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Archive for October 8th, 2009

Earth undergoing significant geophysical disturbances

Posted by feww on October 8, 2009

More Powerful Quakes Strike Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands

FEWW Moderators believe Earth may be undergoing significant geophysical disturbances with cataclysmic consequences for humans

[The disturbances and disasters that spawn from them are enhanced by human activity.]

Powerful earthquake measuring up to 7.3Mw strikes Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands, the fifth shock in less than 11 hrs

Since Wednesday, October 07, 2009 at 22:03 UTC, about 11 hours from time of posting, a total of 19 shocks have struck Vanuatu and Santa Cruz Islands Regions. The Mainshock which measured up to 8.2 Mw struck Vanuatu region, followed by 18 additional shocks in the two neighboring regions.

The most powerful of these shocks measured up to 8.1, 7.6 , 7.0 and 7.3 Mw. [Source of initial data: USGS/EHP; maximum quake magnitudes estimated by FEWW.]

10-degree Map Centered at 15°S,165°E

Vanuatu - 2
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FEWW


Related Links:

Recent Human Enhanced Disasters Asia-Pacific

See also:

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, large earthquakes, significant geophysical disturbances | Tagged: , , , , , | 14 Comments »

Typhoon Melor Leaves a Trail of Destruction in Japan

Posted by feww on October 8, 2009

Typhoon Melor Causes Widespread Destruction and Disruptions in Japan

Melor was the first typhoon in two years to make landfall in Japan, striking in Aichi prefecture,  southwest of Tokyo, on the main island of Honshu, killing 2 people and injuring more than 30.

melor in Japan reuters
A man points to a wall torn down by high winds from the third floor of a house in Tsuchiura City, Ibaraki Prefecture north of Tokyo October 8, 2009. Typhoon Melor barrelled into Japan’s main island on Thursday, disrupting flights and trains, closing some factories and tearing roofs off houses, but damage was much less than had been feared. REUTERS/Kyodo. Image may be subject to copyright.

It caused widespread damage through strong winds, with gusts of up to 200km/h, and heavy rain including flooding roads, cutting off power and phone lines, destroying traffic signals, uprooting trees, and tearing roofs from building  and knocking over trucks on the flooded roads.

Numerous Flight bullet train and commuter train services were canceled, stranding tens of thousands of commuters in the morning rush hours.

Melor forced the world’s largest car-maker, Toyota, to shut its factories in central Honshu as a precautionary measure.

At least 100,000 homes were left without electricity in Gifu, Mie Kanagawa prefectures, and parts of  Tokyo Metropolitan.

The authorities issued various warnings against mudslides and risk of landslides throughout Honshu.

Recent Typhoon Damage in SE ASIA

  • Typhoon Tokage pummeled Western Japan in October 2004, killing up to 100 people.
  • Typhoon Etau, avoiding a direct hit in Japan, caused  flash floods and large landslides that killed up to 30 people in August, 2009.
  • Typhoon Morakot struck Taiwan also in August, causing extensive landslides that swept entire villages, killing as many as 1,000 people.
  • Tropical Cyclone Ketsana left a trail of devastation across Southeast Asia, killing hundreds of people, mostly in the Philippines, Vietnam and Cambodia.
  • Typhoon Parma left a swath of destruction in its wake killing at least 16 people in the northern Philippines  and flooding dozens of villages.

BREAKING NEWS: Two new weather systems are racing west across the Pacific ocean heading towards the Philippines.

Related Links:

Posted in New Typhoons, Pacific Ocean, Tropical Cyclone Ketsana, Typhoon Etau, Typhoon Morakot, Typhoon Parma, Typhoon Tokage | Tagged: , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Powerful Earthquake Strikes Celebes Sea, S of Philippines

Posted by feww on October 8, 2009

Earthquake Measuring up to 7.1Mw Strikes Celebes Sea

Powerful earthquake measuring up to 7.1 Mw Struck Celebes Sea, SE of Jolo, Sulu Archipelago, Philippines, on Wednesday, October 07, 2009 at 21:41 UTC at a depth of about 580km.

The event followed another powerful earthquake that struck Moro Gulf (Mindanao, Philippines), on Sunday, October 04, 2009.

On September 18, 2009, after a 5.5 Mw quakes struck south of Mindanao, FEWW forecast additional, more powerful,  earthquakes for the region.

See: Latest Earthquakes Magnitude 5.5 + for FEWW Forecast.

10-degree Map Centered at 5°N,125°E

Celebes sea 7-10-09
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FEWW

Earthquake Details:

  • Magnitude: 7.1 best estimate by FEWW (downgraded by USGS/EHP to M 6.7)
  • Date-Time:
    • Wednesday, October 07, 2009 at 21:41:14 UTC
    • Thursday, October 08, 2009 at 05:41:14 AM at epicenter
  • Location: 4.043°N, 122.584°E
  • Depth:  582.8 km (362.2 miles)
  • Region: CELEBES SEA
  • Distances:
    • 280 km (175 miles) SE of Jolo, Sulu Archipelago, Philippines
    • 320 km (200 miles) S of Zamboanga, Mindanao, Philippines
    • 1,185 km (730 miles) S of MANILA, Philippines
    • 2,085 km (1300 miles) ENE of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 7 km (4.3 miles); depth +/- 10 km (6.2 miles)
  • Parameters: NST= 61, Nph= 64, Dmin=470.9 km, Rmss=0.83 sec, Gp= 40°,  M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=6
  • Source:  USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: us2009mlcb

Related Links:

Recent Human Enhanced Disasters Asia-Pacific

See also:

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, feww earthquake forecast, Pacific Ring of Fire | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Large Earthquakes Strike South Pacific

Posted by feww on October 8, 2009

Large Earthquakes Measuring Up to 8.2 Mw Strike Vanuatu, Santa Cruz Islands

FEWW had forecast up to 3 additional large quakes in the PRF

Large earthquake measuring up to 8.2 Mw struck Vanuatu region, south of Lata, Santa Cruz Islands, on Wednesday, October 7, 2009 at 22:03 UTC  immediately followed by another shock measuring up to 8.1 Mw, and at least seven aftershocks, with the largest two measuring up to 7.6 Mw and 6.3 Mw respectively.

  • FEWW Moderators believe many more massive aftershocks could occur in the region.

  • Megaquakes should also be expected in this and other regions.

10-degree Map Centered at 15°S,165°E

Vanuatu
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FEWW

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude:  8.2 as estimated by FEWW  [downgraded by USGS/EHP to M7.8]
  • Date-Time:
    • Wednesday, October 07, 2009 at 22:03:15 UTC
    • Thursday, October 08, 2009 at 09:03:15 AM at epicenter
  • Location: 13.052°S, 166.187°E
  • Depth:  35 km (21.7 miles)
  • Region: VANUATU
  • Distances:
    • 260 km (160 miles) S of Lata, Santa Cruz Islands, Solomon Isl.
    • 295 km (180 miles) NNW of Luganville, Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
    • 785 km (490 miles) ESE of HONIARA, Guadalcanal, Solomon Islands
    • 2100 km (1310 miles) NE of BRISBANE, Queensland, Australia
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 7.6 km (4.7 miles); depth fixed by location program
  • Parameters NST=169, Nph=169, Dmin=>999 km, Rmss=1.32 sec, Gp= 50°, M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=6
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: us2009mlcf

Tsunami Warning

NOAA/NWS/West Coast and Alaska Tsunami Warning Center said “a tsunami IS NOT expected along the California, Oregon, Washington, British Columbia, or Alaska coast. NO tsunami warning, watch or advisory is in effect for these areas.”

NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI had issued a tsunami watch which was later canceled with the following evaluation:

BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA THERE IS NO DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THREAT TO THE STATE OF HAWAII. THEREFORE THE TSUNAMI WATCH FOR HAWAII IS CANCELED.

HOWEVER, SOME COASTAL AREAS IN HAWAII COULD EXPERIENCE SMALL NON-DESTRUCTIVE SEA LEVEL CHANGES AND STRONG OR UNUSUAL CURRENTS LASTING UP TO SEVERAL HOURS. THE ESTIMATED TIME SUCH EFFECTS MIGHT BEGIN IS 0650 PM HST WED 07 OCT 2009

THIS WILL BE THE FINAL MESSAGE ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED.

FEWW Forecast the seismic events

Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, Ewa Beach, feww earthquake forecast, santa cruz islands quake, santa cruz quake, tsunami warning, vanuatu earthquake, vanuatu quake | Tagged: , , , , , , | 2 Comments »