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Crop Disasters Declared in Six States

Posted by feww on October 23, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
DROUGHT
HAIL, HIGH WIND
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  477, 444, 178, 111, 100, 064, 03, 02
.

Crop Disasters Declared for 21 Counties across Six States

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declared crop disasters for an additional  21 counties across six states—Georgia, Florida, Alabama, Arkansas, Missouri and Tennessee—due to the losses and damage caused by recent drought, hail and high wind.

Crop damage and losses caused by a recent drought

  • Georgia. Miller, Seminole, Baker, Decatur and Early counties.
  • Florida. Gadsden and Jackson counties.
  • Alabama. Houston

Crop damage and losses caused by high winds and hail on October 7, 2014

  • Arkansas. Craighead, Mississippi, Crittenden, Greene, Jackson, Lawrence and Poinsett counties.
  • Missouri. Dunklin and Pemiscot counties.
  • Tennessee. Dyer, Lauderdale, Shelby and Tipton counties.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least 2,682 counties across 41 states. Most of those designations are due to  drought.

Those states are

  • Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Some counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on October 22, 2014.

Latest/ Recent Crop Disaster Declarations

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Food Security Alert for Central America

Posted by feww on October 23, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
DROUGHT
COFFEE RUST (Hemileia vastatrix)
CROP DISASTERS
STATE OF EMERGENCY
FAMINE
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 817, 808, 800,  444, 300, 277, 255, 244, 111, 101, 100, 03, 02
.

Drought, Coffee Rust Threaten Food Security across Large Areas of Central America

Poor harvest caused by drought and coffee rust threaten food security across large swathes of Central America, severely affecting millions of people in Guatemala, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador, according to Famine Early Warning System (FEWS).

Poor harvests caused by severe drought and “the reduction in coffee-sector income for day laborers, and a more rapid than usual increase in the prices of some staple foods, extremely poor households across large areas of Guatemala, Nicaragua, Honduras, and El Salvador will experience a rapid deterioration in their food security in early 2015. Atypically high levels of humanitarian assistance, possibly the highest since Hurricane Mitch in 1998, will likely be required in order to avoid a food crisis,” reported FEWS.

Large swathes of central America have been experiencing severe drought since May, with the rainfall accumulation being up to 75 percent below average.

proj primera 2014 vs 2013 crops-FEWS
Estimated losses to basic grains for the 2014 harvests of Primera crops.  † For Honduras, the reference year is 2010/11. Source: Prepared by FEWS NET with data provided by national Ministries of Agriculture, and estimates

“Primera crops are estimated at between 9 and 75 percent, while losses incurred by subsistence farmers located in the worst-affected areas are expected to exceed 70 percent. Forecasts by the XLIV Central American Climate Outlook Forum indicate below-average rainfall will continue through November in all four countries, meaning that Postrera harvests are also likely to be below-average,” said FEWS.

 Honduras

The Government of Honduras declared a state of emergency for drought in the dry corridor in July, 2014.

As of last month, up to one million people (about 190,000 families) have been affected by the drought.

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China’s Largest Freshwater Lake Reduced by 1/3 in 3 Days: Report

Posted by feww on October 22, 2014

SEVERE HUMAN IMPACT
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
DROUGHT
WATER FAMINE
CROP DISASTERS
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 800, 699, 444, 200, 111, 101, 100, 090, 03, 02, 01
.

Poyang lake water level falling by 30 cm per day

“China’s largest freshwater lake, Poyang, has shrunk by one third in the past three days due to reduced water supply from the Yangtze River and little rainfall,” reported the official Xinhua news agency.

The lake’s surface area was reduced from 2,169 km² on Monday to 1,490 km² Wednesday (October 22) , a reduction of 679 km², reported the Jiangxi Provincial Hydrological Bureau.

“The water level at Xingzi hydrological station was 11.99 meters at 4 p.m. Wednesday, 2.13 meters lower than the levels in normal years. The water level is falling by 30 cm per day.”

Limited water flow from the upper Yangtze River, due to the water being diverted to hydroelectric dams, and lack of rainfall in the province were two major causes for the loss, said the bureau.

Jiangxi Province has received an average precipitation of less than 5 mm since September 20, said the report.

“The sharp fall of water levels in the lake will affect shipping and fishing as well as the water supply for nearby residents.”

From 3500 km² to just 200 km²

The average area of the lake is about 3,500 in normal years. However, it shrank to about 200 due to drought and the practice of diverting water to the Three Gorges Dam in 2012.

“Every year, when the Three Gorges reservoir stores water – to power the dam’s turbines during the winter – the flow rate in the Yangtze drops. This in turn increases the rate at which the level of Poyang lake falls, and the period of low water comes sooner,” said Ye Xuchun, a researcher at China’s Southwest University.

“The incomes in fishing villages are dropping as fast as the water in the lake. Some residents will have move on to other trades,” said Xu Bin, the author of a thesis on the socio-economic consequences of the lake’s environmental disorders. He said: “The soil of China is dry, so the Yangtze is vital. Poyang is one of the key elements and its current predicament is a warning for the future.”

Habitat for 236 Species of Birds

Poyang Lake is a vital habitat for at least 236 species of birds including various endangered species, such as oriental white stork and white crane, and more than 100 species of wintering migrants, including Siberian cranes, according to a recent survey.

 

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‘Dramatic’ Temperature Drops Reported in North China

Posted by feww on October 22, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
EXTREME TEMPERATURE FLUCTUATIONS
SNOWSTORMS
MAIN SCENARIOS 887, 808, 785, 666, 560, 444, 177, 123, 111, 063, 033, 023, 09, 02
.

Temperature Drops by 20°C in Northern China

The Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, and northeastern Chinese provinces of Heilongjiang and Jilin have experienced temperature drops of up to 20 degrees Celsius (36°F), China’s CCTV reported.

In Harbin, the highest temperature barely reached 5 degrees Celsius (41°F), said the report. “And the lowest in many cities is below zero. Heilongjiang’s Mohe has seen some heavy snowfall this season already.”

“The cold will also creep down into the southern and eastern regions, with temperature falls of up to 10 degrees Celsius, along with bouts of rain.”

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Global Temperature Reaches Record High in September: NOAA

Posted by feww on October 21, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
RISING TEMPERATURES
ECOLOGICAL COLLAPSE
SPECIES EXTINCTION 
MAIN SCENARIOS 900, 808, 800, 797,  777, 666, 555, 444, 300, 123, 111, 101, 090, 067, 066, 033, 011, 04, 03, 02, 01
.

Global temperature breaks September record; ties record highest for January-September

The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces reached a record high for September, at 0.72°C (1.30°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F), according to  NOAA National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).

Additionally, the first nine months of 2014 (January–September) tied with 1998 as the warmest such period on record, with a combined global land and ocean average surface temperature 0.68°C (1.22°F) above the 20th century average of 14.1°C (57.5°F), said NCDC.

If 2014 maintains this temperature departure from average for the remainder of the year, it will be the warmest calendar year on record. The past 12 months—October 2013–September 2014—was the warmest 12-month period among all months since records began in 1880, at 0.69°C (1.24°F) above the 20th century average. This breaks the previous record of +0.68°C (+1.22°F) set for the periods September 1998–August 1999, August 2009–July 2010; and September 2013–August 2014.

Global Highlights

  • The combined average temperature over global land and ocean surfaces for September 2014 was the highest on record for September, at 0.72°C (1.30°F) above the 20th century average of 15.0°C (59.0°F).
  • The global land surface temperature was 0.89°C (1.60°F) above the 20th century average of 12.0°C (53.6°F), the sixth highest for September on record.
  • Heating Ocean. The September global sea surface temperature was 0.66°C (1.19°F) above the 20th century average of 16.2°C (61.1°F), the highest on record for September and also the highest on record for any month.
  • The combined global land and ocean average surface temperature for the January–September period (year-to-date) was 0.68°C (1.22°F) above the 20th century average of 14.1°C (57.5°F), tying with 1998 as the warmest such period on record.

 

Details posted at: NOAA National Climatic Data Center, State of the Climate: Global Analysis for September 2014, published online October 2014, retrieved on October 20, 2014 from http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/sotc/global/2014/9

Related Links (Most Recent)

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EREs Kill Dozens, Displace 36,000 in Nicaragua

Posted by feww on October 19, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
DEADLY FLOODS & MUDSLIDES
MAJOR DISASTERS
MASS DISPLACEMENT
SCENARIOS 888, 444, 111, 070, 066, 047, 027, 023, 022, 03, 02
.

EREs kill dozens, destroy thousands of homes, displace tens of thousands in Nicaragua

Extreme rain events (EREs) since September have unleashed deadly floods in Nicaragua killing at least two dozen people,  destroying or damaging thousands of homes and leaving more than 36,000 people homeless.

The rains have severely affected 17 departments in the country, and have impacted El Salvador, Guatemala and Honduras, according to local reports.

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Global Disasters/ Significant Events – October 18, 2014

Posted by feww on October 18, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC DISASTERS
DEADLY CYCLONE
DEADLY HURRICANE
DEADLY BLIZZARD
CROP DISASTERS
STATE TERRORISM
US COVERT WAR
SCENARIOS  888, 887, 785, 444, 200, 111, 100, 071, 070, 066, 047, 027, 024, 023, 04, 02
.

Cyclone HUDHUD: At least 41 dead, tens of thousands of homes destroyed

Death toll from cyclone HUDHUD has climbed to at least 41 in the Indian states of Andhra Pradesh and Odisha, with tens of thousands of homes flattened and large swathes of crops destroyed.

Moisture carried north into Himalaya by the cyclone caused severe snowstorms in Nepal unleashing avalanches around Annapurna, the world’s 10th-highest peak (8,090m), killing at least 39 hikers, injuring nearly 200 others and leaving more than 50 missing, as of posting.

US carries out its 400th drone attack in Pakistan

US has carried out at least 400 drone strikes in Pakistan since 2004, killing about 2,400 people, but only 4% of drone victims in Pakistan were al Qaeda members, said a report.

“Only 704 of the 2,379 dead have been identified, and only 295 of these were reported to be members of some kind of armed group,” reported the  Bureau of Investigative Journalism.

US drone strikes and other US covert actions are currently being conducted in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Yemen and Somalia, said the report.

Hurricane GONZALO Slams into Bermuda

GONZALO slammed into Bermuda with winds of about 180 km/h ( category 3 hurricane) cutting power to tens of thousands of customers, and causing what is believed to be widespread damage across the 53-km² Island.

Roads are blocked by fallen trees and downed utility poles, with serious damage across the island caused by powerful winds and flooding, the Royal Gazette reported.

In 2003, Hurricane FABIAN, also a Category 3 storm, raked the island, causing about $300 million in damage.

GONAZALO caused destruction in the Caribbean earlier, killing at least one person in St. Maarten, according to reports.

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Hailstorm Destroys Crops in Colorado

Posted by feww on October 17, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
HAILSTORM
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  444, 178, 111, 066
.

Crop Disaster Declared for Colorado Counties due to Hailstorm

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declared crop disasters for six counties in the state of Colorado due to damages and losses caused by a hailstorm that occurred on July 16, 2014.

Those counties are Otero, Bent, Crowley, Kiowa, Las Animas and Pueblo.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least 2,667 counties across 41 states. Most of those designations are due to  drought.

Those states are

  • Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on October 15, 2014.

Latest/ Recent Crop Disaster Declarations

 

 

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Drought Destroys Crops in Georgia, Florida

Posted by feww on October 17, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
DROUGHT
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 100, 03, 02
.

Drought Crop Disaster declared for 19 counties across two states

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has declared crop disasters for an additional  19 counties across two states—Georgia and Florida—due to the losses and damage caused by recent drought.

Those counties are:

  • Georgia. Baker, Decatur, Mitchell, Colquitt, Grady, Thomas, Brooks,  Dougherty, Seminole, Calhoun, Early, Tift, Cook, Miller and Worth.
  • Florida. Gadsden, Jackson, Jefferson and Leon.

Crop Disasters 2014

Beginning January 10, 2014 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least 2,661 counties across 41 states. Most of those designations are due to  drought.

Those states are

  • Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

Notes:
i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Counties may have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on October 15, 2014.

Latest/ Recent Crop Disaster Declarations

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Ebola and Other Outbreaks in U.S.

Posted by feww on October 15, 2014

GLOBAL HEALTH EMERGENCY
EMERGING & RE-EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
VIRAL HEMORRHAGIC FEVERS
EBOLA HEALTH EMERGENCY IN CONNECTICUT
EBOLA EPIDEMIC IN WEST AFRICA
SCENARIOS 797, 444, 333, 080, 011
.

Ebola Outbreak: Second Texas healthcare worker ‘tests positive’ —Health officials

A second healthcare worker at Texas Health Presbyterian Hospital has tested positive for Ebola, the Texas Department of State Health Services announced on Wednesday.

The worker, who was on the team that cared for the Liberian Ebola victim Thomas Eric Duncan, was immediately isolated after reporting a fever on Tuesday, the health officials said.

“Health officials have interviewed the latest patient to quickly identify any contacts or potential exposures, and those people will be monitored.”

Another nurse, 26-year-old Nina Pham, became infected by Ebola virus while caring for Duncan, who died on October 8.

“An additional health care worker testing positive for Ebola is a serious concern, and the CDC has already taken active steps to minimize the risk to health care workers and the patient,” The U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) said in a statement.

Ebola Stats

  • At least 4,447 people have died from the outbreak, mainly in West Africa, since December 2013, according to The World Health Organization (WHO).
  • Most of the fatalities have occurred in Sierra Leone, Liberia and Guinea.
  • WHO warns the infection rate could reach 5,000 to 10,000 new cases per week by December 2014 if the response remains inadequate.

Ebola in Brief

ebola cdc

Symptoms of Ebola include

  • Fever (greater than 38.6°C or 101.5°F)
  • Severe headache
  • Muscle pain
  • Weakness
  • Diarrhea
  • Vomiting
  • Abdominal pain
  • Unexplained hemorrhage (bleeding or bruising)

Symptoms may appear anywhere from 2 to 21 days after exposure to Ebola, but the average is 8 to 10 days.

Recovery from Ebola depends on the patient’s immune response. People who recover from Ebola infection develop antibodies that last for at least 10 years. [Source: CDC]

U.S. Health Emergency

Gov. Malloy declared a “public health emergency” for the state of Connecticut last week and signed an order authorizing the Department of Public Health to quarantine potentially infected individuals/groups.

In Massachusetts and New Hampshire, the respective state health commissioners have the authority to quarantine anyone suspected of exposure to Ebola virus.

Global Health Emergency

WHO declared the Ebola outbreak in West Africa  a ‘Public Health Emergency of International Concern,’ under the International Health Regulations on August 8, 2014.

All Other U.S.-Based Outbreaks [sourced from CDC]

Outbreaks Affecting International Travelers

See the Travelers’ Health site for a complete list.

Related Links

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TY VONGFONG Batters the Radioactive Islands

Posted by feww on October 14, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
STORM SURGES, COASTAL FLOODING, FLASH FLOODS, MUDSLIDES
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
.

VONGFONG  kills at least two, injures 100 in Japan

After the Mt Ontake debacle, Japanese officials left nothing to chance issuing evacuation orders and advisories for up to a million people in at least 7 prefectures as the typhoon swept the along the radioactive islands.

VONGFONG ["the wasp" in Cantonese,] which was a super typhoon before striking Okinawa, landed near Makurazaki in Kagoshima Prefecture at about 8:30 AM local time on Monday, and was later downgraded to a severe tropical storm.

The typhoon caused substantial damage to property in numerous areas due to flooding and storm surges. Torrential rains brought by the storm triggered flash flooding and mudslides, inundating many homes and businesses.

[Note: Failure by the Japanese authorities to issue a warning before Mt Ontake eruption late September, despite the enhanced seismic activity at the volcano, led to at least 56 fatalities with 7 others still missing.  —Editor]

Related Links

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Powerful Quake Strikes Nicaragua Coast

Posted by feww on October 14, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARD
SCENARIOS 09, 08, 07, 02
.

M7.3 Strikes 67km WSW of Jiquilillo, Nicaragua

Centered at 12.576°N, 88.046°W the quake occurred at a depth of about 40.0km close to the Middle America Trench, reported USGS/EHP.

The quake was followed by at least one significant aftershock, measuring  5.0Mw, as of posting.

Tsunami Evaluation

NO Pacific-wide Tsunami was generated.

Fatalities

“Yellow alert for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses. Some casualties and damage are possible and the impact should be relatively localized. Past yellow alerts have required a local or regional level response,” according to USGS model.

Estimated economic losses are expected to be less than 1% of GDP of Nicaragua.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 7.3Mw
Event Time: 2014-10-14 03:51:35 UTC
Location: 12.576°N 88.046°W depth=40.0km (24.9mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 67km (42mi) WSW of Jiquilillo, Nicaragua
  • 86km (53mi) SSW of La Union, El Salvador
  • 95km (59mi) W of Corinto, Nicaragua
  • 95km (59mi) SSE of San Rafael Oriente, El Salvador
  • 174km (108mi) SE of San Salvador, El Salvador

Other Significant Seismicity

M6.1 – South of the Kermadec Islands

Event Time: 2014-10-14 04:12:30 UTC
Location: 34.917°S, 179.970°E depth=31.5km (19.6mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 400km (249mi) SSW of L’Esperance Rock
  • 430km (267mi) NE of Whakatane, NZ
  • 450km (280mi) NNE of Gisborne, NZ
  • 459km (285mi) NE of Tauranga, NZ
  • 840km (522mi) NE of Wellington, NZ

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Global Disasters/ Significant Events – October 12, 2014

Posted by feww on October 12, 2014

MAJOR CATASTROPHES
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
VERY SEVERE CYCLONIC STORM
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
DEADLY FLOODS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 080, 078, 071, 066, 047, 027, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 05, 02
.

Cyclone HUDHUD Batters India’s East Coast

Cyclone HUDHUD is hammering eastern Indian coast, causing widespread damage and prompting the evacuation of about 400,000 people.

The “Very Severe Cyclonic Storm,” packing winds of more than 200km/h, has killed at least14 people in the states of Andhra Pradesh and Orissa, uprooting thousands of trees, knocking down power lines and destroying or damaging thousands of hectares of crops.

The cyclone could severely affect more than 10 million people along its path.

In its latest bulletin issued at 17:00 IST, INDIA METEOROLOGICAL DEPARTMENT (IMD)  said:

The Very Severe Cyclonic Storm ‘HUDHUD’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved west- northwestwards, crossed Andhra Pradesh coast over Visakhapatnam between 1200 and 1300 hrs ISTand lay centered at1430 hours IST of 12th October 2014 near latitude 17.8ºN and longitude 83.0ºE, about 30 km west-northwest of Visakhapatnam. It would move northwestwards and weaken gradually.

HUDHUD is forecast to dump up to 245mm of rain on some areas, said IMD, warning that storm surge of about 1 meter above astronomical tide would inundate low lying areas of Visakhapatnam, Vijayanagaram and Srikakulam districts of north coastal Andhra Pradesh by 20:00 IST.

 

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Drought Decimates Water Reserve in Sao Paulo, Brazil

Posted by feww on October 11, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
STATE OF EMERGENCY
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
WATER FAMINE
CROP DISASTERS
SCENARIOS  444, 219, 111, 100, 090, 03, 02
.

Brazil’s biggest city running out of water after 9 months of exceptional drought

The governor of Sao Paulo has asked the federal government for permission to siphon the remaining water out of the main reservoir that supplies water to millions of residents in Sao Paulo city, AP reported.

More than 95% of the water in Sao Paulo’s main reservoir, the Cantareira system, has already gone.  The reservoir provides water to about 6.7 million residents.

The drought, said to be Brazil’s worst ever, has also affected at least 30 other  cities in the states of Rio de Janeiro and Minas Gerais.

The affected regions  received  less than 30 percent of the normal rain during Brazil’s wet season that runs from December to February.

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Strong Quake Strikes Japan Coast

Posted by feww on October 11, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARD
SCENARIOS 08, 07
.

M6.3 quake occurs ENE of Hachinohe, Japan

Centered at 40.986°N, 143.216°E the quake struck at a depth of 13.5km (8.4mi), said USGS/EHP.

EQ Details [USGS/EHP]

Magnitude: 6.3Mw
Event Time: 2014-10-11 02:35:46 UTC
Location: 40.986°N 143.216°E depth=13.5km (8.4mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 154km (96mi) ENE of Hachinohe, Japan
  • 160km (99mi) ENE of Misawa, Japan
  • 165km (103mi) SSE of Shizunai, Japan
  • 171km (106mi) E of Mutsu, Japan
  • 663km (412mi) NNE of Tokyo, Japan

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for Japan

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on Japan seismicity due to the resurgence of militarism in that country as well as other reasons that have been stated previously.


Other Significant Seismicity

M4.3 shock occurs near Cushing, Oklahoma

Centered at 35.964°N, 96.773°W the quake struck at a depth of about 4.3km (2.7mi), about 2km (1mi) SSW of Cushing, Oklahoma, said USGS/EHP.

EQ Details [USGS/EHP]

Event Time: 2014-10-10 13:51:21 UTC
Location: 35.964°N 96.773°W depth=4.3km (2.7mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 2km (1mi) SSW of Cushing, Oklahoma
  • 30km (19mi) ESE of Stillwater, Oklahoma
  • 59km (37mi) W of Sapulpa, Oklahoma
  • 59km (37mi) E of Guthrie, Oklahoma
  • 86km (53mi) NE of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

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Destructive Wildfire Threatens 1,000 Homes NE of Sacramento, Calif.

Posted by feww on October 10, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC HAZARDS
HISTORIC DROUGHT
STATES OF EMERGENCY
RISING TEMPERATURES
DESTRUCTIVE WILDFIRES
MASS EVACUATIONS
LOSS OF HABITAT
MASS DISPLACEMENTS
LOSS OF CROPS & LIVESTOCK
SCENARIOS 900, 800, 555, 444, 111, 101, 100, 080, 071, 070, 03, 02
.

Major wildfire threatens more than 1,000 homes, forces mass evacuations NE of Calif. state capital

The so-called Applegate Fire wildfire, which started as multiple fires along Interstate 80 near Applegate (about 65km NE of Sacramento) on Wednesday, forced the authorities to issue mass evacuation orders for multiple communities, according to Cal Fire.

Mandatory Evacuations are currently in effect for:

Pinecone Peak, Hummingbird Hill, Panorama, High View Ln, Margaret Ann, Montana, Arrora Nova, Easy Ln, Sunny Hill Dr, Sun Valley, Ponderosa to Poppy lane, Swanson Lane, Ponderosa Way to State Parks Line, Bridge Trail Way, Brushy Ridge, Hidden Ridge, Cross Road, East Ridge, Weaver Hill Lane, Weaver Hill Rd, Sundance Place, Dundee Ct, Douglas Drive, Dunvegan Dr, Heather Glen Drive, Hotchkiss Dr and Sinclair Ct.

Applegate Fire Incident Information:

Last Updated: October 9, 2014, 8:30 pm PDT
Date/Time Started: October 8, 2014 1:30 pm
County: Placer County
Location: on the eastside of Interstate 80 in the Applegate area
Acres Burned – Containment: 420 acres – 25% contained
Structures Threatened: 1,000 homes
Structures Destroyed: 6 homes & 4 outbuildings
Cause: Under Investigation

Total Fire Personnel: 1,419
Total Fire Engines: 137
Total Fire crews: 42
Total Helicopters: 11
Total Dozers: 18
Total Water Tenders: 22

Recent Wildfires in Calif.

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Hazardous Smog Shrouds Beijing, North China (AGAIN)

Posted by feww on October 9, 2014

ENVIRONMENTAL HOLOCAUST
DEADLY AIR POLLUTION
PROLONGED SMOG
SCENARIOS 797, 699, 444, 404, 402, 222
.

BEIJING AQI tops 460 and rising

Beijing authorities issued a yellow alert for air pollution on Wednesday amid rising air pollution levels, with smog forecast to continue through weekend, official Xinhua reported.

Northern China’s Hebei province (population: 75 million) and Tianjin (a northern metropolis and one of the five national central cities in China; population: ~ 16 million) and have also issued yellow alerts, the second highest on the national air pollution scale.

Air quality index (AQI) in downtown Beijing reached 462 (extremely hazardous) on Thursday at 19:00UTC, and was rising, according to http://aqicn.org

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M7.1 Quake Strikes Southern East Pacific Rise

Posted by feww on October 9, 2014

HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SEISMIC HAZARD
TSUNAMI
SCENARIOS 987, 08, 07
.

Powerful earthquake in SEPR generates 0.47-m tsunami at Easter Island/Isla de Pascua: Chilean Navy

Centered at 32.115°S, 110.779°W the quake occurred at a depth of 15.5km (9.6mi), reported USGS/EHP.

Tsunami Evaluation

The quake generated a tsunami wave amplitude of 0.47m at Easter Island/Isla de Pascua, the Pacific Tsunami Warning Center (PTWC) quoted the Chilean Navy as saying.

PTWC said a Pacific-wide destructive tsunami was not expected and there was no threat from the tsunami.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 7.1Mw
Event Time: 2014-10-09 02:14:32 UTC
Location: 32.115°S, 110.779°W depth=15.5km (9.6mi)
Nearby Cities: 565km (351mi) SSW of Hanga Roa, Chile

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M6.2 Quake Strikes Gulf of California

Posted by feww on October 8, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 070, 09, 08, 07
.

Strong earthquake stirs Gulf of California

Centered at 23.817°N, 108.423°W the quake occurred at a depth of 10.0km (6.2mi), said USGS/EHP.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 6.2Mw
Event Time: 2014-10-08 02:40:54 UTC
Location: 23.817°N, 108.423°W depth=10.0km (6.2mi)
Nearby Cities: 121km (75mi) WSW of El Dorado, Mexico


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast

For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into Fire-Earth Reports  daily @ 06:32UTC.


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as stated earlier on the blog.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to the resurgence of militarism in that country and other reasons that have also been stated previously.

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Connecticut Declares Ebola Health Emergency, Authorizes Quarantines

Posted by feww on October 8, 2014

GLOBAL HEALTH EMERGENCY
EMERGING & RE-EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES
VIRAL HEMORRHAGIC FEVERS
EBOLA HEALTH EMERGENCY IN CONNECTICUT
EBOLA EPIDEMIC IN WEST AFRICA
SCENARIOS 797, 444, 333, 080, 011
.

CT Gov. authorizes quarantines, after declaring Ebola a ‘public health emergency’

Gov. Malloy has declared a “public health emergency” for the state of Connecticut and signed an order on Tuesday authorizing the Department of Public Health to quarantine potentially infected individuals/groups.

“We are taking this action today to ensure that we are prepared, in advance, to deal with any identified cases in which someone has been exposed to the virus or, worst case, infected,” said Malloy.

“It is essential to be prepared and we need to have the authorities in place that will allow us to move quickly to protect public health, if and when that becomes necessary,” he added.

“While local health officials are certainly on the front lines of this effort, at the ready to address any situation, having this order in place will allow us to have a more coordinated response in the event that someone in Connecticut either tests positive for Ebola or has been identified as someone who is at risk of developing it,” said Commissioner Mullen of the Department of Public Health.

With the the emergency proclamation in place, “we don’t have to scramble in the event I need to take action.” said Mullen.

There are no Ebola cases currently in Connecticut, and the order is meant as a precaution in case someone with either a confirmed infection or suspected of carrying the virus enters the state.

Other U.S. states seem to have been left with little option but to follow the precedent set by the Connecticut governor.

In Massachusetts and New Hampshire, the respective state health commissioners have the authority to quarantine anyone suspected of exposure to Ebola virus.

Ebola in Brief

ebola cdc

Symptoms of Ebola include

  • Fever (greater than 38.6°C or 101.5°F)
  • Severe headache
  • Muscle pain
  • Weakness
  • Diarrhea
  • Vomiting
  • Abdominal pain
  • Unexplained hemorrhage (bleeding or bruising)

Symptoms may appear anywhere from 2 to 21 days after exposure to Ebola, but the average is 8 to 10 days.

Recovery from Ebola depends on the patient’s immune response. People who recover from Ebola infection develop antibodies that last for at least 10 years. [Source: CDC]

Global Health Emergency

WHO declared the Ebola outbreak in West Africa  a ‘Public Health Emergency of International Concern,’ under the International Health Regulations on August 8, 2014.

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Deadly Earthquake Strikes SW China

Posted by feww on October 8, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 070, 09, 08, 07
.

M6.6 Quake Kills One, Injures Hundreds in SW China

At least one person was killed and hundreds more injured after a 6.6-magnitude quake struck southwest China’s Yunnan Province, according to local officials.

The quake occurred in Jinggu County, affecting more than 90,000 people, with more than 56,000 people displaced.

The quake occurred at a shallow depth of about 5km at 21:49  (Beijing Time), destroying or severely damaging more than 20,000 houses, the official Xinhua reported.

“Yunnan has initiated the Class-I emergency response, the highest, sending rescue staff and materials to the affected areas.”

On August 3, a 6.5-magnitude earthquake struck Ludian, Yunnan, killing more than 600 people, said the report.


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast

For detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts tune into Fire-Earth Reports  daily @ 06:32UTC.


Posted in earthquake 2014, Earthquake death, earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, earthquake report, global disasters, significant events | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Lava Flow from Kilauea Advancing AGAIN on Big Island Communities

Posted by feww on October 7, 2014

VOLCANIC HAZARDS
KILAUEA JUNE 27TH LAVA FLOW
STATE OF EMERGENCY PROCLAMATION
MASS EVACUATIONS
LOSS OF HABITAT
CROP DESTRUCTION
SCENARIOS 989, 900, 797, 787, 707, 444, 070, 047, 017, 07, 02
.

Kilauea Lava Flow:  June 27th lava flow continues to advance NE at 120 m/day

The lava flow out of the continuously erupting Kilauea Volcano is slowly advancing downslope toward the town of Pāhoa (population: ~1,000) on the Big Island.

About 4,500 people could be affected by the lava flow in the coming days.

Tuesday Oct0ber 7, 2014 (UTC). Civil Defense Message: “This morning’s assessment shows that the flow front continues to be active and has advanced approximately 150 yards since yesterday.  The narrow flow front is moving along the tree line and the burning activity is producing a significant amount of smoke.  There is no brush fire threat at this time and the burning is limited to the edges of the flow only.  Due to a light southwest wind this morning the vog and smoke conditions were moderate to heavy across lower Puna to Hilo.”

[Note: Vog, a type of air pollution, is formed when sulfur dioxide and other gases and particles emitted by an erupting volcano react with oxygen and air moisture in the sunlight.]

Flow front continues advancing northeast, triggers brush fire. The June 27th lava flow remains active, and the flow front continues to advance towards the northeast along the forest boundary. Today, the flow front consisted of a narrow lobe moving through thick forest. The flow front was 1.7 km (1.1 miles) upslope of Apaʻa St., and 2.7 km (1.7 miles) from Pāhoa Village Road. The lava flow also triggered a brush fire that was active north of the flow front Monday afternoon local time [HAST= UTC -10 hrs.]

Kilauea Status Reports

Issued: Monday, October 6, 2014, 6:42 PM HST (Tuesday, 2014/10/07/04:42UTC)
Source: Hawaiian Volcano Observatory (HVO)
Notice Number: 2014/H13
Location: N 19 deg 25 min, W 155 deg 17 min
Elevation: 4091 ft (1,247 m)
Area: HI Hawaii and Pacific Ocean
Current Volcano Alert Level: WARNING
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Volcanic Activity Summary: The June 27th flow remains active, with a narrow flow about 115 m (230 ft) wide moving downslope about 120 m/day (390 ft/day) since October 3.

At the average rate of advancement of 120 m/day, the lava could reach Apa`a St. in about 16 days. The advance rate of the June 27th flow has varied significantly during the past month, meaning this projection is subject to change. HVO’s next overflight is scheduled for Wednesday, October 8.

Recent Observations by HVO: The lava flow has continued to advance northeast since October 3 at about 120 m/day (390 ft/day). The leading edge is now about 1.7 km (1.1 mi) straight-line distance from Apa`a St.

Hazard Analysis by HVO: The lava flow from the Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō vent is active, and lava is being supplied to the flow front, which is slowly advancing downslope toward Pāhoa town, which is located  in the Puna District of the County of Hawai`i.

Puʻu ʻŌʻō Observations: There was little net change in ground tilt at Pu’u O’o over the past day. Glow was visible overnight above several outgassing openings in the crater floor. The most recent sulfur-dioxide emission-rate measurement for the East Rift Zone was 550 tonnes per day (from all sources) on September 25, 2014. Seismic tremor is low and constant.

Summit Observations: Deflationary tilt at Kīlauea’s summit continues this morning along with a decrease in the lava lake level at the summit vent. There was no major change in seismicity on Kilauea over the past day; seismic tremor at the summit remained low and varied with changes in spattering on the surface of the lava lake. GPS receivers spanning the summit caldera recorded about 5 cm (2 in) of extension between early May and early July. Since then, little significant extension or contraction has occurred. During the week ending on September 30, 2014, the elevated summit sulfur-dioxide emission rate was measured at 3,600–5,200 tonnes/day (see caveat below), and a small amount of particulate material was carried aloft by the plume.

Remarks [Source: HVO] : The Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō vent in the East Rift Zone of Kīlauea Volcano began erupting on January 3, 1983, and has continued erupting for more than 31 years, with the majority of lava flows advancing to the south. Over the past two years, lava flows have issued from the vent toward the northeast. The June 27th flow is the most recent of these flows and the first to threaten a residential area since 2010-2011. On June 27, 2014, new vents opened on the northeast flank of the Pu‘u ‘Ō‘ō cone and fed a narrow lava flow to the east-northeast. On August 18, the flow entered a ground crack, traveled underground for several days, then resurfaced to form a small lava pad. This sequence was repeated three more times over the following days with lava entering and filling other cracks before reappearing at the surface, in two of the cases farther downslope. Lava emerged from the last crack on September 6, forming a surface flow that initially moved to the north, then to the northeast, at a rate of 400 m/day (1,300 ft/day). The flow slowed thereafter and, between September 12 and 19, the rate of advancement varied, averaging 225 m/day (740 ft/day). The flow front stalled by September 22, but new breakouts behind the flow front began to push forward, overtaking the stalled front on September 29 and advancing 120 m/day (390 ft) between October 3 and 6. [Source: HVO]

 Related Links

Posted in environment, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events, volcanic hazard, volcano alert, Volcano News, Volcano Watch | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Do You Have the Legal Right to a Healthy Atmosphere and Stable Climate?

Posted by feww on October 6, 2014

Submitted by a reader [Published unedited ]

Critical Climate Change Lawsuit Brought before the United States Supreme Court by America’s Youth Washington, D.C

Background: Federal Lawsuit. Five individual teenagers, and two non-profit organizations representing thousands more young people, Kids vs. Global Warming and WildEarth Guardians, partnered with OUR CHILDREN’S TRUST to file this federal lawsuit (lawsuit filed in May 2011) now pending at the U.S. Supreme Court. The youth seek to require the federal government to immediately plan for national climate recovery according to the scientific prescription of Dr. James Hansen and other leading international climate scientists that will restore our atmosphere to 350 parts per million (ppm) of CO2 by the end of the century and avoid the disastrous scenarios of 2°C of warming. This lawsuit relies upon the long-established legal principle of the Public Trust Doctrine, which requires our government to protect and maintain survival resources for future generations.

Youth Climate Advocates File Petition for Writ of Certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court

On October 3, 2014, youth represented by OUR CHILDREN’S TRUST’s legal team filed a Petition for Writ of Certiorari with the U.S. Supreme Court to confirm the federal government’s obligation to protect essential natural resources for the benefit of future generations.

This Petition is in response to a decision in the youths’ federal case before the U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit. Despite outstanding support for the youths’ case from 111 individual law professors, scientists, national security experts, government officials, environmental, human rights and labor NGOs, indigenous community members, and faith-based organizations, all of whom signed powerful amici curiae (“friends of the court”) brief, the Court of Appeals held that there is no “federal constitutional foundation for [the public trust] doctrine.” We believe the Court’s holding is erroneous and in conflict with the decisions of other Circuit Courts and those of the U.S. Supreme Court. In fact, the federal government itself, and several District Courts, have for years also relied upon the very federal public trust doctrine the Court of Appeals said does not exist at all.

The Court of Appeals relied on a narrow U.S. Supreme Court decision written by Justice Kennedy as support for its expansive ruling. PPL Mont., LLC v. Montana, 132 S. Ct. 1215 (2012). That decision was specifically limited to a very different legal doctrine (the Equal Footing Doctrine) than youth relied upon in their case (the Public Trust Doctrine). Nowhere in the two paragraphs of dicta referencing the public trust doctrine does the U.S. Supreme Court find in PPL Mont., as the Court of Appeals determined in our case, that the long-standing public trust doctrine does not exist in federal law or apply to the federal government.

The Supreme Court generally disfavors expansive interpretations of its narrow decisions. Supreme Court justices strive to ensure that their decisions are limited only to the facts at hand and that those decisions are not misapplied to different sets of facts. We expect that the Court would not want their narrow PPL Montana decision about the Equal Footing Doctrine, as narrowly applied therein to state obligations involving water resources located within state borders, broadly applied in our case to federal obligations involving atmospheric resources that cross state borders. Thus, we believe the Court will be inclined to remedy the Court of Appeals’ expansive interpretation of their narrow PPL Montana decision and will reverse the Circuit Court. As well, we believe that the majority of the Supreme Court justices are climate believers who will be invested in preserving potential governmental remedies for climate recovery in face of the narrow window in which science tells them they have to do so.

Read the Petition for Writ of Certiorari here and Press Release here.

PETITION FOR A WRIT OF CERTIORARI

QUESTIONS PRESENTED

The questions presented are:

  1. Does the public trust doctrine apply to the federal government?
  2. Do Article III courts have jurisdiction to enforce the public trust against the federal government?

Petitioners (appellants below) are Alec L., by and through his Guardian
Ad Litem Victoria Loorz; Victoria Loorz; Madeleine W., by and through her Guardian Ad Litem Janet Wallace; Janet Wallace; Garrett S., by and through his Guardian Ad Litem Valerie Serrels; Grant S., by and through his Guardian Ad Litem Valerie Serrels; Valerie Serrels; Zoe J., by and through her  Guardian Ad Litem Nina Grove; Nina Grove; Kids vs. Global Warming, a project of Earth Island Institute, a non-profit organization; and WildEarth Guardians, a non-profit organization.

Respondents (appellees below) are Gina McCarthy in her official capacity as Administrator of the United States Environmental Protection Agency; Sally Jewell in her official capacity as Secretary of the United States Department of the Interior; Thomas James Vilsack in his official capacity as Secretary of the United States Department of Agriculture; Penny Pritzker in her official capacity as Secretary of the United States Department of Commerce; Ernest Moniz in his official capacity as Secretary of the United States Department of Energy; Chuck Hagel in his official capacity as Secretary of the United States Department of Defense; the United States Environmental Protection Agency; the United States Department of Interior; the United States Department of Agriculture; the United States Department of Commerce; the United States Department of Energy; and the United States Department of Defense.

Critical Climate Change Lawsuit Brought before the United States Supreme Court by America’s Youth Washington, D.C

Press Release

On October 3, 2014,  a Petition was filed with the United States Supreme Court on behalf of a group of young Americans, seeking a decision that the federal government is obligated to protect essential natural resources. The Petition arises out of a  lawsuit filed in May 2011 by five teenagers against six U.S. federal agencies under the Public Trust Doctrine to require the federal government to immediately implement a science-based climate recovery plan to protect our nation’s atmosphere.

“This case relies on a foundational principle of government—the Public Trust Doctrine,” said Julia Olson, attorney for the Youth Petitioners and Executive Director of Our Children’s Trust. “Public trust principles go back to the Emperor Justinian, the Magna Carta, and our Country’s founding documents. Our Petition asks the Supreme Court to determine whether, under this long-standing doctrine, the federal government must act to protect essential natural resources.”

The youth are appealing a decision by the Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit. The decision held that the federal government has no obligation to protect any natural resource under the Public Trust Doctrine, and that any such obligation lies only with the individual states.  The Court of Appeals ruling is in conflict with decisions issued by courts throughout the world, including multiple U.S. courts of appeals and the U.S. Supreme Court.

“There is enormous national importance for the Supreme Court to decide the issues in this case now, because of the narrow window left to address global climate change,” said renowned constitutional law scholar and professor Erwin Chemerinsky, who recently joined the team of attorneys representing the Youth Petitioners in their case. “We hope the Supreme Court will understand the extreme implications of the D.C. Circuit’s opinion,  specifically the consequences of the federal government’s inability to assert its public trust authority in the future concerning essential public resources.”

Climate change is the greatest threat to our constitutional rights and liberties that humanity has ever seen. The lower court in the District of Columbia agreed: “This is a very important case, this is an important issue, and it raises serious questions.” In the three years since the complaint was filed, atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have risen from 390 parts per million (ppm) to 397 ppm, and those levels are still rising. The maximum level of carbon dioxide the earth’s atmosphere can tolerate if there is to be any hope of reversing catastrophic global warming is 350 ppm.

“Establishing climate justice is different from other civil rights struggles,” declared Phil Gregory, attorney for the Youth Petitioners and a partner at Cotchett, Pitre & McCarthy. “In many civil rights cases, the next generation could always remedy the wrongs of prior generations. With the limited window left to fix the climate crisis, for the first time in human history, future generations will not have the opportunity to repair the serious problems we have created. The science is indisputable: our generation is the only one who can restore a stable climate system for future generations.”

The Supreme Court Petition contends the federal government has the power and obligation to address this catastrophic deterioration of the nation’s atmosphere, but has refused to do so. The Petition urges that global climate change is accelerating at an alarming pace that will soon escape the reach of corrective measures. The Petition states, in part: “The narrow window of time left to address global climate change and the significant consequences to the welfare of our nation’s children and future generations add urgency to the legal issue. The D.C. Circuit’s complete refusal to recognize the public trust doctrine turns a blind eye to the federal government’s responsibility to future generations and undermines the federal government’s ability to assert its

public trust authority in the future to conserve public resources.” The Petition concludes that the federal officials named as defendants in the action have the power and obligation to address this catastrophic deterioration of the nation’s atmosphere, but have refused to do so.

“Climate change is the largest intergenerational justice issue in the world,” said Alec Loorz, one of the Youth Plaintiffs and founder of Kids vs. Global Warming and iMatter. “We are running out of time. If our government does not act now, we endanger the lives of our youngest generations and generations to come. Without a comprehensive plan for climate recovery by the U.S. government, we cannot achieve the scientifically necessary restoration of our atmosphere. We are asking the Supreme Court to do what is right for all of us, our children, and our children’s children.”

To learn more about this case, visit: http://www.ourchildrenstrust.org/US/Federal-Lawsuit. To watch A Climate of TRUST, the newest film in the 10-part award-winning documentary series Stories of TRUST: Calling for Climate Recovery, visit: http://www.ourchildrenstrust.org/trust-films/AClimateOfTRUST. Support the youth taking legal action by signing their pledge here: http://www.ourchildrenstrust.org/sign-our-pledge-support.

Our Children’s Trust is a nonprofit advocating for urgent emissions reductions on behalf of youth and future generations, who have the most to lose. OCT is spearheading a federal, state, local and international human rights and environmental justice campaign to establish the legal right to a healthy atmosphere and stable climate. We use law, film, and media to elevate the compelling youth voice seeking enforceable science-based Climate Recovery Plans. http://www.ourchildrenstrust.org

For inquiries or interview requests, please contact:

  • Phil Gregory (650) 697-6000
  • Julia Olson (415) 786-4825

NOTES:

The public trust doctrine is the principle that certain of our planet’s resources are preserved for public use, and that the government is required to maintain them for reasonable use by the public.

“Atmospheric CO2 concentrations passed the level that Amici Scientists consider a safe initial target [of 350 ppm] in, approximately, 1988.”

 

 

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Typhoon PHANFONE Battering Japan

Posted by feww on October 5, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
POWERFUL TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGES
COASTAL FLOODING
MUDSLIDES
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 025, 024, 023, 022, 09, 02
.

Powerful typhoon heads north after buffeting Kyushu region

PHANFONE (TY 18W) is expected to make landfall on Japan’s main island of Honshu Monday.

The typhoon is dumping up to 125mm of rain per hour over areas along the Pacific coast from western to northeastern Japan, while generating large storm surges along the coastal areas.

At14:59UTC on Sunday typhoon PHANFONE (TY 18W) was located near 32.2N 134.6E, according to JTWC.

The powerful storm was tracking northeastward at about 20km/h [according to local information] packing sustained winds of about 170km/h with wind gusts exceeding 205km/h [Fire-Earth Models.]

Maximum significant wave height was 13 meters (42 feet), according to JTWC.

Multiple Warnings

Local authorities have issued multiple warnings for destructive winds, major storm surges, flooding and  mudslides along the typhoon’s predicted path.

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W)

Typhoon VONGFONG (TY 19W), which is following PHANFONE, could become a super typhoon within the next few days, according to various models.

Position at 14:59UTC on Sunday, October 5, 2014: Near 14.1N 145.9E [JTWC]
Tracking  west-northwestward at 25 km/h
Max sustained wind: 175km/h
Max wind gusts: 240km/h
Max significant wave height: 11m (33feet)

The Most Powerful Typhoon Ever Recorded?

VONGFONG, should favorable conditions continue, could become one of the most powerful storms ever recorded on earth, with maximum sustained winds of up to 300 km/h [Probability: 0.65  as of posting —FIRE-EARTH Models.]

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PHANFONE Meanders Toward Japan

Posted by feww on October 3, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
POWERFUL TYPHOON
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MAJOR STORM SURGE
COASTAL FLOODING
MASS EVACUATIONS
SCENARIOS  444, 111, 088, 070, 066, 033, 024, 023
.

Typhoon PHANFONE  (18W) to Impact Coastal Japan

Typhoon PHANFONE (TY 18W) was positioned near 26.0N 133.0E at 14:00UTC on October 3, 2014 packing sustained winds of about 225km/hr with maximum wind gusts of up to 270km/hr, according to FIRE-EARTH models.

Typhoon 18W
Typhoon PHANFONE. VIS-SWIR [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite Image at 13:32UTC, Ocober 3,2014. Source of original image: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC

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