Posts Tagged ‘Cyclone PHAILIN’
Posted by feww on November 28, 2013
UPDATE @ 13:00UTC – LEHAR has weakened to a tropical depression with winds of about 50km/h, bringing moderate rains as it made landfall near the city of Machilipatnam, officials said. NO significant damage expected.
Thousands in low-lying coastal areas evacuated as Cyclone LEHAR raced toward east India
LEHAR [“wave” in Hindi,] which was downgraded from its earlier classification as a “very severe” cyclone to cyclonic storm, was packing sustained winds of about 75km/h, gusting to about 95km/h, as of 02:30UTC on Thursday, November 28, 2013.
“We remain geared to evacuate around 250,000 people in seven districts as per our earlier plans,” said the vice chairman of India’s disaster management agency on Wednesday. “The evacuation will begin later tonight or even early tomorrow morning in some places based on local conditions, including the beginning of rainfall.”
Cyclonic Storm LEHAR – Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite image – recorded at 01:30UTC on November 28, 2013. Original Image Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
Earlier Image recorded at 05:30UTC on November 27, 2013.
LEHAR – Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite image – recorded at 05:30UTC on November 27, 2013. Original Image Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
LEHAR, the third significant storm to hit east India since October, is expected to cause more damage than Cyclone HELEN.
Cyclone HELEN struck the Andhra Pradesh coast last Friday, forcing thousands of evacuations, killing at least six people and causing significant damage to crops.
In October, Cyclone PHAILIN destroyed or damaged more than 500,000 mud houses, killing dozens of people, ruining 1.3 million hectares of crops and leaving more than 12 million homeless.
IMD Bulletin No.: BOB07/2013/34 [Dated: 28-11-2013 @ 5;00 IST]
The cyclonic storm ‘LEHAR’ over westcentral Bay of Bengal moved west-northwestward with a speed of 15kmph during past six hrs and lay centred at 02:30 hours IST of today, the 28th November 2013 over the westcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 15.0ºN and longitude 83.5ºE, about 280 km east-southeast of Machillipatnam and 250 km south-southeast of Kakinada. It would move west-northwestwards, weaken further and cross Andhra Pradesh coast near Machillipatnam as a deep depression around today, the 28th November afternoon.
This post will be updated throughout the day …
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Posted in Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cyclone HELEN, Cyclone LEHAR, Cyclone PHAILIN, Cyclonic Storm LEHAR, India, LEHAR, TC 05B, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B, tropical storm LEHAR | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on November 27, 2013
LEHAR Intensifies to a Strong Cat. 1 Storm Force
Cyclone LEHAR was packing sustained winds of about 140km/h, gusting to 170km/h, as of 06:00UTC, November 27, 2013.
LEHAR was located about 910km ESE (114 degrees) of Hyderabad, India tracking WNW (295 degrees) at about 20km/h, as of as of 06:00UTC, November 27, 2013. [Estimate is based on FIRE-EARTH Models, with data supplied from various satellites.]
LEHAR – Water Vapor [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] Satellite image – recorded at 05:30UTC on November 27, 2013. Original Image Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
The maximum significant wave height generated by the storm is currently about 9 meters.
The storm could intensify marginally before making landfall. The storm surge, rainfall and winds associated with LEHAR could cause significant damage, especially in low lying areas.
LEHAR has been designated as a “very severe cyclonic storm (VSCS)” by India’s Meteorological Department (IMD), and is forecast to make landfall on the Andhra Pradesh coast near Machillipatnam about 12:00pm on Thursday, November 28, 2013.
LEHAR’s Projected Path according to IDM.
Cyclones PHAILIN and HELEN
In October, Cyclone PHAILIN destroyed or damaged more than 500,000 mud houses, killing dozens of people and ruining 1.3 million hectares of crops.
Cyclone HELEN struck the Andhra Pradesh coast last Friday, forcing thousands of evacuations, killing six people and causing significant damage to crops.
LEHAR would be considerably stronger than HELEN on landfall.
This post will be updated throughout the day …
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Posted in disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, Global Disaster watch, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: Andaman Islands, Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cyclone HELEN, Cyclone LEHAR, Cyclone PHAILIN, Cyclonic Storm LEHAR, India, LEHAR, Nicobar Islands, TC 05B, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B, tropical storm LEHAR, VSCS | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on November 25, 2013
LEHAR strikes Andaman Islands with winds of about 110kmph gusting to 140kmph
The cyclone is expected to dump more than 25cm of rain over Andaman and Nicobar Islands en route to Andhra Pradesh coast, east India.
LEHAR is forecast to strike Andhra Pradesh state, India’s east-central coastline on the Bay of Bengal, near 18.3N, 84.1E on November 28.
Cyclonic Storm LEHAR. VI/INFRARED [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image recorded at 00:30UTC on November 25, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
Cyclonic Storm LEHAR. VI/INFRARED [FIRE-EARTH Enhancement] satellite image recorded at 11:30UTC on November 25, 2013. Original image sourced from: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
LEHAR V. PHAILIN
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 01:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.
LEHAR Projected Path Superimposed on SST Schematic in Bay of Bengal. Timed at 11:30UTC on November 25, 2013. CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
On Friday, November 22, Cyclone HELEN struck coastal Andhra Prades, killing at least 6 people, destroying or damaging about 170,000 hectares of crops, and forcingthe authorities to evacuate 25,000 people.
In October, Cyclone PHAILIN destroyed or damaged more than 500,000 mud houses, killing dozens of people and ruining 1.3 million hectares of crops.
In 2004¹, our team forecast an 80-90 percent increase in the total power dissipated annually by tropical cyclones in the Atlantic and Pacific oceans by 2015.
Storms will continue to get stronger (develop greater average intensities) and survive at high intensity for longer (take more time to dissipate peak energy) resulting in substantial increases in storm-related losses in the near future.
[1. First draft posted by MSRB on Internet on February 26, 2005]
This post will be updated throughout the day …
Posted in Climate Change, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: Andaman Islands, Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cyclone HELEN, Cyclone LEHAR, Cyclone PHAILIN, Cyclonic Storm LEHAR, India, Nicobar Islands, TROPICAL CYCLONE 05B, tropical storm LEHAR | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 25, 2013
Dozens killed amid flash flooding in eastern India
Severe flooding in eastern India has killed at least 64 people in the states of Orissa and Andhra Pradesh. Extreme northeast monsoon rains combined with a low pressure area over the Bay of Bengal and pounded the two states for five consecutive days, said officials.
Floods have affected more than 10 million people in eastern India, forcing authorities to evacuate about 200,000 people in Orissa and Andhra Pradesh.
Hundreds of villages and thousands of tons of crops have also been destroyed or damaged by floodwaters. Thousands of people have lost their homes, and Hundreds of thousands of others are currently cut off by floodwaters.
“The situation is serious. We are asking people to stay on rooftops. We will rescue them,” said a senior official.
Meantime, rain is forecast to continue on Saturday, said local Meteorologists.
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Posted in Climate Change, global deluge, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cyclone PHAILIN, death toll, E India, flash flood, flooding, Orissa | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 13, 2013
Coastal Towns Deserted as Deadly PHAILIN Rips into eastern India
Cyclone PHAILIN made landfall as a Cat 4A typhoon with winds of about 220km/h near Gopalpur, Odisha state, at about 15:45UTC, as initially forecast by FIRE-EARTH.
The deadly cyclone had claimed at least a dozen lives, leveling homes, all be it mud huts, uprooting trees and utility posts, and leaving hundreds of towns and villages deserted.
An estimated 600,000 to more than 3 million people were either evacuated, some forcefully because they feared losing belongings, or fled their homes to higher grounds.
More than 12 million people were in the deadly cyclone’s path, which was expected to generate storm surges of at least 3.5 meters.
The small town of Gopalpur, Odisha [formerly Orissa,] has an average elevation of less than 1 meter.
Unsurprisingly, storm surges have pushed water ore than 500 meters inland in Gopalpur and the surrounding low-lying areas, according to local reports.
A BBC reporter, Andrew North, has described the damage as “a scene of apocalyptic devastation” in the city of Brahmapur, near where the cyclone made landfall.
A storm surge of more than 3m high has inundated areas of Ganjam, Khurda, Puri and Jagatsinghpur districts of Orissa and the Srikakulam district of Andhra Pradesh, reported the Times of India.
PHAILIN will dump at least 25cm on Odisha [Orissa] and the northern parts of Andhra Pradesh through Monday, forecasters said.
The massive amounts of rain can lead to widespread flooding throughout the region.
“We will assess after the cyclone eases … even now the cyclone is on,” said Odisha’s chief secretary. “There has been pretty severe devastation in Brahmapur town.”
Typhoons NARI and WIPHA
Meantime, the outer bands of Typhoon NARI crossed central Vietnam, and WIPHA, this year’s 26th typhoon, continued to intensify over northwest Pacific.
(1-3) Typhoons PHAILIN, NARI and WIPHA at 03:00UTC on October 13, 2013. Source MTSAT-2 via Digital-Typhoon. Enhanced by FIRE-EARTH.
more details to follow….
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Posted in disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, disaster zone, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, apocalyptic devastation, Brahmapur, Climate-Related Disasters, Cyclone PHAILIN, Gopalpur, India, Odisha, Orissa state, PHAILIN, Srikakulam, typhoon landing, Typhoon NARI, typhoon WIPHA, Vietnam | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 12, 2013
Super Cyclone PHAILIN Packs Even More Power
The perfectly symmetrical textbook Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN has further intensified, packing winds of about 270km per hour with wind gusts reaching 330km per hour.
FIRE-EARTH forecasts the cyclone could slightly intensify to a peak of about 275km/hr over the next 6 hours due to favorable sea surface temperatures and atmospheric conditions.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN has a well-defined 30km-wide eye. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 00:30UTC on October 12, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN
- Time: 03:00UTC on October 12, 2013
- Movement: NW – 305 degrees @ 13km/hr
- Position: Near 17.7ºN, 86.7ºE
- Location: About 585km SSW of Kolkata (202 degrees), India
- Max Sustained Winds: 270km/hr [Super Cyclonic Storm]
- Max Wind Gusts: 330km/hr
- Significant Wave Height: ~ 10m
- Estimated Landfall Location and Time: Southwest of Brahmapur [REVISED] at about 18:00UTC on October 12, 2013. [JTWC estimate: Northeast of Visakhapatnam, Near 19.17ºN, 84.82E]
- Source: FIRE-EARTH and others
PHAILIN is a “28-hr” Super Storm!
The Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) has issued a ‘Red Message’ warning for North Andhra Pradesh and Odisha Coast concerning the impact of the “very severe cyclonic storm PHAILIN.”
Next update after landing!
The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]
The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.
The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.
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Posted in disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, disaster zone, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, News Alert | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cauvery Basin, Cyclone Paradwip, Cyclone PHAILIN, FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, India, Kolkata, Mass Evacuation, Odisha, PHAILIN, Srikakulam, Super Cyclone PHAILIN, Super Cyclonic Storm, Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN, Visakhapatnam | 3 Comments »
Posted by feww on October 11, 2013
A million evacuated, millions more flee their homes as “terminator cyclone” approaches India
Massive waves have begun pounding eastern India’s coastline more than a day before Super Cyclone PHAILIN is forecast to hit India.
The monster cyclone, which measured about 1,600km in diameter, filling the entire Bay of Bengal several hours ago, is expected to cause sever damage to homes, crops, roads, bridges and other public infrastructure, as well as major disruption to power and water supplies and rail services.
- Indian authorities have issued a cyclone high alert for nine coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh and All 14 coastal districts in Odisha have been put on high alert, five of them – Ganjam, Gajapati, Khurda, Puri, Jagatsinghpur – expected to be worst hit.
- Mass evacuations are underway.
- Andhra Pradesh government has put the navy, army and air force on standby for emergency and relief operations.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN. IR Satellite Image recorded at 11:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN
- Time: 13:00UTC on October 11, 2013
- Movement: NW – 305 degrees @ 7km/hr
- Position: Near 16.4ºN, 87.7ºE
- Location: About 670km SSW (187 degrees) of Kolkata, India
- Max Sustained Winds: 260km/hr [Super Cyclonic Storm]
- Max Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
- Significant Wave Height: ~ 10m
- Estimated Landfall Time and Location: about 16:00UTC on October 12, 2013. … Being revised … [JTWC estimate: Near 19.1ºN, 84.79E ]
- Source: FIRE-EARTH, JTWC and others
On October 10, 2013 FIRE-EARTH forecast that PHAILIN could become a super storm.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 11:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.
India’s Largest Gas Field
“India’s largest gas field—the Reliance Industries-operated D6 natural gas block—lies in the Cauvery Basin further down the east coast. The company said it was not expecting to be hit.”
The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]
The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.
The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.
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Posted in disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013, Significant Event Imagery, significant events | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, Bay of Bengal, Cauvery Basin, Cyclone Paradwip, Cyclone PHAILIN, FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, India, Mass Evacuation, New Hurricane Scale, Odisha, ODISHA cyclone, Paradwip cyclone, Super Cyclonic Storm, Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN, terminator cyclone | Leave a Comment »
Posted by feww on October 11, 2013
PHAILIN could be deadlier than 1999 ODISHA Cyclone
PHAILIN officially became a Super Cyclonic Storm short time ago, as forecast by FIRE-EARTH, packing sustained winds in excess of 250km per hour.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN. VIS/IR Satellite Image recorded at 01:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC. FIRE-EARTH Enhancement.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN
- Time: 04:00UTC on October 11, 2013
- Movement: WNW – 285 degrees @ 10km/hr
- Position: Near 16.1ºN, 88.4ºE
- Max Sustained Winds: 260km/hr [Super Cyclonic Storm]
- Max Wind Gusts: 320km/hr
- Estimated Landfall Location and Time: Near Srikakulam, Andhra Pradesh, India at about 11:00UTC on October 12, 2013. [NOTE: JTWC forecast landfall position: Near 18.95ºN 84.66ºE ]
- Source: FIRE-EARTH, JTWC and others
On October 10, 2013 FIRE-EARTH forecast that PHAILIN could become a super storm.
Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN – Projected Path as of 04:30UTC on October 11, 2013. Source: CIMSS/SSEC/WISC.
FIRE-EARTH Forecast
- PHAILIN is expected to strengthen further [sustained wind of 270-275km/hr, wind gusts of up to 330km/hr ] and would likely make landfall with super cyclonic force.
- The potentially deadly storm WILL impact East India’s entire coastline, as well as most of Bangladesh.
Other Details/ News
- Indian authorities have issued a cyclone high alert for nine coastal districts of Andhra Pradesh.
- Mass evacuations are underway.
- All 14 coastal districts in Odisha have been put on high alert, five of them – Ganjam, Gajapati, Khurda, Puri, Jagatsinghpur – expected to be worst hit.
- Andhra Pradesh government has put the navy, army and air force on standby for emergency and relief operations.
The 1999 Odisha Cyclone [aka, Cyclone 05B, and Paradwip]
The 1999 Odisha cyclone was the deadliest tropical cyclone to hit India since 1971. The Category Five super storm made landfall just weeks after a category 4 storm had hit the same region.
The deadly cyclone hit India on October 29, 1999 with sustained winds of about 250km/hr, killing an estimated 15,000 people and carving a path of destruction.
[NOTE: Google is not listing most of the images posted on FIRE-EARTH, or delay listing them for several days until they’ve lost their immediate relevance. Editor]
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Posted in Climate Change, disaster areas, disaster calendar, disaster continent, disaster diary, disaster watch, disaster watch 2013, disaster zone, Global Disaster watch, global disasters, global disasters 2013 | Tagged: Andhra Pradesh, Cyclone Paradwip, Cyclone PHAILIN, FIRE-EARTH FORECAST, Mass Evacuation, New Hurricane Scale, Odisha, ODISHA cyclone, Paradwip cyclone, Super Cyclonic Storm, Super Cyclonic Storm PHAILIN | 2 Comments »
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