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Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands

Posted by feww on November 9, 2013

HAIYAN: A new breed of “intelligent,” “designer” typhoons with built-in “power-preserver mechanism”

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models show the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties. 

Few houses standing in Tacloban, Leyte province, Philippines:  Disaster Official

“Almost all houses were destroyed […] Only a few houses are left standing, but with partial damages,” Major Rey Balido, a spokesman for the national disaster agency, told Reuters.

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of posting (04:30UTC).

HAIYAN VIS 9nov 330utc
Typhoon HAIYAN -VISIBLE/INFRARED  [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image  – recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

HAIYAN 9nov -ss-tt
Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference
[FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 03:30UTC on November 9, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

More details to follow…

UPDATES

  • As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.
  • Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.
  • At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.
  • FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.
  • At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).
  • The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.
  • There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.
  • Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.
  • HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.

This post will be updated throughout Saturday.

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One Response to “Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands”

  1. […] Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Casualties Could Top Many Thousands […]

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