Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response to the assault could occur by early 2016

Posts Tagged ‘MA-ON’

Typhoon MA-ON Prepares for First Landing

Posted by feww on July 19, 2011

MA-ON to Make First Landfall at Midnight on July 19: Forecast

Typhoon MA-ON is currently a Cat. 1 Storm with sustained winds of about 145 km/hr, moving close to the island of Shikoku.

If the latest analysis made by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) is accurate, the typhoon should make its first landing at about midnight (UTC) on July 19.


Typhoon MA-ON – VIS satellite image [1-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Current Details (JMA)
Scale: Large
Intensity: Strong
Center position:  32.4°N, 133.1°E
Direction and speed:  NNE 15km/h (8kt)
Central pressure: 960hPa
Maximum wind speed: 40m/s (75kt)
Maximum wind gusts: 55m/s (105kt)
Area of 50kt or stronger winds : 190km E (100NM), 110km W
Area of 30kt or stronger winds: 650km E, 410km W

MA-ON Projected Path (24-hr Probability Map)

MA-ON Projected Path (72-hr Probability Map)


Click images to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

Related Links:


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Typhoon MA-ON: Japan’s Shikoku Island in Crosshairs

Posted by feww on July 18, 2011

MA-ON Headed Toward Shikoku Island, Japan

The typhoon could make landfall on Shikoku Island at about 12:00UTC on July 19, according to Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA).


Typhoon MA-ON – VIS/IR satellite image [4-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON is currently a Category 2A storm with sustained winds of about 160km/hr, according to SATCON. However the estimate by JMA (see below) makes the typhoon a Category 1 storm with sustained winds of about 140km/hr.

Current Status

TYPHOON MA-ON – Issued at 12:50 UTC, 18 July 2011 by JMA

Intensity: Strong
Center position of probability circle: 33.3°N, E133.8°E
Direction and speed:  NNE 15km/h (9kt)
Central pressure: 955hPa
Maximum wind speed: 40m/s (75kt)
Maximum wind gusts:  55m/s (105kt)
Radius of probability circle: 160km (85NM)
Storm warning area E370km (200NM), W300km (160NM)

MA-ON Projected Path (24-hr Probability Map)


Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Projected Path (72-hr Probability Map)


Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

Related Links:

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Typhoon MA-ON Races Toward Japan

Posted by feww on July 17, 2011

MA-ON weakens slightly, still packing winds of about 205km/hr

Typhoon MA-ON has weakened slightly to Cat 3C Storm with winds of about 205km/hr, and gusts of up to 250km/hr

Heavy rain caused by the outer bands of the massive 2,000-km wide typhoon has already drenched most of the island of Shikoku.

MA-ON is completing an Eyewall Replacement Cycle (ERC), and should resume re-intensification in the warm waters that extend all the way to coastal areas of Japan, and in the absence of strong vertical wind shear, JTWC reported.


Typhoon MA-ON – VIS/IR satellite image [4-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Typhoon MA-ON – IR satellite image [4-km res] with projected path superimposed. Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

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Typhoon MA-ON Making Her MI-ND Up

Posted by feww on July 16, 2011

MA-ON Still a Cat 4A Storm

Some models suggest MA-ON may avoid making Japan landfall.

Compared with the damage caused as a result of a direct hit, the typhoon could inflict more harm by moving close along Japan’s coastline.


Typhoon MA-ON with model forecasts tracks superimposed – VIS/IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

  • Location: ~ 1,470km South of Osaka, Japan
  • Position: ~ 21.8N 137.4E
  • Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
  • Maximum sustained winds: 220 km/hr [SATCON]
  • Wind gusts: up to 270 km/hr
  • Estimated time of [first] landfall: July 19 @ 20:00UTC [See daily updates]
  • Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. The typhoon could make a second landfall on the Honshu Island before it exits land, returning to the Pacific Ocean. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)  [See daily updates]


Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 [July 16 @ 10:00UTC] – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

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MA-ON Stregthens to Cat 4A Typhoon

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Typhoon MA-ON Intensifies to a Cat 4A Storm with winds of about 220km/hr

Most models forecast MA-ON making landfall on the island of Shikoku [see daily updates.]


Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

  • Location: ~ 445km SE of IWO TO, Japan
  • Position: ~ 20.7N 140.7E
  • Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
  • Maximum sustained winds: 220 km/hr
  • Wind gusts: up to 270 km/hr
  • Estimated time of [first] landfall: July 19 @ 20:00UTC [See daily updates]
  • Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. The typhoon could make a second landfall on the Honshu Island before it exits land, returning to the Pacific Ocean. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)


Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 –Full View – IR Satellite Image.  Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge. Click HERE to update.


Typhoon MA-ON
with the latest projected track based on several models – WV satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

Related Links

Posted in Japan Typhoons, super storm, typhoon 08w | Tagged: , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

MA-ON Racing to Super Typhoon Status

Posted by feww on July 14, 2011

Typhoon MA-ON (08W) Intensifies to a Cat 3A Storm

Typhoon MA-ON is targeting Japan and could make landfall on Kyūshū Island with winds approaching 270 km/h and gusts in excess of 320 km/h [FIRE-EARTH estimates.]


Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – Vis/IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

  • Location: ~ 680km SE of IWO TO, Japan
  • Position: ~ 20.1N, 145.9E
  • Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
  • Maximum sustained winds: 185 km/hr
  • Wind gusts: up to 230 km/hr
  • Estimated time of landfall: July 19 @ 20:30UTC [See updates]
  • Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)


Typhoon MA-ON – IR/WV Diff satellite image [2-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge


Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge


Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge

MA-ON Animation

Related Links

Posted in environment | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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