Posted by feww on October 24, 2009
Could LUPIT Strengthen to a Typhoon AND Do a U-Turn?
The answer is yes and yes, but only just!
FEWW Moderators believe there’s a 30 percent probability that Tropical Cyclone LUPIT could strengthen to a typhoon force again, and it might do a u-turn heading back toward Luzon with a probability of about 10 percent.
As of 4:00 pm local time, October 24, 2009, Tropical Storm LUPIT (“RAMIL”) was located at 22.8°N, 125.9°E, or about 425 km Northeast of Basco, Batanes with maximum winds of 95 km/h and gusts of up to 120 km/h. Nearly all models suggest that LUPIT will move Northeast at 15 km/h.
Typhoon Lupit – DOST-PAGASA MTSAT-EIR Satellite Image frozen at 12:30 UTC on 24 Oct. 2009. Click image to enlarge and update.
LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather. Click image to enlarge .
LUPIT Chart. Source: DOST-PAGASA of the Philippines. Click image to enlarge and update.
Satellite Loops/Animation/Images
Other Satellite Images:
Related Links:
Posted in Ilocos Norte, Northern Luzon, Pagudpud, RAMIL, storm Lupit, Tropical cyclone lupit | Tagged: Babuyan, Batanes Group, Calayan Islands, LUPIT Track, MTSAT LUPIT, Northern Cagayan, Okinawa, photo of lupit | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 21, 2009
Typhoon LUPIT – 21 Oct 2009
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How long will LUPIT loiter around Luzon
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How much more rain will it dump?
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Will LUPIT move away and come back, AGAIN!
At 00:00 UTC – Oct 21, 2009
Max Winds: 160km/h (85 knots) Category: 2
Max Gusts: 195 km/h (105knots)
Coordinates: 20.5ºN 128.9ºE
Movement past six hours: 280 degrees at 15 km/h (08 kts)
Location: About 925 km (500 kts) NE of Manila Philippines
Summary of Storm Activity
Lupit is tracking westward steered by a subtropical ridge extension to the north. Deep convection has become more organized near the storm center over the past six hours, JTWC reported.
Typhoon LUPIT – MTSAT Still image.
LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather. Click image to enlarge and update.
History Color Code – The chart color codes intensity (category based on Saffir-Simpson scale)
NOTE: Pressures are in millibars and winds are in knots where one knot is equal to 1.15 mph. Source: UniSys Weather
LUPIT 5-day track. Source JTWC. Click image to enlarge.
Typhoon LUPIT – 20 Oct 2009
Typhoon LUPIT (22W): JTWC/SATOP multispectral satellite image. October 20, 2009 at 05:00 UTC. Click image to enlarge.
Typhoon LUPIT – 20 October 2009, at 09:00UTC
Position: 20.4ºN, 129.3ºE
Location: Approximately 1,110 km (600 NM) northeast of Manila, Philippines.
Movement: WNW at about 15km/h (8 knots)
Center: LUPIT’s Eye has once again become visible
System Characteristics: LUPIT has good radial out flow
Maximum significant wave height: ~ 11 meters (34 feet)
Max sustained winds: 175km/h (95 knots)
Max gusts: 215 km/h (115 knots)
Super Typhoon Lupit. Date/Time as inset. Click on image to animate.
MTSAT IR Image. Updated at 30 mins intervals. Click image to enlarge.
Background and More images:
LUPIT 3-day projected track. Image: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright. Click image to enlarge!
Satellite Loops/Animation/Images
Other Satellite Images:
Related Links:
Posted in ecological collapse, Intertropical Convergence Zone, Lupit, LUPIT Forecast, LUPIT projected path, LUPIT Projected track, Philippine Sea, Philippines, RAMIL, sociological collapse, storm 22w, storm Ketsana, storm Lupit, storm RAMIL, Subtropical Ridge, Super Typhoon Lupit, super typhoon ramil, TS Lupit, ts lupit forecast track, Typhoon Lupit, Typhoon Parma, typhoon ramil | Tagged: Dagupan city, deluge in Dagupan, Intertropical Convergence Zone, Ketsana, landslides, LUPIT 21 Oct 2009, Lupit Update, LUPIT update 21 Oct, Luzon, luzon flooding, luzon landslides, Malnutrition, Manila Collapsing, Meaning of lupit, Pepeng, Philippines, philippines floods, Philippines rain, tagalog, Typhoon Lupit Update, Typhoon Melor, Typhoon Parma, Typhoons, Visayas | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 17, 2009
LUPIT has intensified to typhoon strength moving toward central and northern Luzon, Philippines
Previous Entry:
Typhoon Data Summary
At 2:00 AM local time, Saturday October 17, typhoon LUPIT [locally known as “RAMIL”] was located about 850 km east of VIRAC, CATANDUANES (14.6°N; 133.2°E) with maximum sustained winds of 120 km/h and gusts of up to 150 km/h moving WNW at about 20/km/h, Philippines PAGASA reported.
FEWW Forecast:
Moderators believe LUPIT has the potential of becoming the most destructive typhoon yet to strike Philippines in 2009.
FEWW Previous Forecast
MTSAT IR Image. Updated at 30 mins intervals. Click image to enlarge.
Satellite Loops/Animation/Images
Other Satellite Images:
MTSAT – RGB Still Image. Time/Date as inset. Click image to enlarge and update.
MTSAT – AVN Enhancement – Still Image. Time/Date as inset. Click image to enlarge and update.
Cyclone LUPIT Projected track. Solid centers represent wind forces stronger than 117km/h. Source: JTWC.
Related Links:
Posted in Cyclone Lupit, Cyclone LUPIT Projected track, ecological collapse, Intertropical Convergence Zone, LUPIT Forecast, LUPIT projected path, Philippine Sea, Philippines, RAMIL, sociological collapse, storm 22w, storm Ketsana, storm Lupit, Storm Placenta, storm RAMIL, Subtropical Ridge, TS Lupit, ts lupit forecast track, Typhoon Parma, typhoon ramil | Tagged: Dagupan city, deluge in Dagupan, Ketsana, landslides, Luzon, luzon flooding, luzon landslides, Malnutrition, Manila Collapsing, Pepeng, Philippines, philippines floods, Philippines rain, probability of Manila collapsing, Typhoon Melor, Typhoon Parma, Typhoons, Visayas | 5 Comments »
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