Fire Earth

Mass die-offs from anthropogenic assault on Earth, and planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin by 2016

Posts Tagged ‘collapse’

Fighting Continues in Ukraine…

Posted by feww on April 14, 2015

Ukraine crises: 1,213,011 registered IDPs; 6,108 killed; 15,450 wounded  —MoSP

As of early April, at least 1,213,011 people in Ukraine have registered as IDPs across the country. Some 6,108 have been killed and 15,450 others wounded, according to the Ministry of Social Policy (MoSP).

Total number of Ukrainians who have sought asylum, residence permits or other forms of legal stay in neighboring countries currently stand at 777,355 including 636,544 in Russia and 80,994 in Belarus, reported UNHCR.

Meantime, rapidly increasing food prices has led to lower food consumption, severely affecting the lives of millions in the eastern oblasts of the country, said the report.

Access to social services, especially pension and salaries, remains suspended in the conflict-affected zone.

[The above figures do not include victims from renewed fighting in January and February, said the UN.]

Other highlights of the UN report

  • At least 1,522 social facilities in need of restoration.
  • An estimated472 schools have been damaged including at least 10 that have been fully destroyed in non-government controlled areas of Donetsk Oblast. A further eight schools have been closed.
  • About 2,000 kilometers of water pipelines have been damaged/destroyed, according to Donbas Water Company. [Donbas region in eastern Ukraine comprises of the Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts.]

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Yemen Violence Taking Intolerable Toll on Kids: UNICEF

Posted by feww on April 7, 2015

74 children killed, 44 others maimed amid escalating conflict in Yemen

The escalating conflict in Yemen is taking an intolerable toll on children, as they continue to be killed, injured, displaced and put at increasing risk from disease, UNICEF said in a statement.

At least 74 children are among the 600 killed in Yemen since the fighting began on March 26. Some 44 other children, who have been maimed, are among the 1,700 victims who have been wounded in the past 12 days.

However, these are conservative figures, said UNICEF, adding that it believes the total number of children killed is much higher because the conflict has intensified over the past week.

“Children are paying an intolerable price for this conflict.” said UNICEF Yemen Representative Julien Harneis speaking from the Jordanian capital Amman. “They are being killed, maimed and forced to flee their homes, their health threatened and their education interrupted. These children should be immediately afforded special respect and protection by all parties to the conflict, in line with international humanitarian law.”

An estimated 150,000 people across the war-torn country have fled their homes in search of safety.

Saudi Arabia together with four other Gulf states and Egypt have been conducting airstrikes against the Houthi rebels, who are fighting the “corrupt government” in Yemen.

Meantime, Jordan, Morocco, Pakistan and Sudan (!), have also expressed their willingness to participate in the military operation.

[It’s not yet clear IF/WHEN Burma and Thailand would also join the military operation!!]

What Experts Say: Yemen is on the verge of “total collapse”

“The Sunni versus Shi’a sectarian narrative misrepresents Yemenis’ multiple proclivities for partisan, regional and class-based leadership. If anything, the escalating war pits the billionaire royal elites of the Gulf against the downtrodden of the Peninsula. Bombardments are both terrifying and deadly. Attacks on al-Mazraq camp for internally displaced persons in Hajjah governorate, a dairy factory near Hodeida and other locations have left dozens of non-combatants dead, according to human rights groups. The UN’s High Commissioner for Human Rights, Zeid Ra’ad al-Hussein, says ‘the country seems to be on the verge of total collapse,'” said Prof. Sheila Carapico, Dept of Political Science and International Studies, University of Richmond in Virginia.

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From the ‘SUBLIME’ to the RIDICULOUS

Posted by feww on February 7, 2015

Gauguin’s “When Will You Marry?” sold for $300 million

An oil painting by Paul Gauguin, the French artist, has been sold to a “Qatari buyer” for about $300 million, said reports.

When Will You Marry? [“Nafea Faa Ipoipo,”] painted in 1892, was owned by a Swiss collector. The sale tops the previous highest price for a painting, a work by Paul Cezanne, which sold for $260m.

When will you marry- Gauguin 1892 - public domain in the US
When Will You Marry? [“Nafea Faa Ipoipo”] by Paul Gauguin 1892. The image is in the public domain in the U.S.

Carbon Footprint of Your Dollar

To produce a GDP of 77.61 trillion (International Dollars) in 2014, the world economies emitted about 40.33 billion metric tons of CO2 [~ 11 billion tons of carbon.] That is, for every dollar paid (or received), each time, an average of 520  grams of CO2 (142g carbon) was released to the environment!

Based on the above calculations, “When Will You Marry?” has a carbon footprint of about 160,000 metric tons of CO2.   [Sources: CASF, MSRB, EDRO, FEWW.]

This amount of pollution is equivalent to Vincent van Gogh driving an economy car 16,000 times around the equator.

See the original calculation for 2007: Carbon Footprint of Your Dollar

Related Links

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2014: The Year of Massacre

Posted by feww on January 2, 2015

GENOCIDE
TERRORISM
FOREIGN-AIDED INSURGENCY
MASS MURDER
MASS DISPLACEMENT
MAJOR DISASTERS
SCENARIOS 911, 808, 606, 600, [500,] 444, 411, 202, 201, 080, 070, 069, 04, 03, 02
.

76,000 Killed in Syria’s deadliest year yet

Some 76,021 people were killed in the war on Syria last year. A total of 33,278 of the victims were civilians, including 3,501 children, according a UK-based group that calls itself “Syrian Observatory for Human Rights.”

[NOTE: Neither, the group’s credentials and their special interests, if any, nor their figures can be independently verified.]

The total number of casualties since the beginning of the 4-year attempt to destroy Syria is over 190,000, according to the UN figures.

More than 10 million people have been displaced, including 3.3 million who have fled to neighboring countries.

At least 50% of the Syrians live in extreme poverty.

Iraq

Meantime, the Iraqi government has released its figure for the ongoing casualties of George W. Bush’s war on Iraq (episode 2014):

  • Killed violently:  15,538 people
  • Wounded:  22,000+

Iraq Body Count (IBC), another UK-based NGO, has released its higher figure of 17,073 civilian deaths.

IBC says the number of civilians killed in Iraq in 2014 doubled from 9,743 in 2013, and almost quadrupled compared to 2012 (recorded violent deaths: 4,622).

However, the IBC figures “do not include combatant deaths, which even by the most cautious tallies have also seen a sharp rise in 2014,” said the group.

“During 2014 Iraq Body Count (IBC) recorded 17,049 civilian deaths from violence. This is the third highest civilian death toll after 2006 and 2007, and some months exceeding even those years’,” said IBC.

Afghanistan

The number of civilians killed and wounded in Afghanistan violence  during the first eleven months of this year was 9,617, with 3,188 people  killed and 6,429 others wounded, said the UN Mission in Afghanistan (UNAMA).

“Children civilian casualties increased 33 per cent compared to 2013, with casualties among women up 12 per cent […] current projections indicate that 2014 will be the first year that the [reported] civilian casualty count will pass 10,000,” said the UN.

At least 4,634 Afghan police and military personnel were also killed in 2014, and thousands more wounded.

Related Links

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500 Days Left

Posted by feww on October 26, 2014

Humans failed qualifying for the next phase
.

Symbolic countdown to the onset of mass die-offs: 500 days left

FIRE-EARTH’s population model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact on the planet and the planetary response to the anthropogenic harm  could occur by early 2016.

  • The mass die-offs would occur “randomly.”
  • Once triggered, the mass die offs would follow own momentum and dynamics.

The symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011.

Collapse of Planetary Life Support Systems Accelerating …

HIoN Index

The FIRE-EARTH/CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN), an index for calculating the human impact on the planetary life support systems, climbed to a critically high level of 382 in July, 2014. In other words, the anthropogenic impact on the living environment exceeded 3.82 times the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.

  • The index is rising exponentially.
  • HIoN reached 323  in July 2013 .
  • HIoN has risen 97 points, or more than 34 percent, since July 2012 when it reached 285.
  • The index was less than 80 in 1960, and rose to about 100 in 1980.

According to HIoN projections, our cities and population centers could become almost entirely unsustainable by as early as 2015.

HIoN since End June 2012

RAPID DECLINE OCCURRING!

Tidal Surge of Global Change 28 Times Faster in 21st Century

FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 28 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.

FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity, caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, which is leading to a total collapse.

FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”

In 2011, FIRE-EARTH said: The extreme weather events triggered by anthropogenic climate change have a four-prong impact on humans over the next 50 months. FIRE-EARTH models forecast:

1. Food production:

  • Average decline of 22% in the global agricultural output
  • Loss of topsoil and worsening of soil quality
  • Rapid Climate Change & Extreme Weather Events
    • Drought and Deluge
    • Extremes of Temperature
    • Heatwaves and Late Frosts
    • Desertification and Dust Storms
  • Crop Pests
  • Increases in the size and occurrence of dead zones
  • Large decline in marine food sources

2. Spread of Disease

  • Substantial increases in the spread of diseases
    • Vector borne
    • Air borne
    • Water borne
    • Food borne
  • Superbugs:  Emergence of resistant bacteria, especially MDR bacteria
  • Resurgence of killer infectious diseases
  • Increases in the spread of human immunodeficiency viruses
  • Significant decline in air quality (and corresponding increase in chronic respiratory diseases)
  • Other viral diseases
  • Massive rises in mental illnesses

3. Physical Safety

Major increases in the number of deaths and injuries, as well as large scale displacements due to the loss of shelter and livelihood caused by extreme weather and geophysical events including:

  • Tornadoes
  • Hurricanes
  • Storms and Extreme Weather
  • Climate Change
  • Extreme Rain Events
  • Flash Flooding
  • Drought and Deluge
  • Landslides
  • Extremes of Temperature
  • Deforestation
  • Wildfires
  • Loss of “Seasons”
  • Earthquakes*
  • Tsunamis*
  • Volcanic activity*
  • Nuclear Incidents
  • Oil Spills
  • Chemical and Biological Threats
  • Poisoned and Polluted Environment (Air, Water and Soil pollution)
  • Ozone Depletion  (Ozone Holes)

4. The Combined Effect

Social upheavals, regional conflicts and wars caused by mass migrations and scarcity of basic resources resulting from the combined effects of the above, as well as other mechanisms.

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.  SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 500 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History

 

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Critical Overload Threatens Planet

Posted by feww on July 4, 2014

Collapse of Planetary Life Support Systems Accelerates

HIoN skyrockets to yet another new high

The FIRE-EARTH/CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN), an index for calculating the human impact on the planetary life support systems, climbed to a critically high level of 382 this month. In other words, the anthropogenic impact on the living environment exceeded 3.82 times the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.

  • The index is rising exponentially.
  • HIoN reached 323  in July 2013 .
  • HIoN has risen 97 points, or more than 34 percent, since July 2012 when it reached 285.
  • The index was less than 80 in 1960, and rose to about 100 in 1980.

“According to HIoN projections, our cities and population centers could become almost entirely unsustainable by as early as 2015.”

hion 2014
Diagram shows the exponential growth of Human Impact on Nature (HION) between 1960  and July 2013. Source: FIRE-EARTH Real-Time Earth Models. Copyright: FIRE-EARTH Blog Authors.

RAPID CHANGE IN PROGRESS!

Tidal Surge of Global Change 28 Times Faster in 21st Century: FIRE-EARTH

FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 28 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.

FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity, caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, which is leading to a total collapse.

HIoN since End June 2012

.

July 4, 2014 – SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN –

614 Days Left

Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.

Global Disasters: Links, Forecasts and Background

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Russia Declares State of Emergency as Refugees Flood Rostov Region

Posted by feww on July 2, 2014

STATE TERRORISM
SOCIAL UNREST
MASS DISPLACEMENT
STATE OF EMERGENCY
SCENARIOS 444, 411, 200, 070, 04
.

110,000 people flee Ukraine, 54,000 internally displaced: UNHCR

The governor of Russia’s Rostov Region has declared a state of emergency for 40 additional municipal districts in the region amid an influx of refugees from Ukraine, said a report.

“A state of emergency has now been declared across the entire region. The measure is aimed at facilitating the work of temporary accommodation centers and ensuring sustenance for the refugees. In early June, a state of emergency was declared in 15 territories bordering Ukraine.”

“Amid simmering tensions in the Ukrainian east, where violent clashes between pro-Kiev forces and independence supporters continue, thousands of civilians are leaving their homes and seeking shelter in neighboring Russia,” said the report.

As of last week, at least 110,000 people had fled Ukraine to Russia since the beginning of the crisis, and more than 54,000 were internally displaced, according the UN High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR).

Ukraine President Calls Ukrainians “Dirt and Parasites”

“Ukrainian forces struck at pro-Russian separatist bases in eastern regions with air and artillery strikes on Tuesday after President Petro Poroshenko announced he would not renew a ceasefire but go on the offensive to rid Ukraine of ‘[dirt and] parasites,'” Reuters pro-Kiev reporters said.

Related Links

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No Money, No Water!

Posted by feww on June 28, 2014

FAILING ECONOMIC, POLITICAL & SOCIAL  SYSTEMS
MUNICIPAL BANKRUPTCY
UNEMPLOYMENT
POVERTY
CRUMBLING INFRASTRUCTURE
COLLAPSE
SCENARIOS 244, 109, 049, 047, 031, 028, 02
.

Detroit Denying Water and Sewerage to ½ Million Citizens

Officials at the Detroit Water and Sewerage Department (DWSD) have cut off service to 7,556 customers in April and May and are now speeding up the service denial to as many as 3,000 delinquent accounts per week.

“That the water department’s shutoff policy is uncompromising, making no exceptions for households with infant children, elderly or disabled residents, said a report.

Detroit!

About 40% of Detroiters live in poverty. Some 83% of population are black, and the reported unemployment rate is edging close to 15%.

“Assisting low-income residents with paying their water bills would help avert a public health crisis,” U.S. Rep. John Conyers (D-Detroit), said in a letter to Obama Thursday, while asking Health and Human Services Secretary to declare a public health emergency, calling the shutoff campaign “draconian.” Said the report.

“Regardless of the rationale for these cutoffs, the human consequences are unacceptable and unsustainable,” said Conyers on Friday.

“Last week, the Detroit City Council approved an 8.7% increase in the water rate, contributing to a total increase of 119% over the last decade,” Conyers said.

“As roughly half the city is now eligible for shutoffs, we believe that immediate action is necessary to stem the consequences of this counterproductive and coldhearted policy,” he said.

“It is utterly unacceptable to put the most vulnerable members of our population through severe hardship, utilizing a method that clearly violates their basic human rights, as a collection practice.”

United Nations

Detroit: Disconnecting water from people who cannot pay – an affront to human rights, say UN experts

“Disconnection of water services because of failure to pay due to lack of means constitutes a violation of the human right to water and other international human rights.”

Related Links

 

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WE TOLD YOU SO: Golden State Continues Shrinking

Posted by feww on June 21, 2014

EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT
RISING TEMPERATURES
FISHERY DISASTERS
CROP DISASTERS
MULTIPLE STATES OF EMERGENCY

SCENARIOS 555, 444, 111, 071, 03
.

Exceptional Drought Plagues Third of California

Exceptional Drought spreads to about 33 percent of California, up from 25 percent last week— a jump of 32 percent.

The entire state of California, now in its third year of a catastrophic drought, has been experiencing severe drought or worse for about three months.

20140617_ca_trdsm

“Usually about this time of year we kind of settle into a pattern where it stabilizes and we don’t expect things to change,” said California state climatologist. “But in this case with the severity of the drought we expect to see more impacts come up as the summer progresses.”

FIRE-EARTH 2009 Forecast: Desertification of California in the Near Future Is Almost a Certainty – with the critical phase occurring by as early as 2011.

[NOTE: Congratulations! The above forecast and most of the links posted below have previously been filtered/censored by Google, WordPress and others. Editor]

Related Links

Fishery Disasters

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Worsening Drought Plagues Syria and Region

Posted by feww on June 11, 2014

WORSENING DROUGHT
WATER FAMINE
FOOD SECURITY THREAT
TERRORIST THREATS
MASS DISPLACEMENT
SCENARIOS 202, 04, 03
.

Drought, Lowest Rainfall in 6 Decades, Pose Latest Threats to Children in Syria and Region

Many parts of Syria have had their lowest rainfall in nearly 60 years, placing more than 4 million children in the war-torn country at even greater risk, according to UNICEF.

Water scarcity in Syria is now so acute that it may soon force more people to leave their homes, exacerbating the refugee situation. Some 9.3  million people  have already been displaced by the conflict.

“In Lebanon and Jordan, meanwhile, tensions between local communities and Syrian refugees are being heightened by competition over limited resources, including dwindling water supplies,” said the report by the UN agency.

“The scarcity of safe water—adding to the impact of the ongoing conflict and the intense summer heat—raises the real risk of more population displacement and the spread of disease among vulnerable children,” said the UNICEF Regional Director for the Middle East and North Africa.

Related Links

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Homs After

Posted by feww on June 10, 2014

What Does Collapse Look Like?


Homs city, Syria, after the cessation of fighting between terrorists and government forces May 10, 2014. Photo credit: REUTERS/Ghassan Najjar

Related Links

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Emergency Declared in Colorado Crumble Area

Posted by feww on May 29, 2014

Colorado Declares Emergency in Grand Mesa National Forest after Massive Mudslide

The mudslide in western Colorado is estimated to be about 6km long, up to 800m wide and 30m deep in some places.

Three people are reported missing after they went to check on damage from an initial slide near the edge of the Grand Mesa National Forest on Sunday.

colorado crumble
The massive mudslide occurred May 25, 2014 near the Grand Mesa National Forest, close to the town of Colburn, in western Colorado.

Links to Recent Mudslide Disasters

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The Idiots and Their Village

Posted by feww on May 14, 2014

Thought for the day

Presumably, the village idiots must be hoping that things will improve slightly before getting hell of a lot worse!

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Street Collapses in Baltimore, MD

Posted by feww on May 2, 2014

EXTREME RAIN EVENT
SINKHOLE 

.

Block-long sinkhole swallows cars in Baltimore, MD

The collapse occurred in the Charles Village section of Baltimore  on Wednesday afternoon. Several vehicles were swallowed when the street  collapsed after two days of rain, said to be the equivalent of a month’s precipitation.

The sinkhole has also been described as a “collapse” and a “landslide.”

Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

9.3 Million Syrians Displaced

Posted by feww on March 15, 2014

WAR OF TERROR ON SYRIA  – THIRD ANNIVERSARY
MASS EXODUS
.

Syria: Tens of thousands slaughtered, more than 9 million displaced

On the third anniversary of war of terror waged by Saudi Arabia and Israel against the Syrian people, the U.N. High Commissioner for Refugees, Antonio Guterres, said: “three years have passed on this horrible Syrian crisis and that means more displaced people to expect. Today we have around 2.6 million Syrians displaced to neighboring countries and more than 6.5 million Syrians displaced inside Syria.”

Guterres expressed his gratitude to the “generosity of the Lebanese and the government of Lebanon,” for hosting most of the displaced Syrian refugees.

He called on the international community to “show more solidarity with Lebanon and provide financial support and share with it the burden because Lebanon cannot be left alone to confront the big challenges in these hard conditions.”

Meantime, Israeli forces continued shelling the Lebanese-Syrian border.

Return of Polio

In October 2013, an outbreak of polio was reported in Syria, more than a decade after the disease had been eradicated from the country.

Related Links

Posted in 2014 disaster calendar, 2014 Disaster Forecast, 2014 global disasters, Global Disaster watch, global disasters | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

The Next Phase of Collapse: Wars for Resources

Posted by feww on March 5, 2014

HEGEMONY OVER WORLD’S RESOURCES .

Toying with Russia before grabbing her…

The wars for resources are about the survival of the fattest. They are fought by the urge to secure more of other peoples’ resources: More water, more food, more fertile land and more energy to maintain unsustainable lifestyles. —EDRO

In the most likely scenario, after the first phase of world’s cities has collapsed, an all-out global war would break out that would be fought with nuclear, exotic, biological and conventional weapons:

See: Nuking Earth for Lifestyle

http://edro.wordpress.com/2008/03/10/nuking-earth-for-lifestyle/

Leaked EU’s Ashton and Estonian Foreign Minister phone tape: Kiev snipers hired by Maidan leaders [thugs]

Officers of Security Service of Ukraine (SBU) loyal to the ousted President Viktor Yanukovich have hacked phones of Estonian Minister of Foreign Affairs Urmas Paet and High Representative of the European Union for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Catherine Ashton and leaked their conversation to the web. The officials discuss their impressions of what’s happening in the country after the revolution. The gist of it is that Ukrainian people have no trust in any of the leaders of Maidan [Kiev Independence Square.]

However, the most striking thing of all is the fact which concerns the use of force during the revolution, particularly the snipers who killed both protesters and officers of the riot police. Mr. Paet reveals astonishing information which confirms the rumors that the snipers were employed by the leaders of Maidan.

Leaked Tape:

Watch Section http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZEgJ0oo3OA8&t=8m15s

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Severe Drought Forces Kosovo to Ration Water

Posted by feww on February 11, 2014

EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENT
SEVERE DROUGHT

.

Worst drought in decades strains Kosovo water supply

Authorities in Kosovo started rationing water to the capital Pristina and its suburbs on Monday amid worst drought in more than three decades, said reports.

The country’s reservoirs are at worrying levels due to abnormally low levels of precipitation, Reuters reported the state water company Prishtina as saying.

Prishtina supplies water to about 400,000 people, or a quarter of Kosovo’s population, said the report.

Jobless in Kosovo

Kosovo is one of the poorest countries in Europe. Up to 45% of the workforce in Kosovo are unemployed with only a fraction  of the 30,000 people entering the job market each year able to find work.

On Sunday Pristina police used tear gas to disperse hundreds of protesters at the country’s main public university.

Drought Links

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California Drought Worsens

Posted by feww on February 6, 2014

EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENT
STATE OF EMERGENCY

WORSENING DROUGHT
.

The Exceptional Drought Expands

The area covered by Exceptional Drought (D4) in California has expanded by about 12 percent since last week, from 8.77 percent to 9.81 percent of the land.

California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.

california drought 4feb14

California Drought Comparison Map for January 28 and February 4, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.

California Drought

Drought persists across California. US  Drought Monitor has downgraded Humboldt and Trinity Counties drought conditions from degradation severe to extreme drought (D2 to D3). Areas near Monterey to Bakersfield have been downgraded from extreme to exceptional drought (D3 to D4).  Some 8 inches of snow reported on the ground at the Central Sierra Snow Lab near the Donner Summit reports, the lowest for this since at least 1946. Source: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC.

State of Emergency

Governor Brown proclaimed a State of Emergency on January 27  amid the worsening statewide drought.  He called the “really serious,” adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”

57 California Counties Declared Crop Disaster Areas

All but one of the 58 counties in the state of California have been declared Crop Disaster Areas due to Extreme Drought conditions.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 57 counties in the state of California as crop disaster areas due to the worsening drought, since the beginning of the year.

US crop disaster map as of 29jan14
Crop Disaster Map CY-2014  dated January 29, 2014. Source: USDA/FSA

Imperial County, located Southeast of California in the Imperial Valley, bordering both Arizona and Mexico, is currently covered by D0-D1 drought conditions, but has not yet been designated as a drought disaster area.

California State Resources

Related Links

FIRE-EARTH 2009 Forecast: Desertification of California in the Near Future Is Almost a Certainty

[NOTE: The above forecast and most of the links posted below have previously been filtered by Google, WordPress and others. Editor ]

Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

COLLAPSE OF CALIFORNIA LOOMS

Posted by feww on February 2, 2014

WE TOLD YOU SO!

EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS
DROUGHT DISASTER
STATE OF EMERGENCY

WATER FAMINE
CROP DISASTER
COLLAPSE
.

57 California Counties Declared Crop Disaster Areas

All but one of the 58 counties in the state of California have been declared Crop Disaster Areas due to Extreme Drought conditions.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 57 counties in the state of California as crop disaster areas due to the worsening drought, since the beginning of the year.

US crop disaster map as of 29jan14
Crop Disaster Map CY-2014  dated January 29, 2014. Source: USDA/FSA

Imperial County, located Southeast of California in the Imperial Valley, bordering both Arizona and Mexico, is currently covered by D0-D1 drought conditions, but has not yet been designated as a drought disaster area.

California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.

State of Emergency

Governor Brown proclaimed a State of Emergency on January 27  amid the worsening statewide drought.  He called the “really serious,” adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”

Image of the Day: “Lake Yesterday”

lake yesterday - california - noaa
“Lake Yesterday,” California. Image credit: NOAA

Precipitation Monitoring: 90-Day Accumulation Ending February 1, 2014

90-day acc ending 2feb2014
Precipitation Monitoring –  90-Day Accumulation Ending February 1, 2014. Source: NWS/NCEP/CPC/

 Soil Moisture Anomaly – January 2014

soil moisture mm noaa
 Soil Moisture Anomaly (mm)  – January 2014.  Source: NOAA/ CPC

U.S. Drought Monitor

Nearly 9 percent of California is covered by Exception Drought (D4 drought level), more than 58 percent by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level), about  23 percent by Sever Drought (D2 drought level) and over 9 percent of the state experiencing Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought conditions as of last week.

The land area covered by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level) has more than doubled since January 7, 2014.

calif drought 28jan2014
California Drought Map as of January 28, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.

‘Extreme’ and ‘Exceptional Drought’ levels are plaguing California, threatening at least 17 communities with water famine.

Severe Drought Prompts Worst-Ever Water Supply Forecast for California

“Simply put, there’s not enough water in the system right now for customers to expect any water this season from the project,” said the director of California Department of Water Resources (DWR).

DWR is securing what little water remains in the state’s reservoirs in response to the worsening drought and strong likelihood of more severe water shortages in the coming months.

The agency announced Friday that they took actions to conserve the state’s dwindling resources, as a result of which, “everyone—farmers, fish, and people in our cities and towns —will get less water.”

“This historic announcement reflects the severity of California’s drought. After two previous dry years, 2014 is shaping up as the driest in state history,” said DWR.

  • On Thursday, Sierra snow survey found the snowpack’s statewide water content was only 12 percent of average for this time of year.
  • Water levels in key reservoirs now are lower than at this time in 1977, one of the two previous driest water years on record.
    • Lake Oroville in Butte County, the principal SWP reservoir, is at 36 percent of its 3.5 million acre-foot capacity (55 percent of its historical average for the date).
    • Shasta Lake north of Redding, California’s and the federal Central Valley Project’s (CVP) largest reservoir, is also at 36 percent of its 4.5 million acre-foot capacity (54 percent of average for the date).
    • San Luis Reservoir, a critical south-of-Delta reservoir for both the SWP and CVP, is just 30 percent of its 2 million acre-foot capacity (39 percent of average for the date).

calif resv conds
California Current Reservoir Conditions. Source: DWR

Zero Allocation

DWR has never before announced a zero allocation in the 54-year history of the State Water Project to all 29 public water agencies that buy from the SWP. These deliveries help supply water to 25 million Californians and roughly 750,000 acres of irrigated farmland.

The agency forecast in late December that it would be able to deliver only 5 percent of about 4 million acre-feet of State Water Project water requested by the 29 public water agencies that purchase water from the project. They are located in Northern California, the Bay Area, San Joaquin Valley, Central Coast, and Southern California.

The 5 percent projected allocation has now reduced to zero.

calif avg precip
Statewide Average Precipitation – by water year. Source DWR.

Links to the State websites:

Related Links

FIRE-EARTH 2009 Forecast: Desertification of California in the Near Future Is Almost a Certainty

[NOTE: The above forecast and most of the links posted below have previously been filtered by Google, WordPress and others. Editor ]

Posted in 2014 disaster calendar, 2014 disaster diary, 2014 Disaster Forecast, 2014 global disasters, Climate Change, environment, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

California Drought Could Paralyze the U.S.

Posted by feww on February 2, 2014

WE TOLD YOU SO!

EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS
DROUGHT DISASTER
STATE OF EMERGENCY

WATER FAMINE
.

COLLAPSE OF CALIFORNIA LOOMS !

Why the Golden State is so important

California produces about 36 percent of the U.S. vegetables and nearly 70 percent of the country’s fruits and nuts.

The Golden State topped the nation’s agricultural states in cash receipts with $44.7 billion followed by Iowa ($31.9billion), Nebraska ($24.4billion), Texas ($22.7 billion) and Minnesota ($20.5 billion), according to USDA Agricultural Overview for crop year 2012.

California produced more than 350 crop and livestock commodities and was  the country’s No. 1 producer of 80 during the 2012 crop year.

california leading crop produce
1/ California is the sole producer (99 percent or more) of the commodities in bold.
2/ Includes tangelos, tangerines and tangors. [Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics, Pacific Region, California]

California also produced a total of 23 percent of the nation’s rice, 23 percent potatoes and sweet potatoes, 21 percent of the milk and cream and 6 percent of egg and chicken.

California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.

The severe drought prompted the worst-ever water supply forecast for California:
Zero Allocation

“Simply put, there’s not enough water in the system right now for customers to expect any water this season from the project,” said the director of California Department of Water Resources (DWR).

DWR is securing what little water remains in the state’s reservoirs in response to the worsening drought and strong likelihood of more severe water shortages in the coming months.

The agency announced Friday that they took actions to conserve the state’s dwindling resources, as a result of which, “everyone—farmers, fish, and people in our cities and towns —will get less water.”

More than 25 million Californian and 1million acres (404,500 hectares) of farmland get all or most of their drinking and irrigation water from DWR.

Californoa Gov Brown declared a State of Emergency on January 17, describing  the drought as being “really serious,” and adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”

On Friday, Brown said, the zero allocation was a “stark reminder that California’s drought is real.”

“This historic announcement reflects the severity of California’s drought. After two previous dry years, 2014 is shaping up as the driest in state history,” said DWR.

  • On Thursday, Sierra snow survey found the snowpack’s statewide water content was only 12 percent of average for this time of year.
  • Water levels in key reservoirs now are lower than at this time in 1977, one of the two previous driest water years on record.
    • Lake Oroville in Butte County, the principal SWP reservoir, is at 36 percent of its 3.5 million acre-foot capacity (55 percent of its historical average for the date).
    • Shasta Lake north of Redding, California’s and the federal Central Valley Project’s (CVP) largest reservoir, is also at 36 percent of its 4.5 million acre-foot capacity (54 percent of average for the date).
    • San Luis Reservoir, a critical south-of-Delta reservoir for both the SWP and CVP, is just 30 percent of its 2 million acre-foot capacity (39 percent of average for the date).

Snow Water Equivalents (inches)
Provided by the California Cooperative Snow Surveys
Data For: 31-Jan-2014

STATEWIDE SUMMARY
Data For: 31-Jan-2014
Number of Stations Reporting: 103
Average snow water equivalent:  2.7″
Percent of April 1 Average:  9%
Percent of normal for this date: 15%

Meanwhile, the severe drought continues to heighten the risk of wild fires.

California experienced catastrophic fires due to extremely dry conditions in 2003 and 2007.

U.S. Drought Monitor

Nearly 9 percent of California is covered by Exception Drought (D4 drought level), more than 58 percent by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level), about  23 percent by Sever Drought (D2 drought level) and over 9 percent of the state experiencing Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought conditions as of last week.

The land area covered by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level) has more than doubled since January 7, 2014.

calif drought 28jan2014
California Drought Map as of January 28, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.

‘Extreme’ and ‘Exceptional Drought’ levels are plaguing California, threatening at least 17 communities with water famine.

Links to the State websites:

Related Links

FIRE-EARTH 2009 Forecast: Desertification of California in the Near Future Is Almost a Certainty

[NOTE: The above forecast and most of the links posted below have previously been filtered by Google, WordPress and others. Editor ]

Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment »

6,000 Killed, 160,000 Displaced amid CAR Violence

Posted by feww on December 13, 2013

Sectarian violence in CAR continues to escalate

Inter-community clashes in the Central African Republic (CAR) has left at least 600 dead and about 160,000 others displaced, with continuous reports of killings and looting, according to the U.N.

“The number of internally displaced persons (IDPs) continuous to increase as violence persists. There are now over 160,000 IDPs in Bangui gathered in over 40 sites, with the highest concentration in churches, religious sites and the Bangui international airport.”

The following information release in September 2013 illustrates the severity of the situation in CAR

  • 4.6 million Central Africans—the country’s entire population—are affected by the crisis
  • 1.6 million are in “dire need of assistance.”
  • 206,000 people have been internally displaced, many of them living in the bush with little or no access to humanitarian assistance. 100,000 of them are children.
  • 60,000 have sought refuge in neighbouring countries, mostly the Democratic Republic of Congo.
  • 11,252 refugees live in three camps in CAR, to which aid workers have very limited access.
  • 650,000 or more children are unable to attend school.
  • 484,000 people (10.5% of the population) are severely food insecure.
  • 3,500 children have been recruited into armed groups
  • 3,652 military and civilian personnel will make up the African-led International Support Mission in CAR, drawn largely from multinational forces already on the ground under different authorities.
  • 13,703 people on antiretroviral drugs are at risks of defaulting on their treatment because of supply chain interruptions.
  • Less than 20% of the country’s medical facilities are operational. [Sources: UNOCHA, UNHCR, UN Security Council, Save the Children]

Related Links

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

4.24 Million Displaced in Super Typhoon HAIYAN

Posted by feww on November 23, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN left 6,848 dead or missing, destroyed or damaged 1,112,731 houses

The official death and damage toll in the aftermath of Super Typhoon HAIYAN continues rising.

ndrrmc sitrep 36 - 23Nov2013
Source: SitRep No. 36 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 23, 2013. [$1 = 43.8 Philippine pesos – FIRE-EARTH Blog]

[Note: Official estimates  for the total cost of damage has been amended to PhP22.34billion] which is more realistic than their previous estimates.]

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models

On November 9, 2013, FIRE-EARTH Models estimated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties.

  • FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

FIRE-EARTH and MSRB  2004 Forecast

In 2004,  our team forecast an 80-90 percent increase in the total power dissipated annually by tropical cyclones  in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans by 2015.

Related Links

Posted in Climate Change, disaster areas, disaster calendar 2013, disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, disaster zone, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: WE TOLD YOU SO!

Posted by feww on November 20, 2013

Death and Destruction Toll Rising in the Philippines

Point of No Return: In 2004¹,  our team forecast an 80-90 percent increase in the total power dissipated annually by tropical cyclones  in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans by 2015.

Storms will continue to get stronger (develop greater average intensities) and survive at high intensity for longer (take more time to dissipate peak energy) resulting in substantial increases in storm-related losses in the near future.

[1. First draft posted by MSRB on Internet on February 26, 2005]

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Death and Destruction Toll in the Philippines

  • Dead or Missing: 5,613 (official)
  • Injured: 18,557 (official)
  • Homeless: 4.4 million (official)
  • Directly affected: More than 13 million (U.N.)

Extent of Crop Damage

“High winds, heavy rains and localized floods destroyed houses and infrastructure, including irrigation facilities, and resulted in losses of the main staple rice paddy, sugarcane and coconut crops, as well as livestock, poultry and fisheries,” said the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).

HAIYAN destroyed about 153,500 hectares (ha) of rice paddy, maize and other high value crops, including 77,500 ha of rice and 21,000 ha of maize crops, it added [figures are rounded to the nearest 100.]

Philippines imports of rice are to increase by 20 percent next year to 1.2 million metric tons, said FAO.

ndrrmc sitrep 30 - 20nov13

Source: SitRep No. 30 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 20, 2013. [$1 = 43.6 Philippine pesos – FIRE-EARTH Blog]

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

Related Links

Posted in Climate Change, environment, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: WE TOLD YOU SO!

Posted by feww on November 20, 2013

Death and Destruction Toll Rising in the Philippines

Point of No Return: In 2004,  our team forecast an 80-90 percent increase in the total power dissipated annually by tropical cyclones  in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans by 2015.

Storms will continue to get stronger (develop greater average intensities) and survive at high intensity for longer (take more time to dissipate peak energy) resulting in substantial increases in storm-related losses in the near future.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN:Death and Destruction Toll in the Philippines

  • Dead or Missing: 5,613 (official)
  • Injured: 18,557 (official)
  • Homeless: 4.4 million (official)
  • Directly affected: More than 13 million (U.N.)

Extent of Crop Damage

“High winds, heavy rains and localized floods destroyed houses and infrastructure, including irrigation facilities, and resulted in losses of the main staple rice paddy, sugarcane and coconut crops, as well as livestock, poultry and fisheries,” said the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO).

HAIYAN destroyed about 153,500 hectares (ha) of rice paddy, maize and other high value crops, including 77,500 ha of rice and 21,000 ha of maize crops, it added [figures are rounded to the nearest 100.]

Philippines imports of rice are to increase by 20 percent next year to 1.2 million metric tons, said FAO.

ndrrmc sitrep 30 - 20nov13

Source: SitRep No. 30 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 20, 2013. [$1 = 43.6 Philippine pesos – FIRE-EARTH Blog]

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

Related Links

Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Super Typhoon HAIYAN Disaster: 4 Pct of Philippine Population Displaced

Posted by feww on November 17, 2013

Super Typhoon HAIYAN affects 13 pct. of Philippine population, leaves 4 pct. homeless

The number of Filipinos affected by Super Typhoon HAIYAN has increased to over 13 million [UNOCHA,] with about 4 million people displaced [NDRRMC.] The latest figure for the homeless is 7 times the government estimates released only 4 days ago.

  • According to the latest figures, more than 4 percent of the Philippines population of about 99 million are now homeless as a result of Super Typhoon HAIYAN.

On November 9, 2013, FIRE-EARTH Models estimated the impact of Super Typhoon HAIYAN in the Philippines as a magnitude 6.2 catastrophe on the FEWW Disaster Scale, indicating large-scale regional destruction with up to 40,000 casualties.

FIRE-EARTH Disaster Models estimate the total cost of damage at more than $5billion.

Dead, Injured, or Missing

Many people may have been swept out to sea and their bodies lost after a tsunami-like wall of seawater slammed into coastal areas. One neighborhood with a population of between 10,000 and 12,000 was now deserted, said Tacloban mayor Alfred Romualdez.

Philippine Government’s [Highly Politicized] Official Disaster Stats [including its woefully inadequate disaster response to date]

ndrrmc sitrep 25
Source: SitRep No. 25 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 17, 2013 @ 6:00pm local time.

ndrrmc-sitrep 24
Source: SitRep No. 24 released by Philippines National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRMC)  November 17, 2013. [$1 = 43.66 Philippine pesos]

[Note: Official estimates  for the total cost of damage has been amended to PhP10.34billion] which is more realistic than the initial estimates.]

This post will be updated throughout the day as more information becomes available.

Super Typhoon HAIYAN: Chronology of Disaster

Super Typhoon HAIYAN (locally known as YOLANDA) made its first landfall in the early morning of 8 November in Guiuan, Eastern Samar province. HAIYAN made subsequent landfalls in Tolosa south of Tacloban City, Leyte province, Daanbantayan and Bantayan Island, Cebu province, Conception, Iloilo province and Busuanga, Palawan province.

Other Related Links

Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

 
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