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Archive for October 20th, 2013

TS RAYMOND forms off Mexico, threatens Acapulco with more rain

Posted by feww on October 20, 2013

Tropical storm RAYMOND could dump more rain on storm-battered Acapulco

RAYMOND formed off Mexico’s Pacific coast on Sunday, threatening to dump more heavy rain on the storm-batted resort of Acapulco.

The storm will likely become a hurricane within 48 hours, said the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Mexico has issued a tropical storm watch in Guerrero state from Acapulco, which is still recovering from deadly floods in September, to the port of Lazaro Cardenas.

The storm could dump significant amounts of rain on the region over the next few days causing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides, said NHC.

Tropical storms MANUEL and INGRID converged from the Pacific and Gulf of Mexico in September, dumping record rain on the region, which triggered historic flooding, killing more than 150 people and causing widespread devastation estimated at about $6 billion.

RAYMOND – Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities – 120 Hours

Source: NHC

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Typhoon FRANCISCO and TD 27 Headed for Tokyo

Posted by feww on October 20, 2013

FRANCISCO back into fourth gear

Typhoon FRANCISCO is currently targeting Tokyo area, but will significantly weaken before potentially making a landfall. FIRE-EARTH Models show the two system still likely to interact, if favorable conditions continue.


  • Time: 14:00UTC – October 20, 2013
  • Movement: NW (305 degrees) at 08km/hr
  • Position: Near 18.9ºN, 136.8E
  • Location: About 1,240km Southeast (130degrees) of Okinawa, Japan
  • Max Sustained Winds: 235km/hr [Cat 4B on FIRE-EARTH Scale]
  • Max Wind Gusts: 280km/hr
  • Significant Wave Height:   18m
  • Source: FIRE-EARTH and others

francisco vis-ir 20oct
Typhoon FRANCISCO. VISIBLE/INFRARED satellite image (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement) recorded at 13:32UTC on October 20, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. 

FRANCISCO projected path 20oct13
Projected Paths of TY FRANCISCO and TD TWENTYSEVEN (FIRE-EARTH Enhancement). Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. 

More details to follow…

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State of Emergency Declared in NSW amid Firestorm

Posted by feww on October 20, 2013

Deadly wildfires consume about 100,000 acres, destroy hundreds of homes in Australia

Government in Australia’s state of New South Wales (NSW) have declared a state of emergency as 300-km wall of fire continues to ravage the region, consuming about 100,000 acres and destroying or damaging hundreds of homes.

Deadly bushfires aided by soaring temperatures and strong winds have already destroyed more than 250 homes and damaged many more, leaving more than a thousand people homeless, and forcing thousands of others to abandon theirs.

The fire  conditions are said to be the most dangerous in more than four decades, with about 100 blazes creating a 300-km active fire edge.

The fires have claimed at least one life so far. A man died, possibly of a heart attack,  while trying to protect his home from the fire front.

At least 65 fires are burning in NSW including 15 large blazes, which remained uncontained as of posting.

Deteriorating Conditions

“We are likely to see deteriorating conditions starting this afternoon (Sunday, October 20, 2013) as we’ve already been acutely aware of, but more so as we move into Monday and Tuesday,” said Rural Fire Service commissioner Shane Fitzsimmons.

Forecasters warn temperatures between the mid-20s to high 30s with sustained winds of up to 45kph gusting up to 100kph through Wednesday.

RFS tells families to be ready to run as NSW’s 300km wall of fire continues its destruction

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FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 44

Posted by feww on October 20, 2013


FIRE-EARTH Bulletin NO. 44

Coming soon. Stay tuned!

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