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Could LUPIT Do a U-Turn?

Posted by feww on October 24, 2009

Could LUPIT Strengthen to a Typhoon AND Do a U-Turn?

The answer is yes and yes, but only just!

FEWW Moderators believe there’s a 30 percent probability that Tropical Cyclone LUPIT could strengthen to a typhoon force again, and it might do a u-turn heading back toward Luzon with a probability of about 10 percent.

As of 4:00 pm local time, October 24, 2009, Tropical Storm LUPIT (“RAMIL”) was located at 22.8°N, 125.9°E, or about 425 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes with maximum winds of 95 km/h and gusts of up to 120 km/h. Nearly all models suggest that LUPIT will move Northeast at 15 km/h.

lupit 24-10-09 frm
Typhoon Lupit – DOST-PAGASA MTSAT-EIR Satellite Image frozen at 12:30 UTC  on 24 Oct. 2009. Click image to enlarge and update.

LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather.  Click image to enlarge .

RAMIL - chart - FMSLPA 24-10-09
LUPIT Chart. Source: DOST-PAGASA of the Philippines. Click image to enlarge and update.

Satellite Loops/Animation/Images

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