Fire Earth

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Archive for July 15th, 2011

MA-ON Stregthens to Cat 4A Typhoon

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Typhoon MA-ON Intensifies to a Cat 4A Storm with winds of about 220km/hr

Most models forecast MA-ON making landfall on the island of Shikoku [see daily updates.]

Typhoon MA-ON with the latest projected track based on several models – IR satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON Summary of Details (as of posting)

  • Location: ~ 445km SE of IWO TO, Japan
  • Position: ~ 20.7N 140.7E
  • Movement and speed: moving west (275 degrees,) at a forward speed of about 15 km/hr
  • Maximum sustained winds: 220 km/hr
  • Wind gusts: up to 270 km/hr
  • Estimated time of [first] landfall: July 19 @ 20:00UTC [See daily updates]
  • Remarks: MA-ON will likely become a super typhoon as it heads NW moving over warmer waters. The typhoon could make a second landfall on the Honshu Island before it exits land, returning to the Pacific Ocean. (FIRE-EARTH forecast based on data from various sources.)

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 –Full View – IR Satellite Image.  Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge. Click HERE to update.

Typhoon MA-ON
with the latest projected track based on several models – WV satellite image [8-km res.] Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon MA-ON – MTSAT2 – Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.

MA-ON Animation

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Significant Quake Rattles Tokyo Area

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Magnitude 5.5 Quake in Ibaraki Pref Rattles a Vast Area

The 5.5Mw quake, epicentered at 36.3N, 140.1E, struck about 59 km NNE of Tokyo at a depth of 60 km at 21:01 JST (UTC + 9 hrs) on 15 July 15, 2011, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said.

There was NO tsunami associated with this quake.

Distances [USGS]

  • 47 km (29 miles) WSW (239°) from Mito, Honshu, Japan
  • 59 km (37 miles) NNE (25°) from TOKYO, Japan
  • 91 km (56 miles) ESE (108°) from Maebashi, Honshu, Japan

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS-EHP

Japan Earthquake Forecasts

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US Weather: SW, SE Continue to Boil

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Dangerously hot and humid conditions, flooding and severe weather

Unrelenting heat to continue unabated in the SW and south-central Plains and parts of the Southeast: NWS

Excessive heat is forecast to return “with a vengeance through much of next week.” The NWS hazards assessment map indicates excessive heat would return to two regions, covering parts of at least 24 states. Click image to enlarge.

Triple digit temperatures with heat index of about 120 degrees (49ºC) forecast across the South Thursday, with “no end in sight for the blazing temperatures.”

“Excessive Heat Watches and Warnings and Heat Advisories are in effect over a dozen states and high temperatures are expected to spread again across more of the South.” Forecasters said.

Excessive heat is forecast to return “with a vengeance through much of next week” to two regions covering at least 24 states. See above map.

Thursday’s weather hazards include:

  • Dangerously hot and humid conditions across the Southeast
  • Flooding continues and worsens in some parts of the northern and central Plains
  • Severe weather will be a threat in the north-central Plains and the Upper Midwest

High temperatures for today in parts of the country hoping for relief include:

  • Texas: Dallas 101, San Antonio 99, Waco 104, Wichita Falls 106
  • Oklahoma: Oklahoma City 101, Tulsa 100, Woodward 101
  • Kansas: Dodge City 100, Garden City 100, Goodland 94, Hill City 99, Topeka 94, Wichita 99
  • Missouri: Kansas City 91
  • Arkansas: Fort Smith 99, Pine Bluff 94
  • Louisiana: Shreveport 100
  • Mississippi: Tupelo 96

Daily high temperatures through Monday would be in triple digits (NWS forecast), including:

  • 105 degrees or more in Wichita Falls, 102 or higher in Waco
  • 100-102 in Wichita, 100-105 in Dodge City, 102 and higher in Hill City

U.S. Weather Hazards Map. Click image to enter interactive portal.

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FIRE halts BP oil production at Valhall platform, North Sea

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Valhall oil platform evacuated, production suspended indefinitely

The fire, which started in a compressor on the platform at 15:00UTC, forced BP to evacuated 638 workers and shut down the platform, according to NRK, the Norwegian state broadcaster.

“No persons are injured and no one is missing,” BP spokesman Jan Erik Geirmo told NRK. “We see this as a serious incident.”

“How it was ignited, we have no idea,” he said. “If any place should burn, it was one of the best places for it to happen. It had no big potential to escalate. But a fire is a fire.”

Valhall oil field is located at a depth of about 70 meters in the Norwegian sector of the North Sea some  290 km (180 miles) off southern Norway. Discovered in 1975, the oil field became operational in 1982.

Valhall has a total production capacity of about 180,000 bpd, however it was only producing about  42,000 bpd before the fire because, according to BP, the platform was old.

Hess, a New-York listed company is the majority owner of Valhall oil field with a 64 percent share, with  operator BP holding 36 percent.

Valhall Oil Platform Complex. Source BP. Click image to enlarge.

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