Fire Earth

Earth is fighting to stay alive. Mass dieoffs, triggered by anthropogenic assault and fallout of planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin anytime!

Posts Tagged ‘Bohol earthquake’

Super Typhoon HAIYAN – NOV 10 Update

Posted by feww on November 10, 2013

Casualty Figures Moving Closer to FIRE-EARTH Forecasts

Super Typhoon HAIYAN has killed at least 10,000 people in the Tacloban alone,  according to the provincial governor.

Tacloban, officially the City of Tacloban (pop: 230,000), located central Philippines province of Leyte, bore the brunt of HAIYAN. The casualty figure has not yet been confirmed by the central government’s disaster agency.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models calculated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties, the blog said on Saturday.

Summary of Latest Events

Typhoon HAIYAN was downgraded to a Cat. 4A storm force on the FEWW New Hurricane Scale racing toward Indochina Peninsula, over the warm (29ºC) waters of South China Sea, at a forward speed of about 35 km/hr, as of 04:30UTC on Saturday November 9, 2013.

UPDATES – Sunday November 10, 2013

  • According to the latest official figures, about 500,000 people have been displaced and more than 4.5 million people affected as a result of the typhoon attack.
  • At least 300 people were killed in Samar province, with 2,000 others reported as missing. Scores of others are injured. “However vast areas of Samar, an island of over 733,000, still have not been contacted over two days after the typhoon struck.” AFP said.
  • Authorities in Vietnam have evacuated about 900,000 people in 11 provinces.
  • “Tacloban is totally destroyed. Some people are losing their minds from hunger or from losing their families,” a high school teacher told reporters. “People are becoming violent. They are looting business establishments, the malls, just to find food, rice and milk… I am afraid that in one week, people will be killing from hunger.”
  • “People are walking like zombies looking for food,” said a medical student in Leyte. “It’s like a movie.”
  • A tourist describing the scene of total devastation in Tacloban City said: “It’s like the end of the world.”
  • Aerial surveys show “significant damage to coastal areas” with large ships thrown ashore, countless homes destroyed and large swathes of crops “decimated,” said The U.N.’s Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (UNOCHA).
  • President Benigno Aquino is reportedly considering to impose martial law to stem the widespread looting (!)

ty haiyan 10-11-13
Typhoon HAIYAN – IR/Water Vapor Difference [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image (recorded at 02:30UTC on November 10, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.

UPDATES – Saturday November 9, 2013

  • As of 12:00UTC the typhoon-related death toll had climbed to 1,200, but it’s expected to rise sharply.
  • Large scale devastation has occurred in the islands of Leyte and Samar, which is consistent with FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models.
  • At least 36 provinces, out of a total of 80, have been severely affected.
  • FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.
  • At least 4.3 million people have been affected including about 350,000 who have lost their homes, according to the Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC).
  • The Super Typhoon pummeled seven of the country’s 17 regions, causing large-scale power outages across much of the disaster areas.
  • There are numerous reports of widespread looting across the disaster zone.
  • Dozens of towns throughout the disaster zone have declared states of calamity.
  • HAIYAN is currently targeting South China, moving close  to Vietnam shoreline, according to revised projections suggested by several models. This would be a nightmare scenario for Vietnam because the typhoon could dump 4 to 6 times more rain over the country, and affect a much larger land area, than previously forecast, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
  • Chinese authorities have issued a level three emergency response as the recently downgraded Cat 2 typhoon approaches southern China.

FIRE-EARTH Models show storm surges of up to 20 meters high, generated by the Super Typhoon, striking coastal areas in the Bicol Peninsula. SEE

[NOTE: To those reporters who have difficulty understanding the basic mechanics of tsunamis:  The height of tsunamis are governed by at least two major factors, in this case, (i) the initial height of the storm surge, and (ii) the geographical characteristics of the attack area. This is best described by Diposaptono et al in their paper Impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in the Papua region, Indonesia: field observation data and numerical analyses – Geophysical Journal International, Volume 194, Issue 3, p.1625-1639.

… the impacts of the 2011 East Japan tsunami in Yos Sudarso Bay, Papua, Indonesia. Although the far-field tsunami had a height of 0.8 m measured at a tide gauge inside the small U-shaped bay, it severely damaged four villages scattered along the bay. Detailed numerical analysis was carried out to explain the damages. We used a well-verified source model in the near- and far-field cases to model the propagation of the tsunami southward in the Pacific until reaching Papua Island, Indonesia. The numerical analyses demonstrate two causes of damage in the bay: the maximum tsunami velocity (3.5 m s-1) floated the houses in the villages of Tobati and Enggros and caused them to collapse, and water trapped by the hook-shaped peninsula amplified the tsunami height at the Holtekamp and Hanurata.

Extent of the Devastation

“From a helicopter, you can see the extent of devastation. From the shore and moving a kilometer inland, there are no structures standing. It was like a tsunami,” said Interior Secretary Manuel Roxas.
“The dead are on the streets, they are in their houses, they are under the debris, they are everywhere,” said Tecson John Lim, a Tacloban city administrator.

“I have never seen such damage in my life,” said Capt John Andrews, deputy director general of the Civil Aviation Authority in the Philippines. I saw “utter destruction.”

“At the airport, there’s actually no structure left standing except the walls,” he told reporters.

Bohol Island Earthquake Disaster Update

Meantime, the following disaster update has been issued for the M7.2 earthquake that struck Bohol Island on October 15 2013.

  • Number of people killed:  195  + (12 others missing, presumed dead)
  • Injuries: 651
  • About 350,000 people have been displaced.

The earthquake triggered massive landslides causing extensive damage to housing, hospitals, schools, infrastructure and utilities, with more than 53,300 houses severely damaged or destroyed.

More details to follow…

This post will be updated throughout Sunday.

Related Links

Posted in disaster calendar, disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, disaster zone, disasters, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Philippine Quake Disaster Update

Posted by feww on October 16, 2013

At least 108 people feared dead, 300 others injured, 2.9 million affected

Some 99 fatalities have been confirmed in the magnitude 7.1 earthquake that struck Bohol Island in central Philippines.

Ninety people were killed in Bohol, eight in Cebu and one in Siquijor, said the Philippine National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRM) on Wednesday.

  • Some 276 others were injured said NDRRM, including 166 in Bohol, 106 in Cebu.
  • Up to a dozen people remain unaccounted for, according to local reports.

According to unconfirmed reports, at least 108 people were killed and 300 others injured in the quake.

A total of about 558,390 families, which translates to more than 2.84 persons have been affected in three island provinces—Bohol, Cebu and Siquijor.

Philippine authorities declared declared states of calamity in Bohol and Cebu provinces after the  powerful quake struck on Tuesday.

The M7.1 quake,  centered at 9.866°N, 124.011°E, struck at a depth of about 20km about 2km NE of Catigbian, on the island province of Bohol, Philippines at 00:12:32 UTC on Tuesday, October 15, 2013.

The deadly quake occurred about 619km (385mi) SSE of Manila, the Philippine capital, according to USGS/EHP.

Meantime, USGS/EHP has upgraded its Pager status to “Orange,” raising its estimate for the quake fatalities and estimated economic losses.

The ShakeMap has also been upgraded to Level IX, or “violent.”

Related Links

Posted in earthquake 2013, Earthquake aftermath, earthquake damage, Earthquake death, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

State of Calamity Declared in Bohol & Cebu Provinces, Philippines

Posted by feww on October 15, 2013

Powerful M7.1 Quake Causes Much Destruction in Central Philippines+

Philippine authorities have declared declared states of calamity in Bohol and Cebu Provinces after a powerful quake killed at least 80 people and left about 180 others injured, destroying or damaging scores of homes, buildings, historical churches, and causing widespread damage to public infrastructure across the famed tourist islands.

The M7.1 [revised by USGS/EHP] quake struck the island province of Bohol, about 2km NE of Catigbian, Philippines at a depth of about 20km [revised by USGS/EHP] at 00:12:32 UTC on Tuesday, October 15, 2013.

Centered at 9.866°N, 124.011°E,  the deadly quake struck about 619km (385mi) SSE of Manila, according to USGS/EHP.

The mainshock was followed by large swarms of at least 400 aftershocks including 10 tremors measuring 5.0Mw or greater, as of posting.

The quake has affected tens of thousands of people, most of whom were left without electricity, tap water, communication or transportation links.

Half dozen bridges have collapsed, and many road have buckled due to the quake energy.

Related Links

Posted in earhquake hazard, earthquake, earthquake damage, Earthquake death, earthquake energy, Earthquake news, earthquake report, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments »

M7.2 Quake Strikes Balilihan, Philippines

Posted by feww on October 15, 2013

UPDATE at 09:45UTC – October 15, 2013

  • The quake death toll has reached a least 36, with about 100 others injured, or reported as missing both in Bohol and Cebu islands.

UPDATE at 06:00UTC – October 15, 2013

  • Death toll from the quake has climbed to at least 24, with about 20 others injured, according to local sources.
  • USGS has raised its estimate for shaking-related fatalities and economic losses to “Yellow alert.”
  • At least 11 significant aftershocks have occurred, including 9 events on Bohol Island, as of posting.

UPDATE at 02:00UTC – October 15, 2013

PAGER: Green – Estimated Fatalities: Low, with some economic damage
ShakeMap: VIII – severe shaking causing heavy to moderate damage

  • At least 8 people have been killed, according to local reports.

USGS EQ Hazard Program has revised its initial details of the quake as follows

  • Magnitude:  7.1Mw
  • Time: 2013-10-15 09:12:32 UTC+09:00
  • Location: 9.866°N 124.011°E (2km NE of Catigbian, Philippines)
  • Depth: 20.0km

At least 5 significant aftershocks have struck the region , as of UPDATE at 02:00UTC – October 15, 2013

bohol eq
UPDATED Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.

Powerful Quake Strikes 5km E of Balilihan, Bohol Island, Philippines

The quake struck onshore at a depth of about 56.8km. The mainshock was followed by at least 2 significant aftershocks measuring 5.4 and 5.3Mw respectively, as of posting.

  • The island province of Bohol is located in the Central Visayas region. Bohol is the tenth largest island of the Philippines with a population of about 1.5 million.
  • Full extent of the damage, or injuries was unknown, as of posting, but there were reports of significant damage to roads and electricity lines throughout the region.
  • NO tsunami warning or advisories issued.

Tsunami Evaluation
[Pacific Tsunami Warning Center/NOAA/NWS – Issued At 00:22UTC 15 Oct 2013]

No destructive widespread tsunami threat exists based on historical earthquake and tsunami data.

However, earthquakes of this size sometimes generate local tsunamis that can be destructive along coasts located within a hundred kilometers of the earthquake epicenter. Authorities in the region of the epicenter should be aware of this possibility and take appropriate action.

Earthquake Location Map

phil quake 15oct2013
Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.

phil quake -image credit Charlotte Knowles
Quake damage in Bohol. Image credit Charlotte Knowles

Santo Niño de Cebú RC Church damaged by quake
Santo Niño de Cebú RC Church damaged by the quake. Image credit: Franz Estores

More details to follow…

Posted in earthquake 2013, earthquake damage, Earthquake Hazard, Earthquake news, earthquake report, earthquake update, News Alert | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »