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Technical information and scientific data from the US Government agencies (NASA, EPA…) are subject to variation due to political expediency.
This caution also extends to the UN organizations (e.g., FAO, WHO…).
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Tidal Surge of Global Change 26 Times Faster in 21st Century: FIRE-EARTH
FIRE-EARTH Models show the rate of global change has intensified by a factor of at least 26 in the last decade compared with the 1960s.
FIRE-EARTH defines ‘global change’ as the deterioration in the planet’s life-support capacity that is caused by large-scale anthropogenic impact, leading to a total collapse.
The reality: Critical Overload Threatens Planetary Life Support Systems
Diagram shows the exponential growth of Human Impact on Nature (HION) between 1960 and July 2013. Source: FIRE-EARTH Real-Time Earth Models. Copyright: FIRE-EARTH Blog Authors.
Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN) skyrockets to a new high
The FIRE-EARTH/CASF Index of Human Impact on Nature (HIoN), an index for calculating the human impact on the planetary life support systems, climbed to a critically high level of 323 on July 1, 2013. In other words, the anthropogenic impact on the living environment exceeded 3.23 times the planet’s diminishing carrying capacity.
The index is rising exponentially.
HIoN has risen 38 points, or more than 13 percent, since July 2012 when it reached 285.
The index was less than 80 in 1960, and rose to about 100 in 1980.
“According to HIoN projections, our cities and population centers could become almost entirely unsustainable by as early as 2015.”
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
If Homo sapiens sapiens couldn’t get their act together in 200,000 years…
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 911 Days Left
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Models show mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has challenged the US to present to the UN Security Council evidence that Syria attacked the so-called rebels with chemical weapons near Damascus, saying the idea that Syrian government has used chemical weapons on its own people was “utter nonsense.”
US President Barrack Obama said on Friday the US was planning a “limited, narrow” military action against Syria after intelligence reports that 1,429 people were killed by chemical weapons on August 21.
Mr Putin said it was ridiculous to suggest that Syrian government was to blame for the chemical attack on its own people.
“Syrian government forces are advancing, while the so-called rebels are in a tight situation, as they are not nearly as equipped as the government,” Putin told ITAR-TASS.
“What those who sponsor the so-called rebels need to achieve is simple – they need to help them in their fight… and if this happens, it would be a tragic development,” he said.
“In these conditions, to give a trump card to those who are calling for a military intervention is utter nonsense.”
“So I’m convinced that is nothing more than a provocation by those who want to drag other countries into the Syrian conflict.”
Putin said that the US failure to present evidence to the international community was “simply disrespectful”.
“If there is evidence it should be shown. If it is not shown, then there isn’t any,” he said.
Russia has previously warned that “any unilateral military action bypassing the UN Security Council” would be a “direct violation of international law.”
Both Moscow and Beijing have vetoed two previous Security Council draft resolutions on Syria.
Mr Putin urged Mr Obama—a Nobel Peace Prize laureate—to consider future victims in Syria before taking military action.
Syrian President Assad has vowed his country will defend itself against any “aggression.”
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
It’s Day 28 @ 00:00 on the Water-Lily Pond Clock[1]
The Old Riddle
This is how the famous French riddle for children describes the collapse.[2]
We have a pond on which water lilies grow doubling in number every day. It takes 30 days for the lilies to cover the pond completely and suffocate the fish and other life forms in the water.
On what day do we forfeit our last chance to react?
Exponential systems do not allow much reaction time. The problem may not seem strikingly obvious for a long time. As late as the 24th day, the lilies cover only 1/64th of the pond and next day, the 25th, just 1/32nd, a seemingly insignificant portion of the pond. Even on the 29th day one-half of the pond remains deceptively safe.
Ultimately, none of the above will have mattered to the HIVE genus. [3]
Notes:
1. Each three minutes on the WLPClock represents one calendar day (see Symbolic Countdown below).
2. The lily pond riddle is also quoted by Donella Meadows in Beyond the Limits.
3. HIVE: The Homo Ignarus Vulgus Exitiabilis. The HIVE genus are the ignorant, destructive mobs comprising mainly of psychopathic men and women. See http://msrb.wordpress.com/stop-burning-earth/
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN – July 25, 2013 – 961 Days Left
FIRE-EARTH Climate Models show climate change forcings and feedbacks switching global weather patterns onto “primordial tracks.”
FIRE-EARTH Population Model shows mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
Detroit becomes largest U.S. city to file for bankruptcy
The city of Detroit, a metonym for the American automobile industry, has become the largest city in U.S. history to file for bankruptcy, with debts of up to $20bn.
Since January 2010, at least eight cities, towns and counties have filed for Chapter 9 bankruptcy protection in a federal court. The list includes Boise County (Idaho), Stockton, Mammoth Lake and San Bernardino (California), Jefferson County (Alabama), Harrisburg (Pennsylvania), Central Falls (Rhode Island) and Detroit (Michigan).
“The fiscal realities confronting Detroit have been ignored for too long. I’m making this tough decision so the people of Detroit will have the basic services they deserve and so we can start to put Detroit on a solid financial footing that will allow it to grow and prosper in the future,” said Michigan Gov. Rick Snyder. “This is a difficult step, but the only viable option to address a problem that has been six decades in the making.”
“It is clear that the financial emergency in Detroit cannot be successfully addressed outside of such a filing, and it is the only reasonable alternative that is available,” Snyder said in the letter authorizing Detroit’s emergency manager to seek federal bankruptcy protection for the City. “In other words, the City’s financial emergency cannot be satisfactorily rectified in a reasonable period of time absent this filing.”
Detroit population has shrunk from over 2 million in the 1950s to about 713,000 in 2011. The city reported the highest violent crime rate among all major US cities, with more than 15,000 reported crimes in 2011.
The public services are in a state of near collapse. About 80,000 properties are abandoned or condemned, with only 53% of owners paying their 2011 property taxes.
After 60 years of decline, large parts of the City can only improve by being razed to the ground.
Related Links
San Bernardino. The city of San Bernardino became the third California city in two weeks to file bankruptcy protection in the face of a $45-million budget shortfall, reports said.
Atwater. The small Central California city of Atwater (Pop: ~28,000) has declared A fiscal emergency, which could translate to the state’s fourth municipal bankruptcy this year, said a report.
North Las Vegas, Nevada. The Nevada city of North Las Vegas, described as “ground zero for foreclosures” was officially declared as a disaster area on June 23.
Floods, storms and earthquakes forced 32.4 million people to flee their homes
At least 32.4 million people were forced to flee their homes in 2012 by floods, storms and earthquakes, according to a new report released by the Internal Displacement Monitoring Center (IDMC).
8 Mega Disasters, events causing more than one million people to lose their homes, accounted for 68% of all global displacement in 2012. —IDMC
Asia and west and central Africa were the worst affected regions, however, at least 1.3 million were displaced in rich countries, with the USA particularly affected, said the report.
“98% of all displacement in 2012 was related to climate- and weather-related events, with flood disasters in India and Nigeria accounting for 41% of global displacement in 2012. In India, monsoon floods displaced 6.9 million, and in Nigeria 6.1 million people were newly displaced. While over the past five years 81% of global displacement has occurred in Asia, in 2012 Africa had a record high for the region of 8.2 million people newly displaced, over four times more than in any of the previous four years.”
Top ten countries with most displacement in 2012. Source: Global estimates 2012| People displaced by disasters
United States was among the top ten countries with the highest levels of new displacement, with nearly one million people being forced to abandon their homes in 2012.
Displacement in poorer countries accounted for 98% of the global five year total, the report said.
In 2012, an estimated 32.4 million people in 82 countries were newly displaced by disasters; 144 million over five years
Top 20 countries with the most displacement over 2008-2012.Source: Global estimates 2012| People displaced by disasters – IDMC
“In countries already facing the effects of conflict and food insecurity such as in Nigeria, Pakistan, and South Sudan, we observe a common theme” says Clare Spurrell, Chief Spokesperson for IDMC. “Here, vulnerability to disaster triggered by floods is frequently further compounded by hunger, poverty and violence; resulting in a ‘perfect storm’ of risk factors that lead to displacement.″
A villager sits in front of his destroyed house after floodwaters receded on July 22, 2012 in Beijing, China. Photo: ChinaFotoPress/ChinaFoto-Press via Getty Images/IDMC report.
The vast majority of this displacement (98 per cent in 2012; 83 per cent over five years) was triggered by climate- and weather-related hazards such as floods, storms and wildfires. 2012 had the lowest level of dis-placement due to geophysical disasters for five years; around 680,000 people were displaced by earthquake and volcanic eruption disasters.
DISASTER CALENDAR – May 14, 2013— SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,033 Days Left
Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,033 Days Left to ‘Worst Day’ in the brief Human History
Stockton the most populous city in the U.S. to enter bankruptcy
U.S. Bankruptcy Judge Christopher Klein has ruled Stockton, Calif., (population: ~ 300,000) to enter bankruptcy.
The judge while making the ruling said: “I don’t know whether spiked pensions can be reeled back in … There are very complex and difficult questions of law that I can see out there on the horizon.”
Image shows shuttered businesses in Stockton, California June 27, 2012. Credit: Reuters/Kevin Bartram
Stockton’s crime rate is among the top 10 cities across the nation (violent crimes per 1000: 14.5). The police department says it only respond to emergencies in progress!
“It’s apparent to me the city would not be able to perform its obligations to its citizens on fundamental public safety as well as other basic government services without the ability to have the muscle of the contract-impairing power of federal bankruptcy law,” Judge Klein said.
Stockton owes the California Public Employees Retirement System (CalPERS) nearly $1 billion to cover pension liabilities. The city also issued $165 million in bonds in 2007 to maintain payments to CalPERS as its revenue from property taxes plunged during the recession, reports said.
At least two dozen other Californian cities are financially strapped including San Bernardino, San Jose, Compton, Fairfield, Watsonville, Atwater, the report said.
Located about 90 miles (144km) east of San Francisco, the city was hit hard during the US housing market crash.
Stockton’s unemployment rate (~ 20%) and violent crimes rank among the highest in the U.S.
San Bernardino. The city of San Bernardino became the third California city in two weeks to file bankruptcy protection in the face of a $45-million budget shortfall, reports said.
Atwater. The small Central California city of Atwater (Pop: ~28,000) has declared A fiscal emergency, which could translate to the state’s fourth municipal bankruptcy this year, said a report.
North Las Vegas, Nevada. The Nevada city of North Las Vegas, described as “ground zero for foreclosures” was officially declared as a disaster area on June 23.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,222 Days Left
[November 6, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,222 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History
Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...
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Global Disasters/ Significant Events
New storm projected to pass near NJ disaster coastline Wednesday
Mandatory evacuation order has been issued for low lying areas in Brick Township, N.J.
A nor’easter is expected to bring winds of 60-70 mph, several inches of rain, which would trigger flooding along the coast line, and 4-6 inches of snow to Pennsylvania and New York, forecasters said.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Nov. 6, 2012)
“Prepare for more outages!” NWS has warned residents in the region. “Stay indoors. Stock up again.”
SANDY claimed more than 100 lives in 10 states.
About 1.5 million customers in New York state and NJ are still without power, a week after the storm.
More than 34,000 of the residents displaced by SANDY are currently housed in hotels and motels in the two states.
NSW, Australia
Three local government areas in NWS, Australia have been declared natural disaster zones following a massive fire that has been raging in northern NSW for two weeks, reports said.
The 51,000-hectare blaze has consumed large swaths of national parks, state forests and private land across Armidale Dumaresq, Walcha and Kempsey, said a report.
Rhode Island, USA.
The Disaster President has declared a major disaster exists in the State of Rhode Island in the area affected by Hurricane Sandy during the period of October 26-31, 2012
Utah, USA
The Disaster President has declared a major disaster exists in the State of Utah in the area affected by a severe storm and flooding on September 11, 2012.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,225 Days Left
[November 3, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,225 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History
Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...
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Global Disasters/ Significant Events
Superstorm SANDY
Superstorm SANDY as it plowed into the U.S. Atlantic Coast. The superstorm caused much destruction across 15 states and cut power to at least 8.5 million customers affecting an estimated 65 million people.
“Where are you going today?”
Original Caption: Citizens walk in sandstorm in Hami, northwest China’s Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Nov. 2, 2012. Parts of Xinjiang were hit by a sandstorm on Friday. (Xinhua/Polat)
Cyclone NILAM
INDIA: Cyclone NILAM brought heavy rain and a storm surge to southern India, destroying thousands of homes displacing 150,000 people.
Sri Lanka. Flooding in Sri Lanka caused by the cyclone displaced about 70,000 others.
The storm left at least a dozen people dead and many injured in the region.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,228 Days Left
[October 31, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016.
SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,228 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History
Symbolic countdown to the ‘worst day’ in human history began on May 15, 2011 ...
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Global Disasters/ Significant Events
Superstorm SANDY dumps enough snow to keep your heads buried
The progress of collapse would be swift, cruel and unceremonious [“abrupt, brutal and grisly.”]
Superstorm SANDY
Hurricane-force winds of up to 145 km/h (90MPH) were recorded as SANDY slammed into NJ shore.
“The devastation is unthinkable,” New Jersey Governor said after viewing photos of the New Jersey coast. “The idea … that you see homes [ripped from their foundation and tossed] in the middle of Route 35 southbound and northbound is just unfathomable,” he told reporters.
SANDY knocked out electricity to more 8 million homes and businesses [figure released by the U.S. Department of Energy,] affecting an estimated 65 million people across 17 states.
“New Jersey, New York in particular have been pounded by this storm. Connecticut has taken a big hit,” said the Disaster President. “This storm is not yet over.”
The White House has declared the States of New Jersey and New York as major disaster areas, having issued states of emergency declaration for New Hampshire, Virginia, Delaware, West Virginia, Rhode Island, Pennsylvania, Connecticut, New Jersey, District of Colombia, New York, Massachusetts and Maryland.
Thousands of homes and businesses have been inundated, many destroyed by flooding, high winds aor other storm related disasters.
A large fire, possibly caused by downed powerlines, destroyed 80 – 100 homes in Breezy Point, on the Rockaway barrier island, in NYC’s borough of Queens, reports said.
Garrett County in Maryland has reported 20 inches of icy snow.
The storm reached as far inland as the state of Ohio.
The massive storm has forced cancellation of at least 16,000 flights to and from the affected region thus far.
“To describe it as looking like pictures we’ve seen of the end of World War Two is not overstating it. The area was completely leveled. Chimneys and foundations were all that was left of many of these homes,” New York Mayor said.
Blizzard warnings were issued by NWS for West Virginia, western Maryland, eastern Tennessee, eastern Kentucky and western North Carolina after Sandy converged with a cold weather system.
Storm surge buried about three-quarters of Hoboken [pop: ~50,000], NJ under several feet of water.
Atlantic City remained in an official state of emergency, as of posting, with a 6 p.m.-to-6 a.m. curfew in effect.
Death toll from SANDY has reached about 120, including 70 in the Caribbean and 20 in NYC [Massachusetts, Maryland, Connecticut, New Jersey, New York state, Pennsylvania, Virginia, West Virginia and Toronto have reported up to 30 deaths due to the storm.]
Pelting the region with hail, snow, and rain, SANDY “continued to whip southern Ontario with winds,” where a warning for gusts of up to 100 km/h remained in place, said a report.
Meanwhile, the “Antichrist” and “Mammon” put campaigning on hold for a second day.
Thousands killed or injured, five million affected in Pakistan’s extreme monsoon flooding
Extreme monsoon flooding in Pakistan has left about 500 dead, thousands injured, hundrdes of thousands displaced and 5 million others affected.
Floodwaters have submerged vast areas in Sindh, Punjab and Baluchistan provinces since August, killing about 250 people in Sindh province alone, reports said.
The victims affected by the mega flooding include 1.4 million children who are “experiencing devastating flooding for the second or third time over the past three years, and these new floods have disrupted their recovery,” said UNICEF.
Central Nigeria’s worst ever flooding affects tens of thousands of people, displacing at least 10,000, killing many
At least 140 people have been killed and tens of thousands have been forced to flee their homes due to severe flooding in Central Nigeria since July, reports said.
Other Disasters/ Significant Events
United States. At least 30 U.S. states expect water shortages by 2013, the Environmental Protection Agency(EPA) has revealed.
Washington. The White House has declared a major disaster exists in the State of Washington following a severe storm, straight-line winds, and flooding on July 20, 2012.
Assam, India. Third wave of flooding so far this year has left more than 1.8 million people marooned in India’s northeastern state of Assam.
Thousands of villages in 18 of the state’s 27 districts have been submerged under floodwater.
Flooding has destroyed tens of thousands of homes, and left about ¼ of million people displaced, scores of others dead, injured or missing.
Health authorities have issued a state-wide alert due to sewage-contaminated water.
Hundreds of thousands of hectares of crops have been destroyed.
“Nearly 130 people were killed and six million displaced by the floodwaters in Assam two months ago, which came during India’s June-September monsoon,” said a report.
Pakistan. Flooding in northwestern, southwestern, central, and southern parts of Pakistan has affected about 4.5 million people so far this year, officials said.
The deluge has killed at least 370 people, and left about 1,200 others injured.
Floods have destroyed more than 120,000 homes, and seriously damaged about 155,000 others.
Up to a million acres of crops have been destroyed.
Pakistan’s southern province of Sindh is the worst hit region with at least 188 killed and 743 injured due to the flooding, followed by Punjab with 60 dead, said a report.
Only about 5 percent of the 4,472,351 people affected were moved to relief camps while 4,189,825 are living in the open, without shelter or basic amenities, the report quoted Pakistan’s National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) as saying.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN:1,291 Days Left
[September 2, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,291 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
Global
Royal Dutch Shell to drill in the Arctic: The US government has granted permission to Royal Dutch Shell to begin tentative drilling in the Chukchi Sea off the Alaskan coast.
Nigeria
Oil spill stretches for miles by Exxon Nigeria field: ‘An oil spill near an ExxonMobil oilfield off the southeast coast of Nigeria has spread along the shore for about 15 miles, and locals said it was killing fish they depend on to live.’
United States
Red Flag Warnings: Strong winds and low humidity creating critical fire weather conditions across the northern Rockies as well as the northern and central Great Plains, said NOAA.
The 18,002,000 jobless total was the highest since records began in 1995.
Highest increases occurred in Greece (16.8% to 23.1%), Spain (21.7% to 25.1%) and Cyprus (7.7% to 10.9%).
The eurozone countries are Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Luxembourg, Malta, the Netherlands, Portugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Spain.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,294 Days Left
[August 30, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,294 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
Louisiana and Mississippi. Torrential rain dumped by Hurricane ISAAC, now downgraded to a tropical depression, threatened to burst Lake Tangipahoa Dam in Mississippi, forcing evacuation of about 60,000 people in Louisiana and Mississippi, leaving large areas flooded and more than a million without power, reports said.
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN:1,304 Days Left
[August 20, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,304 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN:1,305 Days Left
[August 19, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,305 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
DISASTER CALENDAR SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,306 Days Left
[August 18, 2012] Mass die-offs resulting from human impact and the planetary response to the anthropogenic assault could occur by early 2016. SYMBOLIC COUNTDOWN: 1,306 Days Left to the ‘Worst Day’ in Human History…
Fire Earth 