Global Disaster Forecast – 16 Mar 2011

This is an amendment to an earlier release dated March 12, 2011

In Global Tectonics Warning – March 12

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST:

NEXT MAJOR TECTONICS EVENT COULD OCCUR IN THE U.S.

Based on their Earth Model, FEWW Moderators believe the world’s next catastrophic tectonics event could occur in western United States with a probability of 0.74.

Amended to:

THE WORLD’S NEXT MAJOR DISASTER COULD OCCUR IN THE U.S.

The world’s next major human-enhanced natural disaster [e.g., climate related] could occur in the United States with a probability of 0.75

The world’s next catastrophic tectonics event could occur in

1. Western United States, Taiwan or Indonesia [Probability of 0.74]
2. New Zealand or Chile [Probability of 0.73]
3. Japan Region [Probability of 0.72]

Related Links:

• EQJP [Includes Summary of Japan Earthquake Forecasts]
  

• Global Tectonics Warning – March 12
• Tectonics Update – March 10

• US Volcanoes: Blasts from the Past?
• FEWW Volcano Links
• Volcanoes
• FEWW Earthquake Links

Intense Wave of Seismicity Strikes Bio-Bio, Chile

6.9Mw Shock Hits Offshore Bio-Bio, Chile

EQ Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH

Earthquake Details

• Region: Near Coast of Central Chile
• Time: 2011-02-11 20:05:31.9 UTC
• Magnitude: 6.9
• Epicenter: 73.07°W 36.39°S
• Depth: 28 km
• Status: Revised by a seismologist
• Source: GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin

• Other Shocks: 5 (with the two largest measuring Mag 5.9 and 6.1Mw)

Distances (USGS)

• 45 km (30 miles) N of Concepcion, Bio-Bio, Chile
• 80 km (50 miles) SW of Cauquenes, Maule, Chile
• 85 km (55 miles) WNW of Chillan, Bio-Bio, Chile
• 395 km (245 miles) SSW of SANTIAGO, Region Metropolitana, Chile

Tsunami Status

• NO Warning, Watch or Advisory issued by PTWC or WCATWC

Related Links

• FEWW Volcano Links
• Volcanoes
• FEWW Earthquake Links