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Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes

Posted by feww on September 28, 2009

The Wrath of Ketsana

The wrath of Ketsana in the Philippines may not have ended.

Torrential rainfall caused by TS Ketsana, which resulted in epic flooding throughout western Luzon, may lead to yet another deadly hazard: Earthquakes.

Millions of tons of floodwater, massive landslides and unprecedented volumes of mud avalanches flowing in western Luzon could lead to regional  ‘climate-triggered’ earthquakes measuring about 4.5 Mw.

Ketsana, strengthened to typhoon force, is heading toward Vietnam

rb-l -Typhoon Ketsana
Typhoon Ketsana – Rainbow Enhancement satellite image – still image. To update and enlarged, click on the image. Source: NOAA/NHC/NWS

manila EPA  MandC
A handout photo released by the Philippine Air Force shows aerial view of flooded areas in Marikina City in northeastern Manila, Philippines, 27 September 2009. Up to 200 people have been killed with many reported missing as tropical storm Ketsana battered a wide area in Luzon, Philippines, dumping record rainfall (549 mm reported in one area)  on the capital that caused the worst flooding in living memory.  Thousands of people spent the night on the roofs of their submerged houses in Manila and surrounding provinces. The government weather bureau said the rainfall recorded in Manila was the city capital’s ‘greatest’ amount of rain since 1967. EPA/REY BRUNA/PHILIPPINE AIR FORCE/HO [Caption Monsters & Critics, edited by FEWW.] More Photos Posted Here!

The weather prospects don’t look too good for Vietnam, and China’s Hainan Island. Both areas seem to have an uneasy week ahead of them. However, the worst of Ketsana may yet strike Thailand and Myanmar.


Image from NASA TRMM – Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission

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9 Responses to “Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes”

  1. feww said

    GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
    Region: Mindanao, Philippines
    Time: 2009-11-06 04:23:38.6 UTC
    Magnitude: 5.2
    Epicenter: 126.94°E 6.24°N
    Depth: 57 km
    Status: automatic

  2. feww said

    MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES 2009 November 04 06:21:46 UTC

    Earthquake Details
    Magnitude: [Maximum quake magnitude estimated by FEWW at 5.8 Mw]
    Date-Time:
    * Wednesday, November 04, 2009 at 06:21:46 UTC
    * Wednesday, November 04, 2009 at 02:21:46 PM at epicenter
    Location: 7.115°N, 126.606°E
    Depth: 110.2 km (68.5 miles)
    Region: MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    105 km (65 miles) E of Davao, Mindanao, Philippines
    140 km (85 miles) SSE of Hinatuan, Mindanao, Philippines
    190 km (120 miles) NE of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
    1035 km (640 miles) SE of MANILA, Philippines
    Location: Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 10.1 km (6.3 miles); depth +/- 13.6 km (8.5 miles)
    Source: * USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009npam

  3. feww said

    Earthquake Details
    Magnitude: 5.0
    Date-Time
    * Saturday, October 31, 2009 at 00:07:40 UTC
    * Saturday, October 31, 2009 at 08:07:40 AM at epicenter
    Location: 15.048°N, 120.050°E
    Depth: 58.7 km (36.5 miles)
    Region: LUZON, PHILIPPINES
    Distances
    35 km (20 miles) NW of Olongapo, Luzon, Philippines
    55 km (35 miles) WSW of Angeles, Luzon, Philippines
    110 km (70 miles) WNW of MANILA, Philippines
    110 km (70 miles) WSW of Cabanatuan, Luzon, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 20.7 km (12.9 miles); depth +/- 8.9 km (5.5 miles)
    Parameters: NST= 45, Nph= 49, Dmin=866.9 km, Rmss=0.47 sec, Gp=101°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=Q
    Source: * USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

    Event ID: us2009nkad

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    Earthquake Details
    Magnitude: 4.7
    Date-Time:
    * Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 04:59:57 UTC
    * Thursday, October 29, 2009 at 12:59:57 PM at epicenter

    Location: 5.968°N, 125.854°E
    Depth: 116.5 km (72.4 miles)
    Region: MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    75 km (45 miles) ESE of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
    125 km (80 miles) S of Davao, Mindanao, Philippines
    1095 km (680 miles) SSE of MANILA, Philippines
    2505 km (1560 miles) ENE of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
    Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 10.7 km (6.6 miles); depth +/- 13.5 km (8.4 miles)
    Parameters: NST= 27, Nph= 27, Dmin=125.6 km, Rmss=1.16 sec, Gp= 94°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=7
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID:us2009niaj

  4. feww said

    MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES – 2009 October 27 00:05:55 UTC
    Magnitude: 5.6 to 5.9
    Date-Time:
    * Tuesday, October 27, 2009 at 00:05:55 UTC
    * Tuesday, October 27, 2009 at 08:05:55 AM at epicenter
    Location: 6.458°N, 124.701°E
    Depth : 35 km (21.7 miles) set by location program
    Region: MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    65 km (40 miles) NW of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
    100 km (60 miles) SSE of Cotabato, Mindanao, Philippines
    125 km (75 miles) SW of Davao, Mindanao, Philippines
    990 km (610 miles) SSE of MANILA, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 8.2 km (5.1 miles)
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009ngaj

    #####################################

    MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES – 2009 October 25 21:16:50 UTC

    Magnitude: 5.0 to 5.3
    Date-Time:
    * Sunday, October 25, 2009 at 21:16:50 UTC
    * Monday, October 26, 2009 at 05:16:50 AM at epicenter
    Location: 7.654°N, 126.630°E
    Depth : 97.4 km (60.5 miles)
    Region: MINDANAO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    85 km (50 miles) SSE of Hinatuan, Mindanao, Philippines
    125 km (80 miles) ENE of Davao, Mindanao, Philippines
    185 km (115 miles) SE of Butuan, Mindanao, Philippines
    990 km (610 miles) SE of MANILA, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 17.9 km (11.1 miles); depth +/- 8 km (5.0 miles)
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009nebd

  5. feww said

    SAMAR, PHILIPPINES – 2009 October 20 18:15:25 UTC

    Magnitude: 4.7 – 5.0
    Date-Time: Tuesday, October 20, 2009 at 18:15:25 UTC
    [Wednesday, October 21, 2009 at 02:15:25 AM at epicenter]
    Location: 12.110°N, 125.628°E
    Depth: 84.4 km (52.4 miles)
    Region: SAMAR, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    110 km (65 miles) E of Calbayog, Samar, Philippines
    115 km (70 miles) NE of Tacloban, Leyte, Philippines
    120 km (75 miles) N of Guiuan, Samar, Philippines
    575 km (355 miles) ESE of MANILA, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 10.7 km (6.6 miles); depth +/- 18.8 km (11.7 miles)
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009mzbe

  6. feww said

    MINDORO, PHILIPPINES – 2009 October 18 23:50:09 UTC

    Magnitude: 5.6 [possibly up to 5.9Mw]
    Date-Time:
    * Sunday, October 18, 2009 at 23:50:09 UTC
    * Monday, October 19, 2009 at 07:50:09 AM at epicenter
    Location: 13.684°N, 120.704°E
    Depth: - 143 km (88.9 miles)
    Region: MINDORO, PHILIPPINES
    Distances:
    + 40 km (25 miles) W of Batangas, Luzon, Philippines
    + 60 km (35 miles) WNW of Calapan, Mindoro, Philippines
    + 105 km (65 miles) SSW of MANILA, Philippines
    + 135 km (85 miles) SSE of Olongapo, Luzon, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 15.4 km (9.6 miles); depth +/- 8.3 km (5.2 miles)
    Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID: us2009mxcb

  7. feww said

    Magnitude 4.5 – PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION – 2009 October 16 08:42:00 UTC

    Magnitude 4.5
    Date-Time
    * Friday, October 16, 2009 at 08:42:00 UTC
    * Friday, October 16, 2009 at 04:42:00 PM at epicenter
    Location 5.841°N, 127.076°E
    Depth 117.6 km (73.1 miles)
    Region PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
    Distances
    + 210 km (130 miles) SE of Davao, Mindanao, Philippines
    + 210 km (130 miles) E of General Santos, Mindanao, Philippines
    + 1170 km (730 miles) SE of MANILA, Philippines
    + 2610 km (1620 miles) ENE of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 26.7 km (16.6 miles); depth +/- 14.8 km (9.2 miles)
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID us2009mvay

  8. feww said

    Magnitude 4.1 – LUZON, PHILIPPINES
    2009 October 14 09:15:11 UTC

    Magnitude 4.1
    Date-Time
    * Wednesday, October 14, 2009 at 09:15:11 UTC
    * Wednesday, October 14, 2009 at 05:15:11 PM at epicenter
    * Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 14.096°N, 120.710°E
    Depth 217.7 km (135.3 miles)
    Region LUZON, PHILIPPINES
    Distances 55 km (35 miles) NW of Batangas, Luzon, Philippines
    65 km (40 miles) SSW of MANILA, Philippines
    90 km (55 miles) SSE of Olongapo, Luzon, Philippines
    95 km (60 miles) NNW of Calapan, Mindoro, Philippines
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 45.4 km (28.2 miles); depth +/- 29.5 km (18.3 miles)
    Parameters NST= 12, Nph= 12, Dmin=>999 km, Rmss=0.64 sec, Gp=191°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID us2009mta2

    Magnitude 4.6 – PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
    2009 October 12 15:36:52 UTC

    Magnitude 4.6
    Date-Time Monday, October 12, 2009 at 15:36:52 UTC
    Monday, October 12, 2009 at 11:36:52 PM at epicenter
    Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
    Location 18.492°N, 119.486°E
    Depth 31.1 km (19.3 miles) set by location program
    Region PHILIPPINE ISLANDS REGION
    Distances
    + 120 km (75 miles) WNW of Laoag, Luzon, Philippines
    + 260 km (160 miles) NNW of Baguio, Luzon, Philippines
    + 455 km (285 miles) NNW of MANILA, Philippines
    + 760 km (470 miles) SSW of T’AI-PEI, Taiwan
    Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 9.8 km (6.1 miles); depth fixed by location program
    Parameters NST= 23, Nph= 23, Dmin=507.1 km, Rmss=0.79 sec, Gp=104°,
    M-type=body wave magnitude (Mb), Version=6
    Source USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
    Event ID us2009mrbg

  9. feww said

    Images of flooding in Luzon, Philippines
    http://www.reuters.com/news/pictures/articleslideshow?articleId=USSP49939720090930&channelName=topNews#a=1

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