Posted by feww on July 26, 2012
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,329 Days Left
[July 26, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,329 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
The extreme weather events triggered by anthropogenic climate change have a four-prong impact on humans over the next 50 months. FIRE-EARTH models forecast:
1. Food production:
- Average decline of 22% in the global agricultural output
- Loss of topsoil and worsening of soil quality
- Rapid Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events
- Drought and Deluge
- Extremes of Temperature
- Heatwaves and Late Frosts
- Desertification and Dust Storms
- Crop Pests
- Increases in the size and occurrence of dead zones
- Large decline in marine food sources
2. Spread of Disease
- Substantial increases in the spread of diseases
- Vector borne
- Air borne
- Water borne
- Food borne
- Superbugs: Emergence of resistant bacteria, especially MDR bacteria
- Resurgence of killer infectious diseases
- Increases in the spread of human immunodeficiency viruses
- Significant decline in air quality (and corresponding increase in chronic respiratory diseases)
- Other viral diseases
- Massive rises in mental illnesses
3. Physical Safety
Major increases in the number of deaths and injuries, as well as large scale displacements due to the loss of shelter and livelihood caused by extreme weather and geophysical events including:
- Tornadoes
- Hurricanes
- Storms and Extreme Weather
- Climate Change
- Extreme Rain Events
- Flash Flooding
- Drought and Deluge
- Landslides
- Extremes of Temperature
- Deforestation
- Wildfires
- Loss of “Seasons”
- Earthquakes*
- Tsunamis*
- Volcanic activity*
- Nuclear Incidents
- Oil Spills
- Chemical and Biological Threats
- Poisoned and Polluted Environment (Air, Water and Soil pollution)
- Ozone Depletion (Ozone Holes)
4. The Combined Effect
Social upheavals, regional conflicts and wars caused by mass migrations and scarcity of basic resources resulting from the combined effects of the above, as well as other mechanisms.
Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background
Posted in global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, Global Food Crisis, global health catastrophe, global Precipitation, global Temperature Anomalies | Tagged: 2012 disaster calendar, 2012 disasters, Anthropogenic Hell, anthropogenic impact, carrying capacity, collapse, Collapsing Cities, disaster calendar, Disaster Calendar 2012, dynamics of collapse, First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities, Human Impact on Nature, Large scale collapse, Looming Collapse, Mass die-offs, Mega Disasters | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on July 26, 2012
Nearly half of U.S. in ‘Severe’ to ‘Exceptional’ drought
‘Severe’ to ‘Exceptional’ drought conditions (D2 – D4) have increased to 45.57 percent in the lower 48 states, a rise of more than 3 percent since last week.
- About two-thirds (63.86%) of the United States remains in moderate drought or worse.
- During the 2012 crop year, USDA has designated 1,369 counties across 31 states as disaster areas—1,234 due to drought. The drought disaster declaration list also includes numerous other counties designated as contiguous disaster areas. [NOTE: There are 3,143 counties and county-equivalents in the U.S.]
- Nearly a third of the Midwest is in extreme drought, about three time as much as previous week.
- Central U.S. is the worst hit region with continued widespread intensification of drought.
- ‘Extreme’ and ‘Exceptional’ drought levels (D3 – D4) prevail in 20.57 percent of the Contiguous 48, compared with 13.53 percent a week earlier.
- The areas experiencing ‘Exceptional’ drought level (d4) has more than doubled to 2.38 percent of the lower 48 since July 17 report.
- Hawaii and Alaska have not reported any change in the drought conditions.
Drought Map for Continental U.S., July 24, 2012. (Released July 26, 2012)
“We’ve seen tremendous intensification of drought through Illinois, Iowa, Missouri, Indiana, Arkansas, Kansas and Nebraska, and into part of Wyoming and South Dakota in the last week,” said Brian Fuchs, a climatologist and U.S. Drought Monitor author. “The amount of D3 developing in the country has increased quite a bit for each of the last several weeks.”
The current U.S. Drought Monitor shows that every state in the country had at least a small area shown as abnormally dry or worse. “It’s such a broad footprint,” Fuchs said.
“This drought is two-pronged,” he said. “Not only the dryness but the heat is playing a big and important role. Even areas that have picked up rain are still suffering because of the heat.”
Drought Comparison Maps for Continental U.S., July 17 – 24, 2012. (Released July 26, 2012)
Comparison Maps for July 10 and July 17, 2012.
U.S. Drought Comparison Maps for July 3 and July 10, 2012.
U.S. Drought Comparison Maps for June 26 and July 3, 2012
Dryness and drought, exacerbated by above-normal temperatures, have been increasing both in extent and intensity across much of the central and northern U.S. Source: NOAA/ NWS/ NCEP/ Climate Prediction Center
Related Posts – Latest
Drought Disaster – Recent
Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events
- Beijing, China. Death toll from Saturday’s extreme rain event in Beijing has climbed to at least 77, the Beijing municipal government said Thursday.
Posted in environment, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought | Tagged: 2012 drought, 2012 Drought Disaster, Continental U.S. Drought Map, drought 2012, Drought Comparison Maps, drought disaster, extreme rain event, U.S. Drought Map 2012, U.S. Drought Map July 24, U.S. Weekly Precipitation Map, US drought map, US Seasonal Drought Outlook | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on July 26, 2012
Two-thirds of the United States is now experiencing moderate to extreme drought
USDA has designated 76 additional counties [2012 total of 1,369 counties] in six states [total of 31 states] as primary natural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by drought and excessive heat.
During the 2012 crop year, USDA has designated 1,369 counties across 31 states as disaster areas—1,234 due to drought. The drought disaster declaration list also includes numerous other counties designated as contiguous disaster areas.
Most of the drought-stricken areas from Kansas to Ohio need in excess of 10 inches of rain to break the drought, said a National Weather Service meteorologist, however, little precipitation is on the horizon.
“Monday’s crop ratings showed losses on par with the damage seen during the 1988 drought if these conditions persist,” said Bryce Knorr, senior editor for Farm Futures Magazine. “Weather so far has taken almost 4 billion bushels off the corn crop, so a lot of demand must still be rationed.”
List of the most recent counties declared as drought disaster areas by USDA on July 25:
- Kansas. USDA has declared 47 counties in Kansas as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by the ongoing drought.
- List of the 25 primary disaster areas: Chase, Franklin, Lincoln, Osage, Dickinson, Geary, Marion, Osborne, Douglas, Jefferson, Miami, Ottawa, Ellis, Johnson, Mitchell, Rush, Ellsworth, Leavenworth, Morris, Russell, Saline, Shawnee, Smith, Wabaunsee and Wyandotte counties.
- List of the 22 contiguous disaster areas: Anderson, Cloud, Jewell, Ness, Atchison, Coffey, Linn, Pawnee, Barton, Greenwood, Lyon, Phillips, Butler, Harvey, McPherson, Pottawatomie, Clay, Jackson, Rice, Riley, Rooks and Trego counties.
- Missouri. The above Disaster declaration covers 5 counties in Missouri because they are contiguous: Bates, Cass, Clay, Jackson and Platte counties.
- Nebraska. Franklin and Webster counties.
- Michigan. Drought disaster declared in 10 Michigan counties:
- Primary DAs: Branch, Cass, Hillsdale and St. Joseph counties.
- Contiguous DAs: Berrien, Calhoun, Jackson, Kalamazoo Lenawee, and Van Buren counties.
- Indiana. Contiguous DAs: Elkhart, Lagrange, St. Joseph and Steuben counties.
- Ohio. Fulton and Williams counties.
- Nebraska. USDA has declared 22 Nebraska counties as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by the ongoing drought.
- Indiana. The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 38 counties in Indiana as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by the ongoing drought.
- Illinois. The above declaration also extends to three counties in Illinois: Clark, Edgar and Vermilion counties.
- Illinois. USDA has designated twelve counties in Illinois as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by the ongoing drought.
- PDAs: Crawford and Pike counties.
- CDAs: Adams, Calhoun, Greene, Lawrence, Richland,
Brown, Clark, Jasper, Morgan and Scott counties.
- Wisconsin. USDA has designated 31 counties in Wisconsin as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by the ongoing drought.
- Illinois. The above declaration extends to 6 contiguous areas in Illinois: Boone, Lake, Stephenson, Jo Daviess, McHenry and Winnebago counties.
- Iowa. The above declaration also extends to 3 contiguous areas in Iowa: Allamakee, Clayton and Dubuque counties.
Weekly U.S. Precipitation Map for the Week Ending July 24, 2012. Source: HPRCC
Corn in Drought Map. Latest available map of drought superimposed on the corn production areas. This map depicts drought-affected areas of the U.S. corn producing farmland as of July 17, 2012. Approximately 88% of the corn grown in the U.S. is within an area-experiencing drought, based on historical U.S. Department of Agriculture’s National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS) crop production data.
Other USDA Disaster Declarations
- Colorado. USDA has designated 8 counties in Colorado as agricultural disaster areas due to damage and losses caused by freezing temperatures that occurred April 7-8, 2012.
- Utah. The above declaration also extends to two counties in Utah: Grand and San Juan counties.
- Wisconsin. USDA has designated 34 counties in Wisconsin as agricultural disaster areas due to losses to maple syrup production caused by an unseasonably early thaw, unseasonably warm nights and excessive heat that occurred Jan. 23 – March 31, 2012.
- Michigan. The above declaration extends to 4 counties in the state of Michigan.
- Minnesota. The above declaration also extends to 4 counties in the state of Minnesota.
Related Links
Posted in environment, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, Global Food Crisis, Global Food Shortages, global ghg emissions, global heating, global Precipitation, global precipitation patterns, global Temperature Anomalies | Tagged: 2012 drought, 2012 Drought Disaster, drought 2012, drought disaster, drought disaster declaration, excessive heat, Indiana disaster areas, Kansas disaster areas, Michigan disaster areas, Missouri disaster areas, Nebraska disaster areas, Ohio disaster areas, U.S. Drought Map, U.S. Drought Outlook | Leave a Comment »
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