Super Typhoon NOUL – UPDATE 100300UTC

NOUL packing sustained winds of 265km/hr

Update 100300UTC [Based on FIRE-EARTH Models using the available satellite data]

Position: Near 16.9ºN, 122.7ºE
Location: About 320km NE of Manila, Philippines
Max. Sustained Winds: 265km/hr
Max. Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
Max. Significant Wave Height: 15 meters
Movement: NNW (330 degrees) at 17 km/hr

SEVERE WEATHER BULLETIN #13-A (DOST AGASA)

• Typhoon NOUL [“DODONG”]  is expected to make landfall over Sta. Ana Pt., Cagayan this afternoon or early evening (local time), May 10, and will exit the Philippines Area of Responsibility (PAR) by Tuesday morning, May 12.

• Residents in low lying and mountainous areas of the provinces with Public Storm Warning Signals are alerted against possible flashfloods and landslides.

• Storm surges of up to 1.5 meters are possible over the eastern coast of Isabela and Cagayan.

Related Links

•  Major Typhoon AND Restive Volcano Threaten Philippines May 8, 2015

State of calamity declared in Isabela, Philippines

Super Typhoon MEGI Strikes Northern Luzon, Philippines

Super Typhoon MEGI – VIS/IR Satellite Image . Source: CIMSS. Click image to enlarge.

Super typhoon MEGI (the 13th typhoon of the year in the region,) the 10th and strongest typhoon to strike the Philippines this year, hit Isabela province this morning and led to the state’s governor declaring a state of disaster.

Tens of thousands of people have been evacuated from two northern states of Isabela and Cagayan.

MEGI uprooted trees, destroyed houses, cut off power and communication lines, and forced dozens of flight cancellations across Luzon island, and may have cause substantial damage to the region’s rice crop.

“In six hours from 8 a.m. (0000 GMT), the city of Tuguegarao in Cagayan had 54 mm (2.2 inch) of rain, while Baguio City on the western side of Luzon had 28 mm, the weather bureau said,” Reuters reported.

The typhoon has already claimed at least one life, local media reported. Up to 100,000 metric tons of rice may have been lost.

MEGI should enter the South China Sea Tuesday, according to China’s meteorological authorities, a report said, where “torrential rains have already forced the evacuation of almost 140,000 people in the southern island province of Hainan.”

Related Links:

• Super Typhoon MEGI

UPDATE: Typhoon LUPIT Arrives

Typhoon LUPIT: 22 October 2009

Synopsis

• Position: At 4:00 am (local time) Typhoon LUPIT (locally known as “RAMIL”) was located 350 km East Northeast of Aparri, Cagayan.
• Coordinates: 19.0°N, 125.3°E
• Maximum sustained winds: 160 km/h
• Max Wind gusts:  195 km/h
• Movement: It is forecast to move in West-Southwesterly direction (240 degrees) at 11 km/h (6 kt)

Typhoon Lupit – DOST-PAGASA MTSAT-EIR Satellite Image for 8 am local time (00:30 UTC)  22 Oct. 2009. Still image. Click image to enlarge and update.

LUPIT Track by Philippines Dost-Pagasa.

Forecast Positions/Outlook (PAGASA):

• Friday morning:  250 km East of Aparri, Cagayan
• Saturday morning: 180 km East of Aparri, Cagayan
• Sunday morning: 110 km East of Aparri, Cagayan

PAGASA Forecast

• Northern Luzon will have stormy weather while Central Luzon will experience rains and occasional gusty winds with moderate to rough seas. The rest of Luzon will have mostly cloudy skies with scattered rainshowers and thunderstorms while Visayas and Mindanao will be partly cloudy to cloudy with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms.
  

• Moderate to strong winds blowing from the Northwest to Southwest will prevail over Visayas and the rest of Luzon and the coastal waters along these areas will be moderate to rough. Elsewhere, winds will be light to moderate coming from the West to Southwest with slight to moderate seas except during thunderstorms.

Tropical Cyclone Warning: Typhoon “RAMIL” (LUPIT)
Issued at 5:00 a.m., Thursday, 22 October 2009

• Signal No. 3  (100-185 kph winds)
  • Batanes Group
  • Cagayan
  • Calayan Island
  • Babuyan Islands
  • Apayao
  • Kalinga
  • Isabela

• Signal No.  2 (60-100 kph winds)
  • Ilocos Norte
  • Ilocos Sur
  • Abra
  • Mt. Province
  • Ifugao
  • Benguet
  • La Union
  • Nueva Vizcaya
  • Quirino
  • Aurora

• Signal No. 1 (30-60 kph winds)
  • Pangasinan
  • Tarlac
  • Nueva Ecija
  • Zambales
  • Pampanga
  • Bulacan
  • Northern Quezon
  • Polillo Islands

Gale Warning: Issued by PAGASA at: 5:00 a.m., Today, 22 October 2009

• Strong to gale force winds is expected to affect the eastern seaboards of Central Luzon and Southern Luzon and the Western seaboard of Luzon.
• Conditions are forecast as “rough” to “very rough” with waves of up to 5-meter high.
• Areas affected:
  • THE EASTERN SEABOARDS OF CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN LUZON
  • WESTERN SEABOARD OF NORTHERN LUZON

Recent History

Typhoon LUPIT: Cruel, Harsh, or Wicked?

Typhoon LUPIT – 21 Oct 2009

• How long will LUPIT loiter around Luzon

• How much more rain will it dump?

• Will LUPIT move away and come back, AGAIN!
  

At 00:00 UTC – Oct 21, 2009
Max Winds:   160km/h (85 knots)  Category: 2
Max Gusts:  195 km/h (105knots)
Coordinates: 20.5ºN 128.9ºE
Movement past six hours: 280 degrees at 15 km/h (08 kts)
Location: About 925 km (500 kts) NE of Manila Philippines

Summary of Storm Activity

Lupit is tracking westward steered by a subtropical ridge extension to the north. Deep convection has become more organized near the storm center over the past six hours, JTWC reported.

Typhoon LUPIT – MTSAT Still image.

LUPIT Track by UniSys Weather.  Click image to enlarge and update.

History Color Code – The chart color codes intensity (category based on Saffir-Simpson scale)

NOTE: Pressures are in millibars and winds are in knots where one knot is equal to 1.15 mph. Source: UniSys Weather

LUPIT 5-day track. Source JTWC. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon LUPIT – 20 Oct 2009

Typhoon LUPIT (22W): JTWC/SATOP multispectral satellite image. October 20, 2009 at 05:00 UTC. Click image to enlarge.

Typhoon LUPIT – 20 October 2009, at 09:00UTC

Position: 20.4ºN, 129.3ºE
Location: Approximately 1,110 km (600 NM) northeast of Manila, Philippines.
Movement:  WNW at about 15km/h (8 knots)
Center: LUPIT’s Eye has once again become visible
System Characteristics: LUPIT has good radial out flow
Maximum significant wave height:  ~ 11 meters (34 feet)
Max sustained winds: 175km/h (95 knots)
Max gusts: 215 km/h (115 knots)

Super Typhoon Lupit. Date/Time as inset. Click on image to animate.

MTSAT IR Image. Updated at 30 mins intervals. Click image to enlarge.

Background and More images:

• Typhoon LUPIT: Cruel, Harsh, or Wicked?
• Typhoon LUPIT Update – 17 Oct 2009
• LUPIT: The Mercy Storm?

LUPIT 3-day projected track. Image: JMA. Image may be subject to copyright. Click image to enlarge!

• LUPIT 3-day projected track.

Satellite Loops/Animation/Images

• Tropical West Pacific – Infrared
• Tropical West Pacific – Enhanced IR
• Tropical West Pacific – Water Vapor
• Tropical West Pacific – Visible

• Northwest Pacific – Water Vapor
• Northwest Pacific – Visible
• Northwest Pacific – Visible (Colorized)
• Northwest Pacific – Infrared
• Northwest Pacific – IR (Aviation Color Enhancement)

• West Pacific – Water Vapor
• West Pacific – Visible
• West Pacific – Visible (Colorized)
• West Pacific – Infrared
• West Pacific – IR (Aviation Color Enhancement)

Other Satellite Images:

• FEWW Satellite Imagery

Related Links:

• Super Typhoon LUPIT: The Sauntering Storm
• Typhoon LUPIT Update – 17 Oct 2009
• LUPIT: The Mercy Storm?

• Parma Hampers Recovery Efforts in Vietnam
• Philippines Still Flooded
• Philippines Terminally Impacted?

• Images of the Day: Super Typhoon Melor
• Could Typhoon Melor Drag Parma Back to Philippines?
• When Will Global Food Shortages Begin Biting

• “Twin-engine” hurricanes, “Supercharged” Typhoons
• Super Typhoon Parma May Churn Manila to Vanila
• Philippines Extreme Rain from TS Ketsana

• Manila Flooding Could Trigger Quakes
• Philippines: Worst Floods in Living Memory
• Philippines Worst Ever Flood Casualties Climb a Notch

• Earth undergoing significant geophysical disturbances
• Typhoon Melor Leaves a Trail of Destruction in Japan
• Typhoon Melor Arriving in Japan, Leaving Lasting Impression