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Archive for the ‘Christchurch quake’ Category

NZ scientists: Intellectual rigor mortis set?

Posted by feww on March 18, 2011

Written and updated by a Member of FIRE-EARTH Science Team

SCIENCE IS DEAD IN NEW ZEALAND!

WHY HAVE SCIENTISTS STOPPED LEARNING?

The Government and its Royal Society of New Zealand have  released a “scientific paper” at a briefing in Wellington, concerning future earthquake risks for Christchurch and New Zealand, a report said.

“Nobody can predict when an earthquake will strike, the Prime Minister’s chief science adviser says,” according to the report.

THE BIG WHITE FACT IN THE ROOM remains that FIRE-EARTH Blog has successfully forecast earthquakes including those in New Zealand Region, Japan Region and elsewhere. AND the forecasts have been posted on this blog for everyone to see.

“The Government and the Royal Society of New Zealand today released a scientific paper at a briefing in Wellington, looking at earthquake predictions and future earthquake risks for Christchurch and New Zealand.” Report said.

“During the briefing, Sir Peter Gluckman hit out at Ken Ring’s controversial prediction that another big quake will hit Christchurch on or near March 20.”

FIRE-EARTH Moderators do not know who or what “Ken Ring” is. However, here’s a short list of possibilities as to his identity and brief:

  1. Ken Ring is another one of those ‘Internet prophets’ feeding on FIRE-EARTH quake forecasts
  2. He is a straw man created by NZ government to discredit by association earthquake forecasts released by FIRE-EARTH Blog
  3. All of the above!

[NOTE: Prior to successful earthquake forecasts being posted on FIRE-EARTH blog, the Ken Ring character had not surfaced. What’s the plan? IF Ken Ring’s latest prediction for another major earthquake on March 20, 2011 to strike Christchurch, New Zealand fails to materialize, and it probably would, then he would be “eaten alive” by the NZ Prime Minister and his cabal, the Royal Society of New Zealand and the country’s corporate media. Once Ken Ring has been discredited and severely dealt with, they hope New Zealanders would no longer take any earthquake hazard warning forecasts by any source seriously. Note also the confidence by which Gluckman et al make their ‘NO-quake’ statements, as if fully briefed on the plot!]

“Scientists could identify regions vulnerable to quakes and predict the likely magnitude of a quake but not the precise locality, depth or timing, he said.” The report added.

“Certainty as to a particular event or outcome just cannot be achieved. What therefore may happen, can only be described in terms of risks and probability.” Gluckman said.

And here’s the crunch:

“Scientifically there’s no reason not to rebuild in Christchurch,” he said.

Scientifically there’s “no reason not” to build a house of cards, or a castle in the sand …  but you don’t authoritatively influence people to occupy them, or invite thousands of visitors and their uncles to come along, too, FIRE-EARTH contends.

[More than a third of the Christchurch earthquake victims, those whose name have so far been revealed, seem to be clueless foreigners who probably thought New Zealand was a safe place.]

What sort of science is that which mandates an allegedly democratic regime to condemn hundreds of thousands of people by locking them in an area where two significant earthquakes have struck within five months, killing or injuring thousands of people, destroying many homes and much of the infrastructure?

“GNS Science chief executive Alex Malahoff and Royal Society of New Zealand vice-president Keith Hunter were also on the panel.” The report said.

May they live long enough to eat their scientific paper! And that’s a prayer, not a “curse!”

Scientists who turn politicians, or those who fail to help people staying alive shouldn’t receive any money from the public purse!

Related Links:

on February 25, 2011 at 12:39 am in reply to a comment FIRE-EARTH said:

Why did YOUR govt bury earthquake warnings which were meant to alert people, especially foreign tourists/students visiting New Zealand?
See links below:

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/07/16/global-travel-warning/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2008/10/06/earthquake-cluster-closes-in-on-new-zealand/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2011/01/15/new-zealand-region-earthquake-warning/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2010/09/04/powerful-quake-strikes-christchurch-nz/#comment-10624

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2008/09/30/a-magnitude-7-earthquake-hits-kermadec-islands/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/08/19/new-round-of-geo-assualt/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2009/07/15/powerful-7-8-m-quake-strikes-new-zealand-region/

* https://feww.wordpress.com/2010/05/16/an-open-letter-to-google-management-employees/

See also the following message posted by te2ataria on July 17, 2009
http://newzeelend.wordpress.com/2009/07/17/stay-out-of-new-zealand/

Truth is the bottom line, income from tourism, is more important to your government than human lives.

“and our govt are just people, citizens, like ourselves…”

REALLY? Are you a multimillionaire like your PM John Key?

Your PM is a greedy individual who has amassed a massive fortune, albeit from “immoral activities,” and who has shown no interest in the livelihood of quarter of a million NZ kids living in abject poverty.
http://newzeelend.wordpress.com/2010/07/05/in-new-zealand-poverty-is-happiness/

That’s what you call democracy?

Posted in Christchurch Earthquake, Christchurch earthquake forecast, Christchurch quake | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 3 Comments »

Two Significant ‘Foreshocks’ Strike Christchurch, NZ

Posted by feww on February 22, 2011

Strong Foreshocks Measuring 6.4 and 5.7Mw Rattle Christchurch, NZ: Report

The following are preliminary details of the shocks as recorded by GFZ Potsdam Earthquake Bulletin

The first shock measuring 6.4Mw was followed by a less powerful event measuring 5.7Mw about 11 minutes later. Both events occurred at a depth of about 5km, the report indicates.

The quakes occurred about 10km SE of Christchurch [ in the middle of the Lyttelton harbor,] NZ’s second largest city.

Event No. 1

GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
Region: South Island, New Zealand
Time: 2011-02-21 23:51:44.5 UTC
Magnitude: 6.4
Epicenter: 172.83°E 43.40°S
Depth: 5 km
Status: automatic

© Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum – GFZ

Event No. 2

GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
Region: South Island, New Zealand
Time: 2011-02-22 00:04:20.8 UTC
Magnitude: 5.7
Epicenter: 172.68°E 43.52°S
Depth: 5 km
Status: automatic

There are reports of buildings collapsing with possible fatalities,  media reported. The Christchurch Hospital is being evacuated.

“But Twitter users have reported feeling the quake as far as Wellington and Dunedin, with the violent episode lasting at least a minute and rocking buildings,” a report said.


A photo posted by gavb online showing damage at Sumner. Photo credit: Twitpic (via Herald Sun)


Christchurch Cathedral didn’t make it this time. (twitpic.com/42dzk8: Tess Woolcock)

USGS reported the shocks as measuring 6.3Mw and 5.6Mw, and listed the following details:

Event #1

  • Magnitude: 6.3
  • Date-Time:
    • Monday, February 21, 2011 at 23:51:42 UTC
    • Tuesday, February 22, 2011 at 12:51:42 PM at epicenter
  • Location: 43.513°S, 172.638°E   (Later revised to 43.600°S, 172.710°E)
  • Depth: 4 km (2.5 miles)
  • Region: SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
  • Distances (NEAR Christchurch, New Zealand)
    • 215 km (135 miles) SSE of Westport, New Zealand
    • 305 km (190 miles) SW of WELLINGTON, New Zealand
    • 315 km (195 miles) NNE of Dunedin, New Zealand
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 13.9 km (8.6 miles); depth +/- 0.5 km (0.3 miles)
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: usb0001igm

Event #2

  • Magnitude: 5.6
  • Date-Time: Tuesday, February 22, 2011 at 00:04:18 UTC
  • Location: 43.580°S, 172.798°E
  • Depth: 6.7 km (4.2 miles)
  • Distances: 10 km (5 miles) ESE of Christchurch, New Zealand
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 13 km (8.1 miles); depth +/- 0.2 km (0.1 miles)

FIRE-EARTH has previously posted specific advice concerning the threat of seismic hazards to New Zealand. [Ask NZ Govt and Google why they buried the information.]

https://feww.wordpress.com/2010/09/04/powerful-quake-strikes-christchurch-nz/#comment-10624

Excerpts from Local News Reports:

  • “The Christchurch police central police station has been evacuated, the airport has been closed and there are reports of collapses of many buildings, including a church in the central city.” Source
  • “Damage in the city is severe. There are reports of bodies being pulled from a bus in Columbo Street.” Source
  • “Multiple fatalities have been reported at several locations in the central city, including two buses crushed by falling buildings,” the police website said.

Major earthquake in Christchurch

22 February, 2011 – 13:55

A major earthquake in Christchurch at 12.51pm has caused widespread damage and injury.

The central city is currently being evacuated as reports are received of widespread damage to buildings and infrastructure.

Multiple fatalities have been reported at several locations in the central city, including two buses crushed by falling buildings. A doctor and emergency services are attending.

Other reports include multiple building collapses, fires in buildings in the central and persons reported trapped in buildings.

All available police staff are assisting with evacuations and emergency responses.

Christchurch Hospital is not evacuated and is in operation. No injuries reported at Christchurch Airport.

Defence forces have been called in to assist.

IMPORTANT MESSAGES:

Triage centres have been established for people with injuries at:

– Latimer Square, Central City
– Spotlight Mall, Sydenham
– Sanitarium, Papanui

Police advise that people who have evacuated their homes or buildings should report to their nearest Civil Defence sector post – usually schools.

Further updates will be issued as available.

A media briefing will be advised as soon as possible later today. ENDS

Stephen Hill, Police District Communications Manager
Mob. 027 4363701  — MEDIA PLEASE NOTE: Cellphone services may be unavailable.

Related Links

Posted in Christchurch Earthquake, Christchurch quake, South Island disaster, south island earthquake | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Powerful Quake Strikes Christchurch, NZ

Posted by feww on September 4, 2010

Collapse of NZ May Have Started

Earthquake measuring up to 7.4Mw Jolts Much of South Island, New Zealand

The quake occurred close to Christchurch, the largest city in the South Island, and New Zealand’ second-largest urban area.

The mainshock was followed by at least one large aftershock measuring up to 5.5Mw.

The earthquake has caused widespread damage, but there were no reports of deaths as of posting. Two were seriously injured.

There was no report of a destructive tsunami.

Christchurch Mayor Bob Parker described the event as “sharp, vicious earthquake” which had caused “significant damage” in the area.

Daylight had shown that the extent of destruction was considerably more significant than initially thought, he said on NZ radio.

“There would not be a house, there would not be a family in our city that has not in some way have damage done to their person, to their property.”

“I think it’s like an iceberg; there is… below the visible line, significant structural damage,” the mayor said.


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS. Enhanced by FEWW


Photo by Debbie McBride: “There have been something like 30 after shocks since the quake, it’s such a horrible scary time – we feel like we are on edge and constantly moving.” More Photos …


A part of the premises of a gas station is raised at Bexley in Christchurch, New Zealand, Saturday, Sept. 4, 2010.. (AP Photo/NZPA, David Alexander). Image may be subject to copyright.

Earthquake Details:

  • Magnitude 7.0 [USGS politically revised estimate]
  • Date-Time:
    • Friday, September 03, 2010 at 16:35:46 UTC
    • Saturday, September 04, 2010 at 04:35:46 AM at epicenter
  • Location: 43.530°S, 172.120°E
  • Depth: 5 km (3.1 miles)
  • Region: SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
  • Distances:
    • 45 km (30 miles) W of Christchurch, New Zealand
    • 200 km (125 miles) SSE of Westport, New Zealand
    • 290 km (180 miles) NNE of Dunedin, New Zealand
    • 330 km (205 miles) SW of WELLINGTON, New Zealand
  • Location Uncertainty Error:  estimate not available
  • Source: Institute of Geological and Nuclear Sciences, Lower Hutt, New Zealand
  • Event ID: us2010atbj

FEWW FORECAST FOR NEW ZEALAND – POSTED ON September 30, 2008

I. Implication for New Zealand Islands:

  • A substantial increase in the frequency of earthquake striking the twin islands.
  • More earthquakes with magnitude 6 or larger.
  • A marked increased in large explosive volcanic eruptions, especially in the following zones [also include ‘extinct’ volcanoes]
    • Taupo Volcanic Zone
    • Bombay Hills
    • Auckland volcanic field
    • Mount Taranaki
    • Mt Horrible volcano
    • Mount Taranaki
    • Mount Cargill

II. Worst Case Condition for New Zealand Islands:

  • Large earthquakes and massive volcanic eruptions could potentially destroy much of New Zealand structures and claim many lives.
  • Earthquake and volcano-triggered waves could also give rise to 40 to 50-meter tsunami that would engulf the coastal areas and low-lying lands throughout New Zealand [could also affect parts of Australia’s eastern seaboard,] compounding the damage.
  • A super/mega colossal Plinian/Ultra-Plinian eruption occurring in New Zealand’s North Island simultaneously [or within a short period of time] with a magnitude 9.8 earthquake off the eastern coast of New Zealand could claim many lives.
  • Probability of occurrence:
    1. Event 1.  A magnitude 9.8 earthquake striking off the eastern coast of New Zealand with (i) the foreshocks ripping through Auckland, Hamilton, Taupo areas, (ii) the mainshock leveling Wellington, Palmerstone North, Marlborough, Nelson and Christchurch, and (iii) the aftershock causing substantial damage as far south as Invercargill: 85%
    2. Event 2. A super/ mega colossal Plinian/Ultra-Plinian eruption in the North Island: 72%  [South Island: 57%]
    3. Event 1 and Event 2 occurring simultaneously, or within a short period of time: 64 %

What New Zealand Earthquake Experts Said

Interestingly, our colleague TERRES wrote on April 13, 2009

Apparently, New Zealanders are advised by their experts not to worry about the ‘big one.’

Quakes ‘no cause for worry’
http://www.stuff.co.nz/national/2308107/Quakes-no-cause-for-worry

Related Links:

Related News:

Posted in Christchurch Earthquake, Christchurch quake, earthquake, earthquake 2010, earthquake forecast, Earthquake Hazard | Tagged: , , | 7 Comments »