Fire Earth

Earth is fighting to stay alive. Mass dieoffs, triggered by anthropogenic assault and fallout of planetary defense systems offsetting the impact, could begin anytime!

Posts Tagged ‘DOLLY’

Dolly’s Climaxed!

Posted by feww on July 25, 2008

Having dumped about 12 inches of rain within hours of coming ashore as a category 2 hurricane at South Padre Island on Wednesday causing widespread flooding in S. Texas and N. Mexico, Dolly’s is finally reduced to a tropical depression.

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 18
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
400 PM CDT THU JUL 24 2008

DOLLY WEAKENS TO A DEPRESSIONSTILL DUMPING HEAVY RAINS

AT 400 PM CDT…2100Z…THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH…LONGITUDE 100.6 WEST OR ABOUT
35 MILES…55 KM SOUTH OF EAGLE PASS TEXAS.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH…23
KM/HR…AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH…55 KM/HR…WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST AND DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE ON FRIDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB…29.53 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO THROUGH
FRIDAY. ISOLATED STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH
DOLLY. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION…28.2 N…100.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…35
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…1000 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON DOLLY. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL
PREDICTION CENTER…UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT4
KWNH…BEGINNING AT 10 PM CDT. – FORECASTER AVILA

Related Links:

Posted in Climate Change, energy, environment, food, Global Warming, health, politics, Tourism, Travel | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

Dolly Wreaks Havoc Across South Texas

Posted by feww on July 23, 2008

Dolly dropped up to 12 inches (30 cm) of rain in the first few hours of making landfall

Dolly made landfall on South Padre Island, Texas, about 2 p.m. ET, tearing roofs and observation decks off homes, shattering windows and downing power lines. It flooded the streets and sent about 2,500 residents scrambling for safety from wind gusts of about 150 mph.

Texas Gov. Rick Perry declared 14 counties disaster areas prior to Dolly’s arrival. About 1,500 National Guardsmen have been deployed, according to various news bulletins.

In Northern Mexico, about 20,000 people are expected to be evacuated to government shelters according to Eugenio Hernandez, governor of Tamaulipas, Mexico.

It is unclear why the efforts of a certain “hurricane control” company failed so miserably! </sarc>


A boat is blown into the building by Hurricane Dolly in Port Isabel, Texas July 23, 2008. Hurricane Dolly moved inland after tearing into the south Texas coast on Wednesday with 95 mph (150 kph) winds, pouring torrential rain on the U.S.-Mexico border area and threatening floods. Dolly, the second hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season, dropped up to 12 inches (30 cm) of rain in the first few hours after coming ashore at the barrier island of South Padre Island, where it ripped off roofs, bent palm trees in half and left thousands of residents without power. REUTERS/Joe Mitchell (UNITED STATES) Image may be subject to copyright. See FEWW Fair Use Notice!

HURRICANE DOLLY DISCUSSION NUMBER 14

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
5:00 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2008

THE EYE OF DOLLY MADE LANDFALL OVER SOUTHERN PADRE ISLAND EARLIER
TODAY AS A BORDERLINE CATEGORY ONE TO CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.
THE MINIMUM PRESSURE AT LANDFALL
REPORTED BY THE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 967 MB AND WINDS WERE
ESTIMATED BETWEEN 80 AND 85 KNOTS. THE EYE IS NOW PARTIALLY INLAND
OVER FAR SOUTH TEXAS AND BECAUSE THE CIRCULATION IS ALREADY
INTERACTING WITH LAND…A GRADUAL WEAKENING HAS BEGUN. INITIAL
INTENSITY IS ESTIMATED A 75 KNOTS AND A CONTINUED WEAKENING IS
FORECAST AS DOLLY MOVES FARTHER INLAND. THE INTENSITY FORECAST
FOLLOWS CLOSELY THE INLAND DECAY SHIPS MODEL.

DOLLY BEGAN TO MOVE ON A MORE STEADY NORTHWEST TRACK AT ABOUT 7
KNOTS. THE HURRICANE IS NOW LOCATED SOUTH OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
OVER THE WESTERN UNITED STATES…THEREFORE…A GRADUAL TURN TO THE
WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS ANTICIPATED UNTIL DISSIPATION IN ABOUT
48 HOURS.

DOLLY IS A LARGE SLOW MOVING SYSTEM AND CAN CONTINUE TO PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAINS DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
– FORECASTER AVILA


Hurricane DOLLY QuickLook – Posted: 15:00 CDT 07/23/2008 – NOAA

BULLETIN
HURRICANE DOLLY ADVISORY NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
400 PM CDT WED JUL 23 2008

DOLLY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES FARTHER INLAND

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM
BROWNSVILLE TO JUST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY
…AND FOR THE NORTHEASTERN
COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO NORTHWARD TO THE BORDER
BETWEEN MEXICO AND THE UNITED STATES. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE BEEN COMPLETED.

AT 4 PM CDT…2100 UTC…THE HURRICANE WARNING FROM BAFFIN BAY
NORTHWARD TO CORPUS CHRISTI HAS BEEN REPLACED BY A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BAFFIN BAY
TO PORT O’CONNOR.

AT 4 PM CDT…2100 UTC…THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH FROM LA PESCA TO SOUTH OF RIO SAN FERNANDO HAVE BEEN
DISCONTINUED.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA…INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS…PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 400 PM CDT THE EYE OF HURRICANE DOLLY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH LONGITUDE 97.6 WEST OR ABOUT 50 MILES
80 KM NORTH OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH (13 KM/HR). A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST AND WEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT DAY OR SO. THIS WILL BRING DOLLY FARTHER INLAND OVER SOUTHERN
TEXAS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH (140
KM/HR)
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. DOLLY IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES (55 KM) FROM
THE CENTER
AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES (220 KM).

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 970 MB…28.64 INCHES.

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 12
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF
SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEASTERN MEXICO OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS
.
THESE RAINS WILL LIKELY CAUSE WIDESPREAD FLOODING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO.

COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING UP TO 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS ALONG WITH LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES WILL
CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS
IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW BUT WILL
SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY
AND TONIGHT.

REPEATING THE 400 PM CDT POSITION…26.6 N…97.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS…85 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE…970 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 700 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1000
PM CDT. – FORECASTER AVILA

Posted in Climate Change, energy, environment, food, Global Warming, health, politics, Tourism, Travel | Tagged: , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a Comment »

UPDATE: TS DOLLY, CRISTOBAL & Hurricane Fausto

Posted by feww on July 21, 2008

For July 23 UPDATE Click Here >> Dolly, Now A Hurricane, Heads Towards S. Texas

Look Out, Dolly Is Coming!


Dolly May Be Heading Towards Southern Texas

NOAA Advisories:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM DOLLY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042008
800 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

DOLLY ABOUT TO EMERGE OFF THE NORTHERN COAST OF YUCATAN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA OF
MEXICO FROM THE BORDER WITH BELIZE TO CAMPECHE MEXICO.

AT 8 AM EDT (1200 UTC) THE GOVERNMENT OF YUCATAN PENINSULA HAS DISCONTINUED
THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR THE COAST OF BELIZE.

INTERESTS IN THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF DOLLY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA – INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS. PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 800 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DOLLY WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.6 NORTH/LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST
OR ABOUT 65 MILES (105 KM) EAST-NORTHEAST OF PROGRESO MEXICO.

DOLLY IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/HR). A
CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/HR) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN TODAY AS THE CENTER OF
THE STORM MOVES OUT INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO AND DOLLY COULD
BECOME A HURRICANE BY TUESDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES (280 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON PRELIMINARY REPORTS
FROM NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).

DOLLY IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL OF 4 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS THE
NORTHERN YUCATAN PENINSULA OF MEXICO AND IN WESTERN CUBA
WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS UP TO 10 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 800 AM EDT POSITION 21.6 N. 88.7 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

1100 AM EDT. – FORECASTER KNABB

TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032008
500 AM EDT MON JUL 21 2008

CRISTOBAL CONTINUES NORTHEASTWARD AWAY FROM THE OUTER BANKS

AT 500 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 36.1 NORTH LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST OR ABOUT 110
MILES (175 KM) NORTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH (20
KM/HR) AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THIS
TRACK CRISTOBAL WILL BE WELL OFFSHORE OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST
LATER TODAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH (85 KM/HR) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES (205 KM)
FROM THE CENTER.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB…29.65 INCHES.

REPEATING THE 500 AM EDT POSITION 36.1 N 73.9 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD NORTHEAST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 50 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE1004 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT

1100 AM EDT. – FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FAUSTO ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072008
200 AM PDT MON JUL 21 2008

FAUSTO STRENGTHENS TO CATEGORY TWO STATUS

AT 200 AM PDT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FAUSTO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH LONGITUDE 115.4 WEST OR ABOUT 405 MILES
(650 KM) WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
.

FAUSTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH (20 KM/HR) AND
A GRADUAL TURN TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48
HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH (160 KM/HR) WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. THE HURRICANE HAS PROBABLY REACHED ITS PEAK INTENSITY AND
SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES (65 KM) FROM
THE CENTER AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115
MILES (185 KM).

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB (28.79 INCHES).

REPEATING THE 200 AM PDT POSITION 20.1 N. 115.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD…NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS 100 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 975 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
800 AM PDT. – FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

Related Links:

.

Posted in CABO SAN LUCAS, CAMPECHE, CAPE HATTERAS, CAROLINAs, Climate Change, energy, environment, food, Global Warming, health, MID-ATLANTIC COAS, politics, PROGRESO, Tourism, Travel | Tagged: , , , , , , | 4 Comments »