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Mass die-offs from human impact and planetary response to the assault could occur by early 2016

Archive for April, 2012

Popocatépetl Volcano Erupts Explosively

Posted by feww on April 18, 2012

‘El Popo’ forecast: Large-scale explosions, high probability of incendiary fragments and ash showers

Mexican authorities have raised the alert level for the Popocatepetl southeast of Mexico City following recent activity. The volcano’s eruption in 2000 forced the evacuation of tens of thousands of people from the three states that surround the volcano in central Mexico.


Popocatépetl Volcano (“smoking mountain” in Aztec) is North America’s 2nd-highest volcano. The massive stratovolcano stands 5,450m high and lies about 65 kilometers (40 miles)  southeast of  Mexico City (19.023°N, 98.622°W ) in the eastern segment of the Trans-Mexican volcanic belt. Mexico’s Center for Disaster Prevention (CENAPRED) has warned of large scale explosions, with high probability of  incendiary fragments and ash showers. Image source:  CENAPRED, Mexico.

A lava dome is growing in the volcano’s crater, CENAPRED said in a recent bulletin. The massive volcano also has been ejecting incandescent fragments and ash, and spewing steam and volcanic gasses.

The volcano is expected to experience “significant explosions with growing intensity, hurling incandescent rocks significant distances,” with a high probability of ash showers, the center said.  Adding that local residents should expect possible flows of lava and lahar down the volcano’s flanks.

The following is the latest bulletin issued by CENAPRED

Abr 18 07:00 (12:00 Abr 18 GMT)

At 06:35 h (local time), the monitoring system recorded the beginning of an exhalation sequence with tremor, that continues at the moment of this report. The first exhalation of this sequence had an explosive component. It generated the emission of incandescent fragments over the north and northeast flanks at distances of 500-800 m (see image 1) and a dense plume of steam, gases and ash (see image 2). The incandescent fragments fall over the snow and generated a small water and ash flow.

Likely, ash fall will occur over the villages in the eastern and southeastern sectors of the volcano.

During the 12 previous hours the monitoring system registered 6 low intensity exhalations, accompanied by steam, gas and small amount of ash. The most important occurred at 00:46 h y 04:59 h (see image 3), which increased the incandescence over the crater rim.

During the night the cloudy conditions doesn##t allow to observe the volcano. During the early morning the volcano could be seen with a continuous emission of steam and gas, that increased the amounts of ash and the density since 06:36 h.

The traffic light alert signal remains in Yellow Phase 3. This level implies:

1. Announcing the situation and measures taken to the public and the media. 2. Prepare personnel, equipment and evacuation shelters. 3. Implement specific measures in the most vulnerable. 4. Implement preventive measures against ash fall, lahars and against fragments in vulnerable regions. 5. Alert air navigation systems. 6. Limit access to the volcano over a larger area.

See also:

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Disaster Calendar – 17 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 17, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,429 Days Left

[17 April 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,429 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in global climate change, Global Climate Extremes, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, Global Food Crisis, Global Food Shortages, global Precipitation, global Temperature Anomalies | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Massive Bridge Over No Water

Posted by feww on April 17, 2012

Severe drought grips Shiyan City, central China’s Hubei Province

A severe drought caused by the failed rains has gripped Shiyan City in central China’s Hubei Province.


Recent photo shows dry bed of Hanjiang River crossed by a massive bridge near Shiyan City in central China’s Hubei Province. (Xinhua/Cheng Fuhua).   More photos…

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Global Drought

Recent Global Drought Links

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Disaster Calendar – 16 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 16, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,430 Days Left

[16 April 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,430 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Drought Spreads Across England

Posted by feww on April 16, 2012

“A longer-term drought, lasting until Christmas and perhaps beyond” forecast for England

East Anglia, the South East, the Midlands and the South West are now officially in drought, while dry weather continues to impact other areas of England, the UK Environment Agency reported.

Parts of England received less than 60% of the average winter rainfall, the Agency reported, warning that the drought could last beyond Christmas, and into a third dry winter.


Total rainfall across England and Wales for March 2012.  Source: UK Environment Agency.

Drought status for 17 new counties in South West England and the Midlands 

Seventeen new counties in South West England and the Midlands have been designated drought status, after two dry winters have left rivers and ground waters depleted, some of them at record lows, said the Agency. The dry weather is ” taking its toll on the environment and farmers – causing problems for wildlife, wetlands and crop production, ” the Agency reported

“In the Midlands the Environment Agency has rescued fish from the River Lathkill in Derbyshire after it dried up, and the Rivers Tern, Sow, Soar and Leadon reached their lowest ever recorded levels in March. In the South West rivers are also suffering and nationally important chalk streams, such as the Hampshire Avon and the Dorset Stour, which support rare trout and salmon species, are exceptionally low.”

New Regions Impacted by Drought

The South West region covers:

  • Cornwall
  • Devon
  • Dorset
  • Somerset
  • Bristol
  • South Gloucestershire
  • Parts of Hampshire
  • Most of Wiltshire.

The Midlands region covers:

  • Nottinghamshire
  • Leicestershire
  • Derbyshire
  • Staffordshire
  • West Midlands
  • Warwickshire
  • Shropshire
  • Worcestershire
  • Herefordshire
  • Gloucestershire

Drought Situation

The counties of Lincolnshire, Cambridgeshire, parts of Bedfordshire and Northamptonshire, and west Norfolk were declared drought areas in June 2011. “In February 2012 following a dry winter, Hampshire, West Sussex, East Sussex, Kent, Surrey, London, Berkshire, Hertfordshire, Buckinghamshire, Oxfordshire, the east of Gloucestershire and the remainder of East Anglia and in March 2012 parts of Yorkshire are now also in drought.”

Third Year of Drought?

“A longer term drought, lasting until Christmas and perhaps beyond, now looks more likely,” head of Water Resources at the UK Environment Agency said.

See Also:

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Global Drought

Recent Global Drought Links

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Disaster Calendar – 15 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 15, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,431 Days Left

[15 April 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,431 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

 

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Deadly Tornadoes Attack U.S. Midwest

Posted by feww on April 15, 2012

Dozens of tornadoes tore through the U.S. midsection as Kansas declared disaster emergency

More than 120 tornadoes pummel Kansas, Oklahoma, Nebraska and Indiana leaving at least 5 people dead in Woodward, NW Oklahoma, and forcing Kansas governor to declare a disaster emergency.

  • Iowa.  About 75 percent of the small town of Thurman (Fremont County) has been destroyed. The town has been evacuated with an emergency shelter in a nearby town. No power in the town, SPC reported.
  • OklahomaNumerous reports of major structural damage on western and northern part of Woodward; at least 5 killed and many injured.
  • Kansas.  A tornado has caused widespread damage and power outages in Wichita, Kansas, but there were bno reports of deaths or injuries as of posting.
  • Tornadoes have damaged or destroyed many homes, businesses, a jail, a hospital and an Air Force base aaround the region, reports said.
  • Nebraska.  Baseball-sized hail tore siding from houses and shattered windows in Petersburg, about 130 miles NW of Omaha.
  • Sedgwick County, Kansas, declared a state of disaster and said the storm damage could top $280 million.
  •  Severe weather is expected to continue Sunday “from east Texas and Arkansas and up into the Great Lakes,” said Storm Prediction Center (SPC).

See also:

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Related Links

Tornadoes 2012


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Disaster Calendar – 14 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 14, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,432 Days Left

[14 April 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,432 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Etna Erupts Explosively

Posted by feww on April 14, 2012

Mt Etna, Europe’s most active volcano, erupted for the sixth time this year

Etna’s spectacular eruption, which began Thursday, is the 24th explosion since January 2011.


Etna erupted explosively for the 6th time so far this year. Freeze frame from an AP news video clip.


Mount Etna (37.734°N, 15.004°E) is Europe’s highest volcano, towering 3,330m above Catania, Sicily’s second largest city. Photo by Jean-Claude Tanguy, 1991 (University of Paris). Source: GVP.

  • News video clips show large volumes of lava and plumes of smoke and ash being ejected from a new crater on the volcano’s southeast flank.
  • The massive volcano is located about 15km from the village of Zafferana Etnea and 30km from Catania, Sicily’s second largest city.
  • Etna boasts  one of the world’s longest documented records of activity, with its historical volcanism dating back to 1500 BC.
  • The latest eruption which began on Thursday is the 24th in a series that started in January 2011. The last three eruption have occurred in 12-day intervals.
  • Also known as the “the Mountain of Fire,” the basaltic stratovolcano covers an area of about 1,200km2.
  • The Mongibello is in near constant state of activity.
  • More than a quarter of Sicily’s population lives on the slopes of Mount Etna.

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Disaster Calendar – 13 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 13, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,433 Days Left

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,433 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in drought and deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Drought Intensifies Throughout USA

Posted by feww on April 13, 2012

More than 60% of the lower 48 states and Hawaii in “abnormally dry” or drought conditions

Wildfires as far north as upstate New York and multiple outbreaks of brushfires along the Atlantic Coast from New England to Florida are occurring due to unusually dry weather and winds.

List of states that are in 100% “abnormally dry” or drought conditions

  • Arizona
  • Connecticut
  • Delaware
  • District of Columbia
  • Florida
  • Maine
  • Massachusetts
  • New Hampshire
  • New Jersey
  • New Mexico
  • Rhode Island
  • South Carolina
  • Vermont

More than 99.96% of Florida  is currently in drought, with nearly a third of the state experiencing the worst two categories of drought, Extreme (D3), and Exceptional (D4).

List of states that are in more than 94% “abnormally dry” or drought conditions

  • California (95.11%)
  • Colorado (94.83%)
  • Georgia (95.48%)
  • Maryland (98.05%)
  • Minnesota (99.88%)
  • Nevada (99.87%)
  • Utah (99.01%)

More than 84% of Georgia is currently in drought, with nearly two-thirds of the state experiencing D3 and D4 drought levels.

The following excerpts are from the U.S. Drought Monitor (Report released on April 12, 2012)

  • The Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
    • The U.S. Drought Monitor report:  During the past 60-days, 25 to 50 percent of normal precipitation has fallen from northern Virginia northward into coastal Maine, with deficits between 4 and 8 inches. Similar percentages and deficiencies also existed at 90-days in the same areas. Since the start of the year, deficits have included: 7.63 inches at Islip, NY; 7.39 inches at Providence, RI; 7.18 inches at Boston, MA; 5.71 inches at Salisbury, MD; and 4.90 inches at Hartford, CT.  The early green-up of trees and vegetation was slowed by the colder air, but yet many plants have begun to grow, taking moisture out of the soils. According to the USGS, stream flow levels were at near- or record lows for April 10 at 1-, 7-, 14-, and 28-day averages in much of New England and the mid-Atlantic. Additionally, there have been several outbreaks of brushfires and some large wild fires, even as far north as upstate New York.
  • Southeast:
    • Augusta, Georgia.  The driest rolling 365-day period ending on April 4 beat the former record by 5 inches, while this 365-day period was the 4th driest such period ever (since 1872).
    • Florida. In Florida, the continued lack of rain produced additional deterioration across the state. The first 100 days at Jacksonville, FL, have been the driest since 1921, and only 30 percent of normal.
    • Lake Okeechobee was below 12 feet this morning (11.97 feet, or 2.1 feet below normal), and now falling at 0.2 to 0.3 feet per week. Numerous wild fires have occurred throughout the state as the fire index is now over 700 in south-central Florida.
  • Midwest.
    • Little or no precipitation fell over the drought areas of the upper Midwest and adjacent northern Plains. Although temperature anomalies decreased from previous weeks, readings still averaged 6 to 12 ºF above normal.
    • According to the USDA, percent topsoil and subsoil moisture rated very short or short was: Illinois (46/47), Minnesota (60/68), and Iowa (78/85).
    • Canton Lake in Fulton County, IL, was 5 feet below full pool.
  • The Plains:
    • A scattering of moderate (0.5 to 1.5 inches) to heavy (1.5 to 4 inches) rains fell on parts of Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas, eastern Colorado, and southern Nebraska, but from central Nebraska into the Dakotas, little or no rain was measured.
    • In the northern Plains, however, another dry and mild week further depleted soil moisture as accumulated short-term deficiencies slowly increased. Based upon the 60-, 90-, and 120-day anomalies, D0 expanded in central South Dakota while D1 spread into north-central and southwestern South Dakota and western Nebraska.
  • The West:
    • Light to moderate precipitation (0.5 to 2 inches) was confined from northern California and the northern Sierra Nevada northward into the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies. Little or no precipitation fell on central and southern California, the Great Basin, and the Southwest. Temperatures averaged below normal in western areas, slightly above normal in far eastern sections.
  • Hawaii:
    • In Hawaii, some windward locations on Maui and the Big Island received 2 to 4 inches of rain, but much less fell on leeward sides. Fortunately, most of the islands (except the Big Island) received surplus March rainfall, easing any further deterioration there. On the Big Island, however, many northern and leeward locations have reported less than 25 percent of normal rainfall since January 1. Kona coffee growers indicated that leaves are starting to shrivel on their trees and berries are starting to fall.
    • Author: David Miskus, Climate Prediction Center/NCEP/NWS/NOAA

Recent Global Drought Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Disaster Calendar – 12 April 2012

Posted by feww on April 12, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 12

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,434 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Powerful Quake Strikes Gulf of California

Posted by feww on April 12, 2012

M6.9 Earthquake Rattles Gulf of California

The quake followed a strong foreshock measuring 6.2Mw which occurred 9 minuets earlier.


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude: 6.9
  • Date-Time: Thursday, April 12, 2012 at 07:15:48 UTC
  • Location: 28.790°N, 113.142°W
  • Depth: 10.3 km (6.4 miles)
  • Distances
    • 133 km (82 miles) NE of Guerrero Negro, Baja Calif. Sur, Mexico
    • 179 km (111 miles) NNW of Santa Rosalia, Baja Calif. Sur, Mexico
    • 215 km (133 miles) W of Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico
    • 526 km (326 miles) SSW of PHOENIX, Arizona
  • Location Uncertaint: horizontal +/- 18.1 km (11.2 miles); depth +/- 4.1 km (2.5 miles)
  • Source:  USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Other Significant Quakes

  • Magnitude 6.5, MICHOACAN, Mexico;  Wednesday, April 11, 2012 at 22:55:10 UTC; 18.272°N, 102.732°W; depth of 20 km (12.4 miles);  USGS NEIC.
  • Magnitude 5.9, OFF THE COAST OF OREGON; Wednesday, April 11, 2012 at 22:41:47 UTC; 43.593°N, 127.557°W; 271 km (168 miles) W of Coos Bay, Oregon; depth of 10.2 km (6.3 miles); USGS NEIC.

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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M8.2 Aftershock Follows Mega Quake Off Sumatra

Posted by feww on April 11, 2012

Large aftershock strikes Off the Coast of Sumatra

More than a dozen significant aftershocks have occurred off the coast of Sumatra, the largest of which measured 8.2Mw, according to USGS/EHP.


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

EQ Details

  • Magnitude 8.2
  • Date-Time:  Wednesday, April 11, 2012 at 10:43:09 UTC
  • Location: 0.773°N, 92.452°E
  • Depth: 16.4 km (10.2 miles)
  • Distances:
    • 618 km (384 miles) SSW of Banda Aceh, Sumatra, Indonesia
    • 712 km (442 miles) W of Sibolga, Sumatra, Indonesia
    • 1,062 km (659 miles) WSW of KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia
    • 1,773 km (1,101 miles) WNW of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
  • Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 14.2 km (8.8 miles); depth +/- 6.4 km (4.0 miles)
  • Source:  USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)

Tsunami Alert

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 005
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1151Z 11 APR 2012

THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.

... AN INDIAN-OCEAN-WIDE TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...

... A MAJOR AFTERSHOCK OCCURRED AT 1043Z WITH MAGNITUDE 8.3 ...

... THE WATCH AREA IS NOW REDUCED ...

A TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR

 INDONESIA / INDIA / SRI LANKA / MALDIVES / UNITED KINGDOM

THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES.  ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.

AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS

 ORIGIN TIME -  0839Z 11 APR 2012
 COORDINATES -   2.3 NORTH   93.1 EAST
 LOCATION    -  OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA
 MAGNITUDE   -  8.7

MEASUREMENTS OR REPORTS OF TSUNAMI WAVE ACTIVITY

 GAUGE LOCATION        LAT   LON    TIME        AMPL         PER
 -------------------  ----- ------  -----  ---------------  -----
 TRINCONMALEE LK       8.6N  81.2E  1116Z   0.04M /  0.1FT  18MIN
 COCOS ISLAND AU      12.1S  96.9E  1102Z   0.08M /  0.3FT  18MIN
 TELUKDALAM ID         0.6N  97.8E  1045Z   0.19M /  0.6FT  10MIN
 SABANG ID             5.8N  95.3E  1010Z   0.36M /  1.2FT  06MIN
 MEULABOH ID           4.1N  96.1E  1007Z   1.06M /  3.5FT  12MIN
 DART 23401            8.9N  88.5E  0956Z   0.03M /  0.1FT  06MIN

 LAT  - LATITUDE (N-NORTH, S-SOUTH)
 LON  - LONGITUDE (E-EAST, W-WEST)
 TIME - TIME OF THE MEASUREMENT (Z IS UTC IS GREENWICH TIME)
 AMPL - TSUNAMI AMPLITUDE MEASURED RELATIVE TO NORMAL SEA LEVEL.
        IT IS ...NOT... CREST-TO-TROUGH WAVE HEIGHT.
        VALUES ARE GIVEN IN BOTH METERS(M) AND FEET(FT).
 PER  - PERIOD OF TIME IN MINUTES(MIN) FROM ONE WAVE TO THE NEXT.

 NOTE - DART MEASUREMENTS ARE FROM THE DEEP OCEAN AND THEY
        ARE GENERALLY MUCH SMALLER THAN WOULD BE COASTAL
         MEASUREMENTS AT SIMILAR LOCATIONS.

EVALUATION

 SEA LEVEL READINGS INDICATE A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. IT MAY
 ALREADY HAVE BEEN DESTRUCTIVE ALONG SOME COASTS.

 BASED ON THESE DATA THE THREAT CONTINUES FOR ALL COASTAL AREAS OF
 THE INDIAN OCEAN. FOR THOSE AREAS - WHEN NO MAJOR WAVES HAVE
 OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS AFTER THE ESTIMATED ARRIVAL TIME
 OR DAMAGING WAVES HAVE NOT OCCURRED FOR AT LEAST TWO HOURS THEN
 LOCAL AUTHORITIES CAN ASSUME THE THREAT IS PASSED. DANGER TO
 BOATS AND COASTAL STRUCTURES CAN CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL HOURS DUE
 TO RAPID CURRENTS.  AS LOCAL CONDITIONS CAN CAUSE A WIDE
 VARIATION IN TSUNAMI WAVE ACTION THE ALL CLEAR DETERMINATION MUST
 BE MADE BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

 LOCATION         FORECAST POINT     COORDINATES     ARRIVAL TIME
 --------------------------------    ------------    ------------
 INDONESIA        SIMEULUE            2.5N  96.0E    0912Z 11 APR
                  BANDA_ACEH          5.5N  95.1E    0933Z 11 APR
                  SIBERUT             1.5S  98.7E    0944Z 11 APR
                  PADANG              0.9S 100.1E    1025Z 11 APR
                  BENGKULU            3.9S 102.0E    1037Z 11 APR
                  CILACAP             7.8S 108.9E    1150Z 11 APR
                  BANDAR_LAMPUNG      5.7S 105.3E    1200Z 11 APR
                  BALI                8.7S 115.3E    1234Z 11 APR
                  BELAWAN             3.8N  98.8E    1326Z 11 APR
                  KUPANG             10.0S 123.4E    1333Z 11 APR
                  BALI                8.7S 115.3E    1234Z 11 APR
 INDIA            GREAT_NICOBAR       7.1N  93.6E    0937Z 11 APR
                  LITTLE_ANDAMAN     10.7N  92.3E    1015Z 11 APR
                  NORTH_ANDAMAN      13.3N  92.6E    1045Z 11 APR
                  PORT_BLAIR         11.9N  92.7E    1050Z 11 APR
                  CHENNAI            13.4N  80.4E    1134Z 11 APR
                  TRIVANDRUM          8.3N  76.9E    1204Z 11 APR
                  KAKINADA           17.2N  82.7E    1204Z 11 APR
                  MANGALORE          13.3N  74.4E    1339Z 11 APR
                  BOMBAY             18.8N  72.6E    1605Z 11 APR
                  GULF_OF_KUTCH      22.7N  68.9E    1636Z 11 APR
 SRI LANKA        TRINCOMALEE         8.7N  81.3E    1049Z 11 APR
                  DONDRA_HEAD         5.9N  80.6E    1054Z 11 APR
                  COLOMBO             6.9N  79.8E    1121Z 11 APR
                  JAFFNA              9.9N  80.0E    1235Z 11 APR
 MALDIVES         GAN                 0.6S  73.2E    1144Z 11 APR
                  MALE                4.2N  73.6E    1149Z 11 APR
                  MINICOV             8.3N  73.0E    1214Z 11 APR
 UNITED KINGDOM   DIEGO_GARCIA        7.3S  72.4E    1202Z 11 APR

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 11

Posted by feww on April 11, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 11

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,435 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012 | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Mega Quake Strikes Off the Coast of Sumatra

Posted by feww on April 11, 2012

M8.7 Earthquake strikes off the west coast of northern Sumatra, Indonesia

The earthquake was epicentered at  2.348°N, 93.073°E and occurred at a depth of 32km, according to USGS.

Distances:

  • 435 km (270 miles) SW (215°) from Banda Aceh, Sumatra, Indonesia
  • 964 km (599 miles) W (265°) from KUALA LUMPUR, Malaysia


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

[NOTE: USGS has since revised quake magnitude to 8.6Mw]


Internet Intensity Map.  (Source USGS).

Tsunami Alert

TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0945Z 11 APR 2012
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR ALL AREAS OF THE INDIAN OCEAN.

... AN INDIAN-OCEAN-WIDE TSUNAMI WATCH IS IN EFFECT ...

A TSUNAMI WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR

 INDONESIA / INDIA / AUSTRALIA / SRI LANKA / MYANMAR / THAILAND /
 MALDIVES / UNITED KINGDOM / MALAYSIA / MAURITIUS / REUNION /
 SEYCHELLES / OMAN / PAKISTAN / SOMALIA / MADAGASCAR / IRAN /
 UAE / YEMEN / COMORES / MOZAMBIQUE / KENYA / TANZANIA /
 CROZET ISLANDS / BANGLADESH / KERGUELEN ISLANDS / SOUTH AFRICA /
 SINGAPORE
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS ORIGIN TIME - 0839Z 11 APR 2012 COORDINATES - 2.3 NORTH 93.1 EAST LOCATION - OFF W COAST OF NORTHERN SUMATRA MAGNITUDE - 8.7

EVALUATION

 EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A
 WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THAT CAN AFFECT COASTLINES ACROSS
 THE ENTIRE INDIAN OCEAN BASIN.

 HOWEVER - IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED.  THIS
 WATCH IS BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AUTHORITIES IN
 THE REGION SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THE
 POSSIBILITY OF A WIDESPREAD DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI. WE ARE STILL
 WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION OF TSUNAMI FROM NEAREST SEA-LEVEL
 STATIONS.

ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

 LOCATION         FORECAST POINT     COORDINATES     ARRIVAL TIME [Z, UTC, GMT]
 --------------------------------    ------------    ------------
 INDONESIA        SIMEULUE            2.5N  96.0E    0912Z 11 APR
                  BANDA_ACEH          5.5N  95.1E    0933Z 11 APR
                  SIBERUT             1.5S  98.7E    0944Z 11 APR
                  PADANG              0.9S 100.1E    1025Z 11 APR
                  BENGKULU            3.9S 102.0E    1037Z 11 APR
                  CILACAP             7.8S 108.9E    1150Z 11 APR
                  BANDAR_LAMPUNG      5.7S 105.3E    1200Z 11 APR
                  BALI                8.7S 115.3E    1234Z 11 APR
                  BELAWAN             3.8N  98.8E    1326Z 11 APR
                  KUPANG             10.0S 123.4E    1333Z 11 APR
                  BALI                8.7S 115.3E    1234Z 11 APR
 INDIA            GREAT_NICOBAR       7.1N  93.6E    0937Z 11 APR
                  LITTLE_ANDAMAN     10.7N  92.3E    1015Z 11 APR
                  NORTH_ANDAMAN      13.3N  92.6E    1045Z 11 APR
                  PORT_BLAIR         11.9N  92.7E    1050Z 11 APR
                  CHENNAI            13.4N  80.4E    1134Z 11 APR
                  TRIVANDRUM          8.3N  76.9E    1204Z 11 APR
                  KAKINADA           17.2N  82.7E    1204Z 11 APR
                  MANGALORE          13.3N  74.4E    1339Z 11 APR
                  BOMBAY             18.8N  72.6E    1605Z 11 APR
                  GULF_OF_KUTCH      22.7N  68.9E    1636Z 11 APR
 AUSTRALIA        COCOS_ISLAND       12.1S  96.7E    1046Z 11 APR
                  NORTH_WEST_CAPE    21.5S 113.9E    1312Z 11 APR
                  CAPE_INSPIRATIO    25.9S 113.0E    1413Z 11 APR
                  PERTH              32.0S 115.3E    1421Z 11 APR
                  AUGUSTA            34.3S 114.7E    1440Z 11 APR
                  GERALDTOWN         28.6S 114.3E    1456Z 11 APR
                  CAPE_LEVEQUE       16.1S 122.6E    1500Z 11 APR
                  ESPERANCE          34.0S 121.8E    1614Z 11 APR
                  KINGSTON_SOUTH_    37.0S 139.4E    1747Z 11 APR
                  HEARD_ISLAND       54.0S  73.5E    1803Z 11 APR
                  EUCLA_MOTEL        31.8S 128.9E    1824Z 11 APR
                  HOBART             43.3S 147.6E    1858Z 11 APR
                  DARWIN             12.1S 130.7E    1921Z 11 APR
 SRI LANKA        TRINCOMALEE         8.7N  81.3E    1049Z 11 APR
                  DONDRA_HEAD         5.9N  80.6E    1054Z 11 APR
                  COLOMBO             6.9N  79.8E    1121Z 11 APR
                  JAFFNA              9.9N  80.0E    1235Z 11 APR
 MYANMAR          CHEDUBA_ISLAND     18.9N  93.4E    1142Z 11 APR
                  CHEDUBA_ISLAND     18.9N  93.4E    1142Z 11 APR
                  PYINKAYAING        15.9N  94.3E    1152Z 11 APR
                  SITTWE             20.0N  92.9E    1220Z 11 APR
                  MERGUI             12.8N  98.4E    1328Z 11 APR
                  YANGON             16.5N  96.4E    1720Z 11 APR
 THAILAND         PHUKET              8.0N  98.2E    1113Z 11 APR
                  KO_PHRA_THONG       9.1N  98.2E    1203Z 11 APR
                  KO_TARUTAO          6.6N  99.6E    1233Z 11 APR
 MALDIVES         GAN                 0.6S  73.2E    1144Z 11 APR
                  MALE                4.2N  73.6E    1149Z 11 APR
                  MINICOV             8.3N  73.0E    1214Z 11 APR
 UNITED KINGDOM   DIEGO_GARCIA        7.3S  72.4E    1202Z 11 APR
 MALAYSIA         GEORGETOWN          5.4N 100.1E    1303Z 11 APR
                  PORT_DICKSON        2.5N 101.7E    1743Z 11 APR
 MAURITIUS        PORT_LOUIS         20.0S  57.3E    1500Z 11 APR
 REUNION          ST_DENIS           20.8S  55.2E    1514Z 11 APR
 SEYCHELLES       VICTORIA            4.5S  55.6E    1525Z 11 APR
 OMAN             SALALAH            16.9N  54.1E    1537Z 11 APR
                  MUSCAT             23.9N  58.6E    1544Z 11 APR
                  DUQM               19.7N  57.8E    1553Z 11 APR
 PAKISTAN         GWADAR             25.1N  62.4E    1546Z 11 APR
                  KARACHI            24.7N  66.9E    1638Z 11 APR
 SOMALIA          HILALAYA            6.4N  49.1E    1546Z 11 APR
                  CAPE_GUARO         11.9N  51.4E    1547Z 11 APR
                  MOGADISHU           2.0N  45.5E    1602Z 11 APR
                  KAAMBOONI           1.5S  41.9E    1629Z 11 APR
 MADAGASCAR       ANTSIRANANA        12.1S  49.5E    1548Z 11 APR
                  TOAMASINA          17.8S  49.6E    1601Z 11 APR
                  MANAKARA           22.2S  48.2E    1616Z 11 APR
                  MAHAJANGA          15.4S  46.2E    1652Z 11 APR
                  CAP_STE_MARIE      25.8S  45.2E    1716Z 11 APR
                  TOLIARA            23.4S  43.6E    1741Z 11 APR
 IRAN             GAVATER            25.0N  61.3E    1552Z 11 APR
 UAE              FUJAIRAH           25.1N  56.4E    1630Z 11 APR
 YEMEN            AL_MUKALLA         14.5N  49.2E    1637Z 11 APR
                  ADEN               13.0N  45.2E    1722Z 11 APR
 COMORES          MORONI             11.6S  43.3E    1649Z 11 APR
 MOZAMBIQUE       CABO_DELGADO       10.7S  40.7E    1706Z 11 APR
                  ANGOCHE            15.5S  40.6E    1738Z 11 APR
                  QUELIMANE          18.0S  37.1E    1905Z 11 APR
                  MAPUTO             25.9S  32.8E    1955Z 11 APR
                  BEIRA              19.9S  35.1E    2017Z 11 APR
 KENYA            MOMBASA             4.0S  39.7E    1706Z 11 APR
 TANZANIA         LINDI               9.8S  39.9E    1707Z 11 APR
                  DAR_ES_SALAAM       6.7S  39.4E    1710Z 11 APR
 CROZET ISLANDS   CROZET_ISLANDS     46.4S  51.8E    1734Z 11 APR
 BANGLADESH       CHITTAGONG         22.7N  91.2E    1735Z 11 APR
 KERGUELEN ISLAN  PORT_AUX_FRANCA    49.0S  69.1E    1816Z 11 APR
 SOUTH AFRICA     PRINCE_EDWARD_I    46.6S  37.6E    1907Z 11 APR
                  DURBAN             29.8S  31.2E    1910Z 11 APR
                  PORT_ELIZABETH     33.9S  25.8E    2011Z 11 APR
                  CAPE_TOWN          34.1S  18.0E    2111Z 11 APR
 SINGAPORE        SINGAPORE           1.2N 103.8E    2330Z 11 APR

Indian Ocean Tsunami Travel Time Map


A magnitude 9.1 Mw earthquake occurred off the west coast of Sumatra, Indonesia, on December 26, 2004. It was the fourth largest earthquake in the world since 1900 and the largest since the 1964 Prince William Sound, Alaska, earthquake. The earthquake generated a tsunami that caused more casualties than any other in recorded history. The tsunami was recorded nearly world-wide on tide gauges in the Indian, Pacific and Atlantic Oceans. In total, more than 227,8980 people were killed or missing and 1,126,900 were displaced by the earthquake and subsequent tsunami in 14 countries in South Asia and East Africa. Source:  NGDC

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in Aceh earthquake, earthquake, earthquake energy, earthquake report, earthquake update, Earthquakes, earthquakes 2012, Indonesia earthquake, Indonesia tsunami, sumatra earthquake, sumatra tsunami | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Flooding and Mudslides Leave Thousands of Filipinos Displaced

Posted by feww on April 10, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 10

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,436 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Philippine flash floods and mudslides affect thousands, destroy crops

Days of heavy rains have caused flash floods in the towns of Claveria and Sta. Praxedes in the northern Philippine province of Cagayan leaving at least 1,200 families displaced, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said.

“A total of 31 out of 41 villages were inundated in Claveria, affecting 877 families. Ten villages were also inundated in Sta. Praxedes, affecting 338 families.”

  • Mudslides  have destroyed houses and dozens of hectares of rice paddies vegetables.
  • Flash floods and landslides have claimed dozens of lives in the Philippines since the begin9ing of the year.

Other Global Disasters

  • China. Climate-related disasters left [at least] 66 people dead or missing, and affected about 22 million people in the first quarter of 2012 in the Chinese mainland, according to official sources.  
    • The disasters resulted in direct economic losses of 9.63 billion yuan (1.53 billion U.S. dollars) from January to March 2012.
    • Extreme weather events destroyed or damaged more than 2.4 million hectares of crops  and 200,000 homes, the report said.

Significant Events

U.S.A.  The U.S. has recorded its warmest March since records began in 1895, with  more than 15,000 warm temperature records broken during the month, NOAA reported.


2012 year-to-date temperature evolution for Green Bay, Wisconsin versus the previous four warmest years. Source: NOAA/NCDC

  • “The average temperature of 51.1°F was 8.6 degrees above the 20th century average for March and 0.5°F warmer than the previous warmest March in 1910. Of the more than 1,400 months (117+ years) that have passed since the U.S. climate record began, only one month, January 2006, has seen a larger departure from its average temperature than March 2012.”
  •   Preliminary data shows that 15,272 warm temperature records were broken (7,755 daytime records, 7,517 nighttime records).
  • 25 states east of the Rockies saw their warmest March on record, with an additional 15 states recording temperatures ranking among their ten warmest, said NOAA.
  • In contrast, temperatures in Alaska during March, which are not included in the contiguous U.S. average value, were the tenth coolest on record.
  • “The first three months of 2012 were also record warm for the contiguous United States with an average temperature of 42.0°F, 6.0°F above the long-term average.”
  • As of April 3rd, 36.8 percent of the contiguous U.S. was in drought,  an increase from 28.8 percent a year ago on April 5, 2011, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.
  • SPC received 223 preliminary tornado reports during March, about 3 times the averages of 80 tornadoes for the month. “The majority of the tornadoes occurred during the March 2nd-3rd outbreak across the Ohio Valley and Southeast, which caused 40 fatalities. Total losses from this event are estimated to exceed $1.5 billion dollars, making this the first event of 2012 to exceed one billion dollars in damages and losses.”

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background 

Posted in environment, global change, global climate change, Global Climate Extremes, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012 | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Flooding and Landslides Affect Thousands in Colombia

Posted by feww on April 9, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 9

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,437 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

First rainy season of 2012 affects 12,000 people, leaving 10 dead or missing

At least 10 people are dead and more than 12,000 affected by flooding and landslides following this year’s first rainy season, Colombian government said.

  • Bogota, Colombia.   Flooding and landslides caused by the region’s first rainy season have left at least 10 people dead or missing and affected more than 12,000 so far this year, Colombian authorities said.
    • Extreme rain events have deluged the Bogota metropolitan area and about 70 other municipalities across 23 departments (states) since January.
    • More than 2,300 homes, schools and public buildings, as well as dozens of roads bridges and other infrastructure were damaged or destroyed.

Significant Events

  • Nevado del Ruiz volcano, Colombia.   A ‘Red Alert’ has been issued for the central Colombia Nevado del Ruiz volcano because the authorities believe an eruption is imminent.
    • The highest alert was issued “for the rivers that descend from the Nevado del Ruiz volcano because of a change in eruption threat and the heavy rains that have occurred in the area,” said Colombia’s meteorological institute IDEAM on Sunday.
    • The alert covers  residential areas  near a dozen rivers and streams in several departments in Colombia’s Midwest region due to ongoing extreme rain events.
    • The volcano was placed on ‘Orange Alert’ on March 31 due to increased seismic activity.
    • The deadliest eruption of the Nevado del Ruiz occurred in 1985, when lahars killed more than 25,000 people and injured more than 5,000 others, destroying thousands of homes, erasing the town of Armero in Tolima department and causing substantial damage to the town of Chinchiná in Caldas.


Nevado del Ruiz threatens to erupt. The volcano sits on the border of Caldas and Tolima departments about 130 km (80 mi) west of Colombia’s capital, Bogotá.  Photo credit: Jhon Jairo Bonilla/El Tiempo

Río Lagunillas, former location of Armero


Within four hours of the beginning of the eruption, lahars had traveled 100 km and left behind a wake of destruction: more than 23,000 people killed, about 5,000 injured, and more than 5,000 homes destroyed along the Chinchiná, Gualí, and Lagunillas rivers. Hardest hit was the town of Armero at the mouth of the Río Lagunillas canyon, which was located in the center of this photograph. Three quarters of its 28,700 inhabitants perished. Source: USGS.  Photo:  J. Marso, taken in late November 1985


Volcanic hazard map for Nevado del Ruiz. Lahars from 1985 eruption shown in red. Source: Wright, Thomas L. and Pierson, Thomas C. (1992); via Living with volcanoes, USGS.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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‘No sign of survivors’ in Kashmir avalanche

Posted by feww on April 8, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 8

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,438 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

NO sign of 135 people buried under 24m of snow at Siachen Glacier entrance

More than a day after a massive avalanche buried 124 Pakistani soldiers and 11 civilians at the entrance to the Siachen Glacier, the military officials said they had found ‘no sign’ of survivors.

  • Kashmir, Pakistan.  A massive avalanche buried a Pakistan Army camp with at least 135 people inside in the mountainous Gayari range, near the Siachen Glacier in the northern Pakistani region of Baltistan, in the disputed Himalayan region of Kashmir.
    • The area is called “the world’s highest battleground,” with the military HQ  in Gayari, one of the most inhospitable places on the planet, situated at at an elevation of about 4,570 meters (15,000 feet).
    • In February, about two dozen Indian soldiers were killed on in the mountains of Kashmir when two avalanches buried their army camps.

Significant Events

  • Alaska, USA.  Anchorage has recorded its snowiest year,  breaking a 57-year-old record for snowfall in a single season, NWS reported.
    • The old record of 132.6 inches set in Alaska’s largest city in 1954-1955 season,  was broken when 3.4 inches of snow fell from midnight to 4 p.m. local time on Saturday pushing the season total to 133.6 inches (339.34cm).
    • Anchorage has received above-normal snowfall this season.  In November, the city saw its greatest snowfall with a record 32.4 inches, about three-times the average for the month.
    • Records are kept at or near the Ted Stevens International Airport since 1953.
  • California, USA.  An outbreak of avian cholera has killed at least  10,000 birds at the the Lower Klamath National Wildlife Refuge, near Tulelake, Calif., dubbed the ‘Everglades of the West.’
    • Due to the scarcity of water caused by drought, “the refuge has been able to flood only half it’s marshes this year, creating prime conditions for the spread of avian cholera,” reports said.
    • The dead bird include coots, pintail ducks, Ross’ geese and snow geese.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Disaster Declared in 3 Texas Counties

Posted by feww on April 7, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 7

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,439 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Tornado-devastated Dallas, Tarrant and Kaufman counties declared disaster areas

Perry has declared disaster for three counties following Tuesday’s tornadoes that destroyed or damaged an estimated 650 structures.

  • Texas, USA.  Texas Governor has declared disaster for three counties following Tuesday’s devastating tornadoes that cause significant damage to property and infrastructure.
    • Twisters affected  an estimated 650 structures, with 200 structures destroyed and at least 100 sustaining major damage, reports said.
    • Dozens of people were injured, but no fatalities were reported.
    • Up to 1,700 American Airlines and American Eagle flights were canceled since the storms, including about 300 on Friday.
    • The damage is estimated to be “in the tens of millions of dollars,” according to experts.
    • A Dallas County Judge, who had earlier signed a local disaster declaration, estimated road and bridge damage to Dallas County to exceed $1 million, a report said.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Related Links

Tornadoes 2012

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Drought Disaster Declared in Arizona, Utah

Posted by feww on April 6, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 6

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,440 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Arizona and Utah counties declared agricultural disaster areas due to drought

USDA has designated 13 counties in Arizona and two counties in Utah as agricultural disaster areas.

  • Arizona, USA.  Disaster has been declared in 13 counties in Arizona and two counties in Utah due to losses caused by an ongoing drought that occurred Jan. 1 – Dec. 31, 2011.
    • Primary disaster areas:  Coconino, Gila, Maricopa, Pima, Pinal and Yavapai counties.
    • Contiguous disaster areas: Cochise, Graham, La Paz, Mohave, Navajo, Santa Cruz and Yuma counties.


Arizona Drought Map – Released April 5, 2012.

  • Utah, USA.The following counties in the bordering state of Utah have also been declared disaster areas because they are contiguous:
    • Kane and San Juan counties.

See also

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Cleveland and Kīlauea Remain at ORANGE Alert

Posted by feww on April 6, 2012

Explosion destroys dome in Cleveland summit crater

Sudden explosions of blocks and ash may occur, while the volcano remains active, with the ash clouds rising to above 20,000 feet above sea level, AVO said.

  • Elevation:  5,676 ft (1,730 m)
  • Location: 52.8222° N, 169.945° W
  • Quadrangle: Samalga


Mt Cleveland. Photo taken at 18:00 UTC on 11 Mar 2012 while transiting north through Samalga pass. Several small explosions were detected in days prior to the time of the photo, but very little ash is observed on the upper flanks.  Credit:  Matthew Davis/NOAA.

KILAUEA VOLCANO

19°25’16″ N 155°17’13″ W,
Summit Elevation 4091 ft (1,247 m)
Current Volcano Ale,rt Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE

Activity Summary for past 24 hours:  The summit continued to inflate slowly while back-to-back DI events and sympathetic summit lava lake oscillations continued. Overnight, glow was visible within the Halema`uma`u gas plume and from sources within Pu`u `O`o crater. To the southeast, surface flows continued to be active on the pali and the coastal plain; there was no ocean entry. Seismic tremor levels were low; gas emissions were elevated: HVO


Kīlauea Volcano.  Active flows continued over a broad area on the coastal plain on April 5, 2012.  “This composite image combines a normal photograph and a thermal image to show the areas of active breakouts. Yellow areas are active flows while red areas are inactive, but still warm, flows. The flow front in the lower right was 1.6 km (1 mile) from the ocean,” HVO said.

Alert Level Increased for Iliamna Volcano, AK

Iliamna Activity – Color Code YELLOW Alert Level ADVISORY

Since January 2012 the earthquake rate at Iliamna Volcano has steadily increased and now exceeds normal background levels.


Iliamna Volcano. View from the SSE of Iliamna showing the prominent NE shoulder fumarole field near the summit. Note glacier disturbance (movement) on the east flank (upper Red Glacier).  Photo: Game McGimsey/AVO/USGS.

Pagan

Location: Mariana Islands  (18.13 ºN,  145.8 ºE)
Elevation: 570 m
Recent Eruption: 2006
Volcanic Alert Level: ADVISORY
Aviation Color Code: YELLOW

A gas and steam plume continued to extend downwind from the summit vent throughout the past week, but there were no further reports of unrest or activity at Pagan volcano, USGS said.

Other Volcanic Activity/ Unrest (Source: GVP)

New Activity/Unrest:

Ongoing Activity:

Related Links

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Disaster Declared in Idaho Counties after Landslides and Flooding

Posted by feww on April 5, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 5

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,441 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

100-year rainfall records broken in Idaho and Bonner counties, Id

Extreme rain events have caused damaging landslides and closed roads throughout Shoshone, Idaho and Bonner counties, Id., prompting Governor Otter to declare a state of emergency.

  • Idaho, USA.  Extreme rain events have supersaturated the soil triggering multiple landslides, causing  widespread damage to infrastructure, closing roads throughout Shoshone, Idaho and Bonner counties, Id., and prompting Governor Otter to declare a state of emergency
    • “The landslides and flooding have damaged multiple roads in all three counties, causing residents and first responders to detour extensively around the closed roads. The landslide on Leitch Creek Road in Idaho County deposited an estimated 80,000 cubic yards of debris across the road, making it impassable for some time,”  said a report.

Significant Events

  • Mississippi, USA.  “March temperatures were above average across the entire NWS Jackson forecast area, with a new monthly average temperature record set at 3 of 6 area climate sites.”  NWS reported.
    • Warmest March on Record reported at
      • Greenwood (64.8ºF)
      • Hattiesburg (68.0)
      • Vicksburg/Tallulah (66.2)
    • 2nd Warmest at
      • Greenville (64.3)
    • 3rd Warmest
      • Jackson (66.3)
    • 4th Warmest
      • Meridian (65.0)
  • Current U.S. Drought Monitor

Other Disasters

  • Texas, USA.  The City of Forney (aka, the Antique Capital of Texas) in Kaufman County has been declare a disaster area after a tornado touchdown in downtown area mid afternoon Tuesday.
    • The twister damaged or destroyed about 100 structures,  and  a dozen people injured.
  • China.   Exceptional, extreme and severe levels of drought have spread to 13 Chinese provinces, leaving about 8 million people and 5 million heads of livestock without sufficient drinking water.

    • The worst affected provinces include Yunnan, Sichuan [a major farming area,] Hebei, Shanxi and Gansu, the Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters said
    • “The drought has also dried up reservoirs and threatened spring planting, affecting 60.1 million mu (4 million hectares) of crop land as of Thursday.
  • Buenos Aires, Argentina. Torrential rains and hail storms across Buenos Aires have left at least twelve people dead and many injured, reports said.
  • England, UK.  Following two years of very low winter rainfall, large parts of England are officially in drought.
    • The drought has forced seven water companies throughout the UK to impose a temporary use bans (locally known as hosepipe bans).
    • “Dry winters can be particularly harmful because winter rain normally tops up groundwater and reservoirs. East Anglia, the South East and parts of Yorkshire are currently in drought, and other parts of the country  are affected. If the dry weather continues, more restrictions are likely to be necessary.” UK govt said.
    • Current situation: “East Anglia, the south east of England and south and east Yorkshire are in drought. . In parts of the Midlands, the south west of England and Wales some river flows are very low for the time of year and there are some noticeable impacts on the environment, but public water supplies are not affected.
    • “England and Wales had 38 per cent of the long term average rainfall in March. This ranged from 29 per cent in Wales to 68 per cent in our Anglian region. With dry weather affecting many regions this week, soil moisture deficits have continued to increase. River flows remain exceptionally low for the time of year in many areas. Groundwater levels continue to decrease and remain lower than at the same time in March 1976 in parts of Shropshire, the Chilterns, and the North Downs.”

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

China Drought

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Powerful Tornadoes Attack Dallas Area

Posted by feww on April 4, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 4

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,442 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Disaster declared in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs

Multiple tornadoes touched down in Dallas-Fort Worth  area, raking entire neighborhoods, destroying homes, flattening trailer trucks and causing numerous injuries, some critical.


Texas Tornado Map. As of 02:10UTC on April 4, 2012, SPC had received 18 tornado reports in the Dallas area.   The storms that spawned the tornadoes were caused by a slow-moving system centered over N.M.


A tornado touches down in Lancaster, Texas,  south of DF. Photo credit: Parrish Velasco/Dallas Morning News, April 3, 2012. Image may be subject to copyrightMore images…

  • Officials signed a disaster declaration for Lancaster, Texas, about 15 miles south of Dallas,  after a twister damaged 500 structures, more than half of them severely.
  • Widespread looting was reported.
  • In Arlington, a tornado  has caused severe damage to homes and businesses prompting the city officials to issue a disaster declaration.
  • The DFW area was also hit with thunderstorms that dumped damaging hail the size of baseballs in several places.
  • More than a 100 planes were damaged by large hail at Dallas Fort Worth  Airport, a spokesman told AP.
  • American Airlines canceled or diverted 500 flights in and out of its hub airport by late Tuesday afternoon.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Related Links

Tornadoes 2012

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Schmallenberg Virus Outbreak: April 3 Update

Posted by feww on April 3, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 3

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,443 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Up to 5,000 farms in the EU may be infected with SBV

Based on the data made available by various organizations monitoring the spread of Schmallenberg Virus in EU, FIRE-EARTH estimates that up to 5,000 farms may be infected with the deadly virus.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Previous reports of SBV infection

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012 | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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