Mega Quake Strikes Sea of Okhotsk

Magnitude 8.2 Mega Quake Hits Sea of Okhotsk as Forecast

 The quake, centered at 54.870°N, 153.334°E, some 360km WSW of Esso, Russia, struck at a depth of about 600km.

On March 1, 2013 in  Significant Earthquakes Strike off Kuril Islands, Eastern Russia FIRE-EARTH said:

FIRE-EARTH models suggest a Mega Quake could strike the region in the next few weeks with a probability of about 70 percent.

EQ Details

• Event Time: 2013-05-24 05:44 UTC [2013-05-24 15:44:49 UTC+10:00 at epicenter]
• Location: 54.870°N 153.334°E
• Depth: 601.8km (373.9mi)

Nearby Cities

• 359km (223mi) WSW of Esso, Russia
• 379km (235mi) WNW of Yelizovo, Russia
• 396km (246mi) NW of Vilyuchinsk, Russia
• 403km (250mi) WNW of Petropavlovsk-Kamchatskiy, Russia
• 2375km (1476mi) NNE of Tokyo, Japan

Tsunami Status

• NO major tsunami expected.

Earthquake details and map sourced from USGS/EHP.

Related Links

• Significant Seismic Activity Off KURIL ISLANDS, E Russia March 1, 2013
• DISASTER Diary – 21 May 2013 [At least 2 dozen significant quakes, measuring between 5.0 and 6.0Mw, have struck off the east coast of Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia since Monday May 20, 2013. ]

FIRE-EARTH Forecast for the Next Mega Quake

FIRE-EARTH will NOT release details of its forecast for the next Mega Quake as a continued protest to the ongoing censorship, hacking and theft of the intellectual property that are posted on this blog.

Significant Earthquake Strikes Northern Calif

M5.7 quake strikes near Canyondam, California at a depth of about 10 km. The shallow quake was centered at 40.190°N, 121.061°W, USGS/EHP reported.

The quake was followed by at least two dozen aftershocks measuring 2.5 – 3.6 magnitude, as of posting.

The event was felt in downtown Sacramento, some 145 miles south of the epicenter, according to locals.

[Canyondam, a census-designated place (CDP) in Plumas County, California, is located near the dam that forms Lake Almanor.]

Quake Details

• Event Time: 2013-05-24 03:47 UTC [2013-05-23 20:47 UTC-07:00 at epicenter]
• Location: 40.190°N 121.061°W
• Depth: 11.0km (6.8mi)

Nearby Cities

• 11km (7mi) WNW of Greenville, California
• 43km (27mi) SW of Susanville
• 60km (37mi) NE of Magalia
• 67km (42mi) NE of Paradise
• 159km (99mi) NW of Carson City, Nevada

Earthquake Map

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Active or Extremely Active 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season: NOAA

2013 Atlantic hurricane season could see up to 6 major hurricanes: NOAA CPC

The six-month hurricane season, which begins June 1, could see up to 20 named storms, of which 7 to 11 could become hurricanes, including as many as 6 major hurricanes, says NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center (CPC).

NOAA’s 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook indicates that an above-normal season is most likely, with the possibility that the season could be very active. The outlook calls for a 70% chance of an above-normal season, a 25% chance of a near-normal season, and only a 5% chance of a below-normal season.

Summary of CPC Prediction for 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season:

• 70% chance of an above-normal season
• 13-20 Named Storms (winds of 39 mph or higher)
• 7-11 Hurricanes (winds of 74 mph or higher)
• 3-6 Major Hurricanes ( Categories 3, 4 or 5; winds of 111 mph or higher)
• Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) range of 120%-205%

Note: The official NHC 1981-2010 seasonal averages 12 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 3 major hurricanes.

Climate factors that control Atlantic hurricane activity

According to NOAA/CPC, three climate factors strongly control Atlantic hurricane activity, which are expected to join forces to produce an active or extremely active 2013 hurricane season.

• The ongoing set of atmospheric conditions that have been producing increased Atlantic hurricane activity, which includes a strong west African monsoon, that is responsible for the ongoing era of high activity for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995

• Expected continuation of above-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across MDR, which includes the tropical Atlantic Ocean and Caribbean Sea

• ENSO-neutral conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean (i.e., no El Niño or La Niña); meaning El Niño is not expected to develop and suppress the hurricane season

NOAA’s 2013 Eastern Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook

• 55% chance of a below-normal season
• 35% chance of a near-normal season
• 10% chance of an above normal season

[The eastern Pacific hurricane region covers the eastern North Pacific Ocean east of 14:0oW and north of the equator.]

The outlook is based on the analysis and prediction of three climate signals:

• The ongoing climate conditions that have been associated with reduced eastern Pacific hurricane activity since 1995

• Expected ENSO-neutral conditions, meaning El Niño is not expected to develop and strengthen the seasonal activity,

• Expected near-average or below-average sea-surface temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.

NOAA estimates  a 70% chance of occurrence for each of the following ranges of activity in the 2013 season:

• 11-16 named storms,
• 5-8 hurricanes,
• 1-4 major hurricanes,
• An ACE range 60%-105% of the median.

Related Links

• 2011 Atlantic Hurricane Season: AAA
• FEWW New Hurricane Scale

FIRE-EARTH Forecast

FIRE-EARTH will NOT release details of its 2013 Hurricane Season forecast as a continued protest to the ongoing censorship, hacking and theft of the intellectual property posted on this blog.