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Archive for May 9th, 2011

Tropical Storm AERE – UPDATE May 9

Posted by feww on May 9, 2011

Tropical Storm 03W (aka AERE, lka ‘BEBENG’) Pummels NW Philippines

The Storm has dumped as much as 800mm of rain in parts of northwestern Philippines, causing widespread flooding, triggering landslides, killing at least a dozen people, and forcing about 110,000 people to flee their homes.


Tropical Storm AERE – IR Satellite Image (8km Res). Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Current Details (FIRE-EARTH estimates)

  • Position: 18.5°N, 122.2°E
  • Maximum sustained winds : 80 kp/h
  • Maximum wind gusts: 90 kp/h
  • Movement: North at 15  kp/h

The storm is expected to reach to about 170km west of Naha, Okinawa in the next 70 hours.

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Mississippi River Still Rising

Posted by feww on May 9, 2011

Worst flood disaster in the Mississippi watershed since 1927?

Memphis braces for the highest Mississippi River crest in 74 years

By now it must have dawned on many that the extreme weather events and disasters occurring since about 2008 are parts of a bigger picture!

“Right now the Mississippi River is in the process of going through what we call an epic flood, meaning it’s more than historic; it’s more than a 100-year flood; it’s more like a 500 year flood.” Gene Rench of the National Weather Service said.

In the Mississippi flood of 1927 , one of the biggest disasters in US history, affecting about 24,000 square miles, up to 1,000 people perished and more than 600,000 were left homeless.

Water continued rising along the Mississippi River on May 8


Severe flooding along Mississippi floodplain south of New-Madrid Floodway. The largest in the country, the Mississippi River watershed drains more than 41 percent of the continental United States including all or parts of 31 states. Image taken by MODIS on NASA’s Terra satellite on May 8, 2011. Click image to enlarge. Image Source: NASA-EO. Download largest  image (9 MB, JPEG).

More details of flooding

  • The tsunami of floodwater is moving at about 10MPH (16km/h)
  • Tens of thousands more people may have to evacuate their homes along the Mississippi River
  • Mississippi is expected to crest in Osceola, Arkansas, in a few hours time (early Monday)
  • In Memphis the river is expected to crest above 48 feet on Tuesday
  • Police in Memphis have issued evacuation warnings to about 3,000 homes
  • Shelby County residents are warned to be prepared to evacuate at short notice
  • Record crests are forecast for Vicksburg (May 19) and Natchez (May 21)
  • Missouri floodway has been opened for the first in 74 year to reduce flood pressure
  • Bonnet Carre Spillway north of New Orleans is due to be opened later today to divert some of the flow to Lake Pontchartrain
  • Morganza spillway may have to be opened to divert floodwater to Atchafalaya Basin, the largest swamp in the U.S.
  • The flooding is expected to dwarf previous records set in 1927 and 1937, when the Lower Mississippi flooded to 80 miles wide in some areas.
  • The flooding is a “midterm dividend” of climate change: Higher than normal snowfall in the winter, and above normal rainfall this spring.
  • Residents of Olive Branch, Illinois,  evacuated their homes as flooding hit the town.
  • In Kentucky up to 10,000 people have already evacuated their homes.

River Forecast Centers


Click image to enter RFC portal.

*****ALERT: Major Flooding Forecast on Mainstem Mississippi and Lower Ohio Rivers*****

On March 1, 2011, FIRE-EARTH forecast

U-S Attacked by Continued Severe Weather

Brace for the Worst Ever!  Climatic  Extremes, Primeval Geophysical Activities and WILD Weather to Wreak Mega Havoc in 2011/2012 and Beyond…

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO POWER DOWN AND START THINKING HARD.  Encourage your folks, friends and neighbors to join in!! BECAUSE  for most of us the GAME would be OVER soon.

Flooding and fires, earthquakes and volcanic eruptions, deadly tornadoes and strong storms … are just some of the items you’ve ordered from the climate change quick menu!

From 2011 Disaster Calendar – May

  • Day 493 [May 8, 2011]

    • Quebec, Canada. The worst flooding in Quebec in 150 years has destroyed or damaged at least 3,000 homes, leaving about 2,800 people homeless.
      • “People are getting around in canoes, rowboats and watercraft, with the water so high it has left some houses half-submerged.”
      • Lake Champlain has risen to a record 103.26 feet above sea level, the U.S. National Weather Service reported.  Flood stage is 100 feet!
    • Arkansas, USA.  Severe flooding in parts of Arkansas will have a “serious and long-term economic impact” on the state, Gov Beebe has said.
      •  “There’s going to be an agricultural impact … problem with aid or assistance on agricultural losses is that traditionally the … Department of Agriculture is a couple of years behind, time-wise, on those kinds of assessments, so you’ve got a tough period to go through for those farmers,” he said.
      • “Economically on agriculture it’s going to be very difficult, and devastating for some.”
    • Vermont, USA.  Hundreds of homes have been destroyed or damaged as a result of lake Lake Champlain flooding, a report said.
    • USA. Thousands of people living along the Mississippi River have evacuated their homes in at least six states as the rising river continues to top all  previous levels.
  • Day 494 [May 9, 2011]

    • Manitoba, Canada.  Brandon city council has declared a state of emergency was the Assinibione River continues to rise.
    • Arkansas, USA. Gov Beebe has declared 63 of Arkansas’ 75 counties as disaster areas following the recent storms and flooding, which have claimed more than 2 dozen lives, reports say.
    • Mississippi, USA. The W.H. has declared as disaster areas 11 counties in Mississippi, where   Mimajor flooding is expected, reports say.


Related Links

Global Mega Disasters

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