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Archive for the ‘tropical cyclone’ Category

Tropical Storm AERE – UPDATE May 9

Posted by feww on May 9, 2011

Tropical Storm 03W (aka AERE, lka ‘BEBENG’) Pummels NW Philippines

The Storm has dumped as much as 800mm of rain in parts of northwestern Philippines, causing widespread flooding, triggering landslides, killing at least a dozen people, and forcing about 110,000 people to flee their homes.


Tropical Storm AERE – IR Satellite Image (8km Res). Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Current Details (FIRE-EARTH estimates)

  • Position: 18.5°N, 122.2°E
  • Maximum sustained winds : 80 kp/h
  • Maximum wind gusts: 90 kp/h
  • Movement: North at 15  kp/h

The storm is expected to reach to about 170km west of Naha, Okinawa in the next 70 hours.

Related Links

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BINGIZA Pummels N. Madagascar

Posted by feww on February 15, 2011

Cyclone BINGIZA captured by AIRS on AQUA Satellite


Cyclone Bingiza.  An infrared satellite image of Cyclone Bingiza dated Feb. 14 at 10:23 UTC (5:23 a.m. EST) shows the storm covering  northern Madagascar. ” Although the storm is still at hurricane strength, no eye is visible in this infrared image. Strongest thunderstorms and coldest (-63F/-52C), highest cloud tops appear in purple. Bingiza is moving west and entering the Mozambique Channel.” Source: NASA/JPL

Full extent of the damage caused by Cyclone BINGIZA is not yet known.

“‘We expect this to be a Type 2 emergency, with over 100,000 people affected by wind damage and/or flooding, and over 30,000 severely affected,’ CARE International, an NGO focusing on poverty eradication, said in an emergency alert.” Said a report.


Related Links:

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BINGIZA Intensifies to a Cat 3A Storm

Posted by feww on February 13, 2011

Cyclone BINGIZA Strengthens to a Cat 3A Storm with Sustained Winds of About 190km/hr


Cyclone BINGIZA – IR Satellite image (NHC Enhancement). Source: CIMSS.  Click image to enlarge.

At 09:00UTC Tropical Cyclone BINGIZA (TC13S) was located about 700km ENE of ANTANANARIVO, MADAGASCAR. The cyclone is moving westward at an average speed of about 10km/hr.

BINGIZA Details

  • Cyclone Position: ~ 16.0S 52.3E
  • MAX Sustained Winds: ~ 190Km/hr
  • Winds Gusts: 240km/hr
  • Source: JTWC and others

Related Links:

Posted in BINGIZA, FEWW New Hurricane Scale, Madagascar cyclone, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Cyclone BINGIZA

Posted by feww on February 12, 2011

BINGIZA to Intensify to a Cat 1 Storm


TC BINGIZA – IR Satellite image.
Source: CIMSS.  Click image to enlarge.

At 09:00UTC on February 12, TROPICAL CYCLONE BINGIZA (TC 13S) was located approx 815km (Position near 15.7ºS 53.6ºE) ENE of Antananarivo, Madagascar moving slowly southward in a weak steering environment, JTWC said.

BINGIZA is forecast to strengthen to a category 1 storm with sustained winds of near 150km/hr before making landfall.

Posted in BINGIZA, Madagascar cyclone, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , | 3 Comments »

YASI: If the ‘Devil’ Were a Cyclone

Posted by feww on January 31, 2011

Cyclomageddon: TC YASI Larger than Queensland

Massive Cyclone YASI Could Strike Queensland With 200+ km/hr Winds

Tropical Cyclone YASI was located about 2,000km east of Cairns, Australia at 11:00UTC on January 31, 2011. The cyclone was tracking west at speeds of about 30km/hr.

Details of Cyclone YASI (TC11P) at 11:00UTC on January 31, 2011

  • Location:  2,000km east of Cairns, Australia
  • Position:  14.0S 161.0E
  • Max Sustained Winds: 150km/hr
  • Wind Gusts: 200km/hr
  • Source: FIRE-EARTH estimates (based on data provided by JTWC and others)

If the ‘Devil’ were a cyclone, it would probably look like YASI


Tropical Cyclone YASI – IR Satellite image. Source: MTSAT-2 via Digital Typhoon. Remnants of ex-cyclone Anthony are seen moving across Queensland. Click images to enlarge.

Oceania Weather Animation for January 2011


TC YASI (Tropical Cyclone 11P). IR Satellite Image (NHC Enhancement). Source: CIMSS.  See inset for time/date. Click image to enlarge.

Australian Region Infrared Satellite Image


MTSAT-1R


Source: JTWC


Australia: Current Weather Warnings

Australia Headline News

“The operators of Brisbane’s Wivenhoe Dam could be risking more flooding because of their refusal to immediately release unneeded water from the dam, according to engineers and hydrologists.” Said a report.

Cyclone Anthony

Related Links:

Posted in AUSTRALIA CYCLONE WARNING, Queensland CYCLONE WARNING, TC YASI Satellite image, tropical cyclone, Tropical Cyclone 11P | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Tropical Wave Continues to Wreak Havoc Across Caribbean

Posted by feww on June 25, 2010

Virgin Islands, El Salvador, Dominican Republic Hit by Tropical Wave

A tropical wave moving across the Caribbean has caused extensive flooding in Virgin Islands, El Salvador and Dominican Republic.

In the Dominican Republic, where there was at least one storm-related death, the authorities were forced to evacuate at least 3,000 people, local reports say.

The so called ”Tropical Disturbance 10,’ which is currently located between Jamaica and the tip of Honduras, and is moving westward at about 20km/hr (13 mph), has been producing strong showers with thunderstorms, and choppy sea condition with waves of up to 2.5m (7 feet).

There is a high probability (60%) this system could become a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours, NWS said.


GOES EAST – IR Satellite Image (AVNCOLOR Enhancement). Click image to update.

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Atlantic and East Pacific Oceans

Satellite Imagery (GOES 12 Floater/NOAA/SSD)

Loops/ Satellite Animations (GOES 12; NOAA/SSD)

Related Links:


Posted in 2010 Hurricane Forecast, Atlantic hurricane season, atlantic hurricanes 2010, flood, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

1st Storm of Alantic Hurricane Season: Big Bang or Damp Whimper?

Posted by feww on June 14, 2010

Large, Well Organized, Low Pressure System 975 Miles WSW of Cape Verde Islands Moving NW at 15 MPH

A large, well-organized, low pressure system located about 1,000 miles WSW of the Cape Verde islands is moving northwestward at up to 15 MPH, NWS TPC/National Hurricane Center said.

Updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.   Click image to enlarge and update.

The system could become a tropical cyclone over the next 48 hours, with a probability of 60 percent, the center added.

The system “is producing widespread cloudiness along with some showers and thunderstorms.”

Satellite images show a second system tailing the first.

Sea Surface Temperature (SST) Atlantic and East Pacific Oceans

Latest Global Montage (UW-SSEC)

Posted in Alantic Hurricane Season 2010, Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, Atlantic ocean, tropical cyclone, tropical cyclone alex | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

TS Phet May Be Headed Toward India

Posted by feww on June 6, 2010

Latest Satellite Images of TC Phet (03A)

Tropical Cyclone Phet Details

  • Estimated Position at 5:00UTC on June 6, 2010 :   23.1N, 65.4E
  • Location: About 255km SW of Karachi, Pakistan
  • Maximum Wind Speed: ~ 80km/hr
  • Max. Wind Gusts: ~ 100km/hr
  • Movement and speed: 100 degrees; ~ 30km/hr
  • Comments: Phet has re-strengthened to a tropical storm and could, potentially, strengthen further before next landfall.


Tropical Cyclone Phet and its Projected Path. IR Image (NHC Enhancement – 2-km res)
. Source: CIMSS – Click images to enlarge.


Tropical Cyclone Phet
t – Total Precipitable Water. Source: CIMSS – Click images to enlarge.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone phet path, Phet Projected Path, storms, tropical cyclone, Tropical cyclone Phet | Tagged: , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Cyclone Laila Forces 50,000 Indians to Evacuate

Posted by feww on May 20, 2010

Indian Authorities Evacuate up to 50,000 as TC Laila makes landfall

Up to 50,000 people have been evacuated from the coastal areas of Andhra Pradesh as Cyclone Laila approaches southern India.

“Already the Andhra Pradesh coast is being battered by high tides and fierce winds. Even though the windfall is expected only in the evening, the waves and the winds have already caused extensive damage in coastal districts, where trees have been uprooted, cars smashed and roads damaged. Communication and power supplies have also been disrupted and air and train services have come to a halt,” a government official said.

At least 13 people have already been killed in the past 36 hours  as a result of  torrential rains, according to various News Bulletins.


Tropical Cyclone Laila. Source of image:  CIMSS Tropical Cyclones Group. Click image to enlarge.

TC Laila has maxi,u, sustained winds of about 92.5km/hr with gusts of up to 120km/hr as of 12:00UTC, 20 May 2010, according to JTWC, CIMSS and other sources.

So far the most damaging aspect of TC Laila has been its accompanying torrential rains that have pounded the  state Tamil Nadu.

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Serial No 1,746. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Posted in storm, tropical cyclone, Tropical CYCLONE 01B | Tagged: , , , | 1 Comment »

Cyclone 24S Strengthens, Renamed Sean

Posted by feww on April 24, 2010

Cyclone 24S powers up, renamed Tropical Storm Sean

The Atmospheric Infrared Sounder (AIRS), instrument that flies aboard NASA’s Aqua satellite from April 22 at 17:29 UTC (1:29 p.m. EDT) showed some strong, high, cold thunderstorms around Sean’s center.

Infrared imagery is false-colored and higher cloud tops of stronger storms are depicted in purple. Sean showed a circular area of high, strong thunderstorms around his center of circulation. Those highest thunderstorms are as cold as or colder than 220 Kelvin or minus 63 degrees Fahrenheit (F).

On Friday, April 23 at 1500 UTC (11 a.m. EDT) Tropical Storm Sean had maximum sustained winds near 45 knots (52 mph). It was about 475 nautical miles north of Learmonth, Australia, near 14.4 South and 113.3 East. It was moving southeast at 4 knots (5 mph).

Animated infrared satellite imagery shows convective banding (that is, rapidly rising air that condenses and form thunderstorms) keeps wrapping into the low-level center of the storm, from both the south and east of the center. Forecasters at the Joint Typhoon Warning Center note that conditions are still good for further intensification over the next 12-24 hours, but then Sean will encounter vertical wind shear and begin weakening over the weekend.

Sean is a sea storm, and will not affect any land areas over the weekend. Image and Text: NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center

Related Links:

Serial No 1,617. Starting April 2010, each entry on this blog has a unique serial number. If any of the numbers are missing, it may mean that the corresponding entry has been blocked by Google/the authorities in your country. Please drop us a line if you detect any anomaly/missing number(s).

Posted in Indian Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone, Tropical storm | Tagged: , , | Leave a Comment »

Cyclone ULUI – UPDATE Mar 19

Posted by feww on March 19, 2010

TC ULUI Still Moving Toward QLD

Cyclone ULUI has slowed down some, but still moving above 20ºS as previously forecast

TC ULUI – Latest Satellite image, as of posting

Cyclone ULUI – 4 km Visible/IR Image. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Wind Shear Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Cyclone ULUI  (TC 20P) Details on March 19 at 06:00UTC

  • Position: 17.6S 157.1E
  • Max Sustained Winds:  120 km/hr (~ 65 kt)
  • Wind Gusts: 150 km/hr (~ 80 kt)
  • Movement:  SW (225 degrees)
  • Forward Speed:  ~ 12 km/hr ( 6 kt)
  • Location: About 920 km NE of Rockhampton;  1,090 east of Townsville, Australia; 1,200 E of Cairns
  • Maximum significant wave height: 8m (24 feet)
  • Sources: JTWC, CIMSS and others.


Cyclone ULUI – 1km Visible Image with Dynamical Models Superimposed. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

According to the UKM Dynamical Model (see green line in the above image), the cyclone should have disappeared 3 days ago, strike QLD in a straight line two days ago, then completely dissipate by yesterday; however, the satellite images disagree with the model.


Cyclone ULUI: Projected Track.  Source: JTWC. According to this forecast TC ULUI would have to accelerate to speeds of about 22 km/h. Click image to enlarge.

For additional images click on the following links:

ULUI History and Related Links:

Posted in cyclone ului update, storm, STORM ULUI, tropical cyclone, ULUI | Tagged: , , , | Leave a Comment »

Cyclone ULUI – UPDATE Mar 18

Posted by feww on March 18, 2010

ULUI Moving!

Having spent 36 hours in a ‘quasistationery state,’ ULUI is finally moving

If you have been monitoring satellite images of cyclone ULUI, you would have probably noticed it wasn’t moving much despite various data indicating an average speed of about 8.8km/hr.

ULUI is now moving at an average speed of about 9 km/hr (5 kt) SSW at sustained wind speeds of about 190 km/hr with gusts of up to 240 km/hr (but weakening).

ULUI is about 1,250 kms ENE of Cairns, Australia, and is expected to come ashore in about three and a half  days and dissipate over eastern Australia within two days thereafter.

The flowing image is a visible/infrared satellite image with all sorts of wacky dynamic model forecasts superimposed.


Cyclone ULUI – Visible/IR Image with Dynamic Model Forecasts Superimposed. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Tropical Cyclone ULUI – Visible image – MTSAT 1R – Dated March 18, 2010 at 00:00UTC.   Source: Digital Typhoon.  Click image to enlarge.

For additional images click on the following links:

ULUI History and Related Links:

Posted in Cairns, Queensland, storm, TC ULUI, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone ULUI: Enough Fuel to Land in Australia

Posted by feww on March 16, 2010

ULUI a Super Cyclone, Again

ULUI Has Refueled, Revving Up Toward Queensland, Australia

Super Cyclone ULUI is moving toward the coat of Queensland, eastern Australia, with maximum sustained winds of more than 250 km/hr (~ 135 kt) and wind gusts of up to 325 km/hr.

Depending on how far south of the coast it lands, the cyclone  could strike Queensland as a Category 1 to 3A hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale.


Visible/IR images of Super Cyclone ULUI (TC 20P) on its way to the coast of QLD, Australia. (Top to bottom: 8km, 4km and 2km resolution). Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Wind Shear.
Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.


Model Forecast Tracks.
Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone ULUI QLD, storm, tropical cyclone, ULUI Australia | Tagged: , , | 11 Comments »

Cyclones TOMAS and ULUI – UPDATE Mar 15

Posted by feww on March 15, 2010

TOMAS a Cat 3B hurricane, still intensifying; ULUI weakened to a Cat 3C

In the last 24 hours, Cyclone TOMAS has grown into a Cat 3B Hurricane force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale and is still intensifying.  ULUI has weakened from a super cyclone force to a Cat 3C hurricane in the same period.

A very low probability of increased interaction exists between the two  systems. If the odds were to improve, whereby pinwheeling occurred between the two cyclones, TOMAS could change track, moving westward, then wobbling close to, around, or over the Fiji islands for a much longer period than anticipated.


Cyclone TOMAS. Latest GOES Image as of posting. (GOES Sat. NOAA). Click image to enlarge.


(L to R) Cyclones ULUI and TOMAS. MTSAT Colorized IR Image (NOAA).  Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone Tomas (TC 19P) – Summary of Details on March 15 at 00:01UTC

  • Position:  15.6S 179.4W
  • Max Sustained Winds :  ~ 195km/hr (105 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: ~ 240km/hr ( 130 kts)
  • Movement: Southwestward
  • Forward Speed:  5km/hr (~ 03 kts)
  • Location: 500km  (270 NM) NORTHEAST of NADI, FIJI
  • Comment: TOMAS is a Category 3B hurricane on the  FEWW New Hurricane Scale. The cyclone has good radial outflow and is experiencing low vertical wind shear. It is  expected to continue intensifying over the next 36 – 48 hours until it experiences lower ocean heat content and higher vertical wind shear.
  • Maximum significant wave height: 9m (27 feet)
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.
  • Comment: TOMAS is expected to transition to an extratropical system in 96 to 120 hours.


Cyclone TOMAS: Latest forecast track. Source: JTWC. [Nature’s acute geometry, or wishful thinking?]

Cyclone ULUI  (TC 20P) Details on March 15 at 00:01UTC

  • Position: 12.9S 159.2E
  • Max Sustained Winds:  205 km/hr (~ 110 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: 270km/hr (~ 145 kts)
  • Movement:  West
  • Forward Speed:  ~ 12 km/hr ( 7 kts)
  • Location: About 695km (375 NM) WNW of Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
  • Maximum significant wave height: 10m (30 feet)
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon and others.
  • Comment: ULUI is expected to start dissipating over water after about 96 to 120 hours.


Cyclone ULUI: Latest projected path. 
Source: JTWC.

MTSAT (NOAA) images from NOAA– Click images to enlarge and animate.


MTSAT – IR Image


MTSAT – Colorized IR Image


MTSAT – Visible Image

Related Links:

Posted in Cyclone TOMAS, Cyclone ULUI, hurricane, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 17 Comments »

Cyclones ULUI and TOMAS – UPDATE Mar 14

Posted by feww on March 14, 2010

Super Cyclone ULUI a Cat 5 Storm; Tomas, at Cat 1 force,  Intensifying

With Cyclone Tomas (TC 19P) still 620km away, Fijians on Vanua Levu island probably know by now what to expect because of strong winds and heavy rains that are already arriving , leaving a foretaste of  what is about to come their way.

Tropical Cyclone Tomas (TC 19P) – Summary of Details on March 14 at 00:01UTC

  • Position:  13.3S 179.5W
  • Max Sustained Winds :  ~ 145km/hr (78 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: ~ 175km/hr ( 94 kts)
  • Movement: Southwestward
  • Forward Speed:  10km/hr (~ 06 kts)
  • Location: 620km  (335 NM) NORTHEAST of NADI, FIJI
  • Comment: Tomas is at a Category 1 strength on the  FEWW New Hurricane Scale and is  expected to continue intensifying over the next 48 to 72 hours until ocean heat content decreases and vertical wind shear increases.
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.

Roll down for images.

Super Cyclone ULUI, Cat 5 Hurricane Strength, Flexing Muscles on Open Water

If the super cyclone continues on its actual path (NOT forecast path), it could destroy most structures on the Island of Rennell, aka Mungava (Pop 3,000).

Super Cyclone ULUI  (TC 20P) Details on March 14 at 00:01UTC

  • Position: 12.7S 161.6E
  • Max Sustained Winds:  260 km/hr (~ 140 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: 325km/hr (~ 175 kts)
  • Movement:  Northwest
  • Forward Speed:  ~13 km/hr ( 7 kts)
  • Location: About 425km (230 NM) WNW of Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon and others.


Super Cyclone ULUI. IR/WV Difference. Source: CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Roll down for more images.

Related Links:

IMAGE UPDATE

The following MTSAT (NOAA) images were added at 08:00UTC – Click images to enlarge.


MTSAT – IR Image


MTSAT – Colorized IR Image


MTSAT – Visible Image

On Mar 14 at 08:00UTC

  • Super Cyclone ULUI sustained wind speeds was recorded at 265km/hr
  • -Cyclone Tomas intensified to a category 2A hurricane force (see below) with sustained winds of about 160km/hr

Posted in Cyclone TOMAS, Cyclone ULUI, hurricane force, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 19 Comments »

TC ULUI and TOMAS – UPDATE Mar 13

Posted by feww on March 13, 2010

Don’t Name Your Kids after Cyclones!

What if in your life time climate change spawned ‘never-ending’ cyclones … storms that waxed and waned as they crisscrossed the planet, but never dissipated … cyclones that  spawned other cyclones on the warm ocean waters, each time they passed near the point of their inception, a place near you …

It’s not theoretically inconceivable … you may yet drive the planet to the edge …

Where is Tomas Holidaying?

On its projected path, Tomas could cause unimaginable damage to the Main Fiji Islands. IF the cyclone were to dump its full load of precipitation on Fiji, it would submerge the two main isles under 6 feet of water.


(L to R) TC ULUI (TC 20P)
and TC TOMAS  (TC 19P). Source: MTSAT Easter Sector  (NOAA). Click Images to enlarge.

Other Images and Animations


Cyclone TOMAS Current Projected Path Takes it Right through Fiji Islands. Source: JTWC


AIRS image on March 11 at 20:10 UTC  (3:10 p.m. ET) showed a developing storm with a large cluster of high,  cold (purple), strong thunderstorms around Tomas’ center. Source: NASA/JPL

Tropical Cyclone Tomas (TC 19P) – Summary of Details on March 13 at 00:01UTC

  • Position:  11.7S 178.1W
  • Max Sustained Winds:  ~ 120km/hr (65 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: ~ 150km/hr ( 80 kts)
  • Movement: 230 degrees
  • Forward Speed:  ~ 10km/hr (06 kts)
  • Location: 890km  (440 NM) NORTHEAST of NADI, FIJI
  • Comment: High ocean heat content and strong outflow will help Tomas to intensify steadily. Tomas could reach Category 4A, possibly as high as Cat 4c,  strength on the  FEWW New Hurricane Scale.
    Tomas has “tightly-wrapped convective banding around a well-defined low-level circulation center. Upper level analysis indicates TC 19P is just to the south of an anticyclone that is enhancing excellent equatorward outflow,” JTWC said.
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.

Cyclone ULUI: The Loitering Devil on the Deep Blue Sea


TC ULUI. Source MTSAT (NOAA). Click Images to enlarge.

Forecast Details on March 13 at 06:00UTC

  • Position: 13.9S 163.3E
  • Max Sustaind Winds: ~ 110 km/hr (~ 60 kts)
  • Wind Gusts: 140km/hr (~ 75 kts)
  • Movement: 290 degrees
  • Forward Speed:  ~5km/hr (~ 3 kts)
  • Location: About 195km (105 NM) WNW of Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
  • Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon and others.

Infrared Image of Ului’s Cold T-storms


An AIRS image on March 12 at 9:17 a.m. ET showed a well-developed storm with a large cluster of high, cold (purple), strong thunderstorms around the center of Tropical Storm Ului. Source: NASA

Related Links:

Posted in Cyclone TOMAS, Cyclone ULUI, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , | 19 Comments »

Tropical Cyclones Now Come in Pairs

Posted by feww on March 12, 2010

Tropical Cyclones 19P and 20P

Two Active Tropical Cyclones Roam the South Pacific, a Third System May Form Soon (probability in 48 hours ≥ 50 percent—Fire Earth Forecast)


MTSAT-1R image showing the locations of TC 20P and TC 19P in the South Pacific ocean.  Click Image to update.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently Over Espiritu Santo,  Vanuatu

Forecast Details on March 12 at 06:00UTC
Position: 14.3S 165.6E
Max Sustaind Winds: 75km/hr (~ 40 kts)
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 270 degrees
Forward Speed: 9km/hr (~ 5 kts)
Location: Espiritu Santo, Vanuatu
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.



Visible/IR images of TC 20P Close to Vanuatu. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone 20P Currently NW of Western Samoa


Visible/IR images of TC 19P NW of Western Samoa. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.

Details on March 12 at 03:00UTC

Position:  10.7S 177.4W
Max Sustained Winds:  ~ 70km/hr
Wind Gusts: 90km/hr (~ 50 kts)
Movement: 260 degrees
Forward Speed:  ~ 12km/hr (07 kts)
Location: 890km  (485 NM) WNW of Pago-Pago
Sources: JTWC, Digital Typhoon, CIMSS and others.

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , | 17 Comments »

System 90Q: Mystery or Mys-take?

Posted by feww on March 11, 2010

“90Q: A curious short-lived ‘tropical’ cyclone in the southern Atlantic”

System 90Q, a low pressure system was located near 29.8ºS and 48.2ºW, about 290 km (180 miles) east of Puerto Alegre, off the coast of Brazil, on Wednesday, March 10 at 14:00 UTC, reportedly with maximum sustained winds about 63km/h (39 mph, or 35 knots), about a click weaker than an official tropical storm), NASA/Goddard Space Flight Center reported, acknowledging that south Atlantic waters are typically too cool to spawn tropical cyclones.

GOES-12 captured a visible image of System 90Q at 14:45 UTC on March 11, which appears “as a small circular area of clouds off the Brazilian coast.” GFS said.


The GOES-12 satellite captured this visible image of System 90Q at 14:45 UTC (9:45 a.m. ET) on March 10, 2010. 90Q is the small circular area of clouds (lower left center). Credit: NASA GOES Project

It becomes curiouser if you examine the SST anomalies in the area where “90Q” was allegedly formed.

Weekly SST Departures for the Last Four Weeks

Click image to enlarge.

Related Links:

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Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) UPDATE 1 (Feb 18)

Posted by feww on February 18, 2010

TC GELANE Strengthens to a Category 2B Hurricane on  FEWW New Hurricane Scale

With sustained winds of about 170 km/hr, Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) is now a Category 2B Hurricane on  FEWW New Hurricane Scale. Fire-Earth forecasts the cyclone to reach Category 4A strength, possibly stronger, within the next 36 hours.


Cyclone GELANE.
IR satellite images (NHC Enhancement). 4km resolution. Source: UW-CIMSS.  Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 18 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.3ºS, 61.6ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 150  degrees
  • Forward speed:  11 km/hr ( 6 kt)
  • The Cyclone has been tracking  SOUTH-SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds:  170km/hr (92 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 205 km/hr (~ 110 kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 2B Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8m (24 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about 970 km (~ 525 NM) NE of Réunion island.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Related Links:

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone GELANE, storm, TC 16S, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 12 Comments »

Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S)

Posted by feww on February 17, 2010

Images of the Day: Cyclone GELANE

Powerful, awe-inspiring [scary] storm headed toward Mauritius and Réunion



Cyclone GELANE. Visible-IR satellite images. Source: UW-CIMSS. [From Top: 2km, 4km and 8km resolutions.] Click images to enlarge.


Cyclone GELANE. IR satellite images. Source: JTWC. Date and time: Feb 16, at 23:30UTC. Click images to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone GELANE (TC 16S) Details

  • Date/Time: 17 February 2010 –  15:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 14.4ºS, 61.9ºE
  • Sustained Movement: 150  degrees
  • Forward speed:  15 km/hr ( 8 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTHWEST over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds:  150km/hr (80 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  185 km/hr ( 100 kt)
  • GELANE is currently a Cat. 1 Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6.6m (20 ft)
  • Location: TC GELANE was located about 1,020 km (~ 550 NM) NE of Réunion island.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

See also: UW- CIMSS Cyclone Portal

Posted in cyclone, Cyclone GELANE, storm, TC 16S, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , | 7 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 2 (13 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 13, 2010

RENE Hovering Near PAGO-PAGO

Cyclone RENE continues to intensify, seemingly intent on wreaking havoc in the S Pacific island groups

In fact, based on the available information, there’s little to prevent the cyclone [turning around] tracking west, and targeting Samoa Islands, despite the forecast paths.


Cyclone Rene.
NOAA GOES AVNCOLOR Enhancement IR Satellite image. Click image to enlarge.  Click HERE or the Latest Image.  See Enhanced Image.


Political Map of American Samoa and Samoa Islands. Click image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 13 February 2010  at  03:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.5ºS, 169.5ºW

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 130km (~ 70 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 160 km/hr (~ 85 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 8.5m (25 ft)
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Update 1 (12 Feb)

Posted by feww on February 12, 2010

Slow Forward Motion May Help RENE to Strengthen


Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) – Water Vapor Satellite Image. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click Image to enlarge.

Tropical Cyclone RENE (TC 15P) Details

  • Date/Time: 12 February 2010 –  01:30 UTC
  • Position:  Near 13.0ºS, 166.0ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 215  degrees
  • Forward speed: 9 km/hr (~ 5 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone RENE has been tracking  SOUTH over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: ~ 110km (~ 60 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 140 km/hr (~ 75 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 6m (18 ft)
  • Location: TC RENE was located about 500 km (~ 270 NM) ENE of Pago-Pago
  • Rene could intensify to a Cat 2B Hurricane [probability of 65 percent] possibly a Cat 3A Hurricane [probability of 45 percent] within the next 72 hours, depending on its forward motion speed.
  • Sources: CIMSS, JTWC and Others

South Pacific and North America are two places to avoid right now!

Additional Satellite Imagery

NOAA East Pacific Floater 1 GOES Satellite ImageryCyclone FIFTEEN (TC 15P)

See also:

Posted in cyclone, hurricane, Pacific Ocean, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , | 6 Comments »

Cyclone PAT Revving Up in S Pacific

Posted by feww on February 9, 2010

Tropical Cyclone PAT (14P) Intensifies


Tropical Cyclone PAT (14P) – satellite image.
Source: CIMSS – Date/time – Feb 9, 2010 at 06:00UTC. Click image to enter CIMSS portal.

TC PAT Details

  • Time/Date: 9 February 2010 –  09:00 UTC
  • Position:  Near 15.1ºS, 159.0ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 145  degrees
  • Forward speed: 13 km/hr (~ 7 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone PAT has been tracking  southeastward over the past 6 hours.
  • PAT is a compact cyclone with a diameter of about 445 km (240 NM)

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 120 km (~ 65 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 150 km/hr (~ 80 kt)
  • Cyclone PAT is currently a Category 1 Hurricane

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: ~ 5m (15 ft)
  • Location: PAT was located about about 1,260 km (~ 680 NM) east of Pago-Pago
  • Sources: JTWC and Others

Posted in cyclone PAT, hurricane, pago-pago, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , | 3 Comments »

Hurricane OLI Update 3 – February 5

Posted by feww on February 5, 2010

TC Oli Hits French Polynesia

Tropical Cyclone OLI (P12) Strengthens to a Cat 4B Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale

Background:

Oli Strikes

OLI struck French Polynesia a few hours ago.  On the main island of Tahiti, hundreds of people abandoned their homes to escape the full wrath of the strengthening cyclone.  Roads harbors and airports were closed throughout the popular holiday island resorts, according to various reports.

Hurricane OLI Details

  • Time/Date: 5 February 2010 –  00:01 UTC
  • Position:  Near 20.4ºS, 151.4ºW
  • Sustained Movement: 155  degrees
  • Forward speed: 22 km/hr (~ 12 kt)
  • Tropical Cyclone OLI has been tracking South-Southeast over the past 6 hours.

Current Wind Distribution:

  • Maximum Sustained winds: 227 Km (122.4 kt)
  • Maximum Gusts:  ~ 280km/hr (~ 150 kt)

Wave Height and Location:

  • Maximum significant wave height: 8.5 m (26 ft)
  • Location: OLI was located about about 350 km (~ 190 NM) SW of Tahiti
  • Sources: CIMSS and Others


Cat 4B Hurricane OLI – Visible IR image. Date as inset. Source: UW-CIMSS. Click image to enter CIMSS Tropical Cyclone portal.

Related Links:


Posted in cyclone, Cyclone OLI, hurricane, storm, tropical cyclone | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

What Cyclone Magda Looked Like

Posted by feww on January 23, 2010

Tropical Cyclone Magda Making Landfall


Tropical Cyclone Magda made landfall at 01:35UTC on January 22 in northern West Australia. Image captured by MODIS on NASA’s Terra satellite. Magda was expected to dissipate quickly over land this weekend. Credit NASA.

Meanwhile, Tropical Cyclone OLGA, forecast to be near 16.1S 147.6E, moving  at 24 km/h (13 knots),  270 degrees, continued to strengthen gradually.

  • Max sustained winds forecast at 12:00UTC
    on 23 January: 93 km/h
  • Gusts: 120 km/h

Related Links:

Posted in MAGDA, ROPICAL CYCLONE OLGA, storm, tropical cyclone, tropical cyclone Magda | Tagged: , , , , , | Leave a Comment »