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Archive for the ‘Japan Earthquakes 2011’ Category

Significant Quake Rattles Tokyo Area

Posted by feww on July 15, 2011

Magnitude 5.5 Quake in Ibaraki Pref Rattles a Vast Area

The 5.5Mw quake, epicentered at 36.3N, 140.1E, struck about 59 km NNE of Tokyo at a depth of 60 km at 21:01 JST (UTC + 9 hrs) on 15 July 15, 2011, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said.

There was NO tsunami associated with this quake.

Distances [USGS]

  • 47 km (29 miles) WSW (239°) from Mito, Honshu, Japan
  • 59 km (37 miles) NNE (25°) from TOKYO, Japan
  • 91 km (56 miles) ESE (108°) from Maebashi, Honshu, Japan


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS-EHP

Japan Earthquake Forecasts

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Japan Mega Quake Warning

Posted by feww on July 10, 2011

Mega Quake Measuring about 9.6Mw Could Strike Near Fukushima, Japan: FIRE-EARTH

FIRE-EARTH Models show that a large earthquake measuring up to 9.6Mw could strike within a 130 km coast of Fukushima, Japan.

Forecast Details:

  • Magnitude: Up to 9.6Mw 
  • Estimated Depth: 15km (±5km)
  • Location: Epicentered near 37.63ºN, 142.45ºE
  • Position: 130km east of Minamisōma, Fukushima, Japan
  • Expected Time of occurrence: July – October 2011
  • Probability of Occurrence: 72%

Global Tectonics Alert – April 9

JPTRMT1 – FIRE-EARTH estimates that about 80 exajoules (EJ) of tectonic stress energy could be accumulated in Japan Region between now and early 2016.

FIRE-EARTH Models show that most of the energy would be released as large earthquakes including a massive shock, a Megathrust earthquake, the largest on record, measuring 10.0+Mw, which could release about 64EJ of energy.

[NOTE: The 1960 Valdivia earthquake—The Great Chilean Earthquake—is the largest ever recorded earthquake measuring 9.5Mw. The quake struck on May 22, 1960 at 38.29ºS, 73.0ºW. Seismic moment release: ~ 11.3 EJ]

Previous Forecasts

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Magnitude 7.1 Quake Strikes Off Sanriku, Japan

Posted by feww on July 10, 2011

Powerful Earthquake Strikes Off the East Coast of Honshu Japan

The quake, epicentered at 38.0ºN 143.5ºE , struck at a depth of 10 km at 09:57 JST (00:57 UTC) on Sunday Jul 10, 2011  off the coast Sanriku (Tohoku Region),  Honshu, Japan, Japan’s Meteorological Agency (JMA) reported.

The earthquake occurred about 250km east of Fukushima and 405km NE of Tokyo.

TSUNAMI STATUS:  JMA has just issued the following Tsunami Bulletin:

Tsunami Warning/Advisory- Issued at 10:00 JST 10 Jul 2011

Tsunami Advisories have been issued for the following coastal regions of Japan: PACIFIC COAST OF TOHOKU

Tsunami Advisories have been issued for the following coastal regions of Japan:

  • IWATE PREF.
  • MIYAGI PREF.
  • FUKUSHIMA PREF.

Tsunami Forecast
Tsunami height is expected to be about 0.5 meters. Attention advised.

10-degree Map Centered at 40°N,145°E


EQ Location Map. Source: USGS

Earthquake Shakemap


Source: USGS

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M6.7 Quake Strikes Near Honshu Coast, Japan

Posted by feww on June 22, 2011

Strong Earthquake near Morioka rattles the East Coast of Honshu

The quake was epicentered at 39.9N, 142.5E about 100 km (62 miles) ENE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan.

Onagawa Nuclear Power Plant

The earthquake struck about 175 km NNE of Onagawa Nuclear Power Plant.


Map of Japan’s Nuclear Power Plants. Click image to enlarge

Earthquake Bulletin Report

Issued by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) at 06:56 JST 23 Jun 2011

Magnitude: 6.7Mw
Occurred at (JST): 06:51 JST 23 Jun 2011
Epicenter:  39.9N, 142.5E
Depth: 20km
Region: Iwate-ken Oki

Approximate Distances [USGS-EHP]

  • 86 km (53 miles) SE (132°) from Hachinohe, Honshu, Japan
  • 99 km (62 miles) ENE (73°) from Morioka, Honshu, Japan
  • 161 km (100 miles) SE (126°) from Aomori, Honshu, Japan
  • 527 km (328 miles) NNE (24°) from TOKYO, Japan

Tsunami Threat

An initial tsunami advisory issued by JMA was lifted shortly afterwards.


Japan Earthquake Tsunami Map. Click image to enlarge.


EQ Shakemap. Source: USGS

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Significant earthquakes strike Ethiopia, New Zealand

Posted by feww on June 13, 2011

More than two dozen Earthquakes strike Eritrea, Ethiopia

The swarm included two significant shocks measuring 5.7Mw and striking at depths of about 8 km.

Earthquake Location Map. Source USGS/EHP

The earthquake swarm occurred within the Afar Triangle where the Arabian Plate, and the two parts of the African Plate (the Nubian and the Somalian) diverge. The swarm’s center was located about 100km ESE of Erta Ale volcano, and about 160km NE of the Dabbahu Fissure.

FIRE-EARTH believes there’s a strong probability that the quakes may have primed one or more regional volcanoes for eruption.

Map of East Africa showing some of the historically active volcanoes (red triangles) and the Afar Triangle (shaded, center)— a so-called triple junction (or triple point), where three plates are pulling away from one another: the Arabian Plate, and the two parts of the African Plate (the Nubian and the Somalian) splitting along the East African Rift Zone. Source: USGS

20010115080236 - sml

Dabbahu Fissure. Original image JPL/NASA. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

dabbahu fissureDabbahu Fissure, along the Somalian Plate, Great Rift Valley (Boina/Afar, Danakil desert, Ethiopia). A ground rupture created during the September 2005 rifting event. Photo: Tony Philpotts/ AP. Image may be subject to copyright.

At 120 meter below sea level, Ethiopia’s Afar Depression is one of the lowest and hottest places on Earth, famous for its salt mines.

New Zealand Earthquakes

Since earlier this morning local time a swarm of at least a dozen earthquakes have struck Christchurch, New Zealand. The largest shocks measured 5.2 and 6.0Mw, USGS/EHP reported.

At least 10 people were injured and several buildings have collapsed/were damaged as a result of the earthquakes, reports said.

Details of the Largest shock

  • Magnitude: 6.0
  • Date-Time: Monday, June 13, 2011 at 02:20:50 UTC
  • Location: 43.580°S, 172.740°E
  • Depth:  9 km (5.6 miles)
  • Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 13.9 km (8.6 miles); depth +/- 2.8 km (1.7 miles)
  • Region SOUTH ISLAND OF NEW ZEALAND
  • Distances
    • 13 km (8 miles) NNE of Christchurch, New Zealand
    • 292 km (181 miles) SW of WELLINGTON, New Zealand
  • Source: Institute of Nuclear Sciences, New Zealand/ Via USGS-EHP

FIRE-EARTH NOTICE: New Zealand Earthquake Forecasts Posted by feww on April 16, 2011

Earthquake Forecasts for New Zealand Region

FIRE-EARTH Moderators have decided NOT to post any specific earthquake forecasts for New Zealand Region until further notice. See the comments section for a explanation.

Related Links

New Zealand Earthquake Links

Japan Earthquake Forecasts/WARNINGS

See:

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Japan PM asks Hamaoka nuke plant to shut down

Posted by feww on May 7, 2011

Japanese gov asks Chubu Electric Power Co to shut reactors at Hamaoka nuclear power plant near Tokyo

Japan’s Prime Minister Naoto Kan has confirmed that his government asked Chubu Electric Power Co to stop all reactors at its Hamaoka nuclear power plant, pending  implementation of “safety precautions.”


Chubu Electric Power Company’s Hamaoka nuclear power plant in Shizuoka Prefecture sits on an active seismic fault. Photo: Supplied
.

Hamaoka NPP is located in Omaezak, Shizuoka Prefecture, about 200km (120 miles) south of Tokyo, an area known as the Tokai region, where Japanese seismologist believe a magnitude-8.0 or stronger earthquake could strike  within 30 years with a probability of 87 percent.

[SEE also FIRE-EARTH forecast: Global Tectonics Alert – April 9]

Incredibly, the Hamaoka plant sits on an active fault within an area where Tokai earthquake is expected to strike.

Of Hamaoka five reactors only two Nos. 4 and 5 are operating, which the government has asked the operator to shut down immediately. Reactors 1 and 2, built in the late 1970s, are being decommissioned, and Reactor 3 is offline undergoing maintenance.

“Should a serious accident unfold at the Hamaoka nuclear plant, the implications would be far-reaching as the Tokaido Shinkansen Line and the Tomei Expressway–two key transportation arteries in Honshu run within 20 kilometers of the plant.” Asahi reported.

Will the Company Comply?

“The utility’s spokesperson said that the government’s request would have major implications on the region it services because of the energy conservation measures that may have to be put in place. Chubu Electric services Shizuoka, Aichi, Gifu, Nagano and Mie prefectures.” The report said.

“The president (of Chubu Electric) said that he wants to hold his final answer.” Japan’s industry minister has said.

In reply to the question, what if the company refuses to comply, PM Kan said: “We will talk to the company to have them understand our intent fully.”

UNBELIEVABLY,  Japan’s “prime minister is not authorized to order the shutdown of nuclear reactors.” Said the report.

Fukushima NPP

Meanwhile, a 20km (12 mile) mandatory evacuation zone remains enforced at the Fukushima power plant, keeping up to 125,000 people out of their homes, as TEPCO technicians struggle to “stabilize” the stricken nuclear plant. Explosions at the plant, which occurred after it was  struck by the Great Eastern Japan Earthquake and tsunami two months ago, were responsible for Japan’s worst nuclear disaster, to date.

Related Links

Global Disasters

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Japan Triple Disasters – Update 19 April

Posted by feww on April 19, 2011

Great East Japan Earthquake: 92 percent of the March 11 victims died of drowning

Japan authorities have revealed that 92 percent of the victims of Great East Japan Earthquake, whose bodies have so far been recovered, died of drowning as a result of the deadly tsunami that was spawned by the Mega Quake in the Tohoku region on March 11.

Human Cost of Japan’s March 11 Disasters

  • Death toll: About 14,000
  • No. of Missing: Just over 14,000
  • Main Cause of Death:  About 92% of the victims died of drowning in the tsunami
  • Age Distribution: About two-thirds of the victims were aged 65 or older
  • Source: NHK

Other Stats:

  • No. of Homeless: At least 155,000 [Many others who have moved in with their relatives are NOT included in the govt stats.]
  • Others Missing: In addition to the 14,030 people who are officially missing, an unknown number of others who lived in remote, inaccessible  areas may also have perished, but no records were available as of posting.

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster

Technicians at Fukushima NPP have begun removing highly radioactive water  from basement of Reactor 2 .

Authorities say a total of 70,000 tons of radioactive water is accumulated in the plant’s reactor and turbine buildings, and surrounding trenches.

Remote-controlled robots sent into reactor buildings 1, 2 and 3 on Sunday and Monday showed  radiation levels inside two of the units (1 and 3) were too high for humans.


A remote-controlled robot dubbed “Packbot,” capable of manoeuvring through buildings, taking photos, and measuring radiation levels, is photographed by another Packbot in the stricken Fukushima Daiichi Nuclear Power Plant No.1 reactor building in Fukushima, N. Japan on April 18, 2011. Photo released by Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) on April 19, 2011. TEPCO handout photo via Reuters.

Other News

“It was clear even before this disaster and the need to secure funds for reconstruction that to ensure a sustainable fiscal situation, some sort of reform of spending and revenues was necessary,” said Internal Affairs Minister Yoshiro Katayama. “The debate over the fiscal situation is not something that began with this disaster,” he told reporters.

A Japanese restaurant in Auckland, New Zealand has attached bells to its charity donation buckets after a thief stole cash intended for Japan’s earthquake and tsunami victims, a report said. “At least seven donation buckets in Japanese businesses around Auckland have been filched recently.”

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Japan nuclear disaster to last nine more months

Posted by feww on April 17, 2011

NEW LEAKS MAY BE RAISING RADIATION in SEA

Nuclear disaster at Fukushima Dai-ichi nuclear power plant may continue for another nine months: TEPCO

Tokyo Electric Power Company, the operator of Japan’s stricken nuclear power plant Fukushima Dai-ichi says it planned to reduce radiation leaks in 3 months and to cool the reactors within another six months, NHK reported. 

“This is the biggest crisis since the founding of our company,” TEPCO Chairman Tsunehisa Katsumata said at a a news conference.

“Getting the nuclear plant under control, and the financial problems associated with that.” He added

“How we can overcome these problems is a difficult matter.”

The conference was broadcast by NHK amid reports that radiation levels in the seawater near Reactor 2 had risen to 6,500 times the legal limit on Friday, about 6 times higher than Thursday’s reading. TEPCO fears that the rise may be due to new leaks.

On April 12, Japanese authorities raised the measure of severity of the Fukushima NPP disaster to the maximum level of 7 on INES. (See below for details.)

The International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES)

The INES, a logarithmic scale, which was introduced in 1990 by the IAEA to enable prompt communication, classifies the intensity of nuclear incidents as follows:

7 – Major Accident [Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986]

6 – Serious Accident [e.g., Kyshtym incident, Mayak, former Soviet Union, steam explosion released up to 80 tons of highly radioactive material into the atmosphere, September 1957. ]

5 – Accident With Wider Consequences [e.g., Three Mile Island accident  Pen State, U.S., partial meltdown release radioactive gases  into the environment, March 1979.]

4 – Accident With Local Consequences [e.g., Sellafield, UK, at least 5 incidents reported between 1955 to 1979]

3 – Serious Incident [e.g., Vandellos NPP, Spain, fire destroyed control systems; the reactor was shut down, July1989]

2 – Incident [e.g., Forsmark NPP, Sweden, a backup generator failed, July 2006]

1 – Anomaly [e.g., TNPC, France, 1,600 gallons of water containing 75 kilograms (170 lb) of uranium leaked into the environment,  July 2008]

0 – Deviation (No Safety Significance) [e.g., Atucha, Argentina – Reactor shutdown caused by tritium increase in reactor encasement, December 2006.]

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster by Country

THIS SECTION HAS BEEN REVISED AND POSTED AT

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster – by Country

on April 18, 2011

Notes:

  1. The list represents a snapshot of events at the time of calculating the probabilities. Any forecast posted  here is subject to numerous variable factors.
  2. Figures in the bracket represent the probability of an incident occurring out of 1,000; the forecast duration is valid for the next 50  months.
  3. Probability includes a significant worsening of Fukushima nuclear disaster, and future quakes forecast for Japan.
  4. A nuclear incident is defined as a level 5 (Accident With Wider Consequences), or worse, on the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES). See below.
  5. Safety issues considered in compiling these lists include the age, number of units and capacity of nuclear reactors in each country/state, previous incidents, probability of damage from human-enhanced natural disasters, e.g., earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic activity, hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, wildfires, flooding… ]
  6. The  Blog’s knowledge concerning the extent to which the factors described in (3) might worsen during the forecast period greatly influences the forecast.

Japan’s Triple Disaster: Human Cost

  • Official Death Toll: ~ 14,000
  • Missing:  ~ 14,000
  • Homeless: At least 155,000
  • Others: In addition to the above, an unknown number of people in remote areas may have perished, but no records are available as of posting.

Related Links

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Fukushima Nuclear Plant Rattled by M6.3 Quake

Posted by feww on April 12, 2011

JAPAN MUST DECOMMISSION ALL NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW !

WARNING: JPTRMT1

Another Strong Shock Rattles Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant

The latest shock measuring 6.3Mw struck about 53km SW of the crippled Fukushima NPP, and 29km west of Iwaki city at a depth of 10km.

EQ details release by JMA

Occurred at (JST) Latitude
(degree)
Longitude
(degree)
Depth Magnitude Region Name
14:07 JST 12 Apr 2011 37.0N 140.7E 10 km 6.3 Fukushima-ken Hamadori

Distances (USGS)

  • 29 km (18 miles) W (280°) from Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
  • 70 km (43 miles) S (172°) from Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
  • 83 km (52 miles) N (6°) from Mito, Honshu
  • 177 km (110 miles) NNE (25°) from TOKYO


Earthquake Location Map: JMA


Earthquake Location Map: USGS

Note: JPTRMT1 is an acronym for Japan Trench Megathrust Earthquake No.1

Japan Nuclear Disaster Update

Japanese authorities have finally raised the measure of severity of the Fukushima NPP disaster to the maximum level of 7 on INES, officials said in an NHK telecast.

Japanese government’s Nuclear Safety Commission had earlier revealed that the amount of radioactive iodine 131 released from Fukushima NPP had reached 10,000 terabecquerels per hour, for several hours at one stage, a level that prompted classification of the breach as a Major Accident [level 7 on INES, e.g, Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986, see below,] Kyodo news reported.

The radiation level has subsequently fallen  to about one terabecquerel per hour, a report said.

“We have upgraded the severity level to seven as the impact of radiation leaks has been widespread from the air, vegetables, tap water and the ocean,” said a spokesman for Japan’s Nuclear and Industrial Safety Agency (NISA).

Radiation leaks from the stricken nuclear plant have not stopped completely and could exceed the  Chernobyl release 25 years ago, an TEPCO official said, NHK reported.

Japan’s Triple Disaster: Human Cost

  • Official Death Toll: 13,133
  • Missing:  14,345
  • Homeless: At least 155,000
  • Others: In addition to the above, an unknown number of people in remote areas may have perished, but no records are available as of posting.

The International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES)

The INES, a logarithmic scale, which was introduced in 1990 by the IAEA to enable prompt communication, classifies the intensity of nuclear incidents as follows:

7 – Major Accident [Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986]

6 – Serious Accident [e.g., Kyshtym incident, Mayak, former Soviet Union, steam explosion released up to 80 tons of highly radioactive material into the atmosphere, September 1957. ]

5 – Accident With Wider Consequences [e.g., Three Mile Island accident  Pen State, U.S., partial meltdown release radioactive gases  into the environment, March 1979.]

4 – Accident With Local Consequences [e.g., Sellafield, UK, at least 5 incidents reported between 1955 to 1979]

3 – Serious Incident [e.g., Vandellos NPP, Spain, fire destroyed control systems; the reactor was shut down, July1989]

2 – Incident [e.g., Forsmark NPP, Sweden, a backup generator failed, July 2006]

1 – Anomaly [e.g., TNPC, France, 1,600 gallons of water containing 75 kilograms (170 lb) of uranium leaked into the environment,  July 2008]

0 – Deviation (No Safety Significance) [e.g., Atucha, Argentina – Reactor shutdown caused by tritium increase in reactor encasement, December 2006.]

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster by Country

The following probability figures are calculated by FIRE-EARTH on April 8, 2011

THIS SECTION HAS BEEN REVISED AND POSTED AT

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster – by Country

on April 18, 2011

Notes:

  1. The list represents a snapshot of events at the time of calculating the probabilities. Any forecast posted  here is subject to numerous variable factors.
  2. Figures in the bracket represent the probability of an incident occurring out of 1,000; the forecast duration is valid for the next 50  months.
  3. Probability includes a significant worsening of Fukushima nuclear disaster, and future quakes forecast for Japan.
  4. A nuclear incident is defined as a level 5 (Accident With Wider Consequences), or worse, on the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES). See below.
  5. Safety issues considered in compiling these lists include the age, number of units and capacity of nuclear reactors in each country/state, previous incidents, probability of damage from human-enhanced natural disasters, e.g., earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic activity, hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, wildfires, flooding… ]
  6. The  Blog’s knowledge concerning the extent to which the factors described in (3) might worsen during the forecast period greatly influences the forecast.

Related Links

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M6.3 Quake Strikes 77km ESE Tokyo

Posted by feww on April 12, 2011

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED: JPTRMT1

JAPAN MUST DECOMMISSION ALL NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW !

Strong Earthquake Strikes Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan

The 6.3Mw quake,which occurred at 08:08 JST (Monday, April 11, 2011 at 23:08 UTC), was epicentered at 35.4ºN, 141.0ºE and struck at a depth of about 30km, Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) said.

The quake reportedly swayed buildings in Tokyo and shut down runways at Narita international airport.

Yesterday’s 7.1Mw quake killed at least 1 person and knock out power to about a quarter of a million households, Japanese authorities reported earlier.

Earthquake Location Map

Note: JPTRMT1 is an acronym for Japan Trench Megathrust Earthquake No.1

Japan Nuclear Disaster

Meanwhile, Tokyo Electric power Company (TEPCO) announced that its technicians  were fighting a fire near Reactor 4 at the stricken Fukushima NPP earlier today, amid reports that the country was raising its nuclear disaster alert to the maximum level.

Japanese government’s Nuclear Safety Commission has now revealed that the amount of radioactive iodine 131 released from Fukushima NPP had reached 10,000 terabecquerels per hour, for several hours at one stage, a level that classifies the breach as a Major Accident [level 7 on INES, e.g, Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986, see below,] Kyodo news reported.

Iodine 131 is believed to have caused the high incidence of thyroid cancer among children living near the Chernobyl plant when the 1986 nuclear disaster occurred.


Reactor 3 at TEPCO’s crippled Fukushima Daiichi NPP is seen in this frame grab  from a video clip  by an unmanned helicopter on April 10, 2011. Image by TEPCO/Handout/ via Reuters

Japan’s Triple Disaster: Human Cost

  • Official Death Toll: 13,127
  • Missing:  14,348
  • Homeless: At least 155,000
  • Others: In addition to the above, an unknown number of people in remote areas may have perished, but no records are available as of posting.

The International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES)

The INES, a logarithmic scale, which was introduced in 1990 by the IAEA to enable prompt communication, classifies the intensity of nuclear incidents as follows:

7 – Major Accident [Chernobyl disaster, criticality accident, April 1986]

6 – Serious Accident [e.g., Kyshtym incident, Mayak, former Soviet Union, steam explosion released up to 80 tons of highly radioactive material into the atmosphere, September 1957. ]

5 – Accident With Wider Consequences [e.g., Three Mile Island accident  Pen State, U.S., partial meltdown release radioactive gases  into the environment, March 1979.]

4 – Accident With Local Consequences [e.g., Sellafield, UK, at least 5 incidents reported between 1955 to 1979]

3 – Serious Incident [e.g., Vandellos NPP, Spain, fire destroyed control systems; the reactor was shut down, July1989]

2 – Incident [e.g., Forsmark NPP, Sweden, a backup generator failed, July 2006]

1 – Anomaly [e.g., TNPC, France, 1,600 gallons of water containing 75 kilograms (170 lb) of uranium leaked into the environment,  July 2008]

0 – Deviation (No Safety Significance) [e.g., Atucha, Argentina – Reactor shutdown caused by tritium increase in reactor encasement, December 2006.]

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster by Country

The following probability figures are calculated by FIRE-EARTH

THIS SECTION HAS BEEN REVISED AND POSTED AT

Probability of a Nuclear Disaster – by Country

on April 18, 2011

Notes:

  1. The list represents a snapshot of events at the time of calculating the probabilities. Any forecast posted  here is subject to numerous variable factors.
  2. Figures in the bracket represent the probability of an incident occurring out of 1,000; the forecast duration is valid for the next 50  months.
  3. Probability includes a significant worsening of Fukushima nuclear disaster, and future quakes forecast for Japan.
  4. A nuclear incident is defined as a level 5 (Accident With Wider Consequences), or worse, on the International Nuclear and Radiological Event Scale (INES). See below.
  5. Safety issues considered in compiling these lists include the age, number of units and capacity of nuclear reactors in each country/state, previous incidents, probability of damage from human-enhanced natural disasters, e.g., earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic activity, hurricanes, tornadoes, storms, wildfires, flooding… ]
  6. The  Blog’s knowledge concerning the extent to which the factors described in (3) might worsen during the forecast period greatly influences the forecast.

Will the Scope of Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Widen?

Posted on April 6, 2011 UPDATED at 13:00UTC

Based on the information available, FIRE-EARTH believes there’s a strong probability that the extent of Fukushima nuclear disaster could widen to directly impact large population centers in Japan up to a 250 – 300km radius of the plant, which includes Tokyo Metropolitan Area.

The reactor vessel or sections of its attachments in one or more of the severely damaged reactors at the plant could explode releasing humongous amounts of radiation into the environment [Probability ≥66% as of posting,] dwarfing the Chernobyl disaster by a massive factor.

What is a lethal dose of radiation from a single Exposure?

Studies of the 1945 atomic bombing at Hiroshima and Nagasaki show that 100 percent of victims whose bodies were exposed to 600,000 millirems (6,000 mSv) died from radiation. About 50 percent of victims who received  450,000 millirems (4,500 mSv) of radiation also died.

(Note: Rem is a unit of ionizing radiation equal to the amount that produces the same damage to humans as one roentgen of high-voltage x-rays.  Source: MIT)

1 rem = 10 mSv  (1 Sv = 100 rem)

Background Radiation in millirems per year (mrem/yr)

  • Average background radiation (US):  300
  • Higher altitudes (e.g, Denver): 400

“Safe Levels” of Radiation (U.S.)

Limits above natural background radiation levels (average 300 millirems per year) and medical radiation:

  • Occupation Limit: Maximum of 5,000  (the limit for a worker using radiation)
  • Average Natural Background: 300

[Note: Lifetime cumulative exposure should be limited to a person’s age multiplied by 1,000 millirems, e.g., a 70-year-old person, 70,000 millirems.]

Adults

  • Max single dose for an adult: 3,000
  • Annual total dose: 5,000

Under 18

  • Max single dose for a person aged under 18 years: 300 millirems (whole body equivalent)
  • Annual total exposure: 500

Fetal Exposure

  • Maximum limit for fetal exposure during gestation period:  50 millirems per month above background levels

Medical

  • Single Chest X-ray (the whole body equivalent): 2 millirem

Air Travel

  • Coast-to-coast US round trip flight: 12 millirems

*Note:  Radiation dose of about 2,000 millisieverts (200,000 millirems) cause serious illness.

Half-life of some radioactive elements

[NOTE: Half-life is the time taken for a radioactive substance to decay by half.]

  • Cesium-134 ~ 2  years
  • Cesium-137 ~ 30 years
  • Iodine-131 ~ 8 days
  • Plutonium-239 ~ 24,200 years
  • Ruthenium-103 ~ 39 days [Ruthenium is a fission product of uranium-235.]
  • Ruthenium-106 ~ 374 days
  • Strontium-90 ~ 28.85 years  [Strontium-90 is a product of nuclear fission and is found in large amounts in spent nuclear fuel and in radioactive waste from nuclear reactors.]
  • Uranium-234 ~  246,000 years
  • Uranium-235 ~ 703.8  million years
  • Uranium-238  ~ 4.468 billion years

Related Links

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M7.1 Quake Strikes Eastern Honshu, Japan

Posted by feww on April 11, 2011

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED: JPTRMT1

Powerful Quake Strikes Eastern Honshu on One-Month Anniversary of  Great East Japan Earthquake

JAPAN MUST DECOMMISSION ITS NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS NOW !

The quake measuring 7.1Mw struck at a depth of 10km about 160 km NNE of Tokyo, and 37km W of Iwaki city in Fukushima prefecture.

The powerful quake shook buildings in Tokyo and a large area of eastern Honshu, Japan’s main island.

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) reported the earthquake details as follows:

Occurred at (JST) Latitude
(degree)
Longitude
(degree)
Depth Magnitude Region Name
17:16 JST 11 Apr 2011 36.9N 140.7E 10 km 7.1 Fukushima-ken Hamadori

Significant Aftershocks

As of 12:00UTC


Source: JMA

Earthquake Location Maps

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster

The powerful quake, which was followed by a tsunami warning, forced technicians to flee the stricken Fukushima Dai-ichi NPP. The latest shock struck amid reports that Japanese authorities were considering to extend the evacuation zone around NPP because of “prolonged exposure to radiation” in several areas.

The villages and towns outside the 20 km evacuation zone that have accumulated radiation will be evacuated, Chief Cabinet Secretary Yukio Edano Edano said at a daily news conference.

The decision to enlarge the evacuation zone around the Fukushima plant is “based on data analysis of accumulated radiation exposure information,” he said.

“These new evacuation plans are meant to ensure safety against risks of living there for half a year or one year,” he said, adding that there was no need for immediate evacuations.

Japan’s Triple Disaster: Human Cost

  • Official Death Toll: 13,127
  • Missing:  14,348
  • Homeless: At least 155,000
  • Others: In addition to the above, an unknown number of people in remote areas may have perished, but no records are available as of posting.

Related Links

Posted in Japan earthquake forecast, japan earthquake map, Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan nuclear warning, Japan Trench Megathrust earthquake | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

M7.4 Quake Strikes Near E Coast of Honshu

Posted by feww on April 7, 2011

Mega Quake May Follow

Powerful 7.4Mw Strikes  66 km East of Sendai, Honshu

JMA has issued a tsunami warning, but it isn’t for a major tsunami

Earthquake Details (issued by Japan Meteorological Agency)

Issued at 23:36 JST 07 Apr 2011

Occurred at (JST)

Latitude
(degree)

Longitude
(degree)

Depth

Magnitude

Region Name

23:32 JST 07 Apr 2011 38.2N 142.0E

40 km

7.4

Miyagi-ken Oki

Tsunami Information NUMBER 2
(High Tide Time and Estimated Tsunami Arrival Time at each place)

Issued at 23:35 JST 07 Apr 2011

High Tide Time and Esti

mated Tsunami Arrival Time at each place
Exercise extreme caution if a tsunami arrives at high tide, as this boosts the height of waves.

Tsunami Forecast Region/
Tsunami Observation Site
High Tide Time Estimated Tsunami
Arrival Time
<Tsunami Warning (Tsunami)>
MIYAGI PREF. (*1)
Ishinomaki-shi Ayukawa 05:08 JST 08 Apr 23:40 JST 07 Apr
Sendai-ko 05:13 JST 08 Apr 00:10 JST 08 Apr
<Tsunami Advisory>
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF. 00:20 JST 08 Apr
Hachinohe 04:52 JST 08 Apr 00:40 JST 08 Apr
Mutsu-shi Sekinehama 04:50 JST 08 Apr 00:50 JST 08 Apr
Mutsuogawara-ko 04:50 JST 08 Apr 00:30 JST 08 Apr
IWATE PREF. (*1)
Miyako 04:54 JST 08 Apr 00:00 JST 08 Apr
Ofunato 05:01 JST 08 Apr 23:50 JST 07 Apr
Kamaishi 05:03 JST 08 Apr 00:00 JST 08 Apr
Kuji-ko 04:54 JST 08 Apr 00:20 JST 08 Apr
FUKUSHIMA PREF. 23:50 JST 07 Apr
Iwaki-shi Onahama 05:28 JST 08 Apr 00:20 JST 08 Apr
Soma 05:19 JST 08 Apr 00:20 JST 08 Apr
IBARAKI PREF. 00:20 JST 08 Apr
Oarai 05:25 JST 08 Apr 00:30 JST 08 Apr
Kamisu-shi Kashima-ko 05:35 JST 08 Apr 00:30 JST 08 Apr

*1 mark: Arrival of tsunami inferred.

Tsunami Warnings and/or Advisories are in currently effect for the following coastal regions of Japan:
Tsunami Warning (Tsunami)
MIYAGI PREF.
<Tsunami Advisory>
PACIFIC COAST OF AOMORI PREF.
IWATE PREF.
FUKUSHIMA PREF.
IBARAKI PREF.
Although there may be slight sea-level changes in coastal regions other than the above, no tsunami damage is expected in those coastal regions.

Earthquake Information
Occurred at 23:32 JST 07 Apr 2011
Region name MIYAGI-KEN OKI
Latitude 38.2N
Longitude 142.0E
Depth about 40 km
Magnitude 7.4

Related Links

Links to Forecasts

March 16, 2011

Global Disaster Forecast – 16 Mar 2011

TOKYO AREA QUAKE WARNING
Large Earthquake Could Strike Tokyo Area – Megaqauke measuring up to 9.2Mw could strike Tokyo / Chiba Area:  FIRE-EARTH Forecast

March 13, 2011

FIRE-EARTH Forecasts: Japan Earthquakes
Japan Earthquakes: A Summary of Forecasts by FIRE-EARTH Blog

Posted in environment, japan earthquake, Japan earthquake forecast, Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan quake, Japan tsunami | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Update – March 30

Posted by feww on March 30, 2011

Radiation Rises in Seawater near Fukushima NPP

Radioactive iodine was detected at 3,355 times the legal limit in seawater some 330 meters south of Japan doomed Fukushima Daiichi nuclear plant, said Japan’s nuclear safety agency.

Iodine 131 is believed to have caused the high incidence of thyroid cancer among children living near the Chernobyl plant when the 1986 nuclear disaster occurred.

Highly radioactive water has inundated at least 3 reactor buildings and is also  found elsewhere at the stricken nuclear plant.

Half-life of some radioactive elements

[NOTE: Half-life is the time taken for a radioactive substance to decay by half.]

  • Cesium-134 ~ 2  years
  • Cesium-137 ~ 30 years
  • Iodine-131 ~ 8 days
  • Plutonium-239 ~ 24,200 years
  • Ruthenium-103 ~ 39 days [Ruthenium is a fission product of uranium-235.]
  • Ruthenium-106 ~ 374 days
  • Strontium-90 ~ 28.85 years  [Strontium-90 is a product of nuclear fission and is found in large amounts in spent nuclear fuel and in radioactive waste from nuclear reactors.]
  • Uranium-234 ~  246,000 years
  • Uranium-235 ~ 703.8  million years
  • Uranium-238  ~ 4.468 billion years

Source: Various

TEPCO UPDATE

The most ridiculous news out of Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO): Chairman Tsunehisa Katsumata has told reporters that he thinks Fukushima Reactors 1 to 4 MAY HAVE TO BE SHUT DOWN PERMANENTLY!

[REALLY?]

Also, is he implying that Reactor 5 and 6, or any part of the Fukushima Dai-ichi for that matter, are still safe?

Death Toll

The number of people dead or missing from the megaquake and tsunami on March 11 stands at about 28,000 people.

Aftershock

Meanwhile another strong aftershock measuring 6.0Mw struck off the east coast of Honshu about 246 km (152 miles) ENE of Tokyo, USGS/EHP reported.

Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) had not reported this quake, as of posting.

Related Links

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M6.4 Shock Strikes Off Fukushima Coast

Posted by feww on March 29, 2011

Megaquakes could split Honshu island

Strong shock strikes about 126 km  ENE from Iwaki, Japan

FIRE-EARTH believes the recent strong shocks may be foreshocks to one or more “Earth Shattering” Megaquakes striking the region. Up to 4 Megaquakes [M ≥8.0] Could Strike Japan Region by 2015. The earthquakes could potentially split Honshu island.

See earlier earthquake forecasts posted at Japan Earthquakes: FIRE-EARTH Forecasts and Recent History.

The following quake details has just been released by Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA)

Earthquake Information (Information on seismic intensity at each site)
Issued at 19:59 JST 29 Mar 2011

Magnitude: 6.4
Depth:  very shallow
Location: 37.4ºN 142.4ºE
Occurred at 19:54 JST 29 Mar 2011
Region Name:   Fukushima-ken Oki (Offshore Fukushima Prefecture, Honshu, Japan)

Distances (USGS)

  • 126 km (78 miles) ENE (72°) from Iwaki, Honshu, Japan
  • 152 km (94 miles) SE (127°) from Sendai, Honshu, Japan
  • 161 km (100 miles) ESE (102°) from Fukushima, Honshu, Japan
  • 296 km (184 miles) NE (48°) from TOKYO, Japan

Earthquake Location Map

10-degree Map Centered at 35°N,140°E


Source: USGS

Related Links

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Japan Nuclear Emergency – Update 28 March

Posted by feww on March 28, 2011

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster

Japan’s nuclear watchdog has reported that the level of radiation detected  near reactor 2 was 1,000 millisieverts an hour (100,000 millirems per hour).

Japan’s nuclear safety officials have since confirmed that the radiation inside Reactor 2 was caused by a partial meltdown of fuel rods.

TEPCO says the radiation in Reactor 2, which was earlier reported at 10 million times the normal, was actually 100,000 the operating level.

Meanwhile, Japan’s nuclear safety agency has dismissed as unreliable a report by Greenpeace that radiation levels of up to 10 microsieverts per hour had been detected 40 km (25 miles) NW of the nuclear plant.


Fukushima NPP. Workers are seen outside the heavily damaged Reactor 4 on March 22, 2011. Photo by TEPCO, via Reuters.

What is a lethal dose of radiation from a single Exposure?

Studies of the 1945 atomic bombing at Hiroshima and Nagasaki show that 100 percent of victims whose bodies were exposed to 600,000 millirems (6,000 mSv) died from radiation. About 50 percent of victims who received  450,000 millirems (4,500 mSv) of radiation also died.

(Note: Rem is a unit of ionizing radiation equal to the amount that produces the same damage to humans as one roentgen of high-voltage x-rays.  Source: MIT)

1 rem = 10 mSv  (1 Sv = 100 rem)

Background Radiation in millirems per year (mrem/yr)

  • Average background radiation (US):  300
  • Higher altitudes (eg. Denver): 400

“Safe Levels” of Radiation (U.S.)

Limits above natural background radiation levels (average 300 millirems per year) and medical radiation:

  • Occupation Limit: Maximum of 5,000  (the limit for a worker using radiation)
  • Average Natural Background: 300

[Note: Lifetime cumulative exposure should be limited to a person’s age multiplied by 1,000 millirems, e.g., a 70-year-old person, 70,000 millirems.]

Adults

  • Max single dose for an adult: 3,000
  • Annual total dose: 5,000

Under 18

  • Max single dose for a person aged under 18 years: 300 millirems (whole body equivalent)
  • Annual total exposure: 500

Fetal Exposure

  • Maximum limit for fetal exposure during gestation period:  50 millirems per month above background levels

Medical

  • Single Chest X-ray (the whole body equivalent): 2 millirem

Air Travel

  • Coast-to-coast US round trip flight: 12 millirems

Megaquake and Tsunami Death Toll

The latest figures released by the authorities put the number of dead at just over 11,000, with about 17,400 people still listed as missing.

Related Links

Posted in Japan Atomic Energy Agency, japan earthquake, Japan Earthquakes 2011, lethal radiation dose | Tagged: , , , , | 1 Comment »

Radiation Contaminates Sea Near Fukushima NPP

Posted by feww on March 26, 2011

Radioactive iodine in the sea near Fukushima NPP 1,250 times higher than the safety limit: Officials

Today’s news is about radioactive leaks in Fukushima, Japan, tomorrow you could hear about similar or worse incidents at a plant near you.

The following article was first published in May 2004 and is one of the most read pieces on the proliferation of nuclear energy. It’s reprinted here with the kind permission of MSRB Blog.

On The Way To Armageddon: Could We Make A Detour?

James Lovelock: ‘Only nuclear power can now halt global warming’

Lovelock’s assertion that “Only nuclear power can now halt global warming” [Independent UK, May 24, 2004] is what Ed Regis (Great Mambo Chicken and the Transhuman Condition) calls turn of century’s “great wave of fin-de-siècle hubristic mania.” The Professor can be forgiven for his tardiness: He is 84.

Lovelock proposes that a massive expansion of nuclear power is the only thing that “can now check a runaway warming which would raise sea levels disastrously around the world, cause climatic turbulence …”

He says he is concerned by “two climatic events in particular: the melting of the Greenland ice sheet, which will raise global sea levels significantly, and the episode of extreme heat in western central Europe last August, accepted by many scientists as unprecedented and a direct result of global warming.” He is right to be concerned.

As well, “climate change is speeding, but many people are still in ignorance of this.” Unfortunately, he is right on target on this one, too.

Tony Juniper, director of Friends of the Earth, says: “Climate change and radioactive waste both pose deadly long-term threats, and we have a moral duty to minimize the effects of both, not to choose between them.”

“[A]s of the end of 2000 the world counted 438 reactors with a total of 350 GW, less than 8 percent of the projected nuclear capacity. They produced about 17 percent of the world’s electricity or about 7.5 percent of its commercial primary energy, far behind oil (40%), coal and natural gas (25% each). Nuclear power accounts for only 2 to 3 percent of the world’s commercial final energy consumption.” http://www.greens-efa.org

Lovelock also fails to consider the issue of time frame: It would probably take 15 to 20 years to even double the projected nuclear capacity from 8 to 16 percent (increasing to 5 percent the nuclear share of world’s commercial final energy consumption) without taking too many shortcuts with devastating consequences (the Chernobyl disaster, the Three Mile Island incident, and many recent near misses in Japan and elsewhere spring to mind). By then, however, the rising sea levels will have inundated most of the existing reactors.

How would Lovelock propose to solve the civilization’s mobility dilemma that we have created in the last 100 years? (About 600 million cars are registered worldwide, as well as millions of trucks and buses, thousands of trains, planes, boats … and millions more are being manufactured each year). What is Lovelock proposing, cars running on nuclear powered batteries? [How about nuclear-powered jets flying over Washington DC?]

Soon the additional demand for oil fueled by the increase in the number of vehicles on the roads and planes in the air would render the nuclear conversion ineffective. The only thing to show for a fleeting moment of madness would be a bigger pile of radioactive waste, which no one knows what to do with.

Global Warming is not the disease; it’s a symptom, albeit the most serious symptom of a cancer caused by industrial civilization. Prescribing more nuclear power (even if it were physically possible) as a cure to the civilization’s cancer is tantamount to treating a smoker’s lung-cancer by switching her over to a different brand of cigarettes.

According to Lester Brown (Earth Policy Institute) the world experienced the fourth consecutive harvest shortfalls in 2003. Last year’s shortfall of 105 million tons (5.4 percent of the total world consumption) was “easily the largest on record.” The world’s carryover stocks of grain are at their “lowest level in 30 years,” amounting to “dangerously low level of 59 days of consumption.” The minimum level needed for food security is considered to be 70 days of consumption. Meanwhile, 74 million people will be added to the world population in 2004. (www.earth-policy.org/Updates/Update40_data.htm).

Based on the United Nations projections, by 2015 nearly 1.4 billion people in up to 48 countries will face severe water shortages (we believe this figure is highly optimistic), while the water quality continues to deteriorate globally from pollution and rising temperatures.

World oil production is about 80 million BPD [barrels per day] and the projected demand for 2015 [a conservative estimate] is an unsustainable 135 million BPD. The New Oil-Rule Economy will replace the “old” economy in the very near future. A single company/organization will have a monopoly on about 80 percent of “economically recoverable” global oil reserves. It will dictate “production,” pricing, and delivery (and will even decide on the end user – who may or may not buy the oil). How much is too much for a barrel of oil, $40, $240, or $4,000 a barrel? Soon, the current monetary system will be of no value.

mushroom-cloud-hb.jpg

The world spent about 1,500 billion dollars on military [the war racket] in the last 12 months. The US share of the spending was about 1,000 billion dollars, or 52 cents in every dollar of Federal Funds (current military spending 29 percent; Iraq and Afghanistan 4 percent; past military 19 percent, including national debt created by military spending) while 35 million Americans live at or below the federal poverty level.

All around us we have created a garbage quicksand. We are sinking rapidly in a quicksand of 57 trillion pounds of materials that is turned into waste annually. Of course, there is a price to pay: The Sixth Great Extinction is looming.

To avert extinction we need an ecological revolution. We must unlearn, rethink, undo, and re-do all human activities re-mapping a sustainable path within the framework of eco-centrism.

Unless the dynamics of our civilization pertaining to our morality, militarism, mobility, consumption, and our perceived ideas about possession and waste are reversed rapidly, this writer believes, the “final” war (which is being fought over the control of resources) would, in the very near future, enter its next sinister stage – a global thermonuclear holocaust.

How else could you prevent anyone in China, to quote but one example, from eating a square meal a day, or owning a car, or the gasoline to drive her car, while the United States with less 5 percent of the world population is taking more than 25 percent of the energy and 30 plus percent of all the resources?

We must begin a new chapter in human evolution, one that rejects wars for control over the oil, food, water supplies, and other resources.

But how do we do it? Is there a “single” solution that would avert an all-out nuclear war, prevent further militarism, check global warming, stop consumerist madness, reduce CO2 emissions by more than 80 percent, reduce acid rains, minimize toxins in the land, air, and sea … ?

The Zero Oil Solution

Yes there is. The zero-oil, NO fossil fuel principle—a moratorium on oil extraction and fossil fuel consumption.

Freeze the oil. Seal the oil wells. Cement them, or otherwise make it impossible to pump out any oil for 50 years. Keep all the fossil fuels in the ground, where they belong!

Stopping the flow of oil globally and keeping the fossil fuels in the ground are drastic measures, of course, and cannot be easily implemented. Freezing the consumption of fossil fuels has far-reaching socio-economical implications; it will create great upheavals. The consequences of the zero-oil, NO fossil fuel principle, however, would be far less devastating than the remaining alternatives: The inevitable global thermonuclear war, and global warming.

A moratorium on oil and fossil fuel production can only be reached through global consensus among governments; it would require an unprecedented level of cooperation among the “representatives” of nations.

The existing resources need to be redistributed fairly; populations must be readied to assume new challenges; lifestyles will be changed dramatically; communities would have to learn how to produce their food (and renewable power) locally, be sustainable and learn to do more with less.

Unfortunately, this author does not believe such levels of cooperation could possibly develop between the world governments anytime soon.

We must, therefore, rely on “we the people.” We need non-violent volunteer organizations to develop and promulgate a new, unified value system based on an eco-centric economy at war speed, employing creative ways and means of stopping the flow of oil and consumption of fossil fuels globally to avert The Sixth Great Extinction.

If we choose life, that’s a price well worth paying for.

Related Links:

Posted in Japan Earthquakes 2011, Japan Nuclear alert, Japan Primary Energy, Japan quake, mick, tohoku earthquake | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

M6.2 aftershock strikes off the coast of Myagi

Posted by feww on March 25, 2011

Strong Shock Strikes 107 km (66 miles) ENE of Sendai, Honshu, Japan

EQ Details
Region: Near East Coast of Honshu, Japan
Time: 2011-03-25 11:36:25.4 UTC
Magnitude: 6.2 Mw
Epicenter: 141.99°E 38.74°N
Depth: 46 km
Status: M – manually revised
Source: GFZ Potsdam – Earthquake Bulletin

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10,000 times the normal radiation at Fukushima R3

Posted by feww on March 25, 2011

Fukushima Nuclear Disaster Continues to Unfold

Dangerously high radiation levels detected in water at Reactor 3: TEPCO

Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) says it has detected dangerously high radiation levels of radiation at Fukushima NPP Reactor 3, which could mean the core has been damaged.

Japanese government says it’s doing all it can to establish the cause of radiation leak at the stricken nuclear complex, and have asked residents living within 20-30km (12-18 miles) of the nuclear plant to leave voluntarily. Until today, residents had been asked to stay indoors.

Two workers at the nuclear facility who were exposed to dangerous levels of radiation remain in hospital. Apparently they had not been wearing protective boots and had ignored a radiation alarm, according to Kyodo news agency.

“As of 24 March, 19:30 Japan time, the number of workers at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant found to have received more than 100 millisieverts of radiation dose totalled 17 including the three contract workers. The remaining fourteen are TEPCO’s employees.” IAEA said.

Meanwhile, two Japanese tourists from Tokyo who arrived in China were taken to a hospital after being found contaminated with high radiation levels, Xinhuanet said.

Mystery surrounds the case as to how the two men became contaminated as neither of them had been within 240km radius of the Fukushima NPP, BBC said.

This news came amid an earlier report that  higher than normal radiation had been detected on a Japanese merchant ship entering the Xiamen port in Fujian province, Xinhua news reported.

Japanese Government has confirmed that levels of radioactive iodine detected in Tokyo’s tap water earlier this week  have since dropped to about normal levels, however radiation levels are still high in various areas of northern Japan.

Decommissioning of older nuclear plants big problem: IAEA

Many of the 441 nuclear reactors operating worldwide were built in the 1970s and 1980s, with an average lifespan of about 35 years (including those at Fukushima plant).

“Their decommissioning peak will occur from 2020 to 2030 which will present a major managerial, technological, safety and environmental challenge to those states engaged in nuclear decommissioning,”  according to a draft safety report by IAEA.

Is it Safe?


Construction of 4 pressurized water reactors at Cattenom Nuclear power plant in France began in 1979. CC-License.

Countries with 10 or more nuclear reactors:

The United States: 104  (Highest number of operational units)
France: 58
Japan: 54
Russia: 32
S. Korea: 21
India: 20
UK: 19
Canada: 18
Germany: 17
Ukraine: 15
China: 13
Sweden: 10

The Basic Points that are Overlooked by the International Atomic Energy Clan

1. Earth is a seismic planet and earthquakes regularly strike various regions.

2. The Pacific Ring of fire is particularly prone to earthquakes, some of them large earthquakes [Megaquakes.]

3. Larger quakes  can and do rip through ALL structures.

4. Offshore megaquakes are invariably followed by large tsunamis.

5. Large tsunamis invariable inundate vast areas, starting with coastal areas.

6. Nuclear power plants use electrical devices to operate vital cooling systems.

7. When inundated, electrical systems invariably fail.

All of the above, of course, is academic.

Related Links

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Tokyo Water Radiation “TOO HIGH” for Infants

Posted by feww on March 23, 2011

updated at 12:00UTC

CONTAMINATED WATER TOO HOT FOR BABIES

High radiation levels in Tokyo’s tap water makes it unfit for infants to drink: Officials

Up to 210 becquerels per liter of radioactive iodine-131 have been detected in some of Tokyo’s tap water;  the safe level for infants is under 100 becquerels per liter.

Note: One becquerel (Bq) represents one nucleus decay per second in a given quantity of radioactive material. 1 GBq = 0.0270 Curie (Ci). Curie is an older unit of radioactivity equal to the decay of 1 gram of radium-226 ~ 1 Ci = 3.7 x 10^10 decays per second.

Tokyo residents have been warned not to give tap water to infants, but told the radiation poses no short-term health threat to adults.

Japan’s Prime Minister, Naoto Kan, has imposed a ban on a comprehensive range of agriculture produce from Fukushima and neighboring Ibaraki prefectures.

Much higher than normal radiation contamination has been detected on spinach and other green leaf vegetables, broccoli, cauliflower, parsley, edible flowers and milk, some as far 30 miles from the stricken nuclear plant, Japanese authorities say.

Meanwhile, the US FDA has announced that farm produce and agriculture produce including milk and milk products, and vegetables and fresh fruits from Fukushima and three other Japanese prefectures—Ibaraki, Tochigi and Gunma—won’t be allowed to enter the United States.

Fukushima Reactors 1, 2 and 3

Work at Reactor 2 was suddenly halted earlier today, but no explanation was given by the authorities, as of posting.

Rising temperature at Reactor 1 is causing mounting concern. The temperature had risen to about 400ºC, some 100 degrees higher than the design permits.

At 4:20pm JST, black smoke was seen rising above Reactor 3, forcing the authorities to evacuate technicians from the area. The cause of the smoke is not known/has not been revealed, as of posting, but the authorities said very high level of radiation was detected before the smoke was released.

Death Toll

About 23,000 people are dead or missing as a result of the March 11 Tohoku Megaquake and the ensuing deadly tsunami.

Japan Forced to Break with Tradition

The overwhelming number of victims and a shortage of kerosene required to cremate their bodies have forced Japan’s local authorities in the stricken prefectures to bury the dead.


Members of the Japan Ground Self Defense Force carry the coffin of a victim of the earthquake and tsunami at a temporary mass grave site in Higashi Matsushima, northern Japan March 23, 2011. REUTERS/Yuriko Nakao. Image may be subject to copyright. More images …

Aftershocks/New Earthquakes

Japan’s Tohoku region has been hit by at least 2 dozens significant aftershocks in the past 24 hours, with the 3 largest measuring 6.6, 6.4 and 6.6Mw.

Related Links

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Significant Seismicity in Tohoku Region, Japan

Posted by feww on March 22, 2011

3 Strong ‘Aftershocks’ Strike Tohoku Region Japan

The events, as reported by USGS, measured 6.6, 6.4 and 6.6Mw and struck within a 2.5 hour period.

The latest events could be foreshocks to yet another Megaquake in the region,  FIRE-EARTH believes.


List of today’s significant earthquakes, as of posting. Source: USGS


Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS. Map enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.

Japan Meteorological Agency has recorded the events as 6.3, 6.3 and 6.2Mw shocks and has not issued any tsunami advisories, as of posting.

Related Links

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Tohoku Tsunami Satellite Images

Posted by feww on March 20, 2011

Deadly Tohoku Tsunami – Before and After Images

Sendai’s Higashi-Matsushima Airport Inundated by Tsunami Floods


This radar image, obtained with the German Earth-observation satellite TerraSAR-X on 12 March 2011 at 21:43 CET, shows the effect of the tsunami on Higashi-Matsushima Airport and the port of Ishinomaki in the Sendai region on the east coast of Japan. The blue areas indicate flooding; the magenta-coloured areas reveal the extent of the destruction. Credit: DLR. Click image to enlarge (2.9MB)

The port of Sendai after the tsunami


Click image to enlarge (3.25MB)


Impact of the deadly Tohoku tsunami shown in a 12 March 2011 satellite image. The ‘before’ image is added for comparison. Credit: DLR/Rapid Eye. Click image to enlarge.

Death Toll Update

About 8,200 have perished, with another 12,300 people missing. Japanese police say as many as 15.000 people may have been killed in Miyagi prefecture alone.

Radiation Update

Taiwanese officials have found contamination in a batch of fava beans exported from Japan, although the amount, they said, was too small to be pose any threat to human health.

Links  to DLR Satellite Images

Disaster Extent Map – Japan – Sendai Region

Related Links

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Japan’s Triple Disaster Update Mar 20

Posted by feww on March 20, 2011

UPDATED 12:00UTC

TEPCO FALSIFIED SAFETY RECORDS

Tokyo Electric Power Co (TEPCO) the operator of Fukushima Daiichi NPP has admitted faking repair reports.

TEPCO submitted a report to the Japan’s nuclear watchdog on 28 February, 11 days before the Tohoku Megaquake, admitting it had not  inspected 33 pieces of equipment in the plant’s six reactors.

‘Long-term inspection plans and maintenance management were inadequate,’ the nuclear safety agency concluded in its follow-up report two days later.

The company also admitted that the voluntary inspections didn’t cover substantial section of the cooling systems, including water pumps and diesel generators.

In 2002, TEPCO again admitted to falsifying safety reports, prompting the nuclear safety authorities to shut down all 17 of its boiling-water reactors for  inspection, including Fukushima.

In 2007,  after an earthquake struck the Kashiwazaki Kariwa NPP, the world’s largest, TEPCO submitted false reports concerning the amount of radioactive leak.

Radioactive contamination found in food products from Fukushima prefecture: Officials

Radioactive iodine has been found in milk samples and spinach produced in the Fukushima and could be harmful to human health if ingested, Japan’s science and technology ministry reported.

Minute amounts of radioactive iodine have also been detected in tap water in Tokyo and five other prefectures neighboring Fukushima: Gunma, Tochigi, Niigata, Chiba and Saitama.

In addition to the iodine, traces of radioactive cesium have also been found in tap water in Gunma and Tochigi prefectures, the ministry added.

The radioactive traces fall within the government safety limits, but tests don’t normally show iodine contamination, AP reported.

Radioactive iodine has a short half-life of eight days, but it can poses short-term risk to human health if ingested. It can also cause damage to the thyroid gland, IAEA health experts say.

“Progress”

“We are making progress … (however) we shouldn’t be too optimistic,” the deputy-general at Japan’s Nuclear Safety Agency has said.

Fukushima Reactor 3, which contains plutonium, a highly radioactive element, has bee stabilized after being doused for a day with large volumes of  seawater.

UPDATE: Shortly after announcing Reactor 3 had been stabilized, the authorities said pressure was again building up in the reactor’s containment vessel.

Aftershocks

A magnitude 6.1 aftershock struck Ibaraki prefecture south of Fukushima on Saturday at 06:57 PM local time. However, no significant aftershocks were reported Sunday (local time), as of posting. But the “fireworks” are by no means over, FIRE-EARTH believes.

UPDATE: Magnitude 6.1 Strikes Near the East Coast of Honshu

Magnitude: 6.1
Date-Time: Sunday, March 20, 2011 at 12:03:48 UTC
Location: 39.365°N, 142.105°E
Depth: 53.1 km (33.0 miles)
Region: NEAR THE EAST COAST OF HONSHU, JAPAN
Distances:

  • 90 km (55 miles) ESE of Morioka, Honshu, Japan
  • 139 km (86 miles) SSE of Hachinohe, Honshu, Japan
  • 162 km (100 miles) NE of Sendai, Honshu, Japan
  • 458 km (284 miles) NNE of TOKYO, Japan

Source: USGS

RADIATION RISKS TO HEALTH

A Joint Statement from the American Association of Clinical Endocrinologists, the American Thyroid Association, The Endocrine Society, and the Society of Nuclear Medicine

The recent nuclear reactor accident in Japan due to the earthquake and tsunami has raised fears of radiation exposure to populations in North America from the potential plume of radioactivity crossing the Pacific Ocean. The principal radiation source of concern is radioactive iodine including iodine-131, a radioactive isotope that presents a special risk to health because iodine is concentrated in the thyroid gland and exposure of the thyroid to high levels of radioactive iodine may lead to development of thyroid nodules and thyroid cancer years later. During the Chernobyl nuclear plant accident in 1986, people in the surrounding region were exposed to radioactive iodine principally from intake of food and milk from contaminated farmlands. As demonstrated by the Chernobyl experience, pregnant women, fetuses, infants and children are at the highest risk for developing thyroid cancer whereas adults over age 20 are at negligible risk.

Radioiodine uptake by the thyroid can be blocked by taking potassium iodide (KI) pills or solution, most importantly in these sensitive populations. However, KI should not be taken in the absence of a clear risk of exposure to a potentially dangerous level of radioactive iodine because potassium iodide can cause allergic reactions, skin rashes, salivary gland inflammation, hyperthyroidism or hypothyroidism in a small percentage of people. Since radioactive iodine decays rapidly, current estimates indicate there will not be a hazardous level of radiation reaching the United States from this accident. When an exposure does warrant KI to be taken, it should be taken as directed by physicians or public health authorities until the risk for significant exposure to radioactive iodine dissipates, but probably for no more than 1-2 weeks. With radiation accidents, the greatest risk is to populations close to the radiation source. While some radiation may be detected in the United States and its territories in the Pacific as a result of this accident, current estimates indicate that radiation amounts will be little above baseline atmospheric levels and will not be harmful to the thyroid gland or general health.

We discourage individuals needlessly purchasing or hoarding of KI in the United States. Moreover, since there is not a radiation emergency in the United States or its territories, we do not support the ingestion of KI prophylaxis at this time. Our professional societies will continue to monitor potential risks to health from this accident and will issue amended advisories as warranted.
______________________________________________________________________
For additional information, please contact Stephanie Kutler, Director of Government and Public Affairs, at skutler@endo-society.org.

Related Links

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Tsunami-hit Sendai Coast – Satellite Images

Posted by feww on March 19, 2011

Tsunami impact on Sendai, Japan


Flooded fields on the tsunami-hit Sendai coast. Some of the fields are still waterlogged a week after the deadly tsunami spawned by the 9.0Mw Tohoku Megaquake caused much destruction along Japan’s eastern coast of Honshu. Photo-like image taken by ALI on NASA’s EO-1 satellite on March 18, 2011. Click image to enlarge. Download larger image (7 MB, JPEG)

Death Toll

Death toll in Japan’s twin disasters has reached about 7,400 with up to 11,000 others still missing.

Less Love for the Japanese Victims?

US charitable organizations have raised $64 million for Japan since the Tohoku Megaquake struck last Friday, a report said.

Six days after the Haiti earthquake struck, however, the same charities had raised $210 million. And in a similar period after Hurricane Katrina hit the US Gulf Coast they had raised $457 million.

Canadians also donated far less money to Japan than they did Haiti, a report said.

In the week following Haiti’s devastating quake last year, the Humanitarian Coalition (CARE Canada, Oxfam Canada, Oxfam-Québec and Save the Children Canada) raised $3.5 million. In the last 7 days, however, they have only raised $450,000 for Japan.

One reason might be that donors no longer trust charity organizations. They are wising up to the money black hole created by the international charity mafia. The sad fact is a great number of charities eat up as much as 95% of the contribution dollars. [See also comments about Haiti donations posted on this blog.]

Related Links

Tsunami and Megaquake Satellite Images:

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Global Disaster Forecast – UPDATE 19 Mar

Posted by feww on March 19, 2011

THE NEXT MAJOR DISASTER COULD STRIKE THE U.S.

The next major anthropogenic or human-enhanced natural disaster [e.g., climate related] could occur in the United States with a probability of 0.75

The world’s next catastrophic tectonics event could occur in

  1. Western United States, Iceland, or Taiwan [Probability of 0.74]
  2. New Zealand Region, Indonesia, FIJI Islands, or Chile [Probability of 0.73]
  3. Japan Region [Probability of 0.72]

FIRE-EARTH disaster forecasts cover 2 levels:

  • Specific Events
  • Global Impact

An explanation of the relationship between the disasters that were forecast for 2010 and 2011-2012 and beyond and their Global Impact has been previously posted on the blog. See below for links:

2010 Disasters: Planetary collapse driven by man-made cataclysms
Fire-Earth Moderators believe at least one disaster could strike somewhere on the planet each day, throughout 2010. The outlook for 2011 and beyond …Go to links page for 2010 Disaster Calendar

2011 SIX TIMES MORE DISASTROUS THAN 2010: FIRE-EARTH Forecast
Humans
continued to devour energy at a rate of 17.3terrawatt in 2011, when maximum ‘safe’ limit was less than 1.9terrawatt … Go to links page for 2011 Disaster Calendar

Related Links:

  • EQJP [Includes summary of Japan’s recent earthquakes and forecasts]

Links to Disaster Calendars:

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Japan Megaquake Shaking Intensity

Posted by feww on March 19, 2011

Tohoku Megaquake Shaking Intensity Map


Click image to enlarge. Download larger image (743 KB, JPEG)

A map of ground motion and shaking intensity from the Tohoku megaquake across Japan, prepared by Oak Ridge National Laboratory. Source: NASA-EO

Shakemap


Other formats: Click here.

Historic Seismicity


Source: USGS/EHP


Source: USGS/EHP

Related Links

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