Fire Earth

Earth is fighting to stay alive. Mass dieoffs, triggered by anthropogenic assault and fallout of planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin anytime!

Archive for the ‘global heating’ Category

Wildfires Rage Across Australia

Posted by feww on February 13, 2013

Intensive thunderstorm ignites wildfires in Western Australia

An emergency warning remained in place in Western Australia’s South West as a dozen wildfires raged.

At least 130 personnel are battling an out of control fire in forest between Bridgetown and Nannup, which has consumed more than 1,700 hectares in less than 24 hours.

Australia experienced its hottest month on record in January 2013, with both the average mean temperature of 29.68°C and the average mean maximum temperature of 36.92°, topping previous records set in January 1932, Australian Bureau of Meteorology (ABOM) reported.

“The heatwave in the first half of January was exceptional in its extent and duration. The national average maximum temperature on 7 January was the highest on record. Numerous stations set records for the most days in succession above 40°C, including Alice Springs (17 days) and Birdsville (31 days).”

January heatwave set all-time record high temperatures in many locations including Sydney (45.8°C on 18 January) and Hobart (41.8°C on 4 January). The highest temperature recorded during the heatwave was at Moomba in South Australia (49.6°C on 12 January), ABOM reporetd.

Extreme Rain Events

Extreme rain events plagued coastal areas of Queensland and New South Wales as a low pressure system associated with ex-tropical cyclone Oswald tracked steadily south between 22 and 29 January.

“Many coastal areas from Sydney to Cape York received more than 200 mm of rainfall. The most extreme rainfalls were in the region between Rockhampton and Bundaberg, and in the ranges along the New South Wales – Queensland border region.” BOM reported.

Some 1,496 mm of rain fell in Upper Springbrook in the Gold Coast hinterland in eight days, and 1,426 mm in Boolaroo Tops, southwest of Gladstone.

Related Links

.

February 13, 2013 – DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,123 Days Left 

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,123 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the brief Human  History
  • The countdown began on May 15, 2011 …

GLOBAL WARNINGS

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, global heating, global Temperature Anomalies | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U-S Drought 2013: Fueled by Heat from Hell?

Posted by feww on January 31, 2013

More than 87 percent of US High Plains remains in severe drought or worse

FIRE-EARTH Forecast:  Persistent heatwaves and other factors disrupting the continental precipitation patterns could significantly intensify and spread the drought in the U.S. over the coming months.

[WARNING to ALL plagiarizers, intellectual property thieves, copycat bloggers and unscrupulous “weather experts”: Do NOT plug the above forecast into your climate models or work your way backwards to make additional deductions like before …]

  • More than 67 percent of the US Midwest, about 69 percent of the South and 70 percent of the Southeast were abnormally dry or in drought conditions (D0 – D4), as of January 29, 2013.
  • Drought conditions for the U-S, including Alaska, Hawaii and Puerto Rico:  68.87 percent in D0 to D4 (from 48.78% a year ago)
  • Conditions for the Contiguous U-S: 69.73 percent in D0 to D4 (from 58.20% a year ago. Source: National Drought Mitigation Center)

us drought - high plains - 29jan2013
U.S. Drought Monitor – High Plains – 29 January 2013.

us drought monitor - 29jan13
US Drought Map as of January 29, 2013.

Drought Links

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, global drought, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U.S. Drought 2013

Posted by feww on January 11, 2013

U.S. Drought Map for January 8, 2013

FEWW DROUGHT FORECAST: REMOVED BY A MODERATOR.

As of January 8, 2013 drought covered more than 60 percent of the contiguous U.S. and rendered a further 11.5 percent as ‘Abnormally Dry,’ according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

  • ‘Severe’ to ‘Exceptional’ drought levels plagued more than 86 percent of High Plains including
    • 100 percent of Nebraska
    • 100 percent of Kansas
    • Nearly 97 percent of South Dakota
    • More than 86 percent of Wyoming
    • Over 95 percent of Colorado
  • More than half of southern United States including the entire state of Oklahoma and about two-thirds of Texas were also experiencing ‘Severe’ to ‘Exceptional’ drought conditions.
  • At least 44 percent of the West, a third of the Midwest and a fifth of the Southeast also reported similar drought conditions.

u-s drought monitor - 8jan13
U.S. Drought Map for 8 January 2013, released by U.S. Drought Monitor on January 10, 2013.

Recent Drought Links

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, global drought, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Mutant Mosquito Swarms to Be Unleashed in Florida

Posted by feww on December 8, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,190 Days Left 

[December 8, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,190 Days Left to the most Fateful Day in Human History
  • Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Genetically Modified Mosquitoes? What could possibly go wrong?!

Aedes aegypti, aka the yellow fever mosquito, is a vector for transmitting several tropical disease viruses including dengue fever, Chikungunya (CHIKV) and yellow fever.


This 2006 photograph depicts a female Aedes aegypti mosquito as she acquires  a blood meal from her human host, the biomedical photographer, James Gathany, at the Centers for Disease Control.  Dengue fever is caused by four virus strains spread by the mosquito Aedes aegypti. (Photo Credit: James Gathany/University of Notre Dame).

  • Dengue fever is a virus-caused tropical disease that is spread by mosquitoes, especially Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus.
  • Aedes aegypti mosquitoes are an invasive, domestic species with tropical and subtropical worldwide distribution that originated in Africa.
  • The mosquito aquatic cycle, the life cycle from egg to larvae, pupae, and to an adult mosquito, takes 7-8 days and occurs in water.
  • The life span for adult mosquitoes is about 3-4 weeks.
  • Only the female mosquito bites for blood, which she needs to produce eggs.
  • Female mosquitoes lay dozens of eggs up to 5 times during their life time.
  • Florida scientists have proposed to unleash swarms of genetically modified male mosquitoes into the ecosystem in the hope that the mutant mosquitoes, ‘dubbed Frankenflies,’ would mate with healthy females and pass on their lab-engineered deadly birth defects.
  • A Florida Keys resident has posted a petition, “Say No to Genetically Modified Mosquitoes Release in the Florida Keys,” on Change.org.
    • “Even though the local community in the Florida Keys has spoken – we even passed an ordinance demanding more testing – Oxitec is trying to use a loophole by applying to the FDA for an ‘animal bug’ patent. This could mean these mutant mosquitoes could be released at any point against the wishes of locals and the scientific community. We need to make sure the FDA does not approve Oxitec’s patent.” The petition says.“Nearly all experiments with genetically-modified crops have eventually resulted in unintended consequences: superweeds more resistant to herbicides, mutated and resistant insects also collateral damage to ecosystems. A recent news story reported that the monarch butterfly population is down by half in areas where Roundup Ready GM crops are doused with ultra-high levels of herbicides that wipe out the monarch’s favorite milkweed plant.”

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global health catastrophe, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Global CO2 Emissions Up 2.5 Pct

Posted by feww on November 14, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,214 Days Left 

[November 14, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,214 Days Left to the most Fateful Day in Human History
  • Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Global 2011 CO2 emissions top 34 billion metric tons: IWR

Global CO2 emissions again reached a new record in 2011 rising 2.5 percent to 34 billion metric tons (bmt), compared with 33.2 bmt in 2010, as humanoids continued to consume ever-increasing amounts of fossil fuels, according to IWR, a renewable energy institute based in Germany.

  • Global CO2 emissions have risen by more than 50 percent in two decades.
  • In 1990,  some 22.7 bmt of carbon dioxide were emitted globally, IWR reported.
  • “China comes highest in the CO2 ranking of countries for 2011 with 8.9 bn metric tons of carbon dioxide (2010: 8.3 bn metric tons). That is 50 percent more than the USA with 6.0 bn metric tons (2010: 6.2 bn metric tons), which ranked second. At 1.8 bn metric tons (2010: 1.7 bn metric tons), India ranks third ahead of Russia with 1.67 bn metric tons (2010: 1.7 bn metric tons) and Japan with 1.3 bn metric tons (2010: 1.3 bn metric tons). Germany ranks 6th with 804 m metric tons (2010: 828 m metric tons). Among the top 10 largest emitters, the USA, Russia and Germany reduced their CO2 emissions in comparison to the previous year (all national results at http://www.cerina.org/de/co2-2011),” said IWR.


Monthly mean atmospheric carbon dioxide at Mauna Loa Observatory. Source: ESRL


Annual mean carbon dioxide growth rates for Mauna Loa. Decadal averages of the growth rate are plotted as horizontal lines for 1960 through 1969, 1970 through 1979, and so on. Source: ESRL

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global ghg emissions, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Global temperature tied with 2005 as record highest for September

Posted by feww on October 16, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,243 Days* Left 

[October 16, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,243 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

*Countdown has been revised

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Global temperature for September 2012 tied with 2005 as the warmest on  record: NOAA

“The globally-averaged temperature for September 2012 tied with 2005 as the warmest September since record keeping began in 1880.” NOAA reported.

  • Combined average temperature over land and ocean surfaces for September was 60.21°F (15.67°C) or 1.21°F (0.67°C) above the 20th century average.
  • September 2012 was also the 36th consecutive September and 331st consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average.
  • 2012 January-September period was the warmest first nine months of any year on record for the contiguous United States, with the national temperature of 59.8°F, which  was 3.8°F above the 20th century average.
  • “The October 2011-September 2012 period was the warmest such 12-month period on record for the contiguous U.S., with an average temperature of 56.2°F, 3.2°F above average. This 12-month temperature average tied the June 2011-May 2012 period as the 3rd warmest of any 12-month period. The six warmest 12-month periods have all ended during 2012.” NOAA said.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in global heating, global Temperature Anomalies, Global temperature anomaly, global temperatures | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U.S. Drought: Little Change!

Posted by feww on October 4, 2012

U.S. drought areas change less than 1 percent since a week ago

As of October 2, 2012, Abnormally Dry to Exceptional Drought levels (drought conditions D0 – D4 on the US Drought Monitor chart) covered 75.90% of Contiguous U.S. compared with 76.59% a week ago, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.


U.S. Drought Map, October 2, 2012. 

Previous Drought Maps

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global ghg emissions, global heating, global Precipitation, global Temperature Anomalies | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Drought Disaster Declared in 46 Counties

Posted by feww on September 27, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,266 Days Left

[September 27, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,266 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Drought disaster plagues additional counties in the Dakotas, Hawaii, Minnesota, Wisconsin

Forty-six additional counties across the Dakotas, Hawaii, Minnesota and Wisconsin have been declared agricultural disaster areas (includes both primary and contiguous designations) due to damages and losses caused by the recent drought, the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) reported.


U.S. Drought Disaster Map, September 26, 2012. Source: USDA. Edited for brevity by FIRE-EARTH

Related Links

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Mega Freeze Could Paralyze Northeast

Posted by feww on September 20, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,273 Days Left

[September 20, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,273 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Northeastern U.S. Could Become Arctic: FIRE-EARTH

Rapid climate change could ‘permanently’ transform Northeastern United States, bringing extreme cold and freezing up the entire region in the next couple of years (2013-2015), FIRE-EARTH Models show.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Climate Extremes, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Large Wildfires Across West 7 Times More Common Than 40 Yrs Ago

Posted by feww on September 19, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,274 Days Left

[September 19, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,274 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Average temperatures in U.S. West up 3°F as fire season grows 75 days

Western wildfires exceeding 10,000 acres have grown in frequency seven times compared with the 1970s, according to a new report, The Age of Western Wildfires.

Years of fire suppression “may have left the forests of the West particularly vulnerable to big fires,” however, “rising spring and summer temperatures, along with shrinking winter snowpack, have increased the risk of wildfires in most parts of the West,” the report said.

The report highlights based on analysis of 42 years of U.S. Forest Service records for 11 Western states show, compared to the average year in the 1970’s, in the past decade there were:

  • 7 times more fires greater than 10,000 acres each year
  • About 5 times more fires larger than 25,000 acres each year
  • Twice as many fires larger than 1,000 acres each year, with an average of more than 100 per year between 2002 and 2011, compared with less than 50 during the 1970’s
  • The burn season is 75 days longer than 40 years ago.
  • Wildfires burn twice as much land area compared with 40 years ago.
  • Annual average number of fires larger than 1,000 acres has almost quadrupled in Arizona and Idaho, and has doubled in California, Colorado, Montana, New Mexico, Nevada, Oregon, Utah and Wyoming.
  • Full Report (PDF)

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , | 11 Comments »

Monsoon Rains Destroy 15,000+ Homes Across Pakistan, Killing Many

Posted by feww on September 18, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,275 Days Left

[September 18, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,275 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Pakistan: Monsoon Rains

  • Monsoon rains have left about 1,000 people killed or injured, destroying more than 15,000 homes, and damaging thousands more, across Pakistan since August 22.

See also: Cloudbursts Kill Dozens in India

United States: West Nile Virus (WNV) – [UPDATED Sept 20, 2012]

  • As of September 18, 2012, 48 states have reported West Nile virus infections in people, birds, or mosquitoes. At least three thousand five hundred and seven  human West Nile virus infections including 134 deaths [to be confirmed] have been reported to CDC ArboNET from Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

West Nile virus (WNV) activity reported to ArboNET, United States, 2012 (Sept 18, 2012)


As of September 18, 2012, 48 states have reported West Nile virus infections in people, birds, or mosquitoes. At least three thousand five hundred and seven (3,507)  human West Nile virus infections including 134 deaths have resulted  from WNV infection across 35 states, so far this year. The reported WNV cases include 52% neuroinvasive disease cases (such as meningitis or encephalitis). Source: CDC/ Vector-Borne Diseases

Footnote: The map displays white areas that represent no WNV activity reported, light green areas that represent any WNV activity* , dark green circles that represent disease cases, and dark green triangles that represent presumptive viremic blood donors.

* Includes WNV human disease cases, presumptive viremic blood donors, veterinary disease cases and infections in mosquitoes, birds, and sentinel animals.
† Presumptive viremic blood donors have a positive screening test which has not necessarily been confirmed.

Map shows the distribution of WNV activity* (shaded in light green), human infections (dark green circles), and presumptive viremic blood donors (dark green triangles) occurring during 2012 by state. If West Nile virus infection is reported from any area of a state, that entire state is shaded.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in environment, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global health catastrophe, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Wildfires Force State of Emergency in Eastern Washington

Posted by feww on September 16, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,277 Days Left

[September 16, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,277 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

.

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

  • Washington, USA. Gov. Gregoire has declared a State of Emergency for all counties east of the Cascades on due to destructive wildfires.
    • “This is one of the worst fire situations that I can recall during my time as governor.  Firefighters have done a tremendous job to keep people safe, and keep the number of homes lost to a minimum. But they need more resources – especially as we expect weather conditions to remain less than favorable.” Gregoire said.
    • Multiple fires “currently threaten over 500 homes, resulting in numerous evacuations,” she added.
    • The Wenatchee Complex includes over 50 lightning-caused fires burning in Chelan County.
  • Alaska. “An unseasonable storm of considerable size and strength is affecting the southern mainland this weekend with strong winds and heavy rains. The low is near the Alaska Peninsula moving towards Bristol Bay.” NWS reported.
  • Utah. Washington County has declared a state of emergency after flash floods damaged Santa Clara, Ivins and St. George, reports said.
  • Idaho. Up to a million acres are being consumed by wildfires across Idaho.  The largest blazes include:
    • Mustang Complex: 315,000 acres
    • Trinity Ridge Fire
    • Sheep Fire
    • Mcguire Complex
    • Halstead
    • Porcupine Complex
    • Powell Sbw Complex
  • Portugal.  In the first 8 months this year,  16,168 forest fires consumed 73,055 hectares of forest, up 81 percent from 2011, said a report.
    • “One single giant blaze at Tavira, in the Algarve, which broke out on 18 July, ravaged 21,347 hectares of forest – some 29 percent of the total for all of Portugal from January and August.”
  • Okinawa.  NEWS BLACKOUT IN EFFECT CONCERNING THE EXTENT OF DAMAGE CAUSED BY TYPHOON SANBA

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Fuego Volcano Erupts

Posted by feww on September 13, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,280 Days Left

[September 13, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Guatemala’s Fuego volcano eruption forces tens of thousands of people to evacuate

Fuego’s powerful explosions ejected smoke and ash about 4km into the air, spewing two lava stream down the volcano flanks, accompanied by thousands of tons of volcanic ash and tephra.

About 35,000 people from two dozen villages nearest to the volcano have been evacuated, awaiting evacuation, or are on notice to abandon their homes depending on the wind direction, authorities said.

  • The 3,763 m volcano, dubbed the ‘Volcano of Fire,’  sits about 10km SW of the colonial city of Antigua (Pop: ~ 50,000) , Guatemala’s former capital, and is one of Central America’s most active volcanoes.

 

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in active volcanoes, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U.S. Drought Persists

Posted by feww on September 13, 2012

Drought conditions in contiguous U.S. spread, intensify by about 1 percent

About four-fifth of the contiguous United States still faces drought conditions in spite of marginal relief from rains generated by TS ISAAC.

As of September 11, 2012, Abnormally Dry to Exceptional Drought levels (drought conditions D0 – D4 on the US Drought Monitor chart) covered 78.53% of Contiguous U.S., 80.57% of Hawaii, 29.28% of Alaska and 33.34% of Puerto Rico, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.


U.S. Drought Map, September 11, 2012.  

Related Links

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Global Warning

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Anthropogenic Hell Melting Icebox

Posted by feww on September 13, 2012

IF YOU WRECKED A HOLIDAY INN MOTEL ROOM , YOU’D PROBABLY GO TO JAIL.

Northern Hemisphere Ice Cover Continues Shrinking

The Arctic Sea Ice Extent shrank to 3.46 million square kilometers (3,456,695.22 km²) on September 12, 2012, according to National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC).

 


Multi sensor Analyzed Sea Ice Extent – Northern Hemisphere (MASIE -NH), September 11, 2012.  Source: The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)

Northern Hemisphere ice cover (million km²). Center for Ocean and Ice, Danish Meteorological Institute


Original Caption: The total area of sea ice is the sum of First Year Ice (FYI), Multi Year Ice (MYI) and the area of ambiguous ice types, from the OSISAF ice type product. However, the total estimated ice area is underestimated due to unclassified coastal regions where mixed land/sea pixels confuse the applied ice type algorithm. The shown sea ice extent values are therefore recommended be used qualitatively in relation to ice extent values from other years shown in the figure. In late 2012 sea ice climatology and anomaly data will be available here.

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global ghg emissions, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Agri Disaster List Continues Growing

Posted by feww on September 12, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,281 Days Left

[September 12, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

 Global Disasters/ Significant Events

Hundreds of additional counties designated disaster areas due to drought, excessive heat

USDA has designated about 400 additional counties across 14 states as both primary and contiguous disaster areas due to drought, excessive heat.

  • The states are Alabama, North Carolina, North Dakota, South Dakota, Iowa, Kentucky, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri,  Montana, Tennessee, Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
  • As of September 12, 2012 USDA has designated 2,341 unduplicated counties across the country as agricultural disaster areas due to drought.
  • List of Designated Drought Disaster Counties


U.S. Drought Disaster Map, September 12, 2012. Source: USDA. Edited for brevity by FIRE-EARTH.

Related Links

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U.S. Climate: Warmest YTD on Record

Posted by feww on September 11, 2012

Drought-related stress affecting 80% of U.S. corn and soybeans, causing crops failure

The January-August 2012 was the warmest first 8 months of any year on record for the contiguous United States. The national temperature of 58.7°F (14.3°C) was 4.0°F above the 20th century average, and 1.0°F above the previous record warm in 2006, NOAA said.

  • Summer 2012 was the 3rd hottest summer on record for the contiguous United States since recordkeeping began 117 years ago. [ 2011 and 1936 had higher summer temperatures for the Lower 48.]

Temperature Anomalies, June – August  2012


Reds show June-August temperatures up to 8° F warmer than average. Blues show temperatures up to 2° F cooler than average—the darker the color, the larger the difference. Source: NOAA climate.gov

  • During the period, 33 states had record warm and an additional 12 states experienced top ten warm.
  • The average temperature for the Lower 48 between June and August was higher than 74°F (24.3°C), which is more than 2° F above the 20th century average.
  • “The average global temperature across land and oceans during July 2012 was 0.62°C (1.12°F) above the 20th century average of 15.8°C (60.4°F) and ranked as the fourth warmest July since records began in 1880. The previous three months—April, May, and June—also ranked among the top five warmest for their respective months. July 2012 marks the 36th consecutive July and 329th consecutive month with a global temperature above the 20th century average.” NOAA reported.

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Anthropogenic Global Warming, global climate, global climate change, Global Climate Extremes, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global heating, global Precipitation, global precipitation patterns, Global SST anomalies, Global Temperature, global Temperature Anomalies, global temperatures | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Massive Wildfire Forces Hundreds Flee Homes in Idaho

Posted by feww on September 10, 2012

Wildfire threatens about 500 residences near towns of North Fork and Gibbonsville, ID

The Mustang Complex resulted from five fires—the Mustang, Broomtail, Roan, Cayuse and East Butte fires—ignited by thunderstorms and lightning over the weekend of July 28-29.

  • As of September 9th (20:00MDT), the Mustang Complex had grown to 261,010 acres, Inciweb reported.
  • The massive blaze currently threatens homes, businesses, and natural resources.
  • The blaze is currently 16 percent contained.
  • Several destructive fires are burning mostly unchecked across the U.S. West.
  • The 2012 fire season has already seen record-breaking fires in Colorado, New Mexico and Oregon.


Mustang Complex Notification and Evacuation Plan. Inciweb.

  • Red Flag Warnings are currently in effect in parts of at least 13 states.


U.S. Weather Hazards Map. Source: NWS

Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events

  • British Columbia, Canada.  BC authorities issued mandatory evacuation orders for more than 2,000 people in and around the Okanagan community of Peachland, after an intense wildfire consumed more than 100 hectares nearby, reports said.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global ghg emissions, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Image of the Day: ASIE

Posted by feww on September 7, 2012

Northern Hemisphere Ice Cover falls below 3.6 million km² —FIRE-EARTH 

As of September 5, 2011, the Arctic sea ice extent (ASIE) was 3,686,199.43 km² according to NSIDC.

  • Daily average ice melt for September currently stands at more than 87,000 km², NSIDC data shows.

Arctic sea ice extent fell below 3.6 million square kilometers (1.39 million square miles) on September 6, 2012, FIRE-EARTH estimates.

FEWW model shows the Arctic sea ice extent could fall to about 3 million km² (1.15 million square miles) during the 2012 melt season with a probability of 0.5 [P = 54%]


Multi sensor Analyzed Sea Ice Extent – Northern Hemisphere (MASIE -NH), September 5, 2012.  Source: The National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC)

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

U.S. Drought Disaster Plagues Additional Counties in 19 States

Posted by feww on September 6, 2012

Hundreds of additional counties across 19 states declared disaster areas

About 400 additional counties* across 19 states have been declared agricultural disaster areas, mostly due to the ongoing drought, by the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA).

The disasters have occurred in the following states:

  • California, Delaware, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Michigan, Minnesota, Montana, Nevada, North Dakota, Ohio, Pennsylvania, South Dakota, Tennessee, Virginia and Wyoming.

[NOTE: The above figure includes both primary and contiguous disaster areas.  Duplications have occurred due to multiple disaster designations.]


U.S. Drought Disaster Map, September 5, 2012. Source: USDA. Edited for brevity by FIRE-EARTH.


U.S. Drought Map, September 4, 2012.

As of September 4, 2012, Abnormally Dry to Exceptional Drought levels (drought conditions D0 – D4 on the US Drought Montor chart) covered 77.69% of Contiguous U.S., 80.57% of Hawaii, 29.28% of Alaska and 33.34% of Puerto Rico, according to the U.S. Drought Monitor.

Related Links

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Global Warning

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global heating, Global Temperature | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

WNV Cases Climb 71%, Deaths Up 89%

Posted by feww on September 6, 2012

2,280 West Nile cases and 87 deaths reported in 2012: CDC

WNV cases have climbed by 71 percent and the deaths by 89 percent since August 21, 2012.

  • WNV cases include 54% neuroinvasive disease cases and 46% nonneuroinvasive disease cases. Three hundred and thirty five WNV presumptive viremic blood donors (PVDs) have been reported as of September 4, 2012, CDC said.
  • About 71  percent of the cases this year have been reported in six states: Texas (45%), South Dakota (6%), Oklahoma (6%), Mississippi (6%), Michigan (5%) and Louisiana (4%).

Epidemic/Epizootic West Nile Virus in the United States


At least 87 people have died from WNV infection in the U.S. so far this year. The 2,280 reported WNV cases include 1,069 (54%) neuroinvasive disease cases and 924 (46%) nonneuroinvasive disease cases. Three hundred and thirty five WNV presumptive viremic blood donors (PVDs) have been reported as of September 4, 2012, CDC said.

Data table  [Sourced from CDC]

Two thousand two hundred eighty (2,280) human West Nile virus infections have been reported to CDC ArboNET from Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Virginia, West Virginia, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.

Non-human West Nile virus infections have been reported to CDC ArboNET from the following states:

Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Dakota, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming.

CDC Links

Previous Entries

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global health catastrophe, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

ISAAC Damaged 13,000 Homes in Louisiana

Posted by feww on September 4, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,289 Days Left

[September 4, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. 

  • SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,289 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

  • Louisiana, USA.  Hurricane ISAAC left at least 13,000 homes damaged by flooding and wind in Louisiana, state emergency officials said.
    • Most of the damage occurred in nine Louisiana parishes.
    • The figures are said to be “very preliminary,” and could rise.
    • Gov. Jindal has declared a statewide public health emergency.
    • ‘The state has issued more than 200 water boil advisories and has lost more than 40 percent of the electrical power statewide for an extended period.’
    • The storm spawned nine tornadoes in Missouri over the two days and 12 in Illinois. ‘Single tornadoes were reported Sunday in parts of Indiana, Kentucky and Arkansas; along with two tornadoes reported in Idaho,’ according to preliminary reports received by SPC.

Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011...

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global heating | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Wildfires Burning Another Million Acres Across 7 States

Posted by feww on September 4, 2012

Major wildfires raging in California, Colorado, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska and Wyoming

Active wildfires are consuming more than a million acres across the West and Midwest, forcing thousands to evacuate.

  • Red Flag Warnings are in effect in parts of the Dakotas, Idaho, Montana, Nebraska, and Wyoming.
  • Oregon. USDA has designated seven counties in Oregon as primary and contiguous disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by wildfires that began July 8 and continue. The disaster declaration extends to counties in the adjacent states:
    • Idaho.  Four counties.
    • Nevada. Two counties.

U.S. Weather Outlook

  • ‘High temperatures in the upper 90s to around 100 degrees with heat index values approaching 110 degrees are expected from the Plains of southeast Kansas and eastern Oklahoma into the Lower Mississippi River Valley on Monday afternoon.’  NWS forecast.
    • ‘Tropical moisture associated with the remnants of Isaac interacting with a frontal system will bring a flash flooding threat to the East Coast on Tuesday. Showers and thunderstorms will be capable of producing heavy rainfall that could lead to incidents of flash flooding.’

Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events

  • United States.  Hurricane ISAAC caused “enormous devastation” to the Gulf  Coast, especially the state of Louisiana, officials said.
    • The storm killed at least seven people—5 in New Orleans and 2 in Mississippi.
    • Thousands  of evacuees are still in shelters, or with friends and relatives.
    • ISAAC knocked out power to about a million people in 5 states—Alabama, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississippi and Texas.
  • Korean Peninsula.   Death toll from Typhoon BOLAVEN has climbed to about 100 across the Korean Peninsula, with many more injured. Dozens of others are reported as missing.
    • The storm destroyed or damaged thousands of homes, and more than 50,000 hectares of farmland, leaving at least 20,000 people homeless, reports said.
  • India.  Rainfall from the annual monsoon season is down an average of 12 percent across India, as the country enters its fourth drought in just over a decade.
    • Some villages in the worst hit drought areas are reportedly on the brink of disaster, reports said.

Related Links

Drought – Recent Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Global Warning

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global drought, global heating, Global Temperature | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Flooding in Pakistan Destroys Villages, Kills Dozens

Posted by feww on September 3, 2012

DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,290 Days Left

[September 3, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,290 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…

Global Disasters/ Significant Events

  • Pakistan. Torrential rains and floods destroy communities in parts of northern, northwestern and eastern Pakistan, leaving dozens of people dead.
  • Mindanao, Philippines.  A shallow 5.9Me quake struck Moro Gulf, Philippines, shaking at least half dozen cities in southern Philippines.
  • China.   Death toll from Wednesday’s  coalmine explosion in Panzhihua City (Sichuan Province) has climbed to at least 45, with one person reportedly missing, authorities said.

Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011...

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in China coalmine, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, global earthquakes, global heating, global Precipitation | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Arctic Sea Ice Extent Could Fall to 3M Km²

Posted by feww on September 3, 2012

UPDATED September 4, 2012 @ 01:44UTC

Northern Hemisphere Sea Ice Cover Shrinking Rapidly

Arctic sea ice extent shrank to about 3.65 million square kilometers (1.41 million square miles) on September 2, 2012, FIRE-EARTH estimates.

FEWW model shows the Arctic sea ice extent could fall to about 3 million km² (1.15 million square miles) during the 2012 melt season with a probability of 0.5 [P = 54%]


Arctic sea ice extent as of September 1, 2012.  Image Source: NSIDC


Arctic sea ice extent, September 1, 2012. FIRE-EARTH estimates the NH ice cover fell below 3.65 million km² (1.41 million square miles) on September 2, 2012.
  Image Source: NSIDC

Arctic Sea Ice Cover:  Denmark’s Center for Ocean and Ice (DMI)


Original caption:  Current Sea Ice extent. Total sea ice extent on the northern hemisphere since 2005. The ice extent values are calculated from the ice type data from the Ocean and Sea Ice, Satellite Application Facility (OSISAF), where areas with ice concentration higher than 30% are classified as ice.        The total area of sea ice is the sum of First Year Ice (FYI), Multi Year Ice (MYI) and the area of ambiguous ice types, from the OSISAF ice type product. However, the total estimated ice area is underestimated due to unclassified coastal regions where mixed land/sea pixels confuse the applied ice type algorithm. The shown sea ice extent values are therefore recommended be used qualitatively in relation to ice extent values from other years shown in the figure.

Related Links

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

GLOBAL WARNING

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global heating, Global Temperature | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments »