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Archive for October 23rd, 2015

Record-Breaker Hurricane PATRICIA Continues Intensifying

Posted by feww on October 23, 2015

Updated at 15:02UTC

Witnessing historic climate extremes in the making at the speed of light – we told you there would be interesting times ahead!

SUPER PATRICIA BECOMES THE STRONGEST EASTERN NORTH PACIFIC HURRICANE ON RECORD
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MEGA HURRICANE PATRICIA HEADING FOR POTENTIALLY CATASTROPHIC LANDFALL IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO: NHC

PATRICIA packing sustained winds in excess of 320 KM/HR, according to the National Hurricane Center.

FIRE-EARTH Models show [probability= 0.7] Super PATRICIA intensifying further to an “Extraterrestrial” Category with  maximum sustained winds of about 340 km/hr and maximum wind gusts of near 410 km/hr.

10:00 AM CDT Fri Oct 23 [12:00UTC]NHC
Location: 17.6°N 105.5°W
Moving: N at 10 mph (15 km/hr)
Min pressure: 880 mb
Max sustained: 200 mph (320 km/hr)  [could intensify to 340 km/hr – FEWW]
Max wind gusts: 395 km/hr [FIRE-EARTH estimate; could increase to 410 km/hr, probability of 0.7]
Max significant wave heights: 17m

POES Composite  –  (Daily Sea Surface Temperatures – SSD/NOAA)

SST near the hurricane’s projected landfall was in excess of 30ºC, as of posting. See image below.

POES Composite – Daily Sea Surface Temperatures

patricia - vis uw-cimss
visible satellite imagery – image taken at 13;15UTC October 23, 2015. Source: UW-CIMSS

Links to satellite images are posted at https://feww.wordpress.com/satellite-imagery/

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U.S. Drought Spreads

Posted by feww on October 23, 2015

D0-D4 drought conditions extend by 10.4 percent across CONUS since last week

Areas across the Contiguous United States covered by “Abnormally Dry” (D0) to “Exceptional Drought” (D4) levels have extended by about 10.4 percent since last week, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

The latest statistics for total US are 53.02 percent of the area as of October 20, up from 48.69 percent previously.

“Significant rain began to overspread the south-central U.S. on October 21, a day after the drought-monitoring period ended, and will be reflected in next week’s U.S. Drought Monitor.” said the Drought Monitor.

us drought 20oct15
Source: http://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/

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Mega Hurricane PATRICIA Headed for Mexico

Posted by feww on October 23, 2015

Potentially catastrophic Hurricane PATRICIA grows into a mega storm, with sustained winds of near 300 km/hr

PATRICIA has grown into a Mega Storm, a monster Category 5 hurricane, with sustained winds of about 300 km/hr, as it bore down on central Mexico’s Pacific coast, prompting the authorities to declare a state of emergency.

“This is an extremely dangerous, potentially catastrophic hurricane,” said the U.S. National Hurricane Center.

Hurricane warnings were in effect for the Mexican coast from San Blas to Punta San Telmo, including Manzanillo and Puerto Vallarta.

PATRICIA is forecast to bring 150 to 300mm of rain, with isolated amounts of up to 500mm possible in some locations.

Hurricane Warning Position NHC

12:30 AM CDT Fri Oct 23  [05:30UTC Fri Oct 23]
Location: 16.5°N, 105.3°W
Moving: NNW at 10 mph (16 km/hr)
Min pressure: 892 mb
Max sustained wind: 185 mph (295 km/hr)
Max wind gusts: 355 km/hr [FIRE-EARTH estimate]
Max significant wave heights: 16m

Links to satellite images are posted at https://feww.wordpress.com/satellite-imagery/

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