500 Days Left

Humans failed qualifying for the next phase
.

Symbolic countdown to the onset of mass die-offs: 500 days left

FIRE-EARTH’s population model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact on the planet and the planetary response to the anthropogenic harm  could occur by early 2016.

• The mass die-offs would occur “randomly.”

• Once triggered, the mass die offs would follow own momentum and dynamics.

The symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011.

Collapse of Planetary Life Support Systems Accelerating …

HIoN Index

The FIRE-EARTH/CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN), an index for calculating the human impact on the planetary life support systems, climbed to a critically high level of 382 in July, 2014. In other words, the anthropogenic impact on the living environment exceeded 3.82 times the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.

• The index is rising exponentially.
• HIoN reached 323  in July 2013 .
• HIoN has risen 97 points, or more than 34 percent, since July 2012 when it reached 285.
• The index was less than 80 in 1960, and rose to about 100 in 1980.

According to HIoN projections, our cities and population centers could become almost entirely unsustainable by as early as 2015.

HIoN since End June 2012

• Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems July 6, 2013
• As of end-June 2012, the CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN) was 285 !
• WARNING: RAPID CHANGE IN PROGRESS! July 4, 2012

RAPID DECLINE OCCURRING!

Tidal Surge of Global Change 28 Times Faster in 21st Century

FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 28 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.

FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity, caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, which is leading to a total collapse.

FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”

In 2011, FIRE-EARTH said: The extreme weather events triggered by anthropogenic climate change have a four-prong impact on humans over the next 50 months. FIRE-EARTH models forecast:

1. Food production:

• Average decline of 22% in the global agricultural output
• Loss of topsoil and worsening of soil quality
• Rapid Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events
  • Drought and Deluge
  • Extremes of Temperature
  • Heatwaves and Late Frosts
  • Desertification and Dust Storms
• Crop Pests
• Increases in the size and occurrence of dead zones
• Large decline in marine food sources

2. Spread of Disease

• Substantial increases in the spread of diseases
  • Vector borne
  • Air borne
  • Water borne
  • Food borne
• Superbugs:  Emergence of resistant bacteria, especially MDR bacteria
• Resurgence of killer infectious diseases
• Increases in the spread of human immunodeficiency viruses
• Significant decline in air quality (and corresponding increase in chronic respiratory diseases)
• Other viral diseases
• Massive rises in mental illnesses

3. Physical Safety

Major increases in the number of deaths and injuries, as well as large scale displacements due to the loss of shelter and livelihood caused by extreme weather and geophysical events including:

• Tornadoes
• Hurricanes
• Storms and Extreme Weather
• Climate Change
• Extreme Rain Events
• Flash Flooding
• Drought and Deluge
• Landslides
• Extremes of Temperature
• Deforestation
• Wildfires
• Loss of “Seasons”
• Earthquakes*
• Tsunamis*
• Volcanic activity*
• Nuclear Incidents
• Oil Spills
• Chemical and Biological Threats
• Poisoned and Polluted Environment (Air, Water and Soil pollution)
• Ozone Depletion  (Ozone Holes)

4. The Combined Effect

Social upheavals, regional conflicts and wars caused by mass migrations and scarcity of basic resources resulting from the combined effects of the above, as well as other mechanisms.

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 500 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History