Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from anthropogenic assault on Earth, and planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin by 2016

Earthquake Forecast for Nepal Region

Posted by feww on May 13, 2015

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Nepal Region

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has prepared its earthquake forecast for Nepal region.

The forecast will not be made public, but would be provided to the appropriate Nepalese officials at no cost, if requested.

Details of any communication between the parties shall remain strictly confidential.

Related Links

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Strong Earthquake Rattles Planet of the Abes

Posted by feww on May 13, 2015

M 6.8 quake strikes SE of Ofunato, Japan

Centered at 38.902°N, 142.032°E the quake struck at a depth of 38.9 km (24.1 mi), USGS/EHP reported.

This quake did NOT generate a pacific-wide destructive tsunami. No significant aftershock reported, as of posting.

EQ Details

  • Magnitude: 6.8Mw [Magnitude as reported by the local weather agency, JMA: 6.6Mw]
  • Location: 38.902°N 142.032°E
  • Depth: 38.9 kmime: 2015-05-12 21:12:58 UTC
  • Nearby Cities
    • 33km (21mi) SE of Ofunato, Japan
    • 42km (26mi) SSE of Kamaishi, Japan
    • 52km (32mi) SSE of Otsuchi, Japan
    • 63km (39mi) SE of Tono, Japan
    • 412km (256mi) NNE of Tokyo, Japan

The quake registered  up to ‘Upper 5′ on Japan’s seismicity scale of 1 to 7, and ‘Lower 5′ near Fukushima Dai-Ichi nuclear power plant.

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California seismicity to protest Internet censorship, Google’s manipulation of information, theft of FIRE-EARTH intellectual property and other reasons, as stated earlier on the blog.

The Team has suspended its research also on Japan seismicity due to the resurgence of militarism in that country and other reasons that have also been stated previously.

Recent Significant EQs in Japan Region

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M7.3 Earthquake Strikes Nepal

Posted by feww on May 12, 2015

Powerful quake strikes 76km ENE of Kathmandu, Nepal

Centered at 27.837°N, 86.077°E the quake occurred at a depth of 15.0 km (9.3 mi), reported USGS/EHP.

USGS models show possible fatalities of up to 1,000, with damages estimated at up to $100 million.

EQ Details
Magnitude: 7.3Mw
Location: 27.837°N, 86.077°E
Depth: 15.0 km (9.3 mi)
Time: 2015-05-12 07:05:19 (UTC)
Nearby Cities:

  • 18km (11mi) SE of Kodari, Nepal
  • 59km (37mi) ENE of Banepa, Nepal
  • 62km (39mi) ENE of Panaoti, Nepal
  • 76km (47mi) ENE of Kathmandu, Nepal
  • 77km (48mi) ENE of Patan, Nepal

At least 6 significant aftershocks, including a M6.3Mw, have occurred as of posting.

5.2Mw 28km SSE of Kodari, Nepal 2015-05-12 08:21:10 UTC depth=15.0 km
5.1Mw 19km SW of Kodari, Nepal 2015-05-12 08:13:54 UTC depth=15.0 km
5.0Mw 34km S of Kodari, Nepal 2015-05-12 08:06:07 UTC depth=15.0 km
6.3Mw 33km NNE of Ramechhap, Nepal 2015-05-12 07:36:53 UTC depth=15.0 km
5.4Mw 36km SSW of Zuobude, China 2015-05-12 07:34:22 UTC depth=15.0 km
5.6Mw 25km SE of Kodari, Nepal 2015-05-12 07:17:20 UTC depth=10.0 km

The devastating 7.8-magnitude quake (28.147°N, 84.708°E), which occurred at a similar depth on April 25, killed more than 8,000, injuring an estimated 18,000 others and affecting the lives of 8 million people across a vast region.

Related Links

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Deadly Tornadoes: Disaster Declared in Texas, Iowa, Arkansas

Posted by feww on May 12, 2015

Tornadoes kill 5, injure dozens, destroy/ damage hundreds of homes in U.S. mid-section

Governors in three states have declared States of Disaster Emergency, after a string of deadly tornadoes left trails of destruction across Texas, Arkansas, and Iowa on Monday, killing at least 5 people, leaving 3  missing and more than fifty others injured.

At least 25 tornadoes touched down in South Dakota, Iowa, Oklahoma and Texas on Sunday, according to the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) in Norman, Oklahoma. Three more tornadoes hit Iowas, Louisiana and North Carolina on Monday, reported SPC.

Gov. Greg Abbott has declared a state of disaster in Texas counties hit in recent days by severe weather that’s included tornadoes, thunderstorms and heavy rains that brought flooding.

Texas Gov. Abbott declared a state of disaster Monday in Bosque, Clay, Denton, Eastland, Gaines, Montague and Van Zandt counties.

A tornado killed at least one person in the town of Cisco west of Fort Worth Saturday night. Another tornado killed at least two people in the East Texas town of Van Sunday night, damaging or destroying at least 100 homes.

“About 30 percent” of the Van community has bee damaged, said an official for Van Zandt County.

The town was hit by an EF3 tornado, with winds from 135 mph to 140 mph, said NWS.

Iowa Gov. Branstad issued a disaster declaration for Monday morning, a day after a tornado tore through Lake City.

Arkansas Gov. Hutchinson declared Franklin, Garland, Howard, Izard, Johnson, Montgomery, Newton, Pike, Pope and Searcy Counties a disaster area Monday afternoon.

At least two people were killed in the town of Nashville, Arkansas, with widespread damage reported throughout the region.

The storm dumped as much as 280mm of rain in some areas setting new daily records for rainfall and causing widespread flooding.

Saturday saw at least 53 tornadoes wreaking havoc across Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska.

Some 155 tornadoes have touched down in the U.S. so far this month, bringing up the total for 2015 to at least 382, as of posting.

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Special Broadcast – FIRE-EARTH – HKL

Posted by feww on May 11, 2015

CJ Members

Special Broadcast on FIRE-EARTH TODAY!

Tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel for a special broadcast titled “HKL” on Monday (May 11, 2015) at the following times:

  • 17:02, 18:32 and 20:02 UTC.

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11 Million More People Internally Displaced in 2014

Posted by feww on May 11, 2015

Twice more IDPs than refugees worldwide

More than 38 million people worldwide are currently internally displaced (IDPs) due to conflict and violence, a rise for the third consecutive year, according to a report by the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC).

Last year alone, 11 million more people were displaced, the equivalent of 21 people every minute. “Never in the last 10 years of IDMC’s global reporting, have we reported such a high estimate for the number of people newly displaced in a year,” said the report.

“As of the end of 2014, 38 million people around the world had been forced to flee their homes by armed conflict and generalized violence, and were living in displacement within the borders of their own country. This represents a 15 per cent increase on 2013, and includes 11 million people who were newly displaced during the year, the equivalent of 30,000 people a day.”

IDPs -IDMC photo
11 Million people were newly displaced in 2014, or the equivalent of 30,000 fleeing each day from conflict and violence. Image source: Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC).

There are now twice more internally displaced people (IDPs) than refugees worldwide, says the Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees. Refugees are people who have crossed an international border escaping danger and who have international legal status. However, there is no coherent international protection structure for IDPs, says the UN agency.

Prolonged conflict and violence in five countries—Iraq, South Sudan, Syria, Democratic Republic of Congo and Nigeria—accounted for 60 per cent of new displacements in 2014, including 2.2 million people in Iraq who fled areas that had been captured by Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL), and more than one million South Sudan, Syria, Democratic Republic of Congo each.

About 77% of the world’s IDPs live in just 10 countries: Syria (7.6 million or 19.90%), Colombia (6.04 million), Iraq (3,38 million), Sudan (3.1 million), DR Congo (2.76 million), Pakistan (1.9 million), South Sudan (1.5 million), Somalia (1.11 million), Nigeria (1.08 million) and Turkey (953,700).

IDMC reported two new countries for the first time in 2014: Ukraine, where conflict displaced 646,500, and El Salvador, with 288,900 IDPs.

“Data on IDPs tends to focus on those living in camps, camp-like settings and collective centres, who are acknowledged to make up only a small fraction of the displaced population. Increasing numbers of IDPs also flee to urban areas where they are largely invisible among the urban poor, and these two factors mean that overall this report is likely to understate the true scale of displacement,” says the report.

[Additionally, no data is available on the IDPs in several countries, including Sri Lanka. —Editor]

The reported 38 million total does not reflect the tens of millions of people who have been internally displaced by natural disasters, says the report.

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Planet of the Abe’s Membership of Zoos & Aquariums Suspended

Posted by feww on May 10, 2015

Cruelty to dolphins: Japan’s membership of Zoos and Aquariums suspended

The World Association of Zoos and Aquariums (WAZA) has suspended Japan’s membership following a unanimous vote by its council.

WAZA is the “umbrella” organization for the world zoos and aquariums, with its  permanent Executive Office based in Berne, Switzerland.

WAZA said it regards the dolphin drive hunting, a brutal fishery method practiced in Taiji  (Wakayama Prefecture), “cruel” to dolphins and has therefore suspended Japan’s membership.

Dolphin drive hunting is a method of hunting dolphins by driving them together with boats into a bay where they are encircled and their escape route to the open waters is blocked with nets. The dolphins are then harpooned, or clubbed to death, with a few captured (live takes) and sold to aquariums (dolphinariums).

However, WAZA itself has been the target of a court action launched by conservationists for “effectively approving the cruel dolphin hunts,” said a report.

Taiji Sea of Red. Click image to enlarge. Sea Shepard

The Japanese Association of Zoos and Aquariums (JAZA), which takes dolphins from the hunt, had rejected a WAZA proposal for a two-year moratorium on drive hunting.

JAZA has 153 zoos and aquariums in Japan, with 30 of the outlets holding dolphins in their dolphinariums, according to reports.

Some 5,000 dolphins have been viciously killed at Taiji, with a further 750 live takes sold to dolphinariums worldwide since 2010, according to the whale and dolphin database Ceta Base.

WAZA suspended Japan’s membership on April 21.

 Related Links

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Super Typhoon NOUL – UPDATE 100300UTC

Posted by feww on May 10, 2015

NOUL packing sustained winds of 265km/hr

Update 100300UTC [Based on FIRE-EARTH Models using the available satellite data]

Position: Near 16.9ºN, 122.7ºE
Location: About 320km NE of Manila, Philippines
Max. Sustained Winds: 265km/hr
Max. Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
Max. Significant Wave Height: 15 meters
Movement: NNW (330 degrees) at 17 km/hr

  • Typhoon NOUL [“DODONG”]  is expected to make landfall over Sta. Ana Pt., Cagayan this afternoon or early evening (local time), May 10, and will exit the Philippines Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday morning, May 12.
  • Residents in low lying and mountainous areas of the provinces with Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.
  • Storm surges of up to 1.5 meters are possible over the eastern coast of Isabela and Cagayan.

Related Links

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State of Emergency Declared in Dallas County due to Bird Flu

Posted by feww on May 9, 2015


“You can’t dump your infected bird carcases in our backyard” —Dallas County

Dallas County officials have declared a state of emergency amid the state’s outbreak of avian influenza, according to a news release.

The resolution forbids “the transportation of poultry and poultry waste within a mile of poultry raising facilities. The state of emergency will allow county road officials to place barricades near facilities within the county,” said a report.

“John Benson, a spokesman with Iowa Homeland Security & Emergency Management, said Dallas County’s state of emergency is similar to the one put in place last week by Gov. Terry Branstad, but with efforts supplemented at a local level

“As many as 3.5 million birds killed because of avian influenza outbreaks in northwest Iowa might be driven across the state and disposed of in a private landfill in Mills County.”

Read more…

Bird Flu Claims 4.8 Million More Iowa Chickens

State of Iowa

  • Birds Affected: 23,130,698  [additional cases pending]
  • Detections Reported: 30
  • First Detection Reported: April20, 2015
  • Last Detection Reported: May 7, 2015

Poultry producers in NW Iowa have been overwhelmed disposing of more than 23 million birds infected by the deadly virus, officials said.

At least 44 chicken, turkey, and duck flocks have been infected with the HPAI H5 [HPAI H5N8, HPAI H5N2 and HPAI H5N1] virus in 12 counties across Iowa, 11 in the northwest and Madison County.

More than 23 million additional infected birds, or about 45 percent of the state’s egg-laying flock, are slated to be destroyed including more than 22 million laying hens, and an estimated one million turkeys and ducks, according to reports.

The deadly virus has now spread to 30 million birds across at least 18 U.S. states; 13 states have experienced outbreaks in poultry flocks and 5 states have detected H5 in wild birds.

Update on Avian Influenza Findings – Poultry Findings Confirmed by USDA’s National Veterinary Services Laboratories

  • Birds Affected: 29,907,671  [additional cases pending]
  • Detections Reported: 142
  • First Detection Reported: December 19, 2014
  • Last Detection Reported: May 7,  2015

Commercial Flocks Infected in at least 13 States: Arkansas, California, Idaho, Iowa, Kansas, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, North Dakota, Oregon, South Dakota, Washington and  Wisconsin.

Wild Flocks with Infection Found in at least 5 States: Kentucky, Nevada, New Mexico, Utah and Wyoming.

CDC Influenza Division – Key Points: HPAI H5

  • Increased outreach, reporting and surveillance activities in the United States followed the detection of HPAI H5N2 among commercial poultry flocks in Canada in early December 2014.
  • USDA has reported
    • HPAI H5N8 virus in California, Idaho, Oregon, Utah, Washington, and Nevada.
    • HPAI H5N2 virus in Washington, Idaho, Oregon, Minnesota, Missouri, Arkansas, Kansas, Wyoming, Montana, South Dakota, North Dakota, Wisconsin, Iowa and Kentucky.
    • HPAI H5N1 virus in Washington.
    • H5 virus in a wild bird in New Mexico, but diagnostic test did not determine the neuraminidase (NA).
  • HPAI H5N8, HPAI H5N2 and HPAI H5N1 viruses with this combination of genes had not been detected previously in the United States.


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State of Emergency Declared for 12 Oklahoma Counties

Posted by feww on May 8, 2015

Deadly twisters wreak havoc along Tornado Alley

Gov. Fallin declared a State of Emergency for 12 Oklahoma counties after dozens of tornadoes tore through the state late Wednesday.

The counties included in the governor’s proclamations are Alfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Cleveland, Dewey, Garfield, Grady, Grant, Major, McClain and Oklahoma.

The State of Emergency declaration will allow counties to make emergency purchases without limitations, said Fallin.

“Be weather aware over the next several days,” added Fallin, warning the residents about the probability of more severe weather hitting the Sooner State.

Excerpts from Fallin’s Executive Order 2015-23

Tornadoes, severe storms, straight-line winds and flooding beginning May 6, 2015, and continuing have caused extensive damage to public and private properties within the State of Oklahoma; and said damages have caused an undue hardship on the citizens of this state.

There is hereby declared a disaster emergency caused by the tornadoes, severe storms, straight-line winds and flooding in the State of Oklahoma that threatens the lives and property of the people of this State and the public’s peace, health and safety.

This declaration may be amended to add counties as conditions warrant.

This Executive Order shall terminate at the end of thirty (30) days.

Some 76 twisters tore through the Tornado Alley so far this month, destroying or damaging hundreds of structures and mobile homes and leaving massive flooding in their wake.

At least one person drowned after she became trapped in a storm shelter, said local reports.

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Earthquake Rattles Venus, Texas

Posted by feww on May 8, 2015

M4.0 Quake strikes near Venus, Texas

Centered at 32.480°N, 97.132°W (about 5km NNW of Venus) the quake occurred at a depth of depth 3.2 km (2.0 mi), reported USGS/EHP.

Venus, a town located in Ellis and Johnson Counties in the Lone Star State, has a population of about 3,000.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 4.0Mw
Location: 32.480°N 97.132°W depth=3.2 km (2.0 mi)
Time: 2015-05-07 22:58:05 (UTC)
Nearby Cities

  • 5km (3mi) NNW of Venus, Texas
  • 9km (6mi) S of Mansfield, Texas
  • 12km (7mi) W of Midlothian, Texas
  • 30km (19mi) S of Arlington, Texas
  • 45km (28mi) SW of Dallas, Texas

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Major Typhoon AND Restive Volcano Threaten Philippines

Posted by feww on May 8, 2015

Bulusan volcano spewing ash, typhoon NOUL dumping heavy rain

The Bulusan volcano (12.7667°N, 124.0500°E), restive for eight days, has been spewing out steam and ash in central Sorsogon province, Philippines.

At 9:46 PM on May 6, 2015, Bulusan Volcano (12.7667°N, 124.0500°E) in Sorsogon Province generated a steam-driven explosion from a vent on its northwest upper slopes that propelled an ash plume approximately 250 m high before it drifted west. The explosion event lasted 3.5 minutes based on the seismic records. Traces of ash were observed in Sitio Tulay of Brgy. Bagsangan, Cogon, Monbon, and Tinampo in Irosin, Sorsogon. This event was preceded by a similar steam-driven explosion from the same vent on May 1, 2015 that lasted 5 minutes. Such  explosions are typical to Bulusan during restive periods, when its hydrothermal system is disturbed or when steam accumulates and pressurizes at the shallow levels of the volcanic edifice. Based on past records,  more explosions can be expected to occur with varying intensity, duration and distribution of ash. DOST-PHIVOLCS

Meantime, major typhoon NOUL, the fourth to strike the country so far this year, is forecast to dump up to 30cm of rain along its path threatening to unleash lahar around Mt Bulusan, officials said.

NOUL Location as of 4:00pm Local Time
The typhoon (locally known  as DODONG) was about 510 km East of Sorsogon City (12.9°N, 128.7°E), forecast to make landfall as a category four storm at the weekend, said the official agency PAGASA.

NOUL was packing maximum sustained winds of about 150 kp/h with maximum wind gusts of up to 185 kp/h, moving WNW at about 17km/h, according to several models.

The typhoon is dumping “heavy to intense rainfall amount” within its 300-km diameter, said PAGASA.

Typhoon NOUL – Image source: DOST/PAGASA

MT Bulusan

On Thursday, DOST-PHIVOLCS issued an Alert Level 1 for Mt Bulusan after an explosion late Wednesday, warning “hydrothermal processes may be underway beneath the volcano that may lead to more steam-driven eruptions.”

“The local government units and the public are reminded that entry to the four-kilometer radius Permanent Danger Zone (PDZ) is strictly prohibited due to the possibility of sudden and hazardous steam-driven or phreatic eruptions,” the agency said in its latest bulletin.


Mayon Volcano Status

BULLETIN 08 May 2015 8:00 A.M.

Mayon Volcano’s seismic monitoring network recorded five (5) volcanic earthquakes during the past 24 hours. Very weak to moderate emission of white steam plumes that crept downslope towards southwest was observed. The summit was visible but no crater glow was observed last night. Precise leveling surveys on April 30 – May 4, 2015 indicated slight deflation of the edifice relative to the March 2015 surveys, although the edifice remains inflated relative to baseline levels.

Mayon Volcano’s alert status is currently at Alert Level 2. This means the volcano is at a moderate level of magmatic unrest. Although the volcano is currently exhibiting low-level of seismic activity, ground deformation data indicates that eruptible magma had already accumulated the previous year beneath the edifice. Current conditions may still change and eventually lead to hazardous eruption. The public is still reminded to avoid entry into the 6-km Permanent Danger Zone or PDZ due to perennial hazards of rockfalls, avalanche, ash puffs and sudden steam-driven or phreatic eruptions at the summit area. Furthermore, people living in valleys and active river channels are cautioned to remain vigilant against sediment-laden streamflows and lahars in the event of prolonged and heavy rainfall. PHIVOLCS-DOST is closely monitoring Mayon Volcano’s activity and any new development will be immediately posted to all concerned. DOST-PHIVOLCS

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“Every breath you take and every move you make… “

Posted by feww on May 7, 2015

“Every breath you take and every move you make; every bond you break, every step you take, I’ll be watching you”

CO2 levels reach new global monthly record of 400ppm

Yet another greenhouse gas benchmark has been reached globally.

Global atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) concentrations have reached a new monthly record of 400 parts per million (ppm), the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) announced.

“We first reported 400 ppm when all of our Arctic sites reached that value in the spring of 2012. In 2013 the record at NOAA’s Mauna Loa Observatory first crossed the 400 ppm threshold. Reaching 400 parts per million as a global average is a significant milestone,” said the lead scientist of NOAA’s Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network.

CO2 has risen about 120 parts per million since preindustrial times, with about 50 percent of the increase occurring since 1980.

On April 3, FIRE-EARTH forecast that the weekly average atmospheric CO2 at Mauna Loa could hit 400ppm by May 2013.

Last 5 days of preliminary daily average CO2

May 06 – 404.34
May 05 – 404.13
May 04 – Unavailable
May 03 – 403.63
May 02 – 403.59

Up-to-date weekly average CO2 at Mauna Loa

Week beginning on April 26, 2015:     403.78 ppm
Weekly value from 1 year ago:     401.73 ppm
Weekly value from 10 years ago:     382.52 ppm
Last updated: May 7, 2015

Recent Monthly Average Mauna Loa CO2

April 2015:     403.26 ppm
April 2014:     401.29 ppm
Last updated: May 5, 2015

Recent Global CO2

March 2015:     400.83 ppm
March 2014:     398.10 ppm
Last updated: May 5, 2015

Related Links

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Powerful Quake Strikes Solomon Islands

Posted by feww on May 7, 2015

Last Update: 08:38:22

M7.1 Earthquake Shakes Bougainville Island, North Solomons



EQ Details

Magnitude: 7.1 Mw [USGS/EHP]
Location: 7.226°S, 154.551°E
Depth: 23.2 km
Time: 2015-05-07 07:10:22 UTC

Nearest Cities:

  • 144km (89mi) SW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea
  • 156km (97mi) SW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea
  • 406km (252mi) SE of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea
  • 521km (324mi) ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea
  • 642km (399mi) WNW of Honiara, Solomon Islands

more details will follow…

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Disaster Aid for “Kentucky Survivors of April Storms”

Posted by feww on May 7, 2015

Another Major Disaster Declared for Kentucky

Kentucky Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (DR-4217) 

The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the Commonwealth of Kentucky in the areas affected by  severe storms, tornadoes, flooding, landslides and mudslides during the period of April 2-17, 2015

Nineteen areas worst affected by the severe storms, tornadoes, flooding, landslides, and mudslides include  Bath, Bourbon, Breathitt, Bullitt, Clark, Elliott, Estill, Franklin, Jefferson, Johnson, Lawrence, Lee, Lewis, Madison, Magoffin, Metcalfe, Morgan, Owsley, and Wolfe counties.

Kentucky Survivors of April Storms Can Register for Disaster Aid
FRANKFORT, KY – Residents of 10 Kentucky counties who suffered damage from the severe storms, tornadoes, flooding, landslides and mudslides of April 2-17, 2015 may be eligible for federal disaster assistance.The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) and Kentucky Emergency Management (KYEM) announced jointly that assistance is available to affected individuals in Bath, Bourbon, Carter, Elliott, Franklin, Jefferson, Lawrence, Madison, Rowan and Scott counties.

Additional designations may be made at a later date if requested by the commonwealth and warranted by the results of further damage assessments, said the Federal Coordinating Officer for federal recovery operations in the affected areas.

This is the second Major Disaster Declaration issued for Kentucky in one week.

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Drought Destroys more Crops in ID, NV, OR, UT

Posted by feww on May 7, 2015

Crop disasters declared for 37 counties in four states

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 37 additional counties across four  states—Idaho, Nevada, Oregon and Utah—as crop disaster areas due to damages and losses caused by the drought.

The drought disaster designations are for the following areas:

  • Idaho. Ada, Bingham, Blaine, Boise, Butte, Camas, Canyon, Cassia, Clark, Custer, Elmore, Gem, Jefferson, Lemhi, Lincoln, Minidoka, Owyhee, Payette, Power, Valley and Washington counties.
  • Nevada. Pine, Elko, Eureka, Lincoln and Nye counties.
  • Oregon. Malheur County.
  • Utah. Juab (multiple designations), Millard (multiple designations), Tooele, Carbon, Emery, Sanpete, Sevier and Utah counties.

Crop Disasters 2015

Beginning January 7, 2015 USDA has declared crop disasters in at least an 1,135 counties across 20  states: Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Idaho, Kansas, Minnesota, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Mexico, North Dakota, Oklahoma, Oregon, South Dakota, Texas, Utah, Virginia and West Virginia.

Majority of the 2015 crop disaster designations so far are due to drought.

Crop Disasters 2014

In 2014, USDA declared crop disasters in at least 2,904 counties across 44 states. Most of the designations were due to drought.

Those states were:

Alabama, Arizona, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan. Minnesota, Mississippi, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming. [FIRE-EARTH has documented all of the above listings. See blog content.]

i. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.

ii. The counties designated as agricultural disaster areas, as listed above, include both primary and contiguous disaster areas.

iii. Some counties may have been designated as crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.

iv. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.

v. The disaster designations posted above were approved by USDA on May 6, 2015 and posted on their website as three separate declarations.

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Dozens of Tornadoes Strike OK, KS, NE

Posted by feww on May 7, 2015

U.S. Tornado Alley Swept by Twisters

At least 36 tornadoes have swept through Oklahoma, Kansas and Nebraska, flipping cars, downing power lines and snapping trees.

The twisters, including a “large tornado,” have caused “substantial” damage to many structures across several regions.

tornadoes 06may filtered
Filtered Tornado Reports. Source Storm Prediction Center/NWS

US Tornado Alley


At least seven tornadoes touched down in Texas and New Mexico on Tuesday. There were no report of casualties, as of posting.

Tornado Alley is a nickname for an area that consistently experiences a high frequency of tornadoes each year. The area that has the most strong and violent tornadoes includes eastern SD, NE, KS, OK. Northern TX, and eastern Colorado. Source: NSSL/NOAA. Click image to enlarge.

Tornado Probabilities [Monthly] – All Tornadoes

Tornado Probabilities [Monthly] – Significant Tornadoes

Tornado Probabilities [Monthly] – Violent Tornadoes

Other Maps

  1. Tornado
  2. F2 or greater (significant) tornadoes
  3. Wind
  4. Hail

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Drought Forces California into Mandatory Water Cutbacks

Posted by feww on May 6, 2015

California adopts unprecedented mandatory water cuts

The Golden State regulators have adopted unprecedented mandatory water cutbacks by as much as 36 percent, as the region’s catastrophic drought enters its fourth year.

The emergency regulations were approved unanimously late Tuesday by the State Water Resources Control Board.

“This is a collective issue that we all need to rise to in this time of emergency,” said the chairwoman of the state board during a public hearing Tuesday in Sacramento. “This is a community crisis. The community is California.”

Communities across the state must reduce water use from 8 percent to 36 percent starting May 15 to comply with an order issued by Gov. Brown to reduce state water use by 25 percent amid dwindling water supplies, said a report.

“Individuals face $500 fines per violation. Water retailers that do not meet water conservation targets will be issued a cease and desist order and if they continue to miss the mark, could be fined $10,000 a day,” said the report quoting an environmental scientist with the state water board as saying.

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2 Earthquakes Strike near San Jacinto, California

Posted by feww on May 6, 2015

M3.9 quake strikes 4km NNW of San Jacinto, California

Centered at 33.817°N, 116.978°W the event occurred at a depth of 15.3km, USGS/EHP reported.

The quake was followed by another shock measuring 3.0Mw.

EQ Details

Magnitude: 3.9Mw
Location: 33.817°N, 116.978°W; depth=15.3km
Time: 2015-05-06 at 07:39:47 UTC
Nearby Cities:

  • 4km (2mi) NNW of San Jacinto, California
  • 8km (5mi) N of Hemet
  • 11km (7mi) NW of Valle Vista
  • 26km (16mi) ESE of Moreno Valley, California
  • 41km (25mi) ESE of Riverside, California
  • 41km (25mi) W of Palm Springs, California

Related Links

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“Above Normal” Wildfire for U.S. West, North central

Posted by feww on May 6, 2015

Forest Service: “Above Normal” Wildland Fire Potential in the West, “Active Fire” Year for  North Central U.S.

U.S. Forest Service has forecast an “above normal” wildland fire Potential in the West, and an “active fire” year for North Central U.S. in the upcoming 2015 fire season in testimony today before the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources.

“Forest Service researchers expect 2015 to continue the trend of above average fire activity,” said Forest Service Chief in his testimony before the Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources on Teusday.

“Above normal wildland fire potential exists across the north central United States and above normal wildland fire potential will threaten many parts of the West this summer,” said USFS Chief Tidwell. “We anticipate another active fire year, underscoring the need to reform our wildfire funding.”

The forecast indicates there is a 90 percent chance that this year’s Forest Service fire suppression costs will be between $794 million and $1.657 billion, with a median estimate of $1.225 billion, potentially forcing the diversion of funding from other vital programs to support suppression operations. Any costs above the median is greater than the “10 year average” and would force the Forest Service to leverage funding from other land management programs. Diverting funds to cover the cost of wildfire suppression affects other critical Forest Service programs and services, said Tidwell, including efforts to reduce wildfire risk through mechanical thinning, prescribed fires, and other means.”

Wildfire suppression costs have increased as fire seasons have grown longer and the frequency, size, and severity of wildfires has increased due to changing climatic conditions, drought, hazardous fuel buildups, insect and disease infestations, nonnative invasive species, and other factors. Funding has not kept pace with the cost of fighting fire. Over the last 10 years, adjusting for inflation, the Forest Service has spent an average of almost $1.13 billion on suppression operations annually.

However, the fire season has already started in parts of Idaho, Montana and Wyoming and has seen several ferocious fires since March.

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California Drought has Killed 12 Million Forest Trees since 2014

Posted by feww on May 5, 2015

Eureka: Millions of dead trees intensify forest fire danger in the Golden State

The catastrophic drought in California has killed more than 12 million trees across the Golden state’s forests over the past year, according to an aerial survey conducted the U.S. Forest Service last month.

Using a digital mapping system, while flying in a fixed-wing aircraft about 300m above ground, a USFS team visually surveyed the forests.

The surveyors tracked about 8.4 million acres in Cleveland, San Bernardino, Angeles and Los Padres National Forests, as well as the Southern Sierra Nevada, and documented a total of more than 12 million dead trees.

The surveyors found substantial pine mortality in San Diego County, especially across the Cleveland National Forest and Mt. Laguna.

A ferocious forest fire that burned for nearly three months late last summer and early fall consumed about quarter-million acres of forest around the Klamath National Forest in Siskiyou County, northern California.

As of last week (April 28, 2015) some 99.86 percent of California was abnormally dry or plagued by drought drought levels D1 – D4.

  • Drought levels D1 – D4: 98.11 percent of the land area
  • Drought levels D2 – D4: 93.44 percent
  • Drought levels D3 – D4: 66.60 percent
  • Drought levels D4: 46.77 percent

Drought conditions in California are expected to intensify as the dry season begins.

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Powerful Earthquake Shakes East New Britain

Posted by feww on May 5, 2015

M7.5 quake strikes 130km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea (PNG)

Centered at 5.465°S, 151.886°E the quake occurred at a depth of 42.0 km, reported USGS/EHP.

The quake had been preceded buy strong foreshocks and was followed by at least 9 significant aftershocks, as of posting.

See also FIRE-EARTH Forecast on HEIGHTENED SEISMICITY and ENHANCED VOLCANISM in the Pacific Ring of Fire March 31, 2015 concerning

EQ Details
Magnitude: 7.5Mw [USGS/EHP]
Depth: 42.0 km
Location: 5.465°S 151.886°E
Time: 2015-05-05 01:44:05 UTC
Nearest Cities:

  • 130km (81mi) SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea [pop: ~30k]
  • 193km (120mi) E of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea  [pop: ~20k]
  • 341km (212mi) SSE of Kavieng, Papua New Guinea [pop: ~15k]
  • 412km (256mi) WNW of Arawa, Papua New Guinea [pop: ~35k]
  • 680km (423mi) NE of Port Moresby, Papua New Guinea [pop: ~375k]

Recent foreshocks and aftershocks
5.0 147km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 08:47:08 UTC 61.1 km
5.3 129km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 08:16:58 UTC 42.8 km
4.9 126km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 06:11:04 UTC 51.6 km
4.9 143km SSW of Taron, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 05:07:29 UTC 40.0 km
5.2 86km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 05:03:01 UTC 55.7 km
5.2 130km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 03:55:51 UTC 51.8 km
5.2 124km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 02:40:23 UTC 33.9 km
5.6 103km S of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:58:20 UTC 57.5 km
5.9 109km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:54:05 UTC 64.5 km
7.5 130km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-05 01:44:05 UTC 42.0 km
5.1 143km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-04 08:09:14 UTC 60.8 km
4.6 102km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-04 01:04:48 UTC 63.3 km
5.2 132km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 23:40:56 UTC 35.1 km
5.1 133km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 22:50:47 UTC 46.1 km
5.5 142km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 22:35:11 UTC 67.9 km
5.6 144km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 22:32:42 UTC 35.0 km
5.2 150km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 20:21:56 UTC 76.0 km
4.8 148km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-03 19:28:54 UTC 61.0 km
5.0 93km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-02 10:53:06 UTC 103.4 km
4.9 124km ESE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-01 19:55:56 UTC 44.5 km
6.8 106km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-05-01 08:06:04 UTC 57.0 km
6.7 125km SSW of Kokopo, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-30 10:45:05 UTC 48.9 km
5.0 60km WSW of Panguna, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-24 02:51:07 UTC 83.5 km
5.3 80km W of Panguna, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-21 19:10:18 UTC 68.0 km
5.3 32km ENE of Kandrian, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-21 11:21:12 UTC 53.5 km
4.5 74km SW of Taron, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-21 08:14:36 UTC 54.9 km
4.9 80km SE of Kimbe, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-20 20:02:07 UTC 67.8 km
4.6 112km S of Taron, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-19 12:48:42 UTC 36.6 km
4.5 103km S of Taron, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-19 12:17:42 UTC 42.2 km
5.2 66km NW of Rabaul, Papua New Guinea 2015-04-15 10:22:08 UTC 10.0 km

Related Links

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Nepal Earthquake: Death Toll Climbs to 7,365

Posted by feww on May 4, 2015

Deadly quake affects 8m Nepalese

Death toll in Nepal’s April 25 earthquake has climbed to 7,365 with at least 14,366 others injured, said the Ministry of Home Affairs on Monday.

Meantime, the police and local volunteers found 115 bodies thought to be trekkers and villagers who were buried in snow and ice after the devastating earthquake and strong aftershocks triggered multiple avalanches.

The bodies were recovered from the Langtang village, about 60 kilometers north of the capital, Kathmandu, over the weekend. The entire village, with up to 60 guesthouses, was razed by an avalanche, officials said.

The avalanches have also damaged the routes on Mt Everest making it “almost impossible” to climb the mountain this season.

The deadly quake has affected about 8 million people (Nepal has a population of 28 million), destroying or damaging more than 600,000 houses across the country, according to the latest figures released by the UN/ Nepalese officials.

The quake has destroyed up to 90 per cent of the houses in Gorkha and Sindupalchowk districts, said a UN report.

“Across large parts of Dhading, Dolakha, Rasuwa and Nuwakot districts, more than 80 percent of houses have been flattened.”

The worst affected areas are the 13 districts of Bhaktapur, Dolakha, Dhading, Gorkha, Kabhrepalanchowk, Kathmandu, Lalitpur, Makawanpur, Nuwakot, Ramechhap, Rasuwa, Sindhuli and Sindhupalchowk; however, damage has also been reported in Kavre, Okhaldhunga and Solukhumbu districts.



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Global Seismicity (June 2015 – August 2015)

Posted by feww on May 4, 2015


CJ Members

Special Report: Global Seismicity (June 30, 2015 – August 31, 2015)

Tune into FIRE-EARTH Channel for the Special Report: Global Seismicity on FRIDAY, May 8, 2015 at the following times:

  • 08:32, 20:32 and 22:32UTC.

FIRE-EARTH Model diagnostic discussion currently scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2015 at the following times: TO BE ADVISED.

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‘Severe’ Earthquake Rattles NZ South Island

Posted by feww on May 4, 2015

M6.0 quake strikes NW of Wanaka, NZ

Centered at 44.54°S, 168.83°E the quake struck at a depth of 5km, reported NZ geonet, describing the shock as ‘Severe.’

EQ Details [NZ geonet]

  • Magnitude: 6.0Mw
  • Epicenter: 44.54°S, 168.83°E
  • Depth: 5 km
  • Location:
    • 30 km north-west of Wanaka
    • 57km NNE of Queenstown, New Zealand

NOTICE: New Zealand Earthquake Forecasts April 16, 2011

Related Links

Other Significant Seismicity


  • Cluster of 8 aftershocks with the largest measuring 5.6 144km SSW of Kokopo, on 2015-05-03 at 22:32:42 UTC depth=35.0 km

Planet California

  • 3.6Mw, 1km S of Concord, California 2015-05-03 at 22:13:19 UTC depth=14.6 km

Planet of the Abes

  • 4.9Mw, 19km SW of Tomioka, Japan 2015-05-03 at 14:30:16 UTC depth=146.3 km
  • 4.6Mw, 3km SSE of Iwai, Japan 2015-05-03 at 06:53:59 UTC depth=51.6 km
  • 5.0Mw, 45km E of Namie, Japan 2015-05-03 at 04:02:52 UTC depth=42.4 km

Global Seismic Hot Spots (June 2015 – August 2015)

Tune into FIRE-EARTH for the blog’s special report FRIDAY, May 22, 2015 at the following times :

18:32, 19:32, 20:32 and 22:32UTC.

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