NOTICE: New Zealand Earthquake Forecasts

Earthquake Forecasts for New Zealand Region

FIRE-EARTH Moderators have decided NOT to post specific earthquake forecasts for New Zealand Region until further notice.

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TC Errol

Tropical Cyclone Errol Inching Toward Western Australia

Storm Details on April 16, 2011 at 00:00UTC

• Position:  Near 11.6S 124.9E
• Movement past 6 hrs:  – 320 degrees at 06 KTS
• Accuracy: Position accurate to withing 60NM
• Max sustaned winds: 50KT
• Gusts: 65 KT
• Source: JTWC

Source: Image from Japan Meteorological Agency satellite MTSAT-1R via Bureau of Meteorology.

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Forecast Track

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Tornadoes, Severe Weather Continued across the US

Multiple Tornadoes Sighted in Oklahoma and Kansas

Tornadoes and severe storms have claimed about a dozen lives, destroyed homes and school buildings; significant damage reported at Atoka and Tushka, Oklahoma with at least 30 people injured: Reports

• Lightning knocked a tree into a home in Garland County, Arkansas, killing the two occupants.
• Falling trees have killed at least four more people in Arkansas, police said.

At least 10 tornadoes touched down the central and southern plains on Thursday (local time), the National Weather Service (NWS) reported. More tornados and powerful thunderstorms expected to strike the south on Friday (see forecast map below).

Tornadoes were sighted  in Atoka, Johnston, Lincoln, Marshall, Murray, Osage, and Pushmataha counties in Oklahoma and in Chautauqua, Cowley and Saline counties in Kansas, NWS reported

“There were reports of significant damage to the Oklahoma communities of Atoka and Tushka. There were 86 reports of high winds with the top recording noted at 80 mph near Russellville in Pope County, Ark. There were also 122 reports of large hail with the largest stones measured at 4.25-inch diameter in Johnston, Murray, Pontotoc and Pushmataha counties in Oklahoma.”

Powerful Spring Storm System Slams the Central Gulf Coast Region with Tornadoes, Severe Thunderstorm Winds and Large Damaging Hail

Severe weather threat is expected to move east today, affecting Atlantic Coast from Virginia to Georgia, NWS reported.

Click image to enlarge. Click HERE to enter NWS portal.

Atlanta, Georgia Radar – Base Reflectivity.  Click image to enlarge. Click HERE to update. 

States of Emergency

• Alabama.  Gov Bentley is declaring a State of Emergency for all Alabama counties following severe weather which brought tornados, severe t-storms, hail and strong winds earlier today, a report said. At least one person was killed in
• “This is a serious storm that has already caused significant damage across the South. I hope Alabamians take extreme caution while these storms move through,” said Bentley.
• “There are confirmed reports of tornado touchdowns in the following Alabama counties:  Monroe, Greene, Marengo, Sumter, Tuscaloosa and Choctaw. Multiple injuries have been reported in Sumter, Greene and Marengo counties.” The report said.
• “An apparent tornado struck Bellington Circle approximately 6 miles south of Linden [Marengo County.] Law enforcement confirmed 1 fatality and at least 4 injuries.” The National Weather Service reported.
• Mississippi. “A State of Emergency has been declared for 14 Mississippi counties after tornadoes and high winds whipped through the state today, causing multiple injuries, shutting down I-20, ravaging homes and businesses and knocking out power to thousands.” Said a report.
• Oklahoma.  Gov. Mary Fallin has declared a state of emergency in 26 Oklahoma counties, a report said. The declaration include the following counties: Atoka, Carter, Coal, Creek, Custer, Delaware, Harper, Johnston, Latimer, LeFlore, Lincoln, Love, Marshall, Murray, Okfuskee, Okmulgee, Osage, Pittsburg, Pontotoc, Pushmataha, Rogers, Seminole, Tulsa, Wagoner, Washington and Woodward.

From: 2011 Disaster Calendar – April

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