismicity cannot be ruled out.

The quake has injured hundreds of people and caused extensive damage to buildings in the nearby town of Mour-Mouri, said news agencies quoting local media.

Iran quake 18-8-2014
EQ Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

Earthquake Details
Magnitude: 6.2Mw
Event Time: 2014-08-18 02:32:05 UTC
Location: 32.659°N 47.715°E depth=10.0km (6.2mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 36km (22mi) SE of Abdanan, Iran
  • 37km (23mi) E of Dehloran, Iran
  • 78km (48mi) WNW of Dezful, Iran
  • 81km (50mi) NW of Shush, Iran
  • 312km (194mi) ESE of Baghdad, Iraq

IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts

For detailed earthquake forecasts tune into FIRE-EARTH Reports daily @ 06:32UTC.


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Federal Disaster Declared in Washington

Posted by feww on August 15, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
MAJOR DISASTERS
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
FEDERAL DISASTER DECLARED
SCENARIOS 444, 111, 101, 023
.

Major Disaster Declared for Washington State

The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the State of Washington and ordered federal aid to supplement state, tribal, and local recovery efforts in the area affected by wildfires during the period of July 9 to August 5, 2014.

The worst affected  areas are the county of Okanogan and the Confederated Tribes of Colville Reservation.

Damage surveys are continuing in other areas, and additional counties may be designated for assistance after the assessments are fully completed said FEMA.

Latest Federal Disaster Declarations

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10,000+ Lightning Strikes Spark Scores of New Wildfires in OR, WA

Posted by feww on August 14, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME DROUGHT
LIGHTNING STORMS
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
STATE OF EMERGENCY
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 800,797, 777, 444, 311, 111, 101, 100, 070, 03, 02
.

Raindrops evaporate before hitting the ground due to extremely dry air in parts of Oregon

Some 60 of the new fires are located in Oregon and 14 others in the state of Washington. Currently, three fires are spreading, according to the authorities.

Two fire are spreading in Oregon.

  • The Rogue River Drive fire north of Medford, which has blackened  more than 600 acres and threatens more than 130 homes, as of Wednesday morning local time.
  • 15 Cent fire southeast of Burns, which has  consumed 15,000 acres.

The third fire is in Washington state:  Lost Ridge Fire west of Ellensburg has charred 200 acres.

In Oregon, raindrops evaporated before reaching the ground because of extremely low humidity on Tuesday night, allowing lightning and winds to start and fuel new fires, said a spokeswoman for the Northwest Interagency Coordination Center.

Oregon Governor Kitzhaber has issued a state conflagration emergency for the fire zone. He proclaimed a state of emergency, also due to the wildfires, on July 16.

Fire crews are currently tackling at last 26 large fires across the two states including

In Oregon:

  • The South Fork complex south of John Day has consumed more than 64,700 acres, and  is  30 percent contained.
  • The 5 Mile fire east of Joseph has charred 4,500 acres.
  • The Sommers Fire northeast of Enterprise has exploded to 27,000 acres, ttreateings ranches, historic structures, and is zero percent contained.
  • The Beaver Complex northwest of Medford has grown to 35,300 acres. The fires are about 90 percent contained.
  • The Staley complex southeast of Oakridge has burned more than 300 acres and is 15 percent contained.
  • The Bald Sisters Fire in Grant County east of Prairie City has consumed more than 1,200 acres. It is  zero percent contained.
  • The Rowena fire northwest of The Dalles has charred 3,680 acres, but is now 100 percent contained.
  • The Camp Creek complex in the Rogue River-Siskiyou National Forest, has blackened about 800 acres and is 45 percent contained.
  • The Nene Creek fire north of Warm Springs has consumed about 350 acres and is 90 percent contained.
  • The Incident 769 fire north of Condon has burned 3,000 acres. It is zero percent contained.
  • The Blaylock Canyon fire west of Arlington has consumed about 1,000 acres. The fire is also zero percent contained.

In Washington:

  • The Devil’s Elbow complex northeast of Nespelem has burned about 21,000 acres and is 10 percent contained. The fire is threatening homes, with many residents under a mandatory evacuation order.
  • The Snag Canyon fire has grown to 12,000 acres. It is 50 percent contained.
  • The Hansel Creek fire south of Leavenworth has scorched more than 1,000 acres. It is 15 percent contained.
  • The Duncan fire north of Leavenworth has consumed more than 10,500 acres and is also 15 percent contained.
  • The Little Bridge Creek fire west of Winthrop has burned about 4,200 acres and is 14 percent contained.
  • The Upper Falls fire north of Winthrop has scorched more than 8,000 acres and is only 6 percent contained.
  • The South Cle Elum Ridge fire southwest of Cle Elum has grown to about 1,000 acres, and is 15 percent contained.
  • The Chiwaukum complex near Leavenworth has charred about 14,200 acres and is 40 percent contained.
  • The Carlton Complex south of Twisp has consumed about 256,200 acres and is now 95 percent contained.
  • The Haven Lake fire northwest of Olympia has scorched about 200 acres and is zero percent contained.
  • The Enterprise fire south and southeast of Colville, which had charred more than 150 acres is now 100 percent contained, according to Inciweb.

Posted in Climate Change, environment, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Record Rainfall Causes Flash Floods in NY Suburbs

Posted by feww on August 14, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE FLOODING
SCENARIOS 888, 023
.

Up to 33cm of rain turns roads into rivers in New York Area

Record rainfall in parts of New York’s Long Island triggered severe flash floods turning roads into rivers during the morning rush hour on Wednesday.

Up to 33 cm of rain was recorded at MacArthur Airport in Islip over a 24-hour period, according to the National Weather Service (NWS) breaking the previous record of 29 cm that was set in August 2011 in the Hudson Valley during Tropical Storm Irene.

During a particularly intense two-hour period the area received “more than two months of rainfall in two hours,” said NWS.

The record rainfall contributed to at least one fatality.

Flooding shut down parts of major commuter routes and forced the closure of the Long Island Rail Road, the largest commuter railroad in the U.S.

Floodwaters reportedly destroyed a number of homes and caused sewage backup, forcing dozens of people to evacuate in southern New Jersey.

The same weather system was responsible for extreme rain events in Washington and Baltimore on Tuesday,  said NWS.

Earlier this week, at least one person died in Detroit floods after record rainfall.

Posted in Climate Change, environment, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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