Posted by feww on October 16, 2009
Strong Quake Measuring up to 6.4 Mw Strikes Sunda Strait, Indonesia
Strong earthquake measuring about 6.4 Mw struck Sunda Strait about 180 km WSW of JAKARTA, island of Java, Indonesia, at a depth of about 55km on Friday, October 16, 2009 at 09:53 UTC.
Some buildings in the capital, Jakarta, were reported as swaying by the officials. So far there are no reports damage or casualties. A magnitude 7.9 quake, which struck southern Sumatra on September 30, left up to 1,200 people dead.

The quake shook buildings as far away as Jakarta, causing some people to leave their homes and offices. (Photo: Amee Enriquez, JG). Image may be subject to copyright.
Earthquake Details:
GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
Region: Sunda Strait, Indonesia
Time: 2009-10-16 09:52:55.9 UTC
Magnitude: 6.2 [Maximum quake magnitude estimated by FEWW at 6.4Mw]
Epicenter: 105.45°E 6.47°S
Depth: 64 km
Status: automatic
10-degree Map Centered at 5°S,105°E

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FEWW.
USGS/EHP Release
- Magnitude: 6.1 [Maximum quake magnitude estimated by FEWW at 6.4Mw]
- Date-Time:
- Friday, October 16, 2009 at 09:52:52 UTC
- Friday, October 16, 2009 at 04:52:52 PM at epicenter
- Location: 6.613°S, 105.182°E
- Depth: 50.6 km (31.4 miles)
- Region: SUNDA STRAIT, INDONESIA
- Distances:
- 125 km (80 miles) S of T.-Telukbetung, Sumatra, Indonesia
- 180 km (115 miles) WSW of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
- 185 km (115 miles) W of Sukabumi, Java, Indonesia
- 265 km (165 miles) W of Bandung, Java, Indonesia
- Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 6.3 km (3.9 miles); depth +/- 8.8 km (5.5 miles)
- Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
- Event ID: us2009mva4
Related Links [Including FEWW forecasts]
Posted in earthquake forecast, Earthquakes, feww earthquake forecast, seismic activity report, seismic hazard report | Tagged: Indonesia quake, Jakarta quake, Java earthquake, Java Quake, Sukabumi, sunda Strait quake, T.-Telukbetung | 1 Comment »
Posted by feww on October 16, 2009
FEWW Forecast appears at bottom of page!
LUPIT Races West Toward Philippines and Taiwan
Would Lupit avoid Luzon, or will it be the storm that drove the island closer to edge of collapse?
Just weeks after storm Ketsana left its deadly legacy, and days after Typhoon Parma worsened the misery, storm Lupit, forecast to be a typhoon, is racing west towards the islands of Luzon and Taiwan.
At 21:00UTC on October 15, tropical storm LUPIT (22w) was located near 12.8N, 137.9E or about 315 km north of Yap moving west along the southern periphery of the Subtropical Ridge (STR) at about 33km/h.


Storm Lupit races west. MTSAT – Visible Image – Still Frame. Click image to enhance and update.
LUPITis expected to intensify steadily as it continues through the Philippine Sea because the environment is forecast to remain favorable, “characterized by minimal vertical wind shear, good radial outflow and high ocean heat content,” JTWC reported.
It is forecast to move West Northwest at reduced speeds of about 26 kph. Intertropical Convergence Zone (itcz) will affect Southern Luzon and Visayas, PAGASA reported.
Lupit expected to generate maximum significant wave height of 5 meters.

How much would storm Lupit affect Luzon, Philippines? MTSAT – IR CH1 – Still Frame. Click image to enhance and update.

Cyclone LUPIT Projected track. Solid centers represent wind forces stronger than 117km/h. Source: JTWC.

FEWW Forecast: Moderators believe if Cyclone LUPIT were to merge with [feed on] the “storm placenta” to its south (encircled on the image), it could probably
1. Reorganize, strengthening into a super typhoon.
2. Alter its projected course, moving toward a westerly direction and targeting southern Luzon.
Satellite Loops/Animation
Other Satellite Images:
Related Links:
Posted in Dagupan city, deluge in Dagupan, Ketsana, landslides, Luzon, luzon flooding, luzon landslides, Malnutrition, Manila Collapsing, Pepeng, Philippines, philippines floods, Philippines rain, probability of Manila collapsing, sanitation, Typhoon Melor, Typhoon Parma, Typhoons, Visayas | Tagged: Cyclone Lupit, Cyclone LUPIT Projected track, ecological collapse, Intertropical Convergence Zone, LUPIT Forecast, LUPIT projected path, Philippine Sea, Philippines, sociological collapse, storm 22w, storm Ketsana, storm Lupit, Storm Placenta, Subtropical Ridge, TS Lupit, ts lupit forecast track, Typhoon Parma | 2 Comments »