Avoid Disappointment!!

Do NOT Plan Too Far Ahead!

SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 945 Days Left

FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”

FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

Critical Planetary Overload

• Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems
• RAPID DECLINE IN PROGRESS!
  

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

Collapse in Progress

• Europe: The First Phase of Collapse Has Started 
• United States: The First Phase of Collapse Has Begun

Encephalitis Kills 200 in Bihar, India

Death toll exceeds 200 in AES outbreak in Bihar, eastern India

An outbreak of Acute Encephalitis Syndrome (AES) has claimed at least 200 lives in India’s eastern state of Bihar since May, reports quoting government sources said.

State health officials in Bihar have identified 10 districts where the mosquito-borne disease has spread. Most of the dead are children.

The disease has killed thousands of people in India since the late 1970s, reports said.

Encephalitis is an acute inflammation of the brain, which can be caused by a bacterial infection, e.g, bacterial meningitis, spreading directly to the brain.

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) scans of a brain with encephalitis. It has resulted in a large lesion (orange). Source: NHS/UK

Acute viral encephalitis

Acute viral encephalitis is most often caused by a viral infection from a large list of viruses that include rabies virus, herpes simplex virus (the virus that causes cold sores and the sexually transmitted infection, STI, genital herpes), poliovirus, measles virus, JC virus, West Nile Virus, mumps, varicella zoster virus (the virus which is responsible for chickenpox in children and shingles in adults), and rubella.

Exposure to viruses can occur through

• Breathing in respiratory droplets from an infected person
• Contaminated food or drink
• Mosquito, tick, and other insect bites
• Skin contact (Source A.D.A.M. Medical Encyclopedia and others

Other causes may include an allergic reaction to vaccinations, autoimmune disease, bacteria, such as Lyme disease, complication of an existing infectious disease such as syphilis and tuberculosis, parasitic infestations, such as malaria, roundworms, cysticercosis, and toxoplasmosis in AIDS patients and other people who have a weakened immune system, or the effects of cancer.

For a list of other acute infections and symptoms click HERE.

Other Global Disasters, Significant Events

• Northeastern and Mid-Atlantic. An Excessive Heat Warning remains in effect from 1 pm Wednesday  to 6 am EDT Friday for New Castle-Mercer-Gloucester-Camden-Northwestern Burlington-Chester-Montgomery-Bucks-Delaware-Philadelphia- including the cities of Wilmington, Trenton, Glassboro, Camden, CherryHill, Moorestown, Mount Holly, West Chester, Norristown, Doylestown, Media and Philadelphia. NWS has forecast Heat Index Values of up yo 103ºF (39.4ºC).
• Arizona and California.  An Excessive Heat Watch remains in effect through Friday for east-central, southwest and south-central Arizona deserts and lower deserts of far southeast California. Cities include the Phoenix Metro area, Yuma, El Centro, Casa Grande, Wickenburg, Parker and Blythe. NWS has forecast temperature high of up to 115ºF (~46ºC).

• North Carolina.A wildfire that is burning in Croatan National Forest has grown to 10,800 acres, a fire official said.
  • “Ash has been falling from the sky in areas near the forest, and high levels of particle pollution have spurred two agencies to issue alerts. The National Weather Service has issued a Code Red Air Quality alert for Craven County until 8:15 PM on June 19. And the North Carolina Department of Environment and Natural Resources has issued a Code Red Air Quality Action Day for Craven, Jones, and Pamlico Counties,” said a report.

Up-to-date weekly average CO₂ at Mauna Loa

• Week of June 10, 2012:     396.37 ppm  (1-year increase:  2.75 ppm)
• Weekly value from 1 year ago:     393.62 ppm
• Weekly value from 10 years ago:     375.41 ppm

Recent Mauna Loa CO₂

• May 2012:     396.78 ppm  (1-year increase: 2.62 ppm; 10-year increase: 21.13 ppm; 50-year increase: 75.77 ppm)
• May 2011:     394.16 ppm
• May 2002:    375.65 ppm
• May 1962:     321.01 ppm

The graph shows recent monthly mean carbon dioxide measured at Mauna Loa Observatory, Hawaii.

The last four complete years of the Mauna Loa CO₂ record plus the current year are shown. Data are reported as a dry air mole fraction defined as the number of molecules of carbon dioxide divided by the number of all molecules in air, including CO₂ itself, after water vapor has been removed. The mole fraction is expressed as parts per million (ppm). Example: 0.000400 is expressed as 400 ppm.  In the above figure, the dashed red line with diamond symbols represents the monthly mean values, centered on the middle of each month. The black line with the square symbols represents the same, after correction for the average seasonal cycle. The latter is determined as a moving average of SEVEN adjacent seasonal cycles centered on the month to be corrected, except for the first and last THREE and one-half years of the record, where the seasonal cycle has been averaged over the first and last SEVEN years, respectively. [Source: NOAA/ESRL]

Recent Global CO₂

• April 2012:     394.01 ppm (1-year increase: 2.18 ppm)
• April 2011:     391.83 ppm

The graph shows recent monthly mean carbon dioxide globally averaged over marine surface sites. The Global Monitoring Division of NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory has measured carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases for several decades at a globally distributed network of air sampling sites [Conway, 1994]. A global average is constructed by first fitting a smoothed curve as a function of time to each site, and then the smoothed value for each site is plotted as a function of latitude for 48 equal time steps per year. A global average is calculated from the latitude plot at each time step [Masarie, 1995].   Source: NOAA/ESRL

• Typhoon GUCHOL and TS TALIM

Source: SSEC

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Back to the Primordial Future
• The Fate of Energy Dinosaurs
• Mass Die-offs

• 2010 Disasters [Links to 2010 Disaster Calendar]
• Mega Disasters
• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2012 Disaster Calendar

U-S Attacked by Continued Severe Weather

Brace for the Worst Ever

Climatic  Extremes, Primeval Geophysical Activities and WILD Weather to Wreak Mega Havoc in 2011/2012 and Beyond …

NOW IS THE PERFECT TIME TO POWER DOWN AND START THINKING HARD.

 Encourage your folks, friends and neighbors to join in!! BECAUSE  for most of us the GAME would be OVER soon.

Flooding and fires, earthquakes and eruptions, deadly tornadoes and strong storms … are just some of the items you’ve ordered from the climate change quick menu!

US Weather Warnings. Click image to enter NWS portal.

Spring-Like Storm System Targets Mississippi, Ohio Valleys Today

Kansas City, Mo., Monday, Feb. 28, 2011 – NOAA forecasters said a strong spring-like storm system will move from the Lower Mississippi River Valley into the Ohio River Valley today, bringing widespread precipitation to the eastern third of the country. The system will draw warm, moist, unstable air from the Gulf of Mexico, setting the stage for strong to severe thunderstorms over a large area of the southern Plains and Southeast. Up to 1-2 inches of rain can be expected over a sizeable area of the Midwest that had to contend with heavy rain and severe weather through the weekend.

Related Links:

• 2011 Disaster Calendar
• 2011-2012 MegaDisasters

• FEWW Volcano Links
• Volcanoes
• FEWW Earthquake Links

Separate Records Confirm Warming Trend

And to What End?

WILL THIS MAKE A RAPIDLY COLLAPSING WORLD CHANGE ITS COURSE?

We doubt it!

4 Different Records Confirm Identical Warming Trend

Data acquired January 1, 1880 – December 31, 2010. Click image to enlarge. Download larger image (136 KB, PDF)

NASA GISS Global Temperature Anomalies (base 1951 to 1980)

Data acquired November 1 – 30, 2010 – Source of images: NASA-EO

Data acquired by NASA’s Goddard Institute for Space Studies (GISS), NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center (NCDC), the Japanese Meteorological Agency, and their British equivalent confirm an identical warming trend despite minor discrepancies.

Both NASA and NOAA have declared 2010 tied with 2005 as the warmest year in their 131-year instrumental record.

Related Links:

• 2010 Tied For Warmest Year on Record: NOAA
• Global Climate Extremes INTENSIFYING

Will it be drought?

Will it be Drought, Deluge, Volcanic Eruptions, Earthquakes, War …

TRY ALL OF THE ABOVE!

How Drought Slowed Plant Growth [2000-2009]

Click image to enlarge.

• Download large image (700 KB, JPEG) acquired January 1, 2000 – December 31, 2009
• Download large Hemispheric Trends image (81 KB, PDF)
  

Contrary to conventional wisdom, researchers at the University of Montana have discovered that plant growth slowed for the 2000–2009, despite the decade being the warmest on record. “We see this as a bit of a surprise, and potentially significant on a policy level because previous interpretations suggested that global warming might actually help plant growth around the world,” one of the researchers said. “This is a pretty serious warning that warmer temperatures are not going to endlessly improve plant growth.” More information available in a feature article and on videos. Source: NASA E/O.

Related Links:

• ‘Google Civilization’ Collapsing from Disinformation
• Drought and Deluge: Major Mechanisms Of Collapse

• Decadal Temp Avg Up by 74 pct on 1990s
• Drought and Deluge [Index Page]
• Land Use And Topsoil

Towns Drowning in Central Europe

NOW YOU DON’T SEE THEM!!

The First Phase of Collapse in Central Europe Has Started.

Severe flooding caused by torrential rain in central Europe has killed at least a dozen people, cutting off towns and forcing the evacuation of thousands of residents from drowning towns and villages by helicopter, reports say.

People look at a flooded street in the town of Chrastava,  Czech Republic, August 7, 2010. Credit: Reuters/David W Cerny. Image may be subject to copyright. See Fair Use Notice.

Swollen rivers are overflowing their banks and large scale flooding in parts of Czech Republic, Germany and Poland are causing bridges, roads and buildings to collapse.

“Water levels have reached record highs in eastern Germany and central Europe as a broken dam in Poland flooded rivers and forced residents from their homes.” A report said.

Water levels in Goerlitz, Saxony, Germany, reached their highest ever, the report said.

“Water levels were highest in Zgorzelec on the river Neisse at 7.4 meters [normal water levels are 1.7m,]” Polish broadcaster TVN24 said. Parts of the city were submerged and several historic buildings have been damaged.

Related Links:

• The First Wave of World’s Collapsing Cities
• Collapse of Pakistan May Have Started
• Pakistan Floods Kill 1,600
• Between Hell and High Water
• Remember this Image! [Posted by edro on September 4, 2008]

• Disaster Forecast: The United States
• Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN) March 2008
• Earth’s Human Induced Antiphase Nears Completion
• Energy Dinosaurs
• Collapse Headlines 28 July 2010

• Earth: Wounded and Feverish
• 2010 Disaster Calendar
• 2010 Disaster Calendar [JULY]
• 2010 Disasters
• Collapse Diary

Global Flooding and Landslide Headlines

Deadly Flooding in the French Riviera

At least 20 people have been killed, 12 are missing and about 2,000 others have been rescued from the flood stricken southern France.  The authorities said about 1,900 firefighters and police officers were mobilized in the rescue effort.

France’s  national weather service  said up to 40cm (15.7in) of rain had fallen since Tuesday, and warned of more rainstorm in the region.

About 100,000 people have been without electricity across the flood-stricken  region,  reports say.

The floods are said to be the worst in the region since for nearly 200 years.

Myanmar

“Floods and landslides have killed at least 46 people in northwest Myanmar and rescue workers are evacuating residents affected by the incessant rains, official media said Thursday.” AP reported.

India, China Flooding

Rescuers try to salvage a mini-van submerged in the flood in Nanping City, southeast China’s Fujian Province, on June 15, 2010. (Xinhua/Zhang Guojun). Image may be subject to copyright.

Up to a 100  people have been killed and more than 70 are missing as heavy floods inundated parts of India and China.

“Heavy rains caused havoc in India’s largest city of Mumbai, hitting the movement of air and rail traffic and shutting off electricity in some areas, a report said.

“Thousands of buildings and kilometers of roads have been destroyed by flooding in south-eastern China. Almost 1.5 million people there have been affected by the floods. About 600 flights were grounded at Beijing’s Capital Airport. ”

Up to 300 Killed, Dozens  Missing, 1.3 million Evacuated after the Latest Round of China Rainstorms, Landslides

Floods have caused substantial damage in 21 provinces in China since January, causing at least 24 billion yuan (3.5 billion U.S. dollars) in direct economic losses, the Office of State Flood Control and Drought Relief Headquarters said in a statement, Xinhua reported.

The 2010 economic losses so far 370 percent higher than last year, the statement said.

“A total of [up to 300] people died and [up to 100] other[s] were missing due to the floods, with 2 million hectares of crops affected, according to the statement.”

• Photos of sinkholes in China

Related Links:

• Deadly Landslides Kill 100 in Bangladesh, Burma, China
• Landslides Kill at least 44 in South China
• 2010 Disaster Calendar [JUNE]
• Towns and Villages Turned into Lakes
• Latest Landslide in China

• Oklahoma City Under Deluge
• U.S. Floods Hit Texas, Oregon, Wyoming, Utah, Missouri …
• Deadly Tornadoes Turn U.S. Midwest into ‘War Zone’
• A Dry Run for Climate Chaos Heading Our Way
• U.S. Warmer, Drier in March

• U.S. Weather at a Glance
• Southern U.S. Flooding Update
• FLOODING: Kentucky governor declares a state of emergency
• Rhode Island: Step Nearer Collapse?
• Flooding in Midwest Kills 1, Swamps Roads, Rail Line

• Arkansas Floodwaters Submerge Campground, Killing 16
• U.S. Floods Hit Texas, Oregon, Wyoming, Utah, Missouri …
• 2010 Disasters

Ocean Accumulated Significant Heat Content Since 1993

Just How Much Warmer?

Can you imagine the power required to light on 500 100-watt light bulbs for every person on the planet (assume a population of 6.7 billion people).

That’s an estimate of how much warmer the the upper layer of the world’s ocean has become in since 1993, which points to “a strong climate change signal,” according to a new study called Robust Warming of the Global Upper Ocean.

“We are seeing the global ocean store more heat than it gives off,” said John Lyman, an oceanographer at NOAA’s Joint Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, who led an international team of scientists that analyzed nine different estimates of heat content in the upper ocean from 1993 to 2008.

Current Sea Surface Temperatures

Source: SSEC/Wisc Uni. Click image to enlarge.

“The ocean is the biggest reservoir for heat in the climate system,” said Josh Willis, an oceanographer at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory and one of the scientists who contributed to the study. “So as the planet warms, we’re finding that 80 to 90 percent of the increased heat ends up in the ocean.”

Global sea level rise is a direct effect of ocean warming. As the ocean heats up the seawater expands taking up more space.  The expansion is responsible for about 30% to 50%   sea level rise globally, researchers say.

“Combining multiple estimates of heat in the upper ocean – from the surface to about 2,000 feet down – the team found a strong multi-year warming trend throughout the world’s ocean. According to measurements by an array of autonomous free-floating ocean floats called Argo as well as by earlier devices called expendable bathythermographs or XBTs that were dropped from ships to obtain temperature data, ocean heat content has increased over the last 16 years.” NOAA reported.

The data, however, is subject to some “uncertainties and some biases,” researchers note.

“The XBT data give us vital information about past changes in the ocean, but they are not as accurate as the more recent Argo data,” said Gregory Johnson, an oceanographer at NOAA’s Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory. “However, our analysis of these data gives us confidence that on average, the ocean has warmed over the past decade and a half, signaling a climate imbalance.”

“Data from the array of Argo floats­ – deployed by NOAA and other U.S. and international partners ­– greatly reduce the uncertainties in estimates of ocean heat content over the past several years, the team said. There are now more than 3,200 Argo floats distributed throughout the world’s ocean sending back information via satellite on temperature, salinity, currents and other ocean properties.” NOAA said.

Related Links:

• El Niño
• Verifiable Impacts of Climate Change (Part II)
• Verifiable Impacts of Climate Change Despite Dinosaurs

Links to Entries on Ocean Health:

• Ocean Deserts Source of GHG
• North Atlantic Ocean Garbage Patch
• Back from the “Great Pacific Garbage Patch”
• WILD FACTS SERIES: Our Oceans Are Dying!
• Southern Ocean already losing ability to absorb CO₂

• Oceans, Where Life Started, Are Dying – Part IV :  Researchers found evidence of corrosive water about 20 miles off the west coast of North America from Canada to Mexico.
• Human carbon emissions make oceans corrosive : ‘Carbon dioxide spewed by human activities has made ocean water so acidic that it is eating away at the shells and skeletons of starfish, coral, clams and other sea creatures …’
• The Eight Steps that Help Kill More of Our Fish : How Your Car’s Exhaust Emissions Helps Create Dead Zones and Kill Our Fish.
• Global warming could starve oceans of oxygen: study : Areas of the eastern Atlantic and Pacific Oceans with low amounts of dissolved oxygen have expanded in the past 50 years, apparently in line with rising temperatures.
• The Floating Toxic Garbage Island : A patch of garbage twice as large as the continental United States and dubbed the Great Pacific Garbage Patch floats in the middle of the Pacific Ocean in North Pacific Gyre.
• Oceans, Where Life Started, Are Dying – Part III : Tourism: The Most Destructive Human Activity After Warfare
• Oceans, Where Life Started, Are Dying – Part II : Major Problems: Fertilizer Runoff; Tourism; Coastal Developments [and Ocean Warming due to climate change]
• Oceans, Where Life Started, Are Dying – Part I : Our Oceans Are Now Dying!

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Serial No 1,743. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Landslides Leave 55 Dead or Missing in Tajikistan

Landslide and floods triggered by torrential rains kill at least 15, leave 40 missing, cause $100million damage

Torrential rains caused the Tebalei River to burst its banks resulting in widespread flooding and landslides, destroying 12 bridges, severely damaging at least 1,500 residential units in several districts of the southern Khatlon region. Many roads were destroyed by the floodwater, which also inundated fields and devastated 2,500 hectares of crop fields.

“Preliminary reports estimate the damage at over 100 million dollars. Russian servicemen from a Russian military base deployed in Tajikistan are rendering assistance in rescue operations.” Moscow Times reported.

US Govt Political Map of Tajikistan. Approximate location of the affected area is marked by Fire-Earth.

The causalities from flooding and mudslides in Tajikistan stands at 15 dead, with 40 people still missing, the republic’s Emergencies Ministry said in a statement.

Up to 100 people are believed to have been injured, and many others are reported on rooftops awaiting evacuation.

The area was devastated by a large quake measuring 8.0Mw, which struck on October 21, 1907 killing an estimated 12,000 people.

Related News:

Mudslides, floods in southern Tajikistan kill 16, 40 reported missing

Related Links:

• Southern U.S. Flooding Update
• Parking Lot Vanishes Under Landslide
• Landslides Kill Dozens of People

• Landslides Kill Dozens of People
• FLOODING: Kentucky governor declares a state of emergency Posted on May 4, 2010
• 2010 Disaster Calender [May] Posted on May 1, 2010
• Landslide kills at least 10 in Kenya

• Landslide News
• Landslide and sinkhole close part of U.S. 64
• Taiwan Massive Landslide Buries 6-Lane Freeway
• Mudslide Buries Chemical Factory in China

• Super-destructive events may strike anytime
• Extreme Rain Events, Floods, Mudslides 2010
• 2010 Likely the Most Disastrous Year on Record: FEWW
• 2010: Year One of Human-Enhanced Disasters

• 2010 Disasters
• 2010 Disaster Calender [May]
• Landslides

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Serial No 1,694. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Parking Lot Vanishes Under Landslide

Image of the Day:

The Vanishing Parking Lot: Now You Don’t See it!

Part of the parking lot at Scott Towne Center has given way, causing a landslide that is covering one lane of Greentree Road below in Scott. James Knox/Pittsburgh Tribune-Review. Image may be subject to copyright.

A landslide continues to consume parts of the shopping plaza’s parking lot at Scott Towne Center, in Scott Township, Pennsylvania. “The road, which about 22,000 vehicles use daily, is reduced to one lane in each direction, but PennDOT is assessing the situation to determine whether the road must be closed altogether, PennDOT spokesman Jim Struzzi said today.” More…

Related Links:

• Landslides Kill Dozens of People
• FLOODING: Kentucky governor declares a state of emergency Posted on May 4, 2010
• 2010 Disaster Calender [May] Posted on May 1, 2010
• Landslide kills at least 10 in Kenya

• Landslide News
• Landslide and sinkhole close part of U.S. 64
• Taiwan Massive Landslide Buries 6-Lane Freeway
• Mudslide Buries Chemical Factory in China

• Super-destructive events may strike anytime
• Extreme Rain Events, Floods, Mudslides 2010
• 2010 Likely the Most Disastrous Year on Record: FEWW
• 2010: Year One of Human-Enhanced Disasters

• 2010 Disasters
• 2010 Disaster Calender [May]
• Landslides

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Serial No 1,684. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Image of the Day: Tartagal Landslide

12 missing, 1,000 evacuated

Flooding caused by heavy rains triggered landslides in the town of Tartagal in the province of Salta, Argentina, submerging many homes in up to 1.5 meters (5 feet) of mud, February 10, 2009.

People walk on a bridge destroyed by a landslide in the northern Argentine city of Tartagal February 10, 2009. Hundreds were evacuated yesterday after rains flooded the main river through the city and a massive mudslide swept away a railroad bridge and homes. Government officials visiting the disaster area said that at least eight people are still missing. REUTERS/Ramon Taboada. Image may be subject to copyright.