Strong Quakes Strike Nicaragua, Coastal Chile

SEISMIC HAZARD
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M6.1 strikes near Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua; M6.0 rattles coastal northern Chile

M6.1 earthquake struck about 10km W of Valle San Francisco, Nicaragua at 23:27:46 UTC on April 10, 2014.

The quake was centered at 12.514°N, 86.379°W and struck at a depth of about 13.0km (8.1mi), said USGS/EHP.

The quake struck about 44km NNW of the capital Managua ( metro pop: ∼ 2,300,000), near Lake Managua, and about 30km NE of Momotombo Volcano.

Frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions at Momotombo forced the population of the nearby León Viejo to relocate about 45 km west to the current location of city of León about 400 years ago.

At least one significant aftershock measuring 5.1Mw followed the quake, as of posting.

Chile-Peru Trench Continued Seismicity

M6.0 – 84km SW of Iquique, Chile 2014-04-11 00:01:44 UTC

At least two more significant aftershocks struck along the Peru- Chile Trench following the deadly M8.2 quake, which struck Chile on April 1 (UTC).

The other significant aftershock was a M5.0 which struck 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile at 17:49:10 UTC (20.035°S 70.963°W depth=11.8km)

Related Links

• CHILE MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 3 April 7, 2014
• MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 2  April 3, 2014
• Two Powefull Aftershocks Rock N Chile Coast April 3, 2014
• Disaster Declared for Chile Quake Zone on April 2, 2014
• M8.2 Strikes Coast of Chile April 2, 2014
• Enhanced Seismicity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench on March 24, 2014
• Significant Seismic Activity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench March 22, 2014
• FIRE-EARTH Forecast: Large Earthquake Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench March 17, 2014
• Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile March 17, 2014
• Intense Seismicity Along Peru-Chile Trench March 16, 2014

CHILE MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 3

REVISED EARTHQUAKE FORECAST
MEGA EARTHQUAKE IN PERU-CHILE TRENCH
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CHILE EARTHQUAKE FORECAST [REV. 3]

FIRE-EARTH Models show a MEGA EARTHQUAKE could strike along Peru-Chile Trench through April 30, 2014.

Some of the quake details have now been revised.

FIRE-EARTH FORECAST: Magnitude 9.4Mw could strike Peru-Chile Trench April 7 – 30, with a probability of 24%.

See below for revised details:

Forecast Earthquake Details

Magnitude: 9.4Mw (Provisional )
Location: 22.7°S, 70.8°W (Provisional )
Depth: 22km (Provisional )
Date/Time: April 7 –  30, 2014 (Peak April 12)
Probability: 24%  (provisional)

Tsunami Forecast

Large, destructive tsunami waves HIGHLY PROBABLE.

Initial forecast for the Mega Quake posted HERE. REV 2 posted HERE.

CAUTION

1. FIRE-EARTH Models used for the above forecast are unique, proprietary tools owned by the blog’s science team. There are NO similar models anywhere on this planet. Any earthquake forecasts that go beyond the traditional “menstruation cycles” are “scholarly” forgeries,  plagiarizing our research.

2. The forecast is subject to change, or withdrawal.

3. See also DISCLAIMER posted HERE.

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Previous FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile

On March 17, 2014, FIRE-EARTH posted an Earthquake Forecast for Chile, which was immediately hacked. The update was posted at Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile, on the same day, which stated:

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details for March 17 Chile EQ

• Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
• Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
• Depth: 30km
• Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
• Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
• Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

Related Links

• MEGA EARTHQUAKE WARNING – REVISION 2  April 3, 2014
• Two Powefull Aftershocks Rock N Chile Coast April 3, 2014
• Disaster Declared for Chile Quake Zone on April 2, 2014
• M8.2 Strikes Coast of Chile April 2, 2014
• Enhanced Seismicity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench on March 24, 2014
• Significant Seismic Activity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench March 22, 2014
• FIRE-EARTH Forecast: Large Earthquake Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench March 17, 2014
• Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile March 17, 2014
• Intense Seismicity Along Peru-Chile Trench March 16, 2014

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FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecasts for California and Japan

Due to the reasons explained previously on this blog, FIRE-EARTH Science Team has suspended its research on California and Japan seismicity.

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Enhanced Seismicity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench

SEISMIC HAZARD
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More aftershocks hit coastal N Chile

Most significant aftershocks to strike near Iquique, Chile in the past 24 hours include

• M5.3 (19.744°S, 70.811°W) about 89km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-23  at 20:23:03UTC, at a depth of 23.4 km
• M6.0 (19.905°S, 70.934°W) about 87km NW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-24 at 18:20:03 UTC, at a depth of 34.6 km

At least 9 other aftershocks measuring 4.4Mw or greater struck the area as of 2014-03-24 8:54:41 UTC.

Earthquake Location Map. Source: USGS/EHP

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile (March 17, 2014)

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable.

Forecast Details

• Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
• Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
• Depth: 30km
• Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
• Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
• Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

See also

• Significant Seismic Activity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench March 22, 2014
• FIRE-EARTH Forecast: Large Earthquake Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench March 17, 2014
• Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile March 17, 2014
• Intense Seismicity Along Peru-Chile Trench March 16, 2014

Significant Seismic Activity Continues Along Peru-Chile Trench

SEISMIC HAZARD
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Significant aftershocks hit Peru, Chile coastal areas

At least 6 significant shocks/aftershocks occurred along the Peru-Chile Trench in the past 24 hours, as of posting. The events include a magnitude 6.2Mw which struck about 96km (60mi) WNW of Iquique, Chile (19.770°S, 70.936°W) at a depth of 15.2km, according to USGS/EHP.

List of the Latest Events along Peru-Chile Trench

• M5.0, 89km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-22 14:15:38 UTC at a depth of 22.6 km
• M5.5, 100km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-22 13:29:57 UTC at a depth of 10.0 km
• M5.2, 83km NW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-22 22:14:57 UTC at a depth of 8.2 km
• M6.2, 96km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-22 21:59:58 UTC at a depth of 15.2 km
• M4.6, 14km NNW of Putre, Chile 2014-03-22 14:56:05 UTC at a depth of 125.6 km
• 5.0 16km WSW of Sechura, Peru 2014-03-22 09:38:46 UTC+09:00 40.9 km

Earthquake Location Map (Mag 4.5+ past 24-hrs).  Source: USGS/EHP

Earthquake Location Map (Mag 2.5+ past 7 days).  Source: USGS/EHP

Recent Seismicity

List of the Recent Events in the Peru-Chile Trench (March 16 -17)

• 5.0Mw 82km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17  05:19:34UTC  Depth 12.0 km
• 6.2Mw 80km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17  05:11:34UTC  Depth 17.0 km
• 4.8Mw 18km W of Tacna, Peru  2014-03-17 04:14:51UTC  Depth 94.5 km
• 4.6Mw 65km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 03:28:21UTC  Depth 10.0 km
• 4.6Mw 88km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 02:05:58UTC  Depth 23.6 km
• 5.2Mw 70km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 01:34:55UTC Depth 10.0 km
• 4.9Mw 65km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 00:55:03UTC  Depth 10.0 km
• 5.1Mw 55km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-17 00:12:09UTC  Depth 10.0 km
• 4.9Mw 61km W of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 23:08:11UTC  Depth 10.0 km
• 4.9Mw 68km SE of Arica, Chile 2014-03-16 22:54:09UTC  Depth 11.9 km
• 4.9Mw 84km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:29:35UTC  Depth 10.9 km
• 5.1Mw 36km NNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:26:27UTC Depth 35.0 km
• 6.7Mw 60km WNW of Iquique, Chile 2014-03-16 21:16:30UTC  Depth 20.0 km

FIRE-EARTH Earthquake Forecast for Chile (March 17, 2014)

FIRE-EARTH Models show a large earthquake could strike along Peru-Chile Trench in the coming weeks.

Tsunami Forecast: Large tsunami waves highly probable. (Updated March 22, 2013)

Forecast Details

• Magnitude: ≥8.2Mw
• Location: 23.6°S, 70.8ºW
• Depth: 30km
• Time: March 17 – April 29, 2014
• Probability of Occurrence: 0.75
• Total Earthquake Energy for the Episode ≥ 0.25EJ

See also

• FIRE-EARTH Forecast: Large Earthquake Could Strike Peru-Chile Trench March 17, 2014
• Another Significant Aftershock Strikes Coastal Chile March 17, 2014
• Intense Seismicity Along Peru-Chile Trench March 16, 2014

Santiago Earthquake Alert

Large earthquake could strike Santiago region, Chile

FIRE-EARTH models show that a large earthquake measuring ≥8.8Mw could strike Santiago region, Chile.

Earthquake Forecast Details

• Magnitude: ≥8.8Mw
• Location: About 60 km west of Santiago, Chile
• Expected Time of Occurrence: 2011/ early 2012
• Probability: ~ 0.7

Related Links

• FEWW Volcano Links
• Volcanoes
• FEWW Earthquake Links