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Archive for the ‘cyclone’ Category

TC ATU Moving to a Cold Graveyard

Posted by feww on February 23, 2011

ATU to Live One More Day as a Cyclone

TC ATU Details at 12:32UTC on February 23, 2011

  • Position: Near 29.8ºS, 177.6ºE
  • Location: 900km NNE of Auckland, New Zealand
  • Forward Speed: ~ 40kmph
  • Movement: 135 degrees
  • Max sustained winds: ~ 120kmph
  • Max wind gusts: ~ 130kmph
  • Max significant wave height: ~ 10m
  • Estimated by FIRE-EARTH

“[TC ATU] is currently undergoing extra-tropical transition (ET) and is expected to complete ET by [February 24 at 06:00UTC] as it continues to accelerate along the southwestern periphery of a subtropical steering ridge into the mid-latitude westerlies.” JTWC said.


Click image to enlarge.

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TC ATU

Posted by feww on February 20, 2011

ATU Strengthens to a Cat 2 Cyclone

TROPICAL CYCLONE ATU (TC 17P), was located about 830km west of NADI, FIJI, at 12:00UTC (position: near 17.2ºS 170.1ºE), moving ESE at about 7kmph.  ATU has sustained winds of about 170kmph, with wind gusts of up to 200kmph.

ATU could further intensify to a Cat. 3C Cyclone (see FIRE-EARTH New Hurricane Scale) in the next 48 hours.

[FIRE-EARTH estimates are based on data from JTWC and other sources.]


Cyclone ATU – IR Satellite Image (NHC Enhancement) Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Cyclone ATU – IR Satellite Image (BD Enhancement). Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Cyclone ATU
Projected Path – IR/VIS  Satellite Image. Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

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Super Typhoon Phet – Satellite Images

Posted by feww on June 3, 2010

Super Typhoon Phet Raging Over the Arabian Sea


Super Cyclone Phet, Visible Image (1-km res). Source: CIMSS – Click images to enlarge.


Super Cyclone Phet, projected path and Intensity. Source: CIMSS


Super Cyclone Phet, SSMIS Brightness Temperature (85GHz).
Source: CIMSS


Tropical Cyclone Phet approaches the coast of Oman.
MODIS on NASA’s Terra satellite captured this natural-color image on June 2, 2010. Source: NASA
E/O.

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Posted in cyclone, Cyclone images, Cyclone Phet satellite images, storm | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Dozens killed in South Asian Storm

Posted by feww on April 14, 2010

Powerful tropical storm pummels coasts of India’s West Bengal and Bangladesh, killing 100 people and destroying tens of thousands of homes.

Winds of 120 km/hr blew away the roofs of buildings, uprooted trees and cut off electricity and telephone lines, killing at least 100 people and injuring hundreds more.


Freeze frame from West Bengali TV showing damage to houses. Image may be subject to copyright.

The storm struck in the middle of a major heatwave in the region that has affected more than a third of India’s 29 states, leaving at least 47 people dead.

“The storm has left a trail of destruction everywhere,” West Bengal minister of state for civil defense Srikumar Mukherjee said on a televised appearance.

Some 50,000 houses had collapsed or were damaged, and hundreds of people received severe injuries, he said.

“Most of the victims were buried under the collapsed walls of their homes.” The minister added.

The officials described the storm as an extreme form of what is locally called a “nor’wester” – a weather system that develops over the Bay of Bengal during summer.

“The storm has damaged more than 11,000 mud, tin and concrete homes in Rangpur district alone – many of the houses were completely demolished. It was a huge storm and we are still assessing the damage,” AFP quoted Rangpur district administrator BM Enamul Haq as saying.

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Serial No 1,573. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by the authorities/Google in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Posted in 34397017, Bay of Bengal, cyclone, Rangpur district, West Bengal storm | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

TC ULUI: Mid-air refueling

Posted by feww on March 18, 2010

Image of the Day:

ULUI left its heart above 15ºS


Cyclone ULUI – Visible/IR Image. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Tropical Cyclone ULUI – Visible image – MTSAT 1R – Dated March 18, 2010 at 06:00UTC.   Source: Digital Typhoon.  Click image to enlarge.

How ULUI was born:

For additional images click on the following links:

ULUI History and Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, cyclone photos ului, Cyclone ULUI, storm, TC ULUI | Tagged: , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone ULUI: Enough Fuel to Land in Australia

Posted by feww on March 16, 2010

ULUI a Super Cyclone, Again

ULUI Has Refueled, Revving Up Toward Queensland, Australia

Super Cyclone ULUI is moving toward the coat of Queensland, eastern Australia, with maximum sustained winds of more than 250 km/hr (~ 135 kt) and wind gusts of up to 325 km/hr.

Depending on how far south of the coast it lands, the cyclone  could strike Queensland as a Category 1 to 3A hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale.


Visible/IR images of Super Cyclone ULUI (TC 20P) on its way to the coast of QLD, Australia. (Top to bottom: 8km, 4km and 2km resolution). Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Wind Shear.
Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Model Forecast Tracks.
Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

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Posted in cyclone, Cyclone ULUI QLD, storm, tropical cyclone, ULUI Australia | Tagged: , , | 11 Comments »

Cyclones TOMAS and ULUI – UPDATE Mar 16

Posted by feww on March 16, 2010

TOMAS a Cat 4A Storm on FEWW Scale

TOMAS Wobbled Toward Main Fiji Islands, Then Moved South

As the cyclone went past Vanua Levu, Fiji’s second largest Island, it wobbled toward the main islands; however, you couldn’t see what exactly happened because the high res satellite images were withdrawn from various sites.

Having checked the continuous loop images earlier, the moderators  noticed that up to 3 original frames in the MTSAT image loops appeared to be “gap fillers.”

Latest satellite image of TOMAS, as of posting:

Back in FIJI …

The Government of FIJI has just declared a State of Disaster for the Northern and Eastern divisions of Fiji.

The declaration was made by Fiji’s National Disaster Council due to “the serious situation that had resulted in Tropical Cyclone Tomas’ wake in the North.” Fiji Times reported.

Officials said “The same situation as the North is likely to be repeated in the Eastern Division.” The Eastern division is made up of the Lomaiviti and Lau groups of islands.
Fiji’s “Northern division” consists of Vanua Levu, Fiji’s second largest island, Taveuni and dozens of smaller islands including Cikobia, Fiji Times said.

More than 17,000 people fled their homes in Western division, the report said.

“The National Disaster Council has declared a state of disaster in the northern division and eastern division,” National Disaster Management Office operations officer Anthony Blake said.

The Council is particularly concerned about the islands of Cikobia and Qelelevu because they have not heard anything from them since the cyclone struck there about 36 hours  earlier.

At least 50 properties had been destroyed, as of posting, reports said. However, the extent of destruction and damage is bound to be much greater given the force of TOMAS and vulnerability of Fiji islands to storms.

“On Gau island to the east of Viti Levu, Lamiti village head teacher Solomone Rasiga told Fiji commercial radio the villagers sheltered overnight from fierce winds and heavy rain.” AFP reported.

“The wind is very strong, there is a lot of damage to crops,” he said.

Tropical Cyclone Tomas (TC 19P) – Summary of Details on March 16 at 00:01UTC

  • Position:  18.2S 179.9W
  • Max Sustained Winds :  210km/hr (~ 115 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: ~ 260km/hr ( 140 kts)
  • Movement: South
  • Forward Speed:  9km/hr (~ 05 kts)
  • Location: 315km  (170 NM) EAST-NORTHEAST of NADI, FIJI
  • Comment: TOMAS is a Category 4A hurricane on the  FEWW New Hurricane Scale. The cyclone has good radial outflow and is experiencing low vertical wind shear. It is  expected to start weakening in about 48 hours, becoming fully extratropical in 72 hours, as it experiences lower ocean heat content and higher vertical wind shear.
  • Maximum significant wave height: 9m (27 feet)
  • Sources: JTWC, CIMSS and others.


Cyclone TOMAS Projected Track. Source: JTWC. Click image to enlarge.

Cyclone ULUI  (TC 20P) Details on March 16 at 00:01UTC

  • Position: 13.3S 157.8E
  • Max Sustained Winds:  232 km/hr (~ 125 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: 290km/hr (~ 155 kts)
  • Movement:  West
  • Forward Speed:  ~ 7 km/hr ( 4 kts)
  • Location: About 1,710km (925 NM) NNE of Brisbane, Australia
  • Maximum significant wave height: 12m (36 feet)
  • Sources: JTWC, CIMSS and others.
  • Comment: ULUI is expected to start dissipating over water after about 72  hours due to increasing vertical wind shear and decreasing ocean heat content. The cyclone is  a Category 4B hurricane on the  FEWW New Hurricane Scale.


Cyclone ULUI Projected Track. Source: JTWC. Click image to enlarge.

MTSAT (NOAA) images from NOAA– Click images to enlarge and animate.


MTSAT – IR Image


MTSAT – Colorized IR Image


MTSAT – Visible Image

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone TOMAS, hurricane, ocean heat content, storm | Tagged: , , , , | 12 Comments »

Tropical Cyclones Now Come in Pairs

Posted by feww on March 12, 2010

Tropical Cyclones 19P and 20P

Two Active Tropical Cyclones Roam the South Pacific, a Third System May Form Soon (probability in 48 hours ≥ 50 percent—Fire Earth Forecast)


MTSAT-1R image showing the locations of TC 20P and TC 19P in the South Pacific ocean.  Click Image to update.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently Over Espiritu Santo,  Vanuatu

Forecast Details on March 12 at 06:00UTC
Position: 14.3S 165.6E
Max Sustaind Winds: 75km/hr (~ 40 kts)
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 270 degrees
Forward Speed: 9km/hr (~ 5 kts)
Location: Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.



Visible/IR images of TC 20P Close to Vanuatu. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently NW of Western Samoa


Visible/IR images of TC 19P NW of Western Samoa. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Details on March 12 at 03:00UTC

Position:  10.7S 177.4W
Max Sustained Winds:  ~ 70km/hr
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 260 degrees
Forward Speed:  ~ 12km/hr (07 kts)
Location: 890km  (485 NM) WNW of Pago-Pago
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , | 17 Comments »

Tropical Cyclone 18S Approaches Madagascar

Posted by feww on March 10, 2010

Tropical Cyclone Hubert (18 S) Sauntering Toward  Madagascar


Tropical Cyclone Hubert  (TC 18S).
Visible/ IR Satellite Image. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Infrared image from NASA’s Atmospheric Infrared Sounder, AIRS instrument on NASA’s Aqua satellite shows the high cold clouds (blue), which are starting to band, or wrap around the cyclone’s center of circulation. (March 8 at 10:23UTC). Credit: NASA JPL

Summary of Details

  • Current Position: 20.3S 50.1E
  • Location: 340 km (~ 185 NM) ESE of Antananarivo, Madagascar
  • Movement: 270 degrees
  • Forward Speed: ~ 4 km/hr (2 kts)
  • Max Sustained Wind Speed: ~ 75 km/hr
  • Wind Gusts:  ~90 km/hr


Reunion Satellite  Image by Meteo France

Other Images:

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, storm, Tropical cyclone 18S, Tropical storm | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Storm GELANE – FINAL UPDATE (Feb 22)

Posted by feww on February 22, 2010

Tropical Depression GELANE Fading on the Way to Port Louis, Mauritius


Tropical Storm GELANE
IR Satellite Image (BD Enhancement).
Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 22 February 2010 –  01:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 20.0ºS, 59.5ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 305  degrees
  • Forward speed:  15 km/hr ( 8 kt)
  • The system has been tracking  NORTHWESTWARD.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 55 km/hr (~ 30 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 75 km/hr (~ 40kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Tropical Depression on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 4.3m (13 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about 205 km North-Northeast (85 degrees) of  Port Louis, Mauritius.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, GELANE, hurricane, storm, TC 16S | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Tropical Storm GELANE – UPDATE 4 (Feb 21)

Posted by feww on February 21, 2010

GELANE Out of Steam Much Sooner than Expected

Tropical Storm GELANE weakened rapidly and is now expected to dissipate as a significant storm up to 36 hours sooner than previously forecast (within the next 48 hours).


Tropical Storm GELANE
Visible/IR Satellite Image.
Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 20 February 2010 –  03:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 21.5ºS, 61.5ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 190  degrees
  • Forward speed:  13 km/hr ( 7 kt)
  • The system has been tracking  SSW.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 113 km/hr (61.0 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 140 km/hr (~ 75kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Tropical Storm on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 7m (21 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about ~ 625 km EAST (97 degrees) of  Saint-Denis, Réunion, and about 435 km EAST (110 degrees) of  Port Louis, Mauritius.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, GELANE, hurricane, storm, TC 16S | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Cyclone GELANE – UPDATE 3 (Feb 20)

Posted by feww on February 20, 2010

GELANE Still a Major Hurricane, May Turn Deadly

Tropical Cyclone GELANE, having reached sustained wind speeds of  about 235 km/hr, is now a Cat. 4A Hurricane force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale with sustained winds of about 218 km/he (117.5 kt) and wind gusts of up to 260 km/hr (140 kt).

The Cyclone could track west moving toward Madagascar with the islands of Mauritius and  Réunion still in crosshairs.


Cyclone GELANE Visible/IR Satellite Image. Source: UW-CIMSS.  Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 20 February 2010 –  01:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 18.5ºS, 61.5ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 200  degrees
  • Forward speed:  13 km/hr ( 7 kt)
  • The system has been tracking  SSW.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 218 km/hr (117.5 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 260 km/hr (~ 140kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 4A Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 10m (30 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about ~ 685km (~ 370 NM) NORTHEAST (246.3 degrees) of  Saint-Denis, Réunion, and about 455 km EAST-NORTHEAST (245.5 degrees) of  Port Louis, Mauritius.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal


GELANE Satellite Image – Meto France.


The MODIS instrument on NASA’s Aqua satellite caught an impressive visible image of Gelane on February 19 at 09:45 UTC (4:45 a.m. ET) that clearly showed the eye of this Category 4 cyclone. Credit: NASA MODIS Rapid Response Team. Click Image to Enlarge!


The AIRS instrument on NASA’s Aqua satellite captured Gelane on Feb. 19 at 4:41 a.m. ET (09:41UTC). Even Gelane’s eye is visible in this infrared image, and it’s surrounded by very high, powerful thunderstorms with cloud tops as cold as -63F. Credit: NASA/JPL, Ed Olsen. Click Image to Enlarge!

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Posted in cyclone, GELANE, hurricane, storm, TC 16S | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »

Cyclone GELANE UPDATE 2 (Feb 19)

Posted by feww on February 19, 2010

TC GELANE Strengthens to a Category 3A Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

With sustained winds of about 190 km/hr (gusts of up to 235 km/hr), Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) is now a Category 3A Hurricane on  FEWW New Hurricane Scale. Fire-Earth believes the cyclone would reach Category 4A strength, possibly stronger, as forecast yesterday.

The system is expected to continue intensifying during the next 36 hours. The coral reef island of Rodrigues should expect heavy rain as the cyclone moves closer.


Cyclone GELANE. Water Vapor satellite images. Source: UW-CIMSS.  Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 19 February 2010 –  01:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 16.3ºS, 62.5ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 180  degrees
  • Forward speed:  9 km/hr ( 5 kt)
  • The system has been tracking  SOUTH over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds:  190km/hr (102 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 235 km/hr (~ 125kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 3A Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 9m (27 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about ~ 885 km (~ 475 NM) NE of Réunion island.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

|
GELANE through the eye of TRMM.
Credit: NASA/SSAI

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone GELANE, Indian Ocean, storm, TC 16S | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments »

Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) UPDATE 1 (Feb 18)

Posted by feww on February 18, 2010

TC GELANE Strengthens to a Category 2B Hurricane on  FEWW New Hurricane Scale

With sustained winds of about 170 km/hr, Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) is now a Category 2B Hurricane on  FEWW New Hurricane Scale. Fire-Earth forecasts the cyclone to reach Category 4A strength, possibly stronger, within the next 36 hours.


Cyclone GELANE.
IR satellite images (NHC Enhancement). 4km resolution. Source: UW-CIMSS.  Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 18 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.3ºS, 61.6ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 150  degrees
  • Forward speed:  11 km/hr ( 6 kt)
  • The Cyclone has been tracking  SOUTH-SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds:  170km/hr (92 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 205 km/hr (~ 110 kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 2B Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8m (24 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about 970 km (~ 525 NM) NE of Réunion island.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone GELANE, storm, TC 16S, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments »

Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S)

Posted by feww on February 17, 2010

Images of the Day: Cyclone GELANE

Powerful, awe-inspiring [scary] storm headed toward Mauritius and Réunion



Cyclone GELANE. Visible-IR satellite images. Source: UW-CIMSS. [From Top: 2km, 4km and 8km resolutions.] Click images to enlarge.


Cyclone GELANE. IR satellite images. Source: JTWC. Date and time: Feb 16, at 23:30UTC. Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 17 February 2010 –  15:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.4ºS, 61.9ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 150  degrees
  • Forward speed:  15 km/hr ( 8 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds:  150km/hr (80 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  185 km/hr ( 100 kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 1 Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6.6m (20 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about 1,020 km (~ 550 NM) NE of Réunion island.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone GELANE, storm, TC 16S, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , | 7 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) FINAL Update (17 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 17, 2010

TC RENE Wreaked Havoc on Tongatapu Island as Forecast

Tongan capital of  Nuku’Alofa was left battered, though it could have been much worse had RENE not weakened before the assault. There were no reported injury or fatality as of posting.


Tropical Cyclone RENE.
Sat image JTWC/SATOP. Date/Time: 16 feb 2010 at 17:30UTC – Click image to enlarge.

Background:

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 17 February 2010 –  00:30 UTC
  • Position:  Near 26.5ºS, 177ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 225  degrees
  • Forward speed: ~ 25 km/hr (~ 14 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 65km/hr (~ 35 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 80 km/hr (~ 45 kt)
  • RENE is expected to dissipate as a TC over open water in the next 12 hours.

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 5m (15 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 1,200 km (~ 650 NM) NNE of Auckland, New Zealand
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Pacific Ocean, storm, storm rene, Tropical Cyclone RENE | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

TC RENE (TC 15P) Update 6 (16 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 16, 2010

Cyclone RENE still strong, but won’t last long!

Unfavorable environmental conditions, especially cooler sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content, will bring an end to RENE as a tropical cyclone over open water in the next 24 to 36 hours.


Tropical Cyclone RENE – GOES  IR Satellite image (JSL2 enhancement) – Source: NOAA. Click image to enlarge.

Background:

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 16 February 2010 –  01:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 24ºS, 177ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 225  degrees
  • Forward speed: 24 km/hr (~ 13 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 120km (~ 60 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 150 km/hr (~ 110 kt)
  • RENE is now a Cat. 1 Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale.
  • Unfavorable environmental conditions, especially cooler sea surface temperatures and ocean heat content will bring an end to RENE as a tropical cyclone over open water in the next 24 to 36 hours.

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8m (24 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 780 km (~ 420 NM) Southeast of  NADI, FIJI.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Pacific Ocean, storm, storm rene, Tropical Cyclone RENE | Tagged: , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 5 (15 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 15, 2010

Cyclone RENE Continues to Pummel Tonga Islands

Having killed at least one person, leaving behind a trail of destruction in the American Samoa (despite false media reports to the contrary), Cyclone RENE  continues to lash the island groups of Tonga with wind gusts of 200 km/hr and heavy rain.

According to two different reports, the roofs are being torn off building, trees ripped out of the ground, with power and communication lines cut off on the Vava’u and Ha’apai island groups.

RENE is now headed toward the Tongan capital of  Nuku’Alofa on the main island of Tongatapu.


Tropical Cyclone RENE – IR-WV Difference Satellite Image – Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Map of Tonga Island Groups. Source: USGovt. Click image to enlarge.

Background:

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 15 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 19.6ºS, 174.4ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 245  degrees
  • Forward speed: 19 km/hr (~ 10 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 165km (~ 90 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 205 km/hr (~ 110 kt)
  • RENE is now a Cat 2B Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale.
  • The cyclone is expected to begin losing its intensity sharply within the next 24 hours due to cooler sea surface temperatures and high vertical wind shear.

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 9m (27 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 880 km (~ 475 NM) Southeast of  NADI, FIJI.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 4 (14 Feb)

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, NUKUALOFA, storm, Tongatapu | Tagged: , , , | 2 Comments »

Cyclone RENE Update 3 (13 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 13, 2010

RENE Heading West

Tropical Cyclone RENE has slowed down and consolidated; it’s intensifying and pummeling American Samoa as it heads west.

Background:


Tropical Cyclone RENE – IR-WV Difference Satellite Image – Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.


Tropical Cyclone RENE – NOAA GOES JSL2 IR CH4 Satellite Image- Date as inset. Click image to enlarge. Click here for the most recent update.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 12 February 2010 –  13:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.3ºS, 169.8ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 280 degrees
  • Forward speed: 10 km/hr (~ 6 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  WEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 157 km (~ 85 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 195 km/hr (~ 105 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 9m (26 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 120 km (~ 70 NM) ENE of Pago-Pago
  • Rene could intensify to a Cat 2B Hurricane [probability of 65 percent] possibly a Cat 3A Hurricane [probability of 45 percent] within the next 72 hours.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Recent Disasters in Samoa Islands Region

In September 2009, the Samoa tsunami killed more than 200 people in the Samoan islands and Tonga, destroying dozens of villages.

In January 2004, Cyclone Heta struck Samoa Islands and American Samoa, destroying or damaging more than 4,500 homes in American Samoa. Heta also  destroyed 90 percent of the crops in the region.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, storm, Tropical Cyclone RENE | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 2 (13 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 13, 2010

RENE Hovering Near PAGO-PAGO

Cyclone RENE continues to intensify, seemingly intent on wreaking havoc in the S Pacific island groups

In fact, based on the available information, there’s little to prevent the cyclone [turning around] tracking west, and targeting Samoa Islands, despite the forecast paths.


Cyclone Rene.
NOAA GOES AVNCOLOR Enhancement IR Satellite image. Click image to enlarge.  Click HERE or the Latest Image.  See Enhanced Image.


Political Map of American Samoa and Samoa Islands. Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 13 February 2010  at  03:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.5ºS, 169.5ºW

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 130km (~ 70 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 160 km/hr (~ 85 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8.5m (25 ft)
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 1 (12 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 12, 2010

Slow Forward Motion May Help RENE to Strengthen


Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) – Water Vapor Satellite Image. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click Image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 12 February 2010 –  01:30 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.0ºS, 166.0ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 215  degrees
  • Forward speed: 9 km/hr (~ 5 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTH over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 110km (~ 60 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 140 km/hr (~ 75 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6m (18 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 500 km (~ 270 NM) ENE of Pago-Pago
  • Rene could intensify to a Cat 2B Hurricane [probability of 65 percent] possibly a Cat 3A Hurricane [probability of 45 percent] within the next 72 hours, depending on its forward motion speed.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

South Pacific and North America are two places to avoid right now!

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Introducing Tropical Cyclone Fifteen

Posted by feww on February 11, 2010

Tropical Cyclone Fifteen (TC 15 P) is now the second active system in the South Pacific

FIFTEEN shows early signs it could develop into a major cyclone (hurricane)in the next 48 to 60 hours


Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN. IR Satellite Image.
Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Cyclone FIFTEEN Details

  • Date/Time: 11 February 2010 –  06:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 12.2ºS, 167.1ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 75  degrees
  • Forward speed: 13 km/hr (~ 7 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone FIFTEEN has been tracking  ENE over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 75km (40 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 95 km/hr (~ 50 kt)
  • FIFTEEN is currently an active Tropical Cyclone

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 3.3m (10 ft)
  • Location: FIFTEEN was located about 425 km (~ 230 NM) NNE of Pago-Pago
  • The system is expected to make a sharp turn heading in the WSW  direction (225 degrees) within the next 12 hours, JTWC said.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite Imagery ================
Cyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)
Visible  Image – Java – Flash
IR AVN  Image – Java – Flash
IR Shortwave  Image – Java – Flash
IR Dvorak*  Image – Java – Flash
IR Unenhanced  Image – Java – Flash
IR JSL  Image – Java – Flash
IR RGB  Image – Java – Flash
IR Funktop  Image – Java – Flash
IR Rainbow  Image – Java – Flash
Water Vapor  Image – Java – Flash

Posted in cyclone, cyclone fifteen, hurricane, pago-pago, storm | Tagged: , , , , | 7 Comments »

Cyclone PAT (TC 14P) Update 2 (10 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 10, 2010

Cyclone PAT Has Intensified to a Cat 3A Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale


Cyclone PAT (TC14P) IR NHC Enhancement Satellite image. Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

TC PAT Details

  • Time/Date: 10 February 2010 –  09:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 18.6ºS, 159.8ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 200  degrees (?)
  • Forward speed: 15 km/hr (~ 8 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone PAT has been tracking  SSW over the past 6 hours. (?)
  • The system has developed a 20-km eye.
  • The system is expected to reach a peak intensity of about 185 km/h (~ 100 kt).

Cyclone PAT could cause severe damage to the island of Rarotonga, even if it remains within its current forecast track.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 180 km (~ 97 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 220 km/hr (~ 120 kt)
  • Cyclone PAT is currently a Category 3A  Hurricane

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6m (18 ft) (?)
  • Location: PAT was located about 285 km (~ 155 NM) north of Rarotonga
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others


Cyclone PAT forecast track.
Source: JTWC.
Click image to enlarge.


Cyclone PAT – V/IR Satellite image. Click image to enter CIMSS Portal.


Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS (MIMIC) Version 1. Click images to enlarge.



Morphed Integrated Microwave Imagery at CIMSS, with Infrared (MIMIC-IR) Version 1

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, storm | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Cyclone PAT (TC 14P) Update 1 (10 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 10, 2010

Where Shall I Go Next? Avarua is on the Way!

Cyclone PAT Tracks South on Open Waters, For Now


Tropical Cyclone PAT – IR NHC Enhanced Satellite Image. Source: CIMSS – Date/time – Feb 10, 2010 at 00:01UTC. Click image to enter CIMSS portal.

TC PAT Details

  • Time/Date: 10 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 16.9ºS, 159.1ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 190  degrees
  • Forward speed: 13 km/hr (~ 7 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone PAT has been tracking  southward over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 143 km (~ 77 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 167 km/hr (~ 90 kt)
  • Cyclone PAT is currently a Category 1 Hurricane

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 5.7m (17 ft)
  • Location: PAT was located about 510 km (~ 275 NM) north of Rarotonga
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Pacific Ocean, South Pacific, Tropical cyclone 14P, Tropical Cyclone PAT | Tagged: , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Hurricane OLI Update 3 – February 5

Posted by feww on February 5, 2010

TC Oli Hits French Polynesia

Tropical Cyclone OLI (P12) Strengthens to a Cat 4B Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Background:

Oli Strikes

OLI struck French Polynesia a few hours ago.  On the main island of Tahiti, hundreds of people abandoned their homes to escape the full wrath of the strengthening cyclone.  Roads harbors and airports were closed throughout the popular holiday island resorts, according to various reports.

Hurricane OLI Details

  • Time/Date: 5 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 20.4ºS, 151.4ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 155  degrees
  • Forward speed: 22 km/hr (~ 12 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone OLI has been tracking South-Southeast over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 227 Km (122.4 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 280km/hr (~ 150 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: 8.5 m (26 ft)
  • Location: OLI was located about about 350 km (~ 190 NM) SW of Tahiti
  • Sources: CIMSS and Others


Cat 4B Hurricane OLI – Visible IR image. Date as inset. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enter CIMSS Tropical Cyclone portal.

Related Links:


Posted in cyclone, Cyclone OLI, hurricane, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »