California Earthquake Forecast 2009 – UPDATE
Posted by feww on August 4, 2009
For initial forecast see:
California Earthquake Forecast 2009
Based on the recent seismic activity in the Gulf of California, FEWW Moderators revise their forecast for California earthquakes in 2009 as follows:
(i) A magnitude 7.4 earthquake and two strong aftershocks (5.5+ Mw) could strike California in 2009 with a probability of 0.9 (88%).
(ii) The estimated date of occurrence: September 28, 2009
(iii) The occurrence date uncertainty: ~ +90 days from the forecast date
(iv) The epicenter is located in a built-up area. [Further information may be released later.]
(v) In addition to the above event, two other powerful earthquakes could strike the western United States in 2009. (Probability of occurrence for a single event is 77% and for the two events, 64%).
Related Links:
Fire Earth 
JA said
[Thank you for kind words. Moderator]
feww said
California Earthquake Forecast – Update 3
https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/09/24/california-earthquake-forecast-%E2%80%93-update-3/
feww said
California Earthquake Forecast – Update 2
https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/08/11/california-earthquake-forecast-update-2/
K said
Do you think that the Mojave Dessert area will be the epicenter?
Although I’m leaning more with the area from the Cajon Pass to the Coachella Valley. I have no actual scientific basis for this other than my observations of increased micro quake activity in that area.
feww said
If you are referring to the FEWW forecast, the answer is ‘No!”
Stay alert for updates. Will include links to the updates both on this page and at https://feww.wordpress.com/earthquake/