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Potentially deadly Arctic air to affect 250 million in U.S. —FIRE-EARTH
Massive pulses of brutally cold Arctic air are sinking southward from Canada into the central and eastern U.S., affecting the western High Plains to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast U.S. for the next few days, said NWS. “Widespread subzero overnight lows are forecast for the Dakotas, Upper Midwest, Great Lakes, and interior New England.”
Temperatures will be as much as 30 degrees (F) below average for parts of the Plains, Mississippi Valley, and Ohio Valley…
Hard Freeze Warnings, Freeze Warnings and multiples of other Weather Hazard Warnings, Watches and Advisories are in effect throughout the eastern two-thirds of the country, extending into the deep South and spanning along almost the entire Gulf Coast.
Up to 250 million people in 40 states could be affected by the Arctic blasts, according to FIRE-EARTH Models.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS EXTREME RAIN EVENTS SEVERE FLOODING FOREST FIRE
STATES OF EMERGENCY SCENARIOS 900, 444, 111, 101, 023 .
Mechanicville Declares State Of Emergency
A state of emergency has been declared in Mechanicville City, NY, due to severe flooding.
No traffic is being allowed in or out of the city, and residents are told to stay indoors until further notice. “A boil water advisory is in effect for the city,” said a report.
“Thunderstorms have dropped one to two inches of rain in parts of Washington, Rensselaer and Saratoga Counties and more rain is in the forecast.”
Forest fires cause state of emergency in Krasnoyarsk region
The authorities in central Siberia’s Krasnoyarsk region have declared a state of emergency due to forest fires, most of which are burning in hard-to-reach terrain, the region’s acting Natural Resources and Ecology Minister told reporters, said a report.
Aided by hot, dry weather, more than 50 forest fires have consumed at least 2,000 hectares.
State Of Emergency Declared In St. Paul, Minn. due to Flooding
St. Paul Mayor has declared a state of emergency as the Mississippi River continues to rise there causing severe flooding, said a report. “It’s the same situation in Ramsey County, and Harriet Island is under water.”
St-Colomban, Que. Canada
The town of St-Colomban, Que., has declared a state of emergency after heavy rain flooded roads, triggered landslides and inundated sewers, said a report.
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS DEADLY HEATWAVE
RECORD HEAT MAJOR DISASTER SCENARIOS 777, 444, 111 .
Record heatwave kills dozens, possibly hundreds in India
Seven consecutive days of extreme temperatures in Delhi, world’s second most populous urban agglomeration with a population of about 25 million, has pushed up the ground ozone levels by more than 3 folds.
Temperatures have been hovering above 45 Celsius (113 Fahrenheit) since last week, amid night-long outages.
“Residents staged sit-in protests outside electricity substations in the state of Uttar Pradesh late on Wednesday, days after protesters had set substations on fire and taken power officials hostage after weeks of daily blackouts,” reported Reuters.
“God alone can provide any relief from the prevailing power crisis,” said the director of Uttar Pradesh Power Corporation,. adding that power would only return after the monsoon arrived and demand fell.
Much of Delhi has been experiencing long blackouts after a surge in demand and damage from a thunderstorm overwhelmed the grid, said the report.
More Extreme Events
“We are witnessing more serious and more extreme events,” said spokesperson for India’s Center for Science and Environment (CSE).
Dozens of unidentified bodies have been discovered in Delhi since Monday.
Derecho, Hail, Tornadoes and Dust Storms Hit Central US
Extrme Rain Events triggered severe flash flooding Tuesday for a wide swath of eastern Nebraska and southwest Iowa, prompting Iowa Gov. Branstad to declare Pottawattamie County a disaster area.
Severe storms producing baseball-sized hail, up to 12 tornadoes and a dangerous derecho pounded the US Midwest on Tuesday causing damage to buildings and vehicles.
The hail caused substantial damage to 4,300 vehicles at Woodhouse Auto Family car dealership in Nebraska, said a report.
Storm Prediction Center received at least 12 reports of possible tornadoes in Nebraska, Iowa, Wyoming and Kansas by late Tuesday evening.
Japan
An unusually intense heatwave continued to grip Hokkaido and other parts of Japan since Monday, with temperatures soaring to a 90-year record.
The temperature soared to 37.8°C in the town of Otofuke at about 2 p.m. on Teusday matching Hokkaido’s highest temperature, recorded in Obihiro on July 12, 1924, said Japan Meteorological Agency.
On Wednesday, temperatures exceeded 36.8°C for the first time this year at many observation stations throughout the prefecture.
Meanwhile, a rain front approaching from the west has dumped enormous amounts of precipitation on Kyushu, Okinawa and Amami islands in the country’s southwest, triggering numerous landslides.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS MAJOR DISASTERS MASS DISPLACEMENTS SCENARIOS 444, 101, 070, 066, 023, 09, 04, 03 .
Extreme climatic events, related conflicts displace 144 million in the Horn of Africa
Some 144 million people have been displaced in the Horn of Africa region between 2008 and 2012 due to the mega disasters caused by climate change, according to a joint report by the Institute for Environment and Human Security of United Nations University, and the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC).
The new report by said thousands of people in the Horn of Africa are at risk of being displaced across borders as extreme weather increases in frequency.
“As extreme weather increases in intensity thousands are at risk of being displaced. Many of the displaced receive some assistance, but the support varies. There is a need for more predictive protection and assistance. We must start in the hardest affected regions,” according to NRC spokesperson.
Sudanese Famine 1993. A vulture patiently awaits a starving Sudanese child to die, dated March 1993. Pulitzer Prize winning photo by the deceased photojournalist Kevin Carter.
The majority of those displaced in the four-year period fled from floods, storms and wildfires and other impacts of climate change, said the report.
Most of the victims remained in their own countries as internally displaced people, but many fled across the borders to neighboring countries.
“Drought forces people to leave their homes in Somalia and Ethiopia and flee to Kenya, Egypt or Yemen. Most of those fleeing are pastoralists, small scale farmers and agro-pastoralists,” said the report.
The impact of climate-related disasters are intensified by ethnic and political discriminations, according to the report, which cites armed conflict and lack of humanitarian access in Somalia as major contributing factors to worsening conditions caused by the drought and famine.
People are forced to cross borders when Extreme Weather Events flood their habitat, or destroy their crops, said the report.
“Individuals leave for another country for a variety of reasons, but in many cases the driving factor is related to the loss and deterioration of livelihood,” said representative from UNU.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
DEADLY FLASH FLOODS LARGE SCALE DESTRUCTION MASS DISPLACEMENT .
Deadly Floods Destroy Thousands of Homes in N. Afghanistan, Leaving Scores Dead, Many Missing
Flash floods in northern Afghanistan have destroyed dozens of villages and thousands of homes, killing at least 120 people, and leaving many others missing. Hundreds more are injured and tens of thousands reportedly displaced.
The floods followed a two-day extreme rain event, which inundated three provinces of Faryab, Jowzjan and Sar-e Pul, said Afghanistan’s Natural Disaster Management Agency.
The floods have destroyed dozens of villages leaving tens of thousands of farm animals dead, the agency said.
Recurring drought worsening chronic food insecurity in Haiti
Drought has killed crops in Haiti’s poorest region, pushing the people even closer to the margins of survival.
At least 43 percent of households in Haiti’s northwest suffer from food insecurity, compared to a national average of about 30 percent, according to Government statistics.
More than 1.5 million people continue to face severe food insecurity in Haiti and about 82,000 children under five are malnourished, according to the UNOCHA.
The worsening disaster is caused by drought and the impact of hurricanes ISSAC and SANDY, which battered the country last year, said UNOCHA spokesperson.
SANDY struck Haiti in October leaving a trail of destruction and severely damaging the economy.
Rainstorm Destroys or damages about 60,000 Homes in South China
More than two dozen people are dead or reported as missing, after extreme rain events battered south China, said the Ministry of Civil Affairs on Tuesday.
Extreme rain and flooding have affected more than 1.16 million people in seven Chinese provinces —Fujian, Jiangxi, Hunan, Guangdong, Guangxi, Chongqing and Guizhou—forcing at least 17,000 to flee their homes, said the ministry.
“A total of 6,600 people are in need of emergency sustenance assistance, it said, while 1,600 houses have been toppled and 55,000 damaged,” said Xinhua.
Floodwaters have destroyed 47,600 hectares of crops causing direct economic losses of more than $105 million U.S. dollars.
The fierce storm system has dumped about 300 mm of rain, the equivalent of about two months’ rainfall, in some areas since March 27.
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS LARGE TROPICAL CYCLONE
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
SEVERE COASTAL FLOODING .
Major Tropical Cyclone HELLEN (21S) Striking Populated NW Madagascar
Latest Position
Tropical cyclone HELLEN (21S) was located near 15.6ºS, 45.7ºE , about 445km NNW of Antananarivo, Madagascar, at 05:30UTC on March 31, 2014, tracking southeastward at 9 km/h, according to JTWC.
The powerful typhoon was packing maximum wind speeds of more than 230 km/h, with max. wind gusts of 280 km/hr, but had begun weakening over the past few hours.
HELLEN was generating significant waves of about 12-meters high. Storm surges could inundate low-lying, populated coastal areas.
Unusually late winter storm pounding U.S. Mid-Atlantic
Late winter storm impacting central Appalachians and mid-Atlantic through Monday, just 4 days before the spring, dumping between six and 13.5 inches (34cm) of snow on parts of West Virginia, Virginia, Maryland, Delaware and southern New Jersey, shutting schools and federal offices and forcing hundreds of flight cancellations. The hardest hit area was Washington, D.C., said NWS. .
High wind and warm weather over the Desert Southwest has prompted NWS to issue Red Flag Warnings for large parts of at least seven states, including Arizona, New Mexico, Colorado, Kansas , Nebraska, Oklahoma and Texas.
Hazardous weather warnings include Winter Storm Warning, High Wind Warning, Flood Warning, Gale Warning and Red Flag Warning.
Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Monday, March 17, 2014. Issued at 14:26UTC. Source: NWS.UPDATE
National Low and High Temperature
(for the contiguous United States)
Issued by NWS Weather Prediction Center at 8 am EDT Monday, March 17, 2014
Low
-29ºC (-20 degrees) at Berlin, NH
-29ºC at Mount Washington, NH
High
34.5ºC (94 degrees) at Miramar NAS, CA
34.5ºC at Death Valley, CA
Temperature spread (calculated by FIRE-EARTH) = 63.5ºC (114.3 degrees).
Compare:
National Low and High Temperature – Issued 7 pm EST Tuesday, January 21, 2014
Low: -38ºC (-37 degrees) at Embarrass, MN
High: 29ºC (84 degrees) at Camarillo, CA
Temperature spread for Jan. 21 was 67ºC (121 degrees).
FIRE-EARTH Forecast
On January 7, 2014 FIRE-EARTH said [Google and WordPress censored]:
FIRE-EARTH Models show more Extreme Weather Events could wreak havoc across North America in the coming days and weeks.
An intense storm system moving from the Ohio Valley into the Northeast is bringing accumulating snow from the Lower Great Lakes to northern New England, said the NWS, forecasting more than a foot of snow for some areas, with damaging winds being the main threat.
The forecasters have predicted
Heavy snow for Northern Maine
Temperatures as much as 25 degrees below average from parts of the Great Lakes to the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic
Temperatures as much as 15 degrees above average over parts of the Northern/Central Plains [creating a massive stage for extreme weather events]
Deadly Storm
At least three people were killed and several others seriously injured in a pileup of more than 50 cars and trucks on a 2-mile stretch of the Ohio Turnpike, one of several multiple car crashes in the Buckeye State, after ice and snow covered the Great Lakes region and reduced visibility to near zero on Wednesday, according to media reports quoting state and county officials.
A pileup involving dozens of vehicles on the Ohio Turnpike, near Clyde, left at least three people dead and several others seriously injure. Image credit: Jeremy Wadsworth/ The (Toledo) Blade. Image may be subject to copyright.
National High and Low Temperature (for the contiguous United States)
Issued 2 am EDT Thursday, March 13, 2014 by NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, MD
Low Temperature for Wednesday:
-26ºC (-15 degrees) at Crane Lake, MN
High Temperature for Wednesday:
31ºC (88 degrees) at Pompano Beach, FL
31ºC at Miami (Kendall-Tamiami), FL
[Temperature spread 57.2ºC (103 degrees), as calculated by FIRE-EARTH]
FIRE-EARTH Forecast
On January 7, 2014 FIRE-EARTH said [Google and WordPress censored]:
FIRE-EARTH Models show more Extreme Weather Events could wreak havoc across North America in the coming days and weeks.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS WEATHER RECORDS BROKEN CLIMATE RELATED DISASTERS .
Climate change already increasing intensity and frequency of extreme weather events in Australia
“Continuing hot on the heels of the ‘Angry Summer’ of 2012/2013, Australians again endured record breaking extreme events this summer.” —Climate Council of Australia
Intense and prolonged heatwaves and record hot days, severe drought and rainfall deficiency, and bushfires dominated the 2013/2014 summer, according to the latest “Angry Summer” report issued by the Australian Climate Council.
The report finds that many of Australia’s largest population centers face increased risk from extreme weather events, including heatwaves, drought and bushfires, impact of which are serious and costly on people, property, communities and the environment.
Examples of the extreme weather events include
Eight of the hottest summers on record in Australia have occurred in the last fifteen years
Sydney had its driest summer in 27 years
Canberra experienced 20 days of at least 35°C
Melbourne experienced its hottest ever 24 hour period (average 35.5°C)
Adelaide had a record of 11 days of 42°C or more during the summer
Perth had its second hottest summer on record
38 spots in New South Wales and 45 in Queensland saw their driest summer on record
More than 280,000 hectares of Victoria’s land were consumed by February fires
Record high maximum temperatures plagued more than 8.8 percent of Australia during the first four days of January, including 17 percent of New South Wales, 17 percent of the Northern Territory, 16 percent of Queensland and 8 percent of South Australia, said the report.
Record-breaking heatwaves significantly impacted Australia’s major population centers.
Victoria experienced its hottest four days on record from 14–17 January,
Melbourne set a record for four consecutive days at 41°C or higher (14–17 January)
Adelaide experienced a record-breaking five consecutive days of 42°C and above
Canberra had a record run of four days of 39°C and recorded 20 days of at least 35°C
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS RECORD DROUGHT CROP DISASTERS .
Back-to-Back Disasters Continue to Hit Australia as Forecast…
Australia’s Queensland is experiencing its worst drought on record, with about 80% of the state affected.
Rainfall deficits for the 17-month (October 2012 to February 2014) period
Serious to severe deficiencies (lowest 10% to 5% of records) remain in central Queensland and in an area inland of the Great Dividing Range extending from southern Queensland into northern New South Wales as well as in small areas around the Queensland–South Australian border (affecting the Northern Territory, South Australia, New South Wales and Queensland) and in eastern New South Wales, western Victoria and on the coast of Western Australia near Shark Bay.
Rainfall deficiencies for the 23-month (April 2012 to February 2014) period
Serious to severe deficiencies (lowest 10% to 5% of records) persist in areas of western and inland northern Queensland, a large area around the Queensland–South Australia border and smaller areas along the eastern border of South Australia, an area extending from inland southern Queensland through much of New South Wales inland of the coastal ranges and into northwestern and north-central Victoria. Deficiencies also persist in an area between Geraldton and Shark Bay on the west coast of Western Australia. [Source: Australia BOM]
Rainfall deficiencies for the 23-month (April 2012 to February 2014) period. Source:Australia BOM.
Wettest, 5th Warmest and Probably Most Disastrous Winter in the UK
Britain had the wettest winter since records began in 1766, with 435mm of rain recorded up to February 24, said the UK Met Office.
New records were set in many parts of the UK, with southeast and central southern England receiving more than double the average winter rainfall. And more rain is expected…
Ferocious storms have caused extensive damage along the coastal areas, cutting off a major rail link and flooding thousands of homes.
Some 25 square miles of land have been inundated in the Somerset Levels, as well as towns and villages along River Thames.
More than 6,500 properties have been flooded in England and Wales since December.
The cost of damage could top $2billion.
Britain has seen record rainfall this winter … more rain forecast.Source: UK Met Office.
Average Temperatures
The UK has been experiencing a warmer than average winter so far, with an average mean temperature of 5.2ºC, or 1.5ºC above normal.
It is the 5th warmest winter since 1910, said the Met Office.
12% More sunshine than average
Despite the wet weather, south England has experienced 12% more sunshine than average this winter.
UK experienced its 5th warmest winter, with the south receiving 12 per cent more sunshine than average. Source: UK Met Office.
Sinkholes and Landslides
Meanwhile, the British Geological Survey reported that the exceptional winter storms that struck the UK this year have contributed to an increase in the incidence of sinkholes and landslides.
UK Weather Forecast
The Met Office has warned:
“An area of low pressure is expected to move eastwards on Friday. There is considerable uncertainty in its track and therefore on the risk and location of any snow.
“This warning will be kept under review and the public are advised to keep up to date with the forecast and warnings.”
FIRE-EARTH / EDRO Forecast
In November 2009, EDRO/FIRE-EARTH Models showed climate change could directly affect about half the UK population within 3 to 5 years. Our Forecast and most of the links posted below have since been filtered, censored, blocked or buried by Google, WordPress and others.
EXTREME WEATHER AND CLIMATIC EVENTS
EXTREME RAIN EVENTS
MEGA-FLOODING .
16 Severe Flood Warnings remain in effect, as more intense rain swamps the UK
Dozens of UK counties remain under Severe Flood Warning, Flood Warnings and Flood Alerts, as the latest rainstorm from the Atlantic dumps up to 16mm of rain per hour on parts of the country, as well as Ireland.
More Rain Moving in from the Atlantic
IR Satellite image. Infrared Mosaic Color Background – Atlantic Region GOES-East/Meteosat-9/MTSAT. Source: CIMSS
FIRE-EARTH / EDRO Forecast
In November 2009, EDRO/FIRE-EARTH Models showed climate change could directly affect about half the UK population within 3 to 5 years. Our Forecast and most of the links posted below have since been filtered, censored, blocked or buried by Google, WordPress and others.
22 Severe Flood Warnings issued, as UK rivers continue flooding
There are now 22 Severe Flood Warnings [“danger to life”] in effect throughout three UK regions—the Midlands [1,] Southeast [15] and Southwest[6.]
Additionally, 179 Flood Warnings [“Flooding is expected. Immediate action required”] and 288 Flood Alerts [“Flooding is possible. Be prepared”] are in effect throughout the UK, as of posting.
22 Severe Flood Warnings [“danger to life”] and hundreds of Flood Warnings and Flood Alerts are in effect throughout the UK, as of posting.Official records released for last month show UK experienced its wettest January in quarter of a millennium.
In the Midlands River Severn at Alney Island, Gloucester, threatens to overflow, and a Severe Flood Warning has been issued due to the potential flooding of houses and static homes from the overtopping of flood defenses , according to the UK Environment Agency [UKEA.]
15 Severe Flood Warnings issued for the Southeast
Location: Coast at Lymington and Keyhaven including Pitts Deep and Sowley
The wind is Force 10 South westerly. This warning is being issued as a precautionary measure. Forecast tide levels are significant and will be very close to the top of the sea wall which protects most of Lymington and Keyhaven.
River Thames
River Thames is flooding at multiple locations including the Chertsey area and Widespread property flooding and disruption to local infrastructure will continue, said UKEA.
River Thames levels are expected to rise in at least 14 other areas including the Shepperton Green area, Hamm Court, Laleham and Penton Hook, Staines and Egham, Thorpe Lea, Runnymede Pleasure Grounds, Horton and Kingsmead Quarry, Wraysbury village, Old Windsor, Friday Island, Magna Carta Island and Datchet village.
Severe Flood Warnings in the Southwest
Six Severe Flood Warnings are in effect in the Southwest as of posting including
The forecast wind direction are south easterly through to south westerly overnight. The forecast wind strengths are Force 7 increasing to Force 9 overnight Follow the instructions in leaflets now being dropped at all properties at risk. Do not wait for the siren to sound if you intend to relocate from your property
The forecast surge height is 0.99m. The forecast wind direction is SSW. The forecast wind strength is Force 8. Times of high tide will vary along the coast. Conditions will usually apply 2-4 hours either side of high tide. Large waves are forecast to build from a southerly direction. Wave heights could be 3 to 5.5m. This is likely to lead to significant spray overtopping and the potential for further damage to sea walls.
A Severe Flood Warning is in force for Friday evenings tide and a Flood Warning is in force for Saturday morning. Strong winds, tidal surge and large waves may cause flooding at exposed locations. Locations with damage to defences, buildings and structures, will be especially vulnerable. These locations include: Penzance, Newlyn Green, Marazion, Longrock, Porthleven, St Mawes, Pentewan, Looe, Seaton, Kingsand, Cawsand and Plymouth. High tide on Friday is between 16:40 and 18:00. The forecast surge height is over 1m, with Force 9 South South Westerly wind, and waves up to 6m. High tide on Saturday is between 05:00 and 06:00. The forecast surge height is 360mm, with Force 8 South Westerly wind, and waves up to 6m. Conditions in exposed locations will be dangerous …
Water is continuing to spill from Currymoor into Saltmoor and Northmoor via Athelney spillway and the old Lyng railway cutting. This poses a significant ongoing risk to local properties. The drain level at Northmoor pumping station is 6.01 m and is stable. We are pumping at Northmoor and Saltmoor pumping stations. Additional pumps are now running. The River Tone at Currymoor is currently stable but is expected to rise in response to the forecast rainfall.
Water is continuing to spill into Currymoor from the River Tone. Consequently large volumes of water are flowing into Saltmoor and Northmoor via Athelney spillway and the old Lyng railway cutting. Floodwater on the A361 is very deep.
FIRE-EARTH / EDRO Forecast
In November 2009, EDRO/FIRE-EARTH Models showed climate change could directly affect about half the UK population within 3 to 5 years. Our Forecast and most of the links posted below have since been filtered, censored, blocked or buried by Google, WordPress and others.
The next major storm brewing in the Atlantic is expected to crash into Britain on Friday.
The storm could dump significant snow on much of Northern Ireland, southern Scotland and northern England.
Sixteen Severe Flood Warnings remain in effect in southern England for Berkshire, Surrey and Somerset; thousands of people have been evacuated.
Some 355 additional Flood Warnings and Flood Alerts are in effect throughout the UK.
Power and transport networks across the country have been severely hit.
Many rivers in southern England have risen to their highest recorded levels.
River Thames is forecast to rise to its highest levels for more than six decades, with Windsor, Maidenhead and Surrey the worst affected, said the UK Environment Agency.
The River Severn rose to a new record level of 5.65m in Worcester.
More homes will be flooded as rivers in Herefordshire and Worcestershire continue rising, the Agency warned.
FIRE-EARTH / EDRO Forecast
In November 2009, EDRO/FIRE-EARTH Models showed climate change could directly affect about half the UK population within 3 to 5 years. Our Forecast and most of the links posted below have since been filtered, censored, blocked or buried by Google, WordPress and others.
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENT
STATE OF EMERGENCY
WORSENING DROUGHT .
The Exceptional Drought Expands
The area covered by Exceptional Drought (D4) in California has expanded by about 12 percent since last week, from 8.77 percent to 9.81 percent of the land.
California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.
California Drought Comparison Map for January 28 and February 4, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.
California Drought
Drought persists across California. US Drought Monitor has downgraded Humboldt and Trinity Counties drought conditions from degradation severe to extreme drought (D2 to D3). Areas near Monterey to Bakersfield have been downgraded from extreme to exceptional drought (D3 to D4). Some 8 inches of snow reported on the ground at the Central Sierra Snow Lab near the Donner Summit reports, the lowest for this since at least 1946. Source: NOAA/NWS/NCEP/CPC.
State of Emergency
Governor Brown proclaimed a State of Emergency on January 27 amid the worsening statewide drought. He called the “really serious,” adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”
57 California Counties Declared Crop Disaster Areas
All but one of the 58 counties in the state of California have been declared Crop Disaster Areas due to Extreme Drought conditions.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 57 counties in the state of California as crop disaster areas due to the worsening drought, since the beginning of the year.
Crop Disaster Map CY-2014 dated January 29, 2014. Source: USDA/FSA
Imperial County, located Southeast of California in the Imperial Valley, bordering both Arizona and Mexico, is currently covered by D0-D1 drought conditions, but has not yet been designated as a drought disaster area.
Massive Atlantic depression heading toward Britain this weekend: UK Met Office
Major hurricane force winds are forecast to “smash” into the UK, causing significant damage this weekend. The storm could prove to be more devastating than the October St Jude’s Day Storm.
“A very low depression is coming in from the Atlantic on Friday night which we are expecting to be significant. Heavy downpours will bring two inches of rain in some parts of the UK,” said the UK Met Office.
Visible satellite image showing a major storm system that struck Ireland and Britain today. UK Met Office.
Today’s Powerful Storm
A powerful storm plowed into SW England and south Wales washing away parts of a railway line and leaving tens of thousands of homes and businesses without electricity.
The storm has reportedly caused significant damage to several coastal areas in the UK and much of Ireland.
IR satellite image showing a major storm system that struck Ireland and Britain today (see inset for frame time). UK Met Office. Image enhanced by FIRE-EARTH Blog.
The UK Environment Agency has issued hundreds of Flood Warnings and Flood Alerts, including 9 Severe Flood Warnings, meaning “danger to life,” across England and Wales, as of posting.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
STATE OF EMERGENCY .
Christie declares a state of emergency due to a heavy snow storm plaguing NJ
The governor has ordered all non-essential state workers to go home, on a staggering schedule, starting at noon.
“Today’s winter storm is expected to produce heavy snow and travel hazards throughout the state, affecting tonight’s evening commute,” Christie said in a statement on Monday.
The storm is forecast to dump heavy snow and freezing rain throughout the state, felling trees, and causing power outages and flooding, he said.
“Total Nightmare”
As of 7:00 p.m. EST up to 9.5 inches of snow had fallen in some parts of the Garden State creating a “total nightmare” for the Super Bowl fans leaving the state.
“It’s a parade of storms this week,” said the state climatologist at Rutgers University. “We haven’t been able to tap this kind of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and other environments in quite a few weeks. January was the 8th snowiest on record in New Jersey but it wasn’t abundantly moist. We had a lot of cold, dry snow, fluffy snow, not the thumping snow that we have today.”
State of Emergency Proclamation (excerpts)
… beginning on February 3, 2014 the State of New Jersey is expected to experience a severe winter storm with high winds, heavy snow, mixed precipitation, dangerous storm surges, and sub-zero temperatures throughout the State … this severe winter storm is predicted to produce hazardous travel conditions, cause fallen trees and power outages, and produce potential coastal, stream, and river flooding throughout the State … this severe winter storm is expected to result in dangerous conditions across New Jersey for several days, impeding transportation and the normal operation of public and private entities … impending weather conditions constitute an imminent hazard, which threatens and presently endangers the health, safety, and resources of the residents of one or more municipalities and counties of this State … this situation may become too large in scope to be handled by the normal county and municipal operating services in some parts of this State, and this situation may spread to other parts of the State …
Christie’s State of Emergency Proclamation: Full Text
Meanwhile, the National weather Service issued the following forecast:
New Winter Storm to Impact the Central U.S. Tuesday and the Northeast on Wednesday
The next winter storm is ready to impact the Plains and Midwest with snow and ice Tuesday into Wednesday. Heaviest snow is forecast from central Kansas through central Missouri and Illinois, into central Indiana. This same system could bring a foot of snow to northern Pennsylvania into central New England on Wednesday.
U.S. Weather Hazards Map (Hazmap) for Tuesday, February 4, 2014. Issued at 02:36UTC. Source: NWS.UPDATE
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS
DROUGHT DISASTER
STATE OF EMERGENCY WATER FAMINE CROP DISASTER COLLAPSE .
57 California Counties Declared Crop Disaster Areas
All but one of the 58 counties in the state of California have been declared Crop Disaster Areas due to Extreme Drought conditions.
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 57 counties in the state of California as crop disaster areas due to the worsening drought, since the beginning of the year.
Crop Disaster Map CY-2014 dated January 29, 2014. Source: USDA/FSA
Imperial County, located Southeast of California in the Imperial Valley, bordering both Arizona and Mexico, is currently covered by D0-D1 drought conditions, but has not yet been designated as a drought disaster area.
California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.
State of Emergency
Governor Brown proclaimed a State of Emergency on January 27 amid the worsening statewide drought. He called the “really serious,” adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”
Image of the Day: “Lake Yesterday”
“Lake Yesterday,” California. Image credit: NOAA
Precipitation Monitoring: 90-Day Accumulation Ending February 1, 2014
Soil Moisture Anomaly (mm) – January 2014.Source: NOAA/ CPC
U.S. Drought Monitor
Nearly 9 percent of California is covered by Exception Drought (D4 drought level), more than 58 percent by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level), about 23 percent by Sever Drought (D2 drought level) and over 9 percent of the state experiencing Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought conditions as of last week.
The land area covered by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level) has more than doubled since January 7, 2014.
California Drought Map as of January 28, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.
‘Extreme’ and ‘Exceptional Drought’ levels are plaguing California, threatening at least 17 communities with water famine.
Severe Drought Prompts Worst-Ever Water Supply Forecast for California
“Simply put, there’s not enough water in the system right now for customers to expect any water this season from the project,” said the director of California Department of Water Resources (DWR).
DWR is securing what little water remains in the state’s reservoirs in response to the worsening drought and strong likelihood of more severe water shortages in the coming months.
The agency announced Friday that they took actions to conserve the state’s dwindling resources, as a result of which, “everyone—farmers, fish, and people in our cities and towns —will get less water.”
“This historic announcement reflects the severity of California’s drought. After two previous dry years, 2014 is shaping up as the driest in state history,” said DWR.
On Thursday, Sierra snow survey found the snowpack’s statewide water content was only 12 percent of average for this time of year.
Water levels in key reservoirs now are lower than at this time in 1977, one of the two previous driest water years on record.
Lake Oroville in Butte County, the principal SWP reservoir, is at 36 percent of its 3.5 million acre-foot capacity (55 percent of its historical average for the date).
Shasta Lake north of Redding, California’s and the federal Central Valley Project’s (CVP) largest reservoir, is also at 36 percent of its 4.5 million acre-foot capacity (54 percent of average for the date).
San Luis Reservoir, a critical south-of-Delta reservoir for both the SWP and CVP, is just 30 percent of its 2 million acre-foot capacity (39 percent of average for the date).
California Current Reservoir Conditions. Source: DWR
DWR has never before announced a zero allocation in the 54-year history of the State Water Project to all 29 public water agencies that buy from the SWP. These deliveries help supply water to 25 million Californians and roughly 750,000 acres of irrigated farmland.
The agency forecast in late December that it would be able to deliver only 5 percent of about 4 million acre-feet of State Water Project water requested by the 29 public water agencies that purchase water from the project. They are located in Northern California, the Bay Area, San Joaquin Valley, Central Coast, and Southern California.
The 5 percent projected allocation has now reduced to zero.
Statewide Average Precipitation – by water year. Source DWR.
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS DROUGHT DISASTER
STATE OF EMERGENCY WATER FAMINE .
COLLAPSE OF CALIFORNIA LOOMS !
Why the Golden State is so important
California produces about 36 percent of the U.S. vegetables and nearly 70 percent of the country’s fruits and nuts.
The Golden State topped the nation’s agricultural states in cash receipts with $44.7 billion followed by Iowa ($31.9billion), Nebraska ($24.4billion), Texas ($22.7 billion) and Minnesota ($20.5 billion), according to USDA Agricultural Overview for crop year 2012.
California produced more than 350 crop and livestock commodities and was the country’s No. 1 producer of 80 during the 2012 crop year.
1/ California is the sole producer (99 percent or more) of the commodities in bold. 2/ Includes tangelos, tangerines and tangors.[Source: USDA, National Agricultural Statistics, Pacific Region, California]
California also produced a total of 23 percent of the nation’s rice, 23 percent potatoes and sweet potatoes, 21 percent of the milk and cream and 6 percent of egg and chicken.
California is currently experiencing its worst drought on record. In 2013 California experienced its driest year since records began 120 years ago.
The severe drought prompted the worst-ever water supply forecast for California: Zero Allocation
“Simply put, there’s not enough water in the system right now for customers to expect any water this season from the project,” said the director of California Department of Water Resources (DWR).
DWR is securing what little water remains in the state’s reservoirs in response to the worsening drought and strong likelihood of more severe water shortages in the coming months.
The agency announced Friday that they took actions to conserve the state’s dwindling resources, as a result of which, “everyone—farmers, fish, and people in our cities and towns —will get less water.”
More than 25 million Californian and 1million acres (404,500 hectares) of farmland get all or most of their drinking and irrigation water from DWR.
Californoa Gov Brown declared a State of Emergency on January 17, describing the drought as being “really serious,” and adding that 2014 could be California’s third consecutive dry year. “In many ways it’s a mega-drought.”
On Friday, Brown said, the zero allocation was a “stark reminder that California’s drought is real.”
“This historic announcement reflects the severity of California’s drought. After two previous dry years, 2014 is shaping up as the driest in state history,” said DWR.
On Thursday, Sierra snow survey found the snowpack’s statewide water content was only 12 percent of average for this time of year.
Water levels in key reservoirs now are lower than at this time in 1977, one of the two previous driest water years on record.
Lake Oroville in Butte County, the principal SWP reservoir, is at 36 percent of its 3.5 million acre-foot capacity (55 percent of its historical average for the date).
Shasta Lake north of Redding, California’s and the federal Central Valley Project’s (CVP) largest reservoir, is also at 36 percent of its 4.5 million acre-foot capacity (54 percent of average for the date).
San Luis Reservoir, a critical south-of-Delta reservoir for both the SWP and CVP, is just 30 percent of its 2 million acre-foot capacity (39 percent of average for the date).
Snow Water Equivalents (inches) Provided by the California Cooperative Snow Surveys
Data For: 31-Jan-2014
STATEWIDE SUMMARY
Data For: 31-Jan-2014
Number of Stations Reporting: 103
Average snow water equivalent: 2.7″
Percent of April 1 Average: 9%
Percent of normal for this date: 15%
Meanwhile, the severe drought continues to heighten the risk of wild fires.
California experienced catastrophic fires due to extremely dry conditions in 2003 and 2007.
U.S. Drought Monitor
Nearly 9 percent of California is covered by Exception Drought (D4 drought level), more than 58 percent by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level), about 23 percent by Sever Drought (D2 drought level) and over 9 percent of the state experiencing Abnormally Dry to Moderate Drought conditions as of last week.
The land area covered by Extreme Drought (D3 drought level) has more than doubled since January 7, 2014.
California Drought Map as of January 28, 2014. Source: U.S. Drought Monitor.
‘Extreme’ and ‘Exceptional Drought’ levels are plaguing California, threatening at least 17 communities with water famine.
Parts of the UK, France and Italy are inundated as extreme rain events wreak havoc across Europe
The Environment Agency in the UK has issued hundreds of flood warnings and flood alerts including 9 severe flood warnings (danger to life) along the coastal areas.
Severe flooding is expected in the lower reaches of the River Severn in Gloucestershire as a result of high tidal levels combined with high river levels. Conditions are expected to result in danger to life due to flood bank over-topping and fast flowing water, and severe disruption to transport with a risk of motorists becoming stranded. High tides, a positive surge, strong winds and large waves combine to bring a risk of significant flooding for coastal communities throughout Wales and in Dorset, Somerset, North Somerset, Gloucestershire and the north coasts of Devon and Cornwall Saturday. —environment-agency.gov.uk
Italy
In Italy, at least 1,000 homes were evacuated in the city of Pisa as the Arno river threatened to burst its banks, and floodwaters submerged vast swathes of the countryside.
Floodwaters also inundated parts of Florence, and nearby towns, forcing the schools to remain closed on Friday.
Authorities in Venice are bracing for high tides, exacerbated by heavy rains, rising to more than 140cm above the average sea level.
France
“The French department of Finistere, in the west of the country, was placed on red alert as forecasters warned of huge waves and extensive flooding. Ten other French departments were also on alert for rising water levels,” reported Bbc.
The downpour has swollen rivers in Tuscany causing widespread flooding and leaving more than 1,000 homes inundated.
Blizzard
Meanwhile, snow storms, high winds and bitter cold continued to batter Eastern Europe prompting the local and national authorities to issue multiple states of emergency for the region.
In Romania, most parts of the country remained under states of emergency as temperatures plummeted to -22ºC and authorities ordered schools closed in the south, south-east and eastern regions.
The blizzard is said to be one of the worst in living memory with winds of about 70 km/hr reducing visibility to 20 meters.
EXTREME WEATHER & CLIMATIC EVENTS
STATE OF EMERGENCY MAJOR DISASTER AREAS .
White House Declares Oklahoma Federal Disaster Area
The White House has declared a major disaster in the State of Oklahoma in the areas affected by the severe winter storm during the period of December 5-6, 2013.
The areas worst affected by the severe winter storm are the counties of Choctaw, Le Flore, McCurtain, and Pushmataha.
Additional designations may be made at a later date if requested by the state and warranted by the results of further damage assessments, said FEMA.
EXTREME CLIMATIC EVENTS
DROUGHT DISASTER
CROP DISASTER AREAS .
USDA Designates 18 Additional Counties in Texas as Crop Disaster Areas
The U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) has designated 18 additional counties in Texas as agricultural disaster areas due to the worsening drought.
The latest disaster areas are Dewitt, Gray, Karnes, Armstrong, Carson, Goliad, Lavaca, Atascosa, Collingsworth, Gonzales, Live Oak, Bee, Donley, Hemphill, Roberts, Victoria, Wheeler, and Wilson counties.
Texas Drought Map as of January28, 2014.Source: U.S. Drought Monitor
For earlier crop disaster declarations see links below.
Notes:
1. Some of the posts linked to below may have been removes, censored or hacked by Google, WordPress and others.
2. USDA trigger point for a countywide disaster declaration is 30 percent crop loss on at least one crop.
3. Total number of counties designated as agricultural disaster areas includes both primary and contiguous disaster areas.
4. The U.S. has a total of 3,143 counties and county-equivalents.
5. A number of counties have been designated crop disaster areas more than once due to multiple disasters.
6. The disaster designations were approved by USDA on January 22 and released on January 24, 2013.
Fire Earth 
