Fire Earth

Earth is fighting to stay alive. Mass dieoffs, triggered by anthropogenic assault and fallout of planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin anytime!


Stench of Death Permeates the Philippines Disaster Zone

Posted by feww on November 12, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Scope of the Disaster Widens

Surviving victims of the Philippines mega disaster began their fifth day on Tuesday with no food, water, medicine, electricity or communication lines in the worst-affected provinces of Eastern Samar, Leyte, Oriental Mindoro, Masbate, Sorsogon, Negros, Capiz, Romblon and Busuanga in Palawan.

Significant damage to housing have been reported in northern Negros Oriental province. In Cadiz City, for example, about 5,000 houses. Nearly all corn and sugar crops surrounding the city have been destroyed. The neighboring city of Sagay has also experienced much of the same fate.

death in the philippines
Survivors of the Super Typhoon HAIYAN trying to identify the dead in Tacloban city, Philippines, November 12, 2013.  Image credit: Screenshot from  Reuters video clip/Romeo Ranoco.

Disaster Stats

  • Tacloban City remains the worst affected area with at least 10,000 dead and counting, according to the government estimates.
    • [The Philippine NDRMC has confirmed the number of dead at 1,774, with 2,487  others injured and 82  missing so far. Senior officials have estimated the death toll at more than 10,000.  FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimated the casualties at up to 40,000. ]
  • Nearly 10 million people have been affected by the HAIYAN, including 3.5 million who lived directly in the path of the deadly typhoon, who have been hit severely.
  • The official number of those who have lost their homes has increased to about two-thirds of a million people (the actual number of people displaced is 659,268, as of posting).
  • Most of the disaster zone lacks clean water, food, shelter, sanitation, medical supplies, transportation or communication links.
  • Large numbers of victims are roaming around like “zombies” begging for help, and scavenging for food, water and medicine.
  • Significant devastation has been reported along the northeast coast of Iloilo province, especially in Conception and San Dionisio municipalities.
  • Many roads throughout the disaster zone are still inaccessible, due to significant amounts of debris.
  • Dozens of towns and villages in the Cebu province have suffered up to 90% devastation.
  • The town of Guiuanin (population: 44,000) in Samar province is almost entirely flattened.
  • The city of Baco (Population 37,000) in Oriental Mindoro province was 80% under water, according to the UN.
  • There is still no information available on the condition of people in remote areas of the country.

NDRC Update [ November 12, 2013 ]

NDRMC Update 12nov13
Source: Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC). [$1 = 43.20 Philippine pesos]


Typhoon HAIYAN was the 14th storm to hit Vietnam this year, leaving at least 14 dead, 4 missing and 81 others injured, according to the country’s National Committee for Search and Rescue.


HAIYAN killed at least 7 people in China, including five people in Hainan and two in Guangxi, and left 4 others missing. The cyclone destroyed 900 houses and damaged 8,500 others. It also destroyed 25,500 hectares of crops, with the direct economic losses estimated at 4.47 billion yuan ($734 million), said Xinhua.

“The National Disaster Reduction Commission announced that more than 3 million people in China’s southern provinces of Hainan and Guangdong and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region had been affected by the typhoon.”

Previous UPDATE [13:30UTC on November 11, 2013 ]

  • President Benigno Aquino has declared a state of national calamity and deployed more than 300 soldiers in Tacloban City to quell looting.
  • Aid agencies say about 3.5 million people directly in the path of the typhoon have been severely affected.
  • More than 300 people are confirmed dead and about 2,000 others have been reported as missing in the town Basey, Samar province, according to the provincial governor.
  • “The situation is bad, the devastation has been significant. In some cases the devastation has been total,” a senior politician told reporters.
  • HAIYAN has destroyed up to 90 percent of structures in its path. Some 350,000 homes have been destroyed according to an aid worker. This figure dwarfs the disaster estimates issued by the NDRMC.
  • Dazed survivors are begging for help and scavenging for food, water and medicine on Monday, reported Reuters.
  • “There’s an awful lot of casualties, a lot of people dead all over the place, a lot of destruction,” Richard Gordon, head of the Philippine Red Cross, told the BBC.

Tropical Depression ZORAIDA

Meantime, Tropical Depression ZORAIDA was located about 216km southeast of Hinatuan, Surigao Del Sur, or 192km East of Davao City, dumping moderate to heavy rain at rates of up to 15mm per hour within a 300-km radius, as of 5:00am local time, said PAGASA.

This post will be updated throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Other Related Links

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Avoid Disappointment!!

Posted by feww on August 10, 2013

Do NOT Plan Too Far Ahead!


FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”

FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

Critical Planetary Overload

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Collapse in Progress

Posted in Back-to-Back Disasters, climate disasters, Climate-related Disasters, disaster watch 2013, disasters, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS, human-enhanced disasters, Human-enhanced-natural-disasters, man-made disasters, Man-made Planetary Cataclysms, Mega Disasters, U.S. Disasters | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

Powerful Tornadoes Attack Dallas Area

Posted by feww on April 4, 2012

Disaster Calendar 2012 – April 4

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,442 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

Disaster declared in Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs

Multiple tornadoes touched down in Dallas-Fort Worth  area, raking entire neighborhoods, destroying homes, flattening trailer trucks and causing numerous injuries, some critical.

Texas Tornado Map. As of 02:10UTC on April 4, 2012, SPC had received 18 tornado reports in the Dallas area.   The storms that spawned the tornadoes were caused by a slow-moving system centered over N.M.

A tornado touches down in Lancaster, Texas,  south of DF. Photo credit: Parrish Velasco/Dallas Morning News, April 3, 2012. Image may be subject to copyrightMore images…

  • Officials signed a disaster declaration for Lancaster, Texas, about 15 miles south of Dallas,  after a twister damaged 500 structures, more than half of them severely.
  • Widespread looting was reported.
  • In Arlington, a tornado  has caused severe damage to homes and businesses prompting the city officials to issue a disaster declaration.
  • The DFW area was also hit with thunderstorms that dumped damaging hail the size of baseballs in several places.
  • More than a 100 planes were damaged by large hail at Dallas Fort Worth  Airport, a spokesman told AP.
  • American Airlines canceled or diverted 500 flights in and out of its hub airport by late Tuesday afternoon.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

Related Links

Tornadoes 2012

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2012, HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Disaster Calendar July 2011

Posted by feww on July 14, 2011

2011 Disaster Calendar – July 14 entry

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,707 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

  • Philippines. Death toll from flash floods and rainstorms in the southern Philippines has climbed to at least 43, officials said. Flash floods also killed more than 30 people in Davao City in June. Some 450,000 children in Mindanao are sheltering at evacuation centers. Affected communities are at risk of waterborne diseases and pneumonia, UNICEF country representative said.
  • Niagara Region, Canada. Death toll from an outbreak of C. difficile in Niagara Health System hospitals has climbed to 21, reports say.
  • California, USA. Imperial County has been declared a disaster area following major damage caused by thunderstorms last week, reports said.
  • Colorado, USA. Twelve Colorado counties have been declared as natural disaster areas due to the ongoing drought and the governor is asking USDA to add 5 more the list, a report said.
    “Fremont County was designated as a disaster area because of a freeze that hurt its apple crop. Hickenlooper wants Delta, Mesa and Montrose added because of damage to fruit crops.”
  • Illinois, USA. A state of emergency has been declared in Lake County after the damage caused by storms on Monday, reports said.
  • Ohio, USA. The WH has declared declared Ohio a major disaster because of the damage caused by severe storms and flooding between April 4 to May 15, 2011, a report said. Worst damaged counties are Adams, Athens, Belmont, Brown, Clermont, Gallia, Guernsey, Hamilton, Hocking, Jackson, Jefferson, Lawrence, Meigs, Monroe, Morgan, Noble, Pike, Ross, Scioto, Vinton, and Washington

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Posted by feww on March 21, 2011

PROBABILITY of WORLD ENDING in 2012 1 in 4,000,000,000


Blog assessments are based on dynamic model simulations analyzing the environmental impact of excessive energy consumption. Moderators reject ALL END-WORLD PROPHECIES.

Anthropogenic harm to the planet reached breaking point in the late 1970s, when the energy consumption rate exceeded 9.51 terawatts (9.51E+12 joules/second). By 1980 the consumption of energy had jumped to 3.12E+20 joules, or 9.89 terawatts.

Pacific Ocean Basin After Japan Quake

Pacific Ocean Basin After Japan Quake.
An infrared image taken by the GOES-11 satellite shows the Pacific Ocean on March 11, 2011 at 12:00 UTC. Source: NOAA/NASA GOES Project.

Humans continue to devour energy at a rate of 17.3terrawatt in 2011, when maximum ‘safe’ limit, we believe, is less than 1.9terrawatt.

Whereas the hypothetical impact of a collision with a sci-fi planet would result in sudden death, the impact of excessive human activity is causing sustained damage over a much longer period.

The adverse effects we have been witnessing for 4 decades are clearly caused by human activity, NOT by an imaginary planet.

WE BELIEVE the world will still be here in 2012, 2013, 2014 and beyond. However, in three years from now, it would be a far less habitable planet than it was even three years ago.

The planet is trying to stay alive!

[Note: CASF, EDRO and FIRE-EARTH Models have accurately and consistently forecast “planetary events” since at least 2004. To the best of our knowledge no other model has come remotely close to FIRE-EARTH forecasts.]  

Related Links

Links to Disaster Calendars:

Posted in HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS, Human Impact on Nature, human-enhanced disasters, Human-enhanced-natural-disasters | Tagged: , , , , , | 5 Comments »

Montserrat Soufrière Hills Resumes Activity

Posted by feww on December 29, 2009

Nature’s SO2 Pumps Turned On

Soufrière Hills volcano on the Caribbean island of Montserrat resumed activity. NASA images taken by MODIS on Terra and Aqua satellites at a 3-hour interval: 10:45 (top) and 13:45 (above) on December 28, 2009. Credit: NASA

Previous entry:

Previous Images:

21 December 2009

20 December 2009

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Posted in Brades, FEWW Volcanio Forecast, HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS, Soufrière Hills, volcanic activity | Tagged: , , , | 4 Comments »

Montserrat: What Next?

Posted by feww on December 13, 2009

Uncertain Future for Montserrat Island

Montserrat island could become completely uninhabitable by 2013 or earlier

Based on the pattern of volcanic activity at Soufriere Hills volcano since 1995, evidence of increased volcanism globally and a number of other  factors, the FEWW EarthModel forecasts the probability of Montserrat island becoming completely uninhabitable as follows:

Probability of Montserrat Becoming Uninhabitable in the Near Future

  • 2009 ≥ 50%
  • 2010 ≥ 56%
  • 2011 ≥ 60%
  • 2012 ≥ 70%
  • 2013 ≥ 80%

Montserrat Island Details:

  • Capital:
    • Plymouth (destroyed in 1997- see photo below)
    • Brades (de facto)
  • Location: Montserrat Island
  • Coordinates: (16.72 N, 62.18 W)
  • Height: 915 meters (3,010 feet)
  • Official languages:     English
  • Ethnic groups:     West African, Mulatto, British, Irish
  • Government:     British Overseas Territory
  • Area:   102 km²  (39 sq mi )

View E across ash-covered Plymouth, the former capital city and major port of Montserrat, toward Soufriere Hills volcano.
Before the volcano became active in July 1995, about 5,000 people lived in Plymouth, located 4 km west of English’s Crater. During the first two years of the eruption, ash and noxious gas from explosions and pyroclastic flows frequently settled on Plymouth. On August 3, about 3 weeks after this image was taken, the first significant pyroclastic flow swept through the evacuated town. The flow triggered many fires and caused extensive damage to buildings and community facilities by direct impact and burial.
Date: 12 July 1997. Credit: R.P. Hoblitt/ USGS.

Political map of Caribbean islands.

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Posted in FEWW Volcanic Forecast, HUMAN EHANCED NATURAL DISASTERS, Pyroclastic flow, volcanic activity | Tagged: , , , | 5 Comments »