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Archive for the ‘earhquake forecast’ Category

Significant Quake Strikes Near SLC, UTAH

Posted by feww on June 12, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
HEIGHTENED GLOBAL SEISMICITY
SCENARIOS 08, 07
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Earthquake Strikes in the Intermountain Seismic Belt (ISB)

Centered at 40.891°N, 111.683°W the quake struck at a depth of about 11.9km.

EQ Location Map

ISB quake 12june14
Source: USGS/EHP

EQ Details

Magnitude: 3.3Mw
Event Time: 2014-06-12 04:34:04 UTC
Location: 40.891°N 111.683°W depth=11.9km (7.4mi)
Nearby Cities:

  • 16km (10mi) E of Centerville, Utah
  • 16km (10mi) E of Bountiful, Utah
  • 19km (12mi) ESE of Farmington, Utah
  • 19km (12mi) ENE of North Salt Lake, Utah
  • 22km (14mi) NE of Salt Lake City, Utah

UTAH – Earthquake History – USGS/EHP

On March 12, 1934, at 8:06 a.m., an earthquake of intensity VIII originating near Kosmo, on the north shore of Great Salt Lake, affected an area of about 440,000 square kilometers, including much of northern Utah and parts of Idaho, Montana, Nevada, and Wyoming. This tremor, which measured magnitude 6.6, could have caused great damage in a densely populated area. Because of the sparse settlement in the region there was very little damage – mostly demolished chimneys and cracked walls in poorly constructed buildings. Two deaths, however, were attributed to the shock. The outstanding feature of the earthquake, related to the Hansel Valley fault, was the emission of large quantities of water from fissures and craterlets. Considerable faulting occurred in the epicentral region. Precise leveling revealed that areas sank to depths up to 390 millimeters. The onset of the shock was abrupt. There were no foreshocks, but aftershocks continued for 2 days; only one, at 11:20 a.m. on the same day, was outstanding (magnitude 6.0). There was moderate damage over a broad area, including Salt Lake City, where plaster fell. All chimneys fell in Kosmo and Monument; fissures, holes, cracks, and springs appeared in connection with a belt of fractures at least 8 kilometers long. The second shock was slightly less severe than the main tremor. Intensities for the aftershock are very unreliable because many observers tried to describe both earthquakes in a single report. Another strong aftershock (magnitude 5.5) affected an area of about 45,000 square kilometers in northern Utah and southern Idaho on May 6. It was reported to be strongest in Salt Lake City and Preston, Idaho, where the intensity reached VI.


IMPORTANT NOTICE: FIRE-EARTH EQ Forecast

The next detailed FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast will be released together with Bulletin NO. 106  on June 14, 2014.


 

Posted in earhquake forecast, earhquake hazard, Seismic Hazard | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 2

Posted by feww on April 3, 2014

WARNING: NEW EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
.

WARNING: MEGA EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [REV. 2]

FIRE-EARTH Models show a MEGA EARTHQUAKE could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the next three weeks. Some of the quake details have now been revised.

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST: Magnitude 9.4Mw could strike Peru-Chile Trench April 4 – 30, with a probability of 54%.

See below for revised details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 9.4Mw (Provisional )
Location: 22.7°S, 70.8°W (Provisional )
Depth: 22km (Provisional )
Date/Time: April 4 –  30, 2014 (Peak April 10)
Probability: 54% (provisional)

Tsunami Forecast

Large, destructive tsunami waves HIGHLY PROBABLE.

Initial forecast for the Mega Quake posted HERE.

CAUTION

1. FIRE-EARTH Models used for the above forecast are unique, proprietary tools owned by the blog’s science team. There are NO similar models anywhere on this planet. Any earthquake forecasts that go beyond the traditional “menstruation cycles” are “scholarly” forgeries,  plagiarizing our research.

2. The forecast is subject to change, or withdrawal.

3. See also DISCLAIMER posted HERE.

.

Previous FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

 


FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California and Japan seismicity.


 

Posted in earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake forecast, Earthquake probability, Global Disaster watch, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Disaster Declared for Chile Quake Zone

Posted by feww on April 2, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
LARGE EARTHQUAKE ALONG PERU-CHILE TRENCH
DISASTER DECLARED FOR EQ ZONE
.

Chile declares disaster zones after major earthquake

Chilean President has declared parts of northern Chile disaster areas after a large earthquake measuring 8.2Mw struck offshore about 95km NW of Iquique.

The quake struck off the northern coast of Chile late Tuesday, triggering tsunami waves of up to 2.1m that hit the coastal areas.

There have been reports of large landslides, fires, power cuts and prison escapes. The landslides reportedly blocked highways, hampering mass evacuation efforts.

Quake-related deaths stood at five, with more than 80,000 people displaced as of posting,  reported the interior ministry.

President Bachelet said she would visit Arica and Tarapaca regions on Wednesday, and would dispatch the military  to the disaster areas to prevent looting and disorder.

Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 8.2Mw
Location: 19.642°S, 70.817°W
Depth: 20.1km (12.5mi)
Date/Time: 2014-04-01 at 23:46:46 UTC
Nearby Cities: 95km (59mi) NW of Iquique, Chile

Aftershocks

Dozens of aftershocks, including at least 27 significant shocks measuring up to 6.2Mw have struck the area as of posting.

Chile afters 2apr14
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

Since march 16, hundreds of earthquakes have occurred along the Peru-Chile trench off the northern coast of Chile. A 6.7 magnitude quake struck the region on March 16, prompting the authorities to evacuate about 120,000 people in low-lying areas.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Tsunami Warning/ Watch/ Advisory

A TSUNAMI ADVISORY CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR THE STATE OF HAWAII, according to NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI.

Related Links

Posted in earhquake forecast, earhquake hazard, earthquake forecast, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Enhanced Seismicity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench

Posted by feww on March 24, 2014

SEISMIC HAZARD
.

More aftershocks hit coastal N Chile

Most significant aftershocks to strike near Iquique, Chile in the past 24 hours include

  • M5.3 (19.744°S, 70.811°W) about 89km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-23  at 20:23:03UTC, at a depth of 23.4 km
  • M6.0 (19.905°S, 70.934°W) about 87km NW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-24 at 18:20:03 UTC, at a depth of 34.6 km

At least 9 other aftershocks measuring 4.4Mw or greater struck the area as of 2014-03-24 8:54:41 UTC.

peru-chile trench quake map 24-3-14
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile (March 17, 2014)

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

  • Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
  • Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
  • Depth: 30km
  • Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
  • Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
  • Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

See also

Posted in earhquake forecast, earhquake hazard, earthquake, earthquake forecast, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Christchurch Could Vanish from Google Map

Posted by feww on February 23, 2011

SPECIFIC  WARNING to New Zealand

Large-scale tectonic and geophysical  activities could wipe off Christchurch and other NZ cities from the face of the Earth

In  A Warning to Visitors to New Zealand FIRE-EARTH asked Apartheid Fort New Zealand to post the following message dated May 9, 2009:

[NOTE: The posts linked to above have also been buried by NZ govt and the Internet mafia.]

Climatological and Geological Warning!

The New Zealand region is about to experience significant climatological events and large-scale geological and tectonic activity. Would be visitors are advised to stay out of the area for the foreseeable future.

On July 16, 2009 FIRE-EARTH posted Global Travel Warning!

Global Travel Warning!

Posted by feww on July 16, 2009

STAY OUT OF NEW ZEALAND!

The following WARNING was first posted on MAY 9, 2009 at NewZeelend Blog. FEWW is re-posting the WARNING with renewed urgency:

Seismic, Volcanic and Climatological Warning!

The New Zealand region is undergoing large-scale tectonic [seismological and volcanic] activities and significant climatological events. Would be visitors are well advised to stay clear of the area for the foreseeable future.

Here’s a New, SPECIFIC WARNING to New Zealand

FIRE-EARTH believes large earthquakes could destroy Christchurch and several other cities in New Zealand. The bulk of Christchurch could literally vanish as a result of ensuing geophysical activity, possibly by as early as 2015.

In the Short Term

  • More powerful shocks could strike Christchurch [also Auckland, Wellington and elsewhere in New Zealand] anytime.
  • Large scale volcanic activity in the country could occur this year [high probability.]
  • FIRE-EARTH has identified a number of potential seismic ‘Ground Zeros,’ areas prone to devastation, in the New Zealand Region, some of which coincide with population centers.

New Zealand government has a moral responsibility [we won’t hold our breath] and a  legal duty to relocate New Zealanders from the DANGER ZONES. [Would you trust a government which hides earthquake warnings from its people?]

FIRE-EARTH advice to Christchurch residents:

Get out while you’re still alive!

Related Links:

Posted in 2011 earthquakes, climate triggered earthquakes, earhquake forecast, earthquake, new zealand disasters | Tagged: , , , , | 9 Comments »

Indonesia Earthquake Warning

Posted by feww on August 6, 2010

Large Earthquake Could Strike Banda Sea, Indonesia

Fire-Earth’s EarthModel simulations show a large earthquake could strike Banda Sea, Indonesia possibly close to the west coast of Irian Jaya Barat.

Related Links:

Posted in Aru Basin, earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake 2010, earthquake forecast | Tagged: , , , , | 2 Comments »

M6.3 Earthquake Strikes Kuril Islands

Posted by feww on June 18, 2010

Strong Quake Measuring M6.3 Strikes Kuril Islands Region East of Japan’s Disputed Island of Iturup (Etorofu-tō)

Fire-Earth Comments: This earthquake may have primed for eruption one or more of the volcanoes on the Iturup (Etorofu-tō) island.

Earthquake Details (JMA):

  • Magnitude: 6.3
  • Time and Date:  11:23 JST 18 Jun 2010 – (02:23UTC)
  • Location: 44.0N, 149.5E
  • Depth: 10km
  • Region: Etorofuto Nanto-oki

Distances (USGS/EHP)

  • 100 km (60 miles) SE of Kuril’sk, Kuril Islands
  • 385 km (240 miles) ENE of Kushiro, Hokkaido, Japan
  • 475 km (295 miles) ENE of Obihiro, Hokkaido, Japan
  • 7170 km (4450 miles) NE of MOSCOW, Russia

Related Links:

Other Links:

Posted in earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake 2010, Japan, japan earthquake, Japan earthquake foecast | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Seismic Cluster Strikes Offshore Oregon

Posted by feww on May 8, 2010

Larger Shocks May Occur

Cluster of at least 9 shocks strike offshore Oregon

Earthquake measuring about 5.4Mw struck the offshore Oregon about 500km west of Eugene on Friday, May 07, 2010 at 17:46:15UTC.

Epicenter of the earthquake was located near 44.396°N, 129.437°W and occurred at a depth of  10 km (6.2 miles). The initial shock was followed by at least 8 other events [aftershocks] measuring a mean magnitude of about 4.4Mw.

Center of the cluster was about 1,000km (600 miles) south of  a magnitude 8.1 shock that occurred on the Queen Charlotte Fault off Queen Charlotte Island on August 22, 1949. That event was Canada’s largest earthquake since 1700.

10-degree Map Centered at 45°N,130°W


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by Fire-Earth.

Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude [USGS Estimate]: 5.1 [Fire Earth Estimate: 5.4, or greater]
  • Date-Time:
    • Friday, May 07, 2010 at 17:46:15 UTC
    • Friday, May 07, 2010 at 08:46:15 AM at epicenter
  • Location: 44.396°N, 129.437°W
  • Depth: 10 km (6.2 miles)
  • Region: OFF THE COAST OF OREGON
  • Distances:
    • 424 km (263 miles) W (273°) from Yachats, OR
    • 427 km (265 miles) W (271°) from Waldport, OR
    • 427 km (265 miles) WNW (288°) from Barview, OR
    • 505 km (314 miles) W (276°) from Eugene, OR
    • 549 km (341 miles) W (259°) from Portland, OR
  • Location Uncertainty: horizontal +/- 6 km (3.7 miles)
  • Source: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: us2010vzbx


Cascadia Subduction Zone


Cascadia Subduction Zone. Source: USGS

Related Links:

[* Reference Only. Research suspended see: Calif Earthquake Forecast – Update 4]

Serial No 1,692. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Posted in earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake 2010, Earthquake cluster, environment | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Strong Earthquake Strikes Southern Sumatra

Posted by feww on May 6, 2010

M6.5 Earthquake Strikes Southwest of Sumatra, Indonesia

The strong shock was centered at 4.063°S, 101.085°E and occurred at an estimated depth of about 27km on Wednesday, May 05, 2010 at 16:29:03 UTC, USGS/EHP said.

The earthquake epicenter was located about 50km (31 miles) NNW of a large 8.5Mw quake which struck on September 12, 2007 at a depth of about 34km (21miles) killing at least 25 people.

Tsunami Status

The Pacific Tsunami Center ruled out the possibility of a destructive widespread tsunami as a result of this quake, but did not rule out “a very small possibility of a local tsunami” that may affect the local coasts within a radius of about 100km from the quake’s epicenter.

Fire-Earth Forecast:

Fire-Earth Forecasts large scale volcanic activity in and around Sumatra Region in 2010 and beyond.

10-degree Map Centered at 5°S,100°E


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Map enhanced by Fire-Earth.


Earthquake Details

  • Magnitude: 6.5
  • Date-Time:
    • Wednesday, May 05, 2010 at 16:29:03 UTC
    • Wednesday, May 05, 2010 at 11:29:03 PM at epicenter
  • Location: 4.063°S, 101.085°E
  • Depth: 27 km (16.8 miles)
  • Region: SOUTHERN SUMATRA, INDONESIA
  • Distances:
    • 135 km (85 miles) WSW of Bengkulu, Sumatra, Indonesia
    • 215 km (135 miles) WSW of Lubuklinggau, Sumatra, Indonesia
    • 355 km (220 miles) SSE of Padang, Sumatra, Indonesia
    • 680 km (420 miles) WNW of JAKARTA, Java, Indonesia
  • Location Uncertainty:  horizontal +/- 5.3 km (3.3 miles)
  • Source:  USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
  • Event ID: us2010vxbk

Related Links:

Serial No 1,677. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

    Posted in earhquake forecast, earthquake, earthquake 2010, Indonesia quake, sumatra quake, Sumatra Volcanoes | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

    M6.2 Quake Strikes Izu Islands, Japan Region

    Posted by feww on May 3, 2010

    More Shocks Could Strike Japan Region

    Strong Earthquake Measuring up to 6.2Mw Strikes Izu Islands, Japan Region

    The quake, centered at 29.8N, 141.6E,  struck Torishima Kinkai region at a depth of about 50km on Monday, 03 May 2010 19:28 JST (10:28UTC), Japan’s Meteorological Agency (JMA) reported.

    Tsunami Status

    JMA did NOT issue any tsunami warnings, advisory or watch, probably due to the fact that the shock occurred deep below the ocean surface.

    Approximate Distances (USGS/EHP)

    • 300 km (190 miles) NNW of Chichi-shima, Bonin Islands, Japan
    • 405 km (250 miles) SSE of Hachijo-jima, Izu Islands, Japan
    • 535 km (335 miles) N of Iwo Jima, Volcano Islands, Japan
    • 685 km (425 miles) S of TOKYO, Japan

    Fire-Earth Forecasts:

      1. More shocks, possibly stronger than this quake, could strike Japan Region as a result of a new wave of seismic activity in the region.

      2. Intense volcanic activity may occur in Japan Region in 2010.

      Fire-Earth’s Earlier Forecasts:

      Earthquake Details According to GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin
      Region: Southeast of Honshu, Japan
      Time: 2010-05-03 10:27:46.7 UTC
      Magnitude: 6.2
      Epicenter: 141.41°E, 29.69°N
      Depth: 107 km
      Status: manually revised

      © Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum – GFZ

      Related Links:

      Serial No 1,665. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

      Posted in earhquake forecast, Izu Islands quake, Seismic Hazard, seismic hazard warning, Torishima Kinkai | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

      Deadly Quake Strikes Indonesia – UPDATE

      Posted by feww on September 2, 2009

      Background:

      Deadly Earthquake Strikes Java, Indonesia

      UPDATE:

      • At least 40 people are killed by the powerful quake, with twice as many missing, feared dead.
      • Up to a thousand buildings have been destroyed or damaged.
      • About 350 people injured.
      • The worst hit areas are  Cianjur, about 100km south of the capital Jakarta, city of Tasikmalaya and the town of Sukabumi.


      A couple takes pictures of their damaged house after an earthquake in Pangalengan, West Java, September 3, 2009. REUTERS/Supri. Image may be subject to copyright.

      More Images: Reuters

      For future  updates, see comments sections.

      Related Links

      Posted in earhquake forecast, earhquakes, earthquake report, earthquake update, seismic activity report | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »