Posted by feww on March 21, 2010
Cyclone ULUI brought heavy rainfall, flooding to areas between Bowen and St Lawrence, Australia.
ULUI is losing intensity rapidly and is now at tropical storm strength, with winds of about 63 km/hr (34 kt) Australia’s BOM reported.
Tropical Cyclone ULUI – Visible [postcard] image – MTSAT 1R – Dated March 21, 2010 at 00:00UTC. Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.
“At 8:00 am EST Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ului, was estimated to be overland 120 kilometres west southwest of Bowen and 60 kilometres west of Collinsville and moving west southwest at 26 kilometres per hour.” BOM reported.
Readers who have had training as government employees and are familiar with bureaucratic cross-referencing may be able to extract more information from Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology website; however, they appear to have issued their last warning concerning ULUI.
Unless ULUI re-intensifies, this entry would be Fire-Earth’s final update on ULUI.
Related Links:
For additional images click on the following links:
How ULUI was born:
ULUI History and Related Links:
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Posted in storm, STORM ULUI, TC ULUI, ULUI, ULUI landfall | Tagged: Cyclone images ului, Cyclone ULUI, cyclone ului latest, TC ULUI, ULUI Update | 3 Comments »
Posted by feww on March 20, 2010
Was it Something We Said?
ULUI Intensifies to a Category 1 Hurricane on FEWW New Hurricane Scale,and Intensifying
UPDATE on March 20 at 06:30UTC
- Position: 19.7S, 151.7E
- Max Sustained Winds: 152 km/hr (~ 82 kt)
- Wind Gusts: 200 km/hr (~ 107 kt)
- Movement: WSW (240 degrees)
- Forward Speed: ~ 24 km/hr (13 kt)
- Location: About 515 km EAST (98.5degrees) of Townsville, Australia
- Maximum significant wave height: 9m (27 feet)
- Sources: JTWC, CIMSS and others.
- Comments: The cyclone’s deep convection has developed much further. Satellite images indicate that ULUI could develop an eye before it strikes the Australian coast. Warm coastal waters are feeding ULUI and there’s little vertical wind shear to oppose the cyclone from further strengthening. ULUI could potentially intensify into a category 2A [90 percent probability], a Cat 2B [64 percent probability] or even a Cat 3A [~ 50 percent probability] Hurrine force on FEWW New Hurricane Scale before making a landfall.
- Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology has warned that up to 30cm of rain could fall in areas under the projected path of TC ULUI.
Cyclone ULUI IR Satellite image with GFS and CMC forecast tracks superimposed. The track marked in yellow is Fire-Earth Forecast. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.
Tropical Cyclone ULUI – Visible [postcard] image – MTSAT 1R – Dated March 20, 2010 at 05:00UTC. Source: Digital Typhoon. Click image to enlarge.
On the Ground …
Meanwhile, Australia’s Queensland prime minister (they have one for each state), Anna Bligh, has declared a disaster zone across the state’s central and northern coast a day ahead of cyclone ULUI arrival.
Bligh declared the Townsville, Burdekin, Whitsunday, Charters Towers, Mackay, Isaac, Rockhampton and Central Highlands as disaster areas, local reports said.
“This declaration is in anticipation that some properties may need to be evacuated in the coming hours as Tropical Cyclone Ului approaches and then crosses the North Queensland coast,” she said.
“The declaration gives Emergency Services agencies the power of mandatory evacuations if required.”
For additional images click on the following links:
How ULUI was born:
ULUI History and Related Links:
Posted in STORM ULUI, TC ULUI, ULUI, ULUI landfall | Tagged: Anna Bligh, Burdekin, Central Highlands, Charters Towers, Cyclone images ului, Cyclone ULUI, cyclone ului latest, cyclone ului update, Isaac, Mackay, North Queensland coast, Queensland PM, Rockhampton, satellite images ului, TC ULUI, Townsville, Whitsunday | 6 Comments »
Posted by feww on March 19, 2010
TC ULUI Still Moving Toward QLD
Cyclone ULUI has slowed down some, but still moving above 20ºS as previously forecast
TC ULUI – Latest Satellite image, as of posting
Cyclone ULUI – 4 km Visible/IR Image. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.
Wind Shear. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.
Cyclone ULUI (TC 20P) Details on March 19 at 06:00UTC
- Position: 17.6S 157.1E
- Max Sustained Winds: 120 km/hr (~ 65 kt)
- Wind Gusts: 150 km/hr (~ 80 kt)
- Movement: SW (225 degrees)
- Forward Speed: ~ 12 km/hr ( 6 kt)
- Location: About 920 km NE of Rockhampton; 1,090 east of Townsville, Australia; 1,200 E of Cairns
- Maximum significant wave height: 8m (24 feet)
- Sources: JTWC, CIMSS and others.
Cyclone ULUI – 1km Visible Image with Dynamical Models Superimposed. Source CIMSS. Click Images to enlarge.
According to the UKM Dynamical Model (see green line in the above image), the cyclone should have disappeared 3 days ago, strike QLD in a straight line two days ago, then completely dissipate by yesterday; however, the satellite images disagree with the model.
Cyclone ULUI: Projected Track. Source: JTWC. According to this forecast TC ULUI would have to accelerate to speeds of about 22 km/h. Click image to enlarge.
For additional images click on the following links:
ULUI History and Related Links:
Posted in cyclone ului update, storm, STORM ULUI, tropical cyclone, ULUI | Tagged: Cyclone images ului, Cyclone ULUI, satellite images ului, TC ULUI | Leave a Comment »
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