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Archive for the ‘Typhoon Lupit’ Category

MIRINAE: Another Cyclone Heading Philippines Way

Posted by feww on October 27, 2009

Typhoon MIRINAE – Update on 31 Oct 2009 – Time: 03:00UTC

TS MIRINAE – UPDATE 31 October 2009

October 29, 2009

Typhoon MIRINAE “In-Touch” with LUPIT

October 28, 2009

UPDATE: Giant Typhoon MIRINAE (23W)

MIRINAE Strengthens to a typhoon force, could develop to a SUPER TYPHOON [P ≥ 65%]

  • Mirinae has significantly increased in organization and intesity over the past 12 hours.

  • Typhoon Location as of 00:00 UTC 28-10-2009:   16.2N,  138.5E

TY 23W
Giant Typhoon MIRINAE (23W) could further strengthen to a Super Typhoon (probability of 65%). MTSAT IR Still Image at 00:00UTC on October 28, 2009. Click image to enlarge and update.

animation
(MTSAT/NOAA/SSD) Guam IR Color Loop. Click image to enlarge and animate.

Basic Information

DOB:   2009-10-27 06:00:00 UTC
AGE:   18 (hours) / 0.75 (days)
Minimum Pressure:   965 (hPa)
Maximum Wind Speed:  130 km/h / 70 (knots)
Max Radius of Storm Wind:  110 (km) /60 (nm)
Diameter of Storm Wind:  220 (km) /120 (nm)
Radius of Gale Wind:  330 (km) / 180 (nm)
Diameter of Gale Wind:  670 (km) /360 (nm)
Distance traveled:  587 (km)
Average Speed: 32.7 (km/h) / 783 (km/d)
Range of Movement: Latitude 1.3, Longitude 5.2
Wind Flux: 1.9500E+02
Accumulated Cyclone Energy:  1.0225E+04
Power Dissipation Index:  5.7488E+05

Source: Digital Typhoon / edited by FEWW

Best Track:

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October 27, 2009

Tropical Cyclone MIRINAE (23W)

At 03:00 UTC 27 October 2009, Tropical Storm Mirinae (23W ) was located near 14.3ºN,  144.6ºE, or approximately 75km (40 nm) northeast of Guam, moving West-northwestward (290 degrees) at about 28km (15kt) with max significant wave heights of about 4m (12 feet), JTWC reported.

Max sustained winds: 65 km/h (35 kt)
Maximum wind gusts:  85 km/h (45 kt)

All available models currently forecast 23W to make landfall on the east coast of Luzon near 15.3ºN  moving over south central Luzon.

23W
Tropical Storm 23W – MTSAT IR Still Image timed at 01:30UTC, on Oct 27, 2009. Click image to enlarge and update.

frTrack2
Storm Twentythree Forecast Track and Wind Distribution Graphic Issued Tue Oct 27 13:28 ChST. NWS/ Tiyan Guam.

twentythree
Storm Twentythree. Another twin-engined super typhoon in the making? Click image to enlarge and update.

wp2309
Tropical Storm 23W (Twentythree)  5-day projected path. Source: JTWC

MTSAT IR  full disk
MTSAT IR Image. Updated at 30 mins intervals. Click image to enlarge.

FEWW Forecast: Cyclone Mirinae could develop into an intense typhoon rapidly.

Additional Satellite Images:

Source Page: FEWW Satellite Imagery

MTSAT/ NOAA

Loops/Animations (MTSAT/NOAA/SSD)

Related Links:

Previous Storms:

Posted in manila flood, Storm Twentythree, TS Ketsana, Typhoon Lupit, Typhoon Melor, Typhoon Parma | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

Typhoon LUPIT: Cruel, Harsh, or Wicked?

Posted by feww on October 21, 2009

Typhoon LUPIT – 21 Oct 2009

  • How long will LUPIT loiter around Luzon

  • How much more rain will it dump?

  • Will LUPIT move away and come back, AGAIN!

At 00:00 UTC – Oct 21, 2009
Max Winds:   160km/h
(85 knots)  Category: 2
Max Gusts:  195 km/h
(105knots)
Coordinates:
20.5ºN 128.9ºE
Movement past six hours:
280 degrees at 15 km/h (08 kts)
Location: About 925 km (500 kts) NE of Manila Philippines

Summary of Storm Activity

Lupit is tracking westward steered by a subtropical ridge extension to the north. Deep convection has become more organized near the storm center over the past six hours, JTWC reported.

LUPIT - 21 -10 - 09
Typhoon LUPIT – MTSAT Still image.

track - unisys
LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather.  Click image to enlarge and update.

History Color Code – The chart color codes intensity (category based on Saffir-Simpson scale)
wind force table - SSS
NOTE: Pressures are in millibars and winds are in knots where one knot is equal to 1.15 mph. Source: UniSys Weather

LUPIT -  JTWC 5-day track
LUPIT 5-day track. Source JTWC. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon LUPIT – 20 Oct 2009

22W_200530sams Large
Typhoon LUPIT (22W): JTWC/SATOP multispectral satellite image. October 20, 2009 at 05:00 UTC. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon LUPIT – 20 October 2009, at 09:00UTC

Position: 20.4ºN, 129.3ºE
Location: Approximately 1,110 km (600 NM) northeast of Manila, Philippines.
Movement:  WNW at about 15km/h (8 knots)
Center: LUPIT’s Eye has once again become visible
System Characteristics: LUPIT has good radial out flow
Maximum significant wave height:  ~ 11 meters (34 feet)
Max sustained winds: 175km/h (95 knots)
Max gusts: 215 km/h (115 knots)

Super Typhoon Lupit
Super Typhoon Lupit. Date/Time as inset. Click on image to animate.


MTSAT IR Image. Updated at 30 mins intervals. Click image to enlarge.

Background and More images:


LUPIT 3-day projected track. Image: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright. Click image to enlarge!

Satellite Loops/Animation/Images

Other Satellite Images:

Related Links:

Posted in ecological collapse, Intertropical Convergence Zone, Lupit, LUPIT Forecast, LUPIT projected path, LUPIT Projected track, Philippine Sea, Philippines, RAMIL, sociological collapse, storm 22w, storm Ketsana, storm Lupit, storm RAMIL, Subtropical Ridge, Super Typhoon Lupit, super typhoon ramil, TS Lupit, ts lupit forecast track, Typhoon Lupit, Typhoon Parma, typhoon ramil | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »