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Hurricane OLI Update 1 – February 4

Posted by feww on February 4, 2010

Hurricane OLI Continues to Power Up!

OLI is still organizing and expected to further intensify

Background:  Cyclone OLI May Target Tourist Spots

TC OLI Details

  • Time/Date: 4 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 16.6ºS, 153.9ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 95  degrees
  • Forward speed: 22 km/hr (~ 12 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone OLI has been tracking EAST over the past 6 hours.

Current wind distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 130 km/hr (~ 70 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 160 km/hr (~ 85 kt)
  • Maximum significant wave height: 6.7 m (20 ft)
  • OLI was located about 370 km (200nm) WNW of Bora Bora [Feb 03, 15:00UTC]
  • Sources: JTWC and Others

Tropical Cyclone OLI is currently a Cat 1 hurricane on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale and expected to further intensify.

FIRE-EARTH MODERATORS BELIEVE HURRICANE OLI COULD CAUSE SUBSTANTIAL DAMAGE TO THE SOCIETY ISLANDS, ESPECIALLY TAHITI, IF THE CYCLONE CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY, AS IT’S EXPECTED TO DO, AND REMAINS APPROXIMATELY ON ITS CURRENT PATH (ACTUAL PATH NOT THE PREDICTED ONE).


Hurricane OLI. IR WV Difference. Source: UW-CIMSS.  Click images to enter CIMSS interactive maps.


Hurricane OLI. Visible IR. Source: CIMSS


Hurricane OLI’s Projected Path. Source: UW-CIMSS.


TC OLI. Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS, with Infrared (MIMIC-IR) Version 1.


Tropical Cyclone OLI. Infrared  – South East Pacific – GOES-West. Source: UW-CIMSS.


Map of Tahiti and Bora x 2 . Credit
: karta Societeisl FP, Holger Behr.

Related Links:

12 Responses to “Hurricane OLI Update 1 – February 4”

  1. sonia c. said

    Thank you for the very good article.

  2. feww said

    French Polynesia islands battered by Cyclone Oli
    http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/asia-pacific/8497969.stm

    1 killed in Cyclone Oli in French Polynesia
    http://www.forbes.com/feeds/ap/2010/02/05/general-as-french-polynesia-tropical-weather_7332802.html

    Cyclone “Oli” : Apocalypse à Tubuai !
    http://www.tahitipresse.pf/2010/02/cyclone-oli-apocalypse-a-tubuai/

    a few of photos of Tahiti after OLI struck: http://tahitiht.blogspot.com/2010/02/en-direct-du-cyclone-oli.html

  3. […] Hurricane OLI Update 1 – February 4 […]

  4. […] Hurricane OLI Update 1 – February 4 […]

  5. L. B. TETUAETARA said

    Hurricane Oli is now heading to the South East of French Polynesia and will reach Australes archipelago in a real few hours. Measures have been taken to keep inhabitants in safe places, expecting winds up to 200 km/hour and wave height about 7 meters.
    In Bora Bora, damages are mostly material but one person got severely injured yesterday.
    In Tahiti, the administrative and political center, Oli made two injured people amongst the population. Airplanes are still kept on ground at least until tomorrow morning, Friday 5th.
    I am not in Bora Bora but I use to go there often to visit some relatives and students of mine living there.
    I hope that foreigner visitors will soon be allowed to leave their vacation place and to go back home safe.

  6. […] Hurricane OLI Update 1 – February 4 […]

  7. feww said

    UPDATE – 4 February 2010 @ 12UTC

    OLI IS NOW A VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4A Hurricane
    SEE https://feww.wordpress.com/2008/09/03/feww-new-hurricane-scale/

    Position: Near 18.6S 152.4W
    Movement during the past 6 hours: 150 degrees at 17km/hr (09 kt)
    Current wind distribution
    Maximum sustained winds: 213 Km (115 kt)
    Wind gusts: up to 260km/hr (140 kt)
    Max significant wave height: 8 meters (24ft)
    Location: About 250km SSW of Bora Bora

  8. feww said

    UPDATE – 4 February 2010 @ 09:00UTC
    Hurricane OLI with sustained winds of about 170km/hr has intensified to a Cat 2B Hurricane on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale.
    See: https://feww.wordpress.com/2008/09/03/feww-new-hurricane-scale/
    Maximum wind gusts: about 205 km/hr
    OLI has developed a 55km (29nm) irregular eye.

  9. L. B. TETUAETARA said

    All domestic flights being forbidden since yesterday night, 600 tourists couldn’t leave Bora Bora today. The authorities and hotel managers did evacuate them to safe places until the airport’s opening which will plausibly not occur in the next 48 hours.
    The local airline, Air Tahiti, decided to send its fleet to the Marquesas archipelago where the impact of hurricane Oli will be much less destructive than in the rest of French Polynesia
    Flights to Chile and New Zealand have been either delayed or cancelled due to the bad weather conditions. More international flights should be cancelled as well within the few next hours.

  10. L. B. TETUAETARA said

    Some signs gave us hints about the situation we are living now in French Polynesia : temperatures reaching unusually high peeks, sea water really warm, weather changes…
    Last week we thought that the tropical storm Nisha would hit our islands but it faded away. The good thing is that Nisha prepared us to what was coming next, the hurricane Oli.
    Now all we can do is to wait and see. A first group of islands,the Leeward Islands which include Bora Bora, undergoes Oli effects since this morning. It is now the turn of the Windward islands.
    At this time, heavy rain, lightnings and high speed winds are all we are expecting for the next 48 hours.
    There are currently 600 tourists unable to leave the island of Bora Bora because of the bad weather conditions.

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