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Posts Tagged ‘FIRE-EARTH earthquake FORECAST’

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 90

Posted by feww on April 23, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 90  has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 686

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More Quakes Rattle Oklahomans

Posted by feww on April 21, 2014

ENVIRONMENTAL HOLOCAUST
FRACKING-RELATED SEISMIC HAZARD
CONTINUED SEISMICITY IN OKLAHOMA
.

Another M4.0 quake Strikes OK

A magnitude 4.0 earthquake struck about 13km N of Edmond, Oklahoma at a depth of 7.6km (4.7mi). The event was followed by a magnitude 3.7 shocks which struck nearby 24 minutes later.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 4.0Mw
Event Time:  2014-04-20 19:07:13 UTCe
Location: 35.770°N 97.500°W depth=7.6km (4.7mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 13km (8mi) SSW of Guthrie, Oklahoma
  • 29km (18mi) NNE of Warr Acres, Oklahoma
  • 30km (19mi) NNE of Bethany, Oklahoma
  • 33km (21mi) N of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

EQ Location Map

Oklahoma 20apr14
Earthquake Location Map: Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

The next detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will appear in Bulletin NO. 90, which will be released on April 23.

Related Links

Posted in earthquake, earthquake forecast, Earthquake Hazard, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

M4.0 Strikes near Perry, Oklahoma

Posted by feww on April 20, 2014

ENVIRONMENTAL HOLOCAUST
FRACKING-RELATED SEISMIC HAZARD
CONTINUED SEISMICITY IN OKLAHOMA
.

Shallow M4.0 Quake Strikes 3km SE of Perry, Oklahoma

The quake was one of at least 4 shocks measuring 2.7 or greater to rattle Oklahomans in the past 24 hours.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 4.0Mw
Event Time:2014-04-19 10:43:10 UTC
Location: 36.268°N, 97.254°W
Depth: 4.1km (2.5mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 3km (2mi) SE of Perry, Oklahoma
  • 24km (15mi) NW of Stillwater, Oklahoma
  • 45km (28mi) NNE of Guthrie, Oklahoma
  • 50km (1mi) SSW of Ponca City, Oklahoma
  • 91km (57mi) NNE of Oklahoma City, Oklahoma

m4 oklahoma quake 19apr14
Earthquake Location Map: Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

A  detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast appeared in Bulletin NO. 89, which was released earlier today.

Related Links

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FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 89

Posted by feww on April 20, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 89 has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 689

Posted in FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Powerful EQ Strikes New Britain Trench

Posted by feww on April 20, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

M7.5 Strikes SW of Panguna, PNG

The powerful quake was the latest in a cluster of shocks rattling the North Solomons Region and follows a M7.1 quake that struck near the boundary of Australia plate and overriding Pacific plate, some 57km SW of Panguna, on April 11, 2014.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

FIRE-EARTH released details of a forecast for a MEGA EARTHQUAKE in SOLOMON ISLANDS in Bulletin NO. 84, which was released on April 12.

The next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will appear in Bulletin No. 89, which will be published later today (April 20, 2014).

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 7.5Mw
Event Time: 2014-04-19 13:27:59UTC
Location: 6.720°S, 154.931°E
Depth: 30.9km (19.2mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 75km (47mi) SW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
  • 87km (54mi) SW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea

EQ Location Map

one-day PNG
One-day significant quakes North Solomons, PNG. Source: USGS/EHP.

7-day png
7-day significant quakes North Solomons, PNG. Source: USGS/EHP.

30-day PNG
30-day significant quakes North Solomons, PNG. Source: USGS/EHP.

Boundary between Australia and Pacific Plates – PNG Region

The boundary between Australia and Pacific plates in the PNG  region has produced 35 M 7+ events within 250 km of the April 19, 2014 earthquake in the last 100 years, said USGS/EHP. The largest was M 8.0 about 175 km NW of the April 19, 2014  event, one of two M8+ earthquakes 140 km apart in July 1971. The M 8.1 Solomon Islands earthquake in April 2007, which caused a devastating tsunami, occurred about 300 km southeast of the April 19, 2014 quake.

Tsunami Update

A Tsunami Warning that was issued immediately after the quake has since been canceled.

A tsunami was detected, however there’s currently NO threat of a destructive Pacific-wide tsunami as a result of the above earthquake.

Related Links and Recent Significant Seismic Events

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FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 88

Posted by feww on April 18, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 88 has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 691

Posted in FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , | 2 Comments »

M7.5 Quake Strikes Near Tecpan de Galeana, Mexico

Posted by feww on April 18, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

Powerful quake occurs 37km N of Tecpan de Galeana, Mexico

The powerful earthquake struck near the middle America Trench in the western state of Guerrero, north of the famous resort of Acapulco. It  shook buildings in the capital Mexico City some 265km away.  There were no reports of casualty or major damage as of posting.

Earthquake Details [USGS/EHP]

Magnitude: 7.5Mw
Event Time:2014-04-18 14:27:29 UTC
Location: 17.585°N, 100.741°W depth=48.6km (30.2mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 37km (23mi) N of Tecpan de Galeana, Mexico
  • 53km (33mi) NW of Atoyac de Alvarez, Mexico
  • 56km (35mi) E of Petatlan, Mexico
  • 81km (50mi) S of Ciudad Altamirano, Mexico
  • 265km (165mi) SW of Mexico City, Mexico

EQ Location Map

Mexico quake
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

The next two FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts will appear in Bulletin No. 88, to be released on April 18, and Bulletin No. 89, on April 20, 2014.

Related Links

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FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 87

Posted by feww on April 17, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 87 has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 692

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FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 86

Posted by feww on April 15, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 86 has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 694

Posted in News Alert | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

M6.9 Strikes Bouvet Island Region

Posted by feww on April 15, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

Strong quake occurs ENE of subantarctic volcanic island

EQ Details

Magnitude: 6.9Mw
Event Time: 2014-04-15 03:57:02 UTC
Location: 53.527°S, 8.704°E depth=11.7km (7.3mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 364km (226mi) ENE of Bouvet Island
  • 2,279km (1416mi) SSW of Hermanus, South Africa

 EQ Location Map

Islas Orcadas Fracture Zone
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

The next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will appear in Bulletin No. 86, to be released on April 15.

Posted in earthquake, Earthquake Hazard, earthquake report, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 85

Posted by feww on April 13, 2014

IMPORTANT ANNOUNCEMENT

FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 85 has been released.

Related links

http://feww.wordpress.com/2-bulletin-board/

 

No. of Days left: 696

Posted in Global Disaster watch | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Another Powerful Quake Strikes Solomon Islands

Posted by feww on April 13, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
INTENSE SEISMICITY

.

M7.4 Strikes 111km S of Kirakira, Solomon Islands

The quake was the second powerful quake occurring along the South Solomon Trench since 20:14UTC on Saturday, and the latest event in the ongoing episode of intense seismicity on or near the boundary between the Australia and Pacific plates.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

MEGA EARTHQUAKE COULD STRIKE SOLOMON ISLANDS

A  detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast appeared in the Bulletin NO. 84, which was released on April 12.

The next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will be issued together with the April 13 Bulletin, later today.

EQ Details
Magnitude: 7.4Mw
Event Time:  12:36:18 UTC on 2014-04-13
Location:11.451°S 162.069°E depth=35.0km (21.7mi)
Nearby Cities

  • 111km (69mi) S of Kirakira, Solomon Islands
  • 321km (199mi) SE of Honiara, Solomon Islands

South Solomon Trench 7M4
Source: USGS/EHP

solomon islands - EQS 13apr14

 

Tsunami Evaluation

PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 13:18UTC 13 APR 2014

It is not known that a tsunami was generated. This warning is based only on the earthquake evaluation. An earthquake of this size has the potential to generate a destructive tsunami that can strike coastlines in the region near the epicenter within minutes to hours.  Authorities in the region should take appropriate action in response to this possibility. This center will continue to monitor sea level gauges nearest the region and report if any tsunami wave activity is observed. The warning will not expand to other areas of the Pacific unless additional data are received to warrant such an expansion.

Estimated initial tsunami wave arrival times at forecast points within the warning and watch areas are given below. Actual arrival times may differ and the initial wave may not be the largest. a tsunami is a series of waves and the time between successive waves can be five minutes to one hour.

 LOCATION         FORECAST POINT     COORDINATES     ARRIVAL TIME
 --------------------------------    ------------    ------------
 SOLOMON ISLANDS  KIRAKIRA           10.4S 161.9E    1258Z 13 APR
                  SANTA_CRUZ_ISLA    10.9S 165.9E    1314Z 13 APR
                  AUKI                8.8S 160.6E    1318Z 13 APR
                  HONIARA             9.3S 160.0E    1324Z 13 APR
                  MUNDA               8.4S 157.2E    1336Z 13 APR
                  GHATERE             7.8S 159.2E    1341Z 13 APR
                  FALAMAE             7.4S 155.6E    1355Z 13 APR
                  PANGGOE             6.9S 157.2E    1359Z 13 APR
 VANUATU          ESPERITU_SANTO     15.1S 167.3E    1341Z 13 APR
 PAPUA NEW GUINE  WOODLARK_ISLAND     9.0S 152.9E    1408Z 13 APR
                  AMUN                6.0S 154.7E    1409Z 13 APR
                  KIETA               6.1S 155.6E    1418Z 13 APR

Related Links

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquake Hazard, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Powerful Earthquake Strikes Solomon Islands

Posted by feww on April 13, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

M7.6 – 100km SSE of Kirakira, Solomon Islands

Centered at 11.315°S, 162.211°E the quake struck at a depth of about 29.3km (18.2mi), said USGS/EHP.

The powerful shock occurred along the South Solomon Trench and was the latest event in an episode of intense seismicity on or near the boundary between the Australia and Pacific plates.

The earthquake was downgraded from an initial magnitude 7.8 to 7.6Mw

The quake was followed by about a dozen significant aftershocks, as of posting.

Tsunami Evaluation

Initially, the PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER (PTWC) issued an expanding tsunami warning and watch for parts of the pacific located close to the earthquake.

In a latest bulletin, ISSUED AT 21:36UTC on 12 APR 2014, PTWC said:

SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY HAVE BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. FOR THOSE AREAS – WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES ARE OBSERVED FOR TWO HOURS AFTER THE ESTIMATED TIME OF ARRIVAL OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

Earthquake Details
Magnitude: 7.6Mw
Event Time: 20:14:39 UTC on 2014-04-12
Location:11.315°S 162.211°E depth=29.3km (18.2mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 100km (62mi) SSE of Kirakira, Solomon Islands
  • 323km (201mi) SE of Honiara, Solomon Islands

Earthquake Location Maps

Solomon Island quakes to 12apr14
Source: USGS/EHP

Solomon Island quakes to 12apr14
Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

A  FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast appeared in the April 12 Bulletin, which was released on April 12.

The next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will be issued together with the April 13 Bulletin, later today.

Related Links

Posted in Earthquake Hazard, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Earthquake Warning, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Ohio Finally Links Fracking to Earthquakes

Posted by feww on April 12, 2014

ENVIRONMENTAL HOLOCAUST
FRACKING-RELATED SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED SEISMICITY IN OKLAHOMA
.

Earthquakes Continue to Rattle Oklahomans

The Ohio Department of Natural Resources (ODNR) has finally conceded that the hydraulic fracturing process (fracking), which involves injecting sand, water and chemicals at high pressure deep underground to help release oil and gas, may have produced earthquakes in Poland Township in March.

“Regarding the seismic events in Poland Township, ODNR geologists believe the sand and water injected into the well during the hydraulic fracturing process may have increased pressure on an unknown microfault in the area,” said ODNR in a statement release on Friday.

At least 161 earthquakes measuring magnitude 2.5 or greater, occurring  in and near the state, have rattled Oklahomans in the past 30 days.

OK quakes to April 12
Updated: 2014-04-12 07:59:47 UTC. 30 Days, Magnitude 2.5+ (161 earthquakes in map area). Source; USGS/EHP.

Magnitude 4.2+ Since March 30

At least 7 quakes measuring 4.0 or greater have struck Oklahoma in the past three weeks including 4 shocks measuring 4.2 or greater occurring since Mach 30.

  • M4.2 about 6km SSW of Langston, Oklahoma 2014-04-07 at 16:03:03 UTC at a  depth of 5.2 km
  • M4.2 about 6km SSW of Langston, Oklahoma 2014-04-06 at 14:58:54 UTC at a  depth of5.1 km
  • M4.3 about 20km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 at 08:42:36 UTC at a  depth of 5.0 km
  • M4.3 about 21km N of Crescent, Oklahoma 2014-03-30 at 06:51:56 UTC at a  depth of 5.0 km

In Another Shallow Quake Strikes Oklahoma posted on April 6, 2014 the blog said: FIRE-EARTH Models show Oklahoma seismicity WILL continue intensifying

That post and all other FIRE-EARTH blog entries concerning disasters or ‘impending’ disasters in the U.S. continue to be heavily censored, blocked or buried by Google, WordPress and others.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

For the next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast see April 12 Bulletin, which would be released later today – members only.

Related Links

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M6.5 Quake Strikes PNG

Posted by feww on April 12, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

Powerful Earthquake Offshore North Solomons

Centered at 6.855°S, 155.017°E the 6.5Mw quake struck at a depth of 39.4km (24.5mi), about 78km (48mi) SW of Panguna, PNG.

The quake followed heightened seismicity in the area triggered by a M7.1 quake that struck 57km SW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea on April 11.

Tsunami Evaluation

NO tsunami was detected.

Earthquake Details [USGS/EHP]

Magnitude: 6.5Mw
Location: 6.855°S, 155.017°E depth=39.4km (24.5mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 78km (48mi) SW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
  • 91km (57mi) SW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
  • 411km (255mi) SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
  • 558km (347mi) ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea
  • 613km (381mi) WNW of Honiara, Solomon Islands

Earthquake Location Map

png quake

Latest Seismicity Around PRF

Chile-Peru Trench Continued Seismicity

M6.0 – 84km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-11 00:01:44 UTC

At least two more significant aftershocks struck along the Peru- Chile Trench following the deadly M8.2 quake, which struck Chile on April 1 (UTC).

The other significant aftershock was a M5.0 which struck 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile at 17:49:10 UTC (20.035°S 70.963°W depth=11.8km)

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

For the next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast see April 12 Bulletin, which would be released later today – members only.

Related Links

Posted in earhquake hazard, earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, Earthquake probability, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

M6.6 Quake Strikes Nicaragua

Posted by feww on April 12, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

Powerful Earthquake Strikes near Nandaime, Nicaragua

The quake reportedly shook buildings in the capital Managua, and was felt as far away as in El Salvador.

The quake followed an earlier shock measuring 6.1Mw, which struck 10km W of Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua at 23:27:46 UTC on April 10, 2014.

There were no immediate report of major damage or casualties.

Earthquake Details [USGS/EHP]

Location: 11.710°N 85.963°W
Depth: 138.6km (86.1mi)

Nearby Cities

  • 11km (7mi) ESE of Nandaime, Nicaragua
  • 20km (12mi) SSE of Diriomo, Nicaragua
  • 24km (15mi) S of Granada, Nicaragua
  • 30km (19mi) ESE of Jinotepe, Nicaragua
  • 56km (35mi) SSE of
  • 56km (35mi) SSE of Managua, Nicaragua

Chile-Peru Trench Continued Seismicity

M6.0 – 84km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-11 00:01:44 UTC

At least two more significant aftershocks struck along the Peru- Chile Trench following the deadly M8.2 quake, which struck Chile on April 1 (UTC).

The other significant aftershock was a M5.0 which struck 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile at 17:49:10 UTC (20.035°S 70.963°W depth=11.8km)

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast

For the next FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast see April EQF Bulletin, which would be released later today – members only.

Related Links

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Strong Quakes Strike Nicaragua, Coastal Chile

Posted by feww on April 11, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

M6.1 strikes near Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua; M6.0 rattles coastal northern Chile

M6.1 earthquake struck about 10km W of Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua at 23:27:46 UTC on April 10, 2014.

The quake was centered at 12.514°N, 86.379°W and struck at a depth of about 13.0km (8.1mi), said USGS/EHP.

The quake struck about 44km NNW of the capital Managua ( metro pop: ∼ 2,300,000), near Lake Managua, and about 30km NE of Momotombo Volcano.

Frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions at Momotombo forced the population of the nearby León Viejo to relocate about 45 km west to the current location of city of León about 400 years ago.

At least one significant aftershock measuring 5.1Mw followed the quake, as of posting.

Chile-Peru Trench Continued Seismicity

M6.0 – 84km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-11 00:01:44 UTC

At least two more significant aftershocks struck along the Peru- Chile Trench following the deadly M8.2 quake, which struck Chile on April 1 (UTC).

The other significant aftershock was a M5.0 which struck 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile at 17:49:10 UTC (20.035°S 70.963°W depth=11.8km)

Related Links

Posted in Earthquake Hazard, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

CHILE MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 3

Posted by feww on April 7, 2014

REVISED EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
.

CHILE EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [REV. 3]

FIRE-EARTH Models show a MEGA EARTHQUAKE could strike along Peru-Chile Trench through April 30, 2014.

Some of the quake details have now been revised.

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST: Magnitude 9.4Mw could strike Peru-Chile Trench April 7 – 30, with a probability of 24%.

See below for revised details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 9.4Mw (Provisional )
Location: 22.7°S, 70.8°W (Provisional )
Depth: 22km (Provisional )
Date/Time: April 7 –  30, 2014 (Peak April 12)
Probability: 24%  (provisional)

Tsunami Forecast

Large, destructive tsunami waves HIGHLY PROBABLE.

Initial forecast for the Mega Quake posted HERE. REV 2 posted HERE.

CAUTION

1. FIRE-EARTH Models used for the above forecast are unique, proprietary tools owned by the blog’s science team. There are NO similar models anywhere on this planet. Any earthquake forecasts that go beyond the traditional “menstruation cycles” are “scholarly” forgeries,  plagiarizing our research.

2. The forecast is subject to change, or withdrawal.

3. See also DISCLAIMER posted HERE.

.

Previous FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details for March 17 Chile EQ

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California and Japan seismicity.


 

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquake Information, Earthquake probability, earthquake report, Earthquake Warning, Global Disaster watch | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 2

Posted by feww on April 3, 2014

WARNING: NEW EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
.

WARNING: MEGA EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [REV. 2]

FIRE-EARTH Models show a MEGA EARTHQUAKE could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the next three weeks. Some of the quake details have now been revised.

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST: Magnitude 9.4Mw could strike Peru-Chile Trench April 4 – 30, with a probability of 54%.

See below for revised details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 9.4Mw (Provisional )
Location: 22.7°S, 70.8°W (Provisional )
Depth: 22km (Provisional )
Date/Time: April 4 –  30, 2014 (Peak April 10)
Probability: 54% (provisional)

Tsunami Forecast

Large, destructive tsunami waves HIGHLY PROBABLE.

Initial forecast for the Mega Quake posted HERE.

CAUTION

1. FIRE-EARTH Models used for the above forecast are unique, proprietary tools owned by the blog’s science team. There are NO similar models anywhere on this planet. Any earthquake forecasts that go beyond the traditional “menstruation cycles” are “scholarly” forgeries,  plagiarizing our research.

2. The forecast is subject to change, or withdrawal.

3. See also DISCLAIMER posted HERE.

.

Previous FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

 


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California and Japan seismicity.


 

Posted in earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake forecast, Earthquake probability, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING

Posted by feww on April 3, 2014

WARNING: NEW EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
.

WARNING: MEGA EARTHQUAKE FORECAST

FIRE-EARTH Models show a MEGA EARTHQUAKE could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the next three weeks.

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST:  Magnitude 9.4Mw Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench in the next three weeks with a probability of 54%.

See below for details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 9.4Mw (Provisional )
Provisional Location: 17.8°S, 72.1°W (Provisional )
Provisional Depth: 12 km (Provisional )
Date/Time: April 3 – April 30 2014
Probability: 54% (provisional)

Tsunami Forecast

Large, destructive tsunami waves HIGHLY PROBABLE.

CAUTION

1. FIRE-EARTH Models used for the above forecast are unique, proprietary tools owned by the blog’s science team. There are NO similar models anywhere on this planet. Any earthquake forecasts that go beyond the traditional “menstruation cycles” are “scholarly” forgeries,  plagiarizing our research.

2. The forecast is subject to change, or withdrawal.

3. See also DISCLAIMER posted HERE.

.

Previous FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

 


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California and Japan seismicity.


 

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Two Powefull Aftershocks Rock N Chile Coast

Posted by feww on April 3, 2014

NEW EARTHQUAKE WARNING
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
POWERFUL AFTERSHOCKS FROM M8.2
DISASTER DECLARED FOR EQ ZONE
.

Magnitudes 7.6 and 6.4 Aftershocks Strike Northern Chile Coast

Details of  Significant Aftershocks Measuring ≥5.0 April 3 UTC

  • M5.2, 82km WSW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 04:17:57 UTC depth of 18.2 km
  • M4.5, 50km WSW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 04:04:45 UTC depth of 20.0 km
  • M5.1, 77km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 03:45:55 UTC depth of 21.3 km
  • M5.8, 76km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 03:11:14 UTC depth of 10.0 km
  • M5.6, 71km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 02:56:06 UTC depth of 16.7 km
  • M7.6, 19km S of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 02:43:17 UTC depth of 40.0 km
  • M6.4, 47km W of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-03 01:58:29 UTC depth of 10.0 km

Tsunami alerts have been issued.

Chile afters 3apr14
Earthquake Location Map. SOURCE: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST:  Mega Earthquake Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench in the next three weeks with a probability of 54%.

See below for details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Provisional Magnitude: 9.4Mw
Provisional Location: 17.8°S, 72.1°W
Provisional Depth: 12 km
Date/Time: April 3 – April 30 2014

Related Links

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Disaster Declared for Chile Quake Zone

Posted by feww on April 2, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
LARGE EARTHQUAKE ALONG PERU-CHILE TRENCH
DISASTER DECLARED FOR EQ ZONE
.

Chile declares disaster zones after major earthquake

Chilean President has declared parts of northern Chile disaster areas after a large earthquake measuring 8.2Mw struck offshore about 95km NW of Iquique.

The quake struck off the northern coast of Chile late Tuesday, triggering tsunami waves of up to 2.1m that hit the coastal areas.

There have been reports of large landslides, fires, power cuts and prison escapes. The landslides reportedly blocked highways, hampering mass evacuation efforts.

Quake-related deaths stood at five, with more than 80,000 people displaced as of posting,  reported the interior ministry.

President Bachelet said she would visit Arica and Tarapaca regions on Wednesday, and would dispatch the military  to the disaster areas to prevent looting and disorder.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 8.2Mw
Location: 19.642°S, 70.817°W
Depth: 20.1km (12.5mi)
Date/Time: 2014-04-01 at 23:46:46 UTC
Nearby Cities: 95km (59mi) NW of Iquique, Chile

Aftershocks

Dozens of aftershocks, including at least 27 significant shocks measuring up to 6.2Mw have struck the area as of posting.

Chile afters 2apr14
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

Since march 16, hundreds of earthquakes have occurred along the Peru-Chile trench off the northern coast of Chile. A 6.7 magnitude quake struck the region on March 16, prompting the authorities to evacuate about 120,000 people in low-lying areas.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Tsunami Warning/ Watch/ Advisory

A TSUNAMI ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII, according to NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI.

Related Links

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M8.2 Strikes Coast of Chile

Posted by feww on April 2, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
LARGE EARTHQUAKE ALONG PERU-CHILE TRENCH
TSUNAMI WARNING
MASS EVACUATIONS
.

Major Earthquake Hits Northern Chile Coastal Area Triggering a Tsunami

10 Significant aftershocks have struck the quake zone including magnitudes 5.7, 6.2, 5.8, 5.7, 5.6, 5.5, 5.4, 5.3, 4.7, 5.2, 4.8, as of posting.

FIRE-EARTH Forecast for the Total Earthquake Energy associated with this Episode ≥ 0.25EJ. See Another significant aftershock… posted on March 17, 2014.

Earthquake Details [USGS/EHP]

Magnitude: 8.2Mw
Location: 19.642°S, 70.817°W
Depth: 20.1km (12.5mi)
Date/Time: 2014-04-01 at 23:46:46 UTC

Nearby Cities:

  • 95km (59mi) NW of Iquique, Chile
  • 139km (86mi) SSW of Arica, Chile
  • 190km (118mi) SSW of Tacna, Peru
  • 228km (142mi) SSE of Ilo, Peru
  • 447km (278mi) SW of La Paz, Bolivia

m8-2 chile 2apr14
Large earthquake strikes Chile, April 1, 2014. Source: USGS/EHP

  • Tsunami waves are hitting Pisagua, Patache and Iquique, CHILE, as the  authorities evacuate coastal areas.
  • Multiple landslides have blocked several highways,  hampering mass evacuations along coastal areas.
  • The quake rattled buildings in Peru and Bolivian capital of La Paz, about 450km (278 miles) away.

Tsunami Warning/Watch

The first tsunami wave hit the coastal area within 45 minutes of the earthquake, said authorities. A tsunami warning has been issued for all of South and Central America’s Pacific coast.

The following bulletin was issued by the Pacific Tsunami Center.

PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0131Z 02 APR 2014

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

ORIGIN TIME – 2347Z 01 APR 2014
COORDINATES – 19.8 SOUTH 70.8 WEST
DEPTH – 10 KM
LOCATION – NEAR THE COAST OF NORTHERN CHILE
MAGNITUDE – 8.2

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY

GAUGE LOCATION LAT LON TIME AMPL PER
——————- —– —— —– ————— —–
MEJILLONES CL 23.1S 70.5W 0103Z 0.86M / 2.8FT 32MIN
MATARANI PE 17.0S 72.1W 0108Z 0.56M / 1.8FT 10MIN
TOCOPILLA CL 22.1S 70.2W 0109Z 0.42M / 1.4FT 10MIN
PISAGUA CL 19.6S 70.2W 0055Z 1.96M / 6.4FT 12MIN
ARICA CL 18.5S 70.3W 0021Z 0.98M / 3.2FT 36MIN
ANTOFAGASTA CL 23.7S 70.4W 0034Z 0.25M / 0.8FT 18MIN
PATACHE CL 20.8S 70.2W 0015Z 1.51M / 5.0FT 10MIN
IQUIQUE CL 20.2S 70.1W 0005Z 2.11M / 6.9FT 12MIN

LAT – LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH)
LON – LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST)
TIME – TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME)
AMPL – TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
IT IS …NOT… CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).
PER – PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT.

NOTE – DART MEASUREMENTS ARE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN AND THEY
ARE GENERALLY MUCH SMALLER THAN WOULD BE COASTAL
MEASUREMENTS AT SIMILAR LOCATIONS.

EVALUATION

SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY HAVE
BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS NEAR THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER AND
COULD ALSO BE A THREAT TO MORE DISTANT COASTS. AUTHORITIES SHOULD
TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS
CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MONITOR SEA LEVEL DATA TO DETERMINE THE
EXTENT AND SEVERITY OF THE THREAT.

FOR ALL AREAS – WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES ARE OBSERVED FOR TWO HOURS
AFTER THE ESTIMATED TIME OF ARRIVAL OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT
OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME
THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN
CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE TO RAPID CURRENTS. AS LOCAL
CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE
ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
——————————– ———— ————
CHILE IQUIQUE 20.2S 289.9E 0002Z 02 APR
ARICA 18.5S 289.7E 0011Z 02 APR
ANTOFAGASTA 23.3S 289.6E 0017Z 02 APR
CALDERA 27.1S 289.2E 0046Z 02 APR
COQUIMBO 29.9S 288.6E 0111Z 02 APR
VALPARAISO 33.0S 288.4E 0135Z 02 APR
TALCAHUANO 36.7S 286.9E 0219Z 02 APR
CORRAL 39.8S 286.5E 0251Z 02 APR
GOLFO_DE_PENAS 47.1S 285.1E 0403Z 02 APR
EASTER_ISLAND 27.1S 250.6E 0532Z 02 APR
PUERTO_MONTT 41.5S 287.0E 0546Z 02 APR
PERU MOLLENDO 17.1S 288.0E 0021Z 02 APR
SAN_JUAN 15.3S 284.8E 0039Z 02 APR
LA_PUNTA 12.1S 282.8E 0131Z 02 APR
TALARA 4.6S 278.5E 0218Z 02 APR
CHIMBOTE 9.0S 281.2E 0225Z 02 APR
PIMENTAL 6.9S 280.0E 0250Z 02 APR
ECUADOR LA_LIBERTAD 2.2S 278.8E 0239Z 02 APR
ESMERELDAS 1.2N 280.2E 0327Z 02 APR
BALTRA_ISLAND 0.5S 269.7E 0429Z 02 APR
COLOMBIA TUMACO 1.8N 281.1E 0346Z 02 APR
BAHIA_SOLANO 6.3N 282.6E 0417Z 02 APR
BUENAVENTURA 3.8N 282.8E 0433Z 02 APR
PANAMA PUERTO_PINA 7.4N 282.0E 0427Z 02 APR
PUNTA_MALA 7.5N 280.0E 0429Z 02 APR
PUNTA_BURICA 8.0N 277.1E 0441Z 02 APR
BALBOA_HEIGHTS 9.0N 280.4E 0645Z 02 APR
COSTA RICA CABO_MATAPALO 8.4N 276.7E 0441Z 02 APR
PUERTO_QUEPOS 9.4N 275.8E 0514Z 02 APR
CABO_SAN_ELENA 10.9N 274.0E 0531Z 02 APR
NICARAGUA SAN_JUAN_DL_SUR 11.2N 274.1E 0557Z 02 APR
PUERTO_SANDINO 12.2N 273.2E 0609Z 02 APR
CORINTO 12.5N 272.8E 0609Z 02 APR
EL SALVADOR ACAJUTLA 13.6N 270.2E 0628Z 02 APR
GUATEMALA SIPICATE 13.9N 268.8E 0642Z 02 APR
MEXICO PUERTO_MADERO 14.8N 267.5E 0649Z 02 APR
ACAPULCO 16.9N 260.1E 0711Z 02 APR
SALINA_CRUZ 16.5N 264.8E 0713Z 02 APR
HONDURAS AMAPALA 13.2N 272.4E 0655Z 02 APR

BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING AND WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL
FURTHER NOTICE.

THE U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA…BRITISH COLUMBIA…WASHINGTON…OREGON…CALIFORNIA.

See also:

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile (March 17, 2014) and the update posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile.

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

Posted in earhquake hazard, earthquake damage, earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, Earthquake Warning, Global Disaster watch | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

M4.4 Quake Strikes Near Beverly Hills, California

Posted by feww on March 18, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

Magnitude 4.4 earthquake rattles Los Angeles area

Centered at 34.135°N, 118.486°W, 10km (6mi) NW of Beverly Hills, California, the quake struck at a depth of 9.9km (6.1mi) on Monday March 17, 2014 at 13:25:36UTC.

The event was followed by a small aftershock measuring 2.6Mw, which occurred three minutes later.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 4.4Mw [USGS/EHP]
Event Time: 2014-03-17 at 13:25:36UTC
Location: 34.135°N 118.486°W depth=9.9km (6.1mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 9km (6mi) NNW of Westwood, California
  • 10km (6mi) NW of Beverly Hills, California
  • 12km (7mi) W of Universal City, California
  • 12km (7mi) N of Santa Monica, California

Earthquake Location Map

LA Quakes 17mar2014
Earthquakes Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity.

 

 

Posted in Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile

Posted by feww on March 17, 2014

MAJOR EARTHQUAKE WARNING
.

M6.2 aftershock strikes near Iquique, Chile

The event registered as a 6.2Mw shock occurring 80km WNW of Iquique, coastal Chile.

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude: 6.2Mw [USGS/EHP]
  • Epicenter: 20.003°S 70.874°W depth=17.0km (10.6mi)
  • Event Time: 2014-03-17 05:11:34 UTC
  • Distances: 80km (50mi) WNW of Iquique, Chile

Tsunami Status

No Tsunami Warnings, Advisories or Watches are in effect.

Earthquake Location Map

chile 6-2 AFSH- 17 Mar14

List of the latest Events Occurring in the Peru-Chile Trench

  • 5.0Mw 82km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17  05:19:34UTC  Depth 12.0 km
  • 6.2Mw 80km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17  05:11:34UTC  Depth 17.0 km
  • 4.8Mw 18km W of Tacna, Peru 2014-03-17 04:14:51UTC  Depth 94.5 km
  • 4.6Mw 65km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 03:28:21UTC  Depth 10.0 km
  • 4.6Mw 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 02:05:58UTC  Depth 23.6 km
  • 5.2Mw 70km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 01:34:55UTC Depth 10.0 km
  • 4.9Mw 65km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 00:55:03UTC  Depth 10.0 km
  • 5.1Mw 55km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 00:12:09UTC  Depth 10.0 km
  • 4.9Mw 61km W of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 23:08:11UTC  Depth 10.0 km
  • 4.9Mw 68km SE of Arica, Chile 2014-03-16 22:54:09UTC  Depth 11.9 km
  • 4.9Mw 84km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:29:35UTC  Depth 10.9 km
  • 5.1Mw 36km NNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:26:27UTC Depth 35.0 km
  • 6.7Mw 60km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:16:30UTC  Depth 20.0 km

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

(NOTE: This post was hacked. Correct information reinstated on March 22, 2013)

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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