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Archive for the ‘atlantic hurricanes 2009’ Category

STORM UPDATE: Ida Coming Back?

Posted by feww on November 10, 2009

What are the chances of Ida coming back?

At 06:00 UTC (12:00 AM CST) TS Ida was located about 150 km (95 miles) south-southwest of  Mobile Alabama.

Dangerous storm tide created by Ida will raise water levels by up to 1.5 meter ( 5 feet) above ground along the coast near and to the East of where storm center makes landfall, as well as in areas of onshore flow in southeastern Louisiana, NOAA NHC said. The surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves near the coast.

Summary of TS Ida Status:

As of 06:00 UTC Tue Nov 10  (12:00 AM CST)
Location: 29.5°N 88.8°W
Max sustained winds :  96 km/h (60 mph)
Moving: N  (360 degrees) at  16 km/h (10 mph)
Min pressure: 29.47 inches (998 mb)

What are the chances of Ida Coming Back?

What’s the probability of Ida doing a U-Turn, restrengthening into a hurricane-force storm  for a third time, and slamming into the northern coast of the Gulf of Mexico, again?

FEWW Moderators believe there’s a 1 in 5 chance [P=0.2] that remnants of Idea could be pinwheeled back into the Gulf of Mexico by a slowly developing system to the east, moving NNW and striking the coast of Louisiana, and further to the west, with renewed intensity.


Layer Wind Mean Analysis. Right click image, then select ‘view image’ to enlarge.

Real-Time U.S. Composite Satellite Image and Animation


Click image to animate.

anov 10 - 10-45UTC vn-l
GOES AVNCOLOR Enhancement – Still image Dated as inset. Click image to enlarge and update.

Storm Ida – Earth Observatory
ida_trm_2009313
Ida captured by Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) satellite on November 9 at 6:17 a.m. U.S. Central Time. Though Ida was still a hurricane, it was quickly weakening. While spots of heavy rain remain, the storm’s circular organization is no longer apparent. NASA image courtesy Hal Pierce, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center. Caption by Holli Riebeek, NASA’s Earth Observatory. Edited by FEWW.

Cumulative Wind History

Ida 10Nov 211312P_sm
Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Storm Force Wind Speed Probabilities – 120 Hours

ida 10nov 211312
Click image to enlarge.

Coastal Watches/Warnings and 5-Day Forecast Cone for Storm Center

Ida 10 Nov 211312W5_NL_sm
Click image to enlarge.

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Posted in Alabama, Alabama flood, Alabama storm, Atlantic basin, Atlantic hurricane season, atlantic hurricanes 2009, LOUISIANA COAST, Tropical Storm Ida | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Hurricane Bill Chemically ‘Neutered?’

Posted by feww on August 21, 2009

Finally MODIS Rapid Response Team releases an ‘up-to-date’ [only one day old!] image of Hurricane Bill

And so pleased with the work, they moved the image acquisition date forward by 30 days to September 30, 2009!

Bill
The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) on NASA’s Terra satellite captured this photo-like image of Hurricane Bill northeast of Puerto Rico at 10:55 a.m., local time (14:55 UTC) on August 20, 2009. Bill is large, sprawling across hundreds of kilometers from end to end, and has so has a clear eye. The National Hurricane Center expected Hurricane Bill to track northwest between the United States’s East coast and Bermuda, possibly crossing over Nova Scotia and Newfoundland on August 23.  The high-resolution image provided is at MODIS’ full spatial resolution (level of detail) of 250 meters per pixel. The MODIS Rapid Response System provides this image at additional resolutions.  NASA image by Jeff Schmaltz, MODIS Rapid Response Team, Goddard Space Flight Center. Caption by Holli Riebeek. [Edited for brevity by FEWW.]

Bill one day earlier
Bill, a day earlier (or 30 days later!). Hurricane Bill
captured by MODIS on NASA’s Aqua satellite  at 12:40 p.m. Eastern Daylight Time on August 18, 2009.
Credits:  See top image. [Image added to the post on August 22, 2009]

Bill - abnormal lines

As for the chemical treatment [ ‘re-engineering’] hint, notice the thin, curvy line which emerges at 8  o’clock and rejoins Bill’s  ‘mane’ at 10 o’clock [there are also two shorter similar lines starting at about 6 o’clock just south of the eye] appear to be an abnormal aberration.  Could it be that Bill is chemically sprayed in an attempt to  ‘control’ and  ‘re-engineer’ it—to slow it down and make it disintegrate?

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Posted in atlantic hurricanes 2009, CAPE HATTERAS, category 4 hurricane, hurricanes 2009, MODIS Rapid Response Team | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »