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Earthquake Forecast: Timor Sea

Posted by feww on August 27, 2009

A Magnitude 7.4 Earthquake Could Strike Timor Sea Region

FEWW Moderators believe that a powerful 7.4 Mw earthquake followed by a large cluster of aftreshocks may strike Timor Sea Region anytime.

Timor Sea quake forecast
Map of the FEWW quake forecast in Timor Sea. Original map: Google Earth. Image may be subject to copyright.

Details of FEWW Earthquake Forecast

  • Magnitude: 7.4 or greater
  • Estimated Date:  November 30, 2009 [Uncertainty:  T±90 days]
  • Epicenter: 11°34’23.78″S,  124°45’28.10″E
  • Location: Timor Sea
  • Depth: 27km [Uncertainty: +/- 6.8km]
  • Distances:
    • 160km South of the southern coast of West Timor, province of East Nusa Tenggara, Indonesia.
    • 190 km ENE of Ashmore Island [Ashmore and Cartier Islands]
    • 203 km NW Kupang, West Timor
    • 281 km NNW of Troughton Island, North Kimberly Coast, NW Australia
    • 666 km WNW of Darwin Australia
  • Horizontal Uncertainty: radius of about 60 km from the forecast epicenter
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.7 (72%)

Note: This forecast does NOT preclude the possibility of other seismic events in the area at any time.

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3 Responses to “Earthquake Forecast: Timor Sea”

  1. feww said

    Magnitude 6.8 EQ Strikes BANDA SEA
    https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/08/28/magnitude-6-8-eq-strikes-banda-sea/

  2. feww said

    Major Ecological Disaster Underway in Timor Sea
    https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/09/03/australian-oil-slick-satellite-images/

  3. feww said

    GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
    Region: Timor Sea
    Time: 2009-09-07 12:09:18.3 UTC
    Magnitude: 4.7
    Epicenter: 127.13°E 9.11°S
    Depth: 60 km

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