Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response could occur by early 2016

Posts Tagged ‘Indonesia’

Strong Quake Strikes N Coast of Papua, Indonesia

Posted by feww on June 26, 2011

Magnitude 6.4 EQ Strikes 172 km N of Enarotali, Papua, Indonesia

Three major earthquakes have struck the region within 330km radius of the epicenter since 1914, including the largest two in the last 40 years (8.1Mw on 10 Jan 1979, and 8.2Mw on 17 Feb 1996).

10-degree Map Centered at 0°N,135°E

EQ Location Map. Source: USGS-EHP. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude: 6.4Mw
  • Date-Time:
    • Sunday, June 26, 2011 at 12:16:41 UTC
    • Sunday, June 26, 2011 at 09:16:41 PM at epicenter
  • Location: 2.389°S, 136.648°E
  • Depth: 36.1 km (22.4 miles)
  • Region: NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
  • Distances: 172 km (106 miles) N of Enarotali, Papua, Indonesia
    • 331 km (205 miles) ESE of Manokwari, Papua, Indonesia
    • 1,286 km (799 miles) NNE of DARWIN, Northern Territory, Australia
    • 3,336 km (2072 miles) E of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
  • Location Uncertainty:
    • horizontal +/- 14.6 km (9.1 miles);
    • depth +/- 12.2 km (7.6 miles)
  • Source:USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: usc0004gyw

Historic Seismicity [Mag ≥ 7.0 since 1900]


Source: USGS-EHP

Related Links

Posted in earthquakes 2011 | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Collapse Headlines – 15 July 2010

Posted by feww on July 15, 2010

Indian Ocean sea level rise threatens millions in coastal areas

Millions are at risk along low-lying coastlines in Bangladesh, Indonesia and Sri Lanka as sea levels continue rising unevenly in the Indian Ocean: Study


Original Caption:  The Indian Ocean/West Pacific Warm Pool extends almost half way around the globe, stretching along the equator south of India, through the waters off Sumatra, Java, Borneo, and New Guinea, and into the central Pacific Ocean. The waters of the Warm Pool are warmer than any other open ocean on Earth. Because these waters are hot enough to drive heat and moisture high into the atmosphere, the warm pool has a large effect on the climate of surrounding lands. In fact, the slow fluctuations of size and intensity of the warm pool may be linked with the intensity of El Niño.

UCAR Caption: A new study in Nature Geoscience finds that Indian Ocean sea levels are rising unevenly and threatening residents in some densely populated coastal areas, particularly those along the Bay of Bengal, the Arabian Sea, Sri Lanka, Sumatra, and Java. This image shows the key player in the process, the Indo-Pacific warm pool, in bright orange. This enormous, bathtub-shaped area spans a region of the tropical oceans from the east coast of Africa to the International Date Line in the Pacific. The warm pool has heated by about 1 degree Fahrenheit, or 0.5 degrees Celsius, in the past 50 years, primarily because of human-generated emissions of greenhouses gases. (Image source:  NASA Earth Observatory.)

“Our new results show that human-caused atmosphericoceanic circulation changes over the Indian Ocean, which have not been studied previously, contribute to the regional variability of sea-level change,” say the researchers.

“Sea level rise is particularly high along the coastlines of the Bay of Bengal, the Arabian Sea, Sri Lanka, Sumatra, and Java, the authors found. The rise—which may aggravate monsoon flooding in Bangladesh and India—could have future impacts on both regional and global climate.”

“The key player in the process is the Indo-Pacific warm pool, an enormous, bathtub-shaped area spanning a region of the tropical oceans from the east coast of Africa to the International Date Line in the Pacific. The warm pool has heated by about 1 degree Fahrenheit, or 0.5 degrees Celsius, in the past 50 years, primarily because of human-generated emissions of greenhouses gases.”

“Our results from this study imply that if future anthropogenic warming effects in the Indo-Pacific warm pool dominate natural variability, mid-ocean islands such as the Mascarenhas Archipelago, coasts of Indonesia, Sumatra, and the north Indian Ocean may experience significantly more sea level rise than the global average,” says the lead author.

World’s mangroves retreating at alarming rate: study

The world’s mangroves are being destroyed about 4 times faster than other forests, a new study reports.

“The ‘World Mangrove Atlas’ report noted that mangrove forests provide huge economic services, acting as nurseries for sea fish, storing carbon and providing robust defenses against floods and cyclones at a time of rising sea levels.” A report said.


A bird is seen in a swamp at Hithadoo at Addu Atoll December 9, 2009.  Credit: Reuters/Reinhard Krause. Image may be subject to copyright.

“The greatest drivers for mangrove forest loss are direct conversion to aquaculture, agriculture and urban land uses. Coastal zones are often densely populated and pressure for land intense. Where mangroves remain, they have often been degraded through overharvesting,” the study says.

Pollution Speeds Up Snow Melt in Europe, Asia

Springtime warming and snow melt are  occurring at a faster rate in Eurasia than in North America since 1980, a report said.

“Climate scientist Mark Flanner, an assistant professor at the University of Michigan and a recent Advanced Study Program graduate at the National Science Foundation’s National Center for Atmospheric Research, led a study that investigated these changes, ultimately finding that warming rates and snow cover decline in Eurasia may be twice what they are in North America.”

Related Links:

Posted in cliamte change, Geoscience, Indian Ocean, sea level rise, West Pacific Warm Pool | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Magnitude 7.0ML Quake Strikes Obira Indonesia

Posted by feww on March 14, 2010

Powerful Quake measuring 7.0 ML Strikes off the Coast of Obira, Indonesia.

An earthquake measuring  7.0 ML (Richter Scale) struck off the coast of Obira Island, Obi Islands (Kepulauan Obi) a group of islands in the Indonesian province of Maluku.


ShakeMap of Obira.
Source: USGS

The offshore quake occurred at a depth of 56 km on March 14, 2010 at 07:57 am local time (00:57UTC) with the epicenter located at 1.58S  128.20E, about 227 km North of Ambon, Indonesia.

Indonesia’s Meteorology and Geophysics Agency reported.  There were no tsunami warning and, as of posting, no casualties or damage were reported.

Related Links:

Posted in earthquake, Indonesia earthquake, Kepulauan Obi, KEPULAUAN OBI quake, Maluku quake | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

El Niño Update [30 Nov 2009]

Posted by feww on December 1, 2009

ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

The following UPDATE is prepared by

Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  30 November 2009

The latest weekly SST departures are:

  • Niño 4   ~  1.6ºC
  • Niño 3.4  ~  1.7ºC
  • Niño 3 ~ 1.3ºC
  • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.2ºC


El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks
During the last 4-weeks, SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average across much of the equatorial Pacific and more than 2.0°C above average between 180°and 130°W.

[SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

Global SST Departures (°C)
During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average across the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.


[SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

  • During the last four weeks, positive SST anomalies persisted across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased in some parts across the eastern Pacific.

|

Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

TOP: Positive OLR anomalies (suppressed convection and precipitation, red shading) were present over Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. Negative OLR anomalies (enhanced convection and precipitation, blue shading) were located over the western tropical Pacific Ocean just southeast of Papua New Guinea.
Middle: Low-level (850-hPa) westerly anomalies remained over the east-central equatorial Pacific.
Above: Upper-level (200-hPa) easterly anomalies were observed across the eastern equatorial Pacific. An anticycloniccouplet was evident in the subtropics of both hemispheres, which is consistent with El Niño.

Atmospheric Circulation over the North Pacific & North America During the Last 60 Days
During October, a nearly zonal pattern of below-average heights over the mid-latitudes was observed with an anomalous ridge over Alaska and the higher latitudes. This pattern contributed to below-average temperatures across Canada and much of the U.S. During November, the anomalous zonal pattern of below-average heights at mid-latitudes had been replaced by strong anomalous ridges across the N. Pacific and much of N. America with below-average heights across Alaska. This pattern has led to above-average temperatures across much of Canada and the United Statesand below-average temperatures in Alaska.

Intraseasonal Variability

  • Intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere (wind and pressure), which is often related to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), can significantly impact surface and subsurface conditions across the Pacific Ocean.
  • Related to this activity
    • Significant weakening of the low-level easterly winds usually initiates an eastward-propagating oceanic Kelvin wave.
    • Several Kelvin waves have occurred during the last year (see next slide).

Summary

  • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
  • Sea surface temperatures (SST) are at least 1.0ºC-2.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
  • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to last through at least the Northern Hemisphere winter2009-10.

Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA. Edited by FEWW

Related Links:

El Niño Updates:

    Posted in Climate Prediction, El Niño, ENSO, Pacific SST Outlook, Uncategorized | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

    El Niño Update [23 Nov 2009]

    Posted by feww on November 24, 2009

    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

    The following UPDATE is prepared by

    Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  23 November 2009

    The latest weekly SST departures are:

    • Niño 4   ~  1.5ºC
    • Niño 3.4  ~  1.7ºC
    • Niño 3 ~ 1.2ºC
    • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.5ºC


    El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks
    During the last 4-weeks, SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average across much of the equatorial Pacific and more than 2.0°C above average between 180°and 140°W. [Expanding across the Tropical Pacific. FEWW ]


    [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    Global SST Departures (°C)
    During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average across the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.


    [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

    • During the last four weeks, positive equatorial SST anomalies persisted across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
    • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased in some regions across the eastern half of the Pacific.

    Upper-Ocean Conditions in the Eq. Pacific

    • The basin-wide equatorial upper ocean (0-300 m) heat content is greatestprior to and during the early stages of a Pacific warm (El Niño) episode (compare top 2 panels) and leastprior to and during the early stages of a cold(La Niña) episode.
    • The slope of the oceanic thermocline is least (greatest) during warm (cold) episodes.
    • Recent values of the upper-ocean heat anomalies (positive) and the thermocline slope index (negative) reflect El Niño.

    Sub-Surface Temperature Departures (°C) in the Equatorial Pacific

    • During late September –mid November 2009, temperature anomalies at thermocline depth increased and expanded eastward across the central and east-central equatorial Pacific, in response to the downwelling phase of an oceanic Kelvin wave.
    • The most recent period shows a continued eastward expansion of positive anomalies in the equatorial Pacific near 50 -150m depth.

    Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

    Atmospheric Circulation over the North Pacific & North America During the Last 60 Day

    Click image to enlarge.

    Intraseasonal Variability

    • Intraseasonal variability in the atmosphere (wind and pressure), which is often related to the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), can significantly impact surface and subsurface conditions across the Pacific Ocean.
    • Related to this activity
      • significant weakening of the low-level easterly winds usually initiates an eastward-propagating oceanic Kelvin wave.
      • Several Kelvin waves have occurred during the last year (see next slide).

    Summary

    • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Sea surface temperatures (SST) are at least 1.0ºC-2.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to continue to strengthen and last through at least the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

    Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA. Edited by FEWW

    Related Links:

    El Niño Updates:

    Posted in Climate Prediction, El Niño, El Niño latest news, El Niño update, El Niño weekly report, ENSO | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    El Niño Update [16 Nov 2009]

    Posted by feww on November 17, 2009

    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

    The following UPDATE is prepared by

    Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  16 November 2009

    The latest weekly SST departures are:

    • Niño 4   ~  1.5ºC
    • Niño 3.4  ~  1.7ºC
    • Niño 3 ~ 1.2ºC
    • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.5ºC


    El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4
    During the last 4-weeks, SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average across much of the equatorial Pacific and more than 2.0°C above average between 175°E and 140°W.

    Global SST Departures (°C)
    During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.

    Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

    • During the last four weeks, equatorial SST anomalies strengthened across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
    • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased across much of the central and eastern Pacific.

    Central & Eastern Pacific Upper-Ocean (0-300 m) Weekly Heat Content Anomalies
    Since April 2009, the upper-ocean heat content has been above average across
    the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. The heat content was previously below-average from mid-August 2008 through March 2009, with a minimum reached in late December 2008.

    Sub-Surface Temperature Departures (°C) in the Equatorial Pacific

    • During late September – early November 2009, temperature anomalies at thermocline depth increased and expanded eastward across the central and east-central equatorial Pacific, in response to the downwelling phase of an oceanic Kelvin wave.
    • The most recent period (below) shows a continued eastward expansion of positive anomalies in the equatorial Pacific near 50 – 150m depth.

    Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

    • Positive OLR anomalies (suppressed convection and precipitation, red shading) were present over Indonesia, Malaysia, Papua New Guinea, and Australia. Negative OLR anomalies (enhanced convection and precipitation, blue shading) were located over the western tropical Pacific Ocean just southeast of Papua New Guinea.
    • Low-level (850-hPa) westerly anomalies were observed over the east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Upper-level (200-hPa) easterly anomalies were observed across most of the equatorial Pacific. Anomalous anticyclones were evident in the subtropics of both hemispheres, which is consistent with El Niño.

    Atmospheric Circulation over the North Pacific & North America During the Last 60 Days
    From mid-September through October, anomalous troughing was prevalent over the North Pacific Ocean. During October, the pattern of below-average heights became more zonal over the mid-latitudes and an anomalous ridge developed over the higher latitudes. This pattern contributed to below-average temperatures across Canada and much of the U.S. Since early November, the anomalous zonal pattern of below-average heights at mid-latitudes has been replaced by anomalous ridges with below-average heights across the northernmost latitudes. This pattern has led to above-average temperatures across much of Canada and the United States.

    Summary

    • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Sea surface temperatures (SST) were at least 1.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to continue to strengthen and last through at least the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

    Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA. Edited by FEWW

    Related Links:

    El Niño Updates:

    Posted in Climate Prediction, El Niño, El Niño weekly report, ENSO, Ocean SST | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

    El Niño Update [10 Nov 2009]

    Posted by feww on November 11, 2009

    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

    The following UPDATE is prepared by

    Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  9 November 2009

    The latest weekly SST departures are:

    • Niño 4   ~  1.6ºC
    • Niño 3.4  ~  1.7ºC
    • Niño 3 ~ 1.3ºC
    • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.4ºC


    El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks
    During the last 4-weeks, SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average across much of the equatorial Pacific and more than 2.0°C above average between 175°E and 160°W.

    Global SST Departures (°C)
    During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.

    Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

    • During the last four weeks, equatorial SST anomalies strengthened across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
    • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased in much of the central and eastern Pacific.

    Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

    • Positive OLR anomalies (suppressed convection and precipitation, red shading) were present over Indonesia, Malaysia, and Australia. Negative OLR anomalies (enhanced convection and precipitation, blue shading) were located across the northern Philippines and over the western tropical Pacific Ocean.
    • Low-level (850-hPa) westerly anomalies were observed over parts of the western and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Upper-level (200-hPa) easterly anomalies were observed across most of the equatorial Pacific. Anomalous anticyclones were evident in the subtropics of both hemispheres, which is consistent with El Niño.

    Sub-Surface Temperature Departures (°C) in the Equatorial Pacific

    • During mid September –October 2009, temperature anomalies increased and expanded eastward in the central equatorial Pacific at thermoclinedepth, due to the downwelling phase of a Kelvin wave.
    • The most recent period (below) shows a continued eastward expansion of positive anomalies in the central Pacific near 100-150m depth.

    Atmospheric Circulation over the North Pacific & North America During the Last 60 Days
    In late September and early October, an anomalous ridge developed over the Gulf of Alaska, with a downstream trough and below-average temperatures over parts of the U.S. During mid October, the pattern became more zonal with an anomalous trough evident over the mid-latitudes and an anomalous ridge over the higher latitudes. This pattern contributed to below-average temperatures across Canada and the eastern half of the U.S. Recently, anomalous ridges emerged over the eastern North Pacific and eastern U.S. leading to above-average temperatures over the western and eastern U.S.

    Low-level (850-hPa) Zonal (east-west) Wind Anomalies (m s-1)

    • Since April 2009, the MJO has been weak.
    • Since May 2009, westerly wind anomalies have covered large portions of the equatorial Pacific, except near the Date Line.
    • Recently, the largest westerly wind anomalies have been observed across the eastern Pacific Ocean.

    Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA. Edited by FEWW

    Summary

    • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Sea surface temperatures (SST) were at least 1.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to continue to strengthen and last through at least theNorthern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

    Related Links:

    El Niño Updates:

    Posted in Climate Prediction, El Niño, El Niño weekly report, ENSO, Ocean SST | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    El Niño Update [2 Nov 2009]

    Posted by feww on November 3, 2009

    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

    The following UPDATE is prepared by

    Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  2 November 2009

    The latest weekly SST departures are:

    • Niño 4   ~  1.6ºC
    • Niño 3.4  ~  1.5ºC
    • Niño 3 ~ 1.2ºC
    • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.4ºC


    El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks
    During the last 4-weeks, equatorial SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average between 165°E and 140°W and in small areas in the eastern Pacific.

    Global SST Departures (°C)
    During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.

    Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

    • During the last four weeks, equatorial SST anomalies strengthened across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean.
    • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased in much of the central and eastern Pacific.

    SST Tep Dept Eq Pacific

    Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

    • Positive OLR anomalies (suppressed convection and precipitation, red shading) were present over Indonesia, Malaysia, and Australia. Negative OLR anomalies (enhanced convection and precipitation) were located across the northern Philippines, Papua New Guinea, and over the western tropical Pacific Ocean.
    • Low-level (850-hPa) westerly anomalies were observed over parts of the western and central equatorial Pacific.
    • Upper-level (200-hPa) easterly anomalies were observed across most of the equatorial Pacific.

    HC evo eq Pacific

    200-hpa Vel Pot Anom

    Pacific Niño 3.4 SST Outlook

    • Most ENSO models indicate El Niño will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.
    • The models disagree on the eventual strength of El Niño (SST anomalies ranging from +0.5°C to greater than +2.0°C), but a majority indicate at least a moderate strength El Niño (greater than +1.0°C) during November-December-January 2009-10.

    SST Outlook: NCEP CFS Forecast Issued 1 November  2009
    The CFS ensemble mean predicts El Niño will last at least through Northern Hemisphere spring 2010.

    Summary

    • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Sea surface temperatures (SST) were at least 1.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to strengthen and last at least through Northern Hemisphere spring 2010.

    Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA. Edited by FEWW

    Related Links:

    El Niño Updates:

    Posted in Climate Prediction, El Niño, ENSO, Indian Ocean SST, Ocean SST, Pacific Ocean | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Australia Blazing Oil Rig May Collapse

    Posted by feww on November 2, 2009

    Would a Responsible Govt Allow Such Ecocide Continue for So Long?

    Australia Oil Rig May Collapse, Fire Out of Control: PTTEP

    On August 23, 2009 FEWW asserted that the Australian Oil Disaster May Get a Lot Worse

    It has, and there’s no sign of abating.

    Oil Rig Fire PTTEP
    West Atlas oil rig and Montara wellhead platform on fire. Photo supplied by PTTEP via abc.net

    Australian government’s silence to the ongoing ecological disaster in Timor Sea has been deafening, their inaction dazzling, their incompetence deplorable and devastating for the region, planet.

    Just over 10 weeks after the leak started on August 21, 2009, the size of the oil slick spewing out of a  ruptured pipe at the West Atlas oil rig, which caught fire on Sunday, had grown to about 30,000 km².


    Based on all the information they have received, FEWW Moderators believe some 29,000 tons of oil and gas condensate have been leaked into Timor Sea so far.

    A laboratory analysis conducted by the Indonesian Environmental Impact Management Agency (NTT Bapedalda) on Oct. 10, 2009 found that the  seawater contained 107.2 milligrams of crude oil per liter.

    “We believe the pollution was caused by an oil spill from the Montara oil field in the Timor Sea,” the head of NTT Bapedalda, Alexander Oematan, told reporters in the provincial capital of Kupang on Wednesday.

    ECOCIDE SHOULD BE A CAPITAL CRIME DESERVING CAPITAL PUNISHMENT

    n18mer124_DDC - lg
    More than 10 weeks after a blowout at a newly dug oil well, crude oil and gas condensate continued to leak into the Timor Sea, between northwest Australia and Indonesia. This image from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Aqua satellite shows the Timor Sea on October 28, 2009.
    NASA image courtesy the MODIS Rapid Response Team. Caption by Rebecca Lindsey, NASA’s Earth Observatory. Edited by FEWW.

    Related Links:

    Related Media Links:

    Recent Oil Spills:

    Posted in australia oil slick, ecological disaster, Montara oil field, Montara wellhead platform, PTTEP Australasia, Timor Sea, West Atlas drilling rig | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

    El Niño Update [28 Oct 2009]

    Posted by feww on October 28, 2009

    ENSO Cycle: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Predictions

    The following UPDATE is prepared by

    Climate Prediction Center / NCEP –  26  October 2009

    The latest weekly SST departures are:

    • Niño 4   ~  1.4ºC
    • Niño 3.4  ~  1.1ºC
    • Niño 3 ~ 0.8ºC
    • Niño 1+2 ~ 0.1ºC


    El Niño Map. [SOURCE: NOAA/ Climate Prediction Center / NCEP]

    SST Departures (°C) in the Tropical Pacific During the Last 4 Weeks
    During the last 4-weeks, equatorial SSTs were at least 1.0°C above average between 165°E and 140°W and in small areas in the eastern Pacific.

    Global SST Departures (°C)
    During the last four weeks, equatorial SSTs were above-average in the Pacific and Indian Oceans. Also, above-average SSTs covered large areas of the Northern Hemisphere subtropics.

    Weekly SST Departures (°C) for the Last Four Weeks

    • During the last four weeks, equatorial SST anomalies strengthened across the central Pacific Ocean.
    • During the last 30 days, equatorial SST anomalies increased over the central Pacific.

    SSTD EP 26-10-09

    Tropical OLR and Wind Anomalies During the Last 30 Days

    • Positive OLR anomalies (suppressed convection and precipitation, red shading) were present over Indonesia, Malaysia, and Australia. Negative OLR anomalies (enhanced convection and precipitation, blue shading) were located across the Philippines, Papua New Guinea, and in the western tropical Pacific Ocean.
    • Low-level (850-hPa) equatorial winds were near-average over the central and eastern Pacific. Westerly anomalies were observed in the western Pacific.
    • Upper-level (200-hPa) easterly anomalies were observed across most of the equatorial Pacific.

    200-hpa Vel Pot Anom

    Pacific Niño 3.4 SST Outlook

    • Most ENSO models indicate El Niño will continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.
    • The models disagree on the eventual strength of El Niño (SST anomalies ranging from +0.5°C to greater than +2.0°C), but a majority indicate at least a moderate strength El Niño (greater than +1.0°C) during during November-December-January 2009-10. Figure provided by the International Research Institute (IRI) for Climate and Society (updated 15 Oct 2009).

    SST Outlook: NCEP CFS Forecast Issued 18 October 2009
    The CFS ensemble mean predicts El Niño will last through Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

    Summary

    • El Niño is present across the equatorial Pacific Ocean.
    • Sea surface temperatures (SST) were at least 1.0ºC above-average across much of the central and east-central equatorial Pacific.
    • Based on current observations and dynamical model forecasts, El Niño is expected to strengthen and last through Northern Hemisphere winter 2009-10.

    Information and images on this page are sourced from Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NOAA.

    Related Links:

    El Niño Updates:

    Posted in El Niño, ENSO, Gulf of Alaska, Indian Ocean, North Pacific Ocean, Ocean SST, Pacific Ocean, positive OLR, Positive SST, suppressed convection and precipitation, wind anomaly | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Mw 7.2 quake, aftershocks rock Indonesian island

    Posted by feww on February 13, 2009

    Magnitude 7.2 quake followed by dozens of strong aftershocks rattle the Indonesian island of Kepulauan Talaud

    indonesia-quakes-feb-11-09

    Earthquake Details

    Magnitude: 7.2
    Date-Time: Thursday, February 12, 2009 at 01:34:50 AM at epicenter
    Location:  3.902°N, 126.400°E
    Depth:  20 km (12.4 miles) set by location program
    Region:  KEPULAUAN TALAUD, INDONESIA
    Distances:

    • 280 km (175 miles) SSE of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
    • 320 km (195 miles) NNE of Manado, Sulawesi, Indonesia
    • 1320 km (820 miles) SSE of MANILA, Philippines
    • 2445 km (1520 miles) ENE of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia

    Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 6.3 km (3.9 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    USGS Event ID:  us2009cybb

    Tectonic Summary [USGS]

    The recent earthquake near Kepulauan Talaud, Indonesia of February 11, 2009 likely occurred as a result of reverse faulting on or near the plate-boundary system separating the Philippine Sea and Celebes Sea basins. Northeastern Indonesia is characterized by complex tectonics in which motions of numerous small plates are accommodating large-scale convergence between the Philippine Sea and Sunda plates. In the region of today’s earthquake, the Philippine Sea plate moves west-northwest with respect to the Sunda plate at a velocity of about 62 mm/year. Locally, arc-arc collision is occurring between the Sangihe and Halmahera micro plates, wedging between them the Molucca Sea micro plate, which subducts beneath both (i.e. to the east and west) and forms an inverted-U-shaped seismic zone. Seismicity within the Molucca Sea plate is active to depths of approximately 260 km to the east and 400 km to the west. The tectonic setting of this region is unique in that it is the only global example of an active arc-arc collision consuming an oceanic basin via subduction in two directions.

    “The earthquake occurred approximately 30 km off the western coast of the Pulau Salebabu (Indonesia) in an area that has seen large earthquakes in the past. Since 1986, there have been two earthquakes with magnitude greater than 7 in this region.

    Indonesia

    Indonesia consists of more than 17,500 islands scattered over both sides of the equator, about 6,000 of which are inhabited.The five largest islands are Java, Sumatra, Kalimantan (the Indonesian side of Borneo), New Guinea (shared with Papua New Guinea) and Sulawesi.

    Indonesian islands sit on the edges of the Australian, Eurasian and Pacific tectonic plates and are therefore subject to frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions. Indonesia is home to about 160 active volcanoes.

    Related Links:

    Posted in Halmahera micro plate, Molucca Sea plate, Philippine Sea, Seismicity, Sunda plate | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Magnitude 6.1 Quake Strikes N Coast of Papua

    Posted by feww on January 7, 2009

    Another strong quake struck north coast of Papua, Indonesia

    papua-jan-7-2009
    Eearthquake Location                                                               Source: USGS


    This Earthquake

    Magnitude: 6.1
    Date-Time:

    • Tuesday, January 06, 2009 at 22:48:30 UTC
    • Wednesday, January 07, 2009 at 07:48:30 AM at epicenter

    Location: 0.667°S, 133.426°E
    Depth: 35 km (21.7 miles) set by location program
    Region: NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
    Distances:

    • 75 km (50 miles) WNW of Manokwari, Papua, Indonesia
    • 240 km (150 miles) E of Sorong, Papua, Indonesia
    • 1335 km (830 miles) NNE of DARWIN, Northern Territory, Australia
    • 3015 km (1880 miles) E of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia

    Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 7.8 km (4.8 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009bmbu

    Related Links:

    Posted in JAKARTA, Java, subduction zone, Tectonic Boundary | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Papua Quakes Damge Report

    Posted by feww on January 5, 2009

    At least 4 fatalities were reported after the quake cluster hit Papua

    papua-quake
    Residents inspect a collapsed hotel after an earthquake struck in Manokwari, Papua province, Indonesia, Sunday, Jan. 4, 2009. A series of powerful earthquakes at dawn killed at least three people and injured dozens more in remote eastern Indonesia on Sunday, cutting power lines and badly damaging buildings. (AP Photo/Budi Setiawan). Image may be subject to copyright.

    Reported Death Toll: Of the 4 fatalities reported, at least one was caused by the quake.

    Other casualties: About fifty people were admitted to hospitals with broken bones and head injuries and another 300 were treated for minor injuries.

    Property damage: Up to 150 homes and other structures collapsed or were badly damaged throughout the province.

    Other damage:

    • Blackout after power lines were damaged.
    • Runway of Manokwari’s Rendani airport was damaged and commercial flights were subsequently canceled.

    The authorities issued a tsunami warning, which was lifted after it was confirmed that the epicenter was on land, not water.

    “Quakes centered onshore pose little tsunami threat to Indonesia itself, but those close to the coast can churn up large waves that sometimes reach the coastlines of other countries such as Japan.” AP reported.

    Small tsunamis measuring between 10 and 40 centimeters high reached the southern coasts of Japan.

    Related Links:

    Posted in death toll, Manokwari, quake casualties, Rendani airport | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    Powerful Quake Cluster Strikes Papua, Indonesia

    Posted by feww on January 4, 2009

    Powerful Quake Cluster Strikes Papua Heralding a New Period of Intense Global Seismicity

    A powerful magnitude 7.6 mainshock followed by at least 19 aftershocks measuring 5 to 7.4 Mw struck near the north coast of Papua, Indonesia.

    This Earthquake:

    papua-jan-4-2008


    Map of Indonesia                                                                                                        Source: USGS

    Magnitude: 7.6

    Date-Time:

    • Saturday, January 03, 2009 at 19:43:54 UTC
    • Sunday, January 04, 2009 at 04:43:54 AM at epicenter

    Location: 0.510°S, 132.783°E
    Depth: 35 km (21.7 miles) set by location program
    Region:  NEAR THE NORTH COAST OF PAPUA, INDONESIA
    Distances:

    • 150 km (95 miles) WNW of Manokwari, Papua, Indonesia
    • 170 km (105 miles) ENE of Sorong, Papua, Indonesia
    • 1335 km (830 miles) N of DARWIN, Northern Territory, Australia
    • 2955 km (1830 miles) E of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia

    Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 12.1 km (7.5 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID us2009bjbn

    Shakemap  and MMI

    According to USGS: “Overall, the population in this region resides in structures that are vulnerable to earthquake shaking, though some resistant structures exist. A magnitude 7.5 earthquake and tsunami 208 km Northeast of this one struck Indonesia on October 10, 2002 (UTC), with estimated population exposures of 6,000 at intensity IX or greater and 7,000 at intensity VIII, resulting in an estimated 8 fatalities. On September 12, 1979 (UTC), a magnitude 7.5 earthquake and tsunami 378 km Northeast of this one struck Indonesia, with estimated population exposures of 10,000 at intensity IX or greater and 27,000 at intensity VIII, resulting in an estimated 15 fatalities. Recent earthquakes in this area have caused, tsunamis, landslides and liquefaction that may have contributed to losses.”

    Pacific Tsunami Warning Center

    Tectonic Summary [USGS]

    “The magnitude 7.6 Papua, Indonesia earthquake of January 3, 2009, 19:43 UTC, occurred as a result of thrust faulting on a plate-boundary along the northwest coast of the island of New Guinea. Eastern Indonesia is characterized by complex tectonics in which motions of numerous small plates are accommodating large-scale convergence between the Australia, Pacific, and Eurasia plates. In broad-scale plate-tectonic models that do not subdivide continent sized plates into smaller plates, the location of today’s earthquake would be on the boundary of the Pacific and Australia plates. The Pacific plate (located north and northeast of the epicenter) is moving southwest with respect to the Australia plate (located south of the epicenter) with a velocity of about 112 mm/year at the epicenter of the earthquake, and the focal-mechanism of today’s earthquake is broadly consistent with Pacific plate lithosphere being subducted beneath Australia plate lithosphere. The subduction zone along the northwest coast of New Guinea is characterized by an offshore oceanic trench, the New Guinea trench, but teleseismically recorded earthquake hypocenters do not show a well-developed inclined seismic zone (a Wadati-Benioff zone) dipping south-southwest from the trench.

    “The earthquake of January 3, 2009, 19:43 UTC, occurred about 470 km west of the magnitude 8.2 earthquake of February 17, 1996. The 1996 earthquake produced a tsunami that was destructive on the island of Biak. At least 108 people were killed by the 1996 earthquake and associated tsunami.” USGS

    Posted in DARWIN, Global Seismicity, Northern Territory, Sorong, tsunami warning | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

    Landslides continue wreaking havoc in Colombia, Indonesia…

    Posted by feww on December 12, 2008

    Colombia devastated by heavy rain worsened by indiscriminate deforestation

    “The problem is not nature; nature is not deliberately out to get anyone” —Meteorologist

    Colombia’s rainy season has already seen 600 disasters caused by gale-force winds and heavy rainfall. Rivers have burst their banks, and landslides and avalanches of all kinds have occurred, said meteorologist Max Henríquez.

    The rainy season began in September and normally continues to mid-December, because of La Niña. “Throughout 2007 and for several months this year we have experienced this climate phenomenon, caused by the cooling of the surface waters in the Pacific ocean, which brings above normal rainfall,” he said.

    The National Disaster Prevention and Response System (SNPAD) reported 50 people killed, 85 injured, nine missing and 735,000 left homeless as a result of the flooding and landslide.

    “The problem is not nature; nature is not deliberately out to get anyone, as some people think. Human beings are the problem, because we don’t do the right things,” Henríquez said.

    “Cutting down trees in the river basins means that the rains are not contained, but sweep down rapidly into streams and rivers, which rise and overflow. Deforestation causes problems by accelerating the water cycle on land,” he said.

    Who is responsible for Colombia’s deforestation?

    It seems just about everyone! The expert believes those responsible for uncontrolled deforestation include

    • Coca farmers
    • Home builders  (building luxury 2nd homes in the forests)
    • Campesinos, or small farmers who fell trees for firewood
    • Carpenters who use illegally logged trees to make furniture
    • Especially, cattle ranchers extending their pasture lands

    “Sixty percent of deforestation in Colombia is due to cattle ranching,” the meteorologist said. The additional demand for agricultural land has resulted in the loss of 312,000 hectares of forests since about 1990, while illegal crops like coca and opium poppies have invaded another 30,000 hectares.

    “‘The relatively young geological age of the Andes mountain chain’ is also a factor in disasters, with its propensity to volcanic eruptions and earthquakes, and so is poverty, as people with no other options settle in places unsuitable for habitation, and the ambition and greed of construction firms that do not carry out the necessary studies and build in an irresponsible manner.”  IPS reported.

    In El Poblado, Medellín’s most exclusive district, a landslide buried 10 people and six houses under 65,000 cubic meter of earth on Nov. 16, 2008.

    Many of Colombia’s cities are built on unstable soil. Those include “Manizales, the capital of the central province of Caldas, Armenia, the capital of nearby Quindío province, and even Bogotá,” Henríquez said. The risks are ever-increasing, “although they would diminish if the proper controls were in place,” he said.

    Botanist Jesús Orlando Rangel, of the National University of Colombia’s Institute of Science, estimates that Colombia is losing 598,000 hectares of forest every year.
    putting 500 species under threat. The Alexander von Humboldt Institute, however, estimates the endangered plants at
    2,500 species.

    “Species unique to the high altitude grasslands are also suffering harm, such as flowering bushes and spongy mosses which grow only one centimetre a year. This vital but fragile ecosystem is being encroached on by coal mining, potato growing and cattle grazing. “

    “The situation is terrible for any country, but more so for Colombia, which possibly has the richest biodiversity in the world, but the government doesn’t take proper preservation measures,” Rangel said.

    “The National University’s Institute of Science has been working for over 60 years, without resources and with great difficulties, but all the Environment Ministry does is repeat our work, instead of devoting itself to compiling the information and enforcing regulations. It omits the most important thing, which is monitoring,” the expert said.

    Landslide buries affluent estate north of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia

    Landslide in an affluent hillside suburb north of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia’s largest city killed four people, injuring at least 15 more with one person, a Sri Lankan maid, reported missing. The land slide reportedly buried several housing states destroying dozens of homes, and forcing thousands of people to flee. Source


    Soldiers help survivors of a landslide in Kuala Lumpur December 7, 2008. A landslide killed four people in a suburb of the Malaysian capital early on Saturday, tearing down houses and forcing the evacuation of thousands of people, police and local media said. REUTERS/Zainal Abd Halim (MALAYSIA). Image may be subject to copyright.

    More than 15,000 people flee homes after floods in Aceh, Indonesia

    More than 15,000 people have escaped their homes Thursday, as consecutive days of torrential rains caused floods in southern parts of Aceh province, according to local authorities. The rains caused the overflowing of some riverbanks, submerging 3,532 houses since Dec. 5.  Xinhua reported.

    Head of Indonesian Health Ministry’s crisis center said that the rain had also caused some landslides in the area, but no casualties have yet been reported. Indonesia has been frequently hit by floods and landslide due to deforestation. Illegal logging and land use change, clearing forests  to  plant crops, especially for biofuel, are responsible forthe deforestation.

    Aceh tsunami in December 2004 claimed at least 170,000 lives. detailed map of Indonesia. PDF file

    Landslide buried at least 15 people in Indonesia: Red Cross

    Rescue crews have recovered five bodies, and 10 people remain missing, said Heri Hidayat, a Red Cross coordinator. The landslide happened in Cianjur, a town in the province of West Java, after days of torrential rain. Mud buried about 54 houses, and authorities have evacuated 351 people. Source

    Since January 2008, floods and landslides have killed several thousand people, destroyed thousands of homes, displacing more than a million people.

    Related Links:

    Posted in Andes mountain chain, Armenia, cattle ranching, Medellín, mudslides | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

     
    Follow

    Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

    Join 219 other followers