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Archive for April 29th, 2011

Texas wildfires consume nearly 2m acres

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

RED FLAG WARNINGS ISSUED for PARTS of 8 STATES

Texas wildfires scorch about 2 million acre, 905 structures

NWS has issued Red Flag Warnings for parts of California, Arizona,  New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma, Texas and Florida.

IF IT ISN’T FLOODED, IT MUST BE BURNING!


Click image to enter NWS portal.

TEXAS FOREST SERVICE INCIDENT MANAGEMENT SITUATION REPORT
Thursday, April 28, 2011
National Preparedness Level: 1
Southern Area Preparedness Level: 4
TFS Preparedness Level: 5

In the past seven days, TFS has responded to 103 fires for 91,542 acres.

YTD Totals

  • Fires: 6,329
  • Acres burned: 1,930,118
  • Structures lost: 905 [Texas fires destroy 1370 homes]

Largest Fires

ROCKHOUSE, Presidio and Jeff Davis Counties. 292,739 acres, 66 percent contained.
DEATON COLE, Val Verde County. 40,000 acres, 50 percent contained.
SCOTT RANCH, Irion County. 10,000 acres, 40 percent contained.
PLEASANT FARMS, Ector County (and C-BAR, Crane County). 12,800 acres, 75 percent contained.
OASIS, Kimble County. 6,400 acres, 10 percent contained.

Latest: CR 266, Duval County. 1,500 acres, 89 percent contained.

BOYS RANCH, Potter and Oldham counties. 500 acres, 85 percent contained.
CHAMPION, Mitchell County. 1,000 acres, no containment.
HAPPY, Castro County. 3,000 acres, 75 percent contained.
FULLER, Scurry County. 5,200 acres, 70 percent contained.
SPADE RANCH, Terry County. 4,000 acres, 90 percent contained.
MATHIS, Cottle County. 300 acres, 90 percent contained.
T-BAR RANCH, Lynn County. 1500 acres, 90 percent contained.
PK COMPLEX, Stephens and Palo Pinto Counties. 126,734 acres, 94 percent contained.
WILDCAT, Coke County. 159,308 acres, 90 percent contained.

Fatalities

  • Two firefighters have lost their lives, including one near Lubbock who was killed yesterday.
  • Two sightseers were killed as their plane  circled over fires Tuesday.

Cattle and Horses

NO official figures have been released so far. However,  FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 50,000 heads of cattle and horses may have been killed or seriously injured as a result of the deadly fires since beginning of the year.

“Between 400,000 and 500,000 cattle have been injured by the fire but survived,” a report said.

Dry Conditions Decimating Texas Crops

Texas farmers produce about 100 million bushels of wheat on average each year, but they would be lucky to produce  a third of that amount this year, says Texas AgriLife Extension Service .

“This year’s crop condition ratings show about 40 percent of the Texas crop in very poor condition, which compares with 65 percent very poor in March of 2006 and 53 percent very poor in May of 2009,” said Dr. Mark Welch, AgriLife Extension economist specializing in grain marketing and policy.

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The worst tornado outbreak in U.S. history

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

Deadly Tornado Swarm Kills 317 in 8 States

Death Toll Expected to Rise; Unconfirmed Toll at 325

Confirmed Death Toll by State

Alabama: 210
Tennessee: 35
Mississippi: 33
Georgia: 16   (Ringgold has 7 tornado deaths: Bradley County 9)
Arkansas: 12
Virginia 8   (Tornadoes tear across South)
Louisiana: 2
Kentucky: 1  (most recent death toll in the state)
Total: 317
(as of posting)

The Dark Wednesday: Tornado Attacks the Worst U.S. Natural Disaster Since Hurricane Katrina  


The Dark Wednesday: SPC received 211 tornado reports among a total of 806 severe weather reports.

Hurricane Katrina claimed an estimated 1,800 lives in 2005; death toll from tornadoes and storms attacks is at least 316, and mounting.

Wednesday’s tornadoes are now the deadliest in the U.S. history, breaking previous record was set on April 3, 1974 when twisters killed 310 people.


Thursday reports, as of posting. Click image to enlarge.


Relative frequency of killer tornado events, 1950-2004. White area indicates area with greatest frequency of tornado-related fatalities during the period. Red area had the second greatest frequency of tornado-related fatalities. © Copyright [2007] American Meteorological Society (AMS).

GOES Eastern US SECTOR Infrared Image

Storm fronts have life cycles not unlike butterflies. The deadly “butterfly” flies off the U.S. Atlantic Coast.

Most Recent USA East Medium-Resolution Satellite Image 

NOAA GOES 13  @ 08:01UTC April 29, 2011

How Bad?

The tornadoes and violent storms that ripped through 8 states left  “major, major” trails of destruction in their paths.

“As we flew down from Birmingham, the track is all the way down, and then when you get in Tuscaloosa here it’s devastating,” Gov. Robert Bentley said, declaring Alabama “a major, major disaster.”

Entire civic infrastructures were wiped out as tornadoes and storms leveled entire neighborhoods in various parts of the South, obliterating homes, businesses, schools, hospitals, churches, trees, power lines…

At least 36 people were killed in Tuscaloosa, with more than 600 injured, local media reported.

There are no official reports of the dimension of destruction as yet; however, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 6 thousands structures may have been razed/damaged, with an estimated loss of about 10 billion dollars.

States of Emergency

Alabama, Arkansas, Indiana, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Oklahoma, Tennessee and Virginia have declared states of emergency.

Super-cell T-storms

“These were the most intense super-cell thunderstorms that I think anybody who was out there forecasting has ever seen,” Greg Carbin of the SPC in Oklahoma told the AP.

The twister that destroyed large parts of Tuscaloosa, is believed to have been an EF-5 tornado [See below for Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale.]

“We have neighborhoods that have been basically removed from the map,” Tuscaloosa mayor Walter Maddox said, describing the damage as a path of “utter destruction.”

Another large twister, possibly an EF-4 tornado, reportedly destroyed about 90% of the town Hackleburg, in Alabama’s Marion County.

The National Weather Service has confirmed an EF-4 tornado touched down in the Tennessee Valley, a report said.

Storm Shuts Down 3  TVA Nuclear Reactors at Browns Ferry in Alabama

The 3 reactors at TVA’s 3,297-megawatt Browns Ferry nuclear plant in Alabama switched over to emergency diesel generators to supply power for the reactors cooling system at 5:30 EDT (22:30 UTC) after storms knocked out  transmission lines that supplied power, the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Agency said. More…

On April 20, a tornado reportedly damaged the switchyard at Dominion’s Surry Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) forcing both aging reactor units to shut down.

About  650,000 homes and business were still without power, mostly in northern Alabama and Mississippi, Thursday night, a report said.

“Roughly 70 high powered transmission lines remain out of service, with some creating dangerous situations because they’ve fallen across roads.”

Browns Ferry nuclear plant won’t restart so long as so much of the grid is down, TVA chief of operations was quoted as saying.

“When the system is ready for the plant, we can begin the process of restarting it. But we have to get the transmission system ready.”

Forecast: Large-scale lightning outbreaks

Unfortunately, the worst may NOT be over yet.  In addition to more tornadoes and violent storms this year and the next, FIRE-EARTH forecasts phenomenally large-scale outbreaks of potentially deadly lightning clusters throughout the United States.

Related Links

Global Disasters

FEWW Forecasts

Too Bad Climate Juggernaut Delivering Deadlier Loads Next Year! Based on various climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts an increase of about 24% in the severity of extreme weather events during the next 20 months, compared with the previous period.

THE NEXT MAJOR DISASTER COULD STRIKE THE U.S.
The next major anthropogenic or human-enhanced natural disaster [e.g., climate related] could occur in the United States with a probability of 0.75

Brace for the Worst Ever

Climatic  Extremes, Primeval Geophysical Activities and WILD Weather to Wreak Mega Havoc in 2011/2012 and Beyond …

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO POWER DOWN AND START THINKING HARD.  Encourage your folks, friends and neighbors to join in!! BECAUSE  for most of us the GAME would be OVER soon.

Flooding and fires, earthquakes and eruptions, deadly tornadoes and strong storms … are just some of the items you’ve ordered from the climate change quick menu!

2011 Tornadoes Ever Deadlier: FEWW

Start of Meteorological Spring Signals Hyper Tornado Season

Based on several climatic indicators and recent weather trends, FIRE-EARTH forecasts a deadly peak tornado season in 2011.

Fujita Pearson Tornado Scale


F-0  [39%]
40-72 mph, chimney damage, tree branches broken

F-1 [35%]
73-112 mph, mobile homes pushed off foundation or overturned

F-2 [20%]
113-157 mph, considerable damage, mobile homes demolished, trees uprooted

F-3  [5%]
158-205 mph, roofs and walls torn down, trains overturned, cars thrown

F-4 [0.9%]
207-260 mph, well-constructed walls leveled

F-5 [<0.1%]
261-318 mph, homes lifted off foundation and carried considerable distances, autos thrown as far as 100 meters

Source: US gov. [Figures in brackets represent long-term relative frequencies— revised by FIRE-EARTH]

Last updated @ 13:45UTC, April 29, 2011

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U.S. Tornado Update – April 29

Posted by feww on April 29, 2011

Deadliest Ever Tornadoes?

Confirmed Death Toll 302; Unconfirmed 318

The Late April Tornado Attack:  The worst U.S. natural disaster since Hurricane Katrina

Hurricane Katrina claimed an estimated 1,800 lives in 2005; current unconfirmed reports put this week’s toll from tornadoes and storms at at least 318.

Wednesday also turned out to be the deadliest day of tornadoes in the U.S. since April 3, 1974 when 310 people perished.

Confirmed Death Toll by State

Alabama: 198
Tennessee: 35
Mississippi: 32
Georgia: 16 (Ringgold has 7 tornado deaths: Bradley County 9)
Arkansas: 11
Virginia 8
Louisiana: 2
Total: 302
(as of posting)

Up to 2 thousand others have been injured in storm-related incidents.

The Dark Wednesday


The Dark Wednesday: SPC received 180 tornado reports and a 584 other severe weather reports.


Thursday reports, as of posting. Click image to enlarge.

The tornadoes and violent storms that ripped through 7 states left  “major, major” trails of destruction in their pathes.

Entire civic infrastructures were wiped out as tornadoes and storms leveled entire neighborhoods in various parts of the South, obliterating homes, businesses, schools, hospitals, churches…

There are no official reports of the dimension of destruction as yet; however, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 6 thousands structures may have been razed/damaged, with an estimated loss of about 10 billion dollars.

Alabama, Arkansas, Mississippi, Tennessee and Virginia have declared states of emergency.

Forecast: Large-scale Lightning Outbreaks

Unfortunately, the worst may NOT be over yet.  In addition to more tornadoes and violent storms this year and the next, FIRE-EARTH forecasts phenomenally large-scale outbreaks of potentially deadly lightning clusters throughout the United States.

Related Links

Global Disasters

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