Earth is fighting to stay alive. Mass dieoffs, triggered by anthropogenic assault and fallout of planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin anytime!
Emergency Bulletins are now available via FIRE-EARTH PULSARS.
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Injury Claims Against Google: Fire-Earth posts important news & unique analysis that could help save you from harm, but Google [Alphabet Inc] filters the blog to protect their vast business interest. If you incur any injury or loss due to the denial of information, you may sue the Internet Mafia for damages.
STOP CENSORING THE REAL NEWS
WordPress is HACKING this blog!
WordPress continues to hack FIRE-EARTH & affiliated blogs at the behest of its corporate clients.
Blog Moderators condemn in the strongest terms the blatant removal and manipulation of content.
Starting January 29, 2013, Google & WordPress have restricted access to FIRE-EARTH reducing blog traffic by up to 95 percent, enabling their affiliated sites and commercial partners to hijack (and twist) the news, analysis and core ideas presented here.
Blocking information, hacking websites and twisting the facts concerning harm inflicted to Earth by humans are major crimes against nature, punishable by drought, famine, disease...
Caution
Technical information and scientific data from the US Government agencies (NASA, EPA…) are subject to variation due to political expediency.
This caution also extends to the UN organizations (e.g., FAO, WHO…).
As of August 2011, FIRE-EARTH will no longer reprint photos from NASA, due to the agency's wanton crimes against nature.
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5000 Lightning strikes in 2 hours, as powerful winds batter NZ capital, “worse is yet to come”
Hurricane-strength winds have downed trees, closed roads and cut power to thousands of New Zealand homes, forcing dozens of flight cancellation in the capital Wellington on Monday.
A local forecaster has warned “worse is yet to come” with ”the meat of the core of the strong winds” to hit Wellington between 2-8pm today.
Parts of the country were also being “lit up like a Christmas tree” by lightning strikes, said the forecaster, with 5000 strikes recorded between 10am and noon Monday.
“Most of those were west of the South Island’s main divide, although some were spilling over to the east,” said a report.
Pressed for specific timelines in climate change, presumably due to the pressure exerted by the unparalleled FIRE-EARTH forecasts, a group of “stone-scientists” have come up with datelines of their own projecting “timing of climate departure from recent variability.”
RE: Climate shift to a “new normal”
In a yet another justifying-our-paychecks-n-grants study, yet another group of “stone-scientists” have predicted that:
Temperatures in an average year would be hotter by 2047 (give or take 14 years) than those in the warmest year in the 1860-2005 time period if the greenhouse gas emissions continue to rise.
The tropics would be affected first, including an early shift for Manokwari in Indonesia (2020), and Kingston, Jamaica (2023).
Up to 5 billion people would be living in regions outside the limits of historical variability.
The first part of the report’s abstract published by [who else but] Buy/Rent NOW nature.come reads:
The projected timing of climate departure from recent variability
Ecological and societal disruptions by modern climate change are critically determined by the time frame over which climates shift beyond historical analogues. Here we present a new index of the year when the projected mean climate of a given location moves to a state continuously outside the bounds of historical variability under alternative greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. Using 1860 to 2005 as the historical period, this index has a global mean of 2069 (±18years s.d.) for near-surface air temperature under an emissions stabilization scenario and 2047 (±14years s.d.) under a ‘business-as-usual’ scenario. Unprecedented climates will occur earliest in the tropics and among low-income countries…
The reality: Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems
Diagram shows the exponential growth of Human Impact on Nature (HION) between 1960 and July 2013. Source: FIRE-EARTH Real-Time Earth Models. Copyright: FIRE-EARTH Blog Authors.
The Thing They Can See But Can’t Understand
So what’s the biggest false assumption, misunderstanding or otherwise abject failure to fathom the facts that the “stone-scientists” have made and continue to make?
They treat Earth like a pile of “unrelated,” “disinterested” [dead] rocks that has no impact in what’s happening on and around it. They see the planet as a film studio within which one or more of their scenarios would be bound to play out.
They can’t see Earth and its natural defense mechanisms as the major part of interactive forces in the climate change equation, and life.
They can “see” Mars and all the other “dead” planets that are out there to see, but evidently fail to understand the contrast between life and “non-life.”
Only a living planet can support life, and to continue doing so, Earth, wounded by wanton human impact, must go on fighting to stay alive.
“[The asteroid] was discovered on Friday night by our station near Lake Baikal and nine hours later it flew within 11,300 kilometers of the Earth surface, below the orbit of geostationary satellites. It was about 15 meters in size,” said Vladimir Lipunov of the Moscow State University and the Sternberg Astronomical Institute.
The quake has killed at least a dozen people and injured more than two dozen others, after it destroyed several houses in Nokjo district of Awaran, Baluchistan, according to early reports.
Meantime, death toll from an earlier earthquake that struck the region on September 24 has reached 515, with about 1,000 others injured, according to local officials.
The earlier quake, which was followed by several significant aftershocks, destroyed thousands of homes in villages near the epicenter, affecting more than 300,000 people in the sparsely populated region.
This earthquake was an aftershock which occurred approximately 30 km to the NNE of the September 24, 2013 M7.7 event, according to USGS/EHP.
EQ Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.
EQ Details [USGS/EHP]
Event Time: 2013-09-28 07:34UTC
Epicenter: 27.263°N, 65.587°E
Depth: 14.8km (9.2mi)
Nearby Cities
96km NNE of Awaran, Pakistan
135km NNW of Bela, Pakistan
811km ENE of Muscat, Oman
Tectonic Summary
The September 28, 2013 M6.8 earthquake in south-central Pakistan occurred as the result of oblique-strike-slip motion at shallow crustal depths. This earthquake is an aftershock located approximately 30 km to the north-northeast of the September 24, 2013 M7.7 event, which struck with a similar faulting mechanism. As with the September 24 event, the September 28 earthquake mechanism and location are consistent with rupture within the Eurasia plate above the Makran subduction zone. The event occurred within the transition zone between northward subduction of the Arabia plate beneath the Eurasia plate and northward collision of the India plate with the Eurasia plate. … Makran subduction zone has produced large devastating earthquakes and tsunamis.Read more…
The 7.0 quake centered at 15.882°S, 74.543°W struck 40km deep in the Pacific Ocean, about 50km south of Acari in the southern Arequipa region, Peru, said USGS/EHP.
The quake has reportedly caused landslides, toppling adobe houses, killing at least three people and injuring 12 others in the Arequipa region, according to El Comercio.
The reported deaths and injuries occurred when a copper mine collapsed in the district of Chaparra trapping an unspecified number of miners.
The quake shook buildings in the capital of Lima more than 500km away, said the report.
Tsunami Status
Peruvian government has not issued any tsunami alerts.
NO destructive tsunami reported.
A strong quake measuring 5.8Mw struck 42km southeast (230º) of the disaster-ridden Fukushima Nuclear Power Plant at a depth of 20km, Japan’s Meteorological Agency (JMA) reported.
Centered at 37.1N, 140.7E, the quake struck at 02:25 JST on September 20, 2013.
Tremors were felt in 17 prefectures across Japan, causing buildings to sway in the capital Tokyo, about 170km away, according to eyewitnesses.
Earthquake Information (Information is based on seismic intensity detected at various sites throughout Japan) – Issued at 02:31 JST – 20 Sep 2013
Event Date and Time: 02:25 JST on 20 Sep 2013
Magnitude: 5.8
Depth: 20km
Location: 37.1N, 140.7E
Region Name: Fukushima-ken, Hamadori
Source: JMA
Researchers have discovered an immense shield volcano on the seabed, northwest Pacific Ocean.
Tamu Massif is said to be the oldest and largest edifice of the Shatsky Rise oceanic plateau in the northwestern Pacific Ocean.
A single, immense volcano, Tamu Massif is constructed from massive lava flows that erupted from the center of volcano to form a broad, shield-like dome some 145 million years ago.
Researchers writing in the journal Nature Geoscience suggest the 310,000 km² (119,000 mi²) Tamu Massif could be the largest single volcano on Earth, comparable in size only to the Olympus Mons on Mars, believed to be the largest volcano in the Solar System.
The Tamu Massif Volcano ~ 32.5ºN, 158.4ºE
Rising 3.5km above the seabed, Massif lies about 2km below the sea, and is rooted more than 30 km into the earth’s crust on the Shatsky Rise, some 1,600 km east of Japan.
“We don’t have the data to see inside them and know their structure, but it would not surprise me to find out that there are more like Tamu out there,” said Dr Sager, one of the researchers at the University of Houston.
“Indeed, the biggest oceanic plateau is Ontong Java plateau, near the equator in the Pacific, east of the Solomons Islands. It is much bigger than Tamu—it’s the size of France.” [Tamu is nearly the size of Norway. Editor]
Key point
“One interesting angle is that there were lots of oceanic plateaus (that) erupted during the Cretaceous Period (145-65 million years ago) but we don’t see them since. Scientists would like to know why.” Sager said.
Ubinas Volcano in Moquegua region, SW Peru, erupted twice on September 1, and again on September 2, followed by two additional eruptions on September 3, and one on September 4.
The latest eruptions ejected columns of ash and volcanic gases to heights of about two kilometers above the summit crater.
Peru’s most active volcano, Ubinas is located about 70 kilometers from the city of Arequipa (metro pop: ~ 1,260,000), near the country’s Pacific coast, about 230 km east of the Peru-Chile trench and about 150 km above the Benioff-Wadati plane, where the Nazca plate is subducting under the continental part of the South American Plate.
“We have to be alert in monitoring the volcano to consider any evacuation if it is needed,” said President Ollanta Humala on Wednesday.
Ubinas Volcano has erupted six times since September 1, 2013 after three years of dormancy. Image credit: ANDINA
The sudden landslide along a coastal road in northern Taiwan crushed a car and was captured by a dashcam in another vehicle traveling closely behind. A massive boulder narrowly missed the car.
Landslides in Taiwan
A massive landslide buried a 300-m stretch of the No. 3 Freeway between Taipei and Keelung. Photo. Taiwan News. Image may be subject to copyright.
Two earthquakes struck in the Irish Sea early Sunday, said the British Geological Survey.
The strongest shock measured 3.3 on the Richter scale at a depth of about 5km some 25km off the coast of Blackpool at 10.58am (BST), and was reportedly felt by people on the British mainland.
An earlier quake measuring about 2.4 magnitude at a depth of 3km occurred about 4 hours earlier.
[Really?]
“The Irish National Seismic Network , which monitors seismic activity, has said that today’s earthquakes were ‘most likely the result of glacial rebound, the process whereby stresses built up the weight of glaciers from the last Ice Age are slowly released,'” said a report.
“It was not as strong as the Irish Sea earthquake on May 29th this year. The epicenter of the quake, which registered at magnitude 3.8, was 15km away from the town of Abersoch in Gwynedd, the British Geological Survey (BGS) said.”
A magnitude 4.0 quake struck the Iceland Region (62.90°N, 25.18°W) on Sunday at 07:00 UTC.
Local geologists would be advised to investigate connection between those quakes.
Buenos Aires Temperatures hit a low of 2 degrees and a high of 10ºC
Polar wave hits Argentina again with very low temperatures in Buenos Aires. The polar wave which started on Friday in Buenos Aires Province and reached the city and surroundings, pushed down the temperatures to highs of 10°C and lows of 2°C, reported TELAM.
An earlier cold snap hit Argentina on July 19, 2013, said a report.
Original caption: Two girls are protected themselves from the cold with warm clothes while walking in a street in Buenos Aires City, capital of Argentina, on Aug. 23, 2013. Thursday was registered a polar wave in Buenos Aires province, where it is expected that the minimum temperature will be two degrees Celsius and maximum will be ten degrees Celsius until Monday of next week, according to local press information. (Xinhua/TELAM). More images…
Sakurajima volcano in southern Japan erupted Sunday afternoon spewing a mushroom-shaped ash plume up to 5000 meters into the air, the highest plume ever recorded for the volcano.
Sakurajima volcano erupts in southern Japan’s Kyushu prefecture ejecting a five-kilometer high plume of ash, the highest volcanic plume ever recorded for the volcano. Photo: Kagoshima Local Meteorological Observatory/ via AP.
The 1117-m high volcano dumped a large amount of volcanic ash over Kagoshima city, located at the southwestern tip of the island of Kyushu, causing train delays and poor visibility on the roads.
The 50-minute eruption, the volcano’s 500th so far this year, was accompanied by a lava flow which traveled about 1,000 meters down the SE flank of the volcano.
Sakurajima was placed on “Level 3 Alert” (Do not approach the volcano) on 21 March 2012, according to Japan’s Meteorological Agency (JMA)
People used umbrellas and handkerchiefs to protect themselves against falling ash in Kagoshima city, Kagoshima Prefecture after Sakurajima eruption on Sunday August 18, 2013. (Photo credit: Bunna Takizawa/ via Asahi Shimbun)
Extreme monsoon triggers severe flooding, swamps more than 200 villages in Pakistan
The latest episode has left hundreds of people dead, injured or unaccounted for, local media reported.
“The rains affected 334,764 people, killed at least 108 people, and wounded 104,” said a senior National Disaster Management Authority official. The rains have hit 770 villages and completely destroyed 2,427 houses across Pakistan, he added.
An aerial view of the flood-hit area of Boddomali in Sialkot district, Punjab province, in Pakistan. PHOTO: APP (Image may be subject to copyright).
Flood warnings have been issued for more than 200 villages near the Chenab River, officials said.
Egypt Killing Fields
Egyptian army and the paramilitary police have evacuated supporters of ousted president Mohamed Morsi from AL Fateh Mosque in downtown Cairo. The latest round of clashes starting Friday thru Saturday morning have left at least 173 civilian and 57 military/police personnel dead, according to government figures.
Floods, typhoon devastate China
“Dozens of people have been killed and millions more affected in China as floods ravaged the country’s northeast and typhoon lashed southern provinces over the past few days,” said a report.
The worst affected areas are in Jilin, Heilongjiang and Liaoning Provinces.
“While the northeast regions are battling the flooding, southern Guangdong Province and Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region are fighting with a devastating typhoon (TY UTOR, the 11th and the strongest so far this year, made landfall Wednesday near Yangjiang, Guangdong), which has left at least 10 people dead and four others missing.” The report said.
The SW monsoon hit Guangdong soon after the typhoon, leaving more people dead and others missing, according to local flood control authorities.
Floods have destroyed or severely damaged at least 60,000 homes in the affected areas.
Residents of Seddon, NZ Abandon Town After Quake Swarm
Terrified residents were fleeing Seddon last night after a 5.5 earthquake rattled the quake-weary town.
The aftershock that struck just before 9 o’clock last night was more than some residents could take, with at least one family leaving town for good.
Red Cross team leader Ben McKinnon said the succession of strong aftershocks was proving too much for some locals.
“We’ve actually just had people turn up after this latest aftershock who were heading for Nelson tonight.
“They’ve decided they don’t want to live in Seddon any more. They’ve got very young kids and they’re going nuts so they just threw everything into the car and took off.
“There’s a lot of very anxious people and anxious kids as well,” said McKinnon, who was manning a welfare centre at Seddon School.
Despite widespread damage to homes at the epicentre of Friday’s quake there have been just five injuries, including one person with a broken back. [More… ]
34 Dead, 85 missing in the Philippines latest maritime disaster
Death toll in the ferry collision off the Philippine Coast has climbed to 34, officials said. St Thomas Aquinas passenger ferry collided with the cargo vessel MV Sulpicio Express 7 in the seas off Talisay, Cebu Province in central Philippines. As of Sunday morning, at least 85 passengers were unaccounted for.
Credit Suisse says the cost would be less than US$1 billion
[A billion here, 10 billion there, and pretty soon…]
“Sunday’s magnitude 6.5 earthquake, centered in Cook Strait, released energy equivalent to 100 nuclear bombs of the size which devastated Hiroshima,” said NZ scientists.
[Before FIRE-EARTH using Hiroshima atom bomb as a unit of measuring destructive energy for a visualization of stress energy released by earthquakes no one else had made the comparison. Now everyone and their uncle copy the blog.]
Credit Suisse has estimated the cost of Sunday night’s quake in Cook Strait to be below US$1 billion ($1.3 billion), according to the Insurance Council of New Zealand.
[NZ may well prove to be the straw that broke the camel’s bank!]
The dealing room in BNZ’s Harbour Quay building following Sunday’s M6.5 quake. The building will remain closed until further notice. Image: BNZ via Stuff New Zealand.
“Damage in Wellington has been limited largely to burst pipes, some internal damage to buildings and superficial structural damage. Cordons were still up in Featherston St today because of the dangers of loose masonry and glass.
“The Marlborough town of Seddon was also affected by the quake, with cracks opening up in a dam built on Starborough Creek which flows through the township about 15km away. The dam held 250,000 tonnes of water, being slowly released under an emergency action plan, and was not considered a threat to people living below.
“Out of the 2500 buildings in Wellington’s CBD, much of the area on reclaimed land, 35 were found to have external damage,” said the report.
NZ Quake Links:
On June 13, 2011, in reply to a comment posted on the blog, FIRE-EARTH said:
As if by a massive irony, your most populated cities are situated right above geological nightmares–a fact that your government scientists don’t know, or won’t tell you.
On March 4, 2011, in reply to a comment posted on the blog, FIRE-EARTH said:
Our advice to YOU and all intelligent people in Wellington area 1. There’s a frighteningly large buildup of tectonic stress energy right under your feet. 2. RUN while you’re still alive, before the next exodus bottleneck makes it impossible to flee the danger zone.
At least 75 killed, 400 injured in NW China earthquakes
Magnitude 6.6 quake struck NW China’s Gansu Province killing at least 75 people and leaving more than 400 others injured, most of them seriously.
At least 30,000 homes have been damaged and as many as 2,000 have collapsed after the earthquakes.
The mainshock, which was reported as a magnitude 5.9 event by USGS/EHP, was followed by at least one significant aftershock measuring 5.6Mw, as of posting.
Earthquake Details
Time: 2013-07-22 08:45:56 [UTC+09:00]
Location: 34.499°N, 104.243°E [USGS]
Depth: 9.8km[USGS], 20km [Official China sources]
Original caption: Photo taken on July 22, 2013 shows a damaged house in quake-hit Majiagou Village of Minxian County, northwest China’s Gansu Province. Fifty-four deaths have so far been confirmed in the 6.6-magnitude earthquake which jolted a juncture region of Minxian County and Zhangxian County in Dingxi City Monday morning. (Xinhua/Tu Guoxi)
Original caption: Photo taken with a mobile phone shows rescuers work in quake-hit Meichuan Town of Minxian County, northwest China’s Gansu Province, July 22, 2013. A 6.6-magnitude earthquake jolted a juncture region of Minxian County and Zhangxian County in Dingxi City Monday morning. (Xinhua). More images …
Deadly Earthquakes in China
Apr 2013 – M6.6 earthquake in Sichuan province killed at least 160
Sept 2012 – M5.6 earthquake in Yunnan and Guizhou provinces killed at least 80
Mar 2011 – M5.4 earthquake in Yunnan province killed at least 22
Apr 2010 – M6.9 earthquake in Qinghai province killed more than 1,100
May 2008 – M7.9 earthquake in Sichuan province killed at least 86,000
See blog content for details.
UPDATED Monday July 22, 2013 @ 11:45UTC
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July 22, 2013 – SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN –
964 Days Left
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
Climatological and Geological Warning! The New Zealand region is about to experience significant climatological events and large-scale geological and tectonic activity over an extensive period of time. Would be visitors are advised to stay out of the area for the foreseeable future.
Will a magnitude 9.8 (MW) earthquake centered at 42° 00′ 59″ South, 175° 05′ 07″ East herald the end of New Zealand Islands?
Hundreds of people were evacuated on Sunday as Tungurahua volcano [“Throat of Fire” in Quichua] in central of Ecuador erupted.
The volcano ejected “ashes and hot solids into the air,” said the National Risk Management Secretariat, as they raised the volcano alert level to “orange.”
“The explosion from the volcano could be heard from various cities such as Riobamba, Ambato, and Guayaquil [which is 250 km from the volcano] and the tremor was felt in volcano’s region, ” said the Ecuadorian Geophysics Institute.
The eruptions and smoke could be seen from the capital, Quito, some 140 km north of the volcano.
The 5,023-m “Throat of Fire” has been active since 1999.
Tungurahua eruption viewed from the city of Banos in this AFP photo dated December 17, 2012. Image may be subject to copyright.
-oOo-
Volcanic Activity Continues at Popocatépetl
Latest Activity at Popocatépetl. Image Credit: CENAPRED
Close-up of Popocatépetl Summit Crater – July 15,2013. Image Credit: CENAPRED – Mexico
Latest statement issued Mexico’s CENAPRED, as Popocatépetl continued to spee ash and volcanic matter Late Monday.
July 15 18:00 h (July 15 23:00 GMT)
During the last 7 hours the monitoring system at Popocatepetl volcano registered 6 low intensity exhalations, which were probably followed by emissions of gases and ash, although this could not be corroborated due to the prevailing cloud cover. Aditionally, two volcanotectonic microseisms of Mc 2.0 and 2.1 were detected at 12:03 and 15:32, respectively.
Today an overflight was made with the aid of the mexican Navy, in which it could be seen that the dome reported on the previous overflight was destroyed by the explosions which ocurred and were reported on the last few days. In its place a new crater 200 m in diameter and 20 to 30 m deep was seen (see image) (see image) (see image) (see image).
DISASTER Diary – 21 May 2013 [At least 2 dozen significant quakes, measuring between 5.0 and 6.0Mw, have struck off the east coast of Kamchatka Peninsula, Russia since Monday May 20, 2013. ]
FIRE-EARTH Forecast for the Next Mega Quake
FIRE-EARTH will NOT release details of its forecast for the next Mega Quake as a continued protest to the ongoingcensorship, hacking and theft of the intellectual property that are posted on this blog.
Angry Pavlof continues to belch out ash, gas and steam
PAVLOF VOLCANO (CAVW #1102-03-)
55°25’2″ N 161°53’37” W, Summit Elevation 8261 ft (2518 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Ash, gas and steam emissions continue at Pavlof Volcano, as seismic tremors and intense elevated surface temperatures persist, AVO reported.
Pavlof volcano eruption column, May 18, 2013 (12:00am AKDT). Photo courtesy Theo Chesley/AVO.
Other Alaska Volcanoes
CLEVELAND VOLCANO (CAVW #1101-24-)
52°49’20” N 169°56’42” W, Summit Elevation 5676 ft (1730 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Elevated surface temperatures at the summit of Cleveland Volcano were observed in satellite images Saturday morning AKDT, AVO reported.
Hawaii Volcanoes
KILAUEA VOLCANO (CAVW #1302-01-)
19°25’16” N 155°17’13” W, Summit Elevation 4091 ft (1247 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Activity Summary: At the summit, tiltmeters recorded the start of DI inflationary tilt and the lava lake level rose. At Pu`u `O`o vent in the middle east rift zone, there was no new activity within the crater but the Kahauale`a II lava flow remained active on the north base of the cone. To the southeast, the Peace Day pali flow remained active on the coastal plain while the main flow branch continued to enter the ocean in at least 2 locations spanning the Hawai`i Volcanoes National Park boundary. Gas emissions remained elevated. (HVO)
Recent Observations at the middle east rift zone vents: Only glow was seen from the east lava pond and spatter cones on the crater floor. The tiltmeter on the north flank of Pu`u `O`o cone recorded the start of DI inflationary tilt at 8 pm yesterday. GPS receivers on the north rim and south base of Pu`u `O`o cone recorded neither extension nor contraction since May 12. The most recent (preliminary) sulfur dioxide emission rate measurement was 300 tonnes/day on April 26, 2013, from all east rift zone sources; these values have ranged between 150 and 450 t/d in 2013; these measurements are made at a greater distance from the sources where the plume is more easily characterized.
New Activity/Unrest
[Source: AVO, HVO, GVP and others]
Cleveland, Chuginadak Island (ALASKA)
Copahue, Central Chile-Argentina border
Dieng Volcanic Complex, Central Java (Indonesia)
Guntur, Western Java (Indonesia)
Mayon, Luzon (Philippines)
Pavlof, Alaska Peninsula
Popocatépetl, México
Tungurahua, Ecuador
Ongoing Activity
Kilauea, Hawaii (USA)
Kizimen, Eastern Kamchatka (Russia)
Karymsky, Kamchatka (Russia)
Paluweh, Lesser Sunda Islands (Indonesia)
Reventador, Ecuador
Sabancaya, Perú
Sakura-jima, Kyushu (Japan)
Shiveluch, Central Kamchatka (Russia)
Tolbachik, Central Kamchatka (Russia)
Bezymianny, Kamchatka (Russia) YELLOW
Gorely Volcano YELLOW
VONA/KVERT DAILY REPORT – May 17, 2013
Kamchatkan and Northern Kuriles Volcanic Activity
SHEVELUCH VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-27-)
56.64 N, 161.32 E; Elevation 10768 ft (3,283 m), the dome elevation ~8200 ft (2500 m)
Aviation Color Code is ORANGE
Moderate seismic activity continues at the volcano. Video images showed a moderate gas-steam eruption and incandescence above the lava dome. Satellite data showed a thermal anomaly over the volcano.
PLOSKY TOLBACHIK VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-24-)
55.83 N, 160.39 E; Elevation 10119 ft (3085 m)
Aviation Color Code is ORANGE
Strong seismicity occurring at the volcano. The amplitude of volcanic tremor was up to 3.2 mcm/s. Explosive-effusive eruption continues: lava continues to effuse from the Southern fissure on Tolbachinsky Dol. A thermal anomaly was noted on satellite images at the northern area of Tolbachinsky Dol.
KIZIMEN VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-23-)
55.13 N, 160.32 E; Elevation 8151 ft (2485 m)
Aviation Color Code is ORANGE
Moderate seismic activity continues at Kizimen. Video images showed growth of an extrusion at the volcano summit continues. Incandescence of the volcano summit, hot avalanches on the western and eastern volcanic flanks, and strong and moderate gas-steam activity accompany this process. Satellite data showed the volcano was obscured by clouds.
KARYMSKY VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-13-)
54.05 N, 159.44 E; Elevation 4874 ft (1486 m)
Aviation Color Code is ORANGE
There was no seismic data due to technical reasons. Satellite images were obscured by clouds.
BEZYMIANNY VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-25-)
55.97 N, 160.6 E; Elevation 9453 ft (2882 m)
Aviation Color Code is YELLOW
Strong seismic activity at Tolbachinsky Dol obscured seismicity of Bezymianny. WebCam images obscured by clouds. Satellite data showed a thermal anomaly over the volcano.
GORELY VOLCANO (CAVW #1000-07-)
52.56 N, 158.03 E; Elevation 5996 ft (1828 m)
Aviation Color Code is YELLOW
Moderate seismic activity continues at Gorely. Volcano was obscured by clouds.
Max Temp Forecast for Contiguous US – Sunday May 19, 2013
During the first 17 days of May some 21 maximum temperature records were broken and 8 others tied, according to National Climatic Data Center (NCDC).
US Weather Forecast: Significant Severe Weather Forecast in the Plains Saturday through Monday
The Storm Prediction Center is predicting a moderate risk of severe weather from western Oklahoma to southwest Nebraska today. Damaging winds, very large hail and significant tornadoes are all possible. Significant severe weather is also possible Sunday and Monday in the Plains. —NWS
Meantime, a Winter Storm Warning is in effect in parts of Alaska.
Red Flag Warning in 5 States
Red Flag Warnings are in effect in parts of five states—New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas, Oklahoma and Texas—due to strong winds and critically low humidities, NWS reported.
Pavlof and Cleveland Volcanoes Continue Erupting
Pavlof Volcano – Friday, May 17, 2013 3:05 PM AKDT (Friday, May 17, 2013 23:05 UTC)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Continuous steam, ash, and gas clouds to as high as 20,000 ft. above sea level, carried downwind to the northeast, east, and southeast as much as 100 km… Seismicity remains elevated with near continuous tremors recorded… “A light ashfall was reported the evening of May 14 in a mining camp 80 km northeast of the volcano,” AVO reported.
“Although the activity to date has been characterized by relatively low-energy lava fountaining and gas emission, more energetic explosions could occur without warning at any time that could place ash clouds above 20,000 ft.”
Cleveland Volcano – Friday, May 17, 2013 3:05 PM AKDT (Friday, May 17, 2013 23:05 UTC)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Cleveland Volcano’s continued activity over the past week is marked by energetic steam plumes and high surface temperatures, AVO reported. “Re-analysis of earlier images revealed that a small lava flow had breached the southeast rim of the summit crater and extended up to about 1.5 km down the flank.”
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Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events
South China Flooding and Landslides, Leave 70 People Dead or Missing, Affect Millions
Severe flooding triggered by extreme rain events in southern China has left at least 55 people dead and 14 others missing.
Up to 400mm of rain since Tuesday has triggered widespread flooding affecting millions of people in 10 provinces across southern China.
Flooding has destroyed thousands of homes and tens of thousands of hectares of crops.
[China has 34 administrative divisions including 23 provinces, 4 municipalities, 5 autonomous regions, and 2 special administrative regions.]
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DISASTER CALENDAR – May 18, 2013— SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,029 Days Left
Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,029 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the brief Human History
Pavlof continues to erupt amid near continuous seismicity
PAVLOF VOLCANO (CAVW #1102-03-)
Location: 55°25’2″ N 161°53’37” W,
Summit Elevation: 8261 ft (2,518 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Lava is fountaining at Pavlof summit, as the volcano continues to erupt, spewing continuous ash, steam, and gas cloudd to an altitude of about 20,000 ft above sea level, AVO reported.
This morning the cloud was carried to the southeast. Satellite images show persistent elevated surface temperatures at the summit and on the northwest flank, commensurate with the summit lava fountaining and resulting lava flow.
Seismic activity remains elevated with nearly continuous tremor recorded on the seismic network.
Pavlof in eruption, May 16, 2013 at 04:00 PM AKDT. Photograph courtesy of pilot Theo Chesley/ via AVO
Pavlof Volcano erupting on May 16, 2013. Photo taken from about 6,000 ft, at 10:20 am, by pilot Theo Chesley. This view is looking at the north side of Pavlof; the peak in the foreground is Pavlof Sister. Image courtesy of the photographer via AVO.
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Other Global Disasters/ Significant Events
Cyclone MAHASEN Damaged or Destroyed Thousands of Homes in Bangladesh
At least a million people had been forced to flee low-lying coastal areas as the cyclone approached. However, the storm weakened rapidly prior to landing.
Nevertheless, it damaged or destroyed thousands of homes, mostly mud houses, and left dozens of people dead, including more than two dozen from Myanmar.
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“Monster” Tornado Left 13 Dead or Missing, Destroyed Scores of Homes
The deadly tornado struck a subdivision of Rancho Brazos, near the town of Granbury in Hood County, N Texas with winds of up to 200 miles per hour, and was rated EF4 by the National Weather Service (NWS).
“This tornado was a monster,” said Hood County Commissioner. “It’s just devastating.”
The tornado left at least 13 people dead or missing, with about 50 others injured, destroyed more than 120 homes, and displaced over 250 residents.
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Iraq Violence: 100 Killed, Hundreds more Wounded in 3 Days
At least 47 people were killed and many dozens wounded in two explosions in Baquba, a city located about 50 km north of Baghdad, and Madain located further south, reports quoting local police said.
Since Wednesday May 15 about 100 people have been killed and hundreds more wounded in bombing campaigns across Iraq.
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S China Storms Affect 2 million people, Dozens Dead or Missing
“Ten provincial localities in south China have been affected by the fresh round of storms and flooding that began on Tuesday, including Anhui, Chongqing, Fujian, Guangdong, Guangxi, Guizhou, Hubei, Hunan, Jiangxi and Sichuan,” said a report.
DISASTER CALENDAR – May 17, 2013— SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,030 Days Left
Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,030 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the brief Human History
Pavlof ejects ash and steam, as lava flows down its NW flank
Pavlof Volcano, the second Volcano in the Aleutians to become active, began erupting on Monday and was still spewing clouds of ash and steam on Wednesday, the Alaska Volcano Observatory (AVO) said.
The volcano has been emitting intermittent dark clouds of ash and steam rising up to 20,000 feet a.s.l. and drifting in a northeasterly direction, the observatory said.
Mt Cleveland, the other currently active Alaskan volcano, has been erupting intermittently since 2011.
Volcanic ash from Pavlof and other Alaska volcanoes could pose a threat to air traffic in the region.
Pavlof Activity: Color CodeORANGE– Alert Level WATCH
PAVLOF VOLCANO (CAVW #1102-03-) 55°25’2″ N 161°53’37” W
Summit Elevation: 2,518 m (8261 ft)
Pavlof Volcano in eruption. View is from the southwest in Cold Bay. Lava fountaining is visible near the summit, and steam and ash clouds rise from the northwest flank where a lava flow advances down the slope.May 14, 2013 11:26 AM AKDT. Credit: Rachel Kremer/AVO
Index map showing location of Pavlof volcano and other Alaska Peninsula volcanoes. Credit: Janet Schaefer/AVO
Location of Cleveland volcano and other Aleutian volcanoes with respect to nearby cities and towns. Credit: Janet Schaefer/AVO
PAVLOF VOLCANO (CAVW #1102-03-)
55°25’2″ N 161°53’37” W, Summit Elevation 8261 ft (2518 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
The eruption of Pavlof Volcano continues. Elevated seismic activity persists and a steam and ash cloud are visible in web camera images rising occasionally up to about 20,000 ft. above sea level. A diffuse ash plume was reported late last night at an altitude of 15,000 above sea level and extending downwind to the northeast for up to 100 miles before dissipating. A recent pilot report today indicated a dark ash cloud extending east-northeast at an altitude of 20,000 above sea level. National Weather Service issued a Sigmet yesterday that remains active today.
Residents of Cold Bay, located 37 miles southwest of the volcano, observed incandescent glow at the summit during the night. Pilot reports and photographs from yesterday afternoon indicate that the lava flow extending down the northwest flank is still active and has generated debris-laden flow deposits, presumably from interaction of hot lava with the snow and ice on the flank.
CLEVELAND VOLCANO (CAVW #1101-24-)
52°49’20” N 169°56’42” W, Summit Elevation 5676 ft (1730 m)
Current Volcano Alert Level: WATCH
Current Aviation Color Code: ORANGE
Elevated surface temperatures continued at Cleveland Volcano over the past 24 hours. No explosions have been detected by regional infrasound data. There has been no further information about the lava flow.
Sudden explosions of blocks and ash are possible with little or no warning. Ash clouds, if produced, could exceed 20,000 feet above sea level. If a large ash-producing event occurs, nearby seismic, infrasound, or volcanic lightning networks should alert AVO staff quickly. However, for some events, a delay of several hours is possible. Cleveland Volcano does not have a local seismic network and is monitored using only distant seismic and infrasound instruments and satellite data.
AVO will continue to monitor these volcanoes and issue additional information as available.
Code Definitions ORANGE Volcano is exhibiting heightened or escalating unrest with increased potential of eruption, timeframe uncertain, OR eruption is underway with no or minor volcanic-ash emissions [ash-plume height specified, if possible].
WATCH: Volcano is exhibiting heightened or escalating unrest with increased potential of eruption, timeframe uncertain, OR eruption is underway but poses limited hazards.
VOLCANO INFORMATION ON THE INTERNET: http://www.avo.alaska.edu
RECORDING ON THE STATUS OF ALASKA’S VOLCANOES (907) 786-7478
CONTACT INFORMATION:
John Power, Scientist-in-Charge, USGS
jpower@usgs.gov (907) 786-7497
Jeff Freymueller, Coordinating Scientist, UAFGI
jeff.freymueller@gi.alaska.edu (907) 378-7556
Mexcio’c National Center for Disaster Prevention (CENAPRED), has raised the volcanic activity alert to Yellow Phase 3 from Yellow Phase 2 on Sunday, after detecting increased level of explosive activity at the towering volcano.
Yellow Phase 3 alert means the volcano could explode ejecting lava and other volcanic matter over considerable distances, according to CENAPRED chart.
The 5,452-m Volcán Popocatépetl, or “smoking mountain” in Aztec, North America’s 2nd-highest volcano, sits about 70 km SE of Mexico City.
Fire Earth 